pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
372 rows sorted by Simple Average Error
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Suggested facets: Live Caller With Cellphones, Internet, NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, 538 Grade, Banned by 538
Link | rowid | ID | Pollster | Polls | Live Caller With Cellphones | Internet | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Polls.1 | Simple Average Error ▼ | Races Called Correctly | Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Banned by 538 | Mean-Reverted Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
209 | 209 | 209 | Canisius College | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 0.0999985 | 1.0 | -5.780735 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
90 | 90 | 90 | RBI Strategies & Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 0.7049999 | 1.0 | -6.571612 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0219355 |
215 | 215 | 215 | Wood Communications Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 0.8400002 | 1.0 | -3.795208 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0270968 |
39 | 39 | 39 | Indiana University | 2 | yes | no | yes | 2 | 0.8549995 | 1.0 | -4.171918 | -0.2609375 | B+ | no | 0.0534375 |
194 | 194 | 194 | Louis Harris & Associates | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 0.8999977 | 1.0 | -4.460755 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.05625 |
89 | 89 | 89 | McKeon & Associates | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 0.9050007 | 1.0 | -6.63812 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0277419 |
212 | 212 | 212 | RMS Research | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 0.9199982 | 1.0 | -5.405038 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0296774 |
38 | 38 | 38 | High Point University | 2 | yes | no | yes | 2 | 0.9499989 | 1.0 | -5.644591 | -0.2609375 | B+ | no | 0.005625 |
48 | 48 | 48 | University of Florida | 1 | yes | no | yes | 1 | 1.07 | 0.5 | -2.230408 | -0.1837669 | B+ | no | 0.0345161 |
211 | 211 | 211 | Market Strategies International | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.100002 | 1.0 | -5.619658 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0354839 |
195 | 195 | 195 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 1.170002 | 1.0 | -4.144325 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | |
159 | 159 | 159 | University of Texas | 4 | no | yes | no | 4 | 1.202499 | 1.0 | -5.019946 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1285294 |
178 | 178 | 178 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 3 | no | yes | no | 3 | 1.236666 | 1.0 | -3.393079 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0390909 |
197 | 197 | 197 | Forward Strategies | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 1.305 | 1.0 | -2.716085 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | 0.0815625 |
220 | 220 | 220 | University of North Carolina | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.600002 | 1.0 | -3.027152 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0516129 |
168 | 168 | 168 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 1.652499 | 1.0 | -1.880882 | 0.4763669 | B- | no | 0.1926471 |
219 | 219 | 219 | Central Surveys, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.670002 | 0.0 | -3.300999 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.053871 |
216 | 216 | 216 | Lauer Lalley Victoria, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.700001 | 1.0 | -3.600807 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0548387 |
54 | 54 | 54 | Market Research Insight | 7 | yes | no | no | 5 | 1.784285 | 1.0 | -4.398869 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | 0.1891429 |
110 | 110 | 110 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 1.800003 | 1.0 | -5.67379 | 0.240052 | B | no | 0.0580645 |
223 | 223 | 223 | Multi Quest International Inc | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 1.870003 | 1.0 | -2.808818 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0603226 |
176 | 176 | 176 | US News & World Report | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 1.916667 | 1.0 | -4.68424 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | -0.0766667 |
208 | 208 | 208 | StPetePolls.org | 2 | no | no | no | 2 | 1.975 | 0.25 | -1.032915 | 0.6529428 | C+ | no | 0.1234375 |
217 | 217 | 217 | BIGresearch | 1 | no | yes | no | 0 | 1.99 | 1.0 | -3.573571 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | |
109 | 109 | 109 | University of Houston | 1 | yes | no | no | 0 | 2.009998 | 1.0 | -6.56673 | 0.240052 | B | no | |
70 | 70 | 70 | Strategies 360 | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 2.035001 | 0.625 | -3.152815 | 0.0320415 | B | no | -0.0664706 |
76 | 76 | 76 | Keating Research, Inc. | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 2.220001 | 0.6666667 | -3.04524 | 0.0966116 | B | no | -0.0236364 |
73 | 73 | 73 | Google Consumer Surveys | 12 | no | yes | no | 12 | 2.224998 | 0.8333333 | -1.944728 | 0.0815063 | B | no | -0.6290476 |
123 | 123 | 123 | Schoen Consulting | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 2.269997 | 1.0 | -0.7317172 | 0.2809644 | B- | no | -0.0732258 |
28 | 28 | 28 | IBD/TIPP | 17 | yes | no | no | 17 | 2.307059 | 0.7647059 | -1.555318 | -0.3726976 | A- | no | -0.7468085 |
91 | 91 | 91 | Frederick Polls | 2 | yes | no | no | 1 | 2.384998 | 0.75 | -4.91725 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.0187097 |
27 | 27 | 27 | University of Arkansas | 4 | yes | no | yes | 4 | 2.4325 | 1.0 | -5.493968 | -0.3982699 | A- | no | 0.2861765 |
214 | 214 | 214 | Cranford & Associates | 1 | no | yes | no | 1 | 2.459999 | 1.0 | -3.865096 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0793548 |
92 | 92 | 92 | APC Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 2.530001 | 1.0 | -3.475548 | 0.1657812 | B | no | 0.158125 |
18 | 18 | 18 | Marquette University | 7 | yes | no | yes | 4 | 2.594286 | 1.0 | -3.762563 | -0.569905 | A | no | -0.0594118 |
10 | 10 | 10 | National Journal | 12 | yes | no | yes | 12 | 2.596667 | 1.0 | -2.609999 | -0.7897959 | A | no | -0.1785714 |
235 | 235 | 235 | Forman Center | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.599998 | 1.0 | -1.235136 | 0.688544 | C+ | no | 0.083871 |
218 | 218 | 218 | Cooper & Secrest | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.639999 | 0.0 | -3.531607 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0851613 |
56 | 56 | 56 | Riley Research Associates | 7 | yes | no | no | 7 | 2.657143 | 1.0 | -2.378693 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | -0.1189189 |
138 | 138 | 138 | Ethridge & Associates, LLC | 6 | no | no | no | 6 | 2.671668 | 0.8333333 | -2.362378 | 0.3466667 | B- | no | -0.1202778 |
210 | 210 | 210 | University of Tennessee | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.73 | 1.0 | -5.637769 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.0880645 |
47 | 47 | 47 | University of South Alabama | 8 | yes | no | no | 8 | 2.75125 | 1.0 | -3.00668 | -0.1882548 | B+ | no | -0.4060526 |
117 | 117 | 117 | Financial Dynamics | 15 | no | no | no | 15 | 2.767334 | 1.0 | -1.082405 | 0.2591983 | B | no | -0.6588889 |
163 | 163 | 163 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 2.785 | 1.0 | -2.196468 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.2 |
244 | 244 | 244 | Wick Communications | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 2.84 | 1.0 | -0.8113414 | 0.7022148 | C+ | no | 0.0916129 |
192 | 192 | 192 | CVOTER International | 3 | no | yes | no | 3 | 2.859997 | 1.0 | -1.264761 | 0.5922945 | C+ | no | -0.26 |
101 | 101 | 101 | Market Research Institute, Inc. | 9 | no | no | no | 9 | 2.932221 | 1.0 | -2.360387 | 0.1953846 | B | no | -0.3264102 |
75 | 75 | 75 | Philadelphia Inquirer | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 2.98 | 1.0 | -1.472829 | 0.0940616 | B | no | -0.3141177 |
213 | 213 | 213 | Dynamic Marketing, Inc. | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.010002 | 1.0 | -4.096936 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | 0.0970968 |
98 | 98 | 98 | New England College | 15 | no | no | no | 15 | 3.016667 | 0.7666667 | -1.28471 | 0.1917635 | B | no | -0.618 |
185 | 185 | 185 | Purple Strategies | 4 | no | yes | no | 4 | 3.02 | 0.875 | -1.233342 | 0.552548 | B- | no | -0.3552941 |
6 | 6 | 6 | ABC News/Washington Post | 51 | yes | no | yes | 46 | 3.021961 | 0.7843137 | -1.041506 | -0.8607013 | A+ | no | 0.5755263 |
160 | 160 | 160 | Orion Strategies | 4 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.065 | 1.0 | -3.625905 | 0.462353 | B- | no | 0.1175758 |
32 | 32 | 32 | MassINC Polling Group | 11 | yes | no | no | 7 | 3.081819 | 1.0 | -2.434031 | -0.3221356 | A- | no | -0.1775676 |
193 | 193 | 193 | M4 Strategies | 2 | no | yes | no | 2 | 3.09 | 1.0 | -6.183712 | 0.5925 | C+ | no | -0.193125 |
157 | 157 | 157 | International Communications Research, Inc. | 5 | no | no | no | 5 | 3.128002 | 0.2 | -1.632694 | 0.4553295 | B- | no | -0.0714286 |
7 | 7 | 7 | Grove Insight | 29 | yes | no | no | 29 | 3.140344 | 0.8965517 | -2.512963 | -0.8169233 | A | no | 0.4808475 |
154 | 154 | 154 | Schroth, Eldon & Associates | 8 | no | no | no | 6 | 3.151251 | 0.875 | -1.118056 | 0.4288304 | B- | no | 0.5586111 |
23 | 23 | 23 | Time/Abt SRBI | 7 | yes | no | yes | 6 | 3.172857 | 1.0 | -1.545493 | -0.4839172 | A- | no | 0.4425 |
115 | 115 | 115 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 3.222499 | 0.625 | -0.1181453 | 0.2534362 | B | no | 0.3761765 |
24 | 24 | 24 | Angus Reid Global | 29 | no | yes | no | 29 | 3.269655 | 0.9310345 | -1.996648 | -0.4183522 | A- | no | -1.337627 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 10 | no | no | no | 10 | 3.298 | 0.8 | -1.749224 | 0.212694 | B | no | -0.3155 |
84 | 84 | 84 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 3.3025 | 1.0 | -1.094253 | 0.1386 | B | no | 0.3414706 |
40 | 40 | 40 | GfK Group | 19 | no | yes | yes | 19 | 3.398947 | 0.9210526 | -1.114287 | -0.2479431 | B+ | no | -0.0914286 |
50 | 50 | 50 | Pew Research Center | 20 | yes | no | yes | 20 | 3.4155 | 0.575 | 0.145644 | -0.1745424 | B+ | no | 0.5542 |
229 | 229 | 229 | Neighborhood Research Corporation | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.43 | 1.0 | -2.079472 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1106452 |
93 | 93 | 93 | Tulchin Research | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 3.450001 | 1.0 | -3.162069 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.215625 |
19 | 19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 7 | yes | no | yes | 5 | 3.46 | 0.7142857 | -2.487332 | -0.569905 | A | no | 0.088 |
179 | 179 | 179 | MSR Group | 3 | no | no | no | 3 | 3.466666 | 1.0 | -2.792488 | 0.5254546 | B- | no | 0.3151515 |
224 | 224 | 224 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.470001 | 1.0 | -2.662441 | 0.663871 | C+ | no | -0.1119355 |
118 | 118 | 118 | George Washington University (Battleground) | 32 | yes | no | no | 32 | 3.4775 | 0.5625 | 0.1884734 | 0.2602735 | B | no | -1.000323 |
113 | 113 | 113 | Hampton University | 1 | yes | no | no | 1 | 3.48 | 1.0 | -1.758506 | 0.2478422 | B | no | 0.1122581 |
9 | 9 | 9 | Muhlenberg College | 22 | yes | no | yes | 21 | 3.493636 | 0.9090909 | -1.327424 | -0.7950342 | A | no | -0.4982353 |
162 | 162 | 162 | Northern Arizona University | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.5825 | 1.0 | -3.265447 | 0.462353 | B- | no | -0.3908823 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Ciruli Associates | 17 | yes | no | yes | 16 | 3.604118 | 0.9411765 | -2.002258 | -0.9534631 | A+ | no | -0.7176087 |
55 | 55 | 55 | Montana State University Billings | 7 | yes | no | no | 7 | 3.607142 | 0.5714286 | -3.66488 | -0.1381958 | B+ | no | 0.5591892 |
22 | 22 | 22 | University of Connecticut | 7 | yes | no | yes | 7 | 3.64 | 0.9285714 | -1.555947 | -0.4858951 | A- | no | -0.3637838 |
64 | 64 | 64 | Temple University | 6 | no | no | yes | 5 | 3.66 | 1.0 | -1.505706 | -0.0026177 | B+ | no | -0.3531428 |
85 | 85 | 85 | The Polling Company Inc. | 3 | yes | no | no | 3 | 3.66 | 1.0 | -1.482646 | 0.1436438 | B | no | -0.0339394 |
246 | 246 | 246 | Ohio State University | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.670002 | 1.0 | -0.7093974 | 0.7055033 | C+ | no | -0.1183871 |
94 | 94 | 94 | GBA Strategies | 2 | yes | no | no | 2 | 3.689999 | 1.0 | -2.702554 | 0.1657812 | B | no | -0.230625 |
13 | 13 | 13 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 38 | yes | no | yes | 29 | 3.729211 | 0.9342105 | -0.9062568 | -0.7280639 | A | no | -1.453051 |
206 | 206 | 206 | Florida Atlantic University | 2 | no | no | no | 0 | 3.740002 | 1.0 | -1.344293 | 0.6334817 | C+ | no | |
252 | 252 | 252 | RABA Research | 1 | no | no | no | 0 | 3.75 | 1.0 | -0.3664897 | 0.7165648 | C+ | no | |
169 | 169 | 169 | Scripps Howard | 4 | no | no | no | 4 | 3.785 | 1.0 | -1.85246 | 0.4797106 | B- | no | -0.0652941 |
63 | 63 | 63 | Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. | 9 | yes | no | no | 9 | 3.806667 | 0.7222222 | -1.039461 | -0.0137811 | B+ | no | 0.7753847 |
42 | 42 | 42 | Lake Research Partners | 9 | yes | no | no | 9 | 3.845555 | 0.8333333 | -2.325385 | -0.2354438 | B+ | no | 0.4976923 |
267 | 267 | 267 | University of South Florida | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.850002 | 1.0 | 0.7547381 | 0.7527335 | C+ | no | -0.1241935 |
2 | 2 | 2 | Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | 25 | yes | no | yes | 17 | 3.8568 | 1.0 | -2.54074 | -1.142149 | A+ | no | -1.095745 |
33 | 33 | 33 | St. Norbert College | 12 | yes | no | no | 11 | 3.868333 | 0.875 | -1.838594 | -0.3159249 | A- | no | 0.2531707 |
261 | 261 | 261 | Cromer Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 3.899998 | 1.0 | 0.4417268 | 0.7426364 | C+ | no | -0.1258065 |
106 | 106 | 106 | Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp. | 34 | no | no | yes | 28 | 3.916764 | 0.7205882 | 0.0941152 | 0.2112878 | B | no | -0.4736207 |
134 | 134 | 134 | CallFire | 4 | yes | no | no | 4 | 3.932501 | 0.75 | 0.5555269 | 0.3326918 | B- | no | -0.4626471 |
69 | 69 | 69 | American Viewpoint | 6 | yes | no | no | 6 | 3.958333 | 0.6666667 | -1.350454 | 0.0232577 | B | no | -0.6297222 |
58 | 58 | 58 | Elon University | 4 | yes | no | yes | 4 | 3.960001 | 0.5 | 0.7268667 | -0.0774621 | B+ | no | 0.3794118 |
105 | 105 | 105 | Strategic Vision, LLC | 129 | no | no | no | 106 | 3.977597 | 0.875969 | -0.2980322 | 0.2061248 | F | yes | -1.875662 |
4 | 4 | 4 | Elway Research | 18 | yes | no | yes | 16 | 3.987778 | 0.8888889 | -2.306804 | -0.98125 | A+ | no | 0.481087 |
67 | 67 | 67 | University of Washington | 10 | yes | no | no | 10 | 3.988999 | 1.0 | -0.871708 | 0.002073 | B | no | 0.22975 |
239 | 239 | 239 | Analytical Group | 1 | no | no | no | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -1.064257 | 0.6940563 | C+ | no | 0.1290323 |
72 | 72 | 72 | Pharos Research Group | 31 | yes | no | no | 31 | 4.044839 | 0.9193549 | -0.2087144 | 0.0578906 | F | yes | 0.8706558 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2016/pollster-ratings" ( "ID" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Polls" INTEGER, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Internet" TEXT, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Polls.1" INTEGER, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL );