{"rowid": 17, "Pollster": "Grove Insight", "Pollster Rating ID": 129, "# of Polls": 29, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.7, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.5", "Races Called Correctly": "90%", "Misses Outside MOE": "7%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 29, "Bias": "D +1.1", "House Effect": "D +3.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.8, "Herding Penalty": 0.67, "latest_poll": "11/2/12"} {"rowid": 46, "Pollster": "RKM Research and Communications Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 272, "# of Polls": 34, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3, "538 Grade": "A-", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "87%", "Misses Outside MOE": "24%", "Simple Average Error": 5.3, "Simple Expected Error": 6.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 20, "Bias": "R +0.5", "House Effect": "R +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.05, "latest_poll": "2/7/20"} {"rowid": 50, "Pollster": "Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy", "Pollster Rating ID": 197, "# of Polls": 433, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.3, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "87%", "Misses Outside MOE": "23%", "Simple Average Error": 5.1, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 376, "Bias": "R +0.7", "House Effect": "R +1.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.09, "latest_poll": "11/6/19"} {"rowid": 52, "Pollster": "Research & Polling Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 280, "# of Polls": 32, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.9", "Races Called Correctly": "84%", "Misses Outside MOE": "9%", "Simple Average Error": 4.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.7, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 31, "Bias": "R +1.8", "House Effect": "R +0.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.2, "Herding Penalty": 0.56, "latest_poll": "10/29/18"} {"rowid": 54, "Pollster": "EPIC-MRA", "Pollster Rating ID": 84, "# of Polls": 49, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "78%", "Misses Outside MOE": "24%", "Simple Average Error": 5.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 42, "Bias": "R +0.4", "House Effect": "D +0.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.13, "latest_poll": "3/5/20"} {"rowid": 55, "Pollster": "Elway Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 87, "# of Polls": 21, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "Live/Text", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "90%", "Misses Outside MOE": "5%", "Simple Average Error": 3.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 20, "Bias": "D +2.1", "House Effect": "D +3.7", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.2, "Herding Penalty": 0.37, "latest_poll": "10/21/16"} {"rowid": 56, "Pollster": "St. Norbert College", "Pollster Rating ID": 313, "# of Polls": 12, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.2, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", "Races Called Correctly": "88%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 11, "Bias": "D +0.9", "House Effect": "D +3.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.22, "latest_poll": "10/20/14"} {"rowid": 59, "Pollster": "National Research Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 225, "# of Polls": 10, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.5", "Races Called Correctly": "75%", "Misses Outside MOE": "20%", "Simple Average Error": 5.1, "Simple Expected Error": 6.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "R +3.3", "House Effect": "R +5.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "3/5/16"} {"rowid": 60, "Pollster": "Blum & Weprin Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 32, "# of Polls": 19, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.7", "Races Called Correctly": "95%", "Misses Outside MOE": "21%", "Simple Average Error": 4.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.2, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 17, "Bias": "R +3.4", "House Effect": "D +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.04, "latest_poll": "10/25/10"} {"rowid": 63, "Pollster": "Fleming & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 96, "# of Polls": 17, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "12%", "Simple Average Error": 5.0, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "R +1.4", "House Effect": "R +0.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.63, "latest_poll": "10/22/18"} {"rowid": 65, "Pollster": "Cygnal", "Pollster Rating ID": 67, "# of Polls": 13, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Online/Live/Text", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": -0.1, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +1.0", "Races Called Correctly": "92%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 13, "Bias": "D +2.6", "House Effect": "R +1.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.76, "latest_poll": "11/8/19"} {"rowid": 66, "Pollster": "Angus Reid Global", "Pollster Rating ID": 13, "# of Polls": 30, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "Online", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B+", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +1.2", "Races Called Correctly": "93%", "Misses Outside MOE": "7%", "Simple Average Error": 3.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -1.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 30, "Bias": "R +2.6", "House Effect": "D +0.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.85, "latest_poll": "11/3/16"} {"rowid": 68, "Pollster": "Strategic Vision LLC", "Pollster Rating ID": 320, "# of Polls": 133, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +1.5", "Races Called Correctly": "89%", "Misses Outside MOE": "18%", "Simple Average Error": 3.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.1, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 110, "Bias": "R +2.2", "House Effect": "R +2.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.12, "latest_poll": "11/1/08"} {"rowid": 69, "Pollster": "North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 233, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "A/B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "94%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 5.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -3.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.7, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": "R +3.5", "House Effect": "R +6.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.37, "latest_poll": "10/23/16"} {"rowid": 70, "Pollster": "American Viewpoint", "Pollster Rating ID": 10, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "69%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 4.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "R +3.5", "House Effect": "R +3.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/17/18"} {"rowid": 71, "Pollster": "Landmark Communications", "Pollster Rating ID": 166, "# of Polls": 39, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +1.5", "Races Called Correctly": "82%", "Misses Outside MOE": "23%", "Simple Average Error": 4.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 33, "Bias": "D +2.8", "House Effect": "R +0.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.5, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "6/19/17"} {"rowid": 72, "Pollster": "Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser)", "Pollster Rating ID": 375, "# of Polls": 15, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "80%", "Misses Outside MOE": "33%", "Simple Average Error": 5.9, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.5, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "R +1.4", "House Effect": "D +1.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.49, "latest_poll": "10/15/14"} {"rowid": 73, "Pollster": "University of Arkansas", "Pollster Rating ID": 345, "# of Polls": 6, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.7", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 4.1, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": "D +4.1", "House Effect": "R +3.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 6.9, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/22/16"} {"rowid": 74, "Pollster": "Harstad Strategic Research Inc.", "Pollster Rating ID": 134, "# of Polls": 10, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.0, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.6", "Races Called Correctly": "75%", "Misses Outside MOE": "10%", "Simple Average Error": 3.8, "Simple Expected Error": 5.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.6, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 10, "Bias": "D +2.6", "House Effect": "D +3.3", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/21/14"} {"rowid": 76, "Pollster": "Harper Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 132, "# of Polls": 11, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "partial", "Methodology": "IVR/Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "91%", "Misses Outside MOE": "18%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.6, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 8, "Bias": "D +0.5", "House Effect": "R +1.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.3, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "11/3/16"} {"rowid": 77, "Pollster": "University of South Alabama", "Pollster Rating ID": 361, "# of Polls": 9, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "11%", "Simple Average Error": 3.3, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.8, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 9, "Bias": "R +2.6", "House Effect": "R +2.0", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 7.2, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/14/10"} {"rowid": 78, "Pollster": "Public Policy Polling", "Pollster Rating ID": 263, "# of Polls": 423, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "no", "Methodology": "IVR/Text", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "80%", "Misses Outside MOE": "31%", "Simple Average Error": 5.0, "Simple Expected Error": 5.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.4, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 294, "Bias": "D +0.4", "House Effect": "D +0.9", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "2/25/20"} {"rowid": 83, "Pollster": "Pharos Research Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 254, "# of Polls": 33, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "yes", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "F", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.8", "Races Called Correctly": "92%", "Misses Outside MOE": "15%", "Simple Average Error": 3.8, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 33, "Bias": "D +1.6", "House Effect": "D +1.1", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.1, "Herding Penalty": 0.22, "latest_poll": "10/27/12"} {"rowid": 84, "Pollster": "Keating Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 161, "# of Polls": 5, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.1, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "80%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.4, "Simple Expected Error": 5.0, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 5, "Bias": "D +0.9", "House Effect": "D +2.8", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 3.7, "Herding Penalty": 0.62, "latest_poll": "11/3/16"} {"rowid": 86, "Pollster": "Montana State University Billings", "Pollster Rating ID": 216, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.3", "Races Called Correctly": "57%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 3.6, "Simple Expected Error": 6.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -4.1, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.5, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "D +3.0", "House Effect": "D +2.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/18/08"} {"rowid": 87, "Pollster": "Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint", "Pollster Rating ID": 127, "# of Polls": 8, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.7", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "50%", "Simple Average Error": 4.4, "Simple Expected Error": 4.9, "Simple Plus-Minus": -0.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.8, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 6, "Bias": "R +4.2", "House Effect": "D +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 5.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/26/16"} {"rowid": 88, "Pollster": "Financial Dynamics", "Pollster Rating ID": 95, "# of Polls": 15, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.2, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.4", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.6, "Simple Expected Error": 4.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.9, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 15, "Bias": "R +1.7", "House Effect": "R +2.2", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 2.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.63, "latest_poll": "11/1/08"} {"rowid": 89, "Pollster": "University of 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"Southern Media & Opinion Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 310, "# of Polls": 7, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "14%", "Simple Average Error": 5.6, "Simple Expected Error": 5.3, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.5, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -0.2, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 7, "Bias": "R +0.7", "House Effect": "R +1.6", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "11/29/16"} {"rowid": 126, "Pollster": "Mason Strategies", "Pollster Rating ID": 464, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", 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(ADPA)": 4.6, "Herding Penalty": 0.24, "latest_poll": "1/16/10"} {"rowid": 128, "Pollster": "Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League)", "Pollster Rating ID": 261, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.3, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "50%", "Simple Average Error": 6.9, "Simple Expected Error": 9.4, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.4, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -2.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "2/12/08"} {"rowid": 129, "Pollster": "Personal Marketing Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 252, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", 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"# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "5/24/16"} {"rowid": 132, "Pollster": "University of Houston", "Pollster Rating ID": 351, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": null, "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.0, "Simple Expected Error": 8.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": -6.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -6.3, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.3, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 0, "Bias": null, "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "2/17/16"} {"rowid": 133, "Pollster": "Market Solutions Group", "Pollster Rating ID": 188, "# of Polls": 4, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "25%", "Simple Average Error": 4.4, "Simple Expected Error": 6.6, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.0, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.4, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +0.1", "House Effect": "D +1.5", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": 4.4, "Herding Penalty": 0.45, "latest_poll": "10/19/04"} {"rowid": 134, "Pollster": "Moore Information", "Pollster Rating ID": 217, "# of Polls": 9, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.7", "Races Called Correctly": "67%", "Misses Outside MOE": "11%", "Simple Average Error": 6.5, "Simple Expected Error": 6.5, "Simple Plus-Minus": 0.2, 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{"rowid": 139, "Pollster": "University of Tennessee", "Pollster Rating ID": 362, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 2.7, "Simple Expected Error": 5.1, "Simple Plus-Minus": -2.2, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -5.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.2, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "R +2.7", "House Effect": "R +5.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/14/04"} {"rowid": 140, "Pollster": "Fabrizio, Lee & Associates", "Pollster Rating ID": 90, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", "Methodology": "Live", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.2", 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6.0, "Herding Penalty": 0.75, "latest_poll": "10/23/12"} {"rowid": 144, "Pollster": "Strategic Services", "Pollster Rating ID": 319, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "D +0.1", "Races Called Correctly": "50%", "Misses Outside MOE": "0%", "Simple Average Error": 4.2, "Simple Expected Error": 5.7, "Simple Plus-Minus": -1.3, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.7, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": -0.1, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 2, "Bias": "D +4.2", "House Effect": "D +3.4", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/23/06"} {"rowid": 145, "Pollster": "RMS Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 273, "# of Polls": 2, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": 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+4.1", "House Effect": "D +2.7", "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/17/00"} {"rowid": 148, "Pollster": "Midwest Survey and Research", "Pollster Rating ID": 209, "# of Polls": 3, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes*", "Methodology": "Live*", "Banned by 538": "no", "Predictive Plus-Minus": 0.4, "538 Grade": "B/C", "Mean-Reverted Bias": "R +0.0", "Races Called Correctly": "100%", "Misses Outside MOE": "33%", "Simple Average Error": 7.3, "Simple Expected Error": 5.8, "Simple Plus-Minus": 1.7, "Advanced Plus-Minus": -1.0, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus": 0.0, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis": 3, "Bias": "R +1.1", "House Effect": null, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)": null, "Herding Penalty": 0.0, "latest_poll": "10/26/02"} {"rowid": 149, "Pollster": "QEV Analytics", "Pollster Rating ID": 266, "# of Polls": 1, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper": "no", "Live Caller With Cellphones": "yes", 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