FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus ▼ | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | 7 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 13 | yes | no | -0.8697002861718625 | A/B | 0.3831011403830225 | 0.8076923076923077 | 0.0769230769230769 | 2.932985892662635 | 6.054269110656587 | -3.116428877387361 | -3.454291736544523 | -1.235316783275665 | 9 | 1.407818264431424 | -0.5141475002058183 | 4.347614329091975 | 0.1538779277881331 |
116 | 116 | 116 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 4 | no | no | 0.1274346382177961 | B/C | 0.374046740297524 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.159484386444092 | 5.083658222124731 | -2.91931949507405 | -6.562266283829818 | -1.143598075117469 | 3 | 2.83880869547526 | -5.112361537085639 | 14.37580641278399 | 0.0 |
3 | 3 | 3 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | 448 | 83 | yes | no | -0.9544521038153676 | A+ | 1.14294147140295 | 0.7289156626506024 | 0.2048192771084337 | 4.352681654045381 | 5.364920020225804 | -1.007384025573833 | -1.309740901950579 | -1.055391384869558 | 82 | 1.422586092134801 | 0.2312039975053743 | 3.574593667720398 | 0.225521742481611 |
10 | 10 | 10 | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 40 | no | no | -0.7513833843367311 | A | -0.6080981815445845 | 0.875 | 0.1 | 4.338134384155273 | 5.568008056561508 | -1.225019331799646 | -1.767130072846286 | -1.045516722924715 | 39 | -1.030772771590795 | 0.4793430099621862 | 4.64207646394386 | 0.3149313028156319 |
1 | 1 | 1 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 50 | yes | no | -1.164872371474521 | A+ | 0.1068463875508721 | 0.78 | 0.24 | 4.562133331298828 | 5.959977154458428 | -1.39298948255301 | -1.623991286805722 | -1.006764054913049 | 33 | 0.2013049270167495 | -0.2436310533715819 | 5.339088853326275 | 0.0 |
6 | 6 | 6 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 834 | yes | no | -0.8752330868681902 | A | 0.0484691218432057 | 0.8932853717026379 | 0.1954436450839329 | 4.704052174977547 | 5.683743839377613 | -0.9748373237934712 | -1.032314128557589 | -0.9872966045424652 | 673 | 0.0512701689222769 | -0.5315926826248129 | 4.945520069959565 | 0.1361415019183604 |
92 | 92 | 92 | Clemson University | 54 | 8 | no | no | -0.0327079524429111 | A/B | 0.0305970901911662 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.055743932724 | 7.745665259712248 | 2.31493301361834 | -4.333011535195882 | -0.9821700093118636 | 2 | 1.24305534362793 | 2.166666666666666 | 15.99796985711743 | 0.0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 82 | yes | no | -0.9919601103089348 | A+ | 0.919806741264664 | 0.7378048780487805 | 0.0853658536585366 | 3.053507269882574 | 4.972745084419228 | -1.914383473930063 | -1.328716976870906 | -0.980676124300166 | 77 | 1.256718524090656 | 1.231279279930035 | 3.827491674106647 | 0.1323492717694392 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | no | -0.9066947881490728 | A/B | -0.68286791423325 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.103997268676758 | 5.990497434167947 | -1.881645824884602 | -2.473642991473191 | -0.92313398496665 | 18 | -2.45507632361518 | 0.725440897248749 | 4.752570927914591 | 0.0 |
9 | 9 | 9 | Landmark Communications | 166 | 48 | no | no | -0.786005596999762 | A | 1.414304425825647 | 0.7708333333333334 | 0.1666666666666667 | 4.448425730069478 | 5.431063119323992 | -0.9777830486479258 | -1.360030188032199 | -0.9120955116881638 | 42 | 2.192652974809919 | -1.707165289556037 | 4.390866224150755 | 0.0583615807178807 |
13 | 13 | 13 | Monmouth University | 215 | 120 | yes | no | -0.7076238531971101 | A | 2.087707895122895 | 0.7833333333333333 | 0.2666666666666667 | 5.895935599009196 | 6.281559100011743 | -0.3807691603959558 | -1.036981998571407 | -0.8643483465169622 | 83 | 2.741045687572066 | -0.1174755194307274 | 4.889776770866244 | 0.2711130049671029 |
32 | 32 | 32 | Grove Insight | 129 | 29 | no | no | -0.3776262492576777 | A/B | 0.5517539789181637 | 0.896551724137931 | 0.0689655172413793 | 2.952531748804553 | 5.123228803365846 | -2.165842713954703 | -1.854106225333469 | -0.8506096999546133 | 29 | 1.202679075043777 | 3.314108001571689 | 3.847079442203469 | 0.6483529342285926 |
8 | 8 | 8 | Siena College | 305 | 55 | yes | no | -0.8293660466608428 | A | -0.5366020204415759 | 0.8727272727272727 | 0.2545454545454545 | 5.02008486661044 | 5.578377511654227 | -0.5534383044371974 | -1.225251368148029 | -0.8036684444001194 | 50 | -0.844322738647461 | -1.053552798344115 | 4.695373958576219 | 0.1790445736095319 |
4 | 4 | 4 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 31 | yes | no | -0.9384244225719548 | A+ | -0.8323505085998764 | 0.8064516129032258 | 0.032258064516129 | 2.085001545567666 | 4.009343275206846 | -1.919487389032589 | -1.512109181475797 | -0.7926143837060662 | 31 | -1.587915728169103 | -1.814818206485563 | 3.704195219998842 | 0.0994545884761387 |
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
57 | 57 | 57 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 31 | no | no | -0.1891576113303911 | B+ | -1.156968436932061 | 0.935483870967742 | 0.0645161290322581 | 3.188856924733808 | 4.892401796541075 | -1.698690531200678 | -1.402220205704477 | -0.6996465885099965 | 31 | -2.318777145877961 | 0.7856167374884813 | 2.999321370691419 | 0.7563524627758474 |
50 | 50 | 50 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 9 | no | no | -0.2161511206524903 | A/B | 0.6514053149811404 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.636521657307943 | 6.661359402823979 | -3.019983404909446 | -2.279551776412484 | -0.6921803183240303 | 5 | 3.434135437011719 | 0.3300030026579208 | 3.668343239936295 | 0.4501304626064923 |
39 | 39 | 39 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | no | no | -0.2878686657814885 | A/B | 0.7794182414161517 | 0.9047619047619048 | 0.0476190476190476 | 3.919994990030924 | 5.772737359049807 | -1.847888028412294 | -1.814172326516857 | -0.6849752711822185 | 20 | 2.090176296234131 | 3.493979747174967 | 4.20824696842231 | 0.3597209642869031 |
60 | 60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 20 | no | no | -0.1781167384084711 | B+ | 2.050310420752583 | 0.95 | 0.15 | 4.379972457885742 | 5.295646775726844 | -0.9108199772345128 | -1.34953509896708 | -0.6761011620367349 | 20 | 4.092532348632813 | -0.6020701489306607 | 3.324110385764116 | 0.7310457766211726 |
34 | 34 | 34 | National Research Inc. | 225 | 15 | no | no | -0.3587017883973611 | A/B | -0.4235082427366348 | 0.7666666666666667 | 0.1333333333333333 | 4.39080924987793 | 6.097393954064403 | -1.701730363579884 | -1.639751504682349 | -0.6537048030578724 | 12 | -1.213219165802002 | -2.9290894101226 | 4.708379748852069 | 0.1404424683507143 |
96 | 96 | 96 | Saint Anselm College | 494 | 5 | no | no | -0.0043478260869565 | A/B | 0.4983920221743376 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.593349456787109 | 5.025210111007667 | -2.427006313613969 | -2.983210610041913 | -0.6485240456612853 | 5 | 2.292603302001953 | 0.0333333333333332 | 2.666666666666667 | 0.9257676034617008 |
14 | 14 | 14 | Marist College | 183 | 189 | yes | no | -0.669456194648838 | A | 0.1069875574214711 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.2698412698412698 | 5.503499348958333 | 6.156418871325839 | -0.6480651817609135 | -0.7272975370227955 | -0.637006178226108 | 121 | 0.1314358671834646 | 0.0296862598112305 | 4.997716942331857 | 0.0219156245512363 |
49 | 49 | 49 | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 32 | yes | no | -0.2210083283841471 | B+ | -0.1419693389474709 | 0.859375 | 0.09375 | 3.769753098487854 | 5.368856193738219 | -1.594248754643777 | -1.1234256042749 | -0.5991136673049047 | 31 | -0.2723562179073211 | 0.2832179336884245 | 3.64568803660892 | 1.073063459774076 |
12 | 12 | 12 | MassINC Polling Group | 198 | 20 | yes | no | -0.7440584999606555 | A/B | -0.7850465739065724 | 0.85 | 0.2 | 4.52824182510376 | 6.208162293460438 | -1.675066127750088 | -1.257475622479393 | -0.5865806232527697 | 14 | -2.180184500558036 | -1.995397342239822 | 5.79614435261604 | 0.0812833459930051 |
110 | 110 | 110 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 9 | no | no | 0.0504356796517282 | B/C | -0.5912618270888067 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.970684263441298 | 6.491519398164647 | -1.515980794116761 | -2.929827124984147 | -0.5843972775454493 | 7 | -3.121360778808594 | -4.666666666666667 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.3295715813110982 |
25 | 25 | 25 | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 133 | no | yes | -0.4093433552458224 | F | -1.565349522249775 | 0.8872180451127819 | 0.1879699248120301 | 3.9196988729606 | 5.182542290160064 | -1.257989076592874 | -0.7759489547791791 | -0.5668363365415784 | 110 | -2.31423058943315 | -2.151473507112263 | 4.35200216571219 | 0.1182012843699503 |
17 | 17 | 17 | Data Orbital | 73 | 13 | yes | no | -0.5601375650091485 | A/B | 0.5515915781817705 | 0.9615384615384616 | 0.0 | 2.397174541766827 | 4.830461730624204 | -2.428432848250788 | -1.487450615111105 | -0.5659004369636715 | 13 | 1.449840252216046 | -1.198510417111883 | 4.046261810032384 | 0.4437168583600935 |
78 | 78 | 78 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 18 | no | no | -0.0758072388077397 | A/B | -0.5879486169435573 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 5.132949617173937 | 5.804779806534564 | -0.6669758487540385 | -1.634495628457428 | -0.5652653590346407 | 16 | -1.821194887161255 | -0.2280219780219779 | 4.121158932446784 | 0.562868849288604 |
11 | 11 | 11 | AtlasIntel | 546 | 22 | yes | no | -0.7499685151956839 | A | 0.4354616403579712 | 0.75 | 0.2272727272727273 | 4.584125345403498 | 5.225420256679696 | -0.6364405706696089 | -1.023215482173971 | -0.5627685151956839 | 14 | 0.9953408922467912 | -1.740201084411755 | 6.067670031564372 | 0.0 |
30 | 30 | 30 | Emerson College | 88 | 201 | yes | no | -0.3918043792305625 | A- | 0.8432465238911562 | 0.763681592039801 | 0.2189054726368159 | 5.191912617849473 | 5.690332812916279 | -0.4935658544602152 | -0.6118003743061373 | -0.5538779247346115 | 159 | 0.954035165174952 | -1.373640348124942 | 4.557129234575539 | 0.2225262811932984 |
162 | 162 | 162 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | no | 0.3472626287757798 | B/C | 0.1940686070137743 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.908102671305338 | 5.773995098674106 | -2.861038086762178 | -5.210448699142625 | -0.5332140147475531 | 2 | 3.034235000610352 | 0.5928573608398438 | 12.75257481287512 | 0.0 |
63 | 63 | 63 | Wick | 284 | 7 | no | no | -0.1558947575762597 | A/B | -0.1659714457749334 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.0 | 2.200096947806222 | 3.925699169269442 | -1.72074788085663 | -1.907580142382158 | -0.5251704232891569 | 7 | -0.6028592245919364 | -3.730497145167032 | 5.761407580823872 | 0.0 |
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
15 | 15 | 15 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 46 | yes | no | -0.6526828278459328 | A | 1.807602334432939 | 0.75 | 0.3695652173913043 | 5.56253603230352 | 5.996276726177782 | -0.428886353267673 | -0.7697429920479961 | -0.5150206567139288 | 31 | 3.073489773658014 | 0.8663459100829412 | 4.616863057440015 | 0.0 |
124 | 124 | 124 | Strategic National | 318 | 4 | no | no | 0.1543586758086807 | B/C | 0.4398194325814016 | 0.375 | 0.25 | 3.024273872375488 | 5.346863823211337 | -2.317735610229259 | -3.108772776530754 | -0.5143730311959864 | 4 | 2.658185005187988 | -4.752777735392253 | 5.38876275643042 | 0.0146684532680748 |
28 | 28 | 28 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 197 | 445 | no | no | -0.3941200659842879 | A- | -0.515802352230278 | 0.8595505617977528 | 0.2314606741573034 | 5.126149068253763 | 5.502781457258179 | -0.3717780483978276 | -0.5459035304715585 | -0.4987849836613195 | 388 | -0.571141262644345 | -1.116511699454303 | 5.146237051158085 | 0.0896130661159873 |
22 | 22 | 22 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 76 | no | no | -0.44111500781667 | A- | -1.322880839391394 | 0.6578947368421053 | 0.3289473684210527 | 4.464504016073127 | 4.785290985686268 | -0.3159326290065507 | -0.628346204721615 | -0.4965072263540098 | 62 | -1.730800259497858 | -4.426759876682544 | 5.635691353916745 | 0.0 |
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
26 | 26 | 26 | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 77 | yes | no | -0.4030286177198171 | A- | -1.463957198958165 | 0.6818181818181818 | 0.2077922077922078 | 5.400956191025771 | 5.741270746812678 | -0.335460215180316 | -0.7056691730313095 | -0.490177117985457 | 75 | -2.147500305175781 | -4.293983837071058 | 4.560357895633497 | 0.3083430447215038 |
19 | 19 | 19 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | yes | no | -0.5370805569371541 | A/B | -0.6930586251044314 | 0.9473684210526316 | 0.2105263157894737 | 4.740097848992598 | 5.245323230143717 | -0.5003710405445295 | -2.155558391362864 | -0.4691066218503643 | 17 | -3.425431644215303 | 0.5520147939495113 | 4.496007923756143 | 0.0729941157575656 |
150 | 150 | 150 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 3 | no | no | 0.3001234758833004 | B/C | -0.0130636356899012 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.535954157511393 | 5.944371449213182 | -3.403562951095199 | -3.96749256953032 | -0.4672144749284703 | 2 | -0.2278366088867188 | -5.816668192545573 | 5.950001525878906 | 0.0 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | 0.2538491059172749 | B/C | -0.1131277768133897 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.0 | 2.45503913031684 | 4.639068437529775 | -2.179174966606345 | -1.694811304753787 | -0.4613475285323269 | 8 | -0.453394889831543 | -0.9934361641541188 | 3.120698850743814 | 1.258770957388996 |
65 | 65 | 65 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 12 | no | no | -0.1326501768887209 | A/B | 0.8029285444950569 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.25 | 4.055425008138021 | 5.466569561056333 | -1.406290212311723 | -1.459355515377667 | -0.4598786932247855 | 12 | 2.547972361246745 | 2.352757065794363 | 6.00216277883069 | 0.0 |
16 | 16 | 16 | Stockton University | 317 | 11 | yes | no | -0.5988865336566043 | A/B | 0.8586874339554346 | 0.9090909090909092 | 0.1818181818181818 | 4.268058083274147 | 5.3663269154552 | -1.093414491574463 | -1.443419811806566 | -0.4592542556950052 | 11 | 2.698824102228338 | 0.7386111683315703 | 6.07582560725001 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
18 | 18 | 18 | University of North Florida | 360 | 10 | yes | no | -0.5472183790769786 | A/B | 0.8902943716826435 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 4.059848022460938 | 6.303158922207842 | -2.238456559140316 | -1.393749348566706 | -0.4314608606122858 | 7 | 3.979950496128627 | 1.022124882062393 | 3.95182601196337 | 0.0666741928082798 |
59 | 59 | 59 | Pharos Research Group | 254 | 33 | no | yes | -0.181091218007201 | F | 0.7837683835376599 | 0.9393939393939394 | 0.1515151515151515 | 3.727244232640122 | 4.996001396717071 | -1.26390282347036 | -0.842373933489471 | -0.4265716036697134 | 33 | 1.547749663844253 | 0.8805577264040833 | 4.020183078748705 | 0.2274283195553339 |
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
155 | 155 | 155 | Praecones Analytica | 257 | 3 | no | no | 0.3212286124688598 | B/C | -0.1990078903029578 | 0.3333333333333333 | 0.0 | 1.795216878255208 | 5.473129376508742 | -3.673058157646944 | -3.760935854690828 | -0.4169167074310298 | 3 | -1.795216878255208 | -5.199742801372822 | 4.881398235057152 | 0.7616229920472635 |
43 | 43 | 43 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | 272 | 35 | no | no | -0.2502523505654984 | B+ | -0.1532592156273004 | 0.8428571428571429 | 0.2285714285714286 | 5.225879396711077 | 6.439681586328422 | -1.208947849010754 | -0.8296452957554462 | -0.4097837807572352 | 21 | -0.5748111179896763 | -1.533106154161316 | 4.493119662042916 | 0.0427549324484808 |
90 | 90 | 90 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 346 | 39 | no | no | -0.0370594289568832 | A/B | -1.306065146884215 | 0.935897435897436 | 0.2307692307692308 | 4.199360969739082 | 5.688044858653705 | -1.483829548308032 | -0.8723258548608629 | -0.4079996282714262 | 30 | -3.206029510498047 | -2.56406304192143 | 3.426229651161958 | 0.4379740993217192 |
29 | 29 | 29 | Public Policy Polling | 263 | 454 | no | no | -0.3918422921735414 | A- | 0.9321825021704334 | 0.7929515418502202 | 0.3149779735682819 | 5.105827020653544 | 5.550127917653857 | -0.4394465563937247 | -0.432649072316288 | -0.4073063046667555 | 327 | 1.010979282017513 | 1.05247566824167 | 4.572874664914711 | 0.0 |
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
68 | 68 | 68 | Western New England University | 380 | 11 | yes | no | -0.110773336936859 | A/B | -0.3796960623710915 | 1.0 | 0.0909090909090909 | 4.244961478493431 | 5.767853875608458 | -1.518038056508439 | -1.39739932795524 | -0.4006546707201787 | 10 | -1.362352752685547 | 2.019394173077492 | 2.6320729388773 | 1.456800997018991 |
102 | 102 | 102 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 54 | no | no | 0.0107773328025 | B | 0.115735045363567 | 0.7962962962962963 | 0.2222222222222222 | 5.469057718912761 | 5.689511943504002 | -0.2155998839846535 | -0.5945972458868907 | -0.3840742838142684 | 47 | 0.1919800778652759 | 0.4101546190582647 | 3.96975026527523 | 0.4665754239193021 |
107 | 107 | 107 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | 134 | 11 | no | no | 0.0397295118765566 | B/C | 0.617120123267614 | 0.7727272727272727 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.71497240933505 | 5.669405626106609 | -1.949578876164969 | -1.649749559329973 | -0.3802153345477424 | 11 | 2.677676460959695 | 3.614009769879855 | 5.24202705227114 | 0.0144037048440678 |
173 | 173 | 173 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | no | 0.3896180920689654 | B/C | 0.1061730685778454 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 3.205460548400879 | 6.358808464901305 | -3.148493575893838 | -4.259172410081579 | -0.3768334955644899 | 3 | 1.527838389078776 | 6.492857124691917 | 2.666666666666667 | 0.3487572785930814 |
112 | 112 | 112 | Harper Polling | 132 | 14 | no | no | 0.0532142634898178 | B/C | 0.4813360855681433 | 0.7857142857142857 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.74915885925293 | 5.637929723046637 | -1.883916523187118 | -0.9728707779115372 | -0.3676020560722559 | 11 | 1.475977117365057 | -0.7397462573945109 | 4.419007504327381 | 0.4229926231162012 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | yes | no | -0.463154299736858 | A/B | -0.6666186527357043 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.377521991729736 | 5.458382514305143 | -1.076006181968817 | -1.622196341123171 | -0.3597660894434694 | 6 | -4.268723805745442 | 1.512220143538255 | 5.405572548404853 | 0.0 |
27 | 27 | 27 | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 62 | yes | no | -0.3994224601982951 | A- | 0.3025593291962615 | 0.7741935483870968 | 0.2258064516129032 | 4.476905945808657 | 5.503620680677048 | -1.021860394261805 | -0.5990196850785335 | -0.35552109890906 | 51 | 0.5306224449008119 | 1.517954371398464 | 4.121276802729937 | 0.2109512837990196 |
47 | 47 | 47 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | no | -0.2283145698385184 | A/B | -0.0470255683040697 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.030765533447266 | 7.354118595320895 | -6.318498721267041 | -4.047355406498196 | -0.3548497897677919 | 2 | -0.5363655090332031 | -1.523426869532446 | 0.0 | |
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
77 | 77 | 77 | Vox Populi Polling | 372 | 19 | no | no | -0.0824722486637735 | A/B | 0.39372786799427 | 0.7631578947368421 | 0.1578947368421053 | 3.956891310842414 | 5.167959912711793 | -1.20621426126279 | -0.7980057743990526 | -0.3511785784526951 | 19 | 0.8946932742470189 | -1.300901224920249 | 4.7989892898252 | 0.1668381106557129 |
141 | 141 | 141 | RRH Elections | 274 | 9 | no | no | 0.252404032823645 | B/C | 0.4858699786980575 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.217260148790148 | 5.555821995380273 | -1.333707505983536 | -1.249068238111956 | -0.3462611766241897 | 9 | 1.752679189046224 | -3.953673428905254 | 3.888251871823019 | 0.8347469576668479 |
114 | 114 | 114 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | no | 0.1030683156366483 | B/C | 1.125647983043073 | 0.5416666666666666 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.510533014933268 | 4.635695564395752 | -1.120308208855895 | -1.071911308359979 | -0.3449217581609216 | 12 | 3.498169581095377 | 1.098717960991697 | 2.634383123322027 | 0.3971380059273483 |
122 | 122 | 122 | Ward Research/The Honolulu Star-Advertiser | 375 | 15 | no | no | 0.1511211430834034 | B/C | -0.4059751230387894 | 0.8 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.849984232584635 | 5.784769724457165 | 0.0700688487340593 | -1.164893858867452 | -0.3423701519998299 | 15 | -1.381305948893229 | 4.183333333333334 | 3.857677038939983 | 0.4894641420330041 |
172 | 172 | 172 | Latino Decisions | 482 | 2 | no | no | 0.381147274344124 | B/C | 0.230152732447574 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.48735237121582 | 6.998023892727285 | -3.505817180904875 | -3.421120513867502 | -0.3421120513867502 | 1 | 4.372901916503906 | -2.489285469055176 | 0.5 | 1.688593257308742 |
120 | 120 | 120 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 302 | 12 | no | no | 0.1451600955110219 | B/C | 0.5545560229747505 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 3.021411736806234 | 5.603694830321737 | -2.577428752908915 | -1.201709097646268 | -0.3328360521905492 | 10 | 2.169110870361328 | 0.0115923127490971 | 3.751690993240957 | 0.3988726134857696 |
45 | 45 | 45 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | no | -0.2406283419287637 | A/B | -0.1370833076306571 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.58882745107015 | 5.180404786862579 | -2.586722995185841 | -1.52528217964292 | -0.3327836470072496 | 12 | -0.6283082962036133 | 0.3330994514929227 | 3.469211118333305 | 0.890053168558799 |
21 | 21 | 21 | Los Angeles Times | 172 | 36 | yes | no | -0.4478968987718507 | A/B | -0.1703826699373148 | 0.8472222222222222 | 0.2777777777777778 | 5.032578468322754 | 6.34540278620666 | -1.307969977277317 | -0.8479272108704069 | -0.3299054331784183 | 23 | -0.6038673235022504 | 0.8650991554956743 | 5.176007332823471 | 0.1241410678532038 |
165 | 165 | 165 | Echelon Insights | 407 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.1488210678100586 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.488210678100586 | 5.022068575452601 | -3.529003556745426 | -3.28584820902155 | -0.328584820902155 | 2 | 1.488210678100586 | -2.832186497240511 | 3.10272692285871 | 0.3785494922808028 |
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
41 | 41 | 41 | YouGov | 391 | 455 | no | no | -0.273505537653068 | B+ | 0.6766339784370394 | 0.8868131868131868 | 0.3208791208791209 | 5.038859289819068 | 5.174998705898146 | -0.1312850754724879 | -0.3428717352678932 | -0.3236017801576189 | 395 | 0.7261292566227008 | 0.280365261549705 | 4.228015171115431 | 0.0373586246742392 |
58 | 58 | 58 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 31 | no | no | -0.1877888208114844 | B+ | -0.9321207960623455 | 0.8387096774193549 | 0.2258064516129032 | 5.727274064094789 | 6.269753478804693 | -0.5376250741033142 | -0.6242494207968549 | -0.3175109413086395 | 27 | -2.074528164333767 | -5.391174342874497 | 6.234594881392646 | 0.0 |
38 | 38 | 38 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | no | -0.2903980097900636 | A/B | 0.4572253997293468 | 0.5625 | 0.125 | 3.152763366699219 | 4.723235578300777 | -1.565617870994968 | -1.421942556563748 | -0.3126489823390849 | 8 | 2.079483032226563 | 0.7813109061682718 | 3.566882986360794 | 0.5681594481906921 |
31 | 31 | 31 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 11 | yes | no | -0.3806335800402641 | A/B | -0.1612337393223545 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.0909090909090909 | 3.636163191361861 | 5.702708061135182 | -2.061690529166732 | -1.812616607025872 | -0.2986774449822354 | 11 | -0.9784968983043324 | -0.6515151515151515 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
121 | 121 | 121 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 5 | no | no | 0.1510535317674696 | B/C | -0.4597777031608106 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 9.491231155395509 | 6.36591430356789 | 3.130171192434207 | -1.309671563957201 | -0.2817604637837424 | 2 | -4.835419654846191 | -9.453224503096711 | 13.78226443376999 | 0.0 |
91 | 91 | 91 | New England College | 228 | 19 | no | no | -0.0339156692478161 | A/B | -1.233823913352059 | 0.7368421052631579 | 0.1578947368421053 | 4.186138956170333 | 5.130762388156788 | -0.9397690913798652 | -0.7022128287799915 | -0.2771430608747104 | 19 | -3.126208455939042 | -3.275668947623061 | 5.506584216856184 | 0.0 |
139 | 139 | 139 | University of South Alabama | 361 | 9 | no | no | 0.2390427125467455 | B/C | -0.4270172343358059 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 3.683771345350477 | 5.098838933470263 | -1.410213247513195 | -1.91859403625147 | -0.2769230134479074 | 9 | -2.958485497368707 | -0.8229166666666667 | 5.744313994368434 | 0.0580934133217054 |
35 | 35 | 35 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 20 | yes | no | -0.3279580548271417 | A/B | -0.2165206327505528 | 0.95 | 0.1 | 4.440978050231934 | 5.358511689099378 | -0.9126792982608564 | -0.8380466513142142 | -0.2720944607518267 | 19 | -0.6907659831799959 | 2.435522153841081 | 4.523587596163656 | 0.2655406954045892 |
61 | 61 | 61 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | 326 | 46 | no | no | -0.1748126895970972 | B+ | 0.6142521511939343 | 0.717391304347826 | 0.2608695652173913 | 5.351888656616211 | 5.511775495543286 | -0.1550324983204863 | -0.4183686364766303 | -0.2690414781712609 | 41 | 0.9773832181604896 | -1.257913985607085 | 5.39987791449076 | 0.0 |
36 | 36 | 36 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 219 | yes | no | -0.3149763346868122 | A- | 0.5485570013033918 | 0.817351598173516 | 0.2694063926940639 | 4.796165736298583 | 5.627070789704262 | -0.8260507127990924 | -0.3017991517287681 | -0.2669757445552307 | 165 | 0.6401595375754616 | 0.5421931999487883 | 4.89597885188422 | 0.0 |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
37 | 37 | 37 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 20 | yes | no | -0.303590018460776 | A/B | -0.6109127602102492 | 0.95 | 0.1 | 3.77440013885498 | 5.259219176594611 | -1.479964697133042 | -0.8894583268149803 | -0.2662673607425706 | 20 | -2.040736198425293 | -2.6586610296301 | 5.241835566962915 | 0.3181341688029125 |
23 | 23 | 23 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 17 | yes | no | -0.4350847160589734 | A/B | -1.142767725530053 | 1.0 | 0.2352941176470588 | 5.058373956119313 | 6.340402037348159 | -1.277173740622257 | -0.6710188021511885 | -0.2660216305465535 | 11 | -4.278469779274681 | -1.420514016184773 | 0.0 | |
147 | 147 | 147 | Market Research Institute Inc. | 186 | 11 | no | no | 0.2883837372784128 | B/C | 0.0988550591203688 | 1.0 | 0.2727272727272727 | 4.200706481933594 | 5.203628818713973 | -0.9980679961737898 | -1.723606437434558 | -0.2635927690693167 | 11 | 0.6464032259854403 | 0.3711111492580839 | 5.071841119416734 | 0.3496453085924283 |
179 | 179 | 179 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | 350 | 4 | no | no | 0.40783038322842 | B/C | 0.5246314953730709 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.959074020385742 | 4.819615461263455 | -1.855687100271123 | -1.486505520089792 | -0.263551235458236 | 4 | 2.959074020385742 | 0.4448982410582287 | 2.073838434916397 | 1.120195635341472 |
131 | 131 | 131 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | 0.2074642111036509 | B/C | -0.2389402614864285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.865321477254232 | 3.741884229672774 | -1.871708411811952 | -1.434479972329097 | -0.2610489329781672 | 6 | -1.312991460164388 | -0.3925210524768365 | 3.221708933333288 | 0.0037679274717715 |
189 | 189 | 189 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 3 | no | no | 0.4254993434463736 | B/C | -0.112109205074789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.932412465413411 | 4.84802488565374 | -2.91075807963374 | -1.871559196768958 | -0.2579638566620892 | 3 | -0.8133659362792969 | 0.5753966437445749 | 2.064001485289123 | 1.226228374303404 |
202 | 202 | 202 | MFour Mobile Research | 177 | 2 | no | no | 0.4811133034493815 | B/C | -0.1644033527150696 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.808574676513672 | 4.216155656972621 | -1.40272663985236 | -4.391196247839257 | -0.2570440414533494 | 2 | -2.808574676513672 | 5.108332951863607 | 6.905530131437598 | 0.0 |
130 | 130 | 130 | St. Norbert College | 313 | 12 | no | no | 0.2008059463973449 | B/C | -0.0109146689642649 | 0.875 | 0.0833333333333333 | 4.796833038330078 | 6.029303755886158 | -1.227616376949491 | -1.042018643054396 | -0.2542176501342202 | 11 | -0.0496240095658736 | 1.500361373121844 | 5.274291885177433 | 0.215817448994672 |
24 | 24 | 24 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 13 | yes | no | -0.4157477143028115 | A/B | 1.035338401208234 | 1.0 | 0.3076923076923077 | 5.421989147479717 | 5.367781174548801 | 0.0590623135375051 | -0.6752688755025994 | -0.2542033919649918 | 12 | 2.971978823343913 | 2.005821493074492 | 4.543501255013545 | 0.0 |
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
156 | 156 | 156 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | 0.3273159900092489 | B/C | 0.4063231875307592 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 3.803844451904297 | 4.427948959480438 | -0.6192501669695522 | -2.213302633524329 | -0.2453545825213887 | 3 | 3.66537348429362 | -2.929798049156112 | 3.271102183887483 | 0.2682158477098666 |
40 | 40 | 40 | Louisville Courier-Journal | 174 | 10 | yes | no | -0.2754931355358016 | A/B | -0.222187321142904 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.537170791625976 | 5.386656777087478 | -1.844631644854912 | -1.669356578377343 | -0.2448219489169292 | 10 | -1.515018844604492 | -1.027777438693577 | 5.348942075163053 | 0.3032368524958057 |
33 | 33 | 33 | The Winston Group | 385 | 10 | yes | no | -0.3628111184548534 | A/B | 1.084935521863051 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.175388336181641 | 5.243162856132545 | -1.062920179344315 | -0.9085701682795456 | -0.2424686196782707 | 10 | 4.065433502197266 | 0.5544444618730905 | 4.733011955875233 | 0.0 |
207 | 207 | 207 | Amber Integrated | 556 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | -0.0197500931589227 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3752517700195313 | 5.821665544995738 | -5.441559434369617 | -4.582240064473633 | -0.2411705297091386 | 1 | -0.3752517700195313 | -5.399999618530273 | 6.299999237060547 | 0.1961096424653417 |
240 | 240 | 240 | Mercyhurst University | 422 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | -0.0256045861832137 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7379531860351562 | 6.010215435191023 | -5.267407908549278 | -6.730360836853476 | -0.2335217292267797 | 1 | -0.7379531860351562 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );