FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Pollster Rating ID
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID ▼ | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
383 | 383 | 383 | 20/20 Insight | 1 | 8 | no | no | 0.7726710092488588 | B/C | 0.5194501176309351 | 0.625 | 0.25 | 10.15272641181946 | 6.185246428650617 | 3.97233432377543 | 1.54964468511572 | 0.3536957571176695 | 5 | 2.93757553100586 | 3.179270582539695 | 6.887526543234835 | 0.0 |
331 | 331 | 331 | A&A Research | 2 | 1 | no | no | 0.6789533460330148 | B/C | -0.1488675128531222 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.04303741455078 | 5.738853416971225 | 4.309038338186145 | 2.334648105905419 | 0.0346063887415019 | 1 | -10.04303741455078 | 0.0 | ||
2 | 2 | 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 82 | yes | no | -0.9919601103089348 | A+ | 0.919806741264664 | 0.7378048780487805 | 0.0853658536585366 | 3.053507269882574 | 4.972745084419228 | -1.914383473930063 | -1.328716976870906 | -0.980676124300166 | 77 | 1.256718524090656 | 1.231279279930035 | 3.827491674106647 | 0.1323492717694392 |
197 | 197 | 197 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | no | 0.4550446757982236 | B/C | 0.1699623547622983 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.534235000610352 | 5.353794251459908 | -2.814704910242967 | -3.205234956036415 | -0.2149639952739889 | 2 | 2.534235000610352 | 0.4023811703636535 | 0.0 | |
281 | 281 | 281 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | no | 0.6092912170977801 | B/C | 0.1091834640090221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.53753662109375 | 5.337060581610748 | 0.2053303800895914 | -1.515833975783473 | -0.0298876586582136 | 1 | 5.53753662109375 | 0.0 | ||
373 | 373 | 373 | Abacus Associates | 6 | 2 | no | no | 0.7479667078828547 | B/C | 0.1657550174081954 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8.05563735961914 | 6.17635698229895 | 1.88413471792678 | 2.977452512533899 | 0.1363118233194016 | 2 | 3.620578765869141 | 6.5 | 0.0 | |
48 | 48 | 48 | Abt Associates | 7 | 10 | yes | no | -0.2230922139435841 | A/B | 0.8133371554939981 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.862665557861328 | 5.52278232564798 | -1.655262427180062 | -0.7831479146443763 | -0.199387794214817 | 9 | 3.323231167263455 | 0.2381627661094586 | 4.072007221867431 | 0.3614499188529773 |
168 | 168 | 168 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | 0.354813048295232 | B/C | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.384744644165039 | 9.412257812926748 | -3.022658828155119 | -4.208478728945152 | -0.4202790558249763 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.0298356183924002 | |||
357 | 357 | 357 | American Research Group | 9 | 277 | yes | no | 0.7241709590734948 | C+ | 0.0764734179302929 | 0.7509025270758123 | 0.4007220216606498 | 7.530794866678947 | 7.004901459409429 | 0.5307477478761059 | 0.8663607536388283 | 0.7702975692113456 | 86 | 0.1135636263115462 | -1.142137648661575 | 6.882220458743856 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | 100 | American Viewpoint | 10 | 8 | no | no | 0.0051543406263754 | B/C | -0.7621450628157735 | 0.6875 | 0.0 | 4.16240930557251 | 5.712293976693308 | -1.545030330514208 | -2.079017544121555 | -0.4454959471628316 | 8 | -3.556739330291748 | -3.333993881672352 | 6.252438154863531 | 0.0 |
291 | 291 | 291 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | no | 0.6184552499999836 | B/C | 0.0598262926693221 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.036056518554688 | 5.176661106527053 | -1.135750247365776 | -1.746730230604324 | -0.0258917072915293 | 1 | 4.036056518554688 | -1.333333333333333 | 6.666666666666666 | 0.0 |
57 | 57 | 57 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 31 | no | no | -0.1891576113303911 | B+ | -1.156968436932061 | 0.935483870967742 | 0.0645161290322581 | 3.188856924733808 | 4.892401796541075 | -1.698690531200678 | -1.402220205704477 | -0.6996465885099965 | 31 | -2.318777145877961 | 0.7856167374884813 | 2.999321370691419 | 0.7563524627758474 |
307 | 307 | 307 | ALG Research | 14 | 20 | no | no | 0.6427516791927023 | B/C | 1.312342015934227 | 0.575 | 0.35 | 6.310317039489746 | 5.869546981792729 | 0.4456243983036055 | 0.9047965259224644 | 0.3601880678847847 | 20 | 3.29661808013916 | 5.859090865572082 | 4.818246478230167 | 0.107875495901892 |
421 | 421 | 421 | Arizona State University | 15 | 8 | no | no | 0.866433453873116 | B/C | 0.5564589048318203 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.227585315704346 | 6.339161300715874 | 1.893278355595062 | 2.025491846080711 | 0.2809977952662606 | 6 | 5.835334777832031 | 6.070740728025083 | 3.142654716224832 | 0.5185243754774501 |
359 | 359 | 359 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | 16 | 1 | no | no | 0.7311744675064819 | B/C | -0.202592759519747 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.66749954223633 | 6.614494543737975 | 7.057859339104942 | 5.857637552939973 | 0.0868275102149689 | 1 | -13.66749954223633 | 0.0 | ||
268 | 268 | 268 | Aspen Media & Market Research | 17 | 3 | no | no | 0.5947561192509095 | B/C | -0.0063020479446093 | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.454544067382813 | 5.585990837842279 | 1.873407570147123 | -0.0905029317702228 | -0.0051502375826832 | 3 | -0.1107432047526042 | 0.0 | ||
286 | 286 | 286 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | 0.611345728047248 | B/C | -0.0300829916661306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.889528274536133 | 4.344390565009105 | -2.450007949866383 | -3.720704480533952 | -0.0592369658546209 | 1 | -1.889528274536133 | -7.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
156 | 156 | 156 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | 0.3273159900092489 | B/C | 0.4063231875307592 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 3.803844451904297 | 4.427948959480438 | -0.6192501669695522 | -2.213302633524329 | -0.2453545825213887 | 3 | 3.66537348429362 | -2.929798049156112 | 3.271102183887483 | 0.2682158477098666 |
365 | 365 | 365 | Bannon Communications Research | 21 | 2 | no | no | 0.7359362734296809 | B/C | 0.3276200692953867 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.37347793579102 | 6.048284897877401 | 4.330047378520204 | 3.460380350212206 | 0.1092873631333819 | 2 | 10.37347793579102 | 8.333333333333332 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
73 | 73 | 73 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0937916384673061 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.486835479736328 | 9.283068746160636 | -3.791378925817718 | -0.5855972152556834 | -0.0449379192348417 | 0 | 9.150757595082505 | 0.0 | |||
362 | 362 | 362 | Baselice & Associates | 23 | 2 | no | no | 0.7328146042343968 | B/C | 0.3040444320828225 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.02863216400146 | 5.73711529832728 | 4.296371206280774 | 3.331487307689965 | 0.1010028237044809 | 2 | 10.02863216400146 | 8.75 | 4.0 | 0.1262369305463489 |
191 | 191 | 191 | Basswood Research | 24 | 4 | no | no | 0.4343457605308099 | B/C | -0.2108626115923885 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 8.042419910430908 | 7.189219979778214 | 0.858054271259283 | -1.093209658063048 | -0.1147805161981799 | 2 | -8.710025787353516 | 0.0 | ||
388 | 388 | 388 | Baydoun Consulting | 25 | 6 | no | no | 0.7811925707864777 | B/C | -0.9694367373149146 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.843583424886067 | 5.376897249511465 | 1.471540515981191 | 1.826923684414111 | 0.2872003836710728 | 4 | -8.765375137329102 | -6.805556221613808 | 8.004608245886912 | 0.0 |
318 | 318 | 318 | Becker Institute | 26 | 5 | no | no | 0.6631983552533153 | B/C | 0.3529105264432197 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 7.657408905029297 | 6.29713180354484 | 1.365131442091047 | 1.103470094387338 | 0.0743476375770897 | 5 | 5.237909698486328 | 0.0695833524068195 | 9.221825406947977 | 0.0 |
84 | 84 | 84 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | 27 | 7 | yes | no | -0.0580673294746412 | A/B | 0.439183496978731 | 1.0 | 0.2857142857142857 | 5.286084856305804 | 6.095606947030773 | -0.8046677501183795 | -0.5948831378209584 | -0.0653931342852088 | 6 | 5.300599416097005 | 2.95 | 4.64820917074919 | 0.6245835965331664 |
257 | 257 | 257 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 3 | no | no | 0.5854152596770307 | B/C | 0.0612298840920925 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.136116027832031 | 5.484229198564642 | -1.343258830126022 | -0.4477223734118073 | -0.0222070626520885 | 3 | 1.234471638997396 | 2.103030233672171 | 0.0 | |
229 | 229 | 229 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | no | 0.5315842228214828 | B/C | 0.1210308213228181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005687713623047 | 4.984013891347866 | -1.97347183711823 | -0.6174179684120591 | -0.0473797997596811 | 2 | 1.577182769775391 | 3.181666628519694 | 0.0 | |
277 | 277 | 277 | Benenson Strategy Group | 30 | 11 | no | no | 0.605386233072347 | B/C | 1.073700341264608 | 0.6818181818181818 | 0.2727272727272727 | 6.616428722034801 | 5.982649614913623 | 0.6386334477277672 | 0.8050801346974074 | 0.1752290867103117 | 11 | 4.933055530894887 | 6.076555563608805 | 9.891467459076248 | 0.0 |
282 | 282 | 282 | Big Ten | 31 | 10 | no | no | 0.6096351794226076 | B/C | 0.8017199283111563 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.693703460693359 | 4.686770196983301 | 0.0117876043166478 | 0.7890621290033689 | 0.1488772365018657 | 10 | 4.249184417724609 | 5.247590615481009 | 5.429372335731 | 0.0 |
19 | 19 | 19 | Blum & Weprin Associates | 32 | 19 | yes | no | -0.5370805569371541 | A/B | -0.6930586251044314 | 0.9473684210526316 | 0.2105263157894737 | 4.740097848992598 | 5.245323230143717 | -0.5003710405445295 | -2.155558391362864 | -0.4691066218503643 | 17 | -3.425431644215303 | 0.5520147939495113 | 4.496007923756143 | 0.0729941157575656 |
220 | 220 | 220 | Braun Research | 33 | 6 | no | no | 0.5218497983001612 | B/C | 1.168395140330185 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.57904052734375 | 5.333275649057244 | 1.250619218893095 | 0.084193314818258 | 0.0149521893767173 | 6 | 6.57904052734375 | 2.750000317891438 | 2.25 | 0.193905661400436 |
470 | 470 | 470 | Brigham Young University | 34 | 4 | yes | no | 1.233114910002849 | B/C | 2.066664529023629 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 16.44090175628662 | 7.147380329083355 | 9.298375767809857 | 10.34488408126312 | 1.300379097480629 | 4 | 16.44090175628662 | 16.47500038146973 | 0.0 | |
482 | 482 | 482 | Brown University | 35 | 12 | yes | no | 1.511510387599815 | C/D | -0.2999860789597562 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 11.4294810295105 | 7.063779319545567 | 4.370556050571519 | 6.056145334618686 | 1.555804520322184 | 7 | -2.211815697806222 | -0.1750005086263021 | 5.067988685291959 | 0.2814323363742957 |
27 | 27 | 27 | CBS News/The New York Times | 36 | 62 | yes | no | -0.3994224601982951 | A- | 0.3025593291962615 | 0.7741935483870968 | 0.2258064516129032 | 4.476905945808657 | 5.503620680677048 | -1.021860394261805 | -0.5990196850785335 | -0.35552109890906 | 51 | 0.5306224449008119 | 1.517954371398464 | 4.121276802729937 | 0.2109512837990196 |
111 | 111 | 111 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 103 | yes | no | 0.0524343084910431 | B | -0.0417071860793513 | 0.7378640776699029 | 0.2524271844660194 | 5.555428514202822 | 6.127109926458443 | -0.5668270716490319 | 0.0863242342354958 | 0.0657567294399635 | 71 | -0.0620621694645412 | 0.1710135668725464 | 4.914145789854601 | 0.1126277762206029 |
475 | 475 | 475 | CPEC | 38 | 2 | no | no | 1.355100819765538 | C/D | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.00404167175293 | 7.828429101160927 | 8.180466911198593 | 10.11403186501444 | 0.7761367971843742 | 0 | 11.18820155180871 | 0.0 | |||
231 | 231 | 231 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | yes | 0.5348104598229051 | F | 0.1097464575157897 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.565666198730469 | 5.441342618051372 | -2.870822078714313 | -2.766629486439672 | -0.1183426688731848 | 1 | 2.565666198730469 | -2.554444630940755 | 4.166666666666667 | 0.8959329994868166 |
131 | 131 | 131 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | 0.2074642111036509 | B/C | -0.2389402614864285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.865321477254232 | 3.741884229672774 | -1.871708411811952 | -1.434479972329097 | -0.2610489329781672 | 6 | -1.312991460164388 | -0.3925210524768365 | 3.221708933333288 | 0.0037679274717715 |
348 | 348 | 348 | California State University, Bakersfield | 41 | 1 | no | no | 0.7104449698380708 | B/C | -0.1265790115977124 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.853496551513672 | 6.104626058474669 | 3.753724833645592 | 4.982870103239322 | 0.0640104524612569 | 1 | -9.853496551513672 | -14.0 | 0.0 | |
317 | 317 | 317 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | no | 0.6590668814547462 | B/C | -0.4349172423877488 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 3.932399749755859 | 4.244107615986392 | -0.3068535256239434 | 0.0655100157837398 | 0.0072453049604662 | 4 | -3.932399749755859 | -0.4651136850381826 | 2.493135083803914 | 0.9820529879874998 |
278 | 278 | 278 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0537261962890625 | 9.408736251272927 | -9.350155714377276 | -7.814129174736894 | -0.1336119006709826 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
338 | 338 | 338 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 13 | no | no | 0.6905239697483623 | B/C | 0.0296484346278982 | 0.3461538461538461 | 0.6153846153846154 | 9.670362179095928 | 7.339496702746938 | 2.335719816955579 | 1.182406141384232 | 0.2855219603625364 | 4 | 0.5845623016357422 | 0.7083333333333333 | 9.083471842086396 | 0.0 |
62 | 62 | 62 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | no | -0.1563042889882817 | A/B | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 9.956270853678385 | 10.88909266019898 | -0.927967465914008 | -0.9340794387797972 | -0.0971842088293806 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
298 | 298 | 298 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | no | 0.6290964946878583 | B/C | 0.1537553333945501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.853492736816406 | 4.892529148884713 | -1.034182071461717 | -0.0700566622163491 | -0.0027952785151694 | 1 | 3.853492736816406 | 2.327529164103718 | 4.75 | 0.3515376219114583 |
236 | 236 | 236 | Change Research | 48 | 109 | yes | no | 0.5429569259997251 | B- | 2.87662266524397 | 0.7477064220183486 | 0.3486238532110092 | 6.361464404184884 | 5.119239181516076 | 1.247079563275397 | 0.5089871793837869 | 0.4322299068123009 | 101 | 3.433526256296894 | 0.8843236647144364 | 4.25586283905743 | 0.2042655012436705 |
386 | 386 | 386 | Cherry Communications | 49 | 5 | no | no | 0.7801076623998108 | B/C | -0.4699481294818663 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7.576317214965821 | 6.238062246115746 | 1.343109309456664 | 1.795094735983857 | 0.2917144745162084 | 4 | -3.25346565246582 | -3.928865095337704 | 11.69348712139186 | 0.0 |
24 | 24 | 24 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 13 | yes | no | -0.4157477143028115 | A/B | 1.035338401208234 | 1.0 | 0.3076923076923077 | 5.421989147479717 | 5.367781174548801 | 0.0590623135375051 | -0.6752688755025994 | -0.2542033919649918 | 12 | 2.971978823343913 | 2.005821493074492 | 4.543501255013545 | 0.0 |
37 | 37 | 37 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 20 | yes | no | -0.303590018460776 | A/B | -0.6109127602102492 | 0.95 | 0.1 | 3.77440013885498 | 5.259219176594611 | -1.479964697133042 | -0.8894583268149803 | -0.2662673607425706 | 20 | -2.040736198425293 | -2.6586610296301 | 5.241835566962915 | 0.3181341688029125 |
114 | 114 | 114 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | no | 0.1030683156366483 | B/C | 1.125647983043073 | 0.5416666666666666 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.510533014933268 | 4.635695564395752 | -1.120308208855895 | -1.071911308359979 | -0.3449217581609216 | 12 | 3.498169581095377 | 1.098717960991697 | 2.634383123322027 | 0.3971380059273483 |
280 | 280 | 280 | Clarus Research Group | 53 | 3 | no | no | 0.607940232459405 | B/C | 0.3041951139593911 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 6.774649302164714 | 5.256346821450742 | 1.523156821320561 | 0.3619302539864748 | 0.0271471347031992 | 3 | 4.055581410725911 | 2.230769230769231 | 0.0 | |
92 | 92 | 92 | Clemson University | 54 | 8 | no | no | -0.0327079524429111 | A/B | 0.0305970901911662 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.055743932724 | 7.745665259712248 | 2.31493301361834 | -4.333011535195882 | -0.9821700093118636 | 2 | 1.24305534362793 | 2.166666666666666 | 15.99796985711743 | 0.0 |
391 | 391 | 391 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 16 | no | no | 0.7852868615226893 | B/C | -1.903883602077899 | 0.5625 | 0.4375 | 6.75414502620697 | 5.16587790936004 | 1.593121457453521 | 1.407843461757177 | 0.5013146697622185 | 15 | -5.697357813517253 | -4.60628011158975 | 5.237259413643385 | 0.0 |
427 | 427 | 427 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 56 | 5 | no | no | 0.8851238528677493 | B/C | 0.0945812768473129 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 8.11447639465332 | 7.037999478115583 | 1.081331257144327 | 2.042515185407599 | 0.3291028255924761 | 3 | 3.437128702799479 | -2.175925925925926 | 3.6648332982792 | 0.4106739370256197 |
64 | 64 | 64 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 22 | yes | no | -0.1475464656834379 | A/B | 0.9783372510157 | 0.9318181818181818 | 0.4545454545454545 | 5.398525238037109 | 5.205428865655135 | 0.1979507129885654 | 0.0248458562544853 | 0.0090245301346492 | 17 | 2.964653912712546 | 2.693081749123809 | 5.531728786497386 | 0.0 |
351 | 351 | 351 | Constituent Dynamics | 58 | 7 | no | no | 0.7114204767023606 | B/C | 0.8571428571428571 | 0.7142857142857143 | 9.457359858921595 | 8.460331650799835 | 1.001882548728349 | 1.423295422909794 | 0.1992579394388035 | 0 | 10.87636664561877 | 0.0 | |||
382 | 382 | 382 | Consumer Logic | 59 | 2 | no | no | 0.7724076121984393 | B/C | 0.3073798714305453 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 10.2096996307373 | 5.531537250413759 | 4.683016720930135 | 4.202129054956059 | 0.1265120361384887 | 2 | 10.2096996307373 | 10.05555555555556 | 4.299999237060547 | 0.587518016380516 |
288 | 288 | 288 | Cooper & Secrest | 60 | 1 | no | no | 0.6147010430708935 | B/C | -0.0391345768022912 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.640132904052734 | 6.184046929344141 | -3.539059684684817 | -4.960907426329268 | -0.0735353180086958 | 1 | -2.640132904052734 | 0.0 | ||
457 | 457 | 457 | Craciun Research Group | 61 | 1 | no | no | 1.095235298337428 | B/C | 0.7473572828176596 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.73064041137695 | 5.116279744282602 | 13.61921500770094 | 11.96408379729902 | 0.4773699650291278 | 1 | 18.73064041137695 | 11.25 | 0.0 | |
255 | 255 | 255 | Crantford Research | 62 | 1 | no | no | 0.5799820738756363 | B/C | 0.0644898214916852 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.462959289550781 | 5.432348998703429 | -2.964535368546058 | -3.657323993631593 | -0.0957629192196584 | 1 | 2.462959289550781 | 9.0 | 0.0 | |
193 | 193 | 193 | CJ&N | 63 | 3 | no | no | 0.4500784824373211 | B/C | 0.0932771905456728 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.423019409179688 | 7.308646503488428 | -2.880772753702151 | -3.244320802681246 | -0.2228575740703586 | 1 | 3.24993896484375 | 0.0 | ||
463 | 463 | 463 | Critical Insights | 64 | 19 | no | no | 1.127866786856819 | B/C | -0.0691083839119506 | 0.8947368421052632 | 0.3684210526315789 | 8.086197903281764 | 5.751668990424007 | 2.339383253464347 | 2.4282359815557 | 0.8279122408177907 | 17 | -0.2212783589082606 | -2.443137299780752 | 11.41380759596731 | 0.0 |
300 | 300 | 300 | Cromer Group | 65 | 1 | no | no | 0.6296432233094026 | B/C | -0.0774360405063987 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.927379608154297 | 6.088251771594662 | -2.156017822833776 | -0.4836265739348392 | -0.0095356524465912 | 1 | -3.927379608154297 | -3.346666463216146 | 0.0 | |
327 | 327 | 327 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | 0.6762960235638725 | B/C | -0.3947710135020523 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.735822677612305 | 4.742460412288372 | 2.998216605930522 | 1.37533233274143 | 0.0701853392360924 | 2 | -7.735822677612305 | -13.36923261789175 | 15.7764521715802 | 0.0 |
60 | 60 | 60 | Cygnal | 67 | 20 | no | no | -0.1781167384084711 | B+ | 2.050310420752583 | 0.95 | 0.15 | 4.379972457885742 | 5.295646775726844 | -0.9108199772345128 | -1.34953509896708 | -0.6761011620367349 | 20 | 4.092532348632813 | -0.6020701489306607 | 3.324110385764116 | 0.7310457766211726 |
444 | 444 | 444 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | 68 | 5 | no | no | 0.9849079660818172 | B/C | 2.043319386493293 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 9.703327178955078 | 5.952459378863677 | 3.75572214069799 | 2.598924869592363 | 0.5472796569814823 | 5 | 9.703327178955078 | 0.0 | ||
161 | 161 | 161 | DFM Research | 69 | 10 | no | no | 0.3459895569589327 | B/C | 1.515475650193169 | 0.75 | 0.4 | 6.439217758178711 | 5.624288879464038 | 0.8197832193212623 | -0.5437796796667821 | -0.1515633757690232 | 10 | 5.437229537963868 | 3.838333291718454 | 2.498721330692217 | 0.4731717688670373 |
146 | 146 | 146 | Dan Jones & Associates | 70 | 42 | no | no | 0.2660904579794332 | B | 0.9436845309851456 | 0.9523809523809524 | 0.1666666666666667 | 6.009996141706194 | 5.934434028306922 | 0.0804164540058607 | 0.2678409226956416 | 0.145774918798337 | 36 | 1.895715607537164 | -1.712228741464027 | 9.45257682082882 | 0.0 |
472 | 472 | 472 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | 1.292292975615425 | B/C | -0.9468322760367824 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 21.30413246154785 | 5.176883509566855 | 16.13210329258759 | 14.546176868878 | 0.6464844216140726 | 2 | -21.30413246154785 | -10.60000038146973 | 3.200000762939453 | 0.7366863760056699 |
304 | 304 | 304 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 3 | no | no | 0.6342064191532407 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 9.2988650004069 | 8.594980148218431 | 0.7087391927950591 | 0.3695070114900995 | 0.0138834760643398 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||
17 | 17 | 17 | Data Orbital | 73 | 13 | yes | no | -0.5601375650091485 | A/B | 0.5515915781817705 | 0.9615384615384616 | 0.0 | 2.397174541766827 | 4.830461730624204 | -2.428432848250788 | -1.487450615111105 | -0.5659004369636715 | 13 | 1.449840252216046 | -1.198510417111883 | 4.046261810032384 | 0.4437168583600935 |
410 | 410 | 410 | Data West Polling | 74 | 2 | no | no | 0.8314642257907742 | B/C | 0.3825687758208263 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 13.09588813781738 | 6.156274800768978 | 6.944467677654996 | 6.925470961856789 | 0.2023130405496732 | 2 | 13.09588813781738 | 7.5 | 0.0 | |
395 | 395 | 395 | Datamar Analytics | 75 | 8 | no | no | 0.7956116893556978 | B/C | -0.2713336655661277 | 0.6875 | 0.375 | 6.29167628288269 | 5.734910244444253 | 0.5616203790450274 | 1.943263857199152 | 0.2970134446482879 | 5 | -2.778728485107422 | -3.300689658460946 | 5.841690338934272 | 0.0 |
248 | 248 | 248 | DHM Research | 76 | 14 | no | no | 0.5642438083247361 | B/C | -0.0778338840348906 | 0.8571428571428571 | 0.0714285714285714 | 4.376786095755441 | 5.490767137210339 | -1.109126700848309 | 0.1861249118860822 | 0.0541392592911868 | 12 | -0.3195734024047852 | 0.3325756911075473 | 4.497297898437283 | 0.5406756684793275 |
342 | 342 | 342 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | no | 0.701551924572994 | B/C | -0.0531594812427779 | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 8.093864440917969 | 4.721564514411604 | 3.377154267112954 | 1.662619022658081 | 0.0624695355904173 | 3 | -1.414833068847656 | 0.6498333613077799 | 3.547525734387925 | 0.4992803500548957 |
242 | 242 | 242 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | 0.5539666948301877 | B/C | 0.1311797930771222 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.780750274658203 | 5.635256578671561 | -1.849651963406769 | -2.870160877203463 | -0.0995852893255796 | 1 | 3.780750274658203 | -5.400001525878906 | 5.400001525878906 | 0.4194975189688179 |
217 | 217 | 217 | Dittman Research | 79 | 6 | no | no | 0.5185105759063202 | B/C | 0.4780232558042909 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.36842155456543 | 5.218344633396079 | 0.1549312617759401 | -0.0514986940478487 | -0.0065792588303422 | 5 | 4.585626983642578 | -1.083808898925781 | 8.5114976391727 | 0.0 |
295 | 295 | 295 | Diversified Research Inc | 80 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | -0.064152784522455 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.993949890136719 | 6.554124573829257 | -1.555320343085949 | -2.783166075606892 | -0.0357528324205367 | 1 | -4.993949890136719 | 0.0 | ||
226 | 226 | 226 | Dixie Strategies | 81 | 11 | no | no | 0.5298564900697459 | B/C | -1.115235573972929 | 0.9545454545454546 | 0.5454545454545454 | 6.573435003107244 | 5.957171311888197 | 0.6211180318256374 | 0.6577821430093992 | 0.2149729736070278 | 8 | -4.019611358642578 | -3.992251247054335 | 7.151050894272147 | 0.0 |
188 | 188 | 188 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | no | 0.425486792621247 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.5 | 5.041962623596191 | 9.504355831588605 | -4.457538867385824 | -4.250752548276271 | -0.32619686317725 | 0 | 8.624999523162842 | 0.0 | |||
293 | 293 | 293 | Dynamics Marketing | 83 | 1 | no | no | 0.6207423154389612 | B/C | 0.0387765602878785 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.018547058105469 | 6.154617547993511 | -3.131216149281453 | -4.657631660139869 | -0.0598324065822249 | 1 | 3.018547058105469 | -7.5 | 0.0 | |
102 | 102 | 102 | EPIC-MRA | 84 | 54 | no | no | 0.0107773328025 | B | 0.115735045363567 | 0.7962962962962963 | 0.2222222222222222 | 5.469057718912761 | 5.689511943504002 | -0.2155998839846535 | -0.5945972458868907 | -0.3840742838142684 | 47 | 0.1919800778652759 | 0.4101546190582647 | 3.96975026527523 | 0.4665754239193021 |
402 | 402 | 402 | Ed Renwick/Loyola University New Orleans | 85 | 10 | no | no | 0.8109882703391773 | B/C | 0.8957129970820817 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 7.855332946777343 | 5.139821582518981 | 2.720365704864952 | 1.996120397945766 | 0.320587412987893 | 9 | 6.175258212619358 | 4.339629641874336 | 6.051410743983269 | 0.0 |
38 | 38 | 38 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | no | -0.2903980097900636 | A/B | 0.4572253997293468 | 0.5625 | 0.125 | 3.152763366699219 | 4.723235578300777 | -1.565617870994968 | -1.421942556563748 | -0.3126489823390849 | 8 | 2.079483032226563 | 0.7813109061682718 | 3.566882986360794 | 0.5681594481906921 |
39 | 39 | 39 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | no | no | -0.2878686657814885 | A/B | 0.7794182414161517 | 0.9047619047619048 | 0.0476190476190476 | 3.919994990030924 | 5.772737359049807 | -1.847888028412294 | -1.814172326516857 | -0.6849752711822185 | 20 | 2.090176296234131 | 3.493979747174967 | 4.20824696842231 | 0.3597209642869031 |
30 | 30 | 30 | Emerson College | 88 | 201 | yes | no | -0.3918043792305625 | A- | 0.8432465238911562 | 0.763681592039801 | 0.2189054726368159 | 5.191912617849473 | 5.690332812916279 | -0.4935658544602152 | -0.6118003743061373 | -0.5538779247346115 | 159 | 0.954035165174952 | -1.373640348124942 | 4.557129234575539 | 0.2225262811932984 |
228 | 228 | 228 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | 89 | 6 | no | no | 0.5308744366044175 | B/C | -0.055599642064223 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.0 | 2.664740244547526 | 4.98668521896212 | -2.317090633808005 | -1.87322592458754 | -0.1461447971745971 | 6 | -0.7126541137695312 | -3.704166666666667 | 1.945446689463193 | 1.274145774244554 |
198 | 198 | 198 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 90 | 4 | no | no | 0.4636891018724317 | B/C | 0.2501784336043184 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 4.573753356933594 | 5.563214117501117 | -0.9846064199609336 | -0.6227911300934329 | -0.0833447176815853 | 4 | 1.869451522827148 | -2.922580575430265 | 3.222222222222222 | 0.2118632971668584 |
487 | 487 | 487 | FM3 Research | 91 | 10 | no | no | 1.72945242899902 | C/D | 1.894241513625549 | 0.65 | 0.5 | 9.126483917236328 | 5.686454395444944 | 3.444883862397974 | 6.079239315229755 | 1.29427583360946 | 10 | 8.8972900390625 | 7.523486524385651 | 7.502038207745047 | 0.0 |
35 | 35 | 35 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 20 | yes | no | -0.3279580548271417 | A/B | -0.2165206327505528 | 0.95 | 0.1 | 4.440978050231934 | 5.358511689099378 | -0.9126792982608564 | -0.8380466513142142 | -0.2720944607518267 | 19 | -0.6907659831799959 | 2.435522153841081 | 4.523587596163656 | 0.2655406954045892 |
337 | 337 | 337 | Feldman Group | 93 | 2 | no | no | 0.6869176615049214 | B/C | 0.2053521798327145 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.676515579223633 | 5.430618723537072 | 1.25075119629315 | -0.3912943765191685 | -0.0194654483744056 | 2 | 4.127988815307617 | 0.6888893975151911 | 1.456275361687035 | 1.98839311585113 |
5 | 5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | no | -0.9066947881490728 | A/B | -0.68286791423325 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.103997268676758 | 5.990497434167947 | -1.881645824884602 | -2.473642991473191 | -0.92313398496665 | 18 | -2.45507632361518 | 0.725440897248749 | 4.752570927914591 | 0.0 |
196 | 196 | 196 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | no | 0.4549580514686224 | B/C | -0.3469518745512442 | 1.0 | 0.0666666666666667 | 2.941521453857422 | 4.91220702997542 | -1.965831235511408 | -0.362446170419581 | -0.0931873153007553 | 15 | -1.349447377522786 | -1.859637693875078 | 2.458646647744388 | 0.620948476868533 |
78 | 78 | 78 | Fleming & Associates | 96 | 18 | no | no | -0.0758072388077397 | A/B | -0.5879486169435573 | 1.0 | 0.1111111111111111 | 5.132949617173937 | 5.804779806534564 | -0.6669758487540385 | -1.634495628457428 | -0.5652653590346407 | 16 | -1.821194887161255 | -0.2280219780219779 | 4.121158932446784 | 0.562868849288604 |
50 | 50 | 50 | Florida Atlantic University | 97 | 9 | no | no | -0.2161511206524903 | A/B | 0.6514053149811404 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.0 | 3.636521657307943 | 6.661359402823979 | -3.019983404909446 | -2.279551776412484 | -0.6921803183240303 | 5 | 3.434135437011719 | 0.3300030026579208 | 3.668343239936295 | 0.4501304626064923 |
263 | 263 | 263 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | no | 0.5905468090816441 | B/C | 0.0409435610025319 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.801551818847656 | 6.275675393553641 | -4.469269234099396 | -6.748338224380611 | -0.153368332159537 | 1 | 1.801551818847656 | -13.0 | 0.0 | |
328 | 328 | 328 | The Florida Poll | 99 | 5 | no | no | 0.677183216588444 | B/C | 0.2693149734219958 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.613794708251953 | 4.76455661309394 | -0.1459075642353974 | 0.7026583955604045 | 0.0615774423301401 | 5 | 3.073145294189453 | 0.5235894199184606 | 3.56571418155084 | 0.5494187869550704 |
368 | 368 | 368 | Forman Center | 100 | 2 | no | no | 0.7402289742322391 | B/C | 0.2422698600401577 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 11.0048656463623 | 5.479212990701936 | 5.530506996266959 | 4.700320767861541 | 0.1034765976402518 | 2 | 11.0048656463623 | 17.14285714285714 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
493 | 493 | 493 | Fort Hays State University | 101 | 6 | no | no | 2.925766982257719 | C/D | -1.437339691355343 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.5 | 22.10050201416016 | 8.121156737737067 | 13.98419961702968 | 12.40843589819734 | 2.476527910988802 | 2 | -18.73033142089844 | -27.66666666666667 | 28.25 | 0.0 |
230 | 230 | 230 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | 0.5325782279628469 | B/C | 0.0664861010956853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30284309387207 | 4.886251782915052 | -3.578554348436392 | -2.347493426889205 | -0.119796225681907 | 2 | 1.30284309387207 | 3.616071428571428 | 4.0 | 0.9065719204133242 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );