pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by Herding Penalty
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty ▼ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 44 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | D +0.1 | 84% | 25% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 31 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.2 | A/B° | R +1.0 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.0 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
8 | 8 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 11 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -1.0 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 77% | 9% | 2.8 | 5.6 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 8 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | R +0.2 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
13 | 13 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.8 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.7 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | R +2.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
20 | 20 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 17 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.3 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 88% | 24% | 4.5 | 6.7 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 9 | R +0.8 | R +0.2 | R +0.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
21 | 21 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -7.6 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
22 | 22 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.3 | 93% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.4 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 7 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
31 | 31 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 40 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A- | D +1.5 | 71% | 38% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 25 | D +2.7 | D +1.5 | D +1.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
36 | 36 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +1.1 | 100% | 15% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 9 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
38 | 38 | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 390 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 0.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +0.0 | 42% | 50% | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 3 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | R +1.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
40 | 40 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 33 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.2 | 70% | 30% | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 31 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
42 | 42 | Suffolk University | 323 | 79 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | -0.4 | A- | D +0.5 | 80% | 24% | 4.9 | 6.5 | -1.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 49 | D +0.8 | D +0.5 | D +1.8 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
44 | 44 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 6.9 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.2 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | |
51 | 51 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 100% | 13% | 3.5 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
54 | 54 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 204 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.2 | 83% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 152 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
57 | 57 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 95% | 21% | 4.8 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -2.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 17 | R +3.4 | R +0.8 | D +1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
63 | 63 | SSRS | 297 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.2 | 50% | 19% | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 16 | D +2.8 | D +1.2 | D +2.8 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
64 | 64 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.0 | A/B° | R +0.9 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 8 | R +3.6 | R +0.9 | R +3.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
65 | 65 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.0 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 6 | D +3.8 | D +0.7 | R +4.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
67 | 67 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
68 | 68 | RT Strategies | 275 | 42 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 71% | 40% | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 42 | D +1.9 | D +0.9 | D +3.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
71 | 71 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 6 | R +4.2 | R +0.7 | D +1.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
72 | 72 | Clemson University | 54 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 40% | 10.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +0.3 | R +9.7 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
76 | 76 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -0.7 | 0.1 | B | D +1.6 | 82% | 24% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 32 | D +2.7 | D +1.6 | R +0.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
78 | 78 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +0.4 | D +2.6 | 0.0 | |
82 | 82 | Rutgers University | 295 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.7 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 14% | 5.7 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 14 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +0.9 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
84 | 84 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 27 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.9 | 85% | 26% | 6.2 | 6.6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 23 | R +2.3 | R +0.9 | R +6.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
85 | 85 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.6 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
86 | 86 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
87 | 87 | KRC/Communications Research | 160 | 22 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 41% | 6.9 | 7.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 22% | 4.0 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 7 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
92 | 92 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 418 | no | no | IVR/Online/Text | no | -0.3 | 0.2 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 298 | D +0.3 | D +0.3 | D +0.9 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
93 | 93 | Y2 Analytics | 389 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 9.6 | 5.8 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | D +3.3 | D +0.4 | R +6.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 |
94 | 94 | Gallup | 112 | 80 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B | R +0.8 | 71% | 31% | 4.2 | 4.8 | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 66 | R +1.3 | R +0.8 | R +1.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
95 | 95 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.2 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.6 | -3.6 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | R +2.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | |
96 | 96 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
99 | 99 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 91% | 24% | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 15 | D +2.8 | D +0.9 | D +1.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 |
102 | 102 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.5 | 8.1 | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 2 | R +7.2 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
106 | 106 | American Research Group | 9 | 263 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 40% | 7.5 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 79 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
107 | 107 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | |
108 | 108 | Hendrix College | 138 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.7 | 92% | 46% | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 13 | D +4.7 | D +1.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | |
109 | 109 | Moore Information | 217 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 67% | 17% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | R +2.8 | R +0.4 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
110 | 110 | Dittman Research | 79 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.8 | 100% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 6 | D +6.1 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 10.9 | 0.0 |
111 | 111 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
113 | 113 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.6 | -4.0 | -5.5 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
116 | 116 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
119 | 119 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns | 455 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.0 | -3.2 | -3.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
121 | 121 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.1 | 0.3 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | ||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
127 | 127 | University of Wisconsin Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 5.3 | 6.8 | -1.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3 | R +5.3 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 0.0 | |
128 | 128 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
132 | 132 | Fabrizio Ward | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.2 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | D +2.1 | D +0.3 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
139 | 139 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 3 | R +1.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
141 | 141 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
142 | 142 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 7 | D +3.2 | D +0.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
143 | 143 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +0.1 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 |
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
151 | 151 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.6 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | R +8.2 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
154 | 154 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.5 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
155 | 155 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +0.3 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | |
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
157 | 157 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.7 | R +0.1 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
160 | 160 | RMS Research | 273 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.7 | -5.6 | -5.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +0.9 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
162 | 162 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.6 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
163 | 163 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
168 | 168 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +5.0 | R +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
170 | 170 | YouGov | 391 | 395 | no | no | Online | no | -0.1 | 0.4 | B- | D +0.4 | 89% | 30% | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 347 | D +0.4 | D +0.4 | D +0.3 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
171 | 171 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +1.7 | R +0.0 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | |
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +0.1 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | |
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
179 | 179 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
180 | 180 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +13.1 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
184 | 184 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | D +5.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
190 | 190 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 370 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 20% | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5 | R +1.9 | R +0.2 | R +1.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
191 | 191 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 50% | 11% | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 9 | D +2.8 | D +0.6 | D +7.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );