FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Mean-Reverted Bias
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias ▼ | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
67 | 67 | 67 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | yes | no | -0.1255979863026042 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.854116439819336 | 11.09983460908339 | -4.240863828657471 | -2.734016207015824 | -0.1215095143011595 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
136 | 136 | 136 | ROI Rocket | 554 | 3 | no | no | 0.2234285714285715 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 2.599483489990234 | 8.232182047700974 | -5.62784421710415 | -5.238768298462158 | -0.7483954712088796 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.4249855547435774 | |||
159 | 159 | 159 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | no | 0.3420453059425479 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.246297836303711 | 10.63547991170321 | -4.384327734792912 | -5.024609190012803 | -0.5227742401075861 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
176 | 176 | 176 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | 0.3999196421644681 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.25 | 4.152257919311523 | 8.539092643493515 | -4.381980383575401 | -2.930696528475484 | -0.2494164273014579 | 0 | 7.977818519066259 | 0.0 | |||
187 | 187 | 187 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.163215637207031 | 9.148190844036044 | -7.980120866222423 | -6.450210786693455 | -0.4949802420996439 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
206 | 206 | 206 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | no | 0.4974766349515035 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.71716594696045 | 9.74164143280978 | -1.019621145242739 | -1.061882438860048 | -0.0814873876296605 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
208 | 208 | 208 | Park Street Strategies | 534 | 1 | no | no | 0.4991578947368421 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.407428741455078 | 8.392593806561234 | -5.980310724499566 | -3.834212157916771 | -0.2018006398903564 | 0 | 4.939999961853028 | 0.0 | |||
227 | 227 | 227 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | no | 0.530340999794168 | B/C | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.411446253458659 | 9.377282965354292 | -3.960982371289043 | -3.530717722236241 | -0.1498001733881424 | 0 | 6.100505063388336 | 0.027413447753404 | |||
233 | 233 | 233 | Targeted Persuasion | 579 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9474029541015624 | 9.672130421329964 | -8.719873126621811 | -10.15794896327855 | -0.4053047290142406 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
234 | 234 | 234 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | no | 0.5380648282103843 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.005395889282227 | 9.546341300288688 | -7.536091070399872 | -8.858919949950904 | -0.3534731433140437 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
245 | 245 | 245 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | 0.5606575823109456 | F | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.4166666666666667 | 9.819032033284506 | 8.8002319152952 | 1.023654458595894 | 0.7574553550038076 | 0.2520475497343417 | 0 | 6.634753052243117 | 0.0 | |||
251 | 251 | 251 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | 0.5678598845666973 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.470468521118164 | 7.490421217887829 | -3.015098356163076 | -2.561214517790606 | -0.0772220554053263 | 0 | 11.55555555555556 | 0.0 | |||
264 | 264 | 264 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.145587921142578 | 8.88757842876825 | -1.737136167019083 | -3.246362520751393 | -0.0737795274685672 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
272 | 272 | 272 | Jorge Benítez | 600 | 4 | no | no | 0.6023811895696973 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.131099700927734 | 5.297056208821066 | -0.1611021672867416 | 0.7390965426333351 | 0.1343811895696973 | 0 | 9.25 | 0.0 | |||
273 | 273 | 273 | Morningside College | 536 | 1 | no | no | 0.6034162189016622 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.407428741455078 | 9.729677981260473 | -3.317394899198805 | -1.103253928318778 | -0.0580659962273041 | 0 | 3.699999809265137 | 1.08416208745036 | |||
275 | 275 | 275 | Pasquines | 552 | 1 | no | no | 0.6050388666367741 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.38766098022461 | 9.457199369386291 | 0.9353159514449056 | -0.3214632953961422 | -0.0128264666715264 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
289 | 289 | 289 | OurProgress (The Progress Campaign) | 561 | 1 | no | yes | 0.6161654942043626 | F | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.39239501953125 | 8.365918202901572 | 1.031331157236268 | 0.2231443898828894 | 0.0117444415727837 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
294 | 294 | 294 | Vox Populi Communications | 529 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.522224426269531 | 7.922152820894688 | -4.395074054018568 | -3.978707102335895 | -0.0511108731623914 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | |||
304 | 304 | 304 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | no | 0.6342064191532407 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 9.2988650004069 | 8.594980148218431 | 0.7087391927950591 | 0.3695070114900995 | 0.0138834760643398 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
306 | 306 | 306 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | 0.6405103784070884 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.079864501953125 | 9.00806824817187 | -2.923349405612156 | 0.0530148062504045 | 0.0021153041582252 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5145265914137396 | |||
312 | 312 | 312 | University of Nevada, Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | no | 0.6523054001943108 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.909448623657227 | 8.321813454871092 | 0.5924895093927236 | 0.8007941442703316 | 0.0241443929618394 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
315 | 315 | 315 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | no | 0.6558623172861971 | B/C | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.367771148681641 | 5.673281247074294 | 0.6993442422139364 | -1.01937610592222 | -0.0248684132594613 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.905769189375852 | |||
330 | 330 | 330 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | no | 0.6780316469454992 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.57935333251953 | 10.00894267019912 | 1.575265002926999 | 1.50791811564035 | 0.0601663136371989 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
333 | 333 | 333 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | no | 0.682334156134031 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 7.979216893513997 | 8.299483959669688 | -0.3154127255491002 | 1.238398802681448 | 0.1516380141134428 | 0 | 7.643708774087621 | 0.0 | |||
341 | 341 | 341 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | 0.6995370076870748 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.888496398925781 | 8.694951309577576 | 0.1983994299547951 | 2.795662265967504 | 0.0635365396274491 | 0 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |||
351 | 351 | 351 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | 0.7114204767023606 | B/C | 0.8571428571428571 | 0.7142857142857143 | 9.457359858921595 | 8.460331650799835 | 1.001882548728349 | 1.423295422909794 | 0.1992579394388035 | 0 | 10.87636664561877 | 0.0 | |||
370 | 370 | 370 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 2 | no | no | 0.7415875112176328 | B/C | 0.5 | 1.0 | 14.05421733856201 | 8.091564778767712 | 5.96750690040089 | 2.449795285445019 | 0.1434017623817209 | 0 | 10.18888918558756 | 0.0 | |||
374 | 374 | 374 | Lester & Associates | 293 | 1 | no | no | 0.757813807098785 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.92186546325684 | 7.939957168970158 | 10.98676263489327 | 4.032942336631153 | 0.0916559928235483 | 0 | 1.850000381469727 | 1.32694911229125 | |||
378 | 378 | 378 | Dynata | 283 | 2 | no | no | 0.7659266382211682 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.368056297302246 | 8.563656556344602 | 0.8092540815642333 | 0.8376995302750494 | 0.0642839017226691 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.598656868505834 | |||
399 | 399 | 399 | Beacon Research | 545 | 3 | no | no | 0.8024684099094195 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.971240361531575 | 6.546103251047581 | 1.429991451090585 | 2.053278869365935 | 0.2933255527665622 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
419 | 419 | 419 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | 0.8646525450775476 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.29655265808105 | 9.780529509083932 | 8.520877489603713 | 7.843686067201693 | 0.2364915378450761 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
433 | 433 | 433 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | 553 | 1 | no | no | 0.9128463189124753 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.4076042175293 | 7.71702778658851 | 5.695430771547376 | 4.90008790922519 | 0.2578993636434311 | 0 | 6.0 | 0.9599921501118364 | |||
439 | 439 | 439 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | no | 0.9626482024962544 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 21.48976993560791 | 9.67580504112034 | 11.81881923509416 | 7.25176267778764 | 0.3222944174742237 | 0 | 6.5 | 0.6139517335312643 | |||
466 | 466 | 466 | TargetPoint | 331 | 2 | no | no | 1.159604211984977 | B/C | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.27473926544189 | 9.77160886971426 | 8.507984736334224 | 7.566466889654669 | 0.5806401894038133 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
471 | 471 | 471 | Elucd | 549 | 4 | no | no | 1.267003517884994 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.75 | 12.94745445251465 | 7.55719598031602 | 5.395112812805219 | 4.358326424147456 | 0.7924229862086284 | 0 | 3.682365112624316 | 0.0361929242200101 | |||
475 | 475 | 475 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | 1.355100819765538 | C/D | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.00404167175293 | 7.828429101160927 | 8.180466911198593 | 10.11403186501444 | 0.7761367971843742 | 0 | 11.18820155180871 | 0.0 | |||
481 | 481 | 481 | Point Blank Political | 550 | 6 | no | no | 1.488613590080401 | C/D | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.8333333333333334 | 10.66819604237874 | 7.98123487463683 | 2.691815508348502 | 4.370454360321604 | 1.092613590080401 | 0 | 9.375758475211496 | 0.0 | |||
490 | 490 | 490 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | no | 2.048179028922068 | C/D | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.41861343383789 | 9.746905584996624 | 13.67656218944786 | 13.57853073467099 | 1.505241393199845 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
488 | 488 | 488 | TCJ Research | 327 | 132 | no | yes | 1.73252349719409 | F | -4.368320531183411 | 0.5909090909090909 | 0.4924242424242424 | 6.437300060734604 | 4.620029262645345 | 1.82212513869585 | 2.119417023837321 | 1.677473937056623 | 124 | -5.583939398488691 | -3.444773641882034 | 4.378142404254912 | 0.0 |
459 | 459 | 459 | MRG Research | 207 | 24 | no | no | 1.111869170732042 | B/C | -3.083955272059459 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5833333333333334 | 8.943052132924398 | 5.406854431451237 | 3.54105204207975 | 2.142434698891506 | 0.8910799624896134 | 23 | -7.625354103420092 | -3.234717323666527 | 10.26022213049239 | 0.0 |
420 | 420 | 420 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 33 | no | no | 0.8651626296718206 | C+ | -2.639029471910175 | 0.8484848484848485 | 0.7575757575757576 | 7.36368144642223 | 5.330020138798532 | 2.038515648230288 | 1.487314888434947 | 0.7074678891067008 | 33 | -5.548050851532907 | -4.331729200390248 | 7.005812303421265 | 0.0 |
474 | 474 | 474 | Carroll Strategies | 450 | 5 | no | no | 1.310058901575354 | C/D | -1.913723873068454 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 9.87927589416504 | 5.402969768499934 | 4.481160466271694 | 3.490799679526417 | 0.6762061060320272 | 5 | -9.87927589416504 | -1.651001485188802 | 4.512893403438581 | 0.9210194783459328 |
391 | 391 | 391 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 16 | no | no | 0.7852868615226893 | B/C | -1.903883602077899 | 0.5625 | 0.4375 | 6.75414502620697 | 5.16587790936004 | 1.593121457453521 | 1.407843461757177 | 0.5013146697622185 | 15 | -5.697357813517253 | -4.60628011158975 | 5.237259413643385 | 0.0 |
215 | 215 | 215 | OnMessage Inc. | 239 | 12 | no | no | 0.5168366660895292 | B/C | -1.638568026149947 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.76245911916097 | 5.638599712294909 | 1.128713747472649 | 0.5763589538430638 | 0.172031710009919 | 12 | -5.489705085754395 | -5.856712356886356 | 7.706283608555769 | 0.0 |
483 | 483 | 483 | McLaughlin & Associates | 203 | 27 | no | no | 1.556690445522311 | C/D | -1.594512296178581 | 0.6851851851851852 | 0.3703703703703703 | 7.301642523871528 | 5.342332225222354 | 1.964164639255763 | 3.022415901500849 | 1.378229020219985 | 27 | -3.496718795211227 | -4.563259908466408 | 5.927640923580714 | 0.0 |
25 | 25 | 25 | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 133 | no | yes | -0.4093433552458224 | F | -1.565349522249775 | 0.8872180451127819 | 0.1879699248120301 | 3.9196988729606 | 5.182542290160064 | -1.257989076592874 | -0.7759489547791791 | -0.5668363365415784 | 110 | -2.31423058943315 | -2.151473507112263 | 4.35200216571219 | 0.1182012843699503 |
106 | 106 | 106 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | 277 | 748 | no | no | 0.034939605456722 | B | -1.466656728993862 | 0.7814171122994652 | 0.2794117647058824 | 5.124549337886871 | 5.499760509362544 | -0.3703568308690899 | -0.0448965087539173 | -0.0429351062370877 | 609 | -1.546923927094157 | -1.259056324888526 | 4.632534083773963 | 0.0693719585641567 |
26 | 26 | 26 | Public Opinion Strategies | 260 | 77 | yes | no | -0.4030286177198171 | A- | -1.463957198958165 | 0.6818181818181818 | 0.2077922077922078 | 5.400956191025771 | 5.741270746812678 | -0.335460215180316 | -0.7056691730313095 | -0.490177117985457 | 75 | -2.147500305175781 | -4.293983837071058 | 4.560357895633497 | 0.3083430447215038 |
493 | 493 | 493 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | no | 2.925766982257719 | C/D | -1.437339691355343 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.5 | 22.10050201416016 | 8.121156737737067 | 13.98419961702968 | 12.40843589819734 | 2.476527910988802 | 2 | -18.73033142089844 | -27.66666666666667 | 28.25 | 0.0 |
478 | 478 | 478 | TP Research | 452 | 2 | no | no | 1.371119784114602 | C/D | -1.363687299657571 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.55398178100586 | 6.016545535152569 | 9.54229058645988 | 8.79403822483834 | 0.7710127482957436 | 2 | -15.55398178100586 | -8.315000534057617 | 7.100002288818359 | 0.3728711962648337 |
22 | 22 | 22 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 76 | no | no | -0.44111500781667 | A- | -1.322880839391394 | 0.6578947368421053 | 0.3289473684210527 | 4.464504016073127 | 4.785290985686268 | -0.3159326290065507 | -0.628346204721615 | -0.4965072263540098 | 62 | -1.730800259497858 | -4.426759876682544 | 5.635691353916745 | 0.0 |
90 | 90 | 90 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 346 | 39 | no | no | -0.0370594289568832 | A/B | -1.306065146884215 | 0.935897435897436 | 0.2307692307692308 | 4.199360969739082 | 5.688044858653705 | -1.483829548308032 | -0.8723258548608629 | -0.4079996282714262 | 30 | -3.206029510498047 | -2.56406304192143 | 3.426229651161958 | 0.4379740993217192 |
91 | 91 | 91 | New England College | 228 | 19 | no | no | -0.0339156692478161 | A/B | -1.233823913352059 | 0.7368421052631579 | 0.1578947368421053 | 4.186138956170333 | 5.130762388156788 | -0.9397690913798652 | -0.7022128287799915 | -0.2771430608747104 | 19 | -3.126208455939042 | -3.275668947623061 | 5.506584216856184 | 0.0 |
57 | 57 | 57 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 31 | no | no | -0.1891576113303911 | B+ | -1.156968436932061 | 0.935483870967742 | 0.0645161290322581 | 3.188856924733808 | 4.892401796541075 | -1.698690531200678 | -1.402220205704477 | -0.6996465885099965 | 31 | -2.318777145877961 | 0.7856167374884813 | 2.999321370691419 | 0.7563524627758474 |
23 | 23 | 23 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 17 | yes | no | -0.4350847160589734 | A/B | -1.142767725530053 | 1.0 | 0.2352941176470588 | 5.058373956119313 | 6.340402037348159 | -1.277173740622257 | -0.6710188021511885 | -0.2660216305465535 | 11 | -4.278469779274681 | -1.420514016184773 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | 133 | Optimus | 245 | 19 | yes | no | 0.2176788044997423 | B/C | -1.117009354017847 | 0.8421052631578947 | 0.631578947368421 | 7.233441904971474 | 5.350868055476922 | 1.887428190101142 | 0.8914593771203826 | 0.4110527587988255 | 16 | -2.699467897415161 | -3.307204778863009 | 6.255169107607781 | 0.0 |
56 | 56 | 56 | Market Shares Corp. | 187 | 25 | yes | no | -0.1904870355902863 | A/B | -1.116463552379 | 0.84 | 0.28 | 5.833436889648437 | 5.459175339675063 | 0.3791158905799643 | -0.5181010231370671 | -0.1709831472780438 | 22 | -4.090595765547319 | -1.910674497184886 | 4.568093518841848 | 0.3775032824995286 |
226 | 226 | 226 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | no | 0.5298564900697459 | B/C | -1.115235573972929 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.5454545454545454 | 6.573435003107244 | 5.957171311888197 | 0.6211180318256374 | 0.6577821430093992 | 0.2149729736070278 | 8 | -4.019611358642578 | -3.992251247054335 | 7.151050894272147 | 0.0 |
473 | 473 | 473 | GOP Calls | 654 | 2 | no | no | 1.299843741989501 | B/C | -1.073954814432304 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.04491901397705 | 6.007385155418485 | 15.04238819916516 | 13.5941995134376 | 0.6937330576617211 | 2 | -21.04491901397705 | 0.0 | ||
260 | 260 | 260 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | 503 | 5 | no | no | 0.5874416106710005 | B/C | -1.070948914995215 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.71466293334961 | 5.744101656167575 | 0.975415617788624 | 0.6814295843276099 | 0.1320003689858563 | 5 | -5.528592681884765 | -6.841666539510092 | 26.00000000000001 | 0.0 |
292 | 292 | 292 | The Polling Company Inc. | 337 | 7 | no | no | 0.6200724778436899 | B/C | -1.067938553093189 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.5714285714285714 | 6.255960191999163 | 5.308021553775161 | 0.9527929788305908 | 0.8750483814306691 | 0.1930820730626939 | 7 | -4.83989988054548 | -3.324883065028498 | 6.250531052568514 | 0.0 |
82 | 82 | 82 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 182 | yes | no | -0.0622054637457226 | B+ | -1.065041464326777 | 0.8324175824175825 | 0.4835164835164835 | 5.043052254142342 | 4.155189055042091 | 0.8927175397068411 | -0.0052398861622841 | -0.0045132013366394 | 182 | -1.236527159973815 | 0.5303280530923598 | 3.927387720535005 | 0.0 |
369 | 369 | 369 | Kimball Political Consulting | 163 | 6 | no | no | 0.7408599088190024 | B/C | -0.9883884432002163 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5 | 6.287283579508464 | 4.647312677120706 | 1.644825242994348 | 1.570361717253792 | 0.2468677217035975 | 6 | -6.287283579508464 | -2.414999643961589 | 6.36664866823249 | 0.0 |
388 | 388 | 388 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | 0.7811925707864777 | B/C | -0.9694367373149146 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.843583424886067 | 5.376897249511465 | 1.471540515981191 | 1.826923684414111 | 0.2872003836710728 | 4 | -8.765375137329102 | -6.805556221613808 | 8.004608245886912 | 0.0 |
472 | 472 | 472 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | 1.292292975615425 | B/C | -0.9468322760367824 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 21.30413246154785 | 5.176883509566855 | 16.13210329258759 | 14.546176868878 | 0.6464844216140726 | 2 | -21.30413246154785 | -10.60000038146973 | 3.200000762939453 | 0.7366863760056699 |
58 | 58 | 58 | Tarrance Group | 333 | 31 | no | no | -0.1877888208114844 | B+ | -0.9321207960623455 | 0.8387096774193549 | 0.2258064516129032 | 5.727274064094789 | 6.269753478804693 | -0.5376250741033142 | -0.6242494207968549 | -0.3175109413086395 | 27 | -2.074528164333767 | -5.391174342874497 | 6.234594881392646 | 0.0 |
204 | 204 | 204 | We Ask America | 376 | 56 | no | no | 0.4866695154302745 | B- | -0.9043882774240214 | 0.8125 | 0.4464285714285715 | 6.731526851654053 | 6.026793678148879 | 0.7095875141117655 | 0.6081688735259547 | 0.3934715739411216 | 37 | -1.679796115772144 | -1.629044703856119 | 5.43529354630518 | 0.0 |
4 | 4 | 4 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 31 | yes | no | -0.9384244225719548 | A+ | -0.8323505085998764 | 0.8064516129032258 | 0.032258064516129 | 2.085001545567666 | 4.009343275206846 | -1.919487389032589 | -1.512109181475797 | -0.7926143837060662 | 31 | -1.587915728169103 | -1.814818206485563 | 3.704195219998842 | 0.0994545884761387 |
385 | 385 | 385 | Zia Poll | 393 | 4 | no | no | 0.7786391354970146 | B/C | -0.8303678743833749 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 5.355730056762695 | 3.573749435983919 | 1.786834961385366 | 1.821202030920989 | 0.2823644289780817 | 4 | -5.355730056762695 | -5.332124996185303 | 5.859122918275927 | 0.0 |
447 | 447 | 447 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | no | 1.006372546360688 | B/C | -0.8084199351629326 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.510197639465332 | 4.543193627412718 | 2.971858352659204 | 3.527894687459416 | 0.4943438215175679 | 4 | -5.769305229187012 | -6.759859941252808 | 5.482901716514413 | 0.0 |
12 | 12 | 12 | MassINC Polling Group | 198 | 20 | yes | no | -0.7440584999606555 | A/B | -0.7850465739065724 | 0.85 | 0.2 | 4.52824182510376 | 6.208162293460438 | -1.675066127750088 | -1.257475622479393 | -0.5865806232527697 | 14 | -2.180184500558036 | -1.995397342239822 | 5.79614435261604 | 0.0812833459930051 |
213 | 213 | 213 | JMC Analytics | 156 | 13 | no | no | 0.5106998119231376 | B/C | -0.7819164735009975 | 0.8846153846153846 | 0.1538461538461539 | 5.687059842623198 | 5.164945171268722 | 0.5269690119610644 | 0.6542144436661432 | 0.24310067383506 | 13 | -2.104235429030198 | -1.712971273868803 | 5.797091969873341 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
214 | 214 | 214 | Moore Information | 217 | 12 | no | no | 0.5118782690384208 | B/C | -0.6951948202835481 | 0.75 | 0.1666666666666667 | 6.462831497192383 | 5.818690209241944 | 0.6489956285570281 | 0.3852976995698104 | 0.1144288607242513 | 12 | -2.340816497802734 | -4.355487005555785 | 5.241224483740024 | 0.1719560764917774 |
19 | 19 | 19 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | yes | no | -0.5370805569371541 | A/B | -0.6930586251044314 | 0.9473684210526316 | 0.2105263157894737 | 4.740097848992598 | 5.245323230143717 | -0.5003710405445295 | -2.155558391362864 | -0.4691066218503643 | 17 | -3.425431644215303 | 0.5520147939495113 | 4.496007923756143 | 0.0729941157575656 |
297 | 297 | 297 | Probolsky Research | 259 | 3 | no | no | 0.6232981732812273 | B/C | -0.6900987648517687 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.959641774495442 | 5.243212170386674 | 1.721283944715357 | 0.7459419493432793 | 0.0882977626579074 | 2 | -9.125648498535156 | -5.579999923706055 | 6.167808482020772 | 0.0 |
205 | 205 | 205 | Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | 395 | 477 | no | no | 0.4914365489964064 | B- | -0.6877063507385689 | 0.7725366876310272 | 0.3039832285115304 | 5.542520027240617 | 5.372256791247741 | 0.175117576599467 | 0.5156488912629753 | 0.466035847541718 | 380 | -0.7811335764433208 | 0.1102941801144466 | 5.035142159606 | 0.0 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | no | -0.9066947881490728 | A/B | -0.68286791423325 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.103997268676758 | 5.990497434167947 | -1.881645824884602 | -2.473642991473191 | -0.92313398496665 | 18 | -2.45507632361518 | 0.725440897248749 | 4.752570927914591 | 0.0 |
403 | 403 | 403 | WPA Intelligence (WPAi) | 383 | 17 | no | no | 0.8136637854897387 | B/C | -0.6787699646565474 | 0.6764705882352942 | 0.4705882352941176 | 7.492368024938247 | 5.985615077352779 | 1.511607288192058 | 1.466481683484007 | 0.5489773013082495 | 15 | -2.079267374674479 | -4.819983496122701 | 10.07049880632958 | 0.0 |
20 | 20 | 20 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | yes | no | -0.463154299736858 | A/B | -0.6666186527357043 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.377521991729736 | 5.458382514305143 | -1.076006181968817 | -1.622196341123171 | -0.3597660894434694 | 6 | -4.268723805745442 | 1.512220143538255 | 5.405572548404853 | 0.0 |
313 | 313 | 313 | Pacific Market Research | 459 | 2 | no | no | 0.6536851612976886 | B/C | -0.6555274086879038 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.476832389831543 | 5.863477841794323 | 1.618208888643809 | 0.9839740405660394 | 0.0862694145592523 | 2 | -7.476832389831543 | -0.9224997520446774 | 0.0 | |
184 | 184 | 184 | OH Predictive Insights | 235 | 7 | no | no | 0.4170434020782141 | B/C | -0.6531998586549802 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.1428571428571428 | 4.496619360787528 | 5.834802874919428 | -1.333329173525312 | -0.2700804289519074 | -0.0696944887808915 | 6 | -2.741799672444662 | -3.343813371058983 | 3.664822717550536 | 0.3845738144231155 |
423 | 423 | 423 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | 121 | 10 | no | no | 0.8675254168163843 | B/C | -0.6363039022322089 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 6.542662811279297 | 5.828944142542221 | 0.7185730093436659 | 1.736580698008142 | 0.4064523551164123 | 9 | -2.770167032877604 | -2.362963217276114 | 3.0 | 0.2060782883476115 |
443 | 443 | 443 | Millersville University | 210 | 5 | no | no | 0.9843616996351582 | B/C | -0.6272345449247876 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 14.15688896179199 | 4.994529713987127 | 9.167213588411457 | 6.420218182423063 | 0.3882155443458528 | 5 | -10.37305870056152 | -6.093433316548666 | 5.855996079896939 | 0.0 |
480 | 480 | 480 | Target Insyght | 330 | 6 | no | no | 1.442224482235469 | C/D | -0.6264708149422075 | 0.75 | 0.3333333333333333 | 10.35234610239665 | 6.724533606641607 | 3.632666836361629 | 4.523027404860189 | 1.020477301374625 | 4 | -3.897408485412598 | -3.66490713532988 | 8.810208109320541 | 0.0 |
37 | 37 | 37 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 20 | yes | no | -0.303590018460776 | A/B | -0.6109127602102492 | 0.95 | 0.1 | 3.77440013885498 | 5.259219176594611 | -1.479964697133042 | -0.8894583268149803 | -0.2662673607425706 | 20 | -2.040736198425293 | -2.6586610296301 | 5.241835566962915 | 0.3181341688029125 |
10 | 10 | 10 | Research & Polling Inc. | 280 | 40 | no | no | -0.7513833843367311 | A | -0.6080981815445845 | 0.875 | 0.1 | 4.338134384155273 | 5.568008056561508 | -1.225019331799646 | -1.767130072846286 | -1.045516722924715 | 39 | -1.030772771590795 | 0.4793430099621862 | 4.64207646394386 | 0.3149313028156319 |
110 | 110 | 110 | North Star Opinion Research/Ayres, McHenry & Associates | 233 | 9 | no | no | 0.0504356796517282 | B/C | -0.5912618270888067 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.2222222222222222 | 4.970684263441298 | 6.491519398164647 | -1.515980794116761 | -2.929827124984147 | -0.5843972775454493 | 7 | -3.121360778808594 | -4.666666666666667 | 4.414213562373095 | 0.3295715813110982 |
78 | 78 | 78 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 18 | no | no | -0.0758072388077397 | A/B | -0.5879486169435573 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 5.132949617173937 | 5.804779806534564 | -0.6669758487540385 | -1.634495628457428 | -0.5652653590346407 | 16 | -1.821194887161255 | -0.2280219780219779 | 4.121158932446784 | 0.562868849288604 |
51 | 51 | 51 | Gallup | 112 | 84 | yes | no | -0.2154808928142098 | B+ | -0.5755774082287161 | 0.6904761904761905 | 0.2976190476190476 | 4.266228675842285 | 5.117734480780458 | -0.8466514643315844 | -0.096501672301949 | -0.060565040547599 | 69 | -0.978036880493164 | -1.518965194111872 | 4.154284865219057 | 0.0 |
396 | 396 | 396 | Open Model Project | 629 | 2 | no | no | 0.7977944110353132 | B/C | -0.5652378082275391 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.652378082275391 | 4.889192054473236 | 0.7680403684087436 | 2.433944110353132 | 0.2433944110353132 | 2 | -5.652378082275391 | -5.465624690055847 | 5.266666412353516 | 0.0 |
8 | 8 | 8 | Siena College | 305 | 55 | yes | no | -0.8293660466608428 | A | -0.5366020204415759 | 0.8727272727272727 | 0.2545454545454545 | 5.02008486661044 | 5.578377511654227 | -0.5534383044371974 | -1.225251368148029 | -0.8036684444001194 | 50 | -0.844322738647461 | -1.053552798344115 | 4.695373958576219 | 0.1790445736095319 |
83 | 83 | 83 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 35 | yes | no | -0.0584013212469942 | A/B | -0.5307652890102345 | 0.5571428571428572 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.355102648053851 | 4.717154975203762 | -1.357197986543323 | -0.1870124153098356 | -0.0819393053753601 | 35 | -1.211380767822266 | -1.415722424694828 | 3.17295012842062 | 0.4753679838054304 |
445 | 445 | 445 | Massie & Associates | 199 | 2 | no | no | 0.9968783293981434 | B/C | -0.5278419610119539 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.97669219970703 | 6.3655494552371 | 17.61599708507652 | 16.35836057255758 | 0.360125952806156 | 2 | -23.97669219970703 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );