FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by House Effect
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect ▼ | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
209 | 209 | 209 | Data Targeting | 406 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.2104961997584293 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.999427795410156 | 6.190354653596476 | -2.18607251757973 | -3.531059731289722 | -0.1858452490152485 | 1 | -3.999427795410156 | 0.0 | ||
227 | 227 | 227 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | no | 0.530340999794168 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.411446253458659 | 9.377282965354292 | -3.960982371289043 | -3.530717722236241 | -0.1498001733881424 | 0 | 6.100505063388336 | 0.027413447753404 | |||
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
240 | 240 | 240 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | -0.0256045861832137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7379531860351562 | 6.010215435191023 | -5.267407908549278 | -6.730360836853476 | -0.2335217292267797 | 1 | -0.7379531860351562 | 0.0 | ||
245 | 245 | 245 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | 0.5606575823109456 | F | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.4166666666666667 | 9.819032033284506 | 8.8002319152952 | 1.023654458595894 | 0.7574553550038076 | 0.2520475497343417 | 0 | 6.634753052243117 | 0.0 | |||
251 | 251 | 251 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | 0.5678598845666973 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.470468521118164 | 7.490421217887829 | -3.015098356163076 | -2.561214517790606 | -0.0772220554053263 | 0 | 11.55555555555556 | 0.0 | |||
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
268 | 268 | 268 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 3 | no | no | 0.5947561192509095 | B/C | -0.0063020479446093 | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.454544067382813 | 5.585990837842279 | 1.873407570147123 | -0.0905029317702228 | -0.0051502375826832 | 3 | -0.1107432047526042 | 0.0 | ||
272 | 272 | 272 | Jorge Benítez | 600 | 4 | no | no | 0.6023811895696973 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.131099700927734 | 5.297056208821066 | -0.1611021672867416 | 0.7390965426333351 | 0.1343811895696973 | 0 | 9.25 | 0.0 | |||
273 | 273 | 273 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | no | 0.6034162189016622 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.407428741455078 | 9.729677981260473 | -3.317394899198805 | -1.103253928318778 | -0.0580659962273041 | 0 | 3.699999809265137 | 1.08416208745036 | |||
275 | 275 | 275 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | 0.6050388666367741 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.38766098022461 | 9.457199369386291 | 0.9353159514449056 | -0.3214632953961422 | -0.0128264666715264 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
281 | 281 | 281 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | no | 0.6092912170977801 | B/C | 0.1091834640090221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.53753662109375 | 5.337060581610748 | 0.2053303800895914 | -1.515833975783473 | -0.0298876586582136 | 1 | 5.53753662109375 | 0.0 | ||
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
289 | 289 | 289 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 1 | no | yes | 0.6161654942043626 | F | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.39239501953125 | 8.365918202901572 | 1.031331157236268 | 0.2231443898828894 | 0.0117444415727837 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
294 | 294 | 294 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.522224426269531 | 7.922152820894688 | -4.395074054018568 | -3.978707102335895 | -0.0511108731623914 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | |||
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
303 | 303 | 303 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | no | 0.6330559026141181 | B/C | 0.0697342213024587 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.265480041503906 | 5.440001734980825 | 0.8303326471296706 | -1.364873156027169 | -0.0151909137179756 | 1 | 6.265480041503906 | 0.0 | ||
304 | 304 | 304 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | no | 0.6342064191532407 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 9.2988650004069 | 8.594980148218431 | 0.7087391927950591 | 0.3695070114900995 | 0.0138834760643398 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
306 | 306 | 306 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | 0.6405103784070884 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.079864501953125 | 9.00806824817187 | -2.923349405612156 | 0.0530148062504045 | 0.0021153041582252 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5145265914137396 | |||
312 | 312 | 312 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | no | 0.6523054001943108 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.909448623657227 | 8.321813454871092 | 0.5924895093927236 | 0.8007941442703316 | 0.0241443929618394 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
315 | 315 | 315 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | no | 0.6558623172861971 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.367771148681641 | 5.673281247074294 | 0.6993442422139364 | -1.01937610592222 | -0.0248684132594613 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.905769189375852 | |||
330 | 330 | 330 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | no | 0.6780316469454992 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.57935333251953 | 10.00894267019912 | 1.575265002926999 | 1.50791811564035 | 0.0601663136371989 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
331 | 331 | 331 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | no | 0.6789533460330148 | B/C | -0.1488675128531222 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.04303741455078 | 5.738853416971225 | 4.309038338186145 | 2.334648105905419 | 0.0346063887415019 | 1 | -10.04303741455078 | 0.0 | ||
333 | 333 | 333 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | no | 0.682334156134031 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 7.979216893513997 | 8.299483959669688 | -0.3154127255491002 | 1.238398802681448 | 0.1516380141134428 | 0 | 7.643708774087621 | 0.0 | |||
340 | 340 | 340 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | no | 0.6968914434267224 | B/C | -0.1324139186690047 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.89712524414063 | 5.161915585651205 | 6.740063999096009 | 4.370622264008132 | 0.0486446270946287 | 1 | -11.89712524414063 | 0.0 | ||
341 | 341 | 341 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | 0.6995370076870748 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.888496398925781 | 8.694951309577576 | 0.1983994299547951 | 2.795662265967504 | 0.0635365396274491 | 0 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |||
349 | 349 | 349 | Minnesota State University Moorhead | 211 | 4 | no | no | 0.7108969551157276 | B/C | 0.4641666238621686 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 9.203699111938477 | 5.200479311205552 | 4.008074141339514 | 1.83833431398978 | 0.1195979997217173 | 4 | 7.134679794311523 | 0.0 | ||
351 | 351 | 351 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | 0.7114204767023606 | B/C | 0.8571428571428571 | 0.7142857142857143 | 9.457359858921595 | 8.460331650799835 | 1.001882548728349 | 1.423295422909794 | 0.1992579394388035 | 0 | 10.87636664561877 | 0.0 | |||
359 | 359 | 359 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | no | 0.7311744675064819 | B/C | -0.202592759519747 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.66749954223633 | 6.614494543737975 | 7.057859339104942 | 5.857637552939973 | 0.0868275102149689 | 1 | -13.66749954223633 | 0.0 | ||
370 | 370 | 370 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 2 | no | no | 0.7415875112176328 | B/C | 0.5 | 1.0 | 14.05421733856201 | 8.091564778767712 | 5.96750690040089 | 2.449795285445019 | 0.1434017623817209 | 0 | 10.18888918558756 | 0.0 | |||
374 | 374 | 374 | Lester & Associates | 293 | 1 | no | no | 0.757813807098785 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.92186546325684 | 7.939957168970158 | 10.98676263489327 | 4.032942336631153 | 0.0916559928235483 | 0 | 1.850000381469727 | 1.32694911229125 | |||
378 | 378 | 378 | Dynata | 283 | 2 | no | no | 0.7659266382211682 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.368056297302246 | 8.563656556344602 | 0.8092540815642333 | 0.8376995302750494 | 0.0642839017226691 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.598656868505834 | |||
399 | 399 | 399 | Beacon Research | 545 | 3 | no | no | 0.8024684099094195 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.971240361531575 | 6.546103251047581 | 1.429991451090585 | 2.053278869365935 | 0.2933255527665622 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
419 | 419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | 0.8646525450775476 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.29655265808105 | 9.780529509083932 | 8.520877489603713 | 7.843686067201693 | 0.2364915378450761 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
433 | 433 | 433 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | 553 | 1 | no | no | 0.9128463189124753 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.4076042175293 | 7.71702778658851 | 5.695430771547376 | 4.90008790922519 | 0.2578993636434311 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.9599921501118364 | |||
435 | 435 | 435 | Victory Enterprises | 525 | 1 | no | no | 0.9239620442305716 | B/C | -0.5228166038913292 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.34019470214844 | 6.208346079624863 | 11.13670296313016 | 9.810797010782425 | 0.2958010369981002 | 1 | -17.34019470214844 | 0.0 | ||
437 | 437 | 437 | Bainbridge Media Group | 656 | 1 | no | no | 0.953342212040748 | B/C | 0.4812609706441475 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.17589569091797 | 5.6804533814596 | 15.50029665006496 | 13.96330905438646 | 0.3173417439811224 | 1 | 21.17589569091797 | 0.0 | ||
439 | 439 | 439 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | no | 0.9626482024962544 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 21.48976993560791 | 9.67580504112034 | 11.81881923509416 | 7.25176267778764 | 0.3222944174742237 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.6139517335312643 | |||
444 | 444 | 444 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 5 | no | no | 0.9849079660818172 | B/C | 2.043319386493293 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 9.703327178955078 | 5.952459378863677 | 3.75572214069799 | 2.598924869592363 | 0.5472796569814823 | 5 | 9.703327178955078 | 0.0 | ||
445 | 445 | 445 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | no | 0.9968783293981434 | B/C | -0.5278419610119539 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.97669219970703 | 6.3655494552371 | 17.61599708507652 | 16.35836057255758 | 0.360125952806156 | 2 | -23.97669219970703 | 0.0 | ||
466 | 466 | 466 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | no | 1.159604211984977 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.27473926544189 | 9.77160886971426 | 8.507984736334224 | 7.566466889654669 | 0.5806401894038133 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
471 | 471 | 471 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | 1.267003517884994 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.75 | 12.94745445251465 | 7.55719598031602 | 5.395112812805219 | 4.358326424147456 | 0.7924229862086284 | 0 | 3.682365112624316 | 0.0361929242200101 | |||
473 | 473 | 473 | GOP Calls | 654 | 2 | no | no | 1.299843741989501 | B/C | -1.073954814432304 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.04491901397705 | 6.007385155418485 | 15.04238819916516 | 13.5941995134376 | 0.6937330576617211 | 2 | -21.04491901397705 | 0.0 | ||
475 | 475 | 475 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | 1.355100819765538 | C/D | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.00404167175293 | 7.828429101160927 | 8.180466911198593 | 10.11403186501444 | 0.7761367971843742 | 0 | 11.18820155180871 | 0.0 | |||
481 | 481 | 481 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | 1.488613590080401 | C/D | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.8333333333333334 | 10.66819604237874 | 7.98123487463683 | 2.691815508348502 | 4.370454360321604 | 1.092613590080401 | 0 | 9.375758475211496 | 0.0 | |||
490 | 490 | 490 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | no | 2.048179028922068 | C/D | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.41861343383789 | 9.746905584996624 | 13.67656218944786 | 13.57853073467099 | 1.505241393199845 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
493 | 493 | 493 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | no | 2.925766982257719 | C/D | -1.437339691355343 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.5 | 22.10050201416016 | 8.121156737737067 | 13.98419961702968 | 12.40843589819734 | 2.476527910988802 | 2 | -18.73033142089844 | -27.66666666666667 | 28.25 | 0.0 |
381 | 381 | 381 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | no | 0.769585419510555 | B/C | -0.2253635113043367 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.42992401123047 | 5.395863044648573 | 6.038915307188485 | 6.613922888648005 | 0.1304065437545612 | 1 | -11.42992401123047 | -16.66666666666667 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
335 | 335 | 335 | SmithJohnson Research | 367 | 1 | no | no | 0.6866345695022391 | B/C | -0.1934785389033732 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.513221740722656 | 6.137363483796756 | 2.38071259753249 | 2.227943913916424 | 0.0506341014426133 | 1 | -8.513221740722656 | -15.0 | 0.0 | |
348 | 348 | 348 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | no | 0.7104449698380708 | B/C | -0.1265790115977124 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.853496551513672 | 6.104626058474669 | 3.753724833645592 | 4.982870103239322 | 0.0640104524612569 | 1 | -9.853496551513672 | -14.0 | 0.0 | |
389 | 389 | 389 | Neighbor | 226 | 1 | no | no | 0.7845976154095272 | B/C | -0.1902672901224637 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.09513473510742 | 5.335849966702793 | 11.76413910901122 | 12.25084605960385 | 0.1363507990774335 | 1 | -17.09513473510742 | -14.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 |
327 | 327 | 327 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | 0.6762960235638725 | B/C | -0.3947710135020523 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.735822677612305 | 4.742460412288372 | 2.998216605930522 | 1.37533233274143 | 0.0701853392360924 | 2 | -7.735822677612305 | -13.36923261789175 | 15.7764521715802 | 0.0 |
263 | 263 | 263 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0409435610025319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.801551818847656 | 6.275675393553641 | -4.469269234099396 | -6.748338224380611 | -0.153368332159537 | 1 | 1.801551818847656 | -13.0 | 0.0 | |
259 | 259 | 259 | Rivercity Polling | 291 | 1 | no | no | 0.5867095617996063 | B/C | -0.1747003444309101 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.67205810546875 | 6.567956656091599 | 0.1089557899837401 | -1.74306753384611 | -0.0456402647752209 | 1 | -6.67205810546875 | -11.25000095367432 | 0.0 | |
472 | 472 | 472 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | 1.292292975615425 | B/C | -0.9468322760367824 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 21.30413246154785 | 5.176883509566855 | 16.13210329258759 | 14.546176868878 | 0.6464844216140726 | 2 | -21.30413246154785 | -10.60000038146973 | 3.200000762939453 | 0.7366863760056699 |
345 | 345 | 345 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | 0.7051103069770992 | B/C | -0.1972988004563895 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.535125732421875 | 5.33439995803765 | 2.205580114990815 | 2.778827681234298 | 0.072760480402272 | 1 | -7.535125732421875 | -10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
121 | 121 | 121 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 5 | no | no | 0.1510535317674696 | B/C | -0.4597777031608106 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 9.491231155395509 | 6.36591430356789 | 3.130171192434207 | -1.309671563957201 | -0.2817604637837424 | 2 | -4.835419654846191 | -9.453224503096711 | 13.78226443376999 | 0.0 |
414 | 414 | 414 | WCIA-TV | 373 | 2 | no | no | 0.8373707824230141 | B/C | -0.4020674631878819 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.26351165771484 | 6.085304705082537 | 12.1830612932389 | 9.11289007221899 | 0.2006184058310267 | 2 | -18.26351165771484 | -8.769841269841269 | 0.0 | |
478 | 478 | 478 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | 1.371119784114602 | C/D | -1.363687299657571 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.55398178100586 | 6.016545535152569 | 9.54229058645988 | 8.79403822483834 | 0.7710127482957436 | 2 | -15.55398178100586 | -8.315000534057617 | 7.100002288818359 | 0.3728711962648337 |
241 | 241 | 241 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.0714600242176442 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.059558868408203 | 6.073717909854865 | -4.009304700840073 | -5.155234784676257 | -0.1788699552178043 | 1 | 2.059558868408203 | -8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
286 | 286 | 286 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | 0.611345728047248 | B/C | -0.0300829916661306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.889528274536133 | 4.344390565009105 | -2.450007949866383 | -3.720704480533952 | -0.0592369658546209 | 1 | -1.889528274536133 | -7.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
293 | 293 | 293 | Dynamics Marketing | 83 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 0.0387765602878785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.018547058105469 | 6.154617547993511 | -3.131216149281453 | -4.657631660139869 | -0.0598324065822249 | 1 | 3.018547058105469 | -7.5 | 0.0 | |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
387 | 387 | 387 | Glover Park Group | 120 | 1 | no | no | 0.7802782013337553 | B/C | -0.3425971166529996 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.36287689208984 | 6.52075289177766 | 4.846978340918772 | 5.045252472144208 | 0.1521171941012839 | 1 | -11.36287689208984 | -7.25 | 0.0 | |
302 | 302 | 302 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 227 | 3 | no | no | 0.6327207120173951 | B/C | -0.0597491170284171 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.965807278951009 | 7.017953530798856 | -0.0472919112412569 | 0.8073851098372956 | 0.0885903933980165 | 1 | -3.422222137451172 | -7.229166666666667 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
260 | 260 | 260 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | 503 | 5 | no | no | 0.5874416106710005 | B/C | -1.070948914995215 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.71466293334961 | 5.744101656167575 | 0.975415617788624 | 0.6814295843276099 | 0.1320003689858563 | 5 | -5.528592681884765 | -6.841666539510092 | 26.00000000000001 | 0.0 |
388 | 388 | 388 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | 0.7811925707864777 | B/C | -0.9694367373149146 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.843583424886067 | 5.376897249511465 | 1.471540515981191 | 1.826923684414111 | 0.2872003836710728 | 4 | -8.765375137329102 | -6.805556221613808 | 8.004608245886912 | 0.0 |
447 | 447 | 447 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | no | 1.006372546360688 | B/C | -0.8084199351629326 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.510197639465332 | 4.543193627412718 | 2.971858352659204 | 3.527894687459416 | 0.4943438215175679 | 4 | -5.769305229187012 | -6.759859941252808 | 5.482901716514413 | 0.0 |
380 | 380 | 380 | SocialSphere | 307 | 2 | no | no | 0.7668488168813593 | B/C | -0.4117260457887734 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.139068603515625 | 5.423947501621051 | 0.7199754425011635 | 2.649176394227108 | 0.1776710755060569 | 2 | -6.139068603515625 | -6.424999872843425 | 6.522497216032183 | 0.0 |
129 | 129 | 129 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 5 | yes | no | 0.1841976417493187 | B/C | 0.5520228368341119 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 9.306238555908203 | 6.189826948219094 | 3.121265948295698 | 1.581817502443504 | 0.2252081836044526 | 4 | 4.588798999786377 | -6.125 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.2284261316336307 |
443 | 443 | 443 | Millersville University | 210 | 5 | no | no | 0.9843616996351582 | B/C | -0.6272345449247876 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 14.15688896179199 | 4.994529713987127 | 9.167213588411457 | 6.420218182423063 | 0.3882155443458528 | 5 | -10.37305870056152 | -6.093433316548666 | 5.855996079896939 | 0.0 |
400 | 400 | 400 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | 344 | 2 | no | no | 0.8104141712019267 | B/C | -0.3508822861760528 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0112133026123 | 4.940563881724581 | 7.075503761494313 | 6.204896838683693 | 0.1812629859608257 | 2 | -12.0112133026123 | -6.0 | 6.267949192431122 | 0.0 |
339 | 339 | 339 | Illinois Wesleyan University | 147 | 3 | no | no | 0.6911469816999355 | B/C | -0.3299533999281484 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 8.178092956542969 | 5.624068504011845 | 2.558878793137714 | 1.578918473873792 | 0.0637030566211911 | 3 | -8.178092956542969 | -5.873611132303874 | 5.0 | 0.249078152659788 |
215 | 215 | 215 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 12 | no | no | 0.5168366660895292 | B/C | -1.638568026149947 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.76245911916097 | 5.638599712294909 | 1.128713747472649 | 0.5763589538430638 | 0.172031710009919 | 12 | -5.489705085754395 | -5.856712356886356 | 7.706283608555769 | 0.0 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
175 | 175 | 175 | GS Strategy Group | 478 | 2 | no | no | 0.3985605216558946 | B/C | -0.437889356618411 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.118545532226563 | 6.080013998170813 | -0.9566141253376604 | -2.701267272389335 | -0.2310922469114765 | 2 | -5.118545532226563 | -5.806252956390381 | 0.0 | |
93 | 93 | 93 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | yes | no | -0.028267094412787 | A/B | -0.0472408228151871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677444458007813 | 4.889618661903905 | -1.207319863289503 | -0.2675489206245848 | -0.0034369604484707 | 1 | -3.677444458007813 | -5.8 | 0.0 | |
409 | 409 | 409 | RMS Research | 273 | 3 | no | no | 0.829247133071133 | B/C | 0.3345721425836921 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 11.12290445963542 | 5.418214220414125 | 5.709544579827881 | 4.903184346705861 | 0.2034827452779916 | 3 | 8.061955769856771 | -5.8 | 4.0 | 0.2310479007778654 |
297 | 297 | 297 | Probolsky Research | 259 | 3 | no | no | 0.6232981732812273 | B/C | -0.6900987648517687 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.959641774495442 | 5.243212170386674 | 1.721283944715357 | 0.7459419493432793 | 0.0882977626579074 | 2 | -9.125648498535156 | -5.579999923706055 | 6.167808482020772 | 0.0 |
71 | 71 | 71 | Wirthlin Worldwide | 387 | 4 | yes | no | -0.0964891616331315 | A/B | -0.1770737898220353 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 4.596271514892578 | 5.801935779527188 | -1.200809924028021 | -1.472980607947777 | -0.0660914706539207 | 4 | -3.946443557739258 | -5.564639632766311 | 5.251780870545703 | 0.1442666609128854 |
396 | 396 | 396 | Open Model Project | 629 | 2 | no | no | 0.7977944110353132 | B/C | -0.5652378082275391 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.652378082275391 | 4.889192054473236 | 0.7680403684087436 | 2.433944110353132 | 0.2433944110353132 | 2 | -5.652378082275391 | -5.465624690055847 | 5.266666412353516 | 0.0 |
358 | 358 | 358 | Opinion Consultants | 241 | 2 | no | no | 0.7274854879836085 | B/C | -0.2560304923197467 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.620656967163086 | 5.238506864616457 | 1.387004443153219 | 1.015196302331795 | 0.0392591264547226 | 2 | -6.620656967163086 | -5.441666730244955 | 2.242640687119285 | 1.785901565320188 |
243 | 243 | 243 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | no | 0.5572493027700784 | B/C | -0.091661963825131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726200103759766 | 4.856763059162516 | -2.125708614796161 | -3.986092255272814 | -0.1340228267186099 | 2 | -2.726200103759766 | -5.439999389648438 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );