FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Advanced Plus-Minus
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus ▼ | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
263 | 263 | 263 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0409435610025319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.801551818847656 | 6.275675393553641 | -4.469269234099396 | -6.748338224380611 | -0.153368332159537 | 1 | 1.801551818847656 | -13.0 | 0.0 | |
240 | 240 | 240 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | -0.0256045861832137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7379531860351562 | 6.010215435191023 | -5.267407908549278 | -6.730360836853476 | -0.2335217292267797 | 1 | -0.7379531860351562 | 0.0 | ||
116 | 116 | 116 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 4 | no | no | 0.1274346382177961 | B/C | 0.374046740297524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.159484386444092 | 5.083658222124731 | -2.91931949507405 | -6.562266283829818 | -1.143598075117469 | 3 | 2.83880869547526 | -5.112361537085639 | 14.37580641278399 | 0.0 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
162 | 162 | 162 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | no | 0.3472626287757798 | B/C | 0.1940686070137743 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.908102671305338 | 5.773995098674106 | -2.861038086762178 | -5.210448699142625 | -0.5332140147475531 | 2 | 3.034235000610352 | 0.5928573608398438 | 12.75257481287512 | 0.0 |
241 | 241 | 241 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.0714600242176442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.059558868408203 | 6.073717909854865 | -4.009304700840073 | -5.155234784676257 | -0.1788699552178043 | 1 | 2.059558868408203 | -8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
293 | 293 | 293 | Dynamics Marketing | 83 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 0.0387765602878785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.018547058105469 | 6.154617547993511 | -3.131216149281453 | -4.657631660139869 | -0.0598324065822249 | 1 | 3.018547058105469 | -7.5 | 0.0 | |
238 | 238 | 238 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 366 | 3 | no | no | 0.5472114288863595 | B/C | -0.0600707773696393 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.627614339192708 | 6.21254154765672 | -4.580072867857422 | -4.605856013381849 | -0.1699895021284382 | 3 | -1.627614339192708 | 3.361111111111111 | 0.0 | |
218 | 218 | 218 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | 0.0866587653277707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.890171051025391 | 5.708192679384823 | -3.813167287752842 | -4.604348099564906 | -0.2110957742322349 | 1 | 1.890171051025391 | -4.050000190734863 | 0.0 | |
207 | 207 | 207 | Amber Integrated | 556 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.0197500931589227 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3752517700195313 | 5.821665544995738 | -5.441559434369617 | -4.582240064473633 | -0.2411705297091386 | 1 | -0.3752517700195313 | -5.399999618530273 | 6.299999237060547 | 0.1961096424653417 |
80 | 80 | 80 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0723071526680285 | A/B | 0.0189190483417673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8593788146972656 | 4.876444529458897 | -4.012211374155043 | -4.505402691124016 | -0.0991855161597517 | 2 | 0.8593788146972656 | 5.375 | 5.497869162102364 | 0.0 |
72 | 72 | 72 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0950399518333271 | A/B | 0.0274411754240121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8688735961914062 | 5.810770506827918 | -4.937042570029924 | -4.491494658622478 | -0.1418525011964127 | 2 | 0.8688735961914062 | 4.125 | 0.0 | |
235 | 235 | 235 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | -0.0318606585104297 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7985076904296875 | 5.294739482378556 | -4.491377451342279 | -4.471793064531674 | -0.1784256726214928 | 1 | -0.7985076904296875 | 2.0 | 0.0 | |
87 | 87 | 87 | Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | 168 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0464446632527891 | A/B | -0.0184639711316201 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.658950805664063 | 6.284845112644165 | -4.621039966373513 | -4.423442351258791 | -0.0492325098472914 | 1 | -1.658950805664063 | 4.0 | 0.0 | |
202 | 202 | 202 | MFour Mobile Research | 177 | 2 | no | no | 0.4811133034493815 | B/C | -0.1644033527150696 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.808574676513672 | 4.216155656972621 | -1.40272663985236 | -4.391196247839257 | -0.2570440414533494 | 2 | -2.808574676513672 | 5.108332951863607 | 6.905530131437598 | 0.0 |
92 | 92 | 92 | Clemson University | 54 | 8 | no | no | -0.0327079524429111 | A/B | 0.0305970901911662 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.055743932724 | 7.745665259712248 | 2.31493301361834 | -4.333011535195882 | -0.9821700093118636 | 2 | 1.24305534362793 | 2.166666666666666 | 15.99796985711743 | 0.0 |
173 | 173 | 173 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | no | 0.3896180920689654 | B/C | 0.1061730685778454 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 3.205460548400879 | 6.358808464901305 | -3.148493575893838 | -4.259172410081579 | -0.3768334955644899 | 3 | 1.527838389078776 | 6.492857124691917 | 2.666666666666667 | 0.3487572785930814 |
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
47 | 47 | 47 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | no | -0.2283145698385184 | A/B | -0.0470255683040697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.030765533447266 | 7.354118595320895 | -6.318498721267041 | -4.047355406498196 | -0.3548497897677919 | 2 | -0.5363655090332031 | -1.523426869532446 | 0.0 | |
243 | 243 | 243 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | no | 0.5572493027700784 | B/C | -0.091661963825131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726200103759766 | 4.856763059162516 | -2.125708614796161 | -3.986092255272814 | -0.1340228267186099 | 2 | -2.726200103759766 | -5.439999389648438 | 0.0 | |
294 | 294 | 294 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.522224426269531 | 7.922152820894688 | -4.395074054018568 | -3.978707102335895 | -0.0511108731623914 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | |||
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
85 | 85 | 85 | Escalent | 189 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0552193460940959 | A/B | -0.0166482327432473 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.123138427734375 | 5.486926266072844 | -4.35893349773188 | -3.875852503676521 | -0.0574515954278837 | 1 | -1.123138427734375 | -4.641666730244955 | 3.6 | 1.265265741385294 |
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
155 | 155 | 155 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | 0.3212286124688598 | B/C | -0.1990078903029578 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.0 | 1.795216878255208 | 5.473129376508742 | -3.673058157646944 | -3.760935854690828 | -0.4169167074310298 | 3 | -1.795216878255208 | -5.199742801372822 | 4.881398235057152 | 0.7616229920472635 |
219 | 219 | 219 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | -0.0277419910364482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6050987243652344 | 4.986418844306704 | -4.376465779334881 | -3.738883553313888 | -0.1714167785284408 | 1 | -0.6050987243652344 | -4.217575998017282 | 7.549999237060547 | 0.0 |
286 | 286 | 286 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | 0.611345728047248 | B/C | -0.0300829916661306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.889528274536133 | 4.344390565009105 | -2.450007949866383 | -3.720704480533952 | -0.0592369658546209 | 1 | -1.889528274536133 | -7.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
225 | 225 | 225 | The Polling Company Inc./National Research Inc. | 644 | 1 | no | no | 0.5292794977249156 | B/C | -0.1123074703570687 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.625537872314453 | 5.513608298180296 | -2.883216085259253 | -3.702385581933174 | -0.1583696671748479 | 1 | -2.625537872314453 | 1.806111229790582 | 3.55000114440918 | 0.8307405767476224 |
255 | 255 | 255 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | 0.5799820738756363 | B/C | 0.0644898214916852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462959289550781 | 5.432348998703429 | -2.964535368546058 | -3.657323993631593 | -0.0957629192196584 | 1 | 2.462959289550781 | 9.0 | 0.0 | |
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
227 | 227 | 227 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | no | 0.530340999794168 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.411446253458659 | 9.377282965354292 | -3.960982371289043 | -3.530717722236241 | -0.1498001733881424 | 0 | 6.100505063388336 | 0.027413447753404 | |||
7 | 7 | 7 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 13 | yes | no | -0.8697002861718625 | A/B | 0.3831011403830225 | 0.8076923076923077 | 0.0769230769230769 | 2.932985892662635 | 6.054269110656587 | -3.116428877387361 | -3.454291736544523 | -1.235316783275665 | 9 | 1.407818264431424 | -0.5141475002058183 | 4.347614329091975 | 0.1538779277881331 |
66 | 66 | 66 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | no | -0.1289325890940318 | A/B | -0.0395204838800565 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8620071411132812 | 5.824591809115224 | -4.957730327395354 | -3.43964563678583 | -0.1576976030223359 | 1 | -0.8620071411132812 | 1.674285670689174 | 2.0 | 1.229466967224174 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Latino Decisions | 482 | 2 | no | no | 0.381147274344124 | B/C | 0.230152732447574 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.48735237121582 | 6.998023892727285 | -3.505817180904875 | -3.421120513867502 | -0.3421120513867502 | 1 | 4.372901916503906 | -2.489285469055176 | 0.5 | 1.688593257308742 |
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
165 | 165 | 165 | Echelon Insights | 407 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.1488210678100586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.488210678100586 | 5.022068575452601 | -3.529003556745426 | -3.28584820902155 | -0.328584820902155 | 2 | 1.488210678100586 | -2.832186497240511 | 3.10272692285871 | 0.3785494922808028 |
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
124 | 124 | 124 | Strategic National | 318 | 4 | no | no | 0.1543586758086807 | B/C | 0.4398194325814016 | 0.375 | 0.25 | 3.024273872375488 | 5.346863823211337 | -2.317735610229259 | -3.108772776530754 | -0.5143730311959864 | 4 | 2.658185005187988 | -4.752777735392253 | 5.38876275643042 | 0.0146684532680748 |
55 | 55 | 55 | Northern Arizona University | 234 | 4 | yes | no | -0.1914932071865612 | A/B | -0.2397644110238754 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 3.581880569458008 | 5.649931661070706 | -2.063196751006109 | -3.035183791440176 | -0.2190712974725346 | 4 | -3.321882247924805 | -5.12962962962963 | 6.0 | 0.1880023408760161 |
96 | 96 | 96 | Saint Anselm College | 494 | 5 | no | no | -0.0043478260869565 | A/B | 0.4983920221743376 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.593349456787109 | 5.025210111007667 | -2.427006313613969 | -2.983210610041913 | -0.6485240456612853 | 5 | 2.292603302001953 | 0.0333333333333332 | 2.666666666666667 | 0.9257676034617008 |
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
110 | 110 | 110 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 9 | no | no | 0.0504356796517282 | B/C | -0.5912618270888067 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.970684263441298 | 6.491519398164647 | -1.515980794116761 | -2.929827124984147 | -0.5843972775454493 | 7 | -3.121360778808594 | -4.666666666666667 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.3295715813110982 |
256 | 256 | 256 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | no | 0.5824804547828468 | B/C | -0.1048016342512832 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 4.131523132324219 | 5.241303960991875 | -1.104926488061066 | -2.900882953570159 | -0.0735847929610441 | 2 | -4.131523132324219 | 2.731892899104527 | 0.0 | |
270 | 270 | 270 | Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies | 460 | 1 | no | no | 0.5974059606860419 | B/C | -0.0930488167484266 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.029548645019531 | 6.352832115291105 | -4.318429129664985 | -2.889176387062972 | -0.1324602122020666 | 1 | -2.029548645019531 | -2.366666158040364 | 3.0 | 2.579896826126576 |
242 | 242 | 242 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.1311797930771222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.780750274658203 | 5.635256578671561 | -1.849651963406769 | -2.870160877203463 | -0.0995852893255796 | 1 | 3.780750274658203 | -5.400001525878906 | 5.400001525878906 | 0.4194975189688179 |
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
231 | 231 | 231 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | yes | 0.5348104598229051 | F | 0.1097464575157897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.565666198730469 | 5.441342618051372 | -2.870822078714313 | -2.766629486439672 | -0.1183426688731848 | 1 | 2.565666198730469 | -2.554444630940755 | 4.166666666666667 | 0.8959329994868166 |
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
251 | 251 | 251 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | 0.5678598845666973 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.470468521118164 | 7.490421217887829 | -3.015098356163076 | -2.561214517790606 | -0.0772220554053263 | 0 | 11.55555555555556 | 0.0 | |||
5 | 5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | no | -0.9066947881490728 | A/B | -0.68286791423325 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.103997268676758 | 5.990497434167947 | -1.881645824884602 | -2.473642991473191 | -0.92313398496665 | 18 | -2.45507632361518 | 0.725440897248749 | 4.752570927914591 | 0.0 |
230 | 230 | 230 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | 0.5325782279628469 | B/C | 0.0664861010956853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30284309387207 | 4.886251782915052 | -3.578554348436392 | -2.347493426889205 | -0.119796225681907 | 2 | 1.30284309387207 | 3.616071428571428 | 4.0 | 0.9065719204133242 |
50 | 50 | 50 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 9 | no | no | -0.2161511206524903 | A/B | 0.6514053149811404 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.636521657307943 | 6.661359402823979 | -3.019983404909446 | -2.279551776412484 | -0.6921803183240303 | 5 | 3.434135437011719 | 0.3300030026579208 | 3.668343239936295 | 0.4501304626064923 |
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
156 | 156 | 156 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | 0.3273159900092489 | B/C | 0.4063231875307592 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 3.803844451904297 | 4.427948959480438 | -0.6192501669695522 | -2.213302633524329 | -0.2453545825213887 | 3 | 3.66537348429362 | -2.929798049156112 | 3.271102183887483 | 0.2682158477098666 |
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
19 | 19 | 19 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | yes | no | -0.5370805569371541 | A/B | -0.6930586251044314 | 0.9473684210526316 | 0.2105263157894737 | 4.740097848992598 | 5.245323230143717 | -0.5003710405445295 | -2.155558391362864 | -0.4691066218503643 | 17 | -3.425431644215303 | 0.5520147939495113 | 4.496007923756143 | 0.0729941157575656 |
174 | 174 | 174 | Tulchin Research | 340 | 3 | no | no | 0.3967495028002202 | B/C | -0.0834851339549489 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.758841196695963 | 5.287960358380499 | -1.524264821077946 | -2.135247734142755 | -0.2126782791453226 | 3 | -0.8381741841634115 | 5.405614937024239 | 2.891996797437437 | 0.5482649626219331 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
222 | 222 | 222 | Blumenthal Research Daily | 447 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5263744841283232 | F | -0.1575991160111993 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.467611312866211 | 5.638341035807127 | -3.165875382334327 | -2.051734484823545 | -0.1798847586821848 | 2 | -1.797548294067383 | -3.291666666666667 | 1.0 | 1.5836249328262 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
195 | 195 | 195 | Missouri State University | 212 | 3 | no | no | 0.452661694231157 | B/C | 0.3071272553435229 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 4.362482706705729 | 6.31140230716012 | -1.944065259847801 | -1.98086169407013 | -0.1478569754636185 | 3 | 4.114629109700521 | 1.158334732055664 | 4.099998474121094 | 0.2591198504872457 |
151 | 151 | 151 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | no | 0.3074442208645212 | B/C | -0.0702740521806737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.681526184082031 | 5.462639974584008 | -2.776259449895388 | -1.966914782914964 | -0.2293968648084062 | 7 | -0.6025499616350446 | -1.264285796029227 | 0.0 | |
246 | 246 | 246 | Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | 651 | 2 | no | no | 0.5612857184847847 | B/C | -0.1652378082275391 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.652378082275391 | 5.308732091518542 | -3.651499668636562 | -1.94561455137911 | -0.194561455137911 | 2 | -1.652378082275391 | -1.215624690055847 | 2.200000762939453 | 2.014471736226958 |
185 | 185 | 185 | OnPoint | 240 | 6 | no | no | 0.4195104486711769 | B/C | 0.0247740893716518 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.569707234700521 | 5.068054022507265 | -2.493492447200155 | -1.921803885622261 | -0.2069507297089412 | 6 | 0.2300593058268229 | 2.054282395927995 | 3.48864719924326 | 0.7445488744159957 |
139 | 139 | 139 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | no | 0.2390427125467455 | B/C | -0.4270172343358059 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 3.683771345350477 | 5.098838933470263 | -1.410213247513195 | -1.91859403625147 | -0.2769230134479074 | 9 | -2.958485497368707 | -0.8229166666666667 | 5.744313994368434 | 0.0580934133217054 |
63 | 63 | 63 | Wick | 284 | 7 | no | no | -0.1558947575762597 | A/B | -0.1659714457749334 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.0 | 2.200096947806222 | 3.925699169269442 | -1.72074788085663 | -1.907580142382158 | -0.5251704232891569 | 7 | -0.6028592245919364 | -3.730497145167032 | 5.761407580823872 | 0.0 |
228 | 228 | 228 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | no | 0.5308744366044175 | B/C | -0.055599642064223 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 2.664740244547526 | 4.98668521896212 | -2.317090633808005 | -1.87322592458754 | -0.1461447971745971 | 6 | -0.7126541137695312 | -3.704166666666667 | 1.945446689463193 | 1.274145774244554 |
189 | 189 | 189 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 3 | no | no | 0.4254993434463736 | B/C | -0.112109205074789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.932412465413411 | 4.84802488565374 | -2.91075807963374 | -1.871559196768958 | -0.2579638566620892 | 3 | -0.8133659362792969 | 0.5753966437445749 | 2.064001485289123 | 1.226228374303404 |
44 | 44 | 44 | Temple University | 336 | 6 | yes | no | -0.2497520325929586 | A/B | -0.2160478104403776 | 1.0 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.65904426574707 | 5.680047545301856 | -2.016148938948197 | -1.860153293013499 | -0.2040752715764456 | 5 | -2.454236602783203 | 0.7319953757764655 | 3.404894870860216 | 0.1419554183619184 |
32 | 32 | 32 | Grove Insight | 129 | 29 | no | no | -0.3776262492576777 | A/B | 0.5517539789181637 | 0.896551724137931 | 0.0689655172413793 | 2.952531748804553 | 5.123228803365846 | -2.165842713954703 | -1.854106225333469 | -0.8506096999546133 | 29 | 1.202679075043777 | 3.314108001571689 | 3.847079442203469 | 0.6483529342285926 |
39 | 39 | 39 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | no | no | -0.2878686657814885 | A/B | 0.7794182414161517 | 0.9047619047619048 | 0.0476190476190476 | 3.919994990030924 | 5.772737359049807 | -1.847888028412294 | -1.814172326516857 | -0.6849752711822185 | 20 | 2.090176296234131 | 3.493979747174967 | 4.20824696842231 | 0.3597209642869031 |
31 | 31 | 31 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 11 | yes | no | -0.3806335800402641 | A/B | -0.1612337393223545 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.636163191361861 | 5.702708061135182 | -2.061690529166732 | -1.812616607025872 | -0.2986774449822354 | 11 | -0.9784968983043324 | -0.6515151515151515 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
10 | 10 | 10 | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 40 | no | no | -0.7513833843367311 | A | -0.6080981815445845 | 0.875 | 0.1 | 4.338134384155273 | 5.568008056561508 | -1.225019331799646 | -1.767130072846286 | -1.045516722924715 | 39 | -1.030772771590795 | 0.4793430099621862 | 4.64207646394386 | 0.3149313028156319 |
291 | 291 | 291 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | no | 0.6184552499999836 | B/C | 0.0598262926693221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036056518554688 | 5.176661106527053 | -1.135750247365776 | -1.746730230604324 | -0.0258917072915293 | 1 | 4.036056518554688 | -1.333333333333333 | 6.666666666666666 | 0.0 |
259 | 259 | 259 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | 0.5867095617996063 | B/C | -0.1747003444309101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.67205810546875 | 6.567956656091599 | 0.1089557899837401 | -1.74306753384611 | -0.0456402647752209 | 1 | -6.67205810546875 | -11.25000095367432 | 0.0 | |
147 | 147 | 147 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | no | 0.2883837372784128 | B/C | 0.0988550591203688 | 1.0 | 0.2727272727272727 | 4.200706481933594 | 5.203628818713973 | -0.9980679961737898 | -1.723606437434558 | -0.2635927690693167 | 11 | 0.6464032259854403 | 0.3711111492580839 | 5.071841119416734 | 0.3496453085924283 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | 0.2538491059172749 | B/C | -0.1131277768133897 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.0 | 2.45503913031684 | 4.639068437529775 | -2.179174966606345 | -1.694811304753787 | -0.4613475285323269 | 8 | -0.453394889831543 | -0.9934361641541188 | 3.120698850743814 | 1.258770957388996 |
182 | 182 | 182 | MSR Group | 178 | 6 | no | no | 0.4153592331752826 | B/C | 0.1043288883051664 | 1.0 | 0.1666666666666667 | 5.407261530558269 | 5.762207736041764 | -0.3500918648769066 | -1.68912491721802 | -0.1505318801410795 | 6 | 1.170679092407227 | 1.333333333333333 | 0.0 | |
40 | 40 | 40 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 10 | yes | no | -0.2754931355358016 | A/B | -0.222187321142904 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.537170791625976 | 5.386656777087478 | -1.844631644854912 | -1.669356578377343 | -0.2448219489169292 | 10 | -1.515018844604492 | -1.027777438693577 | 5.348942075163053 | 0.3032368524958057 |
250 | 250 | 250 | Manhattanville College | 181 | 3 | no | no | 0.5663975253264174 | B/C | -0.1715809583025112 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246330261230469 | 6.767597272395764 | -0.5164126705587059 | -1.659693474538157 | -0.0572050630429813 | 2 | -8.19076919555664 | 0.1535353323425901 | 7.177654338522139 | 0.0 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 11 | no | no | 0.0397295118765566 | B/C | 0.617120123267614 | 0.7727272727272727 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.71497240933505 | 5.669405626106609 | -1.949578876164969 | -1.649749559329973 | -0.3802153345477424 | 11 | 2.677676460959695 | 3.614009769879855 | 5.24202705227114 | 0.0144037048440678 |
34 | 34 | 34 | National Research Inc. | 225 | 15 | no | no | -0.3587017883973611 | A/B | -0.4235082427366348 | 0.7666666666666667 | 0.1333333333333333 | 4.39080924987793 | 6.097393954064403 | -1.701730363579884 | -1.639751504682349 | -0.6537048030578724 | 12 | -1.213219165802002 | -2.9290894101226 | 4.708379748852069 | 0.1404424683507143 |
78 | 78 | 78 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 18 | no | no | -0.0758072388077397 | A/B | -0.5879486169435573 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 5.132949617173937 | 5.804779806534564 | -0.6669758487540385 | -1.634495628457428 | -0.5652653590346407 | 16 | -1.821194887161255 | -0.2280219780219779 | 4.121158932446784 | 0.562868849288604 |
247 | 247 | 247 | KG Polling | 502 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5629580963561331 | F | 0.1902591516344927 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.170063018798828 | 5.563354060502096 | -3.388436701096678 | -1.625743500085212 | -0.1425362196498393 | 2 | 2.170063018798828 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.574900309824624 |
1 | 1 | 1 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 50 | yes | no | -1.164872371474521 | A+ | 0.1068463875508721 | 0.78 | 0.24 | 4.562133331298828 | 5.959977154458428 | -1.39298948255301 | -1.623991286805722 | -1.006764054913049 | 33 | 0.2013049270167495 | -0.2436310533715819 | 5.339088853326275 | 0.0 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | yes | no | -0.463154299736858 | A/B | -0.6666186527357043 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.377521991729736 | 5.458382514305143 | -1.076006181968817 | -1.622196341123171 | -0.3597660894434694 | 6 | -4.268723805745442 | 1.512220143538255 | 5.405572548404853 | 0.0 |
94 | 94 | 94 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | 119 | 4 | yes | no | -0.0241629481333874 | A/B | -0.2957787846748048 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 2.981807708740234 | 4.960417918246559 | -1.973755868899735 | -1.602300614760774 | -0.17721193398286 | 4 | -2.674348831176758 | 0.2030208667119344 | 2.248334797424331 | 1.940660405078344 |
296 | 296 | 296 | Gotham Research Group | 576 | 1 | no | no | 0.6228818480437359 | B/C | -0.1734449731809093 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.752628326416016 | 5.80416491424317 | -0.046682247220565 | -1.563056099378912 | -0.047127018791067 | 1 | -5.752628326416016 | 1.770000076293945 | 4.0 | 1.387962868760444 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );