{"rowid": 156, "Pollster": "Canisius College", "Pollster Rating ID": 43, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.1, "Simple Expected Error": 8.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -8.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 32, "Pollster": "Winthrop University", "Pollster Rating ID": 386, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.5, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.2, "Simple Expected Error": 4.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +0.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.8, "Herding Penalty": 0.61}
{"rowid": 117, "Pollster": "Victory Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 437, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.3, "Simple Expected Error": 4.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +0.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 61, "Pollster": "Public Religion Research Institute", "Pollster Rating ID": 428, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "Online/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.4, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +0.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +1.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.23}
{"rowid": 368, "Pollster": "Revily", "Pollster Rating ID": 284, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.5, "Simple Expected Error": 4.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.58}
{"rowid": 291, "Pollster": "1892 Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 461, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.7, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.6, "Simple Expected Error": 4.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.7, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "R +4.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 7.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 114, "Pollster": "RBI Strategies & Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 271, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "D +3.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.17}
{"rowid": 128, "Pollster": "Mercyhurst University", "Pollster Rating ID": 422, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 341, "Pollster": "Strategic National", "Pollster Rating ID": 318, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "25%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +0.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +4.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 347, "Pollster": "Ogden & Fry", "Pollster Rating ID": 425, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.7, "Simple Expected Error": 4.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +0.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "R +6.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 159, "Pollster": "Wood Communications Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 388, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.8, "Simple Expected Error": 6.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +0.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +3.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 3.28}
{"rowid": 380, "Pollster": "Singularis Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 306, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.3, "538 Grade": "C/D\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.8, "Simple Expected Error": 4.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "D +2.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 2.38}
{"rowid": 34, "Pollster": "Indiana University", "Pollster Rating ID": 149, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.5, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -5.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +4.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 149, "Pollster": "Louis Harris & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 173, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.9, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +5.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 160, "Pollster": "RMS Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 273, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 0.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -5.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 21, "Pollster": "Michigan State University", "Pollster Rating ID": 463, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -7.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.6, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.0, "Simple Expected Error": 9.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -8.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -7.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +0.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 27, "Pollster": "High Point University", "Pollster Rating ID": 139, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.6, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +0.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +1.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.81}
{"rowid": 39, "Pollster": "University of Florida", "Pollster Rating ID": 349, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.4, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "50%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.1, "Simple Expected Error": 4.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +1.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +0.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 1.4, "Herding Penalty": 1.2}
{"rowid": 161, "Pollster": "Market Strategies International", "Pollster Rating ID": 189, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.1, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -5.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +1.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "R +4.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.6, "Herding Penalty": 1.27}
{"rowid": 333, "Pollster": "University of Texas", "Pollster Rating ID": 363, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.0, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "D +1.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +2.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 342, "Pollster": "Master Image", "Pollster Rating ID": 200, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.2, "Simple Expected Error": 7.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -5.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 369, "Pollster": "AFL-CIO", "Pollster Rating ID": 526, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.2, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +1.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 357, "Pollster": "Forward Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 102, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.3, "Simple Expected Error": 5.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +1.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +3.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.4, "Herding Penalty": 1.1}
{"rowid": 185, "Pollster": "University of North Carolina", "Pollster Rating ID": 359, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +1.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +1.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 1.0, "Herding Penalty": 2.97}
{"rowid": 158, "Pollster": "Central Surveys Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 46, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "0%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +1.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "D +2.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 171, "Pollster": "Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 168, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.7, "Simple Expected Error": 6.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +1.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "D +4.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 349, "Pollster": "OnPoint", "Pollster Rating ID": 240, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "D +1.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +2.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.79}
{"rowid": 145, "Pollster": "Florida International University/Univision", "Pollster Rating ID": 98, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.8, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +1.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +13.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 323, "Pollster": "Praecones Analytica", "Pollster Rating ID": 257, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.9, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "33%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.8, "Simple Expected Error": 6.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.7, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.9, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "R +1.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "R +5.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.77}
{"rowid": 118, "Pollster": "Mason Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 464, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.9, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +1.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +4.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 126, "Pollster": "U.S. News & World Report", "Pollster Rating ID": 342, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 1.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "R +0.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "D +1.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.82}
{"rowid": 77, "Pollster": "Strategies 360", "Pollster Rating ID": 321, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "63%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "R +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "D +1.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.2, "Herding Penalty": 0.48}
{"rowid": 124, "Pollster": "University of Houston", "Pollster Rating ID": 351, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.0, "Simple Expected Error": 8.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -6.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 169, "Pollster": "Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 460, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "0%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.0, "Simple Expected Error": 6.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +2.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +2.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.0, "Herding Penalty": 2.58}
{"rowid": 376, "Pollster": "BIGresearch", "Pollster Rating ID": 19, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.0, "Simple Expected Error": 4.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 6, "Pollster": "IBD/TIPP", "Pollster Rating ID": 144, "# of Polls": 22, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -1.1, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "73%", "Misses Outside MOE": "5%", "Simple Average Error": 2.1, "Simple Expected Error": 4.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.9, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 22, "Bias": "R +1.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.8", "House Effect": "R +1.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.23}
{"rowid": 129, "Pollster": "Odney", "Pollster Rating ID": 524, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.1, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +8.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 8.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 313, "Pollster": "CVOTER International", "Pollster Rating ID": 40, "# of Polls": 5, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.9, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.1, "Simple Expected Error": 3.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.9, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": "R +1.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.3", "House Effect": "R +0.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.08}
{"rowid": 11, "Pollster": "Data Orbital", "Pollster Rating ID": 73, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.9, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "D +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.3", "House Effect": "R +1.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.73}
{"rowid": 188, "Pollster": "Schoen Consulting", "Pollster Rating ID": 301, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.3, "Simple Expected Error": 4.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +2.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +1.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 1.8, "Herding Penalty": 0.99}
{"rowid": 81, "Pollster": "Keating Research Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 161, "# of Polls": 5, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "80%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.4, "Simple Expected Error": 5.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": "D +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +3.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.76}
{"rowid": 113, "Pollster": "Frederick Polls", "Pollster Rating ID": 108, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "75%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.4, "Simple Expected Error": 6.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": "D +4.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 10.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 103, "Pollster": "APC Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 4, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.5, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +2.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +0.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 148, "Pollster": "Insights West", "Pollster Rating ID": 151, "# of Polls": 9, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "94%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.5, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "R +0.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.4, "Herding Penalty": 1.14}
{"rowid": 371, "Pollster": "Cranford & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 62, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.5, "Simple Expected Error": 5.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +9.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 12, "Pollster": "National Journal", "Pollster Rating ID": 224, "# of Polls": 12, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.9, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.9, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": "R +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "D +0.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.9}
{"rowid": 119, "Pollster": "Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns", "Pollster Rating ID": 455, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +2.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "D +3.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 162, "Pollster": "Cooper & Secrest", "Pollster Rating ID": 60, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "0%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +2.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.0", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 317, "Pollster": "Lucid", "Pollster Rating ID": 175, "# of Polls": 15, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.9, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.9", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "13%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 3.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.9, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "D +2.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.9", "House Effect": "D +1.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 360, "Pollster": "CSP Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 39, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +2.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.8}
{"rowid": 104, "Pollster": "Ethridge & Associates LLC", "Pollster Rating ID": 89, "# of Polls": 6, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "83%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": "R +0.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +3.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.5, "Herding Penalty": 1.1}
{"rowid": 157, "Pollster": "University of Tennessee", "Pollster Rating ID": 362, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +2.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +5.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 193, "Pollster": "Meeting Street Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 204, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.5, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.39}
{"rowid": 229, "Pollster": "Riley Research Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 290, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "Online/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.5, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "R +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +1.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 391, "Pollster": "RAND (American Life Panel)", "Pollster Rating ID": 270, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 1.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.4, "538 Grade": "C/D\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 2.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 1.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "D +1.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +3.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 3, "Pollster": "ABC News/Washington Post", "Pollster Rating ID": 3, "# of Polls": 63, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -1.3, "538 Grade": "A+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "79%", "Misses Outside MOE": "5%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 4.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -1.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 58, "Bias": "D +0.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.6", "House Effect": "D +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.8, "Herding Penalty": 0.02}
{"rowid": 8, "Pollster": "Marquette University Law School", "Pollster Rating ID": 195, "# of Polls": 11, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -1.0, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "77%", "Misses Outside MOE": "9%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.8, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "D +1.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.3", "House Effect": "R +0.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 70, "Pollster": "University of South Alabama", "Pollster Rating ID": 361, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "R +1.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.3", "House Effect": "R +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.03}
{"rowid": 80, "Pollster": "Financial Dynamics", "Pollster Rating ID": 95, "# of Polls": 15, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 4.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "R +2.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.6", "House Effect": "R +2.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.59}
{"rowid": 95, "Pollster": "Marshall Marketing & Communications", "Pollster Rating ID": 196, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 6.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "R +2.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "R +0.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 183, "Pollster": "Wick Communications", "Pollster Rating ID": 381, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +2.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +4.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.19}
{"rowid": 358, "Pollster": "Data for Progress", "Pollster Rating ID": 522, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Text", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.8, "Simple Expected Error": 3.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 73, "Pollster": "Market Research Institute Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 186, "# of Polls": 9, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "11%", "Simple Average Error": 2.9, "Simple Expected Error": 5.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 9, "Bias": "R +1.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "R +0.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.51}
{"rowid": 86, "Pollster": "McKeon & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 202, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "67%", "Misses Outside MOE": "33%", "Simple Average Error": 2.9, "Simple Expected Error": 5.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +3.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +0.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 12.8, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 165, "Pollster": "Bendixen & Amandi International", "Pollster Rating ID": 29, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +1.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +3.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 166, "Pollster": "Dynamic Marketing Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 83, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 6.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +3.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +7.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 178, "Pollster": "Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer)", "Pollster Rating ID": 119, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "R +2.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.3", "House Effect": "D +0.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.3, "Herding Penalty": 1.93}
{"rowid": 198, "Pollster": "New England College", "Pollster Rating ID": 228, "# of Polls": 15, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.5, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.7", "Races Called Correctly": "77%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "R +1.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.7", "House Effect": "R +3.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 296, "Pollster": "Multi-Quest International", "Pollster Rating ID": 220, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.8, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "50%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.8, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +1.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "D +0.7", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.2, "Herding Penalty": 1.35}
{"rowid": 330, "Pollster": "Schroth, Eldon & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 302, "# of Polls": 12, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Landline", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.0, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "83%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": "D +2.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.6", "House Effect": "D +0.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.49}
{"rowid": 331, "Pollster": "Morning Consult", "Pollster Rating ID": 218, "# of Polls": 12, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.0, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "75%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 3.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": "D +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "R +0.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 366, "Pollster": "Purple Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 265, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "88%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 4.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "R +3.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.4", "House Effect": "R +0.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.32}
{"rowid": 382, "Pollster": "People's Pundit Daily", "Pollster Rating ID": 251, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 1.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.3, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "33%", "Misses Outside MOE": "33%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 2.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 1.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "R +3.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.4", "House Effect": "R +4.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 7.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 14, "Pollster": "Grove Insight", "Pollster Rating ID": 129, "# of Polls": 29, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.8, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.5", "Races Called Correctly": "90%", "Misses Outside MOE": "7%", "Simple Average Error": 3.1, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.8, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 29, "Bias": "D +1.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.5", "House Effect": "D +3.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.71}
{"rowid": 91, "Pollster": "Orion Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 246, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.1, "Simple Expected Error": 6.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "D +1.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "D +6.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.35}
{"rowid": 351, "Pollster": "M4 Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 177, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "50%", "Simple Average Error": 3.1, "Simple Expected Error": 3.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +3.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "D +4.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 33, "Pollster": "Elon University", "Pollster Rating ID": 86, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.5, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "50%", "Misses Outside MOE": "14%", "Simple Average Error": 3.2, "Simple Expected Error": 4.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "D +2.7", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.6", "House Effect": "D +1.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.47}
{"rowid": 59, "Pollster": "Angus Reid Global", "Pollster Rating ID": 13, "# of Polls": 30, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +1.3", "Races Called Correctly": "93%", "Misses Outside MOE": "7%", "Simple Average Error": 3.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 30, "Bias": "R +2.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +1.3", "House Effect": "D +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.82}
{"rowid": 60, "Pollster": "Cygnal", "Pollster Rating ID": 67, "# of Polls": 12, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Online/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +1.1", "Races Called Correctly": "92%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": "D +2.8", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +1.1", "House Effect": "R +1.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.67}
{"rowid": 89, "Pollster": "Louisville Courier-Journal", "Pollster Rating ID": 174, "# of Polls": 10, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "80%", "Misses Outside MOE": "10%", "Simple Average Error": 3.3, "Simple Expected Error": 5.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": "R +1.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "R +1.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.32}
{"rowid": 125, "Pollster": "Starboard Communications", "Pollster Rating ID": 316, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.3, "Simple Expected Error": 4.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +3.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +7.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 9.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 134, "Pollster": "Richmond Times-Dispatch", "Pollster Rating ID": 288, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.3, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "D +2.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +2.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.17}
{"rowid": 7, "Pollster": "Muhlenberg College", "Pollster Rating ID": 219, "# of Polls": 29, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -1.0, "538 Grade": "A+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "84%", "Misses Outside MOE": "7%", "Simple Average Error": 3.4, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 28, "Bias": "R +0.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.2", "House Effect": "D +0.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.84}
{"rowid": 143, "Pollster": "Neighborhood Research and Media", "Pollster Rating ID": 227, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.4, "Simple Expected Error": 6.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +3.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +7.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 8.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 177, "Pollster": "Associated Industries of Florida", "Pollster Rating ID": 18, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "50%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.4, "Simple Expected Error": 4.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +3.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.3", "House Effect": "D +1.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 232, "Pollster": "University of Denver", "Pollster Rating ID": 348, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.5, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.4, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +1.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "R +0.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.4, "Herding Penalty": 1.63}
{"rowid": 19, "Pollster": "Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain)", "Pollster Rating ID": 27, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.7, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "71%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": "D +0.6", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.0", "House Effect": "R +2.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 9.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 23, "Pollster": "MassINC Polling Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 198, "# of Polls": 16, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.6, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "88%", "Misses Outside MOE": "13%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.9, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 12, "Bias": "R +2.4", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.8", "House Effect": "R +1.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.06}
{"rowid": 50, "Pollster": "Georgetown University (Battleground)", "Pollster Rating ID": 114, "# of Polls": 31, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "55%", "Misses Outside MOE": "19%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 4.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": "R +1.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.8", "House Effect": "R +2.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.27}
{"rowid": 51, "Pollster": "Christopher Newport University", "Pollster Rating ID": 50, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "13%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "D +2.2", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.6", "House Effect": "D +1.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 96, "Pollster": "Pew Research Center", "Pollster Rating ID": 253, "# of Polls": 21, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "Online/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.7, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "60%", "Misses Outside MOE": "29%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 3.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 21, "Bias": "D +1.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.6", "House Effect": "D +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 115, "Pollster": "MSR Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 178, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.8, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "D +3.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "D +1.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 154, "Pollster": "Aspen Media & Market Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 17, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "R +3.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.1", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 167, "Pollster": "Vox Populi Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 529, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 8.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -4.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 389, "Pollster": "co/efficient", "Pollster Rating ID": 514, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR/Text", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.4, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 1.4, "538 Grade": "C/D\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "0%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.5, "Simple Expected Error": 4.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": 0.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 1.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 1, "Bias": "D +3.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.2", "House Effect": "R +0.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.0, "Herding Penalty": 1.04}
{"rowid": 16, "Pollster": "Ciruli Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 51, "# of Polls": 17, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.7, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "94%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 16, "Bias": "R +2.1", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.4", "House Effect": "R +2.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.72}
{"rowid": 22, "Pollster": "University of Connecticut", "Pollster Rating ID": 347, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "yes", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": -0.6, "538 Grade": "A/B\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "93%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "R +1.9", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.3", "House Effect": "R +2.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 8.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 67, "Pollster": "Harper Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 132, "# of Polls": 11, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "91%", "Misses Outside MOE": "18%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "D +0.5", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.1", "House Effect": "R +0.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 78, "Pollster": "Montana State University Billings", "Pollster Rating ID": 216, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "57%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "D +3.0", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "D +0.4", "House Effect": "D +2.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0}
{"rowid": 98, "Pollster": "Northern Arizona University", "Pollster Rating ID": 234, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Predictive    Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C\u00b0", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 4, "Bias": "R +3.3", "Mean-Reverted Bias.1": "R +0.3", "House Effect": "R +5.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.18}