pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
396 rows sorted by Methodology
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade, Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus
Link | rowid | Pollster | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology ▼ | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 40 | Emerson College | 85 | yes | no | IVR | no | -0.6 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.1 | 75% | 16% | 5.6 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 58 | D +0.2 | D +0.1 | R +1.8 |
94 | 94 | New England College | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.4 | 0.2 | B | R +0.6 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.9 | -1.4 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.6 | R +3.5 |
100 | 100 | Harper Polling | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 91% | 9% | 3.6 | 5.8 | -2.3 | -1.8 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +1.1 |
112 | 112 | Vox Populi Communications | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.6 | 0.2 | B | R +0.2 | 77% | 9% | 4.1 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 10 | R +0.7 | R +0.2 | R +2.2 |
161 | 161 | Hendrix College | 11 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.7 | 91% | 36% | 6.3 | 5.8 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 11 | D +6.3 | D +1.7 | R +2.8 |
165 | 165 | St. Pete Polls | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.3 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 70% | 0% | 1.4 | 5.0 | -3.6 | -3.3 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 5 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | D +0.3 |
179 | 179 | Dixie Strategies | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.1 | 92% | 33% | 5.2 | 6.1 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 |
185 | 185 | IVR Polls | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.2 | 0.5 | B- | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 7.9 | -3.8 | -2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
190 | 190 | OnPoint | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.9 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 4.8 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 |
199 | 199 | Praecones Analytica | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -4.7 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.2 | 33% | 0% | 1.8 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.8 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 |
204 | 204 | BK Strategies | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 0.5 | C+ | D +0.3 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 4.3 | -0.5 | -1.8 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.3 | R +2.9 |
212 | 212 | Strategic National | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.7 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.0 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.2 | -3.5 | -5.7 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.0 | R +4.8 |
215 | 215 | Master Image | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -4.1 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.7 | -6.6 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
219 | 219 | Forward Strategies | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 4.8 | -3.5 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 |
220 | 220 | Florida Atlantic University | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -0.9 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.3 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 6.7 | -2.7 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 2 | D +4.1 | D +0.3 | D +1.7 |
227 | 227 | OH Predictive Insights/MBQF | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.4 | 0.6 | C+ | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.8 | 7.0 | -2.1 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +5.3 | R +0.2 | R +8.3 |
245 | 245 | Revily | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.9 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 5.6 | -5.1 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +1.7 |
246 | 246 | Singularis Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.9 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 5.0 | -4.2 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 |
251 | 251 | DCCC Targeting Team | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.4 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.1 | |
252 | 252 | Rivercity Polling | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 6.9 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +0.2 | R +11.5 |
254 | 254 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.5 | -1.3 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | R +5.0 |
256 | 256 | Constituent Dynamics | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 |
261 | 261 | War Room Logistics | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.6 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 7.4 | -2.9 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
263 | 263 | Triumph Campaigns | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.1 | R +5.0 |
266 | 266 | Iona College | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.6 | -1.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.4 | D +0.1 | R +1.7 |
276 | 276 | 20/20 Insight | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.0 | 67% | 33% | 8.9 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | D +2.0 |
283 | 283 | MarblePort | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 5.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +0.3 | R +4.4 |
286 | 286 | Liberty Opinion Research | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 7.5 | -1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
289 | 289 | Rossman Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.5 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.0 | -1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 |
302 | 302 | TeleResearch Corporation | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.1 | 0.8 | C+ | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | ||||
306 | 306 | CrossTarget | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 |
311 | 311 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.9 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 |
322 | 322 | Strategy Research | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.9 | 0.9 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.3 | R +4.7 |
324 | 324 | New Frontier Strategy | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.9 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
331 | 331 | Target Insyght | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 15.4 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
332 | 332 | Glascock Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.4 | |
334 | 334 | Zata3 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.8 | 0.9 | C | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.2 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2 | R +4.0 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 |
336 | 336 | GaPundit.com | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.9 | 0.9 | C | D +0.5 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.5 | D +3.0 |
339 | 339 | GCR & Associates | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.9 | 0.9 | C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.4 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
354 | 354 | Datamar | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.4 | R +3.3 |
355 | 355 | University of New Orleans | 10 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | 1.0 | C | R +0.3 | 80% | 30% | 6.8 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9 | R +1.2 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 |
362 | 362 | Zia Poll | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.1 | C | R +0.4 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.4 | R +3.3 |
374 | 374 | Baydoun Consulting | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 1.2 | C- | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.0 | R +6.6 |
379 | 379 | Optimus | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +1.0 | 60% | 100% | 11.8 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | R +10.9 | R +1.0 | R +1.1 |
383 | 383 | CPEC LLC | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 1.4 | C- | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
386 | 386 | Dane & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 13.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +1.3 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 4.9 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.3 | R +10.5 |
394 | 394 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.1 | 2.3 | D- | D +2.8 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +2.8 | D +9.9 |
396 | 396 | TCJ Research | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 2.8 | 2.8 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 49% | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 |
197 | 197 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 10 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.9 | 45% | 20% | 3.6 | 4.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 10 | D +3.6 | D +0.9 | D +0.8 |
217 | 217 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -2.9 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.2 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
257 | 257 | JMC Enterprises | 8 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | R +1.0 | 81% | 25% | 6.1 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8 | R +4.9 | R +1.0 | R +1.3 |
259 | 259 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 31 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.2 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.2 | 74% | 26% | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 26 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 |
293 | 293 | Magellan Strategies | 14 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.4 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.5 | 93% | 43% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 8 | R +2.5 | R +0.5 | R +4.8 |
307 | 307 | IMGE Insights | 1 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 2.6 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 7.9 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +7.9 | R +0.3 | R +2.3 |
349 | 349 | We Ask America | 52 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | 1.0 | C | R +0.9 | 83% | 44% | 7.0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 33 | R +1.8 | R +0.9 | R +2.4 |
350 | 350 | Remington Research Group | 32 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 0.8 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 67% | 31% | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 32 | D +2.1 | D +1.1 | R +1.9 |
361 | 361 | TargetPoint | 3 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 3.8 | 1.0 | C | 83% | 67% | 14.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | ||||
377 | 377 | Merriman River Group | 21 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | 1.6 | 1.3 | C- | R +2.2 | 81% | 48% | 7.7 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 20 | R +5.5 | R +2.2 | R +3.4 |
74 | 74 | Public Policy Polling | 411 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.4 | 0.0 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 28% | 4.9 | 5.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 292 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 |
77 | 77 | Landmark Communications | 38 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -0.9 | 0.1 | B | D +1.4 | 82% | 18% | 4.7 | 5.4 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 32 | D +2.7 | D +1.4 | R +0.5 |
138 | 138 | RRH Elections | 7 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.0 | 79% | 14% | 3.4 | 5.4 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 7 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +4.1 |
225 | 225 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 711 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.2 | 0.6 | C+ | R +1.5 | 78% | 25% | 5.3 | 5.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 571 | R +1.6 | R +1.5 | R +1.2 |
273 | 273 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 116 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.7 | 0.7 | C+ | D +1.1 | 70% | 34% | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 40 | D +1.9 | D +1.1 | D +0.2 |
281 | 281 | Gravis Marketing | 108 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.3 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.6 | 67% | 32% | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 82 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | R +0.9 |
335 | 335 | Maine People's Resource Center | 8 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.1 | 0.9 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 25% | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | R +2.0 |
392 | 392 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 56 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 2.3 | 2.0 | D- | D +0.9 | 59% | 39% | 8.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 34 | D +1.6 | D +0.9 | R +0.0 |
7 | 7 | SurveyUSA | 777 | yes | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.9 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 16% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 615 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 |
317 | 317 | RABA Research | 2 | no | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | 2.0 | 0.8 | C | D +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 5.3 | 5.6 | -0.3 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.0 |
318 | 318 | Trafalgar Group | 27 | no | no | IVR/Online/Live | no | 0.6 | 0.8 | C | R +0.3 | 85% | 56% | 6.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 15 | R +0.8 | R +0.3 | R +3.1 |
1 | 1 | Selzer & Co. | 43 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | R +0.0 | 86% | 21% | 4.2 | 5.6 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 30 | R +0.0 | R +0.0 | D +0.1 |
2 | 2 | Monmouth University | 95 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +1.4 | 80% | 17% | 5.3 | 6.2 | -0.8 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 65 | D +2.1 | D +1.4 | R +0.7 |
3 | 3 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -1.1 | A+ | R +1.2 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.8 | -2.5 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.2 | D +0.6 |
4 | 4 | ABC News/Washington Post | 60 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.6 | 78% | 5% | 2.9 | 4.6 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 55 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 |
5 | 5 | Elway Research | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.9 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.2 |
6 | 6 | Ciruli Associates | 17 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.1 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.7 | 94% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +0.7 | R +2.5 |
8 | 8 | Muhlenberg College | 26 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -0.9 | A | R +0.2 | 83% | 8% | 3.5 | 5.3 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.9 | 25 | R +0.5 | R +0.2 | D +0.0 |
9 | 9 | Marist College | 159 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.9 | A | R +0.5 | 85% | 19% | 5.2 | 6.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 99 | R +0.6 | R +0.5 | D +0.0 |
10 | 10 | Grove Insight | 29 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | -0.8 | A | D +0.5 | 90% | 7% | 3.1 | 5.1 | -2.0 | -2.3 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 29 | D +1.0 | D +0.5 | D +3.4 |
11 | 11 | National Journal | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.8 | A | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.3 | -2.7 | -2.4 | -0.7 | -0.8 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 |
12 | 12 | Public Policy Institute of California | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -0.8 | A | R +0.7 | 100% | 8% | 4.1 | 6.2 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 8 | R +3.4 | R +0.7 | R +1.0 |
13 | 13 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 38 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.8 | A | R +1.5 | 93% | 16% | 3.7 | 5.5 | -1.8 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 29 | R +3.0 | R +1.5 | R +2.3 |
14 | 14 | Siena College | 60 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 82% | 15% | 4.9 | 5.3 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 56 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.7 |
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.7 | A | D +0.0 | 94% | 6% | 4.1 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 17 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +3.1 |
16 | 16 | Fox News/Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 31 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.7 | A | D +0.6 | 69% | 35% | 5.6 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 16 | D +1.8 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 |
17 | 17 | Marquette University Law School | 9 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -0.7 | A | D +0.3 | 78% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.8 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 6 | D +1.5 | D +0.3 | R +0.0 |
18 | 18 | Research & Polling Inc. | 27 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.7 | -0.6 | A | R +0.5 | 85% | 7% | 4.3 | 5.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 26 | R +1.1 | R +0.5 | R +1.2 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.6 | A- | D +0.1 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -3.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.1 |
20 | 20 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 18 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.6 | A- | R +1.0 | 94% | 11% | 4.6 | 5.2 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 16 | R +3.0 | R +1.0 | D +1.2 |
21 | 21 | CBS News/New York Times | 53 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A- | D +0.4 | 76% | 17% | 4.6 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 43 | D +0.7 | D +0.4 | D +1.8 |
22 | 22 | University of Arkansas | 6 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.1 | -0.5 | A- | D +0.6 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 5.3 | -1.6 | -3.1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 6 | D +3.8 | D +0.6 | R +3.9 |
23 | 23 | University of Connecticut | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.7 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.4 | 93% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.5 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 7 | R +1.9 | R +0.4 | R +2.0 |
24 | 24 | Los Angeles Times | 38 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.4 | 86% | 16% | 5.0 | 6.2 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 23 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | D +0.7 |
25 | 25 | IBD/TIPP | 21 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.8 | 71% | 5% | 2.2 | 3.7 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 21 | R +1.9 | R +0.8 | R +1.4 |
26 | 26 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 28 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -0.4 | A- | R +0.2 | 88% | 18% | 5.3 | 6.2 | -0.9 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 20 | R +0.5 | R +0.2 | R +1.5 |
27 | 27 | MassINC Polling Group | 14 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.4 | A- | R +0.4 | 86% | 7% | 3.2 | 6.3 | -3.1 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 10 | R +1.7 | R +0.4 | R +0.9 |
28 | 28 | Elon University | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.5 | 50% | 0% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.5 | D +1.1 |
29 | 29 | Quinnipiac University | 195 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.1 | 85% | 23% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 143 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.5 |
30 | 30 | SSRS | 5 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -0.4 | A- | R +0.1 | 20% | 20% | 3.1 | 4.1 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 5 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | D +1.0 |
32 | 32 | University of North Florida | 6 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.5 | 50% | 0% | 4.0 | 6.1 | -2.1 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 4 | D +4.0 | D +0.5 | D +1.6 |
33 | 33 | Western New England University | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | -0.3 | A- | R +1.1 | 88% | 25% | 5.6 | 5.7 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 11 | R +3.9 | R +1.1 | R +0.3 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT );