pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade, Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus
Link | rowid | Pollster ▼ | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
276 | 276 | 20/20 Insight | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.0 | 67% | 33% | 8.9 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | D +2.0 |
312 | 312 | A&A Research | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 10.1 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1 | R +10.1 | R +0.3 | |
4 | 4 | ABC News/Washington Post | 60 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.6 | 78% | 5% | 2.9 | 4.6 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 55 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 |
98 | 98 | APC Research | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.2 | B | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.6 |
277 | 277 | ASA Marketing Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.7 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.1 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.2 | |
360 | 360 | Abacus Associates | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 5.1 | 1.0 | C | R +0.0 | 50% | 100% | 12.1 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | D +6.5 |
38 | 38 | Abt Associates | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.7 | 88% | 13% | 4.1 | 5.2 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 7 | D +3.8 | D +0.7 | D +0.7 |
182 | 182 | Alabama State University | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.4 | 0.5 | B- | 50% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.4 | -2.0 | -3.4 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0 | ||||
224 | 224 | American Research Group | 263 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.6 | C+ | R +0.2 | 75% | 34% | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 79 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.9 |
67 | 67 | American Viewpoint | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.8 | 0.0 | B+ | R +0.6 | 67% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.6 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 6 | R +3.8 | R +0.6 | R +3.2 |
267 | 267 | Analytical Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.2 | -1.2 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 |
351 | 351 | Anderson Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 7.6 | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.4 | R +5.0 |
31 | 31 | Angus Reid Global | 30 | no | no | Online | no | -1.9 | -0.4 | A- | R +1.3 | 93% | 3% | 3.2 | 4.9 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 30 | R +2.6 | R +1.3 | D +0.9 |
342 | 342 | Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | 11 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.7 | 0.9 | C | D +1.4 | 55% | 36% | 7.6 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 11 | D +5.1 | D +1.4 | D +7.7 |
228 | 228 | Arizona State University | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.9 | 100% | 50% | 8.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6 | D +5.5 | D +0.9 | D +6.5 |
337 | 337 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.9 | C | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1 | R +13.7 | R +0.4 | |
242 | 242 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.9 | -2.4 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | |
130 | 130 | Associated Industries of Florida | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 5.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.2 | D +1.0 |
241 | 241 | BIGresearch | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.5 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.3 | -2.3 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.1 | D +7.5 |
204 | 204 | BK Strategies | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 0.5 | C+ | D +0.3 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 4.3 | -0.5 | -1.8 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.3 | R +2.9 |
347 | 347 | Bannon Communications | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.7 | 1.0 | C | D +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 10.4 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2 | D +10.4 | D +0.6 | D +8.3 |
133 | 133 | Baruch College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
203 | 203 | Baselice & Associates Inc. | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.0 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2 | R +3.0 | R +0.2 | R +8.8 |
144 | 144 | Basswood Research | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 10.7 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.4 | |
374 | 374 | Baydoun Consulting | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.4 | 1.2 | C- | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | R +8.7 | R +1.0 | R +6.6 |
294 | 294 | Becker Institute | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.7 | 67% | 67% | 7.6 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3 | D +7.6 | D +0.7 | D +0.8 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.6 | A- | D +0.1 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -3.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.1 |
137 | 137 | Belden Russonello | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.2 | D +5.7 |
136 | 136 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 |
155 | 155 | Benenson Strategy Group | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.7 | 50% | 11% | 6.2 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 9 | D +2.8 | D +0.7 | D +7.6 |
338 | 338 | Big Ten | 10 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.0 | 0.9 | C | D +1.1 | 100% | 20% | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 10 | D +4.5 | D +1.1 | D +5.5 |
20 | 20 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 18 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.6 | A- | R +1.0 | 94% | 11% | 4.6 | 5.2 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 16 | R +3.0 | R +1.0 | D +1.2 |
123 | 123 | Braun Research | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.2 | B | D +1.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.6 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 6 | D +6.6 | D +1.1 | D +2.8 |
389 | 389 | Brigham Young University | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 8.9 | 1.8 | D | D +1.9 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +1.9 | D +16.5 |
375 | 375 | Brown University | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.6 | 1.2 | C- | R +0.4 | 83% | 58% | 11.4 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.4 | R +0.7 |
21 | 21 | CBS News/New York Times | 53 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A- | D +0.4 | 76% | 17% | 4.6 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 43 | D +0.7 | D +0.4 | D +1.8 |
44 | 44 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 23% | 5.4 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 |
383 | 383 | CPEC LLC | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 1.4 | C- | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0 | ||||
253 | 253 | CSP Polling | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.3 | 0.7 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.2 | -2.6 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 |
192 | 192 | CVOTER International | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.5 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 |
325 | 325 | California State University, Bakersfield | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 4.0 | 0.9 | C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +0.3 | R +14.0 |
143 | 143 | CallFire | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.5 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.4 |
233 | 233 | Canisius College | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.7 | C+ | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.5 | -8.3 | -5.8 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0 | ||||
156 | 156 | Capital Survey Research Center | 11 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.0 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 36% | 36% | 7.8 | 7.1 | 0.7 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.1 |
39 | 39 | Castleton University | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | -0.3 | B+ | 100% | 0% | 9.9 | 9.7 | 0.3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0 | ||||
243 | 243 | Central Surveys Inc. | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 4.9 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 |
135 | 135 | Centre College | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.9 | -1.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 |
284 | 284 | Change Research | 7 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.8 | 57% | 43% | 4.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 7 | R +4.2 | R +0.8 | D +0.0 |
176 | 176 | Cherry Communications | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.9 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.4 | 50% | 33% | 8.8 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2 | R +5.9 | R +0.4 | R +6.3 |
69 | 69 | Christopher Newport University | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | 0.0 | B+ | D +0.5 | 100% | 14% | 3.9 | 4.7 | -0.8 | -1.5 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | D +2.6 | D +0.5 | D +1.2 |
6 | 6 | Ciruli Associates | 17 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.1 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.7 | 94% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +0.7 | R +2.5 |
197 | 197 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 10 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.9 | 45% | 20% | 3.6 | 4.3 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 10 | D +3.6 | D +0.9 | D +0.8 |
141 | 141 | Clarus Research Group | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.3 | B- | D +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 6.8 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3 | D +6.8 | D +0.6 | D +2.2 |
73 | 73 | Clemson University | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.8 | 0.0 | B | R +0.5 | 100% | 40% | 10.3 | 7.7 | 2.6 | -1.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +0.5 | R +9.7 |
365 | 365 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.1 | 1.1 | C | R +1.7 | 50% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 11 | R +6.3 | R +1.7 | R +4.5 |
82 | 82 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 75% | 25% | 6.3 | 6.2 | 0.2 | -1.5 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 3 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | R +2.3 |
278 | 278 | Columbus Dispatch | 20 | no | no | no | 0.3 | 0.7 | C+ | D +1.3 | 93% | 45% | 4.9 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 17 | D +3.6 | D +1.3 | D +3.4 | |
256 | 256 | Constituent Dynamics | 7 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.0 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.0 | 86% | 57% | 7.4 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | R +1.3 | R +0.0 | D +2.3 |
364 | 364 | Consumer Logic | 4 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.3 | 1.1 | C | D +0.6 | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4 | D +5.4 | D +0.6 | D +2.3 |
237 | 237 | Cooper & Secrest | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -4.0 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.6 | -4.0 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | |
327 | 327 | Craciun Research Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 17.3 | 0.9 | C | D +0.6 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 5.2 | 13.6 | 17.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +0.6 | D +11.3 |
239 | 239 | Cranford & Associates | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.9 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -3.0 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 |
166 | 166 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 5 | no | no | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.1 | 100% | 20% | 4.7 | 7.7 | -3.0 | -3.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | |
352 | 352 | Critical Insights | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.2 | 1.0 | C | D +0.3 | 88% | 35% | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 15 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.8 |
285 | 285 | Cromer Group | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +0.1 | R +3.8 |
306 | 306 | CrossTarget | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 |
124 | 124 | Cygnal | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | 0.2 | B | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 5.2 | 4.6 | 0.6 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2 | D +5.2 | D +0.3 | R +3.4 |
251 | 251 | DCCC Targeting Team | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.4 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 6.2 | -1.7 | -2.4 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +0.1 | |
163 | 163 | DFM Research | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.5 | 69% | 50% | 6.9 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 8 | D +6.9 | D +1.5 | D +2.9 |
223 | 223 | Dan Jones & Associates | 35 | no | no | Online/Live/Mail | no | 0.1 | 0.6 | C+ | D +1.1 | 97% | 20% | 7.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 31 | D +2.1 | D +1.1 | R +2.6 |
386 | 386 | Dane & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 13.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +1.3 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 4.9 | 16.3 | 13.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.3 | R +10.5 |
131 | 131 | Dartmouth College | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B- | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | ||||
58 | 58 | Data Orbital | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.6 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 4.6 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 7 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 |
369 | 369 | Data West Polling | 2 | no | no | Live* | no | 6.4 | 1.1 | C- | D +0.8 | 50% | 100% | 13.1 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | D +13.1 | D +0.8 | D +7.5 |
354 | 354 | Datamar | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.0 | C | R +0.4 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5 | R +2.9 | R +0.4 | R +3.3 |
62 | 62 | Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. | 14 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.1 | B+ | R +0.1 | 86% | 7% | 4.1 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 12 | R +0.3 | R +0.1 | D +0.3 |
321 | 321 | Decision Forecasting | 3 | no | no | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.8 | C | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3 | R +1.4 | R +0.1 | D +0.5 |
254 | 254 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.5 | -1.3 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | R +5.0 |
127 | 127 | Dittman Research | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.3 | B | D +1.0 | 100% | 22% | 5.9 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +1.0 | D +0.7 |
250 | 250 | Diversified Research Inc | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.7 | C+ | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 6.8 | -1.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.2 | |
179 | 179 | Dixie Strategies | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 0.5 | B- | R +0.1 | 92% | 33% | 5.2 | 6.1 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.1 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 |
217 | 217 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 2 | no | no | IVR/Live | no | -2.9 | 0.6 | C+ | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.2 | -3.1 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | ||||
236 | 236 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -4.4 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.2 | -4.4 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.1 | R +7.5 |
41 | 41 | EPIC-MRA | 45 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.3 | B+ | R +0.2 | 80% | 18% | 5.1 | 5.7 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 40 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | D +0.8 |
376 | 376 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 7 | no | no | Live* | no | 3.1 | 1.3 | C- | D +0.3 | 86% | 29% | 8.1 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 7 | D +1.7 | D +0.3 | D +2.5 |
28 | 28 | Elon University | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.5 | 50% | 0% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.5 | D +1.1 |
5 | 5 | Elway Research | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.1 | A+ | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.9 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.2 |
40 | 40 | Emerson College | 85 | yes | no | IVR | no | -0.6 | -0.3 | B+ | D +0.1 | 75% | 16% | 5.6 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 58 | D +0.2 | D +0.1 | R +1.8 |
150 | 150 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 6 | no | no | Live* | no | -2.4 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.4 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +0.1 | R +3.4 |
116 | 116 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.2 | B | D +0.4 | 50% | 50% | 5.9 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | D +5.8 | D +0.4 | R +1.3 |
160 | 160 | Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.4 | B- | D +1.0 | 79% | 29% | 5.9 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 7 | D +5.5 | D +1.0 | D +6.9 |
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.7 | A | D +0.0 | 94% | 6% | 4.1 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 17 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +3.1 |
170 | 170 | Feldman Group | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.6 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 10.8 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +10.8 | D +0.3 | |
3 | 3 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -1.1 | A+ | R +1.2 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.8 | -2.5 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.2 | D +0.6 |
142 | 142 | Financial Dynamics | 15 | no | no | Live* | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B- | R +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 4.8 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 15 | R +2.0 | R +0.7 | R +2.1 |
45 | 45 | Fleming & Associates | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 5.1 | 5.9 | -0.8 | -1.3 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 13 | R +1.0 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 |
220 | 220 | Florida Atlantic University | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -0.9 | 0.6 | C+ | D +0.3 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 6.7 | -2.7 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 2 | D +4.1 | D +0.3 | D +1.7 |
119 | 119 | Florida International University/Univision | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.1 | 0.2 | B | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.4 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.1 | R +13.0 |
173 | 173 | Florida Poll | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.6 | 67% | 0% | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 6 | D +3.3 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 |
264 | 264 | Forman Center | 1 | no | no | Live* | no | -1.4 | 0.7 | C+ | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | D +4.3 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2018/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Exclusively Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT );