pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
453 rows sorted by rowid descending
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid ▲ | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty | latest_poll |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
453 | 453 | Jayhawk Consulting | 157 | 2 | no | no | Landline | no | 3.4 | C/D | D +3.0 | 50% | 100% | 37.6 | 5.8 | 32.0 | 26.9 | 2.1 | 2 | D +37.6 | D +10.9 | 0.0 | 10/23/18 | |
452 | 452 | Humphrey Institute | 143 | 12 | no | no | Landline | no | 3.0 | C/D | D +0.6 | 33% | 50% | 17.9 | 6.5 | 11.6 | 9.2 | 1.9 | 8 | D +3.8 | D +3.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/10 |
451 | 451 | TCJ Research | 327 | 132 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | F | R +4.4 | 60% | 49% | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 124 | R +5.6 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 11/5/12 |
450 | 450 | Nielson Brothers Polling | 231 | 9 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.0 | C/D | D +2.9 | 89% | 67% | 12.2 | 5.1 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 9 | D +12.2 | D +9.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 10/25/16 |
449 | 449 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 210 | no | no | Online | no | 2.6 | D- | D +5.0 | 84% | 54% | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 197 | D +5.6 | D +2.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/15/19 |
448 | 448 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 2.5 | C/D | D +1.8 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +6.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 10/19/18 |
447 | 447 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.3 | C/D | R +1.4 | 67% | 50% | 22.1 | 9.0 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 2 | R +18.8 | R +27.7 | 28.3 | 0.0 | 11/2/16 |
446 | 446 | Swayable | 543 | 22 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | D- | 77% | 68% | 12.0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/16/20 | |||
445 | 445 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 2.2 | C/D | D +2.1 | 75% | 75% | 16.5 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 4 | D +16.5 | D +16.5 | 0.0 | 10/19/14 | |
444 | 444 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +0.9 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.5 | 15.2 | 0.7 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 10/28/08 |
443 | 443 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +1.9 | 80% | 60% | 9.9 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 5 | R +9.9 | R +1.7 | 4.5 | 0.92 | 11/1/18 |
442 | 442 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.0 | C/D | R +1.4 | 0% | 100% | 15.6 | 6.3 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 2 | R +15.6 | R +8.3 | 7.1 | 0.37 | 10/31/18 |
441 | 441 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | Online/Text | no | 1.9 | C/D | 83% | 83% | 10.7 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 3/12/20 | |||
440 | 440 | Glascock Group | 116 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.9 | C/D | D +0.2 | 50% | 100% | 15.5 | 5.1 | 10.6 | 9.6 | 0.6 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 12/2/14 |
439 | 439 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +0.5 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 11/6/16 |
438 | 438 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 15.8 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 4/23/16 | |||
437 | 437 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.8 | C/D | R +1.0 | 83% | 67% | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 4 | R +8.8 | R +6.7 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 11/2/12 |
436 | 436 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | 50% | 75% | 12.9 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2/28/20 | |||
435 | 435 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +4.0 | 2.4 | 0.89 | 10/30/16 |
434 | 434 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 2 | no | no | Online/Text | yes | 1.7 | F | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.42 | 3/5/20 | |||
433 | 433 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 7 | no | no | Online | no | 1.7 | C/D | D +1.6 | 93% | 43% | 7.3 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7 | D +6.1 | D +4.3 | 5.1 | 0.16 | 11/10/19 |
432 | 432 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 11/4/16 |
431 | 431 | BWD Global | 527 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 13.5 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | 5/26/16 | |
430 | 430 | Opinion Research Associates | 242 | 14 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +2.0 | 61% | 43% | 9.3 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 14 | D +7.7 | D +6.5 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 10/31/14 |
429 | 429 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 6.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +6.7 | D +7.3 | 0.0 | 10/21/16 | |
428 | 428 | Brown University | 35 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.3 | 83% | 67% | 11.4 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 7 | R +2.2 | R +0.1 | 4.9 | 0.31 | 4/20/16 |
427 | 427 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | C/D | D +0.7 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | 10/23/18 | |
426 | 426 | Target Insyght | 330 | 6 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.6 | C/D | R +0.6 | 75% | 33% | 10.4 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +3.7 | 12.2 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
425 | 425 | Lucid | 175 | 25 | no | no | Online | no | 1.6 | D+ | D +1.9 | 88% | 32% | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 25 | D +3.8 | D +2.3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 10/25/18 |
424 | 424 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | 10/14/14 | |
423 | 423 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.7 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 1 | R +8.7 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 12/4/17 |
422 | 422 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 30 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.5 | C/D | R +2.6 | 88% | 70% | 7.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 30 | R +5.7 | R +3.7 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 11/1/14 |
421 | 421 | Slingshot Strategies | 451 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.5 | C/D | D +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 1 | D +9.3 | D +9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 11/1/18 |
420 | 420 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 213 | 66 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.5 | C- | D +0.8 | 67% | 41% | 7.3 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 41 | D +1.4 | R +0.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 3/8/20 |
419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 3/9/12 | ||||
418 | 418 | Zata3 | 392 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 10.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 2 | R +4.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | 10/20/10 | |
417 | 417 | McLaughlin & Associates | 203 | 25 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.9 | 70% | 36% | 6.2 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 25 | R +2.1 | R +4.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 10/20/18 |
416 | 416 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 23.4 | 9.2 | 14.4 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/21/16 | ||||
415 | 415 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 4 | R +5.8 | R +6.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 10/20/17 |
414 | 414 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.8 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1/12/12 | ||||
413 | 413 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2/23/16 | |||
412 | 412 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +4.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 11/11/15 |
411 | 411 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 1 | R +7.5 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 10/27/10 |
410 | 410 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.4 | C/D | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +3.7 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 10/26/16 |
409 | 409 | Critical Insights | 64 | 19 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.4 | C/D | R +0.1 | 89% | 42% | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 17 | R +0.2 | R +2.1 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 10/31/12 |
408 | 408 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.4 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 8.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 4/27/08 | |||
407 | 407 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 1/17/10 |
406 | 406 | Change Research | 48 | 65 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | C- | D +1.1 | 77% | 38% | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 57 | D +1.6 | D +2.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 3/2/20 |
405 | 405 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1 | D +3.5 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 | 9/6/19 |
404 | 404 | Datamar | 75 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.3 | 69% | 38% | 6.3 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 5 | R +2.8 | R +3.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 11/2/08 |
403 | 403 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 3 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.3 | 100% | 67% | 8.0 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1 | R +5.9 | D +2.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 2/23/20 |
402 | 402 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.4 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 | 10/20/10 |
401 | 401 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | no | IVR/Online | yes | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 25% | 25% | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +4.9 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 11/5/16 |
400 | 400 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 7.3 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | 4/7/16 | |||
399 | 399 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | 11/5/15 | |
398 | 398 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 39 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | C- | D +1.2 | 69% | 36% | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 38 | D +2.0 | R +1.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 3/5/20 |
397 | 397 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C/D | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
396 | 396 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 3.9 | -1.8 | -3.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | R +7.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 10/4/03 |
395 | 395 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 4/9/16 | ||||
394 | 394 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 8 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 88% | 63% | 8.5 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1 | R +1.9 | D +2.3 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 2/25/08 |
393 | 393 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.8 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 | 10/27/16 |
392 | 392 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 48 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 75% | 50% | 5.6 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 34 | R +1.5 | R +3.4 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 2/27/20 |
391 | 391 | PSB Research | 250 | 19 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +2.3 | 63% | 42% | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 19 | D +7.0 | D +1.0 | 5.4 | 0.02 | 10/20/10 |
390 | 390 | Florida Chamber of Commerce | 577 | 1 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.8 | -3.4 | -2.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +1.2 | D +1.9 | 3.2 | 0.85 | 10/27/08 |
389 | 389 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 10.4 | 10.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5/27/16 | ||||
388 | 388 | MRG Research | 207 | 22 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +2.1 | 82% | 45% | 7.1 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 21 | R +5.5 | R +2.4 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/14 |
387 | 387 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 5.0 | -0.6 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 1 | D +4.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 | 10/21/14 |
386 | 386 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.5 | -2.8 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 1/27/12 | |||
385 | 385 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.3 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.8 | 4.9 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | R +3.8 | 0.0 | 10/22/12 | ||
384 | 384 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.7 | 7.6 | -0.8 | -3.1 | -0.1 | 1 | R +6.7 | R +11.5 | 0.0 | 10/21/10 | |
383 | 383 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.4 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | 10/18/10 | |
382 | 382 | Arizona State University | 15 | 8 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.6 | 100% | 50% | 8.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +5.8 | D +6.8 | 0.4 | 0.87 | 10/25/08 |
381 | 381 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 7.5 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | R +7.5 | R +0.9 | 0.0 | 10/22/18 | |
380 | 380 | Global Strategy Group | 118 | 22 | no | partial | Online/Live/Text | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +1.8 | 68% | 27% | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 22 | D +4.8 | D +5.2 | 5.6 | 0.05 | 10/22/14 |
379 | 379 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1 | R +0.5 | D +1.7 | 2.0 | 1.58 | 4/11/17 |
378 | 378 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.3 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.1 | 2.2 | 1.29 | 11/1/12 |
377 | 377 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 1 | D +2.6 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 6/16/17 |
376 | 376 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.1 | -3.6 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +3.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 10/28/10 |
375 | 375 | WPA Intelligence (WPAi) | 383 | 17 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.7 | 68% | 47% | 7.5 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 15 | R +2.1 | R +4.8 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2/12/20 |
374 | 374 | RABA Research | 269 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | D +0.3 | 100% | 50% | 5.3 | 6.0 | -0.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +2.0 | 2.3 | 0.57 | 11/2/16 |
373 | 373 | Evan Falchuk and Lou DiNatale | 531 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 7.9 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/17/20 | ||||
372 | 372 | RMG Research | 555 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Online | no | 1.2 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 4.3 | 8.1 | -3.6 | -5.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/20 | ||||
371 | 371 | Edgewater Research/My People Vote | 530 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.5 | -3.6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 2 | R +0.7 | D +0.7 | 1.2 | 1.03 | 11/11/19 |
370 | 370 | We Ask America | 376 | 53 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | 1.2 | C | R +0.8 | 82% | 45% | 6.9 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 34 | R +1.6 | R +2.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 9/25/19 |
369 | 369 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.2 | B/C | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 6.7 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 0.3 | 1 | R +17.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/12 | ||
368 | 368 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 2 | R +3.1 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 10/25/12 |
367 | 367 | The Polling Company Inc. | 337 | 7 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +1.1 | 71% | 57% | 6.2 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 7 | R +4.8 | R +3.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 11/4/17 |
366 | 366 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +1.2 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 10/31/18 |
365 | 365 | ALG Research | 14 | 15 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.5 | 60% | 40% | 6.5 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 15 | D +4.6 | D +6.8 | 4.4 | 0.22 | 10/27/18 |
364 | 364 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.7 | 0% | 100% | 18.7 | 6.2 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 0.7 | 1 | D +18.7 | D +11.3 | 0.0 | 10/24/16 | |
363 | 363 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.2 | -3.4 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 | 11/6/06 |
362 | 362 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +1.2 | 95% | 55% | 6.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | R +4.5 | R +4.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 10/30/18 |
361 | 361 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | no | no | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +1.0 | 93% | 45% | 5.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 17 | D +3.0 | D +2.8 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 11/1/16 | |
360 | 360 | Research America Inc. | 282 | 3 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 14.4 | 7.6 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.7 | R +1.6 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 10/25/18 |
359 | 359 | Riggs Research Services | 289 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.9 | 0% | 100% | 33.7 | 5.9 | 28.0 | 25.9 | 0.7 | 1 | D +33.7 | D +29.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 10/28/10 |
358 | 358 | OH Predictive Insights | 235 | 6 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.1 | B/C | R +0.9 | 67% | 33% | 7.2 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 4 | R +5.4 | R +4.7 | 4.9 | 0.07 | 3/4/20 |
357 | 357 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | Landline | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.0 | 35% | 62% | 9.7 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +1.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3/10/12 |
356 | 356 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.5 | -6.1 | -4.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2/24/16 | ||||
355 | 355 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -7.2 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.7 | R +4.8 | 5.4 | 0.03 | 11/3/16 |
354 | 354 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.1 | B/C | 100% | 25% | 4.2 | 8.3 | -4.0 | -2.0 | -0.2 | 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3/1/08 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL, "latest_poll" TEXT );