pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
1,591 rows where rightcall = "0.0" sorted by error
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Link | rowid | pollno | race | year | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster | pollster_rating_id | polldate | samplesize | cand1_name | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error ▼ | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1569 | 1569 | 5381570 | 2004_Pres-D_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | SurveyUSA | 325 | 1/6/2004 | 428.0 | Kerry | 21.0 | Edwards | 17.0 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 1/19/2004 | 37.1 | 32.6 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | |||
876 | 876 | 5380875 | 2000_House-G_US | 2000 | US | House-G | House-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 11/1/2000 | 3750.0 | Democrat | 41.2 | Republican | 41.0 | 0.2 | 11/7/2000 | 46.99 | 47.33 | -0.34 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.0 | |||
4617 | 4617 | 5384626 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.1 | Republican | 49.5 | -0.4 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 0.73 | -0.73 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | ||
8179 | 8179 | 75475 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Suffolk University | 323 | 11/1/2016 | 500.0 | Democrat | 41.8 | Republican | 42.2 | 5.4 | -0.4 | 11/8/2016 | 46.83 | 46.46 | 0.37 | 0.77 | -0.77 | 0.0 | ||
5608 | 5608 | 5385623 | 2012_Pres-R_WA | 2012 | WA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 2/18/2012 | 400.0 | Romney | 27.0 | Paul | 15.0 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 3/3/2012 | 37.6 | 24.8 | 12.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | |||
8138 | 8138 | 75591 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 10/31/2016 | 695.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 44.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | 11/8/2016 | 46.83 | 46.46 | 0.37 | 0.87 | -0.87 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
3065 | 3065 | 5383071 | 2008_Pres-D_IA | 2008 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | American Research Group | 9 | 12/18/2007 | 600.0 | Obama | 25.0 | Edwards | 18.0 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 1/3/2008 | 37.6 | 29.7 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | |||
4563 | 4563 | 5384572 | 2008_Pres-G_MO | 2008 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 11/1/2008 | 1343.0 | Democrat | 49.4 | Republican | 48.6 | 0.8 | 11/4/2008 | 49.29 | 49.43 | -0.14 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.0 | |||
1140 | 1140 | 5381139 | 2002_House-G_CO-7 | 2002 | CO-7 | House-G | House-G | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 10/15/2002 | 404.0 | Democrat | 39.0 | Republican | 38.0 | 1.0 | 11/5/2002 | 47.24 | 47.31 | -0.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 0.0 | D | ||
3079 | 3079 | 5383085 | 2008_Pres-D_IA | 2008 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 12/28/2007 | 482.0 | Obama | 31.0 | Edwards | 22.0 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 1/3/2008 | 37.6 | 29.7 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | |||
5519 | 5519 | 5385532 | 2012_Pres-R_IA | 2012 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 1/1/2012 | 1340.0 | Santorum | 18.0 | Romney | 19.0 | 20.0 | -1.0 | 1/3/2012 | 24.6 | 24.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | |||
8683 | 8683 | 90818 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Strategic Research Associates | 462 | 10/20/2018 | 800.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.0 | |||
8771 | 8771 | 90956 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | University of North Florida | 360 | 10/25/2018 | 1051.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.0 | |||
9034 | 9034 | 91546 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Research Co. | 449 | 11/2/2018 | 450.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.0 | among registered voters | ||
4022 | 4022 | 5384030 | 2008_Pres-G_MO | 2008 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | Research 2000 | 281 | 10/22/2008 | 800.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.29 | 49.43 | -0.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 0.0 | |||
4264 | 4264 | 5384272 | 2008_Pres-G_MO | 2008 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/26/2008 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.29 | 49.43 | -0.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 0.0 | |||
7745 | 7745 | 74357 | 2016_Sen-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Marist College | 183 | 10/22/2016 | 768.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.98 | 47.84 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -1.14 | 0.0 | |||
7206 | 7206 | 15380921 | 2016_Pres-D_IA | 2016 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | YouGov | 391 | 1/20/2016 | 490.0 | Clinton | 46.0 | Sanders | 47.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 2/1/2016 | 49.83 | 49.63 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | |||
7225 | 7225 | 15380940 | 2016_Pres-D_IA | 2016 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Overtime Politics | 247 | 1/29/2016 | 407.0 | Clinton | 47.0 | Sanders | 48.0 | -1.0 | 2/1/2016 | 49.83 | 49.63 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | ||||
7709 | 7709 | 74063 | 2016_Gov-G_NC | 2016 | NC | Gov-G | Gov-G | Monmouth University | 215 | 10/22/2016 | 402.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 49.02 | 48.8 | 0.22 | 1.22 | -1.22 | 0.0 | ||
7949 | 7949 | 74961 | 2016_Pres-G_MI | 2016 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 1649.0 | Democrat | 43.0 | Republican | 42.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.03 | 47.25 | -0.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0.0 | ||
8074 | 8074 | 75227 | 2016_Pres-G_MI | 2016 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Strategic National | 318 | 10/30/2016 | 500.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.03 | 47.25 | -0.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0.0 | ||
7514 | 7514 | 15381229 | 2016_Pres-D_MO | 2016 | MO | Pres-P | Pres-D | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 3/12/2016 | 839.0 | Clinton | 46.0 | Sanders | 47.0 | -1.0 | 3/15/2016 | 49.61 | 49.36 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 0.0 | ||||
265 | 265 | 5380264 | 1998_House-G_PA-10 | 1998 | PA-10 | House-G | House-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 11/1/1998 | 400.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 48.4 | 48.7 | -0.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | |||
4268 | 4268 | 5384276 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/26/2008 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 1.33 | -1.33 | 0.0 | |||
4568 | 4568 | 5384577 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 11/1/2008 | 682.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 1.33 | -1.33 | 0.0 | |||
4616 | 4616 | 5384625 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 11/2/2008 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 50.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 1.33 | -1.33 | 0.0 | |||
680 | 680 | 5380679 | 2000_House-G_US | 2000 | US | House-G | House-G | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 390 | 10/26/2000 | 1076.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 46.99 | 47.33 | -0.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.0 | |||
966 | 966 | 5380965 | 2000_House-G_US | 2000 | US | House-G | House-G | CBS News/New York Times | 36 | 11/3/2000 | 1158.0 | Democrat | 40.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 46.99 | 47.33 | -0.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.0 | |||
6131 | 6131 | 5386135 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 10/27/2012 | 770.0 | Democrat | 48.5 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.37 | -1.37 | 0.0 | ||
1856 | 1856 | 5381856 | 2004_Pres-G_WI | 2004 | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Humphrey Institute | 143 | 10/17/2004 | 623.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.7 | 49.32 | 0.38 | 1.38 | -1.38 | 0.0 | |||
8689 | 8689 | 90577 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 10/21/2018 | 1575.0 | Democrat | 47.4 | Republican | 46.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | ||
8749 | 8749 | 90883 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/25/2018 | 991.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | |||
8810 | 8810 | 91213 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | SSRS | 297 | 10/27/2018 | 781.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | |||
8811 | 8811 | 90990 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Suffolk University | 323 | 10/27/2018 | 500.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | ||
8956 | 8956 | 91439 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Gravis Marketing | 124 | 10/31/2018 | 753.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | |||
9010 | 9010 | 91530 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Research Co. | 449 | 11/2/2018 | 450.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.0 | among registered voters | ||
8585 | 8585 | 90416 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 10/16/2018 | 1974.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 45.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 11/6/2018 | 49.19 | 49.59 | -0.39 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 0.0 | ||
1567 | 1567 | 5381568 | 2004_Pres-D_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 1/6/2004 | 400.0 | Kerry | 15.0 | Edwards | 9.0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 1/19/2004 | 37.1 | 32.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | |||
1571 | 1571 | 5381572 | 2004_Pres-D_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 1/11/2004 | 501.0 | Kerry | 17.0 | Edwards | 14.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 1/19/2004 | 37.1 | 32.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | ||
1572 | 1572 | 5381573 | 2004_Pres-D_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Research 2000 | 281 | 1/13/2004 | 607.0 | Kerry | 21.0 | Edwards | 18.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1/19/2004 | 37.1 | 32.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | |||
501 | 501 | 5380499 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/19/2000 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | |
688 | 688 | 5380687 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | ||
691 | 691 | 5380690 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/26/2000 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 43.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | |
936 | 936 | 5380935 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 11/2/2000 | 134000.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive | |
5757 | 5757 | 5385767 | 2012_House-G_FL-18 | 2012 | FL-18 | House-G | House-G | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 10/17/2012 | 752.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.28 | 49.7 | 0.58 | 1.58 | -1.58 | 0.0 | aka Sunshine State News / Voter Survey Service | ||
119 | 119 | 5380117 | 1998_Sen-G_KY | 1998 | KY | Sen-G | Sen-G | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 10/23/1998 | 589.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 49.16 | 49.75 | -0.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 0.0 | |||
203 | 203 | 5380203 | 1998_Sen-G_KY | 1998 | KY | Sen-G | Sen-G | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. | 197 | 10/27/1998 | 823.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 49.16 | 49.75 | -0.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 0.0 | |||
8788 | 8788 | 91232 | 2018_Gov-G_GA | 2018 | GA | Gov-G | Gov-G | University of Georgia | 350 | 10/26/2018 | 1091.0 | Democrat | 46.9 | Republican | 46.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 11/6/2018 | 48.83 | 50.22 | -1.39 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 0.0 | ||
5682 | 5682 | 5385697 | 2012_Pres-R_MS | 2012 | MS | Pres-P | Pres-R | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 3/8/2012 | 750.0 | Santorum | 27.0 | Gingrich | 27.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 3/13/2012 | 32.8 | 31.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | |||
1833 | 1833 | 5381833 | 2004_Pres-G_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 10/17/2004 | 502.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.23 | 49.9 | -0.67 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.0 | ||
2197 | 2197 | 5382198 | 2004_Pres-G_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/27/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.23 | 49.9 | -0.67 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | ||
7834 | 7834 | 74782 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | 2016 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Marist College | 183 | 10/26/2016 | 779.0 | Democrat | 45.5 | Republican | 45.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 11/8/2016 | 47.41 | 48.6 | -1.19 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8447 | 8447 | 76061 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | 2016 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 11/5/2016 | 884.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 11/8/2016 | 47.41 | 48.6 | -1.19 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8143 | 8143 | 75333 | 2016_Pres-G_PA | 2016 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/31/2016 | 525.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.46 | 48.17 | -0.72 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 0.0 | for Auto Alliance/ESA as Pulse Opinion Research | |
8244 | 8244 | 75999 | 2016_Pres-G_PA | 2016 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Remington Research Group | 279 | 11/2/2016 | 2683.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.46 | 48.17 | -0.72 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 0.0 | |||
6258 | 6258 | 5386262 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | We Ask America | 376 | 10/30/2012 | 1146.0 | Democrat | 48.9 | Republican | 49.8 | -0.9 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.77 | -1.77 | 0.0 | |||
2284 | 2284 | 5382286 | 2004_Pres-G_NM | 2004 | NM | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.05 | 49.84 | -0.79 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 0.0 | ||
5673 | 5673 | 5385688 | 2012_Pres-R_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-P | Pres-R | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 3/4/2012 | 750.0 | Romney | 31.0 | Santorum | 32.0 | 13.0 | -1.0 | 3/6/2012 | 37.9 | 37.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | |||
8583 | 8583 | 85704 | 2018_House-GS_OH-12 | 2018 | OH-12 | House-G | House-GS | Emerson College | 88 | 8/3/2018 | 431.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 8/7/2018 | 49.32 | 50.12 | -0.81 | 1.81 | 1.81 | 0.0 | |||
4565 | 4565 | 5384574 | 2008_Pres-G_MO | 2008 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 11/1/2008 | 602.0 | Democrat | 47.4 | Republican | 45.7 | 1.7 | 11/4/2008 | 49.29 | 49.43 | -0.14 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | ||
4815 | 4815 | 5384825 | 2010_Gov-G_IL | 2010 | IL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 10/15/2010 | 557.0 | Democrat | 41.0 | Republican | 42.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2010 | 46.79 | 45.94 | 0.85 | 1.85 | -1.85 | 0.0 | |||
5781 | 5781 | 5385791 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 10/18/2012 | 681.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | |||
5784 | 5784 | 5385794 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 10/18/2012 | 800.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | |||
5995 | 5995 | 5385997 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Gravis Marketing | 124 | 10/24/2012 | 1182.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 50.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | |||
6133 | 6133 | 5386137 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/27/2012 | 827.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | aka JZ Analytics (online) | ||
6376 | 6376 | 5386380 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | YouGov | 391 | 11/2/2012 | 1621.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | |||
6519 | 6519 | 5386525 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Ipsos | 154 | 11/4/2012 | 769.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | previously listed as Ipsos, online | ||
8136 | 8136 | 75396 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | MassINC Polling Group | 198 | 10/31/2016 | 500.0 | Democrat | 40.5 | Republican | 42.0 | 10.0 | -1.5 | 11/8/2016 | 46.83 | 46.46 | 0.37 | 1.87 | -1.87 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8729 | 8729 | 90665 | 2018_House-G_NJ-3 | 2018 | NJ-3 | House-G | House-G | Siena College/New York Times Upshot | 448 | 10/23/2018 | 508.0 | Democrat | 43.99 | Republican | 44.6 | -0.61 | 11/6/2018 | 50.01 | 48.72 | 1.29 | 1.9 | -1.9 | 0.0 | |||
8837 | 8837 | 90991 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Suffolk University | 323 | 10/27/2018 | 500.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 43.2 | 1.8 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0.0 | |||
8880 | 8880 | 91144 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Cygnal | 67 | 10/28/2018 | 495.0 | Democrat | 50.1 | Republican | 48.3 | 1.8 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0.0 | |||
4569 | 4569 | 5384578 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 11/1/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 47.7 | Republican | 49.3 | -1.6 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 1.93 | -1.93 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | ||
8569 | 8569 | 79986 | 2017_Sen-GS_AL | 2017 | AL | Sen-G | Sen-GS | Monmouth University | 215 | 12/8/2017 | 546.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 46.3 | -0.3 | 12/12/2017 | 49.97 | 48.34 | 1.63 | 1.93 | -1.93 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | ||
8693 | 8693 | 90564 | 2018_House-G_NM-2 | 2018 | NM-2 | House-G | House-G | Siena College/New York Times Upshot | 448 | 10/21/2018 | 522.0 | Democrat | 44.45 | Republican | 44.51 | -0.06 | 11/6/2018 | 50.93 | 49.07 | 1.87 | 1.93 | -1.93 | 0.0 | |||
1267 | 1267 | 5381265 | 2002_Gov-G_AZ | 2002 | AZ | Gov-G | Gov-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/23/2002 | 661.0 | Democrat | 42.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | 11/5/2002 | 46.2 | 45.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 0.0 | ||
1429 | 1429 | 5381427 | 2002_Gov-G_AZ | 2002 | AZ | Gov-G | Gov-G | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 10/30/2002 | 549.0 | Democrat | 40.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 11/5/2002 | 46.2 | 45.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 0.0 | ||
2521 | 2521 | 5382525 | 2006_Gov-G_MN | 2006 | MN | Gov-G | Gov-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/22/2006 | 606.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 1.0 | 11/7/2006 | 45.7 | 46.7 | -1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | |||
2629 | 2629 | 5382634 | 2006_Gov-G_MN | 2006 | MN | Gov-G | Gov-G | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 10/25/2006 | 500.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 1.0 | 11/7/2006 | 45.7 | 46.7 | -1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | |||
1080 | 1080 | 5381079 | 2000_Pres-G_FL | 2000 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 11/5/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.84 | 48.85 | -0.01 | 2.01 | 2.01 | 0.0 | previously listed as Zogby Analytics, telephone | |
3797 | 3797 | 5383804 | 2008_Sen-G_MN | 2008 | MN | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/17/2008 | 655.0 | Democrat | 39.0 | Republican | 41.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2008 | 41.99 | 41.98 | 0.01 | 2.01 | -2.01 | 0.0 | |||
7881 | 7881 | 74815 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 10/27/2016 | 408.0 | Democrat | 44.2 | Republican | 45.85 | 4.4 | -1.65 | 11/8/2016 | 46.83 | 46.46 | 0.37 | 2.02 | -2.02 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8973 | 8973 | 91193 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 10/31/2018 | 2470.0 | Democrat | 49.3 | Republican | 47.4 | 1.9 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 0.0 | |||
8692 | 8692 | 90812 | 2018_House-G_GA-6 | 2018 | GA-6 | House-G | House-G | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 10/21/2018 | 400.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2018 | 50.51 | 49.48 | 1.03 | 2.03 | -2.03 | 0.0 | for Lucy McBath | D | |
6661 | 6661 | 15380048 | 2014_Gov-G_FL | 2014 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 10/17/2014 | 1855.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2014 | 47.07 | 48.14 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | previously listed as StPetePolls.org | |
6879 | 6879 | 15380616 | 2014_House-G_AZ-2 | 2014 | AZ-2 | House-G | House-G | RRH Elections | 274 | 10/22/2014 | 554.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 49.94 | 50.01 | -0.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | previously listed as Political Marketing International Inc./RRH Elections | ||
7102 | 7102 | 15380824 | 2014_Gov-G_FL | 2014 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 10/31/2014 | 817.0 | Democrat | 42.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2014 | 47.07 | 48.14 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | ||
7754 | 7754 | 74261 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2016 | 828.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
7755 | 7755 | 74498 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2016 | 828.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
8058 | 8058 | 74806 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | Morning Consult | 218 | 10/30/2016 | 1772.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
8217 | 8217 | 75880 | 2016_House-G_US | 2016 | US | House-G | House-G | Marist College | 183 | 11/2/2016 | 940.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.04 | 49.1 | -1.07 | 2.07 | 2.07 | 0.0 | |||
867 | 867 | 5380866 | 2000_Sen-G_WA | 2000 | WA | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/31/2000 | 500.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.73 | 48.64 | 0.09 | 2.09 | -2.09 | 0.0 | |||
1053 | 1053 | 5381052 | 2000_Sen-G_WA | 2000 | WA | Sen-G | Sen-G | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 11/3/2000 | 6542.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.73 | 48.64 | 0.09 | 2.09 | -2.09 | 0.0 | previously listed as Harris Interactive, online; previously listed as Harris Interactive | |
2348 | 2348 | 5382350 | 2004_Sen-G_FL | 2004 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 10/30/2004 | 400.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.32 | 49.43 | -1.11 | 2.11 | 2.11 | 0.0 | previously listed as InsiderAdvantage | ||
7124 | 7124 | 15380843 | 2014_Sen-O_LA | 2014 | LA | Sen-G | Sen-O | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 10/31/2014 | 1003.0 | Landrieu (D) | 47.0 | Cassidy (R) | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2014 | 42.08 | 40.97 | 1.11 | 2.11 | -2.11 | 0.0 | |||
8836 | 8836 | 91217 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | SSRS | 297 | 10/27/2018 | 781.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.0 | |||
9032 | 9032 | 91331 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | 2018 | FL | Sen-G | Sen-G | Change Research | 48 | 11/2/2018 | 1236.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2018 | 49.93 | 50.05 | -0.12 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 0.0 | for Reason to Believe PAC | D | |
6001 | 6001 | 5386003 | 2012_Pres-G_NC | 2012 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | Elon University | 86 | 10/24/2012 | 1238.0 | Democrat | 45.4 | Republican | 45.3 | 0.1 | 11/6/2012 | 48.35 | 50.39 | -2.04 | 2.14 | 2.14 | 0.0 | |||
8261 | 8261 | 75725 | 2016_Sen-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Sen-G | Sen-G | Gravis Marketing | 124 | 11/2/2016 | 1001.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 46.0 | -2.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.98 | 47.84 | 0.14 | 2.14 | -2.14 | 0.0 | among registered voters | ||
4906 | 4906 | 5384916 | 2010_Gov-G_FL | 2010 | FL | Gov-G | Gov-G | TCJ Research | 327 | 10/18/2010 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2010 | 47.72 | 48.87 | -1.15 | 2.15 | 2.15 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls" ( "pollno" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "year" INTEGER, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );