pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
2,256 rows where type_detail = "Pres-G" sorted by pollster_rating_id
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Link | rowid | pollno | race | year | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster | pollster_rating_id ▼ | polldate | samplesize | cand1_name | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6259 | 6259 | 5386263 | 2012_Pres-G_GA | 2012 | GA | Pres-G | Pres-G | 20/20 Insight LLC | 1 | 10/30/2012 | 1316.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 52.0 | -6.0 | 11/6/2012 | 45.39 | 53.19 | -7.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | |||
516 | 516 | 5380514 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/20/2000 | 1071.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
603 | 603 | 5380602 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/23/2000 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 2.51 | -2.51 | 0.0 | ||
631 | 631 | 5380630 | 2000_Pres-G_VA | 2000 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 44.44 | 52.47 | -8.03 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 1.0 | ||
688 | 688 | 5380687 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2000 | 1009.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 1.51 | -1.51 | 0.0 | ||
777 | 777 | 5380776 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2000 | 1020.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
895 | 895 | 5380894 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2000 | 1280.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
1065 | 1065 | 5381064 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/4/2000 | 1801.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 3.51 | -3.51 | 0.0 | ||
1762 | 1762 | 5381763 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/15/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 50.0 | 2.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 1.0 | ||
1800 | 1800 | 5381801 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | 2004 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/16/2004 | 789.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.71 | 50.81 | -2.1 | 5.100000000000001 | 5.100000000000001 | 0.0 | |||
1890 | 1890 | 5381890 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/18/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 50.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 0.54 | -0.54 | 1.0 | ||
1999 | 1999 | 5382000 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
2155 | 2155 | 5382155 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
2336 | 2336 | 5382338 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2004 | 2904.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | ||
3980 | 3980 | 5383988 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/21/2008 | 1335.0 | Democrat | 54.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 11.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.0 | |||
4109 | 4109 | 5384117 | 2008_Pres-G_VA | 2008 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2008 | 784.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.63 | 46.33 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | |||
4183 | 4183 | 5384191 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/25/2008 | 1314.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 0.26 | -0.26 | 1.0 | |||
4447 | 4447 | 5384456 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2008 | 1580.0 | Democrat | 53.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.0 | |||
4625 | 4625 | 5384634 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/2/2008 | 2304.0 | Democrat | 53.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 9.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.0 | |||
5940 | 5940 | 5385947 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/22/2012 | 1394.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6027 | 6027 | 5386029 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | 2012 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2012 | 1228.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.16 | 47.28 | 3.88 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1.0 | Washington Post only | ||
6102 | 6102 | 5386105 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/26/2012 | 1278.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 4.86 | -4.86 | 0.0 | |||
6278 | 6278 | 5386282 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/30/2012 | 1293.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 2.86 | -2.86 | 1.0 | |||
6481 | 6481 | 5386486 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/3/2012 | 2345.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 0.86 | -0.86 | 1.0 | |||
7798 | 7798 | 74392 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/24/2016 | 1135.0 | Democrat | 49.5 | Republican | 43.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 4.41 | 4.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
7977 | 7977 | 74802 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/28/2016 | 1165.0 | Democrat | 47.5 | Republican | 46.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.59 | -0.59 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8041 | 8041 | 74935 | 2016_Pres-G_VA | 2016 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 10/29/2016 | 1024.0 | Democrat | 49.5 | Republican | 43.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 11/8/2016 | 49.75 | 44.43 | 5.32 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.0 | by Washington Post only, but FiveThirtyEight classifies all ABC News and Washington Post polls together even if they're conducted by just one of the news organizations; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8186 | 8186 | 75635 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/1/2016 | 1151.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
8463 | 8463 | 76193 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 11/5/2016 | 2220.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 44.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
1763 | 1763 | 5381767 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/15/2004 | 865.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
1970 | 1970 | 5381973 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/20/2004 | 803.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 51.0 | 2.0 | -5.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 2.54 | -2.54 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | |
5959 | 5959 | 5385967 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Abt Associates | 7 | 10/23/2012 | 783.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.98 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 1.0 | previously listed as Time/Abt Associates | ||
559 | 559 | 5380558 | 2000_Pres-G_FL | 2000 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/22/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.84 | 48.85 | -0.01 | 4.01 | 4.01 | 0.0 | ||
565 | 565 | 5380564 | 2000_Pres-G_MI | 2000 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/22/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 51.28 | 46.14 | 5.14 | 2.14 | -2.14 | 1.0 | ||
569 | 569 | 5380568 | 2000_Pres-G_OR | 2000 | OR | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/22/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 41.0 | Republican | 45.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 46.96 | 46.52 | 0.44 | 4.44 | -4.44 | 0.0 | |||
570 | 570 | 5380569 | 2000_Pres-G_PA | 2000 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/22/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11/7/2000 | 50.6 | 46.43 | 4.17 | 0.8300000000000001 | 0.8300000000000001 | 1.0 | ||
840 | 840 | 5380839 | 2000_Pres-G_FL | 2000 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.84 | 48.85 | -0.01 | 5.01 | 5.01 | 0.0 | ||
843 | 843 | 5380842 | 2000_Pres-G_MI | 2000 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 11/7/2000 | 51.28 | 46.14 | 5.14 | 1.14 | -1.14 | 1.0 | ||
851 | 851 | 5380850 | 2000_Pres-G_PA | 2000 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 42.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11/7/2000 | 50.6 | 46.43 | 4.17 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.0 | ||
852 | 852 | 5380851 | 2000_Pres-G_TN | 2000 | TN | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11/7/2000 | 47.28 | 51.15 | -3.87 | 9.87 | 9.87 | 0.0 | ||
889 | 889 | 5380888 | 2000_Pres-G_NH | 2000 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/1/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 40.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 5.0 | -5.0 | 11/7/2000 | 46.8 | 48.07 | -1.27 | 3.73 | -3.73 | 1.0 | ||
990 | 990 | 5380989 | 2000_Pres-G_MO | 2000 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/3/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 11/7/2000 | 47.08 | 50.42 | -3.34 | 4.34 | 4.34 | 0.0 | ||
995 | 995 | 5380994 | 2000_Pres-G_NH | 2000 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/3/2000 | 600.0 | Democrat | 38.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 9.0 | -10.0 | 11/7/2000 | 46.8 | 48.07 | -1.27 | 8.73 | -8.73 | 1.0 | ||
1839 | 1839 | 5381839 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | 2004 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/17/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 50.24 | 48.87 | 1.37 | 2.37 | -2.37 | 0.0 | ||
1843 | 1843 | 5381843 | 2004_Pres-G_NM | 2004 | NM | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/17/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.05 | 49.84 | -0.79 | 2.79 | 2.79 | 0.0 | ||
1896 | 1896 | 5381896 | 2004_Pres-G_WI | 2004 | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/18/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 0.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.7 | 49.32 | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.38 | 0.5 | |||
2052 | 2052 | 5382053 | 2004_Pres-G_FL | 2004 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/24/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 47.09 | 52.1 | -5.01 | 8.01 | 8.01 | 0.0 | ||
2060 | 2060 | 5382061 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | 2004 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/24/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.71 | 50.81 | -2.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | |||
2064 | 2064 | 5382065 | 2004_Pres-G_PA | 2004 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/24/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 3.0 | 11/2/2004 | 50.92 | 48.42 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | |||
2134 | 2134 | 5382134 | 2004_Pres-G_IA | 2004 | IA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/26/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.23 | 49.9 | -0.67 | 0.33 | -0.33 | 1.0 | ||
2150 | 2150 | 5382150 | 2004_Pres-G_OR | 2004 | OR | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/26/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 51.35 | 47.19 | 4.16 | 0.16 | -0.16 | 1.0 | |||
2159 | 2159 | 5382159 | 2004_Pres-G_WI | 2004 | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/26/2004 | 601.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.7 | 49.32 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.0 | |||
2284 | 2284 | 5382286 | 2004_Pres-G_NM | 2004 | NM | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 49.05 | 49.84 | -0.79 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 0.0 | ||
2290 | 2290 | 5382292 | 2004_Pres-G_US | 2004 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2004 | 1500.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11/2/2004 | 48.27 | 50.73 | -2.46 | 2.46 | 2.46 | 0.5 | ||
2366 | 2366 | 5382368 | 2004_Pres-G_FL | 2004 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11/2/2004 | 47.09 | 52.1 | -5.01 | 7.01 | 7.01 | 0.0 | ||
2375 | 2375 | 5382377 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | 2004 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/31/2004 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 11/2/2004 | 50.24 | 48.87 | 1.37 | 2.37 | -2.37 | 0.0 | ||
3881 | 3881 | 5383888 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/19/2008 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 4.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 3.26 | -3.26 | 1.0 | |||
4279 | 4279 | 5384287 | 2008_Pres-G_US | 2008 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/26/2008 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 5.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.92 | 45.66 | 7.26 | 2.26 | -2.26 | 1.0 | |||
4415 | 4415 | 5384424 | 2008_Pres-G_AZ | 2008 | AZ | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 50.0 | -4.0 | 11/4/2008 | 45.12 | 53.64 | -8.52 | 4.52 | 4.52 | 1.0 | |||
4417 | 4417 | 5384426 | 2008_Pres-G_CO | 2008 | CO | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 53.66 | 44.71 | 8.950000000000001 | 1.95 | -1.95 | 1.0 | |||
4427 | 4427 | 5384436 | 2008_Pres-G_MO | 2008 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.29 | 49.43 | -0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.5 | |||
4430 | 4430 | 5384439 | 2008_Pres-G_MT | 2008 | MT | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 46.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -3.0 | 11/4/2008 | 47.25 | 49.51 | -2.26 | 0.74 | -0.74 | 1.0 | |||
4438 | 4438 | 5384447 | 2008_Pres-G_NH | 2008 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/29/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 56.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 15.0 | 11/4/2008 | 54.13 | 44.52 | 9.61 | 5.39 | 5.39 | 1.0 | |||
4478 | 4478 | 5384487 | 2008_Pres-G_AR | 2008 | AR | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/30/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 51.0 | -7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 38.86 | 58.72 | -19.86 | 12.86 | 12.86 | 1.0 | |||
4480 | 4480 | 5384489 | 2008_Pres-G_FL | 2008 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/30/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 50.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 4.0 | 11/4/2008 | 51.03 | 48.22 | 2.81 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.0 | |||
4486 | 4486 | 5384495 | 2008_Pres-G_IN | 2008 | IN | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/30/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.77 | 48.74 | 1.03 | 1.03 | -1.03 | 0.5 | |||
4500 | 4500 | 5384509 | 2008_Pres-G_PA | 2008 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/30/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 6.0 | 11/4/2008 | 54.56 | 44.23 | 10.33 | 4.33 | -4.33 | 1.0 | |||
4604 | 4604 | 5384613 | 2008_Pres-G_AK | 2008 | AK | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 43.0 | Republican | 55.0 | -12.0 | 11/4/2008 | 37.89 | 59.42 | -21.53 | 9.53 | 9.53 | 1.0 | |||
4615 | 4615 | 5384624 | 2008_Pres-G_NC | 2008 | NC | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 1.0 | 11/4/2008 | 49.7 | 49.37 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | |||
4619 | 4619 | 5384628 | 2008_Pres-G_NV | 2008 | NV | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 5.0 | 11/4/2008 | 55.15 | 42.65 | 12.5 | 7.5 | -7.5 | 1.0 | |||
4632 | 4632 | 5384641 | 2008_Pres-G_VA | 2008 | VA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 4.0 | 11/4/2008 | 52.63 | 46.33 | 6.3 | 2.3 | -2.3 | 1.0 | |||
4635 | 4635 | 5384644 | 2008_Pres-G_WV | 2008 | WV | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/2/2008 | 600.0 | Democrat | 42.0 | Republican | 53.0 | -11.0 | 11/4/2008 | 42.59 | 55.71 | -13.12 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.0 | |||
5881 | 5881 | 5385890 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/20/2012 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 5.86 | -5.86 | 0.0 | |||
5913 | 5913 | 5385922 | 2012_Pres-G_NH | 2012 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/21/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.98 | 46.4 | 5.58 | 7.58 | -7.58 | 0.0 | |||
5914 | 5914 | 5385923 | 2012_Pres-G_NV | 2012 | NV | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/21/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.36 | 45.68 | 6.68 | 4.68 | -4.68 | 1.0 | |||
6015 | 6015 | 5386017 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/24/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 2.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.98 | 0.98 | -0.98 | 1.0 | |||
6130 | 6130 | 5386134 | 2012_Pres-G_CO | 2012 | CO | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/27/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 47.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.45 | 46.09 | 5.36 | 6.36 | -6.36 | 0.0 | |||
6149 | 6149 | 5386153 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 10/27/2012 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 0.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 3.86 | -3.86 | 0.5 | |||
6467 | 6467 | 5386472 | 2012_Pres-G_IA | 2012 | IA | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/3/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -1.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.99 | 46.18 | 5.81 | 6.81 | -6.81 | 0.0 | |||
6474 | 6474 | 5386479 | 2012_Pres-G_NH | 2012 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/3/2012 | 600.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 0.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.98 | 46.4 | 5.58 | 5.58 | -5.58 | 0.5 | |||
6482 | 6482 | 5386487 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/3/2012 | 1200.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 0.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 3.86 | -3.86 | 0.5 | |||
8177 | 8177 | 75460 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | 2016 | NH | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Research Group | 9 | 11/1/2016 | 600.0 | Democrat | 43.0 | Republican | 48.0 | -5.0 | 11/8/2016 | 46.83 | 46.46 | 0.37 | 5.37 | -5.37 | 0.0 | |||
517 | 517 | 5380515 | 2000_Pres-G_US | 2000 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | American Viewpoint | 10 | 10/20/2000 | 800.0 | Democrat | 40.0 | Republican | 42.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 11/7/2000 | 48.38 | 47.87 | 0.51 | 2.51 | -2.51 | 0.0 | ||
5823 | 5823 | 5385832 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 502.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 5.87 | -5.87 | 0.0 | |||
5825 | 5825 | 5385834 | 2012_Pres-G_MI | 2012 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 551.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 40.0 | 9.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.04 | 44.58 | 9.46 | 0.46 | -0.46 | 1.0 | |||
5827 | 5827 | 5385836 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 550.0 | Democrat | 45.0 | Republican | 45.0 | 0.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.98 | 2.98 | -2.98 | 0.5 | |||
5831 | 5831 | 5385840 | 2012_Pres-G_PA | 2012 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 559.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 39.0 | 9.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.96 | 46.58 | 5.38 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 1.0 | |||
5841 | 5841 | 5385850 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | 2012 | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 10/19/2012 | 502.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 43.0 | 5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.83 | 45.89 | 6.94 | 1.94 | -1.94 | 1.0 | |||
6375 | 6375 | 5386379 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | 2012 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/2/2012 | 525.0 | Democrat | 49.0 | Republican | 49.0 | 0.0 | 11/6/2012 | 49.9 | 49.03 | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.87 | 0.5 | |||
6387 | 6387 | 5386391 | 2012_Pres-G_MI | 2012 | MI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/2/2012 | 502.0 | Democrat | 52.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 5.0 | 11/6/2012 | 54.04 | 44.58 | 9.46 | 4.46 | -4.46 | 1.0 | |||
6408 | 6408 | 5386412 | 2012_Pres-G_US | 2012 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/2/2012 | 1019.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.01 | 47.15 | 3.86 | 0.86 | -0.86 | 1.0 | |||
6418 | 6418 | 5386422 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | 2012 | WI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/2/2012 | 454.0 | Democrat | 53.0 | Republican | 46.0 | 7.0 | 11/6/2012 | 52.83 | 45.89 | 6.94 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.0 | |||
6476 | 6476 | 5386481 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | 2012 | OH | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/3/2012 | 540.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 48.0 | 3.0 | 11/6/2012 | 50.58 | 47.6 | 2.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.0 | |||
6479 | 6479 | 5386484 | 2012_Pres-G_PA | 2012 | PA | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/3/2012 | 507.0 | Democrat | 51.0 | Republican | 47.0 | 4.0 | 11/6/2012 | 51.96 | 46.58 | 5.38 | 1.38 | -1.38 | 1.0 | |||
8286 | 8286 | 76181 | 2016_Pres-G_US | 2016 | US | Pres-G | Pres-G | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 11/3/2016 | 1151.0 | Democrat | 48.0 | Republican | 44.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 11/8/2016 | 48.02 | 45.93 | 2.09 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.0 | ||
530 | 530 | 5380528 | 2000_Pres-G_AZ | 2000 | AZ | Pres-G | Pres-G | Arizona State University | 15 | 10/21/2000 | 629.0 | Democrat | 39.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -10.0 | 11/7/2000 | 44.67 | 50.95 | -6.28 | 3.72 | -3.72 | 1.0 | |||
1956 | 1956 | 5381957 | 2004_Pres-G_AZ | 2004 | AZ | Pres-G | Pres-G | Arizona State University | 15 | 10/20/2004 | 573.0 | Democrat | 42.0 | Republican | 49.0 | -7.0 | 11/2/2004 | 44.4 | 54.87 | -10.47 | 3.47 | 3.47 | 1.0 | |||
4125 | 4125 | 5384133 | 2008_Pres-G_AZ | 2008 | AZ | Pres-G | Pres-G | Arizona State University | 15 | 10/25/2008 | 1019.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 46.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2008 | 45.12 | 53.64 | -8.52 | 6.52 | 6.52 | 1.0 | |||
7657 | 7657 | 74247 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | 2016 | FL | Pres-G | Pres-G | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 10/19/2016 | 1000.0 | Democrat | 44.0 | Republican | 41.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 11/8/2016 | 47.41 | 48.6 | -1.19 | 4.19 | 4.19 | 0.0 | ||
7951 | 7951 | 74895 | 2016_Pres-G_MO | 2016 | MO | Pres-G | Pres-G | BK Strategies | 20 | 10/28/2016 | 1698.0 | Democrat | 39.0 | Republican | 53.0 | -14.0 | 11/8/2016 | 37.87 | 56.38 | -18.51 | 4.51 | 4.51 | 1.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/raw-polls" ( "pollno" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "year" INTEGER, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );