pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by NCPP / AAPOR / Roper
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper ▼ | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 17 | Grove Insight | 129 | 29 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.5 | 90% | 7% | 3.0 | 5.8 | -2.6 | -3.0 | -1.4 | 29 | D +1.1 | D +3.4 | 3.8 | 0.67 | 11/2/12 |
46 | 46 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 272 | 34 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | A- | R +0.1 | 87% | 24% | 5.3 | 6.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.6 | 20 | R +0.5 | R +1.5 | 4.5 | 0.05 | 2/7/20 |
50 | 50 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 433 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | B+ | R +0.6 | 87% | 23% | 5.1 | 5.7 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 376 | R +0.7 | R +1.2 | 5.1 | 0.09 | 11/6/19 |
52 | 52 | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 32 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.9 | 84% | 9% | 4.5 | 6.0 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -0.7 | 31 | R +1.8 | R +0.5 | 3.2 | 0.56 | 10/29/18 |
54 | 54 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 49 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | B+ | R +0.2 | 78% | 24% | 5.5 | 6.1 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.5 | 42 | R +0.4 | D +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.13 | 3/5/20 |
55 | 55 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | -0.2 | A/B | D +0.8 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -1.0 | 20 | D +2.1 | D +3.7 | 4.2 | 0.37 | 10/21/16 |
56 | 56 | St. Norbert College | 313 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | A/B | D +0.2 | 88% | 0% | 3.9 | 6.7 | -2.7 | -2.4 | -0.6 | 11 | D +0.9 | D +3.0 | 5.3 | 0.22 | 10/20/14 |
59 | 59 | National Research Inc. | 225 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.5 | 75% | 20% | 5.1 | 6.8 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -0.4 | 7 | R +3.3 | R +5.5 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 3/5/16 |
60 | 60 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.7 | 95% | 21% | 4.8 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -2.1 | -0.5 | 17 | R +3.4 | D +0.9 | 4.6 | 0.04 | 10/25/10 |
63 | 63 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 17 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | R +0.4 | 100% | 12% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 15 | R +1.4 | R +0.2 | 3.7 | 0.63 | 10/22/18 |
65 | 65 | Cygnal | 67 | 13 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +1.0 | 92% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.6 | -2.4 | -3.0 | -1.1 | 13 | D +2.6 | R +1.0 | 3.5 | 0.76 | 11/8/19 |
66 | 66 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 30 | no | no | Online | no | 0.0 | B+ | R +1.2 | 93% | 7% | 3.2 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -1.2 | 30 | R +2.6 | D +0.8 | 3.1 | 0.85 | 11/3/16 |
68 | 68 | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 133 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | 0.0 | F | R +1.5 | 89% | 18% | 3.8 | 5.1 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 110 | R +2.2 | R +2.1 | 4.4 | 0.12 | 11/1/08 |
69 | 69 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | A/B | R +0.6 | 94% | 25% | 5.5 | 6.7 | -1.0 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 6 | R +3.5 | R +6.1 | 4.4 | 0.37 | 10/23/16 |
70 | 70 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.8 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 8 | R +3.5 | R +3.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 |
71 | 71 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 39 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.0 | B | D +1.5 | 82% | 23% | 4.8 | 5.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 33 | D +2.8 | R +0.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 6/19/17 |
72 | 72 | Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) | 375 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.4 | 80% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 15 | R +1.4 | D +1.8 | 3.9 | 0.49 | 10/15/14 |
73 | 73 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -0.5 | 6 | D +4.1 | R +3.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/16 |
74 | 74 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | D +0.6 | 75% | 10% | 3.8 | 5.9 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 10 | D +2.6 | D +3.3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 10/21/14 |
76 | 76 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 8 | D +0.5 | R +1.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 11/3/16 |
77 | 77 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -0.3 | 9 | R +2.6 | R +2.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/14/10 |
78 | 78 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 423 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.1 | B | D +0.3 | 80% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.5 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 294 | D +0.4 | D +0.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2/25/20 |
83 | 83 | Pharos Research Group | 254 | 33 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.1 | F | D +0.8 | 92% | 15% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 33 | D +1.6 | D +1.1 | 4.1 | 0.22 | 10/27/12 |
84 | 84 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +2.8 | 3.7 | 0.62 | 11/3/16 |
86 | 86 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.3 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/08 | |
87 | 87 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 6 | R +4.2 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
88 | 88 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 4.7 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 15 | R +1.7 | R +2.2 | 2.4 | 0.63 | 11/1/08 |
89 | 89 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.5 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +3.4 | 4.8 | 0.74 | 10/25/12 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 27% | 4.2 | 5.3 | -1.0 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 11 | D +0.6 | D +0.4 | 5.1 | 0.35 | 10/24/04 |
91 | 91 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/14/16 | ||||
92 | 92 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.9 | -4.1 | -0.4 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 3/12/16 |
93 | 93 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.7 | 100% | 30% | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 9 | D +2.7 | D +2.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2/14/20 |
94 | 94 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 28 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | R +0.9 | 82% | 25% | 6.2 | 6.6 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 24 | R +2.4 | R +6.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 |
95 | 95 | Victory Research | 437 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 5.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -0.4 | 1 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 | ||
97 | 97 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.2 | 6.6 | -3.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 3 | D +1.5 | D +6.5 | 2.7 | 0.35 | 10/12/10 |
98 | 98 | CJ&N | 63 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.5 | 7.6 | -3.9 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1 | D +3.2 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 | ||
99 | 99 | Marshall Marketing & Communications | 196 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.4 | 6.6 | -3.1 | -1.9 | -0.2 | 3 | R +2.9 | R +1.2 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 | |
100 | 100 | YouGov | 391 | 416 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | B | D +0.4 | 88% | 30% | 4.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 357 | D +0.4 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3/7/20 |
101 | 101 | University of Massachusetts Amherst | 354 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 36% | 6.4 | 8.3 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 2 | R +6.1 | R +0.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 10/27/00 |
102 | 102 | Missouri State University | 212 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.5 | -2.9 | -3.1 | -0.2 | 3 | D +4.1 | D +1.2 | 4.1 | 0.26 | 10/24/10 |
103 | 103 | Northern Arizona University | 234 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 3.6 | 5.6 | -1.9 | -3.2 | -0.2 | 4 | R +3.3 | R +5.1 | 6.0 | 0.19 | 10/23/08 |
104 | 104 | Potomac Incorporated | 256 | 8 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.3 | 88% | 13% | 4.6 | 6.2 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 6 | R +3.1 | D +1.3 | 4.5 | 0.35 | 10/29/06 |
105 | 105 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 9 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 78% | 11% | 3.7 | 5.2 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.2 | 9 | R +1.4 | R +1.5 | 5.3 | 0.34 | 10/28/07 |
106 | 106 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 83% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -3.0 | -0.2 | 6 | R +0.7 | R +3.6 | 3.1 | 1.25 | 10/29/02 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
108 | 108 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 5.4 | 5.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 5 | D +4.6 | R +1.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/10 |
110 | 110 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 302 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.53 | 10/19/18 |
111 | 111 | Clemson University | 54 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 43% | 8.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | -3.5 | -0.7 | 1 | R +16.7 | R +9.7 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2/21/20 |
112 | 112 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.5 | -3.9 | -5.7 | -0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/12 |
114 | 114 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 4 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | 5.5 | 0.65 | 10/20/08 |
115 | 115 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.4 | 7.7 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1/26/20 | |||
116 | 116 | Wiese Research Associates Inc. | 382 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.9 | 100% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.6 | 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | D +5.4 | D +6.1 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | |
117 | 117 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/18 | |
118 | 118 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.1 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.5 | R +1.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 10/21/08 |
119 | 119 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.6 | -4.8 | -6.9 | -0.4 | 1 | R +0.7 | D +3.5 | 5.1 | 0.17 | 10/25/10 |
120 | 120 | Valley Research | 368 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 83% | 17% | 4.3 | 4.4 | 0.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 6 | D +2.4 | D +1.3 | 2.0 | 0.21 | 10/24/04 |
121 | 121 | Research Co. | 449 | 21 | no | no | Online | no | 0.3 | B- | R +0.5 | 88% | 14% | 4.1 | 5.9 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -1.0 | 20 | R +1.1 | D +0.8 | 3.9 | 1.05 | 11/2/18 |
122 | 122 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
123 | 123 | Richard Day Research Inc. | 287 | 11 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 36% | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 11 | R +2.9 | R +0.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/06 |
124 | 124 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 10 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.6 | 80% | 20% | 3.9 | 6.1 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -0.5 | 10 | D +2.4 | D +3.4 | 5.8 | 0.06 | 4/15/18 |
125 | 125 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 14% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 7 | R +0.7 | R +1.6 | 0.0 | 11/29/16 | |
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
127 | 127 | Research 2000 | 281 | 280 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | 0.3 | F | D +1.3 | 88% | 21% | 5.5 | 5.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 248 | D +1.5 | D +1.2 | 4.6 | 0.24 | 1/16/10 |
128 | 128 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 6.9 | 9.4 | -2.4 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/12/08 | ||||
129 | 129 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 5.4 | 8.3 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.03 | 1/6/04 | |||
131 | 131 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 8.3 | -7.2 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/24/16 | ||||
132 | 132 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.5 | -6.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/16 | ||||
133 | 133 | Market Solutions Group | 188 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.6 | -2.0 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 2 | R +0.1 | D +1.5 | 4.4 | 0.45 | 10/19/04 |
134 | 134 | Moore Information | 217 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.7 | 67% | 11% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 9 | R +4.1 | R +5.0 | 5.3 | 0.22 | 10/27/14 |
135 | 135 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 9.1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/16 | ||||
136 | 136 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 | 10/23/04 |
137 | 137 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.4 | -0.2 | 1 | R +0.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 | ||
138 | 138 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +2.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/22/14 |
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
140 | 140 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3 | D +2.1 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 | |
141 | 141 | Frank N. Magid Associates Inc. | 105 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 4 | D +4.7 | R +0.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 10/24/02 |
142 | 142 | Winston Group | 385 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 4.2 | 5.3 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 3 | D +3.8 | R +2.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 10/23/08 |
143 | 143 | Gotham Research Group | 576 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 5.8 | 6.4 | -0.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +5.8 | D +2.0 | 6.0 | 0.75 | 10/23/12 |
144 | 144 | Strategic Services | 319 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +4.2 | D +3.4 | 0.0 | 10/23/06 | |
145 | 145 | RMS Research | 273 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 5.9 | -3.4 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 2 | R +2.3 | R +5.8 | 4.0 | 0.35 | 10/22/02 |
147 | 147 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2 | R +4.1 | D +2.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/00 | |
148 | 148 | Midwest Survey and Research | 209 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 33% | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | R +1.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/02 | ||
149 | 149 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 6.5 | -4.3 | -6.3 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11/2/09 | ||||
150 | 150 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.7 | -2.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 4/8/16 | |||
151 | 151 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 50% | 50% | 6.8 | 7.3 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1/16/20 |
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
154 | 154 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 38 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.4 | B- | D +1.0 | 95% | 21% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 31 | D +2.1 | R +2.7 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 |
155 | 155 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +2.3 | 4.8 | 0.35 | 10/21/16 |
156 | 156 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 2 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.4 | F | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.3 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 2 | R +1.8 | R +3.1 | 1.0 | 1.58 | 4/14/18 |
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
158 | 158 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 5.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/22/06 | ||
159 | 159 | Voter/Consumer Research | 371 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 5.2 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 6 | R +0.0 | R +3.0 | 2.5 | 1.19 | 10/19/14 |
160 | 160 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | 159 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 4 | D +4.6 | D +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/21/02 | |
161 | 161 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 113 | 24 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +1.3 | 85% | 33% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 24 | D +3.2 | D +4.7 | 4.9 | 0.09 | 10/18/16 |
162 | 162 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 33% | 6.5 | 6.7 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 2 | R +8.2 | D +0.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2/22/00 |
163 | 163 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/19/04 | ||||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
165 | 165 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 5 | R +2.2 | R +2.7 | 2.8 | 0.46 | 10/18/02 |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
167 | 167 | Red Sea Communications | 278 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 7.1 | -2.5 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.4 | 0.0 | 10/24/02 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );