pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by Mean-Reverted Bias
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias ▼ | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | 28 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/10/16 | ||||
91 | 91 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/14/16 | ||||
115 | 115 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.4 | 7.7 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1/26/20 | |||
128 | 128 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 6.9 | 9.4 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/12/08 | ||||
129 | 129 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 5.4 | 8.3 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.03 | 1/6/04 | |||
131 | 131 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 8.3 | -7.2 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/24/16 | ||||
132 | 132 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/16 | ||||
135 | 135 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 9.1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/16 | ||||
149 | 149 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.5 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11/2/09 | ||||
150 | 150 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 4/8/16 | |||
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 | ||||
170 | 170 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.6 | -4.9 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2/15/00 | |||
174 | 174 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.4 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 2/22/16 | |||
178 | 178 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.5 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.37 | 1/20/20 | |||
179 | 179 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 67% | 9.3 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/26/00 | ||||
193 | 193 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/29/12 | ||||
201 | 201 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 8.0 | 8.7 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 3/1/08 | |||
232 | 232 | Ron Lester and Associates | 293 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.33 | 1/21/08 | |||
263 | 263 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | 553 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 13.4 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | |||
270 | 270 | Latino Decisions | 482 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 0.6 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 4.7 | 8.6 | -3.7 | -2.7 | -0.3 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.89 | 3/9/20 | |||
275 | 275 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | 50% | 50% | 21.5 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.61 | 1/25/08 | |||
278 | 278 | David Binder Research | 578 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 0.7 | B/C | 0% | 50% | 5.4 | 8.1 | -2.5 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 0 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1/29/20 | |||
281 | 281 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 5.0 | 8.3 | -3.1 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 1/19/16 | |||
283 | 283 | East Carolina University | 523 | 3 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 19.1 | 7.9 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 | |||
317 | 317 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 0.9 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 2.6 | 8.0 | -5.2 | -3.6 | -0.5 | 0 | 3.6 | 0.77 | 3/9/20 | |||
318 | 318 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 11.6 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/27/16 | ||||
319 | 319 | Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions | 568 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 10.7 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | |||
331 | 331 | AtlasIntel | 546 | 8 | no | no | Online | no | 0.9 | B/C | 81% | 63% | 8.8 | 8.2 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 3/15/20 | |||
337 | 337 | Beacon Research | 545 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 11.4 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 | ||||
338 | 338 | Civiqs | 471 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 7.8 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1/28/20 | |||
347 | 347 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.0 | B/C | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 8.2 | -1.6 | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | 3/7/12 | |||
352 | 352 | Meredith College | 423 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 20.3 | 8.1 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 2.9 | 0.74 | 2/20/20 | |||
354 | 354 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 25% | 4.2 | 8.3 | -4.0 | -2.0 | -0.2 | 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3/1/08 | |||
356 | 356 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.5 | -6.1 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/16 | ||||
372 | 372 | RMG Research | 555 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 8.1 | -3.6 | -5.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | ||||
373 | 373 | Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatale | 531 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 7.9 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/20 | ||||
386 | 386 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.5 | -2.8 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 1/27/12 | |||
389 | 389 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 10.4 | 10.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/27/16 | ||||
395 | 395 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/9/16 | ||||
400 | 400 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 7.3 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | 4/7/16 | |||
408 | 408 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 4/27/08 | |||
413 | 413 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2/23/16 | |||
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
416 | 416 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 23.4 | 9.2 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/21/16 | ||||
419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/12 | ||||
434 | 434 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 2 | no | no | Online/Text | yes | 1.7 | F | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.42 | 3/5/20 | |||
436 | 436 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | 50% | 75% | 12.9 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 | |||
438 | 438 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 15.8 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 4/23/16 | |||
441 | 441 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | Online/Text | no | 1.9 | C/D | 83% | 83% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 3/12/20 | |||
446 | 446 | Swayable | 543 | 22 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | D- | 77% | 68% | 12.0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/16/20 | |||
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 19 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.0 | 95% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 18 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 10/16/14 |
31 | 31 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
33 | 33 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.0 | -3.9 | -5.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/31/98 |
36 | 36 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | A/B | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.5 | -3.3 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | D +1.1 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 10/26/14 |
45 | 45 | Winthrop University | 386 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 12.0 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1 | D +0.2 | R +1.2 | 3.6 | 0.27 | 2/14/20 |
51 | 51 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 103 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.0 | 72% | 25% | 5.5 | 6.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 71 | D +0.0 | D +0.1 | 5.0 | 0.09 | 10/30/16 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 10/19/18 |
95 | 95 | Victory Research | 437 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 1 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | ||
117 | 117 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 | |
130 | 130 | High Point University | 139 | 3 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 67% | 33% | 11.5 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +1.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
169 | 169 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +3.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/00 | |
186 | 186 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.4 | -3.6 | -3.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +1.6 | R +1.6 | 1.0 | 2.97 | 10/28/02 |
225 | 225 | Southern Opinion Research | 311 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.2 | 3.5 | 0.69 | 10/30/98 |
241 | 241 | Data for Progress | 522 | 31 | no | no | Online/Text | no | 0.5 | B- | D +0.0 | 81% | 45% | 8.9 | 8.1 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.3 | R +1.9 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
334 | 334 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 5.0 | 5.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +2.7 | 1.6 | 2.11 | 10/17/14 |
357 | 357 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.0 | 35% | 62% | 9.7 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/10/12 |
390 | 390 | Florida Chamber of Commerce | 577 | 1 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.8 | -3.4 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.2 | D +1.9 | 3.2 | 0.85 | 10/27/08 |
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 48 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.1 | 79% | 25% | 4.6 | 6.1 | -1.3 | -1.8 | -1.1 | 31 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
12 | 12 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 787 | yes | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 89% | 20% | 4.7 | 5.9 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.0 | 627 | D +0.1 | R +0.4 | 5.0 | 0.12 | 3/5/20 |
18 | 18 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | 27 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.4 | -3.1 | -2.7 | -0.3 | 6 | D +1.0 | R +1.4 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 |
29 | 29 | KRC/Communications Research | 160 | 22 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.1 | 91% | 41% | 7.1 | 7.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +2.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1/26/04 |
41 | 41 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.8 | D +1.5 | 2.0 | 2.69 | 10/26/02 |
76 | 76 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 8 | D +0.5 | R +1.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 11/3/16 |
84 | 84 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +2.8 | 3.7 | 0.62 | 11/3/16 |
89 | 89 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.5 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +3.4 | 4.8 | 0.74 | 10/25/12 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 27% | 4.2 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 11 | D +0.6 | D +0.4 | 5.1 | 0.35 | 10/24/04 |
97 | 97 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.2 | 6.6 | -3.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 3 | D +1.5 | D +6.5 | 2.7 | 0.35 | 10/12/10 |
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
138 | 138 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +2.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/14 |
144 | 144 | Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +4.2 | D +3.4 | 0.0 | 10/23/06 | |
180 | 180 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.5 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
182 | 182 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.3 | -3.2 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 1 | D +2.8 | D +4.0 | 5.0 | 1.19 | 10/27/06 |
183 | 183 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 | |
184 | 184 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.3 | 0.0 | 10/20/98 | ||
188 | 188 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.3 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 | 10/26/02 |
189 | 189 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +5.5 | 0.0 | 10/28/06 | ||
190 | 190 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
192 | 192 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +5.3 | 3.0 | 1.39 | 4/4/17 |
203 | 203 | Independent Market Research | 148 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 5.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | D +5.3 | D +4.2 | 5.5 | 0.23 | 10/22/98 |
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
210 | 210 | Old Dominion University | 238 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.5 | 5.3 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.5 | R +0.8 | 0.0 | 2.78 | 10/22/13 |
216 | 216 | West Chester University | 377 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 14% | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | D +1.0 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.89 | 10/24/06 |
226 | 226 | NPR | 222 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 4.9 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | 2.1 | 0.61 | 10/24/12 |
257 | 257 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 142 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.1 | 57% | 29% | 6.7 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 6 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/29/12 |
280 | 280 | Southeastern Louisiana University | 309 | 8 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.1 | 88% | 38% | 6.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 8 | D +0.4 | D +0.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/08 |
302 | 302 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live/Text | no | 0.8 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.1 | -4.2 | -8.5 | -0.8 | 1 | D +3.3 | R +7.3 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 2/26/20 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );