pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid | poll_id | question_id | race_id | year | race | location | type_simple | type_detail | pollster | pollster_rating_id | polldate | samplesize ▼ | cand1_name | cand1_party | cand1_pct | cand2_name | cand2_party | cand2_pct | cand3_pct | margin_poll | electiondate | cand1_actual | cand2_actual | margin_actual | error | bias | rightcall | comment | partisan |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5764 | 5764 | 14365 | 18836 | 7474 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_OK | OK | Pres-P | Pres-R | YouGov | 391 | 2/28/2012 | 250.0 | Rick Santorum | REP | 38.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 30.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3/6/2012 | 33.8 | 28.05 | 5.76 | 2.24 | 1.0 | |||
8237 | 8237 | 47933 | 74989 | 652 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_WY | WY | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 251.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 22.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 62.0 | -40.0 | 11/8/2016 | 21.88 | 68.17 | -46.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 1.0 | |||
1946 | 1946 | 64226 | 118182 | 3390 | 2004 | 2004_House-G_NE-1 | NE-1 | House-G | House-G | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 272 | 10/18/2004 | 253.0 | Matt Connealy | DEM | 38.0 | Jeff Fortenberry | REP | 42.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2004 | 43.0 | 54.23 | -11.24 | 7.24 | 7.24 | 1.0 | |||
9367 | 9367 | 63384 | 116268 | 7694 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Morningside College | 536 | 1/20/2020 | 253.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 15.0 | Pete Buttigieg | DEM | 18.0 | 15.0 | -3.0 | 2/3/2020 | 24.71 | 21.31 | 3.41 | 6.41 | 0.0 | |||
5671 | 5671 | 14027 | 18134 | 7450 | 2012 | 2012_Pres-R_FL | FL | Pres-P | Pres-R | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 1/20/2012 | 254.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 37.0 | Newt Gingrich | REP | 26.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 1/31/2012 | 46.4 | 31.93 | 14.47 | 3.47 | 1.0 | |||
9410 | 9410 | 64102 | 117945 | 7735 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_NV | NV | Pres-P | Pres-D | Point Blank Political | 550 | 2/14/2020 | 256.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 13.0 | Joseph R. Biden Jr. | DEM | 14.3 | 12.6 | -1.3 | 2/22/2020 | 33.99 | 17.57 | 16.43 | 17.73 | 0.0 | |||
4632 | 4632 | 43068 | 122953 | 8656 | 2008 | 2008_House-G_US | US | House-G | House-G | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 10/31/2008 | 257.0 | Democratic | DEM | 46.0 | Republican | REP | 28.0 | 18.0 | 11/4/2008 | 53.22 | 42.62 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
6901 | 6901 | 33789 | 40975 | 13 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_WY | WY | Sen-G | Sen-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/20/2014 | 258.0 | Charlie Hardy | DEM | 27.0 | Michael B. Enzi | REP | 67.0 | -40.0 | 11/4/2014 | 17.45 | 72.19 | -54.74 | 14.74 | 14.74 | 1.0 | |||
6945 | 6945 | 33789 | 112369 | 1231 | 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_WY | WY | Gov-G | Gov-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/20/2014 | 258.0 | Pete Gosar | DEM | 33.0 | Matt Hansen Mead | REP | 58.0 | -25.0 | 11/4/2014 | 27.25 | 59.39 | -32.14 | 7.14 | 7.14 | 1.0 | |||
7350 | 7350 | 35899 | 48277 | 7557 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | Emerson College | 88 | 1/19/2016 | 258.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 52.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 43.0 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 2/1/2016 | 49.84 | 49.59 | 0.25 | 8.75 | 1.0 | |||
2036 | 2036 | 4577 | 117850 | 3228 | 2004 | 2004_House-G_CO-3 | CO-3 | House-G | House-G | FM3 Research | 91 | 10/21/2004 | 259.0 | John T. Salazar | DEM | 47.0 | Greg Walcher | REP | 30.0 | 17.0 | 11/2/2004 | 50.55 | 46.56 | 3.99 | 13.01 | 13.01 | 1.0 | for unspecified Democratic spnosor | D | |
7712 | 7712 | 36723 | 50719 | 7634 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-R | Marist College | 183 | 4/8/2016 | 259.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 54.0 | John Richard Kasich | REP | 21.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 4/19/2016 | 59.55 | 24.82 | 34.72 | 1.72 | 1.0 | |||
578 | 578 | 6433 | 7902 | 817 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_HI | HI | Pres-G | Pres-G | Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) | 375 | 10/22/2000 | 261.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 50.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 31.0 | 19.0 | 11/7/2000 | 55.79 | 37.46 | 18.33 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.0 | |||
7088 | 7088 | 34347 | 48328 | 5574 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_NH-1 | NH-1 | House-G | House-G | University of New Hampshire | 357 | 10/24/2014 | 261.0 | Carol Shea-Porter | DEM | 44.0 | Frank C. Guinta | REP | 40.0 | 4.0 | 11/4/2014 | 48.11 | 51.71 | -3.6 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | |||
3285 | 3285 | 2823 | 3453 | 7366 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | SurveyUSA | 325 | 1/23/2008 | 262.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 50.0 | John McCain | REP | 29.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 2/5/2008 | 51.12 | 40.91 | 10.21 | 10.79 | 1.0 | |||
9052 | 9052 | 56545 | 90979 | 332 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_KS-3 | KS-3 | House-G | House-G | Emerson College | 88 | 10/27/2018 | 262.0 | Sharice Davids | DEM | 55.4 | Kevin Yoder | REP | 42.6 | 12.8 | 11/6/2018 | 53.57 | 43.91 | 9.66 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 1.0 | |||
9053 | 9053 | 56545 | 90980 | 333 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_KS-4 | KS-4 | House-G | House-G | Emerson College | 88 | 10/27/2018 | 262.0 | James Thompson | DEM | 33.3 | Ron Estes | REP | 63.1 | -29.799999 | 11/6/2018 | 40.56 | 59.44 | -18.87 | 10.93 | -10.93 | 1.0 | |||
9298 | 9298 | 56778 | 91497 | 437 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_NV-4 | NV-4 | House-G | House-G | Emerson College | 88 | 11/3/2018 | 263.0 | Steven Horsford | DEM | 48.0 | Cresent Hardy | REP | 44.2 | 3.8 | 11/6/2018 | 51.93 | 43.75 | 8.18 | 4.38 | -4.38 | 1.0 | |||
399 | 399 | 7262 | 8903 | 7146 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-R | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 2/25/2000 | 264.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 40.0 | John McCain | REP | 47.0 | -7.0 | 3/7/2000 | 50.3 | 43.5 | 6.8 | 13.8 | 0.0 | ||||
7588 | 7588 | 36569 | 50166 | 7609 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_FL | FL | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 3/4/2016 | 264.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 61.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 34.0 | 27.0 | 3/15/2016 | 64.44 | 33.28 | 31.16 | 4.16 | 1.0 | ||||
7348 | 7348 | 35900 | 48276 | 7558 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 1/18/2016 | 266.0 | Ted Cruz | REP | 26.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 37.0 | 14.0 | -11.0 | 2/1/2016 | 27.64 | 24.3 | 3.34 | 14.34 | 0.0 | |||
7496 | 7496 | 36468 | 49970 | 7564 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-D | Emerson College | 88 | 2/23/2016 | 266.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 60.1 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 36.5 | 23.6 | 2/27/2016 | 73.47 | 25.97 | 47.5 | 23.9 | 1.0 | ||||
15 | 15 | 26233 | 87974 | 1466 | 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_WI | WI | Gov-G | Gov-G | St. Norbert College | 313 | 10/14/1998 | 269.0 | Ed Garvey | DEM | 35.0 | Tommy Thompson | REP | 59.0 | -24.0 | 11/3/1998 | 38.7 | 59.66 | -20.97 | 3.03 | -3.03 | 1.0 | |||
3223 | 3223 | 2875 | 3512 | 7366 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | SurveyUSA | 325 | 1/16/2008 | 269.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 48.0 | John McCain | REP | 34.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 2/5/2008 | 51.12 | 40.91 | 10.21 | 3.79 | 1.0 | |||
447 | 447 | 7172 | 8773 | 7146 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-R | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 3/3/2000 | 270.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 48.0 | John McCain | REP | 39.0 | 9.0 | 3/7/2000 | 50.3 | 43.5 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | ||||
4244 | 4244 | 16450 | 21347 | 732 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_ND | ND | Pres-G | Pres-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/25/2008 | 271.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 43.0 | John McCain | REP | 50.0 | -7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 44.5 | 53.15 | -8.65 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
7352 | 7352 | 35899 | 48275 | 7558 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Emerson College | 88 | 1/19/2016 | 271.0 | Ted Cruz | REP | 23.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 33.0 | 14.0 | -10.0 | 2/1/2016 | 27.64 | 24.3 | 3.34 | 13.34 | 0.0 | |||
8953 | 8953 | 56581 | 91074 | 499 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_PA-9 | PA-9 | House-G | House-G | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 10/24/2018 | 271.0 | Denny Wolff | DEM | 36.0 | Dan Meuser | REP | 57.0 | -21.0 | 11/6/2018 | 40.22 | 59.7 | -19.48 | 1.52 | -1.52 | 1.0 | |||
115 | 115 | 54266 | 118458 | 1964 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_HI-1 | HI-1 | House-G | House-G | Ward Research (Honolulu Star-Advertiser) | 375 | 10/22/1998 | 272.0 | Neil Abercrombie | DEM | 47.0 | Gene Ward | REP | 32.0 | 15.0 | 11/3/1998 | 61.56 | 36.35 | 25.21 | 10.21 | -10.21 | 1.0 | |||
2530 | 2530 | 55097 | 88635 | 1327 | 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_AK | AK | Gov-G | Gov-G | Hellenthal & Associates | 137 | 10/20/2006 | 273.0 | Tony Knowles | DEM | 42.6 | Sarah Palin | REP | 41.9 | 0.69999999 | 11/7/2006 | 40.97 | 48.33 | -7.36 | 8.06 | 8.06 | 0.0 | |||
4056 | 4056 | 16719 | 117943 | 4152 | 2008 | 2008_House-G_ID-1 | ID-1 | House-G | House-G | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 10/21/2008 | 273.0 | Walt Minnick | DEM | 48.0 | William T. Sali | REP | 41.0 | 7.0 | 11/4/2008 | 50.61 | 49.39 | 1.21 | 5.79 | 5.79 | 1.0 | for Walt Minnick | D | |
9452 | 9452 | 64650 | 119382 | 7724 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_NC | NC | Pres-P | Pres-D | High Point University | 139 | 2/25/2020 | 274.0 | Joseph R. Biden Jr. | DEM | 14.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 28.0 | 20.0 | -14.0 | 3/3/2020 | 42.95 | 24.22 | 18.74 | 32.74 | 0.0 | |||
387 | 387 | 64026 | 117830 | 7129 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_CA | CA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 2/22/2000 | 275.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 41.0 | John McCain | REP | 30.0 | 11.0 | 3/7/2000 | 60.58 | 34.72 | 25.86 | 14.86 | 1.0 | ||||
3464 | 3464 | 2626 | 3243 | 7366 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | SurveyUSA | 325 | 2/3/2008 | 275.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 58.0 | John McCain | REP | 37.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 2/5/2008 | 51.12 | 40.91 | 10.21 | 10.79 | 1.0 | |||
4272 | 4272 | 16456 | 21353 | 750 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_VT | VT | Pres-G | Pres-G | YouGov | 391 | 10/25/2008 | 275.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 62.0 | John McCain | REP | 32.0 | 30.0 | 11/4/2008 | 67.46 | 30.45 | 37.01 | 7.01 | -7.01 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
7561 | 7561 | 36501 | 50041 | 7583 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_TX | TX | Pres-P | Pres-D | Emerson College | 88 | 2/27/2016 | 275.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 67.7 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 26.3 | 41.400002 | 3/1/2016 | 65.19 | 33.19 | 32.0 | 9.4 | 1.0 | ||||
8991 | 8991 | 56508 | 90909 | 432 | 2018 | 2018_House-G_NM-2 | NM-2 | House-G | House-G | Emerson College | 88 | 10/25/2018 | 278.0 | Xochitl Torres Small | DEM | 47.2 | Yvette Herrell | REP | 46.8 | 0.40000001 | 11/6/2018 | 50.93 | 49.07 | 1.87 | 1.47 | -1.47 | 1.0 | |||
385 | 385 | 58442 | 8920 | 7145 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | Marist College | 183 | 2/21/2000 | 279.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 59.0 | Bill Bradley | DEM | 33.0 | 26.0 | 3/7/2000 | 65.62 | 33.46 | 32.16 | 6.16 | 1.0 | ||||
7057 | 7057 | 34091 | 48345 | 5492 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-2 | IA-2 | House-G | House-G | Loras College | 171 | 10/23/2014 | 279.0 | Dave Loebsack | DEM | 51.0 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | REP | 38.0 | 13.0 | 11/4/2014 | 52.48 | 47.36 | 5.11 | 7.89 | 7.89 | 1.0 | |||
8119 | 8119 | 47917 | 77237 | 53 | 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_ND | ND | Gov-G | Gov-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 279.0 | Marvin E. Nelson | DEM | 29.0 | Doug Burgum | REP | 68.0 | -39.0 | 11/8/2016 | 19.39 | 76.52 | -57.13 | 18.13 | 18.13 | 1.0 | |||
8146 | 8146 | 47917 | 75134 | 77 | 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_ND | ND | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 279.0 | Eliot Glassheim | DEM | 27.0 | John Hoeven | REP | 71.0 | -44.0 | 11/8/2016 | 16.97 | 78.48 | -61.51 | 17.51 | 17.51 | 1.0 | |||
8208 | 8208 | 47917 | 74973 | 630 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_ND | ND | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 279.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 31.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 53.0 | -22.0 | 11/8/2016 | 27.23 | 62.96 | -35.73 | 13.73 | 13.73 | 1.0 | |||
1487 | 1487 | 25572 | 118107 | 2975 | 2002 | 2002_House-G_NM-2 | NM-2 | House-G | House-G | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 10/30/2002 | 280.0 | John Arthur Smith | DEM | 42.0 | Stevan Pearce | REP | 47.0 | -5.0 | 11/5/2002 | 43.72 | 56.23 | -12.51 | 7.51 | 7.51 | 1.0 | |||
7058 | 7058 | 34091 | 48346 | 5493 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-3 | IA-3 | House-G | House-G | Loras College | 171 | 10/23/2014 | 280.0 | Staci Appel | DEM | 44.0 | David Young | REP | 46.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 42.23 | 52.76 | -10.53 | 8.53 | 8.53 | 1.0 | |||
7059 | 7059 | 34091 | 48347 | 5494 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-4 | IA-4 | House-G | House-G | Loras College | 171 | 10/23/2014 | 280.0 | Jim Mowrer | DEM | 39.0 | Steve King | REP | 51.0 | -12.0 | 11/4/2014 | 38.28 | 61.62 | -23.34 | 11.34 | 11.34 | 1.0 | |||
7347 | 7347 | 35900 | 48278 | 7557 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 1/18/2016 | 280.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 43.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 51.0 | 4.0 | -8.0 | 2/1/2016 | 49.84 | 49.59 | 0.25 | 8.25 | 0.0 | |||
7424 | 7424 | 36348 | 49349 | 7564 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_SC | SC | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 2/13/2016 | 280.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 56.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 38.0 | 18.0 | 2/27/2016 | 73.47 | 25.97 | 47.5 | 29.5 | 1.0 | ||||
407 | 407 | 7244 | 8867 | 7146 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-R | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 2/26/2000 | 281.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 46.0 | John McCain | REP | 36.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 3/7/2000 | 50.3 | 43.5 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | |||
383 | 383 | 64025 | 117829 | 7145 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 2/20/2000 | 282.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 56.0 | Bill Bradley | DEM | 32.0 | 24.0 | 3/7/2000 | 65.62 | 33.46 | 32.16 | 8.16 | 1.0 | ||||
445 | 445 | 7172 | 8786 | 7145 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-D_NY | NY | Pres-P | Pres-D | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 3/3/2000 | 282.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 60.0 | Bill Bradley | DEM | 32.0 | 28.0 | 3/7/2000 | 65.62 | 33.46 | 32.16 | 4.16 | 1.0 | ||||
7056 | 7056 | 34091 | 48349 | 5491 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_IA-1 | IA-1 | House-G | House-G | Loras College | 171 | 10/23/2014 | 282.0 | Patrick Joseph Murphy | DEM | 42.0 | Rod Blum | REP | 44.0 | -2.0 | 11/4/2014 | 48.79 | 51.07 | -2.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.0 | |||
7419 | 7419 | 36350 | 49353 | 7561 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_NV | NV | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 2/13/2016 | 282.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 48.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 47.0 | 1.0 | 2/20/2016 | 52.64 | 47.29 | 5.35 | 4.35 | 1.0 | ||||
7344 | 7344 | 35972 | 48767 | 7558 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Iowa State University | 153 | 1/14/2016 | 283.0 | Ted Cruz | REP | 25.8 | Donald Trump | REP | 18.9 | 12.3 | 6.9000001 | 2/1/2016 | 27.64 | 24.3 | 3.34 | 3.56 | 1.0 | |||
24 | 24 | 26262 | 31502 | 1750 | 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_WI | WI | Sen-G | Sen-G | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 10/15/1998 | 286.0 | Russ Feingold | DEM | 46.0 | Mark W. Neumann | REP | 44.0 | 2.0 | 11/3/1998 | 50.55 | 48.4 | 2.15 | 0.15 | -0.15 | 1.0 | |||
851 | 851 | 6253 | 7709 | 808 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_AR | AR | Pres-G | Pres-G | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 10/31/2000 | 286.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 44.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | -3.0 | 11/7/2000 | 45.86 | 51.31 | -5.44 | 2.44 | 2.44 | 1.0 | |||
2867 | 2867 | 55338 | 117899 | 3716 | 2006 | 2006_House-G_ID-1 | ID-1 | House-G | House-G | Greg Smith and Associates | 128 | 10/29/2006 | 287.0 | Larry Grant | DEM | 34.0 | William T. Sali | REP | 38.0 | -4.0 | 11/7/2006 | 44.8 | 49.94 | -5.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.0 | |||
3426 | 3426 | 2741 | 3363 | 7383 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-D_UT | UT | Pres-P | Pres-D | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 2/1/2008 | 288.0 | Barack Obama | DEM | 53.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 29.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 2/5/2008 | 56.72 | 39.07 | 17.66 | 6.34 | 1.0 | |||
6451 | 6451 | 30669 | 82969 | 5076 | 2012 | 2012_House-G_ME-1 | ME-1 | House-G | House-G | Critical Insights | 64 | 10/31/2012 | 288.0 | Chellie Pingree | DEM | 56.0 | Jonathan T.E. Courtney | REP | 37.0 | 19.0 | 11/6/2012 | 64.79 | 35.21 | 29.58 | 10.58 | -10.58 | 1.0 | |||
2310 | 2310 | 4401 | 118109 | 3412 | 2004 | 2004_House-G_NM-2 | NM-2 | House-G | House-G | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 10/28/2004 | 289.0 | Gary K. King | DEM | 38.0 | Stevan Pearce | REP | 50.0 | -12.0 | 11/2/2004 | 39.8 | 60.2 | -20.39 | 8.39 | 8.39 | 1.0 | |||
7471 | 7471 | 36406 | 49453 | 7576 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Emerson College | 88 | 2/20/2016 | 289.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 50.0 | John Richard Kasich | REP | 13.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 3/1/2016 | 49.1 | 17.99 | 31.12 | 5.88 | 1.0 | |||
3357 | 3357 | 2748 | 3371 | 7380 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_OK | OK | Pres-P | Pres-R | SoonerPoll.com | 308 | 1/29/2008 | 290.0 | John McCain | REP | 40.0 | Mike Huckabee | REP | 19.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 2/5/2008 | 36.64 | 33.4 | 3.25 | 17.75 | 1.0 | |||
6860 | 6860 | 33766 | 48285 | 5514 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_ME-2 | ME-2 | House-G | House-G | University of New Hampshire | 357 | 10/18/2014 | 291.0 | Emily Ann Cain | DEM | 40.0 | Bruce Poliquin | REP | 41.0 | -1.0 | 11/4/2014 | 41.83 | 47.03 | -5.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | |||
5290 | 5290 | 51934 | 82044 | 4706 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_NJ-3 | NJ-3 | House-G | House-G | Rutgers University | 295 | 10/24/2010 | 292.0 | John H. Adler | DEM | 46.0 | Jon Runyan | REP | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11/2/2010 | 47.32 | 50.03 | -2.71 | 3.71 | 3.71 | 0.0 | |||
6833 | 6833 | 34495 | 112367 | 25 | 2014 | 2014_Sen-O_LA | LA | Sen-G | Sen-O | University of New Orleans | 358 | 10/18/2014 | 292.0 | Mary L. Landrieu | DEM | 40.5 | Bill Cassidy | REP | 42.0 | 7.0 | -1.5 | 11/4/2014 | 42.08 | 40.97 | 1.11 | 2.61 | -2.61 | 0.0 | average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll | |
7487 | 7487 | 36491 | 50019 | 7576 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | YouGov | 391 | 2/22/2016 | 292.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 47.0 | John Richard Kasich | REP | 11.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 3/1/2016 | 49.1 | 17.99 | 31.12 | 4.88 | 1.0 | |||
3594 | 3594 | 2418 | 3013 | 7407 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_TX | TX | Pres-P | Pres-R | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 2/25/2008 | 293.0 | John McCain | REP | 59.0 | Mike Huckabee | REP | 29.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 3/4/2008 | 51.22 | 38.02 | 13.2 | 16.8 | 1.0 | |||
405 | 405 | 7223 | 8845 | 7139 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_MD | MD | Pres-P | Pres-R | Potomac Incorporated | 256 | 2/26/2000 | 294.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 47.0 | John McCain | REP | 40.0 | 7.0 | 3/7/2000 | 56.23 | 36.16 | 20.07 | 13.07 | 1.0 | ||||
1579 | 1579 | 63765 | 117418 | 1380 | 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | CA | Gov-G | Gov-GS | SurveyUSA | 325 | 9/21/2003 | 294.0 | Cruz M. Bustamante | DEM | 32.0 | Arnold Schwarzenegger | REP | 39.0 | -7.0 | 10/7/2003 | 31.47 | 48.58 | -17.11 | 10.11 | 10.11 | 1.0 | |||
1585 | 1585 | 63766 | 117419 | 1380 | 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | CA | Gov-G | Gov-GS | SurveyUSA | 325 | 9/29/2003 | 294.0 | Cruz M. Bustamante | DEM | 28.0 | Arnold Schwarzenegger | REP | 45.0 | -17.0 | 10/7/2003 | 31.47 | 48.58 | -17.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1.0 | |||
1589 | 1589 | 63767 | 117420 | 1380 | 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | CA | Gov-G | Gov-GS | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/3/2003 | 294.0 | Cruz M. Bustamante | DEM | 29.0 | Arnold Schwarzenegger | REP | 49.0 | -20.0 | 10/7/2003 | 31.47 | 48.58 | -17.11 | 2.89 | -2.89 | 1.0 | |||
1591 | 1591 | 63771 | 117424 | 1380 | 2003 | 2003_Gov-GS_CA | CA | Gov-G | Gov-GS | SurveyUSA | 325 | 10/5/2003 | 294.0 | Cruz M. Bustamante | DEM | 34.0 | Arnold Schwarzenegger | REP | 46.0 | -12.0 | 10/7/2003 | 31.47 | 48.58 | -17.11 | 5.11 | 5.11 | 1.0 | |||
7090 | 7090 | 34347 | 48323 | 5575 | 2014 | 2014_House-G_NH-2 | NH-2 | House-G | House-G | University of New Hampshire | 357 | 10/24/2014 | 294.0 | Annie Kuster | DEM | 53.0 | Marilinda Garcia | REP | 30.0 | 23.0 | 11/4/2014 | 54.87 | 44.87 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | |||
7594 | 7594 | 36570 | 50167 | 7618 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-D_OH | OH | Pres-P | Pres-D | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 3/4/2016 | 294.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 63.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 33.0 | 30.0 | 3/15/2016 | 56.12 | 43.13 | 12.99 | 17.01 | 1.0 | ||||
9424 | 9424 | 66272 | 123342 | 7717 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_MO | MO | Pres-P | Pres-D | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 2/20/2020 | 294.0 | Joseph R. Biden Jr. | DEM | 28.91 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 23.13 | 14.29 | 5.7800002 | 3/10/2020 | 60.12 | 34.59 | 25.52 | 19.74 | 1.0 | |||
4931 | 4931 | 51845 | 81922 | 4639 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_ME-1 | ME-1 | House-G | House-G | Critical Insights | 64 | 10/15/2010 | 295.0 | Chellie Pingree | DEM | 45.0 | C. Peter Scontras | REP | 40.0 | 5.0 | 11/2/2010 | 56.82 | 43.17 | 13.64 | 8.64 | -8.64 | 1.0 | among registered voters | ||
5473 | 5473 | 51844 | 81921 | 4639 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_ME-1 | ME-1 | House-G | House-G | Critical Insights | 64 | 10/28/2010 | 295.0 | Chellie Pingree | DEM | 41.0 | C. Peter Scontras | REP | 45.0 | -4.0 | 11/2/2010 | 56.82 | 43.17 | 13.64 | 17.64 | -17.64 | 0.0 | |||
5089 | 5089 | 52047 | 82186 | 4800 | 2010 | 2010_House-G_PA-10 | PA-10 | House-G | House-G | Lycoming College | 176 | 10/19/2010 | 296.0 | Christopher P. Carney | DEM | 45.0 | Tom Marino | REP | 39.0 | 6.0 | 11/2/2010 | 44.82 | 55.18 | -10.35 | 16.35 | 16.35 | 0.0 | |||
3366 | 3366 | 2701 | 3346 | 7366 | 2008 | 2008_Pres-R_MA | MA | Pres-P | Pres-R | SurveyUSA | 325 | 1/30/2008 | 297.0 | Mitt Romney | REP | 57.0 | John McCain | REP | 34.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | 2/5/2008 | 51.12 | 40.91 | 10.21 | 12.79 | 1.0 | |||
7376 | 7376 | 36008 | 48855 | 7558 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | Emerson College | 88 | 1/30/2016 | 298.0 | Ted Cruz | REP | 26.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 27.0 | 22.0 | -1.0 | 2/1/2016 | 27.64 | 24.3 | 3.34 | 4.34 | 0.0 | |||
8148 | 8148 | 47924 | 75140 | 79 | 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_SD | SD | Sen-G | Sen-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 298.0 | Jay H. Williams | DEM | 31.0 | John Thune | REP | 67.0 | -36.0 | 11/8/2016 | 28.17 | 71.83 | -43.66 | 7.66 | 7.66 | 1.0 | |||
8225 | 8225 | 47924 | 74980 | 643 | 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_SD | SD | Pres-G | Pres-G | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 10/28/2016 | 298.0 | Hillary Rodham Clinton | DEM | 27.0 | Donald Trump | REP | 53.0 | -26.0 | 11/8/2016 | 31.74 | 61.53 | -29.79 | 3.79 | 3.79 | 1.0 | |||
9446 | 9446 | 64594 | 119180 | 7757 | 2020 | 2020_Pres-D_UT | UT | Pres-P | Pres-D | RMG Research | 555 | 2/24/2020 | 298.0 | Bernard Sanders | DEM | 28.0 | Joseph R. Biden Jr. | DEM | 6.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 3/3/2020 | 36.14 | 18.44 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | |||
7983 | 7983 | 47772 | 77125 | 5950 | 2016 | 2016_House-G_ME-1 | ME-1 | House-G | House-G | University of New Hampshire | 357 | 10/23/2016 | 299.0 | Chellie Pingree | DEM | 61.0 | Mark Holbrook | REP | 28.0 | 33.0 | 11/8/2016 | 57.99 | 41.94 | 16.05 | 16.95 | 16.95 | 1.0 | |||
41 | 41 | 64137 | 118009 | 1997 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_IN-10 | IN-10 | House-G | House-G | Massie & Associates | 199 | 10/17/1998 | 300.0 | Julia M. Carson | DEM | 37.0 | Gary Anthony Hofmeister | REP | 38.0 | -1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 58.34 | 39.37 | 18.98 | 19.98 | -19.98 | 0.0 | for unspecified Republican spnosor | R | |
52 | 52 | 64392 | 118460 | 2145 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_ND-1 | ND-1 | House-G | House-G | WPA Intelligence (WPAi) | 383 | 10/18/1998 | 300.0 | Earl Pomeroy | DEM | 49.0 | Kevin Cramer | REP | 40.0 | 9.0 | 11/3/1998 | 56.21 | 41.11 | 15.11 | 6.11 | -6.11 | 1.0 | for unspecified Republican spnosor | R | |
102 | 102 | 64170 | 118077 | 1996 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_IN-9 | IN-9 | House-G | House-G | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 10/21/1998 | 300.0 | Baron P. Hill | DEM | 41.0 | Jean Leising | REP | 51.0 | -10.0 | 11/3/1998 | 50.76 | 47.93 | 2.83 | 12.83 | -12.83 | 0.0 | for unspecified Republican spnosor | R | |
135 | 135 | 64140 | 118013 | 1997 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_IN-10 | IN-10 | House-G | House-G | Massie & Associates | 199 | 10/24/1998 | 300.0 | Julia M. Carson | DEM | 38.0 | Gary Anthony Hofmeister | REP | 47.0 | -9.0 | 11/3/1998 | 58.34 | 39.37 | 18.98 | 27.98 | -27.98 | 0.0 | for unspecified Republican spnosor | R | |
152 | 152 | 64398 | 118466 | 1888 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_CA-24 | CA-24 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Brad Sherman | DEM | 47.0 | Randy Hoffman | REP | 34.0 | 13.0 | 11/3/1998 | 57.31 | 38.49 | 18.82 | 5.82 | -5.82 | 1.0 | |||
153 | 153 | 64398 | 118467 | 1900 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_CA-36 | CA-36 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Janice Hahn | DEM | 30.0 | Steven T. Kuykendall | REP | 47.0 | -17.0 | 11/3/1998 | 46.57 | 48.89 | -2.32 | 14.68 | -14.68 | 1.0 | |||
154 | 154 | 64399 | 118468 | 1918 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_CO-2 | CO-2 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Mark Udall | DEM | 36.0 | Bob Greenlee | REP | 53.0 | -17.0 | 11/3/1998 | 49.88 | 47.45 | 2.43 | 19.43 | -19.43 | 0.0 | |||
156 | 156 | 64400 | 118469 | 2035 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_MA-6 | MA-6 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | John F. Tierney | DEM | 52.0 | Peter G. Torkildsen | REP | 31.0 | 21.0 | 11/3/1998 | 54.55 | 42.38 | 12.18 | 8.82 | 8.82 | 1.0 | |||
157 | 157 | 64401 | 118470 | 2067 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_MS-4 | MS-4 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Ronnie Shows | DEM | 42.0 | Delbert Hosemann | REP | 33.0 | 9.0 | 11/3/1998 | 53.39 | 44.86 | 8.53 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 1.0 | |||
159 | 159 | 64402 | 118471 | 2101 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_NM-3 | NM-3 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Tom Udall | DEM | 52.0 | Bill Redmond | REP | 39.0 | 13.0 | 11/3/1998 | 53.16 | 43.27 | 9.89 | 3.11 | 3.11 | 1.0 | |||
161 | 161 | 64403 | 118472 | 2151 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_OH-6 | OH-6 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Ted Strickland | DEM | 42.0 | Nancy P. Hollister | REP | 41.0 | 1.0 | 11/3/1998 | 56.96 | 43.04 | 13.92 | 12.92 | -12.92 | 1.0 | |||
162 | 162 | 64405 | 118480 | 2188 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_PA-13 | PA-13 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Joe Hoeffel | DEM | 42.0 | Jon David Fox | REP | 48.0 | -6.0 | 11/3/1998 | 51.55 | 46.57 | 4.98 | 10.98 | -10.98 | 0.0 | |||
163 | 163 | 64406 | 118481 | 2260 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_WA-1 | WA-1 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Jay Robert Inslee | DEM | 44.0 | Richard Alan White | REP | 44.0 | 0.0 | 11/3/1998 | 49.77 | 44.12 | 5.66 | 5.66 | -5.66 | 0.5 | |||
164 | 164 | 64408 | 118489 | 2272 | 1998 | 1998_House-G_WI-1 | WI-1 | House-G | House-G | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 10/25/1998 | 300.0 | Lydia Carol Spottswood | DEM | 38.0 | Paul Ryan | REP | 52.0 | -14.0 | 11/3/1998 | 42.73 | 57.11 | -14.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.0 | |||
283 | 283 | 7542 | 9405 | 7113 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | PSI | 248 | 1/4/2000 | 300.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 45.0 | Bill Bradley | DEM | 32.0 | 13.0 | 1/24/2000 | 62.85 | 36.6 | 26.25 | 13.25 | 1.0 | ||||
286 | 286 | 7506 | 9339 | 7113 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-D_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-D | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 1/10/2000 | 300.0 | Al Gore | DEM | 48.0 | Bill Bradley | DEM | 33.0 | 15.0 | 1/24/2000 | 62.85 | 36.6 | 26.25 | 11.25 | 1.0 | ||||
288 | 288 | 7506 | 9342 | 7114 | 2000 | 2000_Pres-R_IA | IA | Pres-P | Pres-R | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 1/10/2000 | 300.0 | George W. Bush | REP | 46.0 | Steve Forbes | REP | 24.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 1/24/2000 | 41.01 | 30.51 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 1.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2020/raw-polls" ( "poll_id" INTEGER, "question_id" INTEGER, "race_id" INTEGER, "year" INTEGER, "race" TEXT, "location" TEXT, "type_simple" TEXT, "type_detail" TEXT, "pollster" TEXT, "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER, "polldate" TEXT, "samplesize" REAL, "cand1_name" TEXT, "cand1_party" TEXT, "cand1_pct" REAL, "cand2_name" TEXT, "cand2_party" TEXT, "cand2_pct" REAL, "cand3_pct" REAL, "margin_poll" REAL, "electiondate" TEXT, "cand1_actual" REAL, "cand2_actual" REAL, "margin_actual" REAL, "error" REAL, "bias" REAL, "rightcall" REAL, "comment" TEXT, "partisan" TEXT );