FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: raw-polls.csv

This directory contains the data behind FiveThirtyEight's pollster ratings.

See also:

Past data:

pollster-stats-full.xlsx contains a spreadsheet with all of the summary data and calculations involved in determining the pollster ratings as well as descriptions for each column.

pollster-ratings.csv has ratings and calculations for each pollster. A copy of this data and descriptions for each column can also be found in pollster-stats-full.xlsx.

raw-polls.csv contains all of the polls analyzed to give each pollster a grade. Descriptions for each column are in the table below.

Header Definition
pollno FiveThirtyEight poll ID number
race Election polled
year Year of election (not year of poll)
location Location (state or Congressional district, or "US" for national polls)
type_simple Type of election (5 categories)
type_detail Detailed type of election (this distinguishes between Republican and Democratic primaries, for example, whereas type_simple does not)
pollster Pollster name
partisan Flag for internal/partisan poll. "D" indicates Democratic poll, "R" indicates Republican poll, "I" indicates poll put out by independent candidate's campaign. Note that different sources define these categories differently and our categorization will often reflect the original source's definition. In other words, these definitions may be inconsistent and should be used carefully.
polldate Median field date of the poll
samplesize Sample size of the poll. Where missing, this is estimated from the poll's margin of error, or similar polls conducted by the same polling firm. A sample size of 600 is used if no better estimate is available.
cand1_name Name of Candidate #1. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #1 is the Democrat and simply listed as "Democrat".
cand1_pct Candidate #1's share of the vote in the poll.
cand2_name Name of Candidate #2. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #2 is the Republican and simply listed as "Republican"
cand2_pct Candidate #2's share of the vote in the poll.
cand3_pct Share of the vote for the top candidate listed in the poll, other than Candidate #1 and Candidate #2.
margin_poll Projected margin of victory (defeat) for Candidate #1. This is calculated as cand1_pct - cand2_pct. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic lead; negative values a Repubican lead.
electiondate Date of election
cand1_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #1
cand2_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #2
margin_actual Actual margin in the election. This is calculated as cand1_actual - cand2_actual. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic win; negative values a Republican win.
error Absolute value of the difference between the actual and polled result. This is calculated as abs(margin_poll - margin_actual)
bias Statistical bias of the poll. This is calculated only for races in which the top two finishers were a Democrat and a Republican. It is calculated as margin_poll - margin_actual. Positive values indicate a Democratic bias (the Democrat did better in the poll than the election). Negative values indicate a Republican bias.
rightcall Flag to indicate whether the pollster called the outcome correctly, i.e. whether the candidate they had listed in 1st place won the election. A 1 indicates a correct call and a 0 an incorrect call; 0.5 indicates that the pollster had two or more candidates tied for the lead and one of the tied candidates won.
comment Additional information, such as alternate names for the poll.

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub

9,133 rows

View and edit SQL

Suggested facets: year, type_simple, type_detail, rightcall, partisan

Link rowid pollno race year location type_simple type_detail pollster pollster_rating_id polldate samplesize cand1_name cand1_pct cand2_name cand2_pct cand3_pct margin_poll electiondate cand1_actual cand2_actual margin_actual error bias rightcall comment partisan
1 87909 1998_Gov-G_NY 1998 NY Gov-G Gov-G Blum & Weprin Associates 32 10/13/1998 364.0 Democrat 26.0 Republican 57.0 9.0 -31.0 11/3/1998 33.2 54.3 -21.1 9.9 -9.9 1.0 newly added in 2019 update  
2 87926 1998_Gov-G_OH 1998 OH Gov-G Gov-G University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) 346 10/13/1998 540.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.7 50.1 -5.4 9.6 -9.6 1.0 newly added in 2019 update  
3 5380001 1998_House-G_ID-1 1998 ID-1 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 372.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 42.0   2.0 11/3/1998 44.73 55.27 -10.54 12.54 12.54 0.0   D
4 5380002 1998_House-G_ID-2 1998 ID-2 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 400.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 36.0   6.0 11/3/1998 44.69 52.51 -7.82 13.82 13.82 0.0   D
5 5380003 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/13/1998 864.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 36.0   3.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 4.57 4.57 0.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone  
6 5380004 1998_Sen-G_NV 1998 NV Sen-G Sen-G FM3 Research 91 10/13/1998 1418.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 47.88 47.78 0.1 4.9 4.9 1.0 previously listed as Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates D
7 5380005 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Blum & Weprin Associates 32 10/13/1998 364.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 52.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 18.54 -18.54 0.0    
8 5380006 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 902.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 42.0   4.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 6.54 -6.54 1.0   D
9 5380007 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) 346 10/13/1998 540.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 62.0   -28.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 15.07 -15.07 1.0    
10 5380008 1998_Gov-G_AZ 1998 AZ Gov-G Gov-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) 27 10/14/1998 519.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 53.0   -22.0 11/3/1998 35.5 61.0 -25.5 3.5 3.5 1.0    
11 5380009 1998_Gov-G_IA 1998 IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy Inc. 329 10/14/1998 408.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 48.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 52.3 46.5 5.8 13.8 -13.8 0.0   D
12 5380010 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G WCIA-TV 373 10/14/1998 401.0 Democrat 32.0 Republican 58.0   -26.0 11/3/1998 47.5 51.0 -3.5 22.5 -22.5 1.0    
13 5380011 1998_Gov-G_NE 1998 NE Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/14/1998 828.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 54.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 46.0 53.9 -7.9 12.1 -12.1 1.0    
14 5380012 1998_Gov-G_WI 1998 WI Gov-G Gov-G St. Norbert College 313 10/14/1998 269.0 Democrat 35.0 Republican 59.0   -24.0 11/3/1998 38.7 59.7 -21.0 3.0 -3.0 1.0    
15 5380013 1998_House-G_MT-1 1998 MT-1 House-G House-G Moore Information 217 10/14/1998 400.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 51.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.4 53.0 -8.6 6.4 -6.4 1.0   R
16 5380014 1998_Sen-G_AZ 1998 AZ Sen-G Sen-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) 27 10/14/1998 519.0 Democrat 18.0 Republican 60.0   -42.0 11/3/1998 27.16 68.74 -41.58 0.42 -0.42 1.0    
17 5380015 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G WCIA-TV 373 10/14/1998 401.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 54.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 14.09 -14.09 1.0    
18 5380016 1998_Sen-G_WI 1998 WI Sen-G Sen-G St. Norbert College 313 10/14/1998 415.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 40.0   7.0 11/3/1998 50.55 48.4 2.15 4.850000000000001 4.850000000000001 1.0    
19 5380017 1998_Gov-G_NY 1998 NY Gov-G Gov-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/15/1998 706.0 Democrat 21.0 Republican 53.0 7.0 -32.0 11/3/1998 33.2 54.3 -21.1 10.9 -10.9 1.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone  
20 5380018 1998_Gov-G_WI 1998 WI Gov-G Gov-G University of Wisconsin Milwaukee 366 10/15/1998 415.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 63.0   -35.0 11/3/1998 38.7 59.7 -21.0 14.0 -14.0 1.0 previously listed as University Wisconsin-Milwaukee  
21 5380019 1998_House-G_NC-8 1998 NC-8 House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide 387 10/15/1998 505.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 51.0   -12.0 11/3/1998 49.0 51.0 -2.0 10.0 -10.0 1.0   R
22 5380020 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Yankelovich Partners Inc. 390 10/15/1998 442.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 47.0   0.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 1.57 1.57 0.5    
23 5380021 1998_Sen-G_GA 1998 GA Sen-G Sen-G University of Georgia 350 10/15/1998 500.0 Democrat 29.0 Republican 46.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 45.15 52.37 -7.22 9.78 -9.78 1.0    
24 5380022 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/15/1998 706.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 42.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 15.54 -15.54 0.0 previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone  
25 5380023 1998_Sen-G_WI 1998 WI Sen-G Sen-G University of Wisconsin Milwaukee 366 10/15/1998 269.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 44.0   2.0 11/3/1998 50.55 48.4 2.15 0.15 -0.15 1.0 previously listed as University Wisconsin-Milwaukee  
26 5380024 1998_Gov-G_CO 1998 CO Gov-G Gov-G Public Opinion Strategies 260 10/16/1998 500.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 43.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 48.4 49.1 -0.7000000000000001 3.3 -3.3 1.0    
27 5380025 1998_Gov-G_CT 1998 CT Gov-G Gov-G Quinnipiac University 267 10/16/1998 683.0 Democrat 24.0 Republican 72.0   -48.0 11/3/1998 35.4 62.9 -27.5 20.5 -20.5 1.0    
28 5380026 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/16/1998 828.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 44.0   2.0 11/3/1998 55.1 44.8 10.3 8.3 -8.3 1.0    
29 5380027 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Hill Research Consultants 140 10/16/1998 600.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 38.0   3.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 4.57 4.57 0.0    
30 5380028 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Pew Research Center 253 10/16/1998 743.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 48.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 3.43 -3.43 1.0    
31 5380029 1998_Sen-G_CT 1998 CT Sen-G Sen-G Quinnipiac University 267 10/16/1998 683.0 Democrat 61.0 Republican 29.0   32.0 11/3/1998 65.15 32.37 32.78 0.78 -0.78 1.0    
32 5380030 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G University of Illinois at Chicago 352 10/16/1998 597.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 48.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 14.09 -14.09 1.0    
33 5380031 1998_Sen-G_MD 1998 MD Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/16/1998 821.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 26.0   41.0 11/3/1998 70.5 29.5 41.0 0.0 0.0 1.0    
34 5380032 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) 94 10/17/1998 809.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 43.0   7.0 11/3/1998 58.0 38.4 19.6 12.6 -12.6 1.0    
35 5380033 1998_Gov-G_FL 1998 FL Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/17/1998 822.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 51.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 44.7 55.3 -10.6 0.6 0.6 1.0    
36 5380034 1998_Gov-G_MN 1998 MN Gov-G Gov-G Star Tribune 315 10/17/1998 1007.0 Ventura (I) 21.0 Coleman (R) 34.0   -13.0 11/3/1998 37.0 34.3 2.7 15.7   0.0 number of likely voters estimated  
37 5380035 1998_Gov-G_NH 1998 NH Gov-G Gov-G Becker Institute 26 10/17/1998 355.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 22.0   45.0 11/3/1998 66.1 33.1 33.0 12.0 12.0 1.0    
38 5380036 1998_House-G_CA-46 1998 CA-46 House-G House-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/17/1998 1000.0 Democrat 48.0 Republican 34.0   14.0 11/3/1998 56.4 39.2 17.2 3.2 -3.2 1.0    
39 5380037 1998_House-G_IN-10 1998 IN-10 House-G House-G Massie & Associates 199 10/17/1998 300.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 38.0   -1.0 11/3/1998 58.3 39.4 18.9 19.9 -19.9 0.0   R
40 5380038 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G ABC News/Washington Post 3 10/17/1998 548.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 48.0   -1.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 0.5700000000000001 0.5700000000000001 1.0    
41 5380039 1998_Sen-G_FL 1998 FL Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/17/1998 836.0 Democrat 58.0 Republican 32.0   26.0 11/3/1998 62.47 37.53 24.94 1.06 1.06 1.0    
42 5380040 1998_Gov-G_HI 1998 HI Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/18/1998 406.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 50.1 48.8 1.3 16.3 -16.3 0.0    
43 5380041 1998_Gov-G_NM 1998 NM Gov-G Gov-G Research & Polling Inc. 280 10/18/1998 916.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 49.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 45.5 54.5 -9.0 1.0 -1.0 1.0    
44 5380042 1998_Gov-G_OH 1998 OH Gov-G Gov-G Gordon S. Black Corp. 123 10/18/1998 1012.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 36.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 44.7 50.1 -5.4 2.6 -2.6 1.0 aka Plain Dealer  
45 5380043 1998_Gov-G_RI 1998 RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/18/1998 400.0 Democrat 45.0 Republican 47.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 42.1 51.0 -8.9 6.9 6.9 1.0    
46 5380044 1998_House-G_HI-1 1998 HI-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/18/1998 221.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 36.0   14.0 11/3/1998 59.8 35.3 24.5 10.5 -10.5 1.0    
47 5380045 1998_House-G_KY-6 1998 KY-6 House-G House-G TMR Research 328 10/18/1998 700.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 41.0   3.0 11/3/1998 46.0 53.1 -7.100000000000001 10.1 10.1 0.0    
48 5380046 1998_House-G_ND-1 1998 ND-1 House-G House-G Wilson Research Strategies 384 10/18/1998 300.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 40.0   9.0 11/3/1998 56.2 41.1 15.1 6.100000000000001 -6.100000000000001 1.0   R
49 5380047 1998_House-G_WA-1 1998 WA-1 House-G House-G Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. 168 10/18/1998 368.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 39.0 5.0 4.0 11/3/1998 49.8 44.1 5.7 1.7 -1.7 1.0   D
50 5380048 1998_Sen-G_KY 1998 KY Sen-G Sen-G TMR Research 328 10/18/1998 800.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 39.0   5.0 11/3/1998 49.16 49.75 -0.59 5.59 5.59 0.0    
51 5380049 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G Gordon S. Black Corp. 123 10/18/1998 1012.0 Democrat 28.0 Republican 51.0   -23.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 10.07 -10.07 1.0    
52 5380050 1998_Sen-G_OK 1998 OK Sen-G Sen-G Tulsa Surveys 341 10/18/1998 750.0 Democrat 16.0 Republican 63.0   -47.0 11/3/1998 31.28 66.38 -35.1 11.9 -11.9 1.0    
53 5380051 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/19/1998 883.0 Democrat 53.0 Republican 42.0   11.0 11/3/1998 58.0 38.4 19.6 8.6 -8.6 1.0    
54 5380053 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G Market Shares Corp. 187 10/19/1998 1099.0 Democrat 34.0 Republican 49.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 47.5 51.0 -3.5 11.5 -11.5 1.0    
55 5380054 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/19/1998 625.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 46.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 47.4 50.8 -3.4 1.6 -1.6 1.0    
56 5380055 1998_House-G_US 1998 US House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide 387 10/19/1998 415.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 45.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 46.42 47.99 -1.57 2.43 -2.43 1.0    
57 5380056 1998_Sen-G_CA 1998 CA Sen-G Sen-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/19/1998 883.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 53.06 43.01 10.05 5.05 -5.05 1.0    
58 5380057 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Market Shares Corp. 187 10/19/1998 1099.0 Democrat 38.0 Republican 48.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 7.09 -7.09 1.0    
59 5380058 1998_Gov-G_AZ 1998 AZ Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 732.0 Democrat 35.0 Republican 55.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 35.5 61.0 -25.5 5.5 5.5 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
60 5380059 1998_Gov-G_CA 1998 CA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 4531.0 Democrat 50.0 Republican 39.0   11.0 11/3/1998 58.0 38.4 19.6 8.6 -8.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
61 5380060 1998_Gov-G_CO 1998 CO Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 614.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 43.0   3.0 11/3/1998 48.4 49.1 -0.7000000000000001 3.7 3.7 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
62 5380061 1998_Gov-G_FL 1998 FL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 2295.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 56.0   -16.0 11/3/1998 44.7 55.3 -10.6 5.4 -5.4 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
63 5380062 1998_Gov-G_GA 1998 GA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1174.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 47.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 52.5 44.0 8.5 13.5 -13.5 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
64 5380063 1998_Gov-G_IA 1998 IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy Inc. 329 10/20/1998 408.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 46.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 52.3 46.5 5.8 7.8 -7.8 0.0   D
65 5380064 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1209.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 47.5 51.0 -3.5 14.5 -14.5 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
66 5380065 1998_Gov-G_IL 1998 IL Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/20/1998 400.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 44.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 47.5 51.0 -3.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 aka Chicago Sun Times  
67 5380066 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 907.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 56.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 47.4 50.8 -3.4 16.6 -16.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
68 5380067 1998_Gov-G_MA 1998 MA Gov-G Gov-G RKM Research and Communications Inc. 272 10/20/1998 402.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 46.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 47.4 50.8 -3.4 1.6 -1.6 1.0    
69 5380068 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G ABC News/Washington Post 3 10/20/1998 919.0 Democrat 49.0 Republican 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 55.1 44.8 10.3 5.3 -5.3 1.0    
70 5380069 1998_Gov-G_MD 1998 MD Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 911.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 55.0   -13.0 11/3/1998 55.1 44.8 10.3 23.3 -23.3 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
71 5380070 1998_Gov-G_MI 1998 MI Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1535.0 Democrat 36.0 Republican 51.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 37.8 62.2 -24.4 9.4 9.4 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
72 5380071 1998_Gov-G_NM 1998 NM Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/20/1998 409.0 Democrat 43.0 Republican 47.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 45.5 54.5 -9.0 5.0 5.0 1.0    
73 5380072 1998_Gov-G_NY 1998 NY Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1792.0 Democrat 24.0 Republican 48.0 15.0 -24.0 11/3/1998 33.2 54.3 -21.1 2.9 -2.9 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
74 5380073 1998_Gov-G_OH 1998 OH Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1793.0 Democrat 39.0 Republican 50.0   -11.0 11/3/1998 44.7 50.1 -5.4 5.600000000000001 -5.600000000000001 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
75 5380074 1998_Gov-G_PA 1998 PA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1611.0 Democrat 16.0 Republican 64.0 12.0 -48.0 11/3/1998 31.0 57.4 -26.4 21.6 -21.6 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
76 5380075 1998_Gov-G_TX 1998 TX Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 3248.0 Democrat 22.0 Republican 73.0   -51.0 11/3/1998 31.2 68.2 -37.0 14.0 -14.0 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
77 5380076 1998_House-G_MT-1 1998 MT-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. 197 10/20/1998 819.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.4 53.0 -8.6 6.4 -6.4 1.0    
78 5380077 1998_House-G_UT-2 1998 UT-2 House-G House-G Valley Research 368 10/20/1998 452.0 Democrat 42.0 Republican 41.0   1.0 11/3/1998 43.4 52.7 -9.3 10.3 10.3 0.0 aka Salt Lake Tribune  
79 5380078 1998_Sen-G_AZ 1998 AZ Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 732.0 Democrat 18.0 Republican 66.0   -48.0 11/3/1998 27.16 68.74 -41.58 6.42 -6.42 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
80 5380079 1998_Sen-G_CA 1998 CA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 4531.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 45.0   1.0 11/3/1998 53.06 43.01 10.05 9.05 -9.05 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
81 5380080 1998_Sen-G_CO 1998 CO Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 614.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 35.01 62.47 -27.46 9.46 9.46 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
82 5380081 1998_Sen-G_FL 1998 FL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 2295.0 Democrat 60.0 Republican 31.0   29.0 11/3/1998 62.47 37.53 24.94 4.06 4.06 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
83 5380082 1998_Sen-G_GA 1998 GA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1174.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 53.0   -16.0 11/3/1998 45.15 52.37 -7.22 8.78 -8.78 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
84 5380083 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1209.0 Democrat 38.0 Republican 52.0   -14.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 11.09 -11.09 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
85 5380084 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G Illinois Wesleyan University 147 10/20/1998 423.0 Democrat 31.0 Republican 53.0   -22.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 19.09 -19.09 1.0    
86 5380085 1998_Sen-G_IL 1998 IL Sen-G Sen-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/20/1998 400.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 50.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.91 7.09 -7.09 1.0    
87 5380086 1998_Sen-G_IN 1998 IN Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 831.0 Democrat 63.0 Republican 27.0   36.0 11/3/1998 63.72 34.79 28.93 7.07 7.07 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
88 5380087 1998_Sen-G_MD 1998 MD Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 911.0 Democrat 67.0 Republican 27.0   40.0 11/3/1998 70.5 29.5 41.0 1.0 -1.0 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
89 5380088 1998_Sen-G_NC 1998 NC Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1163.0 Democrat 47.0 Republican 38.0   9.0 11/3/1998 51.15 47.01 4.14 4.86 4.86 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
90 5380089 1998_Sen-G_NY 1998 NY Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1792.0 Democrat 44.0 Republican 46.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 12.54 -12.54 0.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
91 5380090 1998_Sen-G_OH 1998 OH Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1793.0 Democrat 37.0 Republican 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 5.07 -5.07 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
92 5380091 1998_Sen-G_PA 1998 PA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1611.0 Democrat 25.0 Republican 57.0   -32.0 11/3/1998 34.79 61.34 -26.55 5.45 -5.45 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
93 5380092 1998_Sen-G_SD 1998 SD Sen-G Sen-G NRECA Market Research 223 10/20/1998 500.0 Democrat 58.0 Republican 26.0   32.0 11/3/1998 62.14 36.41 25.73 6.27 6.27 1.0    
94 5380093 1998_Sen-G_WA 1998 WA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 831.0 Democrat 54.0 Republican 41.0   13.0 11/3/1998 58.41 41.59 16.82 3.82 -3.82 1.0 previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive  
95 5380094 1998_Gov-G_AL 1998 AL Gov-G Gov-G University of South Alabama 361 10/21/1998 820.0 Democrat 46.0 Republican 32.0   14.0 11/3/1998 57.7 42.1 15.6 1.6 -1.6 1.0    
96 5380095 1998_Gov-G_MI 1998 MI Gov-G Gov-G Mitchell Research & Communications 213 10/21/1998 600.0 Democrat 30.0 Republican 62.0   -32.0 11/3/1998 37.8 62.2 -24.4 7.600000000000001 -7.600000000000001 1.0    
97 5380096 1998_Gov-G_RI 1998 RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/21/1998 400.0 Democrat 45.0 Republican 40.0 7.0 5.0 11/3/1998 42.1 51.0 -8.9 13.9 13.9 0.0    
98 5380097 1998_House-G_IN-9 1998 IN-9 House-G House-G Public Opinion Strategies 260 10/21/1998 300.0 Democrat 41.0 Republican 51.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 50.8 47.9 2.9 12.9 -12.9 0.0   R
99 5380098 1998_House-G_KS-4 1998 KS-4 House-G House-G SurveyUSA 325 10/21/1998 500.0 Democrat 40.0 Republican 56.0   -16.0 11/3/1998 38.56 58.26 -19.7 3.7 3.7 1.0    
100 5380099 1998_Sen-G_CO 1998 CO Sen-G Sen-G Ciruli Associates 51 10/21/1998 400.0 Democrat 30.0 Republican 61.0   -31.0 11/3/1998 35.01 62.47 -27.46 3.54 -3.54 1.0    

Next page

Advanced export

JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited

CSV options:

CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/raw-polls" (
"pollno" INTEGER,
  "race" TEXT,
  "year" INTEGER,
  "location" TEXT,
  "type_simple" TEXT,
  "type_detail" TEXT,
  "pollster" TEXT,
  "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER,
  "polldate" TEXT,
  "samplesize" REAL,
  "cand1_name" TEXT,
  "cand1_pct" REAL,
  "cand2_name" TEXT,
  "cand2_pct" REAL,
  "cand3_pct" REAL,
  "margin_poll" REAL,
  "electiondate" TEXT,
  "cand1_actual" REAL,
  "cand2_actual" REAL,
  "margin_actual" REAL,
  "error" REAL,
  "bias" REAL,
  "rightcall" REAL,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "partisan" TEXT
);
Powered by Datasette · Query took 597.408ms · Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub