FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Races Called Correctly
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly ▼ | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
105 | 105 | 105 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0259599162417106 | B/C | 0.1012598233566302 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.831283569335938 | 5.543205937713233 | 1.292931972229294 | 1.037013564768634 | 0.0153716075933749 | 1 | 6.831283569335938 | 1.583333333333333 | 2.5 | 2.439576681812079 |
118 | 118 | 118 | The Kitchens Group | 664 | 1 | yes | no | 0.1322986317253363 | B/C | 0.2585877357845111 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.37808227539063 | 6.271495277910399 | 5.111441338086816 | 7.07727048733797 | 0.1608439196131968 | 1 | 11.37808227539063 | 12.5 | 0.0 | |
225 | 225 | 225 | The Polling Company Inc./National Research Inc. | 644 | 1 | no | no | 0.5292794977249156 | B/C | -0.1123074703570687 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.625537872314453 | 5.513608298180296 | -2.883216085259253 | -3.702385581933174 | -0.1583696671748479 | 1 | -2.625537872314453 | 1.806111229790582 | 3.55000114440918 | 0.8307405767476224 |
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
269 | 269 | 269 | Strategy Research | 322 | 2 | no | no | 0.5964185280907349 | B/C | -0.502543845186506 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.125537872314453 | 4.795572996646543 | 1.3348192162745 | 0.2810015239701942 | 0.0230535814654743 | 2 | -6.125537872314453 | -1.999411639045267 | 3.18333371480306 | 0.0 |
270 | 270 | 270 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | no | 0.5974059606860419 | B/C | -0.0930488167484266 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.029548645019531 | 6.352832115291105 | -4.318429129664985 | -2.889176387062972 | -0.1324602122020666 | 1 | -2.029548645019531 | -2.366666158040364 | 3.0 | 2.579896826126576 |
273 | 273 | 273 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | no | 0.6034162189016622 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.407428741455078 | 9.729677981260473 | -3.317394899198805 | -1.103253928318778 | -0.0580659962273041 | 0 | 3.699999809265137 | 1.08416208745036 | |||
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
315 | 315 | 315 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | no | 0.6558623172861971 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.367771148681641 | 5.673281247074294 | 0.6993442422139364 | -1.01937610592222 | -0.0248684132594613 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.905769189375852 | |||
324 | 324 | 324 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | no | no | 0.6712947422113368 | B/C | 0.1135980314638551 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.643642425537109 | 5.754330458478516 | 0.8941663076651829 | 1.716559233058691 | 0.0293510302446489 | 1 | 6.643642425537109 | 2.28 | 0.0 | |
325 | 325 | 325 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | no | 0.671659373118822 | B/C | 0.1732914738583265 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.871591567993164 | 5.559130742974748 | 2.317315165625006 | 1.5856153416367 | 0.0349069965268346 | 2 | 7.871591567993164 | 6.666666666666667 | 0.0 | |
331 | 331 | 331 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | no | 0.6789533460330148 | B/C | -0.1488675128531222 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.04303741455078 | 5.738853416971225 | 4.309038338186145 | 2.334648105905419 | 0.0346063887415019 | 1 | -10.04303741455078 | 0.0 | ||
336 | 336 | 336 | Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs | 513 | 1 | no | no | 0.6867256714328992 | B/C | 0.3433280981097093 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.988388061523438 | 5.954941090881893 | 1.038301311248134 | 1.599996731424496 | 0.0786052276928041 | 1 | 6.988388061523438 | 4.75 | 0.0 | |
344 | 344 | 344 | Southern Research Group | 649 | 1 | no | no | 0.7024389355098376 | B/C | 0.1238125987145376 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.7767333984375 | 4.689560277308869 | 3.09202746173522 | 3.721611501576032 | 0.0592514064463907 | 1 | 7.7767333984375 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
345 | 345 | 345 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | 0.7051103069770992 | B/C | -0.1972988004563895 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.535125732421875 | 5.33439995803765 | 2.205580114990815 | 2.778827681234298 | 0.072760480402272 | 1 | -7.535125732421875 | -10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
348 | 348 | 348 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | no | 0.7104449698380708 | B/C | -0.1265790115977124 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.853496551513672 | 6.104626058474669 | 3.753724833645592 | 4.982870103239322 | 0.0640104524612569 | 1 | -9.853496551513672 | -14.0 | 0.0 | |
355 | 355 | 355 | Sky Research | 665 | 1 | no | no | 0.7150213319471003 | B/C | -0.3732352724099157 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.725540161132812 | 5.459213122187348 | 3.271181379552054 | 2.342295473960913 | 0.1001917672882289 | 1 | -8.725540161132812 | -4.632780075073242 | 0.0 | |
359 | 359 | 359 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | no | 0.7311744675064819 | B/C | -0.202592759519747 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.66749954223633 | 6.614494543737975 | 7.057859339104942 | 5.857637552939973 | 0.0868275102149689 | 1 | -13.66749954223633 | 0.0 | ||
371 | 371 | 371 | SMS Research & Marketing Services | 296 | 1 | no | no | 0.742124091279715 | B/C | -0.1666266571273037 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.744956970214844 | 4.610530379259771 | 5.139280931561662 | 2.978766842861347 | 0.0509332122147581 | 1 | -9.744956970214844 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 2.880160549046826 |
387 | 387 | 387 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | no | 0.7802782013337553 | B/C | -0.3425971166529996 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.36287689208984 | 6.52075289177766 | 4.846978340918772 | 5.045252472144208 | 0.1521171941012839 | 1 | -11.36287689208984 | -7.25 | 0.0 | |
396 | 396 | 396 | Open Model Project | 629 | 2 | no | no | 0.7977944110353132 | B/C | -0.5652378082275391 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.652378082275391 | 4.889192054473236 | 0.7680403684087436 | 2.433944110353132 | 0.2433944110353132 | 2 | -5.652378082275391 | -5.465624690055847 | 5.266666412353516 | 0.0 |
397 | 397 | 397 | Lauer Johnson Research | 167 | 1 | no | no | 0.8005647941407796 | B/C | 0.2723246035939315 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.81168365478516 | 6.004192203188446 | 7.812345792203299 | 8.185126212067717 | 0.1613859183847859 | 1 | 13.81168365478516 | 17.0 | 0.0 | |
401 | 401 | 401 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | 0.8106218672436712 | B/C | 0.3871853984956438 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.045509338378906 | 3.754951426499091 | 1.295412252486405 | 2.125802552184925 | 0.163131143575532 | 2 | 5.045509338378906 | 3.966666666666667 | 2.444444444444445 | 0.8929885052639039 |
412 | 412 | 412 | brilliant corners Research & Strategies | 564 | 1 | no | no | 0.832238816747141 | B/C | 0.6458057604337993 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.27030944824219 | 5.883113618582202 | 6.392050170266574 | 4.328537518195677 | 0.227817764115562 | 1 | 12.27030944824219 | 4.292500019073486 | 0.0 | |
418 | 418 | 418 | Hickman Analytics | 415 | 1 | no | no | 0.8587584780464299 | B/C | 0.4464992819421832 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.088420867919922 | 5.956972395129987 | 3.136302813396525 | 5.101696762816038 | 0.2506380343063347 | 1 | 9.088420867919922 | 7.666666666666666 | 0.0 | |
435 | 435 | 435 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | no | 0.9239620442305716 | B/C | -0.5228166038913292 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.34019470214844 | 6.208346079624863 | 11.13670296313016 | 9.810797010782425 | 0.2958010369981002 | 1 | -17.34019470214844 | 0.0 | ||
445 | 445 | 445 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | no | 0.9968783293981434 | B/C | -0.5278419610119539 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.97669219970703 | 6.3655494552371 | 17.61599708507652 | 16.35836057255758 | 0.360125952806156 | 2 | -23.97669219970703 | 0.0 | ||
457 | 457 | 457 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | no | 1.095235298337428 | B/C | 0.7473572828176596 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.73064041137695 | 5.116279744282602 | 13.61921500770094 | 11.96408379729902 | 0.4773699650291278 | 1 | 18.73064041137695 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |
476 | 476 | 476 | Riggs Research Services | 289 | 1 | no | no | 1.36412459779159 | C/D | 0.881171980610354 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.65322875976563 | 5.596142205665351 | 28.06194089470686 | 27.94753387338189 | 0.7317747712167629 | 1 | 33.65322875976563 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 |
478 | 478 | 478 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | 1.371119784114602 | C/D | -1.363687299657571 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.55398178100586 | 6.016545535152569 | 9.54229058645988 | 8.79403822483834 | 0.7710127482957436 | 2 | -15.55398178100586 | -8.315000534057617 | 7.100002288818359 | 0.3728711962648337 |
490 | 490 | 490 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | no | 2.048179028922068 | C/D | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.41861343383789 | 9.746905584996624 | 13.67656218944786 | 13.57853073467099 | 1.505241393199845 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
104 | 104 | 104 | NPR | 222 | 3 | yes | no | 0.0187906392292975 | B/C | 0.0628007749075856 | 0.1666666666666667 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.715724945068359 | 5.210355843090765 | -0.489776557415816 | 0.2624936646787062 | 0.0203155393532452 | 3 | 0.811438242594401 | 0.6736111898270866 | 2.092172684857494 | 0.6147136559579165 |
103 | 103 | 103 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 255 | 4 | yes | no | 0.0186936466241424 | B/C | -0.2124617456842096 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 4.294097900390625 | 3.808016719558901 | 0.4909355214383134 | 0.9575147130651566 | 0.0473755494576945 | 4 | -4.294097900390625 | -2.752550264884686 | 3.15546352046416 | 0.2005286905231236 |
221 | 221 | 221 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | yes | 0.522758638732403 | F | -0.4342454568686589 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.046503067016602 | 3.696486658840722 | -0.6451292512175306 | 0.0931661432263936 | 0.0132798075498592 | 4 | -3.046503067016602 | -4.851080095445788 | 6.731741858822733 | 0.0 |
361 | 361 | 361 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | 0.7323715570758917 | B/C | 0.5537197498696054 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 8.256275177001953 | 5.356511452358934 | 2.904618065249609 | 2.135100917652609 | 0.1431938157005893 | 2 | 8.256275177001953 | 3.027981217144526 | 0.0 | |
467 | 467 | 467 | Meredith College | 423 | 4 | no | no | 1.18252094651143 | B/C | 1.246890113467262 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 11.63000249862671 | 6.147694891881124 | 5.487161947352174 | 3.873278724769968 | 0.7042324954127216 | 3 | 8.728230794270834 | 4.361949640458668 | 4.653705165648823 | 0.0565864810428969 |
450 | 450 | 450 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 193 | 10 | no | no | 1.023836540864471 | B/C | 0.3207101759247366 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 9.837563133239746 | 7.20621952856269 | 2.636197945283645 | 1.790222788755064 | 0.4905984444951934 | 6 | 1.696808497111003 | 1.590694447369244 | 5.616928727053397 | 0.5934383038266724 |
153 | 153 | 153 | David Binder Research | 578 | 3 | no | no | 0.3091073661133812 | B/C | 0.096672258879009 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.217210133870442 | 7.210829379443751 | -2.988764904966718 | -1.400248437206332 | -0.200035491029476 | 1 | 1.836772918701172 | 0.6599998474121094 | 6.41262560450705 | 0.0 |
155 | 155 | 155 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | 0.3212286124688598 | B/C | -0.1990078903029578 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.0 | 1.795216878255208 | 5.473129376508742 | -3.673058157646944 | -3.760935854690828 | -0.4169167074310298 | 3 | -1.795216878255208 | -5.199742801372822 | 4.881398235057152 | 0.7616229920472635 |
302 | 302 | 302 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 3 | no | no | 0.6327207120173951 | B/C | -0.0597491170284171 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.965807278951009 | 7.017953530798856 | -0.0472919112412569 | 0.8073851098372956 | 0.0885903933980165 | 1 | -3.422222137451172 | -7.229166666666667 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
432 | 432 | 432 | Marketing Research Institute | 192 | 9 | no | no | 0.9111655606218464 | B/C | -0.3850345165108986 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.8888888888888888 | 9.83777936299642 | 5.169169548590911 | 4.673464155012098 | 3.044796647457002 | 0.3845280300104642 | 9 | -3.048807144165039 | -3.937036867494936 | 5.674016281858086 | 0.0 |
462 | 462 | 462 | Momentum Analysis | 214 | 3 | no | no | 1.124544347914709 | B/C | 0.3670145406580748 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1.0 | 13.65023549397787 | 6.144355786380257 | 7.510734048204196 | 8.30393979144252 | 0.532226868122331 | 3 | 5.726254781087239 | 3.222222222222222 | 0.0 | |
479 | 479 | 479 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | 1.426303346028539 | C/D | 1.750224951152644 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.6666666666666666 | 8.502264022827148 | 5.077131026643766 | 3.429987336789972 | 4.778557700494285 | 0.9836851567386024 | 6 | 8.502264022827148 | 6.535661428679924 | 7.921835013727944 | 0.0 |
338 | 338 | 338 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | 0.6905239697483623 | B/C | 0.0296484346278982 | 0.3461538461538461 | 0.6153846153846154 | 9.670362179095928 | 7.339496702746938 | 2.335719816955579 | 1.182406141384232 | 0.2855219603625364 | 4 | 0.5845623016357422 | 0.7083333333333333 | 9.083471842086396 | 0.0 |
124 | 124 | 124 | Strategic National | 318 | 4 | no | no | 0.1543586758086807 | B/C | 0.4398194325814016 | 0.375 | 0.25 | 3.024273872375488 | 5.346863823211337 | -2.317735610229259 | -3.108772776530754 | -0.5143730311959864 | 4 | 2.658185005187988 | -4.752777735392253 | 5.38876275643042 | 0.0146684532680748 |
266 | 266 | 266 | Drake Research & Strategy, Inc. | 329 | 8 | no | no | 0.5930347165011257 | B/C | -0.0084243407434823 | 0.375 | 0.25 | 6.763461589813232 | 5.462638528883079 | 1.305677401536743 | 0.3030344080762783 | 0.0302695564089603 | 8 | -0.0843377113342285 | 3.447916666666666 | 6.077265755114779 | 0.082563133011754 |
18 | 18 | 18 | University of North Florida | 360 | 10 | yes | no | -0.5472183790769786 | A/B | 0.8902943716826435 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 4.059848022460938 | 6.303158922207842 | -2.238456559140316 | -1.393749348566706 | -0.4314608606122858 | 7 | 3.979950496128627 | 1.022124882062393 | 3.95182601196337 | 0.0666741928082798 |
422 | 422 | 422 | Hellenthal & Associates | 137 | 5 | no | no | 0.86717250359529 | B/C | 0.3765420102603602 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 8.07126235961914 | 5.93747744495968 | 2.13863925526605 | 2.545385929009844 | 0.354061338473748 | 3 | 4.278266906738281 | 0.6055541568332247 | 14.79999923706055 | 0.0 |
444 | 444 | 444 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 5 | no | no | 0.9849079660818172 | B/C | 2.043319386493293 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 9.703327178955078 | 5.952459378863677 | 3.75572214069799 | 2.598924869592363 | 0.5472796569814823 | 5 | 9.703327178955078 | 0.0 | ||
449 | 449 | 449 | Greg Smith & Associates | 128 | 5 | no | no | 1.019313758716734 | B/C | 0.9385190782357024 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 10.13129425048828 | 5.560755311854379 | 4.575393279240492 | 4.483932719839702 | 0.4153720441879422 | 5 | 10.13129425048828 | 6.333333333333333 | 6.400624329750488 | 0.4508519551095868 |
254 | 254 | 254 | Alaska Survey Research | 155 | 9 | no | no | 0.5740976421836099 | B/C | 1.864177303236265 | 0.4444444444444444 | 0.4444444444444444 | 7.410337236192492 | 5.666928752451221 | 1.748262824347859 | 0.7170276814330256 | 0.1817091398941078 | 9 | 7.356078677707249 | 3.51202323247516 | 11.22645419647108 | 0.0 |
33 | 33 | 33 | The Winston Group | 385 | 10 | yes | no | -0.3628111184548534 | A/B | 1.084935521863051 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.175388336181641 | 5.243162856132545 | -1.062920179344315 | -0.9085701682795456 | -0.2424686196782707 | 10 | 4.065433502197266 | 0.5544444618730905 | 4.733011955875233 | 0.0 |
89 | 89 | 89 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0411360947075567 | A/B | 0.0373956668765794 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.077785491943359 | 4.854339825419885 | -3.771699992869936 | -1.405468170236857 | -0.0487651948302299 | 1 | 1.077785491943359 | -0.1470588235294118 | 1.414285387311663 | 1.172301971721692 |
99 | 99 | 99 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | 0.0050416989092537 | B/C | 0.7468037257420483 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 4.317460784912109 | 4.529008709484654 | -0.2066935839659541 | 0.4441390606891732 | 0.1632249772615992 | 25 | 2.032070770263672 | 1.005657165685872 | 3.818391934927934 | 0.0 |
125 | 125 | 125 | Ohio University | 237 | 2 | yes | no | 0.1591715359092751 | B/C | 0.3488958471434552 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.756826400756836 | 5.068121585103855 | 3.69355915625957 | 4.872969650857947 | 0.1941524014103431 | 2 | 8.756826400756836 | 8.1292410833495 | 8.507804121881106 | 0.0 |
128 | 128 | 128 | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 390 | 7 | yes | no | 0.1762504140293043 | B/C | -0.0382907746033507 | 0.5 | 0.5714285714285714 | 10.17622865949358 | 7.449670633024032 | 2.73141236707614 | 2.538778596444412 | 0.2086456842966096 | 3 | -1.088362375895182 | -1.833511944593351 | 4.329685523570529 | 0.2251756637197322 |
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
169 | 169 | 169 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 7 | no | no | 0.370331414542987 | B/C | 0.8153998077643643 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.650873184204102 | 4.737125969854708 | -1.081398445044017 | -0.795073100153267 | -0.2091508301011534 | 6 | 3.200395584106445 | 0.2371146105583032 | 2.939237664711974 | 0.7499170581479203 |
179 | 179 | 179 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | 350 | 4 | no | no | 0.40783038322842 | B/C | 0.5246314953730709 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.959074020385742 | 4.819615461263455 | -1.855687100271123 | -1.486505520089792 | -0.263551235458236 | 4 | 2.959074020385742 | 0.4448982410582287 | 2.073838434916397 | 1.120195635341472 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
198 | 198 | 198 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 4 | no | no | 0.4636891018724317 | B/C | 0.2501784336043184 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 4.573753356933594 | 5.563214117501117 | -0.9846064199609336 | -0.6227911300934329 | -0.0833447176815853 | 4 | 1.869451522827148 | -2.922580575430265 | 3.222222222222222 | 0.2118632971668584 |
246 | 246 | 246 | Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | 651 | 2 | no | no | 0.5612857184847847 | B/C | -0.1652378082275391 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.652378082275391 | 5.308732091518542 | -3.651499668636562 | -1.94561455137911 | -0.194561455137911 | 2 | -1.652378082275391 | -1.215624690055847 | 2.200000762939453 | 2.014471736226958 |
262 | 262 | 262 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 2 | no | no | 0.590285521478589 | B/C | -0.0296161979447906 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.240124702453613 | 4.791280420565943 | 0.4536986224942599 | 0.3169148321298133 | 0.029893107341468 | 2 | -0.3139791488647461 | -4.999999364217123 | 6.400001525878906 | 0.0 |
267 | 267 | 267 | Myers Research & Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | no | 0.5931762470380728 | B/C | 0.14019584241651 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.186407089233398 | 5.420198471970155 | -1.228937042130168 | -0.939433161975486 | -0.0314600612720815 | 2 | 4.186407089233398 | 3.4 | 0.0 | |
272 | 272 | 272 | Jorge Benítez | 600 | 4 | no | no | 0.6023811895696973 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.131099700927734 | 5.297056208821066 | -0.1611021672867416 | 0.7390965426333351 | 0.1343811895696973 | 0 | 9.25 | 0.0 | |||
290 | 290 | 290 | Meeting Street Insights | 204 | 4 | no | no | 0.6180909705289955 | B/C | 0.7125785299598706 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.057546138763428 | 5.064239196281024 | -1.001838716911006 | -0.4478094737895041 | -0.0786434474488259 | 4 | 4.057546138763428 | 1.280954818209123 | 2.589868277385861 | 1.265172167780616 |
299 | 299 | 299 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | no | 0.6292134302570268 | B/C | 0.067351313773143 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.543716430664063 | 5.457385416784418 | -0.908814645513766 | -1.020951954584041 | -0.0151335270344861 | 1 | 4.543716430664063 | 2.5 | 0.0 | |
311 | 311 | 311 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | no | 0.6517964988250861 | B/C | 0.1376153728243881 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8.048267364501953 | 6.227888794106417 | 1.825232911002125 | 0.5762282315874135 | 0.0098527868583982 | 1 | 8.048267364501953 | 17.5 | 0.0 | |
316 | 316 | 316 | West Virginia Research Center | 378 | 2 | no | no | 0.657586085130409 | B/C | 0.1635247809902922 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.446525573730469 | 5.210471722475418 | 1.24090819186164 | 0.9443752408337628 | 0.0239553465915487 | 2 | 6.446525573730469 | 3.8 | 5.333333333333333 | 0.016462644620733 |
337 | 337 | 337 | Feldman Group | 93 | 2 | no | no | 0.6869176615049214 | B/C | 0.2053521798327145 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.676515579223633 | 5.430618723537072 | 1.25075119629315 | -0.3912943765191685 | -0.0194654483744056 | 2 | 4.127988815307617 | 0.6888893975151911 | 1.456275361687035 | 1.98839311585113 |
352 | 352 | 352 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 2 | no | no | 0.7134614151447214 | B/C | 0.2165461378793016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.856529235839844 | 5.624614372880663 | 1.23676920356577 | 1.263700604255319 | 0.0399107880787313 | 2 | 6.856529235839844 | -0.2875003814697266 | 1.0 | 1.485055311499993 |
370 | 370 | 370 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 2 | no | no | 0.7415875112176328 | B/C | 0.5 | 1.0 | 14.05421733856201 | 8.091564778767712 | 5.96750690040089 | 2.449795285445019 | 0.1434017623817209 | 0 | 10.18888918558756 | 0.0 | |||
372 | 372 | 372 | HighGround Inc. | 416 | 2 | no | no | 0.7430892528704829 | B/C | -0.3894387965502069 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.441871643066406 | 5.640017798991987 | -1.193291815318991 | 0.0613453865069179 | 0.0053784250007434 | 2 | -4.441871643066406 | -3.016805860731337 | 2.638004968678565 | 1.942356279167756 |
373 | 373 | 373 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | no | 0.7479667078828547 | B/C | 0.1657550174081954 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.05563735961914 | 6.17635698229895 | 1.88413471792678 | 2.977452512533899 | 0.1363118233194016 | 2 | 3.620578765869141 | 6.5 | 0.0 | |
382 | 382 | 382 | Consumer Logic | 59 | 2 | no | no | 0.7724076121984393 | B/C | 0.3073798714305453 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 10.2096996307373 | 5.531537250413759 | 4.683016720930135 | 4.202129054956059 | 0.1265120361384887 | 2 | 10.2096996307373 | 10.05555555555556 | 4.299999237060547 | 0.587518016380516 |
386 | 386 | 386 | Cherry Communications | 49 | 5 | no | no | 0.7801076623998108 | B/C | -0.4699481294818663 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7.576317214965821 | 6.238062246115746 | 1.343109309456664 | 1.795094735983857 | 0.2917144745162084 | 4 | -3.25346565246582 | -3.928865095337704 | 11.69348712139186 | 0.0 |
407 | 407 | 407 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | 0.8202506188048283 | B/C | 0.7280571696293006 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.304094314575195 | 5.071536737268028 | 3.237411917913756 | 2.883790876919586 | 0.252834872066392 | 2 | 8.304094314575195 | 3.546666781107585 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | 410 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | no | 0.8314642257907742 | B/C | 0.3825687758208263 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 13.09588813781738 | 6.156274800768978 | 6.944467677654996 | 6.925470961856789 | 0.2023130405496732 | 2 | 13.09588813781738 | 7.5 | 0.0 | |
439 | 439 | 439 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | no | 0.9626482024962544 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 21.48976993560791 | 9.67580504112034 | 11.81881923509416 | 7.25176267778764 | 0.3222944174742237 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.6139517335312643 | |||
447 | 447 | 447 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | no | 1.006372546360688 | B/C | -0.8084199351629326 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.510197639465332 | 4.543193627412718 | 2.971858352659204 | 3.527894687459416 | 0.4943438215175679 | 4 | -5.769305229187012 | -6.759859941252808 | 5.482901716514413 | 0.0 |
461 | 461 | 461 | Marketing Workshop | 194 | 8 | no | no | 1.12028066367971 | B/C | 0.3448772056383823 | 0.5 | 0.625 | 10.6016674041748 | 5.265524351378136 | 5.340997393403257 | 4.076829415592415 | 0.4046585049891979 | 8 | 3.47454833984375 | 2.008333333333333 | 2.641043185007137 | 1.616378813029728 |
469 | 469 | 469 | Glascock Group | 116 | 2 | no | no | 1.223155396707915 | B/C | 0.2547327212035909 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 15.05851078033447 | 5.365966486533613 | 9.697398634407447 | 9.452966017067586 | 0.633977655332612 | 2 | 3.798209190368652 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 |
471 | 471 | 471 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | 1.267003517884994 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.75 | 12.94745445251465 | 7.55719598031602 | 5.395112812805219 | 4.358326424147456 | 0.7924229862086284 | 0 | 3.682365112624316 | 0.0361929242200101 | |||
472 | 472 | 472 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | 1.292292975615425 | B/C | -0.9468322760367824 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 21.30413246154785 | 5.176883509566855 | 16.13210329258759 | 14.546176868878 | 0.6464844216140726 | 2 | -21.30413246154785 | -10.60000038146973 | 3.200000762939453 | 0.7366863760056699 |
489 | 489 | 489 | Humphrey Institute | 143 | 12 | no | no | 1.941500367663174 | C/D | 0.551390790356648 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 13.2563419342041 | 6.551074580985915 | 6.710121693824775 | 7.109945500472611 | 1.505034654211784 | 8 | 3.786312103271484 | 3.082291672627131 | 5.487777584892179 | 0.0 |
492 | 492 | 492 | Jayhawk Consulting Services | 157 | 2 | no | no | 2.793560294634517 | C/D | 2.970260141724313 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 37.6134033203125 | 5.822173433379541 | 31.79608422753955 | 28.07399170482939 | 2.216950640436249 | 2 | 37.6134033203125 | 10.89999771118164 | 0.0 | |
114 | 114 | 114 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | no | 0.1030683156366483 | B/C | 1.125647983043073 | 0.5416666666666666 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.510533014933268 | 4.635695564395752 | -1.120308208855895 | -1.071911308359979 | -0.3449217581609216 | 12 | 3.498169581095377 | 1.098717960991697 | 2.634383123322027 | 0.3971380059273483 |
101 | 101 | 101 | GQR Research (GQRR) | 126 | 57 | yes | no | 0.0080043239378806 | B | 2.127007880972816 | 0.543859649122807 | 0.1228070175438596 | 4.536231860779879 | 5.335848746522271 | -0.7947625451358039 | 0.1889929341982939 | 0.1133013102353454 | 55 | 3.593433310768821 | 3.318148647061287 | 4.138938620735813 | 0.1022700367888276 |
83 | 83 | 83 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 35 | yes | no | -0.0584013212469942 | A/B | -0.5307652890102345 | 0.5571428571428572 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.355102648053851 | 4.717154975203762 | -1.357197986543323 | -0.1870124153098356 | -0.0819393053753601 | 35 | -1.211380767822266 | -1.415722424694828 | 3.17295012842062 | 0.4753679838054304 |
86 | 86 | 86 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 26 | no | no | -0.0501213089677877 | B+ | -0.1213159892046658 | 0.5576923076923077 | 0.3461538461538461 | 4.886916087223933 | 5.23281610777392 | -0.3410456799433982 | -0.314876591309273 | -0.1708644787340178 | 25 | -0.23000732421875 | -1.43883243254266 | 3.387095196662985 | 0.0 |
38 | 38 | 38 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | no | -0.2903980097900636 | A/B | 0.4572253997293468 | 0.5625 | 0.125 | 3.152763366699219 | 4.723235578300777 | -1.565617870994968 | -1.421942556563748 | -0.3126489823390849 | 8 | 2.079483032226563 | 0.7813109061682718 | 3.566882986360794 | 0.5681594481906921 |
391 | 391 | 391 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 16 | no | no | 0.7852868615226893 | B/C | -1.903883602077899 | 0.5625 | 0.4375 | 6.75414502620697 | 5.16587790936004 | 1.593121457453521 | 1.407843461757177 | 0.5013146697622185 | 15 | -5.697357813517253 | -4.60628011158975 | 5.237259413643385 | 0.0 |
97 | 97 | 97 | Star Tribune (Minnesota Poll) | 315 | 14 | yes | no | -0.0027021768417726 | A/B | 0.7866531081869236 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.4285714285714285 | 5.33117812020438 | 4.399871006504118 | 0.936161454306852 | 0.4676652409284022 | 0.0882514522723825 | 12 | 4.415757815043132 | 3.103320208554546 | 4.948527776277877 | 0.0 |
366 | 366 | 366 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 142 | 7 | no | no | 0.7370211714325817 | B/C | 0.0840077257383459 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.2857142857142857 | 6.740425654820034 | 5.607273313387551 | 1.138006682039072 | 1.537890850961456 | 0.2458028714182319 | 6 | 0.5784180959065756 | 1.297258237258008 | 7.196152422706631 | 0.0 |
307 | 307 | 307 | ALG Research | 14 | 20 | no | no | 0.6427516791927023 | B/C | 1.312342015934227 | 0.575 | 0.35 | 6.310317039489746 | 5.869546981792729 | 0.4456243983036055 | 0.9047965259224644 | 0.3601880678847847 | 20 | 3.29661808013916 | 5.859090865572082 | 4.818246478230167 | 0.107875495901892 |
455 | 455 | 455 | Hamilton Campaigns | 130 | 13 | no | no | 1.074199609049902 | B/C | 1.392617616215609 | 0.5769230769230769 | 0.3076923076923077 | 6.684710282545823 | 5.632225339131462 | 1.057339284020951 | 2.362834758148918 | 0.6364192690103658 | 13 | 5.170373476468599 | 4.036442286639028 | 4.273163888017891 | 0.2309647409087736 |
413 | 413 | 413 | Normington, Petts & Associates | 232 | 12 | no | no | 0.8344991375350191 | B/C | 0.8610392546312677 | 0.5833333333333334 | 0.5 | 7.553451538085938 | 6.110763551492837 | 1.447542327199691 | 1.618406211132986 | 0.4268539569763887 | 12 | 3.264609018961588 | 3.576653460346201 | 3.0 | 0.0992029491158098 |
453 | 453 | 453 | Citizen Data | 616 | 12 | no | no | 1.070771182660835 | B/C | 2.81656436920166 | 0.5833333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.04141092300415 | 4.649526207538675 | 2.396739056072065 | 2.04159889190573 | 0.8166395567622919 | 12 | 7.04141092300415 | 2.810882241028659 | 4.093776961431735 | 0.0413290647463573 |
377 | 377 | 377 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 11 | no | no | 0.7651270341095072 | B/C | 1.988396541215514 | 0.5909090909090909 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.64113339510831 | 5.620000995539652 | 1.025986740175247 | 0.8264028991200191 | 0.2635574153766082 | 11 | 6.234757856889204 | 2.436363636363637 | 2.75 | 0.5592303447021791 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );