pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Herding Penalty
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty ▼ | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 48 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.1 | 79% | 25% | 4.6 | 6.1 | -1.3 | -1.8 | -1.1 | 31 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
6 | 6 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | A/B | D +0.2 | 79% | 8% | 2.8 | 5.9 | -2.9 | -2.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +1.0 | R +0.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 3/27/20 |
8 | 8 | Marist College | 183 | 183 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.3 | 84% | 25% | 5.4 | 6.5 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 113 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 3/13/20 |
11 | 11 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | A/B | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 4.0 | 5.3 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 10 | D +2.3 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 10/28/18 |
14 | 14 | MassINC Polling Group | 198 | 18 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | R +0.7 | 83% | 22% | 4.9 | 6.7 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -0.7 | 12 | R +2.4 | R +1.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
18 | 18 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | 27 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.4 | -3.1 | -2.7 | -0.3 | 6 | D +1.0 | R +1.4 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 |
20 | 20 | Suffolk University | 323 | 88 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A | D +0.6 | 79% | 24% | 5.1 | 6.7 | -1.4 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 52 | D +1.0 | D +1.8 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 |
23 | 23 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.7 | -0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
24 | 24 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.3 | 93% | 14% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 7 | R +2.3 | R +2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/08 |
27 | 27 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 40 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A- | D +1.4 | 71% | 38% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 25 | D +2.7 | D +1.0 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 10/29/18 |
28 | 28 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/10/16 | ||||
29 | 29 | KRC/Communications Research | 160 | 22 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.1 | 91% | 41% | 7.1 | 7.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +2.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1/26/04 |
31 | 31 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
33 | 33 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.0 | -3.9 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/31/98 |
37 | 37 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 |
42 | 42 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +1.0 | 100% | 25% | 5.2 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 2/12/20 | |
43 | 43 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.3 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/98 | |
48 | 48 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 35 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.5 | 63% | 31% | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 33 | D +1.2 | D +0.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 10/25/14 |
53 | 53 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 207 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.2 | 83% | 23% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 153 | D +0.2 | D +0.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
59 | 59 | National Research Inc. | 225 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.5 | 75% | 20% | 5.1 | 6.8 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -0.4 | 7 | R +3.3 | R +5.5 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 3/5/16 |
64 | 64 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 19 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.2 | 74% | 37% | 7.2 | 6.9 | 0.5 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 9 | R +0.8 | R +0.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2/16/20 |
70 | 70 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.8 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 8 | R +3.5 | R +3.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 |
71 | 71 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 39 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.0 | B | D +1.5 | 82% | 23% | 4.8 | 5.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 33 | D +2.8 | R +0.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 6/19/17 |
73 | 73 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | 6 | D +4.1 | R +3.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 |
74 | 74 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | D +0.6 | 75% | 10% | 3.8 | 5.9 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 10 | D +2.6 | D +3.3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 10/21/14 |
75 | 75 | RT Strategies | 275 | 42 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 69% | 40% | 5.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 42 | D +2.2 | D +3.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 |
76 | 76 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 8 | D +0.5 | R +1.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 11/3/16 |
77 | 77 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -0.3 | 9 | R +2.6 | R +2.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/14/10 |
78 | 78 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 423 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.5 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 294 | D +0.4 | D +0.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
81 | 81 | Gallup | 112 | 84 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B | R +0.4 | 69% | 30% | 4.3 | 5.0 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 69 | R +0.7 | R +1.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10/22/18 |
82 | 82 | Rutgers University | 295 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.0 | 86% | 14% | 5.7 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 14 | R +0.1 | D +0.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/18 |
85 | 85 | American Research Group | 9 | 273 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 39% | 7.4 | 7.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 82 | R +0.2 | R +1.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2/9/20 |
86 | 86 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.3 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/08 | |
87 | 87 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 6 | R +4.2 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
91 | 91 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/14/16 | ||||
92 | 92 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.9 | -4.1 | -0.4 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 3/12/16 |
93 | 93 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 30% | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 9 | D +2.7 | D +2.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 |
94 | 94 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 28 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.9 | 82% | 25% | 6.2 | 6.6 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 24 | R +2.4 | R +6.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 |
95 | 95 | Victory Research | 437 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 1 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | ||
96 | 96 | SSRS | 297 | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +1.2 | 50% | 22% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 16 | D +2.9 | D +2.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 |
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
99 | 99 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.6 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 3 | R +2.9 | R +1.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 | |
100 | 100 | YouGov | 391 | 416 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | B | D +0.4 | 88% | 30% | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 357 | D +0.4 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3/7/20 |
101 | 101 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.4 | 8.3 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 2 | R +6.1 | R +0.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 10/27/00 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
108 | 108 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 5.4 | 5.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 5 | D +4.6 | R +1.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 |
111 | 111 | Clemson University | 54 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 43% | 8.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +9.7 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2/21/20 |
112 | 112 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.5 | -3.9 | -5.7 | -0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/12 |
115 | 115 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.4 | 7.7 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1/26/20 | |||
116 | 116 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 382 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.9 | 100% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.6 | 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | D +5.4 | D +6.1 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | |
117 | 117 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 | |
118 | 118 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.1 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.5 | R +1.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 |
122 | 122 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
123 | 123 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/06 |
125 | 125 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 7 | R +0.7 | R +1.6 | 0.0 | 11/29/16 | |
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
128 | 128 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 6.9 | 9.4 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/12/08 | ||||
130 | 130 | High Point University | 139 | 3 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 67% | 33% | 11.5 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +1.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
131 | 131 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 8.3 | -7.2 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/24/16 | ||||
132 | 132 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/16 | ||||
135 | 135 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 9.1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/16 | ||||
137 | 137 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.4 | -0.2 | 1 | R +0.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 | ||
138 | 138 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +2.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/14 |
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
140 | 140 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3 | D +2.1 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 | |
144 | 144 | Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +4.2 | D +3.4 | 0.0 | 10/23/06 | |
147 | 147 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2 | R +4.1 | D +2.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/00 | |
148 | 148 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | ||
149 | 149 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.5 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11/2/09 | ||||
150 | 150 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 4/8/16 | |||
151 | 151 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 50% | 50% | 6.8 | 7.3 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1/16/20 |
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
154 | 154 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 38 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.4 | B- | D +1.0 | 95% | 21% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 31 | D +2.1 | R +2.7 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 |
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
158 | 158 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/06 | ||
160 | 160 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
162 | 162 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.7 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 2 | R +8.2 | D +0.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2/22/00 |
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 | ||||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
167 | 167 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/24/02 | ||
169 | 169 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +3.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/00 | |
170 | 170 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.6 | -4.9 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2/15/00 | |||
171 | 171 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/00 | ||
173 | 173 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 1 | R +1.7 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
174 | 174 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.4 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2/22/16 | |||
175 | 175 | Becker Institute | 26 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 67% | 6.9 | 6.4 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 3 | D +6.9 | D +0.8 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/02 |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +5.8 | 0.0 | 10/18/00 | |
177 | 177 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 119 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | B- | D +1.1 | 70% | 41% | 7.2 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +0.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 10/29/18 |
179 | 179 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 67% | 9.3 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/26/00 | ||||
180 | 180 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
181 | 181 | Basswood Research | 24 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 10.7 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 3/20/16 | ||
183 | 183 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 | |
184 | 184 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.3 | 0.0 | 10/20/98 | ||
185 | 185 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/16 | |
189 | 189 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +5.5 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | ||
190 | 190 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
193 | 193 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/29/12 | ||||
194 | 194 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/19/06 | |
201 | 201 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 8.0 | 8.7 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 3/1/08 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );