FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
341 rows where 538 Grade = "B/C" sorted by Banned by 538
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Suggested facets: Polls Analyzed, NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, # of Polls for Bias Analysis
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 ▼ | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
99 | 99 | 99 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | 0.0050416989092537 | B/C | 0.7468037257420483 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 4.317460784912109 | 4.529008709484654 | -0.2066935839659541 | 0.4441390606891732 | 0.1632249772615992 | 25 | 2.032070770263672 | 1.005657165685872 | 3.818391934927934 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | 103 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 255 | 4 | yes | no | 0.0186936466241424 | B/C | -0.2124617456842096 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 4.294097900390625 | 3.808016719558901 | 0.4909355214383134 | 0.9575147130651566 | 0.0473755494576945 | 4 | -4.294097900390625 | -2.752550264884686 | 3.15546352046416 | 0.2005286905231236 |
104 | 104 | 104 | NPR | 222 | 3 | yes | no | 0.0187906392292975 | B/C | 0.0628007749075856 | 0.1666666666666667 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.715724945068359 | 5.210355843090765 | -0.489776557415816 | 0.2624936646787062 | 0.0203155393532452 | 3 | 0.811438242594401 | 0.6736111898270866 | 2.092172684857494 | 0.6147136559579165 |
105 | 105 | 105 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0259599162417106 | B/C | 0.1012598233566302 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.831283569335938 | 5.543205937713233 | 1.292931972229294 | 1.037013564768634 | 0.0153716075933749 | 1 | 6.831283569335938 | 1.583333333333333 | 2.5 | 2.439576681812079 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 11 | no | no | 0.0397295118765566 | B/C | 0.617120123267614 | 0.7727272727272727 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.71497240933505 | 5.669405626106609 | -1.949578876164969 | -1.649749559329973 | -0.3802153345477424 | 11 | 2.677676460959695 | 3.614009769879855 | 5.24202705227114 | 0.0144037048440678 |
108 | 108 | 108 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0413190733537317 | B/C | -0.1568976460641931 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.09693908691406 | 5.544373067504281 | 8.557420360016371 | 5.885395861681104 | 0.0655039190536681 | 1 | -14.09693908691406 | -5.111111111111111 | 0.0 | |
110 | 110 | 110 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 9 | no | no | 0.0504356796517282 | B/C | -0.5912618270888067 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.970684263441298 | 6.491519398164647 | -1.515980794116761 | -2.929827124984147 | -0.5843972775454493 | 7 | -3.121360778808594 | -4.666666666666667 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.3295715813110982 |
112 | 112 | 112 | Harper Polling | 132 | 14 | no | no | 0.0532142634898178 | B/C | 0.4813360855681433 | 0.7857142857142857 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.74915885925293 | 5.637929723046637 | -1.883916523187118 | -0.9728707779115372 | -0.3676020560722559 | 11 | 1.475977117365057 | -0.7397462573945109 | 4.419007504327381 | 0.4229926231162012 |
113 | 113 | 113 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 8 | yes | no | 0.0894898074870736 | B/C | 0.5707628581405555 | 1.0 | 0.125 | 6.495942831039429 | 5.212411798800342 | 1.288385372845676 | 0.8064343901162643 | 0.2051331123912655 | 7 | 2.752563749040876 | -4.88392869404384 | 6.9375 | 0.0 |
114 | 114 | 114 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | no | 0.1030683156366483 | B/C | 1.125647983043073 | 0.5416666666666666 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.510533014933268 | 4.635695564395752 | -1.120308208855895 | -1.071911308359979 | -0.3449217581609216 | 12 | 3.498169581095377 | 1.098717960991697 | 2.634383123322027 | 0.3971380059273483 |
115 | 115 | 115 | Magellan Strategies | 179 | 18 | no | no | 0.1035523858765678 | B/C | -0.4776541252787224 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.506266805860731 | 6.063859171475669 | 0.4472619749916513 | -0.2990168739268659 | -0.1227934716392558 | 11 | -1.76110146262429 | -4.2279328028361 | 6.207724546209279 | 0.0 |
116 | 116 | 116 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 4 | no | no | 0.1274346382177961 | B/C | 0.374046740297524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.159484386444092 | 5.083658222124731 | -2.91931949507405 | -6.562266283829818 | -1.143598075117469 | 3 | 2.83880869547526 | -5.112361537085639 | 14.37580641278399 | 0.0 |
118 | 118 | 118 | The Kitchens Group | 664 | 1 | yes | no | 0.1322986317253363 | B/C | 0.2585877357845111 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.37808227539063 | 6.271495277910399 | 5.111441338086816 | 7.07727048733797 | 0.1608439196131968 | 1 | 11.37808227539063 | 12.5 | 0.0 | |
120 | 120 | 120 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 302 | 12 | no | no | 0.1451600955110219 | B/C | 0.5545560229747505 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 3.021411736806234 | 5.603694830321737 | -2.577428752908915 | -1.201709097646268 | -0.3328360521905492 | 10 | 2.169110870361328 | 0.0115923127490971 | 3.751690993240957 | 0.3988726134857696 |
121 | 121 | 121 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 5 | no | no | 0.1510535317674696 | B/C | -0.4597777031608106 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 9.491231155395509 | 6.36591430356789 | 3.130171192434207 | -1.309671563957201 | -0.2817604637837424 | 2 | -4.835419654846191 | -9.453224503096711 | 13.78226443376999 | 0.0 |
122 | 122 | 122 | Ward Research/The Honolulu Star-Advertiser | 375 | 15 | no | no | 0.1511211430834034 | B/C | -0.4059751230387894 | 0.8 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.849984232584635 | 5.784769724457165 | 0.0700688487340593 | -1.164893858867452 | -0.3423701519998299 | 15 | -1.381305948893229 | 4.183333333333334 | 3.857677038939983 | 0.4894641420330041 |
123 | 123 | 123 | Mellman Group | 205 | 26 | no | no | 0.1520480746988814 | B/C | 1.746657827030764 | 0.8269230769230769 | 0.1153846153846154 | 4.490122281588041 | 5.184555974988902 | -0.6895793527942712 | -0.3493463202353861 | -0.1610423784242387 | 26 | 3.788993248572716 | 5.262387912805107 | 4.306543304829863 | 0.3034553912964162 |
124 | 124 | 124 | Strategic National | 318 | 4 | no | no | 0.1543586758086807 | B/C | 0.4398194325814016 | 0.375 | 0.25 | 3.024273872375488 | 5.346863823211337 | -2.317735610229259 | -3.108772776530754 | -0.5143730311959864 | 4 | 2.658185005187988 | -4.752777735392253 | 5.38876275643042 | 0.0146684532680748 |
125 | 125 | 125 | Ohio University | 237 | 2 | yes | no | 0.1591715359092751 | B/C | 0.3488958471434552 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.756826400756836 | 5.068121585103855 | 3.69355915625957 | 4.872969650857947 | 0.1941524014103431 | 2 | 8.756826400756836 | 8.1292410833495 | 8.507804121881106 | 0.0 |
126 | 126 | 126 | Victory Research | 437 | 11 | no | no | 0.1606736875907723 | B/C | 0.3170668221454945 | 0.9090909090909092 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.008824608542702 | 4.960331774427822 | 1.053347174721469 | -0.4083780092122424 | -0.1426449226854447 | 10 | 1.003410911560059 | -1.35357224146525 | 4.988767384375763 | 0.0348571992873492 |
127 | 127 | 127 | Winthrop University | 386 | 2 | yes | no | 0.1711058354640243 | B/C | 0.0061413156523676 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 12.02864551544189 | 7.058343476577327 | 4.975156379471157 | 2.219962263503816 | 0.2002199151860212 | 1 | 0.178802490234375 | -1.166666666666667 | 3.625 | 0.2749465506935191 |
128 | 128 | 128 | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 390 | 7 | yes | no | 0.1762504140293043 | B/C | -0.0382907746033507 | 0.5 | 0.5714285714285714 | 10.17622865949358 | 7.449670633024032 | 2.73141236707614 | 2.538778596444412 | 0.2086456842966096 | 3 | -1.088362375895182 | -1.833511944593351 | 4.329685523570529 | 0.2251756637197322 |
129 | 129 | 129 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 5 | yes | no | 0.1841976417493187 | B/C | 0.5520228368341119 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 9.306238555908203 | 6.189826948219094 | 3.121265948295698 | 1.581817502443504 | 0.2252081836044526 | 4 | 4.588798999786377 | -6.125 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.2284261316336307 |
130 | 130 | 130 | St. Norbert College | 313 | 12 | no | no | 0.2008059463973449 | B/C | -0.0109146689642649 | 0.875 | 0.0833333333333333 | 4.796833038330078 | 6.029303755886158 | -1.227616376949491 | -1.042018643054396 | -0.2542176501342202 | 11 | -0.0496240095658736 | 1.500361373121844 | 5.274291885177433 | 0.215817448994672 |
131 | 131 | 131 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | 0.2074642111036509 | B/C | -0.2389402614864285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.865321477254232 | 3.741884229672774 | -1.871708411811952 | -1.434479972329097 | -0.2610489329781672 | 6 | -1.312991460164388 | -0.3925210524768365 | 3.221708933333288 | 0.0037679274717715 |
132 | 132 | 132 | Hendrix College | 138 | 16 | no | no | 0.2125062490338201 | B/C | 1.285739969520104 | 0.9375 | 0.5625 | 7.155205965042114 | 5.760620306055093 | 1.39943999959361 | -0.1630797025130941 | -0.0598624910525482 | 15 | 3.654452260335286 | -2.656944260773836 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | 133 | Optimus | 245 | 19 | yes | no | 0.2176788044997423 | B/C | -1.117009354017847 | 0.8421052631578947 | 0.631578947368421 | 7.233441904971474 | 5.350868055476922 | 1.887428190101142 | 0.8914593771203826 | 0.4110527587988255 | 16 | -2.699467897415161 | -3.307204778863009 | 6.255169107607781 | 0.0 |
134 | 134 | 134 | GBAO | 109 | 12 | no | no | 0.2203111677535956 | B/C | 1.479041192353375 | 0.7916666666666666 | 0.25 | 5.452708562215169 | 5.611396884510587 | -0.1538339816888291 | -0.2625917060492124 | -0.0974839426861965 | 12 | 3.984081268310547 | 3.627154042170042 | 3.988812036885472 | 0.1342054634653038 |
135 | 135 | 135 | Glengariff Group | 117 | 11 | yes | no | 0.2224727202504899 | B/C | 0.7204900844657204 | 0.8181818181818182 | 0.3636363636363636 | 5.300437233664772 | 5.592308861686994 | -0.2870172874156318 | 0.7053953000278429 | 0.2219701410628892 | 10 | 2.378857421875 | 2.724774344433477 | 4.13841022737519 | 0.4411548128416278 |
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
138 | 138 | 138 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | no | 0.2377477215300939 | B/C | 0.7574779155386769 | 0.9411764705882352 | 0.2352941176470588 | 6.268916186164407 | 6.081014144731148 | 0.1927563820398495 | -0.2843979661130155 | -0.0895910708755155 | 15 | 2.647677993774414 | 1.376905109466068 | 7.30000114440918 | 0.0 |
139 | 139 | 139 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | no | 0.2390427125467455 | B/C | -0.4270172343358059 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 3.683771345350477 | 5.098838933470263 | -1.410213247513195 | -1.91859403625147 | -0.2769230134479074 | 9 | -2.958485497368707 | -0.8229166666666667 | 5.744313994368434 | 0.0580934133217054 |
140 | 140 | 140 | Strategies 360 | 321 | 9 | no | no | 0.2422163877128761 | B/C | 1.421533554644307 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.2222222222222222 | 5.857921600341797 | 5.570875705055731 | 0.2919002358926544 | -0.4192802021357459 | -0.1272913004310815 | 9 | 4.682337866889106 | 0.2282407619335033 | 3.622497581846635 | 0.0991578998611475 |
141 | 141 | 141 | RRH Elections | 274 | 9 | no | no | 0.252404032823645 | B/C | 0.4858699786980575 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.217260148790148 | 5.555821995380273 | -1.333707505983536 | -1.249068238111956 | -0.3462611766241897 | 9 | 1.752679189046224 | -3.953673428905254 | 3.888251871823019 | 0.8347469576668479 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | 0.2538491059172749 | B/C | -0.1131277768133897 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.0 | 2.45503913031684 | 4.639068437529775 | -2.179174966606345 | -1.694811304753787 | -0.4613475285323269 | 8 | -0.453394889831543 | -0.9934361641541188 | 3.120698850743814 | 1.258770957388996 |
143 | 143 | 143 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School | 609 | 5 | no | no | 0.2604786172823264 | B/C | 0.1809057152789572 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.195565032958984 | 5.426599648891894 | -2.226180275326319 | -1.062737337696629 | -0.2310298560210063 | 5 | 0.8321662902832031 | 0.7062503337860108 | 4.057142530168806 | 0.2809389771953303 |
147 | 147 | 147 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | no | 0.2883837372784128 | B/C | 0.0988550591203688 | 1.0 | 0.2727272727272727 | 4.200706481933594 | 5.203628818713973 | -0.9980679961737898 | -1.723606437434558 | -0.2635927690693167 | 11 | 0.6464032259854403 | 0.3711111492580839 | 5.071841119416734 | 0.3496453085924283 |
148 | 148 | 148 | RBI Strategies & Research | 271 | 4 | no | no | 0.2909029756979314 | B/C | 0.3606007321116089 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.368895530700684 | 5.377189597858191 | -3.003439726550918 | -1.395041023732948 | -0.2176161786109427 | 3 | 2.516201019287109 | 3.802380770728702 | 5.136646549690034 | 0.0849233300678187 |
149 | 149 | 149 | East Carolina University | 523 | 11 | yes | no | 0.2983267913189318 | B/C | 1.595381223238432 | 0.6363636363636364 | 0.5454545454545454 | 8.97020062533292 | 5.677284900575867 | 3.297770065363641 | 0.962521165359518 | 0.3650942351363688 | 8 | 5.184988975524902 | 0.2522740556978051 | 3.575512006888751 | 0.2527040117540297 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
151 | 151 | 151 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | no | 0.3074442208645212 | B/C | -0.0702740521806737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.681526184082031 | 5.462639974584008 | -2.776259449895388 | -1.966914782914964 | -0.2293968648084062 | 7 | -0.6025499616350446 | -1.264285796029227 | 0.0 | |
152 | 152 | 152 | Kiley & Company | 162 | 5 | no | no | 0.3078822293489991 | B/C | 0.3994022836547365 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.352800750732422 | 5.496475498612677 | -1.138820407273666 | -1.533021049075753 | -0.2084973215471987 | 5 | 2.936690521240235 | 7.015042792426215 | 5.499278384924339 | 0.0 |
153 | 153 | 153 | David Binder Research | 578 | 3 | no | no | 0.3091073661133812 | B/C | 0.096672258879009 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.217210133870442 | 7.210829379443751 | -2.988764904966718 | -1.400248437206332 | -0.200035491029476 | 1 | 1.836772918701172 | 0.6599998474121094 | 6.41262560450705 | 0.0 |
154 | 154 | 154 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 4 | yes | no | 0.3151056467591002 | B/C | 0.0443195435297263 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 7.708187580108643 | 5.584454447447209 | 2.128587473268023 | 2.31988120194679 | 0.3999242802513288 | 2 | 0.4698581695556641 | 4.664999961853027 | 8.582088739025295 | 0.0 |
155 | 155 | 155 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | 0.3212286124688598 | B/C | -0.1990078903029578 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.0 | 1.795216878255208 | 5.473129376508742 | -3.673058157646944 | -3.760935854690828 | -0.4169167074310298 | 3 | -1.795216878255208 | -5.199742801372822 | 4.881398235057152 | 0.7616229920472635 |
156 | 156 | 156 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | 0.3273159900092489 | B/C | 0.4063231875307592 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 3.803844451904297 | 4.427948959480438 | -0.6192501669695522 | -2.213302633524329 | -0.2453545825213887 | 3 | 3.66537348429362 | -2.929798049156112 | 3.271102183887483 | 0.2682158477098666 |
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
161 | 161 | 161 | DFM Research | 69 | 10 | no | no | 0.3459895569589327 | B/C | 1.515475650193169 | 0.75 | 0.4 | 6.439217758178711 | 5.624288879464038 | 0.8197832193212623 | -0.5437796796667821 | -0.1515633757690232 | 10 | 5.437229537963868 | 3.838333291718454 | 2.498721330692217 | 0.4731717688670373 |
162 | 162 | 162 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | no | 0.3472626287757798 | B/C | 0.1940686070137743 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.908102671305338 | 5.773995098674106 | -2.861038086762178 | -5.210448699142625 | -0.5332140147475531 | 2 | 3.034235000610352 | 0.5928573608398438 | 12.75257481287512 | 0.0 |
165 | 165 | 165 | Echelon Insights | 407 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.1488210678100586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.488210678100586 | 5.022068575452601 | -3.529003556745426 | -3.28584820902155 | -0.328584820902155 | 2 | 1.488210678100586 | -2.832186497240511 | 3.10272692285871 | 0.3785494922808028 |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
169 | 169 | 169 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 7 | no | no | 0.370331414542987 | B/C | 0.8153998077643643 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.650873184204102 | 4.737125969854708 | -1.081398445044017 | -0.795073100153267 | -0.2091508301011534 | 6 | 3.200395584106445 | 0.2371146105583032 | 2.939237664711974 | 0.7499170581479203 |
170 | 170 | 170 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 10 | yes | no | 0.3772102066585035 | B/C | 0.9204266116962064 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.216633605957031 | 4.389563749914563 | 0.8319241966490576 | 1.570846139308792 | 0.5222062482325219 | 10 | 2.768730926513672 | 1.510197427257284 | 6.713971738964036 | 0.0 |
171 | 171 | 171 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | no | 0.3800481449922722 | B/C | 0.0532533730961987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.622421688503689 | 5.063046854146427 | -1.435770825036149 | -1.191054899146847 | -0.2296040934072544 | 9 | 0.2762480841742622 | 3.356217749513037 | 4.606347677453184 | 0.7948245687372982 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Latino Decisions | 482 | 2 | no | no | 0.381147274344124 | B/C | 0.230152732447574 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.48735237121582 | 6.998023892727285 | -3.505817180904875 | -3.421120513867502 | -0.3421120513867502 | 1 | 4.372901916503906 | -2.489285469055176 | 0.5 | 1.688593257308742 |
173 | 173 | 173 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | no | 0.3896180920689654 | B/C | 0.1061730685778454 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 3.205460548400879 | 6.358808464901305 | -3.148493575893838 | -4.259172410081579 | -0.3768334955644899 | 3 | 1.527838389078776 | 6.492857124691917 | 2.666666666666667 | 0.3487572785930814 |
174 | 174 | 174 | Tulchin Research | 340 | 3 | no | no | 0.3967495028002202 | B/C | -0.0834851339549489 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.758841196695963 | 5.287960358380499 | -1.524264821077946 | -2.135247734142755 | -0.2126782791453226 | 3 | -0.8381741841634115 | 5.405614937024239 | 2.891996797437437 | 0.5482649626219331 |
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
177 | 177 | 177 | Richard Day Research | 287 | 11 | no | no | 0.4014517960307858 | B/C | -0.4405887038086112 | 1.0 | 0.3636363636363636 | 5.4930551702326 | 5.325724484158049 | 0.1721850266811397 | -0.6287171747472912 | -0.0964872316683623 | 11 | -2.870905095880682 | -0.4476785587129141 | 5.530808907381044 | 0.0 |
178 | 178 | 178 | University of Massachusetts | 354 | 11 | no | no | 0.4059316386698545 | B/C | -0.1538409348022615 | 1.0 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.411165757612749 | 8.01216059489509 | -1.596140496675752 | -0.972958332112748 | -0.1218348968384141 | 2 | -6.064765930175781 | -0.8333333333333339 | 7.665543245237642 | 0.0 |
179 | 179 | 179 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | 350 | 4 | no | no | 0.40783038322842 | B/C | 0.5246314953730709 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.959074020385742 | 4.819615461263455 | -1.855687100271123 | -1.486505520089792 | -0.263551235458236 | 4 | 2.959074020385742 | 0.4448982410582287 | 2.073838434916397 | 1.120195635341472 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
181 | 181 | 181 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | no | 0.4115774659102327 | B/C | 0.1445028223253213 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.420847320556641 | 4.517917228295543 | -2.092215567132313 | -1.139007483398565 | -0.1772226130476071 | 5 | 0.928717803955078 | 2.774069838145422 | 3.758756290232343 | 0.5983990116734001 |
182 | 182 | 182 | MSR Group | 178 | 6 | no | no | 0.4153592331752826 | B/C | 0.1043288883051664 | 1.0 | 0.1666666666666667 | 5.407261530558269 | 5.762207736041764 | -0.3500918648769066 | -1.68912491721802 | -0.1505318801410795 | 6 | 1.170679092407227 | 1.333333333333333 | 0.0 | |
183 | 183 | 183 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 14 | no | no | 0.4159045296029102 | B/C | 0.1268877269017686 | 0.9285714285714286 | 0.2142857142857143 | 5.755923271179199 | 4.803206507591379 | 0.95757110419441 | 0.3139144266510329 | 0.1032564065246739 | 12 | 0.4145644505818685 | -0.9958338207668728 | 6.716335779629527 | 0.0 |
184 | 184 | 184 | OH Predictive Insights | 235 | 7 | no | no | 0.4170434020782141 | B/C | -0.6531998586549802 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.1428571428571428 | 4.496619360787528 | 5.834802874919428 | -1.333329173525312 | -0.2700804289519074 | -0.0696944887808915 | 6 | -2.741799672444662 | -3.343813371058983 | 3.664822717550536 | 0.3845738144231155 |
185 | 185 | 185 | OnPoint | 240 | 6 | no | no | 0.4195104486711769 | B/C | 0.0247740893716518 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.569707234700521 | 5.068054022507265 | -2.493492447200155 | -1.921803885622261 | -0.2069507297089412 | 6 | 0.2300593058268229 | 2.054282395927995 | 3.48864719924326 | 0.7445488744159957 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
189 | 189 | 189 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 3 | no | no | 0.4254993434463736 | B/C | -0.112109205074789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.932412465413411 | 4.84802488565374 | -2.91075807963374 | -1.871559196768958 | -0.2579638566620892 | 3 | -0.8133659362792969 | 0.5753966437445749 | 2.064001485289123 | 1.226228374303404 |
190 | 190 | 190 | Franklin & Marshall College | 106 | 23 | yes | no | 0.4279359074981099 | B/C | 0.5073830960855338 | 0.8695652173913043 | 0.2173913043478261 | 6.114802153214164 | 6.002996384078755 | 0.1166601097419994 | 1.104060899282322 | 0.5034039014384792 | 20 | 1.220170974731445 | 1.145535388367243 | 4.923448892725063 | 0.2543480956420943 |
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
192 | 192 | 192 | University of New Orleans | 358 | 13 | no | no | 0.4359643533691773 | B/C | 0.3304770389901732 | 0.9230769230769232 | 0.3076923076923077 | 5.591800983135517 | 5.283226298607721 | 0.3134290251343854 | 0.3739608014864815 | 0.1228383209619059 | 12 | 1.091541290283203 | 1.878889080330178 | 9.540870496982253 | 0.0 |
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
194 | 194 | 194 | Marshall Marketing | 196 | 4 | no | no | 0.4519125179642489 | B/C | -0.212397164185273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.451752662658691 | 6.163325362506762 | -2.706718359241481 | -1.507514846342002 | -0.1223690859268654 | 3 | -3.065058390299479 | -1.328352507960294 | 0.0 | |
195 | 195 | 195 | Missouri State University | 212 | 3 | no | no | 0.452661694231157 | B/C | 0.3071272553435229 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 4.362482706705729 | 6.31140230716012 | -1.944065259847801 | -1.98086169407013 | -0.1478569754636185 | 3 | 4.114629109700521 | 1.158334732055664 | 4.099998474121094 | 0.2591198504872457 |
196 | 196 | 196 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | no | 0.4549580514686224 | B/C | -0.3469518745512442 | 1.0 | 0.0666666666666667 | 2.941521453857422 | 4.91220702997542 | -1.965831235511408 | -0.362446170419581 | -0.0931873153007553 | 15 | -1.349447377522786 | -1.859637693875078 | 2.458646647744388 | 0.620948476868533 |
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
198 | 198 | 198 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 4 | no | no | 0.4636891018724317 | B/C | 0.2501784336043184 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 4.573753356933594 | 5.563214117501117 | -0.9846064199609336 | -0.6227911300934329 | -0.0833447176815853 | 4 | 1.869451522827148 | -2.922580575430265 | 3.222222222222222 | 0.2118632971668584 |
199 | 199 | 199 | Virginia Commonwealth University | 370 | 7 | no | no | 0.4749581782835856 | B/C | -0.087163255349526 | 1.0 | 0.1428571428571428 | 4.460221426827567 | 5.036781490020702 | -0.5717057225865455 | -0.2945046710252905 | -0.0636500878046174 | 7 | -0.4032985142299107 | -1.391741566216149 | 4.314236685412268 | 0.4943286198972069 |
200 | 200 | 200 | Ragnar Research Partners | 517 | 2 | no | no | 0.4757084010757188 | B/C | 0.3257184982299805 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.802282333374023 | 4.923467673449888 | -0.1163309994692749 | -0.7869159892428119 | -0.0786915989242812 | 2 | 3.257184982299805 | -2.324999809265137 | 0.0 | |
202 | 202 | 202 | MFour Mobile Research | 177 | 2 | no | no | 0.4811133034493815 | B/C | -0.1644033527150696 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.808574676513672 | 4.216155656972621 | -1.40272663985236 | -4.391196247839257 | -0.2570440414533494 | 2 | -2.808574676513672 | 5.108332951863607 | 6.905530131437598 | 0.0 |
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
207 | 207 | 207 | Amber Integrated | 556 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.0197500931589227 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3752517700195313 | 5.821665544995738 | -5.441559434369617 | -4.582240064473633 | -0.2411705297091386 | 1 | -0.3752517700195313 | -5.399999618530273 | 6.299999237060547 | 0.1961096424653417 |
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
211 | 211 | 211 | Wiese Research Associates | 382 | 7 | no | no | 0.5048358593013772 | B/C | 0.9467606616622736 | 1.0 | 0.4285714285714285 | 7.323360988071987 | 5.847293605205125 | 1.480921723473451 | 0.1754684624898306 | 0.0309204293567153 | 7 | 5.372714451381138 | 6.66444426642524 | 0.0 | |
212 | 212 | 212 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | 0.5095395936292186 | B/C | 0.1736514275035423 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 2.674911499023438 | 3.579110389595308 | -0.8993445499652808 | -0.1906186158601363 | -0.0230066790590666 | 4 | 1.438764572143555 | 3.721805380385323 | 4.048593495678862 | 0.0 |
213 | 213 | 213 | JMC Analytics | 156 | 13 | no | no | 0.5106998119231376 | B/C | -0.7819164735009975 | 0.8846153846153846 | 0.1538461538461539 | 5.687059842623198 | 5.164945171268722 | 0.5269690119610644 | 0.6542144436661432 | 0.24310067383506 | 13 | -2.104235429030198 | -1.712971273868803 | 5.797091969873341 | 0.0 |
214 | 214 | 214 | Moore Information | 217 | 12 | no | no | 0.5118782690384208 | B/C | -0.6951948202835481 | 0.75 | 0.1666666666666667 | 6.462831497192383 | 5.818690209241944 | 0.6489956285570281 | 0.3852976995698104 | 0.1144288607242513 | 12 | -2.340816497802734 | -4.355487005555785 | 5.241224483740024 | 0.1719560764917774 |
215 | 215 | 215 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 12 | no | no | 0.5168366660895292 | B/C | -1.638568026149947 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.76245911916097 | 5.638599712294909 | 1.128713747472649 | 0.5763589538430638 | 0.172031710009919 | 12 | -5.489705085754395 | -5.856712356886356 | 7.706283608555769 | 0.0 |
216 | 216 | 216 | The Tyson Group | 334 | 14 | no | no | 0.5169735290229934 | B/C | 0.1068472848265846 | 0.8928571428571429 | 0.1428571428571428 | 4.524324689592634 | 5.719990683847969 | -1.190811653648746 | 0.2916074229095915 | 0.0874990608818113 | 12 | 0.4594434102376302 | 0.108508396639826 | 4.207747811540017 | 0.2877293970616016 |
217 | 217 | 217 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | no | 0.5185105759063202 | B/C | 0.4780232558042909 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.36842155456543 | 5.218344633396079 | 0.1549312617759401 | -0.0514986940478487 | -0.0065792588303422 | 5 | 4.585626983642578 | -1.083808898925781 | 8.5114976391727 | 0.0 |
218 | 218 | 218 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | 0.0866587653277707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.890171051025391 | 5.708192679384823 | -3.813167287752842 | -4.604348099564906 | -0.2110957742322349 | 1 | 1.890171051025391 | -4.050000190734863 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );