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rowid Pollster Pollster Rating ID # of Polls NCPP / AAPOR / Roper Live Caller With Cellphones Methodology Banned by 538 Historical Advanced Plus-Minus Predictive Plus-Minus 538 Grade Mean-Reverted Bias Races Called Correctly Misses Outside MOE Simple Average Error Simple Expected Error Simple Plus-Minus Advanced Plus-Minus Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus Predictive Plus-Minus # of Polls for Bias Analysis Bias Mean-Reverted Bias.1 House Effect Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) Herding Penalty
66 National Research Inc. 225 9 no yes Live no -1.4 0.0 A/B° R +0.7 72% 11% 5.5 6.7 -1.0 -1.4 -0.4 0.0 7 R +3.6 R +0.7 R +5.5 5.5 0.04
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