FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: raw-polls.csv

This directory contains the data behind FiveThirtyEight's pollster ratings.

See also:

Past data:

pollster-stats-full.xlsx contains a spreadsheet with all of the summary data and calculations involved in determining the pollster ratings as well as descriptions for each column.

pollster-ratings.csv has ratings and calculations for each pollster. A copy of this data and descriptions for each column can also be found in pollster-stats-full.xlsx.

raw-polls.csv contains all of the polls analyzed to give each pollster a grade. Descriptions for each column are in the table below.

Header Definition
pollno FiveThirtyEight poll ID number
race Election polled
year Year of election (not year of poll)
location Location (state or Congressional district, or "US" for national polls)
type_simple Type of election (5 categories)
type_detail Detailed type of election (this distinguishes between Republican and Democratic primaries, for example, whereas type_simple does not)
pollster Pollster name
partisan Flag for internal/partisan poll. "D" indicates Democratic poll, "R" indicates Republican poll, "I" indicates poll put out by independent candidate's campaign. Note that different sources define these categories differently and our categorization will often reflect the original source's definition. In other words, these definitions may be inconsistent and should be used carefully.
polldate Median field date of the poll
samplesize Sample size of the poll. Where missing, this is estimated from the poll's margin of error, or similar polls conducted by the same polling firm. A sample size of 600 is used if no better estimate is available.
cand1_name Name of Candidate #1. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #1 is the Democrat.
cand1_party Name of Candidate #1. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #1 is the Democrat.
cand1_pct Candidate #1's share of the vote in the poll.
cand2_name Name of Candidate #2. Candidates #1 and #2 are defined as the top two finishers in the election (regardless of whether or not they were the top two candidates in the poll). In races where a Democrat and a Republican were the top two finishers, Candidate #2 is the Republican.
cand2_party Party of Candidate #2.
cand2_pct Candidate #2's share of the vote in the poll.
cand3_pct Share of the vote for the top candidate listed in the poll, other than Candidate #1 and Candidate #2.
margin_poll Projected margin of victory (defeat) for Candidate #1. This is calculated as cand1_pct - cand2_pct. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic lead; negative values a Repubican lead.
electiondate Date of election
cand1_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #1
cand2_actual Actual share of vote for Candidate #2
margin_actual Actual margin in the election. This is calculated as cand1_actual - cand2_actual. In races between a Democrat and a Republican, positive values indicate a Democratic win; negative values a Republican win.
error Absolute value of the difference between the actual and polled result. This is calculated as abs(margin_poll - margin_actual)
bias Statistical bias of the poll. This is calculated only for races in which the top two finishers were a Democrat and a Republican. It is calculated as margin_poll - margin_actual. Positive values indicate a Democratic bias (the Democrat did better in the poll than the election). Negative values indicate a Republican bias.
rightcall Flag to indicate whether the pollster called the outcome correctly, i.e. whether the candidate they had listed in 1st place won the election. A 1 indicates a correct call and a 0 an incorrect call; 0.5 indicates that the pollster had two or more candidates tied for the lead and one of the tied candidates won.
comment Additional information, such as alternate names for the poll.

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

9,559 rows

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Suggested facets: year, type_simple, type_detail, cand1_party, cand2_party, rightcall, partisan

Link rowid ▼ poll_id question_id race_id year race location type_simple type_detail pollster pollster_rating_id polldate samplesize cand1_name cand1_party cand1_pct cand2_name cand2_party cand2_pct cand3_pct margin_poll electiondate cand1_actual cand2_actual margin_actual error bias rightcall comment partisan
1 54373 87909 1455 1998 1998_Gov-G_NY NY Gov-G Gov-G Blum & Weprin Associates 32 10/13/1998 364.0 Peter Vallone DEM 26.0 George Pataki REP 57.0   -31.0 11/3/1998 33.16 54.32 -21.15 9.85 -9.85 1.0    
2 26255 87926 1456 1998 1998_Gov-G_OH OH Gov-G Gov-G University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) 346 10/13/1998 540.0 Lee Fisher DEM 37.0 Robert A. Taft, II REP 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.69 50.05 -5.36 9.64 -9.64 1.0    
3 26026 31266 1736 1998 1998_Sen-G_NV NV Sen-G Sen-G FM3 Research 91 10/13/1998 488.0 Harry Reid DEM 49.0 John Ensign REP 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 47.88 47.78 0.1 4.9 4.9 1.0 for Harry Reid D
4 26013 31253 1738 1998 1998_Sen-G_NY NY Sen-G Sen-G Blum & Weprin Associates 32 10/13/1998 364.0 Charles E. Schumer DEM 44.0 Alfonse M. D'Amato REP 52.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 18.54 -18.54 0.0    
5 63632 117103 1738 1998 1998_Sen-G_NY NY Sen-G Sen-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 902.0 Charles E. Schumer DEM 46.0 Alfonse M. D'Amato REP 42.0   4.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 6.54 -6.54 1.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
6 26255 31495 1741 1998 1998_Sen-G_OH OH Sen-G Sen-G University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) 346 10/13/1998 540.0 Mary Boyle DEM 34.0 George V. Voinovich REP 62.0   -28.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 15.07 -15.07 1.0    
7 64053 117875 1966 1998 1998_House-G_ID-1 ID-1 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 372.0 Dan Williams DEM 44.0 Helen Chenoweth REP 42.0   2.0 11/3/1998 44.73 55.27 -10.53 12.53 12.53 0.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
8 64053 117876 1967 1998 1998_House-G_ID-2 ID-2 House-G House-G Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 113 10/13/1998 400.0 Richard Stallings DEM 42.0 Mike Simpson REP 36.0   6.0 11/3/1998 44.69 52.51 -7.82 13.82 13.82 0.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
9 28268 33546 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G CBS News/The New York Times 36 10/13/1998 600.0 Democratic DEM 48.0 Republican REP 46.0   2.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 3.12 3.12 0.0 sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default  
10 28267 33545 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/13/1998 864.0 Democratic DEM 39.0 Republican REP 36.0   3.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 4.12 4.12 0.0    
11 54202 87738 1435 1998 1998_Gov-G_AZ AZ Gov-G Gov-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) 27 10/14/1998 519.0 Paul Johnson DEM 31.0 Jane Hull REP 53.0   -22.0 11/3/1998 35.53 60.95 -25.42 3.42 3.42 1.0    
12 54291 87827 1443 1998 1998_Gov-G_IL IL Gov-G Gov-G WCIA-TV 373 10/14/1998 401.0 Glenn Poshard DEM 32.0 George Ryan REP 58.0   -26.0 11/3/1998 47.47 51.04 -3.57 22.43 -22.43 1.0    
13 54273 87809 1444 1998 1998_Gov-G_IA IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy Inc. 329 10/14/1998 408.0 Tom Vilsack DEM 40.0 Jim Lightfoot REP 48.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 52.3 46.51 5.8 13.8 -13.8 0.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
14 54346 87882 1451 1998 1998_Gov-G_NE NE Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/14/1998 828.0 Bill Hoppner DEM 34.0 Mike Johanns REP 54.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 45.98 53.9 -7.93 12.07 -12.07 1.0    
15 26233 87974 1466 1998 1998_Gov-G_WI WI Gov-G Gov-G St. Norbert College 313 10/14/1998 269.0 Ed Garvey DEM 35.0 Tommy Thompson REP 59.0   -24.0 11/3/1998 38.7 59.66 -20.97 3.03 -3.03 1.0    
16 54202 119959 1719 1998 1998_Sen-G_AZ AZ Sen-G Sen-G Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) 27 10/14/1998 519.0 Edward Ranger DEM 18.0 John McCain REP 60.0   -42.0 11/3/1998 27.16 68.74 -41.58 0.42 -0.42 1.0    
17 54291 117514 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G WCIA-TV 373 10/14/1998 401.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 37.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 54.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 14.1 -14.1 1.0    
18 26233 31473 1750 1998 1998_Sen-G_WI WI Sen-G Sen-G St. Norbert College 313 10/14/1998 415.0 Russ Feingold DEM 47.0 Mark W. Neumann REP 40.0   7.0 11/3/1998 50.55 48.4 2.15 4.85 4.85 1.0    
19 64150 118025 2078 1998 1998_House-G_MT-1 MT-1 House-G House-G Moore Information 217 10/14/1998 400.0 Dusty Deschamps DEM 36.0 Richard A. Hill REP 51.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.36 53.01 -8.65 6.35 -6.35 1.0 for unspecified Republican spnosor R
20 26285 87910 1455 1998 1998_Gov-G_NY NY Gov-G Gov-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/15/1998 706.0 Peter Vallone DEM 21.0 George Pataki REP 53.0   -32.0 11/3/1998 33.16 54.32 -21.15 10.85 -10.85 1.0    
21 54439 87975 1466 1998 1998_Gov-G_WI WI Gov-G Gov-G University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 366 10/15/1998 415.0 Ed Garvey DEM 28.0 Tommy Thompson REP 63.0   -35.0 11/3/1998 38.7 59.66 -20.97 14.03 -14.03 1.0    
22 26249 31489 1725 1998 1998_Sen-G_GA GA Sen-G Sen-G University of Georgia 350 10/15/1998 500.0 Michael J. Coles DEM 29.0 Paul Coverdell REP 46.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 45.15 52.37 -7.22 9.78 -9.78 1.0    
23 26285 31525 1738 1998 1998_Sen-G_NY NY Sen-G Sen-G Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics 395 10/15/1998 706.0 Charles E. Schumer DEM 37.0 Alfonse M. D'Amato REP 42.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 15.54 -15.54 0.0    
24 26262 31502 1750 1998 1998_Sen-G_WI WI Sen-G Sen-G University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 366 10/15/1998 286.0 Russ Feingold DEM 46.0 Mark W. Neumann REP 44.0   2.0 11/3/1998 50.55 48.4 2.15 0.15 -0.15 1.0    
25 64394 118462 2140 1998 1998_House-G_NC-8 NC-8 House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide 387 10/15/1998 505.0 Mike Taylor DEM 39.0 Robert C. Hayes REP 51.0   -12.0 11/3/1998 48.17 50.71 -2.54 9.46 -9.46 1.0 for unspecified Republican spnosor R
26 28266 117593 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G Yankelovich Partners Inc. 390 10/15/1998 442.0 Democratic DEM 47.0 Republican REP 47.0   0.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 1.12 1.12 0.5    
27 54224 87760 1437 1998 1998_Gov-G_CO CO Gov-G Gov-G Public Opinion Strategies 260 10/16/1998 500.0 Gail Schoettler DEM 39.0 William F. Owens REP 43.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 48.43 49.06 -0.63 3.37 -3.37 1.0    
28 26208 87770 1438 1998 1998_Gov-G_CT CT Gov-G Gov-G Quinnipiac University 267 10/16/1998 683.0 Barbara Kennelly DEM 24.0 John Rowland REP 72.0   -48.0 11/3/1998 35.44 62.9 -27.46 20.54 -20.54 1.0 among registered voters  
29 26147 87858 1447 1998 1998_Gov-G_MD MD Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/16/1998 828.0 Parris Glendening DEM 46.0 Ellen Sauerbrey REP 44.0   2.0 11/3/1998 55.14 44.82 10.33 8.33 -8.33 1.0    
30 26208 31448 1723 1998 1998_Sen-G_CT CT Sen-G Sen-G Quinnipiac University 267 10/16/1998 1247.0 Christopher J. Dodd DEM 61.0 Gary A. Franks REP 29.0   32.0 11/3/1998 65.15 32.37 32.78 0.78 -0.78 1.0 among registered voters  
31 26250 31490 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G University of Illinois at Chicago 352 10/16/1998 597.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 31.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 48.0   -17.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 14.1 -14.1 1.0    
32 26147 31387 1734 1998 1998_Sen-G_MD MD Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/16/1998 821.0 Barbara A. Mikulski DEM 67.0 Ross Z. Pierpont REP 26.0   41.0 11/3/1998 70.5 29.5 41.01 0.01 -0.01 1.0    
33 28265 33543 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G Hill Research Consultants 140 10/16/1998 600.0 Democratic DEM 41.0 Republican REP 38.0   3.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 4.12 4.12 0.0    
34 28264 117577 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G Pew Research Center 253 10/16/1998 743.0 Democratic DEM 43.0 Republican REP 48.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 3.88 -3.88 1.0    
35 54213 87749 1436 1998 1998_Gov-G_CA CA Gov-G Gov-G Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) 94 10/17/1998 809.0 Joseph 'Gray' Davis, Jr. DEM 50.0 Dan Lungren REP 43.0   7.0 11/3/1998 57.97 38.38 19.59 12.59 -12.59 1.0    
36 54246 87782 1439 1998 1998_Gov-G_FL FL Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/17/1998 822.0 Buddy MacKay DEM 41.0 Jeb Bush REP 51.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 44.72 55.27 -10.55 0.55 0.55 1.0    
37 54342 87878 1450 1998 1998_Gov-G_MN MN Gov-G Gov-G Star Tribune 315 10/17/1998 1007.0 Jesse Ventura REF 21.0 Norm Coleman REP 34.0   -13.0 11/3/1998 36.99 34.29 2.69 15.69   0.0    
38 54354 87890 1453 1998 1998_Gov-G_NH NH Gov-G Gov-G Becker Institute 26 10/17/1998 355.0 Jeanne Shaheen DEM 67.0 Jay Lucas REP 22.0   45.0 11/3/1998 66.08 30.88 35.21 9.79 9.79 1.0    
39 26113 31353 1724 1998 1998_Sen-G_FL FL Sen-G Sen-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/17/1998 836.0 Bob Graham DEM 58.0 Charlie Crist REP 32.0   26.0 11/3/1998 62.47 37.53 24.94 1.06 1.06 1.0    
40 64109 117952 1910 1998 1998_House-G_CA-46 CA-46 House-G House-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/17/1998 1000.0 Loretta Sanchez DEM 48.0 Robert K. Dornan REP 34.0   14.0 11/3/1998 56.43 39.28 17.15 3.15 -3.15 1.0    
41 64137 118009 1997 1998 1998_House-G_IN-10 IN-10 House-G House-G Massie & Associates 199 10/17/1998 300.0 Julia M. Carson DEM 37.0 Gary Anthony Hofmeister REP 38.0   -1.0 11/3/1998 58.34 39.37 18.98 19.98 -19.98 0.0 for unspecified Republican spnosor R
42 36811 33541 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G ABC News/The Washington Post 3 10/17/1998 548.0 Democratic DEM 48.0 Republican REP 47.0   1.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 2.12 2.12 0.0    
43 54265 87801 1441 1998 1998_Gov-G_HI HI Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/18/1998 406.0 Benjamin Cayetano DEM 37.0 Linda Lingle REP 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 50.11 48.82 1.29 16.29 -16.29 0.0    
44 54358 87894 1454 1998 1998_Gov-G_NM NM Gov-G Gov-G Research & Polling Inc. 280 10/18/1998 916.0 Martin Chavez DEM 39.0 Gary Johnson REP 49.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 45.47 54.53 -9.06 0.94 -0.94 1.0    
45 26050 87927 1456 1998 1998_Gov-G_OH OH Gov-G Gov-G Gordon S. Black Corp. 123 10/18/1998 1012.0 Lee Fisher DEM 28.0 Robert A. Taft, II REP 36.0   -8.0 11/3/1998 44.69 50.05 -5.36 2.64 -2.64 1.0    
46 54412 87948 1460 1998 1998_Gov-G_RI RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/18/1998 400.0 Myrth York DEM 45.0 Lincoln Almond REP 47.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 42.14 50.98 -8.84 6.84 6.84 1.0    
47 26243 31483 1732 1998 1998_Sen-G_KY KY Sen-G Sen-G TMR Research 328 10/18/1998 800.0 Scotty Baesler DEM 44.0 Jim Bunning REP 39.0   5.0 11/3/1998 49.16 49.75 -0.59 5.59 5.59 0.0    
48 26050 31290 1741 1998 1998_Sen-G_OH OH Sen-G Sen-G Gordon S. Black Corp. 123 10/18/1998 1012.0 Mary Boyle DEM 28.0 George V. Voinovich REP 51.0   -23.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 10.07 -10.07 1.0    
49 26244 31484 1742 1998 1998_Sen-G_OK OK Sen-G Sen-G Tulsa Surveys 341 10/18/1998 750.0 Don Carroll DEM 16.0 Don Nickles REP 63.0   -47.0 11/3/1998 31.28 66.38 -35.1 11.9 -11.9 1.0 among all adults  
50 54265 117965 1964 1998 1998_House-G_HI-1 HI-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/18/1998 221.0 Neil Abercrombie DEM 50.0 Gene Ward REP 36.0   14.0 11/3/1998 61.56 36.35 25.21 11.21 -11.21 1.0    
51 26243 118432 2012 1998 1998_House-G_KY-6 KY-6 House-G House-G TMR Research 328 10/18/1998 700.0 Ernesto Scorsone DEM 44.0 Ernie Fletcher REP 41.0   3.0 11/3/1998 45.95 53.11 -7.15 10.15 10.15 0.0    
52 64392 118460 2145 1998 1998_House-G_ND-1 ND-1 House-G House-G WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 383 10/18/1998 300.0 Earl Pomeroy DEM 49.0 Kevin Cramer REP 40.0   9.0 11/3/1998 56.21 41.11 15.11 6.11 -6.11 1.0 for unspecified Republican spnosor R
53 64108 117951 2260 1998 1998_House-G_WA-1 WA-1 House-G House-G Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. 168 10/18/1998 368.0 Jay Robert Inslee DEM 43.0 Richard Alan White REP 39.0   4.0 11/3/1998 49.77 44.12 5.66 1.66 -1.66 1.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
54 26068 87750 1436 1998 1998_Gov-G_CA CA Gov-G Gov-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/19/1998 883.0 Joseph 'Gray' Davis, Jr. DEM 53.0 Dan Lungren REP 42.0   11.0 11/3/1998 57.97 38.38 19.59 8.59 -8.59 1.0    
55 54292 87828 1443 1998 1998_Gov-G_IL IL Gov-G Gov-G Market Shares Corp. 187 10/19/1998 1099.0 Glenn Poshard DEM 34.0 George Ryan REP 49.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 47.47 51.04 -3.57 11.43 -11.43 1.0    
56 54305 87841 1448 1998 1998_Gov-G_MA MA Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/19/1998 625.0 Scott Harshbarger DEM 41.0 A. Paul Cellucci REP 46.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 47.38 50.81 -3.43 1.57 -1.57 1.0    
57 26068 31308 1721 1998 1998_Sen-G_CA CA Sen-G Sen-G Los Angeles Times 172 10/19/1998 883.0 Barbara Boxer DEM 49.0 Matt Fong REP 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 53.06 43.01 10.05 5.05 -5.05 1.0    
58 26083 31323 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G Market Shares Corp. 187 10/19/1998 1099.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 38.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 48.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 7.1 -7.1 1.0    
59 28262 33540 8661 1998 1998_House-G_US US House-G House-G Wirthlin Worldwide 387 10/19/1998 416.0 Democratic DEM 41.0 Republican REP 45.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 47.29 48.41 -1.12 2.88 -2.88 1.0    
60 54203 87739 1435 1998 1998_Gov-G_AZ AZ Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 732.0 Paul Johnson DEM 35.0 Jane Hull REP 55.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 35.53 60.95 -25.42 5.42 5.42 1.0    
61 54215 87751 1436 1998 1998_Gov-G_CA CA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 4531.0 Joseph 'Gray' Davis, Jr. DEM 50.0 Dan Lungren REP 39.0   11.0 11/3/1998 57.97 38.38 19.59 8.59 -8.59 1.0    
62 54225 87761 1437 1998 1998_Gov-G_CO CO Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 614.0 Gail Schoettler DEM 46.0 William F. Owens REP 43.0   3.0 11/3/1998 48.43 49.06 -0.63 3.63 3.63 0.0    
63 54247 87783 1439 1998 1998_Gov-G_FL FL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 2295.0 Buddy MacKay DEM 40.0 Jeb Bush REP 56.0   -16.0 11/3/1998 44.72 55.27 -10.55 5.45 -5.45 1.0    
64 54259 87795 1440 1998 1998_Gov-G_GA GA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1174.0 Roy Barnes DEM 42.0 Guy Millner REP 47.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 52.49 44.07 8.42 13.42 -13.42 0.0    
65 54293 87829 1443 1998 1998_Gov-G_IL IL Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1209.0 Glenn Poshard DEM 37.0 George Ryan REP 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 47.47 51.04 -3.57 14.43 -14.43 1.0    
66 54294 87830 1443 1998 1998_Gov-G_IL IL Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/20/1998 400.0 Glenn Poshard DEM 42.0 George Ryan REP 44.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 47.47 51.04 -3.57 1.57 1.57 1.0    
67 54274 87810 1444 1998 1998_Gov-G_IA IA Gov-G Gov-G Talmey-Drake Research & Strategy Inc. 329 10/20/1998 408.0 Tom Vilsack DEM 44.0 Jim Lightfoot REP 46.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 52.3 46.51 5.8 7.8 -7.8 0.0 for unspecified Democratic spnosor D
68 54323 87859 1447 1998 1998_Gov-G_MD MD Gov-G Gov-G ABC News/The Washington Post 3 10/20/1998 919.0 Parris Glendening DEM 49.0 Ellen Sauerbrey REP 44.0   5.0 11/3/1998 55.14 44.82 10.33 5.33 -5.33 1.0    
69 54324 87860 1447 1998 1998_Gov-G_MD MD Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 911.0 Parris Glendening DEM 42.0 Ellen Sauerbrey REP 55.0   -13.0 11/3/1998 55.14 44.82 10.33 23.33 -23.33 0.0    
70 54306 87842 1448 1998 1998_Gov-G_MA MA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 907.0 Scott Harshbarger DEM 36.0 A. Paul Cellucci REP 56.0   -20.0 11/3/1998 47.38 50.81 -3.43 16.57 -16.57 1.0    
71 54307 87843 1448 1998 1998_Gov-G_MA MA Gov-G Gov-G RKM Research and Communications Inc. 272 10/20/1998 402.0 Scott Harshbarger DEM 41.0 A. Paul Cellucci REP 46.0   -5.0 11/3/1998 47.38 50.81 -3.43 1.57 -1.57 1.0    
72 54334 87870 1449 1998 1998_Gov-G_MI MI Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1535.0 Geoffrey Fieger DEM 36.0 John Engler REP 51.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 37.78 62.2 -24.43 9.43 9.43 1.0    
73 54359 87895 1454 1998 1998_Gov-G_NM NM Gov-G Gov-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/20/1998 409.0 Martin Chavez DEM 43.0 Gary Johnson REP 47.0   -4.0 11/3/1998 45.47 54.53 -9.06 5.06 5.06 1.0    
74 54375 87911 1455 1998 1998_Gov-G_NY NY Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1792.0 Peter Vallone DEM 24.0 George Pataki REP 48.0   -24.0 11/3/1998 33.16 54.32 -21.15 2.85 -2.85 1.0    
75 54392 87928 1456 1998 1998_Gov-G_OH OH Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1793.0 Lee Fisher DEM 39.0 Robert A. Taft, II REP 50.0   -11.0 11/3/1998 44.69 50.05 -5.36 5.64 -5.64 1.0    
76 54406 87942 1459 1998 1998_Gov-G_PA PA Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1611.0 Ivan Itkin DEM 16.0 Thomas Ridge REP 64.0   -48.0 11/3/1998 31.03 57.42 -26.38 21.62 -21.62 1.0    
77 54424 87960 1464 1998 1998_Gov-G_TX TX Gov-G Gov-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 3248.0 Garry Mauro DEM 22.0 George W. Bush REP 73.0   -51.0 11/3/1998 31.18 68.24 -37.06 13.94 -13.94 1.0    
78 54203 117111 1719 1998 1998_Sen-G_AZ AZ Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 732.0 Edward Ranger DEM 18.0 John McCain REP 66.0   -48.0 11/3/1998 27.16 68.74 -41.58 6.42 -6.42 1.0    
79 54215 117114 1721 1998 1998_Sen-G_CA CA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 4531.0 Barbara Boxer DEM 46.0 Matt Fong REP 45.0   1.0 11/3/1998 53.06 43.01 10.05 9.05 -9.05 1.0    
80 54225 117116 1722 1998 1998_Sen-G_CO CO Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 614.0 Dottie Lamm DEM 37.0 Ben Nighthorse Campbell REP 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 35.01 62.47 -27.46 9.46 9.46 1.0    
81 54247 117118 1724 1998 1998_Sen-G_FL FL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 2295.0 Bob Graham DEM 60.0 Charlie Crist REP 31.0   29.0 11/3/1998 62.47 37.53 24.94 4.06 4.06 1.0    
82 54259 117121 1725 1998 1998_Sen-G_GA GA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1174.0 Michael J. Coles DEM 37.0 Paul Coverdell REP 53.0   -16.0 11/3/1998 45.15 52.37 -7.22 8.78 -8.78 1.0    
83 54293 117123 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1209.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 38.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 52.0   -14.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 11.1 -11.1 1.0    
84 26063 31303 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G Illinois Wesleyan University 147 10/20/1998 423.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 31.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 53.0   -22.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 19.1 -19.1 1.0    
85 54294 117199 1728 1998 1998_Sen-G_IL IL Sen-G Sen-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/20/1998 400.0 Carol Moseley-Braun DEM 40.0 Peter G. Fitzgerald REP 50.0   -10.0 11/3/1998 47.44 50.35 -2.9 7.1 -7.1 1.0    
86 63646 117141 1729 1998 1998_Sen-G_IN IN Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 831.0 Evan Bayh DEM 63.0 Paul Helmke REP 27.0   36.0 11/3/1998 63.72 34.79 28.93 7.07 7.07 1.0    
87 54324 117125 1734 1998 1998_Sen-G_MD MD Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 911.0 Barbara A. Mikulski DEM 67.0 Ross Z. Pierpont REP 27.0   40.0 11/3/1998 70.5 29.5 41.01 1.01 -1.01 1.0    
88 54375 117127 1738 1998 1998_Sen-G_NY NY Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1792.0 Charles E. Schumer DEM 44.0 Alfonse M. D'Amato REP 46.0   -2.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 12.54 -12.54 0.0    
89 63648 117143 1739 1998 1998_Sen-G_NC NC Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1163.0 John Edwards DEM 47.0 Lauch Faircloth REP 38.0   9.0 11/3/1998 51.15 47.01 4.14 4.86 4.86 1.0    
90 54392 117130 1741 1998 1998_Sen-G_OH OH Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1793.0 Mary Boyle DEM 37.0 George V. Voinovich REP 55.0   -18.0 11/3/1998 43.53 56.46 -12.93 5.07 -5.07 1.0    
91 54406 117132 1744 1998 1998_Sen-G_PA PA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 1611.0 Bill Lloyd DEM 25.0 Arlen Specter REP 57.0   -32.0 11/3/1998 34.79 61.34 -26.55 5.45 -5.45 1.0    
92 26199 31439 1746 1998 1998_Sen-G_SD SD Sen-G Sen-G NRECA Market Research 223 10/20/1998 500.0 Tom Daschle DEM 58.0 Ron Schmidt REP 26.0   32.0 11/3/1998 62.14 36.41 25.73 6.27 6.27 1.0 among registered voters  
93 63650 117145 1749 1998 1998_Sen-G_WA WA Sen-G Sen-G Harris Insights & Analytics 133 10/20/1998 831.0 Patty Murray DEM 54.0 Linda Smith REP 41.0   13.0 11/3/1998 58.41 41.59 16.83 3.83 -3.83 1.0    
94 64121 117966 2078 1998 1998_House-G_MT-1 MT-1 House-G House-G Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 197 10/20/1998 819.0 Dusty Deschamps DEM 37.0 Richard A. Hill REP 52.0   -15.0 11/3/1998 44.36 53.01 -8.65 6.35 -6.35 1.0    
95 64387 118453 2246 1998 1998_House-G_UT-2 UT-2 House-G House-G Valley Research 368 10/20/1998 452.0 Lily Eskelsen DEM 42.0 Merrill Cook REP 41.0   1.0 11/3/1998 43.46 52.76 -9.3 10.3 10.3 0.0    
96 54186 87721 1433 1998 1998_Gov-G_AL AL Gov-G Gov-G University of South Alabama 361 10/21/1998 820.0 Don Siegelman DEM 46.0 Forrest H. 'Fob' James, Jr. REP 32.0   14.0 11/3/1998 57.68 42.1 15.59 1.59 -1.59 1.0    
97 54335 87871 1449 1998 1998_Gov-G_MI MI Gov-G Gov-G Mitchell Research & Communications 213 10/21/1998 600.0 Geoffrey Fieger DEM 30.0 John Engler REP 62.0   -32.0 11/3/1998 37.78 62.2 -24.43 7.57 -7.57 1.0    
98 54413 87949 1460 1998 1998_Gov-G_RI RI Gov-G Gov-G KRC/Communications Research 160 10/21/1998 400.0 Myrth York DEM 45.0 Lincoln Almond REP 40.0   5.0 11/3/1998 42.14 50.98 -8.84 13.84 13.84 0.0    
99 26017 31257 1722 1998 1998_Sen-G_CO CO Sen-G Sen-G Ciruli Associates 51 10/21/1998 400.0 Dottie Lamm DEM 30.0 Ben Nighthorse Campbell REP 61.0   -31.0 11/3/1998 35.01 62.47 -27.46 3.54 -3.54 1.0    
100 63761 117404 1738 1998 1998_Sen-G_NY NY Sen-G Sen-G SurveyUSA 325 10/21/1998 500.0 Charles E. Schumer DEM 48.0 Alfonse M. D'Amato REP 43.0   5.0 11/3/1998 54.62 44.08 10.54 5.54 -5.54 1.0    

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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/raw-polls" (
"poll_id" INTEGER,
  "question_id" INTEGER,
  "race_id" INTEGER,
  "year" INTEGER,
  "race" TEXT,
  "location" TEXT,
  "type_simple" TEXT,
  "type_detail" TEXT,
  "pollster" TEXT,
  "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER,
  "polldate" TEXT,
  "samplesize" REAL,
  "cand1_name" TEXT,
  "cand1_party" TEXT,
  "cand1_pct" REAL,
  "cand2_name" TEXT,
  "cand2_party" TEXT,
  "cand2_pct" REAL,
  "cand3_pct" REAL,
  "margin_poll" REAL,
  "electiondate" TEXT,
  "cand1_actual" REAL,
  "cand2_actual" REAL,
  "margin_actual" REAL,
  "error" REAL,
  "bias" REAL,
  "rightcall" REAL,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "partisan" TEXT
);
Powered by Datasette · Query took 814.043ms · Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette