FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Herding Penalty
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Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty ▼ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 1 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 50 | yes | no | -1.164872371474521 | A+ | 0.1068463875508721 | 0.78 | 0.24 | 4.562133331298828 | 5.959977154458428 | -1.39298948255301 | -1.623991286805722 | -1.006764054913049 | 33 | 0.2013049270167495 | -0.2436310533715819 | 5.339088853326275 | 0.0 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | no | -0.9066947881490728 | A/B | -0.68286791423325 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.103997268676758 | 5.990497434167947 | -1.881645824884602 | -2.473642991473191 | -0.92313398496665 | 18 | -2.45507632361518 | 0.725440897248749 | 4.752570927914591 | 0.0 |
11 | 11 | 11 | AtlasIntel | 546 | 22 | yes | no | -0.7499685151956839 | A | 0.4354616403579712 | 0.75 | 0.2272727272727273 | 4.584125345403498 | 5.225420256679696 | -0.6364405706696089 | -1.023215482173971 | -0.5627685151956839 | 14 | 0.9953408922467912 | -1.740201084411755 | 6.067670031564372 | 0.0 |
15 | 15 | 15 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 46 | yes | no | -0.6526828278459328 | A | 1.807602334432939 | 0.75 | 0.3695652173913043 | 5.56253603230352 | 5.996276726177782 | -0.428886353267673 | -0.7697429920479961 | -0.5150206567139288 | 31 | 3.073489773658014 | 0.8663459100829412 | 4.616863057440015 | 0.0 |
16 | 16 | 16 | Stockton University | 317 | 11 | yes | no | -0.5988865336566043 | A/B | 0.8586874339554346 | 0.9090909090909092 | 0.1818181818181818 | 4.268058083274147 | 5.3663269154552 | -1.093414491574463 | -1.443419811806566 | -0.4592542556950052 | 11 | 2.698824102228338 | 0.7386111683315703 | 6.07582560725001 | 0.0 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | yes | no | -0.463154299736858 | A/B | -0.6666186527357043 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.377521991729736 | 5.458382514305143 | -1.076006181968817 | -1.622196341123171 | -0.3597660894434694 | 6 | -4.268723805745442 | 1.512220143538255 | 5.405572548404853 | 0.0 |
22 | 22 | 22 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 76 | no | no | -0.44111500781667 | A- | -1.322880839391394 | 0.6578947368421053 | 0.3289473684210527 | 4.464504016073127 | 4.785290985686268 | -0.3159326290065507 | -0.628346204721615 | -0.4965072263540098 | 62 | -1.730800259497858 | -4.426759876682544 | 5.635691353916745 | 0.0 |
23 | 23 | 23 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 17 | yes | no | -0.4350847160589734 | A/B | -1.142767725530053 | 1.0 | 0.2352941176470588 | 5.058373956119313 | 6.340402037348159 | -1.277173740622257 | -0.6710188021511885 | -0.2660216305465535 | 11 | -4.278469779274681 | -1.420514016184773 | 0.0 | |
24 | 24 | 24 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 13 | yes | no | -0.4157477143028115 | A/B | 1.035338401208234 | 1.0 | 0.3076923076923077 | 5.421989147479717 | 5.367781174548801 | 0.0590623135375051 | -0.6752688755025994 | -0.2542033919649918 | 12 | 2.971978823343913 | 2.005821493074492 | 4.543501255013545 | 0.0 |
29 | 29 | 29 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 454 | no | no | -0.3918422921735414 | A- | 0.9321825021704334 | 0.7929515418502202 | 0.3149779735682819 | 5.105827020653544 | 5.550127917653857 | -0.4394465563937247 | -0.432649072316288 | -0.4073063046667555 | 327 | 1.010979282017513 | 1.05247566824167 | 4.572874664914711 | 0.0 |
31 | 31 | 31 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 11 | yes | no | -0.3806335800402641 | A/B | -0.1612337393223545 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.636163191361861 | 5.702708061135182 | -2.061690529166732 | -1.812616607025872 | -0.2986774449822354 | 11 | -0.9784968983043324 | -0.6515151515151515 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
33 | 33 | 33 | The Winston Group | 385 | 10 | yes | no | -0.3628111184548534 | A/B | 1.084935521863051 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.175388336181641 | 5.243162856132545 | -1.062920179344315 | -0.9085701682795456 | -0.2424686196782707 | 10 | 4.065433502197266 | 0.5544444618730905 | 4.733011955875233 | 0.0 |
36 | 36 | 36 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 219 | yes | no | -0.3149763346868122 | A- | 0.5485570013033918 | 0.817351598173516 | 0.2694063926940639 | 4.796165736298583 | 5.627070789704262 | -0.8260507127990924 | -0.3017991517287681 | -0.2669757445552307 | 165 | 0.6401595375754616 | 0.5421931999487883 | 4.89597885188422 | 0.0 |
42 | 42 | 42 | Suffolk University | 323 | 90 | yes | no | -0.2723487593473102 | B+ | 0.9143103775867304 | 0.8111111111111111 | 0.2444444444444444 | 5.100966284010146 | 6.171914465587268 | -1.066093840970535 | -0.2287499662750266 | -0.1754884407814448 | 54 | 1.371931076049805 | 1.690754449233349 | 5.290999667886991 | 0.0 |
47 | 47 | 47 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | no | -0.2283145698385184 | A/B | -0.0470255683040697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.030765533447266 | 7.354118595320895 | -6.318498721267041 | -4.047355406498196 | -0.3548497897677919 | 2 | -0.5363655090332031 | -1.523426869532446 | 0.0 | |
51 | 51 | 51 | Gallup | 112 | 84 | yes | no | -0.2154808928142098 | B+ | -0.5755774082287161 | 0.6904761904761905 | 0.2976190476190476 | 4.266228675842285 | 5.117734480780458 | -0.8466514643315844 | -0.096501672301949 | -0.060565040547599 | 69 | -0.978036880493164 | -1.518965194111872 | 4.154284865219057 | 0.0 |
52 | 52 | 52 | RT Strategies | 275 | 45 | yes | no | -0.2021314652948369 | B+ | 1.002058800878988 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3777777777777778 | 5.921910264756945 | 5.55415604226124 | 0.3726085631022948 | -0.007357279439896 | -0.0034954131741795 | 45 | 2.109171719021267 | 3.299978956228956 | 7.47149558923968 | 0.0 |
58 | 58 | 58 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 31 | no | no | -0.1877888208114844 | B+ | -0.9321207960623455 | 0.8387096774193549 | 0.2258064516129032 | 5.727274064094789 | 6.269753478804693 | -0.5376250741033142 | -0.6242494207968549 | -0.3175109413086395 | 27 | -2.074528164333767 | -5.391174342874497 | 6.234594881392646 | 0.0 |
61 | 61 | 61 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 46 | no | no | -0.1748126895970972 | B+ | 0.6142521511939343 | 0.717391304347826 | 0.2608695652173913 | 5.351888656616211 | 5.511775495543286 | -0.1550324983204863 | -0.4183686364766303 | -0.2690414781712609 | 41 | 0.9773832181604896 | -1.257913985607085 | 5.39987791449076 | 0.0 |
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
63 | 63 | 63 | Wick | 284 | 7 | no | no | -0.1558947575762597 | A/B | -0.1659714457749334 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.0 | 2.200096947806222 | 3.925699169269442 | -1.72074788085663 | -1.907580142382158 | -0.5251704232891569 | 7 | -0.6028592245919364 | -3.730497145167032 | 5.761407580823872 | 0.0 |
64 | 64 | 64 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | yes | no | -0.1475464656834379 | A/B | 0.9783372510157 | 0.9318181818181818 | 0.4545454545454545 | 5.398525238037109 | 5.205428865655135 | 0.1979507129885654 | 0.0248458562544853 | 0.0090245301346492 | 17 | 2.964653912712546 | 2.693081749123809 | 5.531728786497386 | 0.0 |
65 | 65 | 65 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 12 | no | no | -0.1326501768887209 | A/B | 0.8029285444950569 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.25 | 4.055425008138021 | 5.466569561056333 | -1.406290212311723 | -1.459355515377667 | -0.4598786932247855 | 12 | 2.547972361246745 | 2.352757065794363 | 6.00216277883069 | 0.0 |
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
72 | 72 | 72 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0950399518333271 | A/B | 0.0274411754240121 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8688735961914062 | 5.810770506827918 | -4.937042570029924 | -4.491494658622478 | -0.1418525011964127 | 2 | 0.8688735961914062 | 4.125 | 0.0 | |
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
75 | 75 | 75 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 35 | yes | no | -0.0887239206500411 | A/B | 0.445906197212584 | 0.6571428571428571 | 0.3142857142857143 | 4.96545273917062 | 5.250081343486058 | -0.2797742637088484 | 0.2179024459265716 | 0.0947206962882701 | 33 | 1.072647672710997 | 0.0717976123456168 | 4.761307992785031 | 0.0 |
80 | 80 | 80 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0723071526680285 | A/B | 0.0189190483417673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8593788146972656 | 4.876444529458897 | -4.012211374155043 | -4.505402691124016 | -0.0991855161597517 | 2 | 0.8593788146972656 | 5.375 | 5.497869162102364 | 0.0 |
81 | 81 | 81 | KRC Research | 160 | 22 | yes | no | -0.0702860441389983 | A/B | 0.0850921296692476 | 0.9090909090909092 | 0.4090909090909091 | 7.130356875332919 | 6.784775967616778 | 0.3504352483227293 | 0.1624733399840239 | 0.0382628639685359 | 11 | 0.7248476201837714 | 2.476515145735307 | 6.49785078408102 | 0.0 |
82 | 82 | 82 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 182 | yes | no | -0.0622054637457226 | B+ | -1.065041464326777 | 0.8324175824175825 | 0.4835164835164835 | 5.043052254142342 | 4.155189055042091 | 0.8927175397068411 | -0.0052398861622841 | -0.0045132013366394 | 182 | -1.236527159973815 | 0.5303280530923598 | 3.927387720535005 | 0.0 |
86 | 86 | 86 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 26 | no | no | -0.0501213089677877 | B+ | -0.1213159892046658 | 0.5576923076923077 | 0.3461538461538461 | 4.886916087223933 | 5.23281610777392 | -0.3410456799433982 | -0.314876591309273 | -0.1708644787340178 | 25 | -0.23000732421875 | -1.43883243254266 | 3.387095196662985 | 0.0 |
87 | 87 | 87 | Lauer, Lalley, Victoria | 168 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0464446632527891 | A/B | -0.0184639711316201 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.658950805664063 | 6.284845112644165 | -4.621039966373513 | -4.423442351258791 | -0.0492325098472914 | 1 | -1.658950805664063 | 4.0 | 0.0 | |
88 | 88 | 88 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0418053502782946 | A/B | -0.1399591861875582 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.357505798339844 | 5.137398300763543 | 1.22496183818289 | -0.6144861881899994 | -0.0135277873981688 | 2 | -6.357505798339844 | -1.269841269841269 | 6.000000000000001 | 0.0 |
91 | 91 | 91 | New England College | 228 | 19 | no | no | -0.0339156692478161 | A/B | -1.233823913352059 | 0.7368421052631579 | 0.1578947368421053 | 4.186138956170333 | 5.130762388156788 | -0.9397690913798652 | -0.7022128287799915 | -0.2771430608747104 | 19 | -3.126208455939042 | -3.275668947623061 | 5.506584216856184 | 0.0 |
92 | 92 | 92 | Clemson University | 54 | 8 | no | no | -0.0327079524429111 | A/B | 0.0305970901911662 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.055743932724 | 7.745665259712248 | 2.31493301361834 | -4.333011535195882 | -0.9821700093118636 | 2 | 1.24305534362793 | 2.166666666666666 | 15.99796985711743 | 0.0 |
93 | 93 | 93 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | yes | no | -0.028267094412787 | A/B | -0.0472408228151871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677444458007813 | 4.889618661903905 | -1.207319863289503 | -0.2675489206245848 | -0.0034369604484707 | 1 | -3.677444458007813 | -5.8 | 0.0 | |
97 | 97 | 97 | Star Tribune (Minnesota Poll) | 315 | 14 | yes | no | -0.0027021768417726 | A/B | 0.7866531081869236 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.4285714285714285 | 5.33117812020438 | 4.399871006504118 | 0.936161454306852 | 0.4676652409284022 | 0.0882514522723825 | 12 | 4.415757815043132 | 3.103320208554546 | 4.948527776277877 | 0.0 |
99 | 99 | 99 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | 0.0050416989092537 | B/C | 0.7468037257420483 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 4.317460784912109 | 4.529008709484654 | -0.2066935839659541 | 0.4441390606891732 | 0.1632249772615992 | 25 | 2.032070770263672 | 1.005657165685872 | 3.818391934927934 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
108 | 108 | 108 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | no | 0.0413190733537317 | B/C | -0.1568976460641931 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.09693908691406 | 5.544373067504281 | 8.557420360016371 | 5.885395861681104 | 0.0655039190536681 | 1 | -14.09693908691406 | -5.111111111111111 | 0.0 | |
109 | 109 | 109 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 140 | no | no | 0.0430876567634524 | B | 1.134172436865841 | 0.6678571428571428 | 0.3571428571428572 | 6.636673082624163 | 6.63630015324382 | 0.005227269986932 | -0.001721821588002 | -0.0014314655806875 | 63 | 1.515061544993567 | -0.4339651302440422 | 5.842477416317707 | 0.0 |
113 | 113 | 113 | University of Arkansas | 345 | 8 | yes | no | 0.0894898074870736 | B/C | 0.5707628581405555 | 1.0 | 0.125 | 6.495942831039429 | 5.212411798800342 | 1.288385372845676 | 0.8064343901162643 | 0.2051331123912655 | 7 | 2.752563749040876 | -4.88392869404384 | 6.9375 | 0.0 |
115 | 115 | 115 | Magellan Strategies | 179 | 18 | no | no | 0.1035523858765678 | B/C | -0.4776541252787224 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.506266805860731 | 6.063859171475669 | 0.4472619749916513 | -0.2990168739268659 | -0.1227934716392558 | 11 | -1.76110146262429 | -4.2279328028361 | 6.207724546209279 | 0.0 |
116 | 116 | 116 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 4 | no | no | 0.1274346382177961 | B/C | 0.374046740297524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.159484386444092 | 5.083658222124731 | -2.91931949507405 | -6.562266283829818 | -1.143598075117469 | 3 | 2.83880869547526 | -5.112361537085639 | 14.37580641278399 | 0.0 |
118 | 118 | 118 | The Kitchens Group | 664 | 1 | yes | no | 0.1322986317253363 | B/C | 0.2585877357845111 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.37808227539063 | 6.271495277910399 | 5.111441338086816 | 7.07727048733797 | 0.1608439196131968 | 1 | 11.37808227539063 | 12.5 | 0.0 | |
121 | 121 | 121 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 5 | no | no | 0.1510535317674696 | B/C | -0.4597777031608106 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 9.491231155395509 | 6.36591430356789 | 3.130171192434207 | -1.309671563957201 | -0.2817604637837424 | 2 | -4.835419654846191 | -9.453224503096711 | 13.78226443376999 | 0.0 |
125 | 125 | 125 | Ohio University | 237 | 2 | yes | no | 0.1591715359092751 | B/C | 0.3488958471434552 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.756826400756836 | 5.068121585103855 | 3.69355915625957 | 4.872969650857947 | 0.1941524014103431 | 2 | 8.756826400756836 | 8.1292410833495 | 8.507804121881106 | 0.0 |
132 | 132 | 132 | Hendrix College | 138 | 16 | no | no | 0.2125062490338201 | B/C | 1.285739969520104 | 0.9375 | 0.5625 | 7.155205965042114 | 5.760620306055093 | 1.39943999959361 | -0.1630797025130941 | -0.0598624910525482 | 15 | 3.654452260335286 | -2.656944260773836 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | 133 | Optimus | 245 | 19 | yes | no | 0.2176788044997423 | B/C | -1.117009354017847 | 0.8421052631578947 | 0.631578947368421 | 7.233441904971474 | 5.350868055476922 | 1.887428190101142 | 0.8914593771203826 | 0.4110527587988255 | 16 | -2.699467897415161 | -3.307204778863009 | 6.255169107607781 | 0.0 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
138 | 138 | 138 | Pan Atlantic Research | 249 | 17 | no | no | 0.2377477215300939 | B/C | 0.7574779155386769 | 0.9411764705882352 | 0.2352941176470588 | 6.268916186164407 | 6.081014144731148 | 0.1927563820398495 | -0.2843979661130155 | -0.0895910708755155 | 15 | 2.647677993774414 | 1.376905109466068 | 7.30000114440918 | 0.0 |
144 | 144 | 144 | Morning Consult | 218 | 66 | no | no | 0.261043316912064 | B | 2.920609137490698 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5303030303030303 | 4.486910039728338 | 4.316107631936749 | 0.1756567483981795 | 0.2602110381036971 | 0.2030533947586488 | 66 | 3.742733464096532 | 0.1526781997972775 | 2.98245856099305 | 0.0 |
145 | 145 | 145 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 43 | no | no | 0.2642897009964653 | B | 1.781602967307602 | 0.7209302325581395 | 0.4186046511627907 | 5.384396841359693 | 4.293254222450261 | 1.095996959516021 | 0.2644414713430218 | 0.173530986701008 | 42 | 2.750752676100958 | -1.470989094996343 | 4.615157539084379 | 0.0 |
146 | 146 | 146 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 42 | no | no | 0.2660904579794332 | B | 0.9436845309851456 | 0.9523809523809524 | 0.1666666666666667 | 6.009996141706194 | 5.934434028306922 | 0.0804164540058607 | 0.2678409226956416 | 0.145774918798337 | 36 | 1.895715607537164 | -1.712228741464027 | 9.45257682082882 | 0.0 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
151 | 151 | 151 | Riley Research Associates | 290 | 7 | no | no | 0.3074442208645212 | B/C | -0.0702740521806737 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.681526184082031 | 5.462639974584008 | -2.776259449895388 | -1.966914782914964 | -0.2293968648084062 | 7 | -0.6025499616350446 | -1.264285796029227 | 0.0 | |
152 | 152 | 152 | Kiley & Company | 162 | 5 | no | no | 0.3078822293489991 | B/C | 0.3994022836547365 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.352800750732422 | 5.496475498612677 | -1.138820407273666 | -1.533021049075753 | -0.2084973215471987 | 5 | 2.936690521240235 | 7.015042792426215 | 5.499278384924339 | 0.0 |
153 | 153 | 153 | David Binder Research | 578 | 3 | no | no | 0.3091073661133812 | B/C | 0.096672258879009 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.217210133870442 | 7.210829379443751 | -2.988764904966718 | -1.400248437206332 | -0.200035491029476 | 1 | 1.836772918701172 | 0.6599998474121094 | 6.41262560450705 | 0.0 |
154 | 154 | 154 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 4 | yes | no | 0.3151056467591002 | B/C | 0.0443195435297263 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 7.708187580108643 | 5.584454447447209 | 2.128587473268023 | 2.31988120194679 | 0.3999242802513288 | 2 | 0.4698581695556641 | 4.664999961853027 | 8.582088739025295 | 0.0 |
157 | 157 | 157 | Civiqs | 471 | 25 | no | no | 0.3274533126306269 | B- | 2.927802991867066 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 5.48242561340332 | 5.09352827863797 | 0.3937516753719403 | 0.3731396977246782 | 0.2169416847236501 | 22 | 5.323278167031028 | 1.472329253885023 | 5.520112441226815 | 0.0 |
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
162 | 162 | 162 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | no | 0.3472626287757798 | B/C | 0.1940686070137743 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.908102671305338 | 5.773995098674106 | -2.861038086762178 | -5.210448699142625 | -0.5332140147475531 | 2 | 3.034235000610352 | 0.5928573608398438 | 12.75257481287512 | 0.0 |
164 | 164 | 164 | Lucid | 175 | 25 | no | no | 0.3541473843982731 | B- | 1.923144122786303 | 0.88 | 0.32 | 4.200403137207031 | 4.485141787554547 | -0.2798843097409274 | 0.4402957548806966 | 0.2251416132567578 | 25 | 3.760975952148438 | 2.267085901910336 | 3.834581601635828 | 0.0 |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
170 | 170 | 170 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 10 | yes | no | 0.3772102066585035 | B/C | 0.9204266116962064 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.216633605957031 | 4.389563749914563 | 0.8319241966490576 | 1.570846139308792 | 0.5222062482325219 | 10 | 2.768730926513672 | 1.510197427257284 | 6.713971738964036 | 0.0 |
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
177 | 177 | 177 | Richard Day Research | 287 | 11 | no | no | 0.4014517960307858 | B/C | -0.4405887038086112 | 1.0 | 0.3636363636363636 | 5.4930551702326 | 5.325724484158049 | 0.1721850266811397 | -0.6287171747472912 | -0.0964872316683623 | 11 | -2.870905095880682 | -0.4476785587129141 | 5.530808907381044 | 0.0 |
178 | 178 | 178 | University of Massachusetts | 354 | 11 | no | no | 0.4059316386698545 | B/C | -0.1538409348022615 | 1.0 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.411165757612749 | 8.01216059489509 | -1.596140496675752 | -0.972958332112748 | -0.1218348968384141 | 2 | -6.064765930175781 | -0.8333333333333339 | 7.665543245237642 | 0.0 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
182 | 182 | 182 | MSR Group | 178 | 6 | no | no | 0.4153592331752826 | B/C | 0.1043288883051664 | 1.0 | 0.1666666666666667 | 5.407261530558269 | 5.762207736041764 | -0.3500918648769066 | -1.68912491721802 | -0.1505318801410795 | 6 | 1.170679092407227 | 1.333333333333333 | 0.0 | |
183 | 183 | 183 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 14 | no | no | 0.4159045296029102 | B/C | 0.1268877269017686 | 0.9285714285714286 | 0.2142857142857143 | 5.755923271179199 | 4.803206507591379 | 0.95757110419441 | 0.3139144266510329 | 0.1032564065246739 | 12 | 0.4145644505818685 | -0.9958338207668728 | 6.716335779629527 | 0.0 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
192 | 192 | 192 | University of New Orleans | 358 | 13 | no | no | 0.4359643533691773 | B/C | 0.3304770389901732 | 0.9230769230769232 | 0.3076923076923077 | 5.591800983135517 | 5.283226298607721 | 0.3134290251343854 | 0.3739608014864815 | 0.1228383209619059 | 12 | 1.091541290283203 | 1.878889080330178 | 9.540870496982253 | 0.0 |
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
194 | 194 | 194 | Marshall Marketing | 196 | 4 | no | no | 0.4519125179642489 | B/C | -0.212397164185273 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.451752662658691 | 6.163325362506762 | -2.706718359241481 | -1.507514846342002 | -0.1223690859268654 | 3 | -3.065058390299479 | -1.328352507960294 | 0.0 | |
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
200 | 200 | 200 | Ragnar Research Partners | 517 | 2 | no | no | 0.4757084010757188 | B/C | 0.3257184982299805 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.802282333374023 | 4.923467673449888 | -0.1163309994692749 | -0.7869159892428119 | -0.0786915989242812 | 2 | 3.257184982299805 | -2.324999809265137 | 0.0 | |
202 | 202 | 202 | MFour Mobile Research | 177 | 2 | no | no | 0.4811133034493815 | B/C | -0.1644033527150696 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.808574676513672 | 4.216155656972621 | -1.40272663985236 | -4.391196247839257 | -0.2570440414533494 | 2 | -2.808574676513672 | 5.108332951863607 | 6.905530131437598 | 0.0 |
204 | 204 | 204 | We Ask America | 376 | 56 | no | no | 0.4866695154302745 | B- | -0.9043882774240214 | 0.8125 | 0.4464285714285715 | 6.731526851654053 | 6.026793678148879 | 0.7095875141117655 | 0.6081688735259547 | 0.3934715739411216 | 37 | -1.679796115772144 | -1.629044703856119 | 5.43529354630518 | 0.0 |
205 | 205 | 205 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 477 | no | no | 0.4914365489964064 | B- | -0.6877063507385689 | 0.7725366876310272 | 0.3039832285115304 | 5.542520027240617 | 5.372256791247741 | 0.175117576599467 | 0.5156488912629753 | 0.466035847541718 | 380 | -0.7811335764433208 | 0.1102941801144466 | 5.035142159606 | 0.0 |
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
210 | 210 | 210 | Rethink Priorities | 672 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5018514637863866 | F | 0.3788209915161133 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.788209915161133 | 4.44201379632886 | -0.6489495405611372 | -0.525485362136134 | -0.0525485362136134 | 2 | 3.788209915161133 | -0.4903712688523529 | 2.787908394822637 | 0.0 |
211 | 211 | 211 | Wiese Research Associates | 382 | 7 | no | no | 0.5048358593013772 | B/C | 0.9467606616622736 | 1.0 | 0.4285714285714285 | 7.323360988071987 | 5.847293605205125 | 1.480921723473451 | 0.1754684624898306 | 0.0309204293567153 | 7 | 5.372714451381138 | 6.66444426642524 | 0.0 | |
212 | 212 | 212 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | 0.5095395936292186 | B/C | 0.1736514275035423 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 2.674911499023438 | 3.579110389595308 | -0.8993445499652808 | -0.1906186158601363 | -0.0230066790590666 | 4 | 1.438764572143555 | 3.721805380385323 | 4.048593495678862 | 0.0 |
213 | 213 | 213 | JMC Analytics | 156 | 13 | no | no | 0.5106998119231376 | B/C | -0.7819164735009975 | 0.8846153846153846 | 0.1538461538461539 | 5.687059842623198 | 5.164945171268722 | 0.5269690119610644 | 0.6542144436661432 | 0.24310067383506 | 13 | -2.104235429030198 | -1.712971273868803 | 5.797091969873341 | 0.0 |
215 | 215 | 215 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 12 | no | no | 0.5168366660895292 | B/C | -1.638568026149947 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.76245911916097 | 5.638599712294909 | 1.128713747472649 | 0.5763589538430638 | 0.172031710009919 | 12 | -5.489705085754395 | -5.856712356886356 | 7.706283608555769 | 0.0 |
217 | 217 | 217 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | no | 0.5185105759063202 | B/C | 0.4780232558042909 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.36842155456543 | 5.218344633396079 | 0.1549312617759401 | -0.0514986940478487 | -0.0065792588303422 | 5 | 4.585626983642578 | -1.083808898925781 | 8.5114976391727 | 0.0 |
218 | 218 | 218 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | 0.0866587653277707 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.890171051025391 | 5.708192679384823 | -3.813167287752842 | -4.604348099564906 | -0.2110957742322349 | 1 | 1.890171051025391 | -4.050000190734863 | 0.0 | |
219 | 219 | 219 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | no | 0.5198914173942083 | B/C | -0.0277419910364482 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6050987243652344 | 4.986418844306704 | -4.376465779334881 | -3.738883553313888 | -0.1714167785284408 | 1 | -0.6050987243652344 | -4.217575998017282 | 7.549999237060547 | 0.0 |
221 | 221 | 221 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | yes | 0.522758638732403 | F | -0.4342454568686589 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.046503067016602 | 3.696486658840722 | -0.6451292512175306 | 0.0931661432263936 | 0.0132798075498592 | 4 | -3.046503067016602 | -4.851080095445788 | 6.731741858822733 | 0.0 |
223 | 223 | 223 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | 310 | 7 | no | no | 0.5266091678016338 | B/C | 0.0930673670065113 | 1.0 | 0.2857142857142857 | 6.942311150687082 | 5.298149337056105 | 1.649016154237565 | 0.345261579985275 | 0.0647984239819264 | 7 | 0.4958853040422712 | 0.4604760669526599 | 0.0 | |
226 | 226 | 226 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | no | 0.5298564900697459 | B/C | -1.115235573972929 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.5454545454545454 | 6.573435003107244 | 5.957171311888197 | 0.6211180318256374 | 0.6577821430093992 | 0.2149729736070278 | 8 | -4.019611358642578 | -3.992251247054335 | 7.151050894272147 | 0.0 |
229 | 229 | 229 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | no | 0.5315842228214828 | B/C | 0.1210308213228181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005687713623047 | 4.984013891347866 | -1.97347183711823 | -0.6174179684120591 | -0.0473797997596811 | 2 | 1.577182769775391 | 3.181666628519694 | 0.0 | |
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );