pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by latest_poll
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll ▼ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
91 | 91 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.9 | -2.4 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/14/16 | ||||
127 | 127 | Research 2000 | 281 | 280 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | 0.3 | F | D +1.3 | 88% | 21% | 5.5 | 5.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 248 | D +1.5 | D +1.2 | 4.6 | 0.24 | 1/16/10 |
151 | 151 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 50% | 50% | 6.8 | 7.3 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.4 | R +7.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1/16/20 |
407 | 407 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 1/17/10 |
281 | 281 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | 100% | 50% | 5.0 | 8.3 | -3.1 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 1/19/16 | |||
178 | 178 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 6.4 | 8.5 | -1.9 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.37 | 1/20/20 | |||
232 | 232 | Ron Lester and Associates | 293 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.33 | 1/21/08 | |||
4 | 4 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | 448 | 59 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | A+ | R +0.3 | 69% | 10% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.1 | 58 | R +0.4 | D +0.4 | 4.4 | 0.19 | 1/22/20 |
275 | 275 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | 50% | 50% | 21.5 | 9.8 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.61 | 1/25/08 | |||
179 | 179 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | 100% | 67% | 9.3 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/26/00 | ||||
29 | 29 | KRC/Communications Research | 160 | 22 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.1 | 91% | 41% | 7.1 | 7.4 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +2.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1/26/04 |
115 | 115 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 2.4 | 7.7 | -5.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1/26/20 | |||
157 | 157 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | 0% | 0% | 7.1 | 8.6 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/27/08 | ||||
386 | 386 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.5 | -2.8 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 1/27/12 | |||
338 | 338 | Civiqs | 471 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 1.0 | B/C | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 7.8 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1/28/20 | |||
193 | 193 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/29/12 | ||||
278 | 278 | David Binder Research | 578 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 0.7 | B/C | 0% | 50% | 5.4 | 8.1 | -2.5 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 0 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1/29/20 | |||
129 | 129 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | 67% | 33% | 5.4 | 8.3 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.03 | 1/6/04 | |||
97 | 97 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 3.2 | 6.6 | -3.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 3 | D +1.5 | D +6.5 | 2.7 | 0.35 | 10/12/10 |
316 | 316 | Momentum Analysis | 214 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.4 | 33% | 100% | 13.7 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 3 | D +5.7 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | 10/13/10 | |
139 | 139 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -5.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +2.7 | R +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/14/04 | |
77 | 77 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 11% | 3.3 | 5.3 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -0.3 | 9 | R +2.6 | R +2.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/14/10 |
295 | 295 | Mellman Group | 205 | 22 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +1.7 | 80% | 18% | 5.2 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22 | D +4.4 | D +5.5 | 3.7 | 0.38 | 10/14/14 |
424 | 424 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | 10/14/14 | |
276 | 276 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 6.6 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 0.2 | 2 | R +18.3 | R +8.8 | 0.0 | 10/14/98 | |
166 | 166 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.8 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 0.0 | 1 | R +2.6 | 0.0 | 10/15/02 | ||
204 | 204 | University of Maryland | 575 | 1 | yes | no | Landline | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +6.6 | D +2.2 | 0.0 | 10/15/04 | |
218 | 218 | Hill Research Consultants | 140 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.3 | 60% | 20% | 5.3 | 5.6 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 5 | R +3.7 | R +2.7 | 2.2 | 1.49 | 10/15/08 |
248 | 248 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.6 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -0.3 | 7 | R +0.6 | R +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/15/08 | |
279 | 279 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 12.1 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 10.3 | 0.2 | 1 | D +12.1 | D +7.8 | 0.0 | 10/15/08 | |
72 | 72 | Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) | 375 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.4 | 80% | 33% | 5.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 15 | R +1.4 | D +1.8 | 3.9 | 0.49 | 10/15/14 |
290 | 290 | Hickman Analytics | 415 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 9.1 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 1 | D +9.1 | D +7.7 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 | |
449 | 449 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 210 | no | no | Online | no | 2.6 | D- | D +5.0 | 84% | 54% | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 197 | D +5.6 | D +2.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 |
246 | 246 | Bannon Communications | 21 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 10.4 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 2 | D +10.4 | D +8.3 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/04 |
152 | 152 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -6.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.8 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | 10/16/08 | |
251 | 251 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | B/C | R +0.3 | 0% | 100% | 11.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.4 | R +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/16/12 | |
15 | 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 19 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A/B | D +0.0 | 95% | 5% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.4 | 18 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 10/16/14 |
293 | 293 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 9 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.7 | 61% | 11% | 5.8 | 6.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | D +3.8 | D +7.6 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 10/16/14 |
326 | 326 | Normington, Petts & Associates | 232 | 10 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.5 | 60% | 40% | 6.4 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 10 | D +2.7 | D +4.5 | 3.0 | 0.12 | 10/16/14 |
16 | 16 | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 62 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | A | D +0.4 | 76% | 23% | 4.3 | 5.5 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 51 | D +0.7 | D +1.5 | 4.1 | 0.23 | 10/16/18 |
67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 64 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.0 | B+ | R +1.5 | 70% | 22% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 62 | R +2.4 | R +4.1 | 4.3 | 0.33 | 10/16/18 |
82 | 82 | Rutgers University | 295 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | B/C | R +0.0 | 86% | 14% | 5.7 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 14 | R +0.1 | D +0.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/18 |
236 | 236 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +1.1 | 54% | 17% | 3.5 | 4.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 12 | D +3.5 | D +1.1 | 2.7 | 0.39 | 10/16/18 |
336 | 336 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 193 | 10 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.3 | 30% | 70% | 9.9 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 6 | D +1.7 | D +1.6 | 5.6 | 0.59 | 10/16/18 |
43 | 43 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | A/B | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.3 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | 10/16/98 | |
147 | 147 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2 | R +4.1 | D +2.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/00 | |
230 | 230 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 13.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +13.7 | 0.0 | 10/17/02 | ||
164 | 164 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/04 | |
296 | 296 | Consumer Logic | 59 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 75% | 8.8 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 4 | D +5.4 | D +2.5 | 3.1 | 1.17 | 10/17/04 |
112 | 112 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 2.4 | 6.5 | -3.9 | -5.7 | -0.3 | 1 | R +0.6 | D +4.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/12 |
334 | 334 | Multi-Quest International | 220 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.0 | B/C | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 5.0 | 5.7 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +2.7 | 1.6 | 2.11 | 10/17/14 |
9 | 9 | Data Orbital | 73 | 9 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | A/B | D +0.3 | 94% | 0% | 2.3 | 5.3 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -0.7 | 9 | D +1.2 | R +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.65 | 10/17/18 |
70 | 70 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | B/C | R +0.8 | 69% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 8 | R +3.5 | R +3.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 |
140 | 140 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 5.7 | 6.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 3 | D +2.1 | R +4.5 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 | |
219 | 219 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 11 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +1.4 | 82% | 27% | 6.4 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 11 | R +5.0 | R +6.2 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 10/17/18 |
176 | 176 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.1 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.7 | R +5.8 | 0.0 | 10/18/00 | |
165 | 165 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 5 | R +2.2 | R +2.7 | 2.8 | 0.46 | 10/18/02 |
31 | 31 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.0 | -4.7 | -0.1 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
190 | 190 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +5.4 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | |
322 | 322 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | partial | Live/Text | no | 0.9 | B/C | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | D +8.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/04 | ||
86 | 86 | Montana State University Billings | 216 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | B/C | D +0.3 | 57% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.3 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 7 | D +3.0 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/08 | |
198 | 198 | Zimmerman & Associates/Marketing Intelligence | 394 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.7 | 6.0 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | D +3.2 | D +0.7 | 2.2 | 0.72 | 10/18/08 |
282 | 282 | Ohio University | 237 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.8 | D +8.1 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/08 |
383 | 383 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
397 | 397 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
291 | 291 | St. Cloud State University | 312 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 44% | 6.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 9 | D +2.0 | D +1.3 | 5.8 | 0.05 | 10/18/12 |
137 | 137 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.7 | -4.8 | -5.4 | -0.2 | 1 | R +0.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 | ||
277 | 277 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | no | Online | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.8 | 91% | 24% | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.3 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 15 | D +2.7 | D +1.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 |
289 | 289 | Hellenthal & Associates | 137 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | B/C | D +0.4 | 40% | 40% | 8.3 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 3 | D +4.4 | D +1.2 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 |
388 | 388 | MRG Research | 207 | 22 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +2.1 | 82% | 45% | 7.1 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 21 | R +5.5 | R +2.4 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 |
161 | 161 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 113 | 24 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +1.3 | 85% | 33% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 24 | D +3.2 | D +4.7 | 4.9 | 0.09 | 10/18/16 |
23 | 23 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.7 | -0.7 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
126 | 126 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.7 | -3.6 | -4.8 | -0.2 | 1 | D +1.9 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | 10/18/18 | |
37 | 37 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | A/B | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | R +6.4 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 |
173 | 173 | Lauer Lalley Victoria Inc. | 168 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 6.6 | -4.7 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 1 | R +1.7 | D +4.0 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
214 | 214 | TMR Research | 328 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 0% | 50% | 7.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2 | D +7.9 | D +6.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | |
220 | 220 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +11.9 | 0.0 | 10/18/98 | ||
171 | 171 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.0 | 7.0 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 1 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/00 | ||
238 | 238 | MarketAide Services Inc. | 191 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 1 | D +11.2 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/02 | |
122 | 122 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
133 | 133 | Market Solutions Group | 188 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 4.4 | 6.6 | -2.0 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 2 | R +0.1 | D +1.5 | 4.4 | 0.45 | 10/19/04 |
209 | 209 | SMS Research & Marketing Services Inc. | 296 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.2 | 50% | 50% | 5.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | R +5.9 | D +1.8 | 1.0 | 1.44 | 10/19/04 |
228 | 228 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | D +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 8.3 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 4 | D +6.2 | D +3.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/04 | |
194 | 194 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.9 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/19/06 | |
264 | 264 | Lycoming College | 176 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 7.3 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3 | D +7.3 | D +6.3 | 5.0 | 1.11 | 10/19/10 |
107 | 107 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
159 | 159 | Voter/Consumer Research | 371 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 5.2 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 6 | R +0.0 | R +3.0 | 2.5 | 1.19 | 10/19/14 |
445 | 445 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | C/D | D +2.1 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
185 | 185 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | B/C | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/16 | |
19 | 19 | Western New England University | 380 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.3 | 100% | 10% | 4.3 | 6.4 | -1.9 | -2.5 | -0.7 | 9 | R +1.1 | D +2.2 | 2.6 | 1.46 | 10/19/18 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.1 | A/B | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 10/19/18 |
110 | 110 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 302 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | D +0.6 | 83% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.4 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.2 | 3.5 | 0.53 | 10/19/18 |
249 | 249 | Hendrix College | 138 | 14 | no | partial | IVR/Live/Text | no | 0.6 | B/C | D +1.5 | 93% | 50% | 6.5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 13 | D +4.7 | R +3.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/18 | |
448 | 448 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 2.5 | C/D | D +1.8 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +6.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/18 |
215 | 215 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | B/C | R +0.1 | 0% | 100% | 9.9 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1 | R +9.9 | R +14.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/00 | |
24 | 24 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | A/B | R +0.3 | 93% | 14% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.2 | 7 | R +2.3 | R +2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/08 |
114 | 114 | Market Decisions | 184 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 25% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | -2.0 | -0.1 | 4 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | 5.5 | 0.65 | 10/20/08 |
391 | 391 | PSB Research | 250 | 19 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +2.3 | 63% | 42% | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 19 | D +7.0 | D +1.0 | 5.4 | 0.02 | 10/20/10 |
402 | 402 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.4 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 | 10/20/10 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );