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rowid Pollster Pollster Rating ID # of Polls NCPP / AAPOR / Roper Live Caller With Cellphones Methodology Banned by 538 Historical Advanced Plus-Minus Predictive Plus-Minus 538 Grade Mean-Reverted Bias Races Called Correctly Misses Outside MOE Simple Average Error Simple Expected Error Simple Plus-Minus Advanced Plus-Minus Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus Predictive Plus-Minus # of Polls for Bias Analysis Bias Mean-Reverted Bias.1 House Effect Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) Herding Penalty
100 University of New Hampshire 357 114 yes yes Live no 0.4 0.3 B D +2.9 85% 26% 5.9 6.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 98 D +3.7 D +2.9 D +3.5 5.7 0.06
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