FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: pollster-ratings.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
493 rows sorted by Simple Expected Error
This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)
Suggested facets: NCPP/AAPOR/Roper, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Rank | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | Polls Analyzed | NCPP/AAPOR/Roper | Banned by 538 | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error ▼ | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
417 | 417 | 417 | USC Schwarzenegger Institute | 648 | 1 | no | no | 0.8511197301452627 | B/C | 0.4124617325632196 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.836772918701172 | 3.39505831908743 | 4.44656894022033 | 4.68727487275999 | 0.2466986775136837 | 1 | 7.836772918701172 | 7.859999847412109 | 7.433333079020183 | 0.0 |
376 | 376 | 376 | Long Island University | 633 | 1 | no | no | 0.7650436558876498 | B/C | 0.3445801985891241 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.547023773193359 | 3.423618361858678 | 3.12825975194127 | 2.976890594566759 | 0.1566784523456189 | 1 | 6.547023773193359 | 2.749569759573987 | 2.731481340196398 | 0.0749388672985862 |
364 | 364 | 364 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 562 | 9 | yes | no | 0.7349372590492564 | B/C | 2.202347366898148 | 0.7777777777777778 | 0.6666666666666666 | 6.607042100694445 | 3.460981436466479 | 3.150915004834555 | 2.640811777147769 | 0.8802705923825898 | 9 | 6.607042100694445 | 2.529307956248106 | 2.997833312978453 | 0.0 |
434 | 434 | 434 | Brandwatch Qriously | 610 | 3 | no | no | 0.9202256742025964 | B/C | 0.935289110456194 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.547023773193359 | 3.475205865360035 | 3.076672248439915 | 2.877579719418173 | 0.411082817059739 | 3 | 6.547023773193359 | 2.809999864180009 | 2.756743569862824 | 0.0 |
385 | 385 | 385 | Zia Poll | 393 | 4 | no | no | 0.7786391354970146 | B/C | -0.8303678743833749 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 5.355730056762695 | 3.573749435983919 | 1.786834961385366 | 1.821202030920989 | 0.2823644289780817 | 4 | -5.355730056762695 | -5.332124996185303 | 5.859122918275927 | 0.0 |
212 | 212 | 212 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | 0.5095395936292186 | B/C | 0.1736514275035423 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 2.674911499023438 | 3.579110389595308 | -0.8993445499652808 | -0.1906186158601363 | -0.0230066790590666 | 4 | 1.438764572143555 | 3.721805380385323 | 4.048593495678862 | 0.0 |
221 | 221 | 221 | Big Data Poll | 251 | 4 | no | yes | 0.522758638732403 | F | -0.4342454568686589 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 3.046503067016602 | 3.696486658840722 | -0.6451292512175306 | 0.0931661432263936 | 0.0132798075498592 | 4 | -3.046503067016602 | -4.851080095445788 | 6.731741858822733 | 0.0 |
131 | 131 | 131 | CVOTER | 40 | 6 | no | no | 0.2074642111036509 | B/C | -0.2389402614864285 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.865321477254232 | 3.741884229672774 | -1.871708411811952 | -1.434479972329097 | -0.2610489329781672 | 6 | -1.312991460164388 | -0.3925210524768365 | 3.221708933333288 | 0.0037679274717715 |
401 | 401 | 401 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | 0.8106218672436712 | B/C | 0.3871853984956438 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.045509338378906 | 3.754951426499091 | 1.295412252486405 | 2.125802552184925 | 0.163131143575532 | 2 | 5.045509338378906 | 3.966666666666667 | 2.444444444444445 | 0.8929885052639039 |
239 | 239 | 239 | Tufts University | 666 | 1 | no | no | 0.5475642325774921 | B/C | 0.1340538827996505 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.547023773193359 | 3.799137245215796 | -1.247259131415847 | -1.337384828697161 | -0.0703886751945874 | 1 | 2.547023773193359 | -1.293440993114185 | 3.034583250681559 | 0.2571052476695102 |
103 | 103 | 103 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 255 | 4 | yes | no | 0.0186936466241424 | B/C | -0.2124617456842096 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 4.294097900390625 | 3.808016719558901 | 0.4909355214383134 | 0.9575147130651566 | 0.0473755494576945 | 4 | -4.294097900390625 | -2.752550264884686 | 3.15546352046416 | 0.2005286905231236 |
429 | 429 | 429 | Global Marketing Research Services | 621 | 1 | no | no | 0.8999214893138072 | B/C | 0.5024749354312295 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.54702377319336 | 3.866799731250264 | 5.685078382549684 | 5.614508296962335 | 0.2955004366822281 | 1 | 9.54702377319336 | 5.781827824090117 | 5.322916507720947 | 0.0 |
393 | 393 | 393 | Cometrends | 631 | 1 | no | no | 0.7884281226754147 | B/C | 0.3972117775364926 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.547023773193359 | 3.875089707193861 | 3.676788406606088 | 3.49613433083288 | 0.1840070700438358 | 1 | 7.547023773193359 | 3.760322447746031 | 3.353124856948853 | 0.0 |
63 | 63 | 63 | Wick | 284 | 7 | no | no | -0.1558947575762597 | A/B | -0.1659714457749334 | 0.7142857142857143 | 0.0 | 2.200096947806222 | 3.925699169269442 | -1.72074788085663 | -1.907580142382158 | -0.5251704232891569 | 7 | -0.6028592245919364 | -3.730497145167032 | 5.761407580823872 | 0.0 |
4 | 4 | 4 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 31 | yes | no | -0.9384244225719548 | A+ | -0.8323505085998764 | 0.8064516129032258 | 0.032258064516129 | 2.085001545567666 | 4.009343275206846 | -1.919487389032589 | -1.512109181475797 | -0.7926143837060662 | 31 | -1.587915728169103 | -1.814818206485563 | 3.704195219998842 | 0.0994545884761387 |
265 | 265 | 265 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | 0.5910540989182087 | B- | -0.1320225189736835 | 0.875 | 0.375 | 5.395437399546306 | 4.042196857099917 | 1.358094883052978 | 1.673735555736507 | 0.788098135492249 | 24 | -0.2803848584493001 | -0.7534010766392506 | 3.622811150441299 | 0.0 |
271 | 271 | 271 | Léger | 572 | 3 | no | no | 0.5986432751854601 | B/C | 0.5543367295038132 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.880357106526693 | 4.067416440790304 | -0.1822049936570226 | -0.2087787508579852 | -0.029825535836855 | 3 | 3.880357106526693 | 0.0554211096012545 | 2.481682881901375 | 0.8352816771562054 |
166 | 166 | 166 | John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions | 583 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 0.0338211059570313 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.108814239501953 | 4.114685807989426 | -3.001017227880884 | -2.668757774072982 | -0.2668757774072982 | 2 | 0.3382110595703125 | -4.016893409628738 | 4.53855784500827 | 0.0 |
82 | 82 | 82 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 182 | yes | no | -0.0622054637457226 | B+ | -1.065041464326777 | 0.8324175824175825 | 0.4835164835164835 | 5.043052254142342 | 4.155189055042091 | 0.8927175397068411 | -0.0052398861622841 | -0.0045132013366394 | 182 | -1.236527159973815 | 0.5303280530923598 | 3.927387720535005 | 0.0 |
202 | 202 | 202 | MFour Mobile Research | 177 | 2 | no | no | 0.4811133034493815 | B/C | -0.1644033527150696 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.808574676513672 | 4.216155656972621 | -1.40272663985236 | -4.391196247839257 | -0.2570440414533494 | 2 | -2.808574676513672 | 5.108332951863607 | 6.905530131437598 | 0.0 |
317 | 317 | 317 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | no | 0.6590668814547462 | B/C | -0.4349172423877488 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 3.932399749755859 | 4.244107615986392 | -0.3068535256239434 | 0.0655100157837398 | 0.0072453049604662 | 4 | -3.932399749755859 | -0.4651136850381826 | 2.493135083803914 | 0.9820529879874998 |
426 | 426 | 426 | Opinium | 559 | 2 | no | no | 0.8787781238559788 | B/C | 0.7238210678100586 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.238210678100586 | 4.247716870582519 | 2.995348148124656 | 3.243781238559789 | 0.3243781238559789 | 2 | 7.238210678100586 | 3.032210157478724 | 4.192044517038934 | 0.0 |
446 | 446 | 446 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 268 | no | no | 1.002814178528214 | C | 4.742322850559237 | 0.878731343283582 | 0.5559701492537313 | 6.601033203637422 | 4.268804065525122 | 2.337083478718888 | 1.06355740486636 | 0.9827578177770416 | 255 | 5.149043273925781 | 1.82913899805347 | 5.077808011728325 | 0.0 |
261 | 261 | 261 | AYTM | 635 | 4 | no | no | 0.5874428609973176 | B/C | 0.6593147624622692 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 3.62623119354248 | 4.288456421692077 | -0.6573708875430071 | -0.621834409146875 | -0.1130608016630682 | 4 | 3.62623119354248 | 0.2269919453753536 | 3.051699940686654 | 1.278770144632121 |
145 | 145 | 145 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 43 | no | no | 0.2642897009964653 | B | 1.781602967307602 | 0.7209302325581395 | 0.4186046511627907 | 5.384396841359693 | 4.293254222450261 | 1.095996959516021 | 0.2644414713430218 | 0.173530986701008 | 42 | 2.750752676100958 | -1.470989094996343 | 4.615157539084379 | 0.0 |
144 | 144 | 144 | Morning Consult | 218 | 66 | no | no | 0.261043316912064 | B | 2.920609137490698 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5303030303030303 | 4.486910039728338 | 4.316107631936749 | 0.1756567483981795 | 0.2602110381036971 | 0.2030533947586488 | 66 | 3.742733464096532 | 0.1526781997972775 | 2.98245856099305 | 0.0 |
284 | 284 | 284 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | 0.610557670306633 | B/C | -0.3335362614200786 | 0.875 | 0.0 | 3.015741348266602 | 4.333702658060196 | -1.313106969187005 | -0.6859282325093059 | -0.0758625862941251 | 4 | -3.015741348266602 | -0.151845747877509 | 2.240816279876927 | 1.294884551633112 |
286 | 286 | 286 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | 0.611345728047248 | B/C | -0.0300829916661306 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.889528274536133 | 4.344390565009105 | -2.450007949866383 | -3.720704480533952 | -0.0592369658546209 | 1 | -1.889528274536133 | -7.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
424 | 424 | 424 | J.L. Partners | 619 | 2 | no | no | 0.8721696165657405 | B/C | 0.754702377319336 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.547023773193359 | 4.345387893945784 | 3.206490219854165 | 3.177696165657407 | 0.3177696165657407 | 2 | 7.547023773193359 | 3.801195517830227 | 5.355769084050105 | 0.0 |
320 | 320 | 320 | TargetSmart/William & Mary | 332 | 3 | no | no | 0.6641617025639919 | B/C | 0.59101995366542 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.3333333333333333 | 5.331492106119792 | 4.375202645120252 | 0.961143801606129 | 0.8903581807283232 | 0.0987002212974594 | 3 | 5.331492106119792 | 1.663733113547817 | 4.073964020321752 | 0.2031838417200449 |
170 | 170 | 170 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | 343 | 10 | yes | no | 0.3772102066585035 | B/C | 0.9204266116962064 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.216633605957031 | 4.389563749914563 | 0.8319241966490576 | 1.570846139308792 | 0.5222062482325219 | 10 | 2.768730926513672 | 1.510197427257284 | 6.713971738964036 | 0.0 |
97 | 97 | 97 | Star Tribune (Minnesota Poll) | 315 | 14 | yes | no | -0.0027021768417726 | A/B | 0.7866531081869236 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.4285714285714285 | 5.33117812020438 | 4.399871006504118 | 0.936161454306852 | 0.4676652409284022 | 0.0882514522723825 | 12 | 4.415757815043132 | 3.103320208554546 | 4.948527776277877 | 0.0 |
425 | 425 | 425 | The Justice Collaborative Institute | 630 | 2 | no | no | 0.8743204404173909 | B/C | 0.6671300888061524 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.671300888061523 | 4.424407474597316 | 2.251747754070798 | 3.156675279641673 | 0.3156675279641674 | 2 | 6.671300888061523 | 3.560256512959798 | 3.925000190734864 | 0.0425291245322368 |
156 | 156 | 156 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | 0.3273159900092489 | B/C | 0.4063231875307592 | 0.6666666666666666 | 0.6666666666666666 | 3.803844451904297 | 4.427948959480438 | -0.6192501669695522 | -2.213302633524329 | -0.2453545825213887 | 3 | 3.66537348429362 | -2.929798049156112 | 3.271102183887483 | 0.2682158477098666 |
416 | 416 | 416 | Auburn University at Montgomery | 588 | 2 | no | no | 0.849329974972278 | B/C | 0.7860176086425782 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.860176086425781 | 4.428574095208752 | 3.436456331823618 | 2.037031956009374 | 0.2037031956009374 | 2 | 7.860176086425781 | 0.2442885262625563 | 2.700004577636719 | 0.9122677937134068 |
392 | 392 | 392 | Hofstra University | 558 | 2 | no | no | 0.78838602267427 | B/C | 0.6438211441040039 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.438211441040039 | 4.440758581976693 | 2.002307199669935 | 2.199582256028924 | 0.2199582256028924 | 2 | 6.438211441040039 | 2.23675095251669 | 2.528308264282189 | 0.1402779707137773 |
210 | 210 | 210 | Rethink Priorities | 672 | 2 | no | yes | 0.5018514637863866 | F | 0.3788209915161133 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.788209915161133 | 4.44201379632886 | -0.6489495405611372 | -0.525485362136134 | -0.0525485362136134 | 2 | 3.788209915161133 | -0.4903712688523529 | 2.787908394822637 | 0.0 |
164 | 164 | 164 | Lucid | 175 | 25 | no | no | 0.3541473843982731 | B- | 1.923144122786303 | 0.88 | 0.32 | 4.200403137207031 | 4.485141787554547 | -0.2798843097409274 | 0.4402957548806966 | 0.2251416132567578 | 25 | 3.760975952148438 | 2.267085901910336 | 3.834581601635828 | 0.0 |
181 | 181 | 181 | Keating Research | 161 | 5 | no | no | 0.4115774659102327 | B/C | 0.1445028223253213 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.420847320556641 | 4.517917228295543 | -2.092215567132313 | -1.139007483398565 | -0.1772226130476071 | 5 | 0.928717803955078 | 2.774069838145422 | 3.758756290232343 | 0.5983990116734001 |
99 | 99 | 99 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 25 | yes | no | 0.0050416989092537 | B/C | 0.7468037257420483 | 0.5 | 0.36 | 4.317460784912109 | 4.529008709484654 | -0.2066935839659541 | 0.4441390606891732 | 0.1632249772615992 | 25 | 2.032070770263672 | 1.005657165685872 | 3.818391934927934 | 0.0 |
137 | 137 | 137 | Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS) | 591 | 3 | no | no | 0.224718970036331 | B/C | -0.3554905482700892 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.488433837890625 | 4.54301327063627 | -2.049725092139056 | -1.990967209745684 | -0.2844238871065263 | 3 | -2.488433837890625 | -7.321529435918518 | 7.266176789875896 | 0.0 |
447 | 447 | 447 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | no | 1.006372546360688 | B/C | -0.8084199351629326 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7.510197639465332 | 4.543193627412718 | 2.971858352659204 | 3.527894687459416 | 0.4943438215175679 | 4 | -5.769305229187012 | -6.759859941252808 | 5.482901716514413 | 0.0 |
249 | 249 | 249 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | no | 0.5651237642740335 | B/C | 0.1608213861396819 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.31916332244873 | 4.581592794419672 | -1.257575131364352 | -0.8314425452721331 | -0.0458175309691152 | 4 | 2.918396949768066 | 2.411111111111111 | 4.964109123704968 | 0.1657404533149993 |
323 | 323 | 323 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | 0.6704891016752899 | B/C | -0.3989260252944092 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.559762954711914 | 4.593370166054036 | 0.971247129264468 | 1.202184794234583 | 0.0862595771690107 | 2 | -5.559762954711914 | -3.433333333333333 | 6.063945294843617 | 0.0 |
371 | 371 | 371 | SMS Research & Marketing Services | 296 | 1 | no | no | 0.742124091279715 | B/C | -0.1666266571273037 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.744956970214844 | 4.610530379259771 | 5.139280931561662 | 2.978766842861347 | 0.0509332122147581 | 1 | -9.744956970214844 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 2.880160549046826 |
488 | 488 | 488 | TCJ Research | 327 | 132 | no | yes | 1.73252349719409 | F | -4.368320531183411 | 0.5909090909090909 | 0.4924242424242424 | 6.437300060734604 | 4.620029262645345 | 1.82212513869585 | 2.119417023837321 | 1.677473937056623 | 124 | -5.583939398488691 | -3.444773641882034 | 4.378142404254912 | 0.0 |
379 | 379 | 379 | Gazette Communications | 640 | 2 | no | no | 0.7665583160768187 | B/C | 0.2355804045651158 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8.064261436462402 | 4.626378120399051 | 3.442737656669941 | 3.311381800447465 | 0.096735041437494 | 2 | 8.064261436462402 | 4.749999427795411 | 3.149998664855957 | 1.392265042926306 |
114 | 114 | 114 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 12 | no | no | 0.1030683156366483 | B/C | 1.125647983043073 | 0.5416666666666666 | 0.1666666666666667 | 3.510533014933268 | 4.635695564395752 | -1.120308208855895 | -1.071911308359979 | -0.3449217581609216 | 12 | 3.498169581095377 | 1.098717960991697 | 2.634383123322027 | 0.3971380059273483 |
142 | 142 | 142 | Insights West | 151 | 9 | no | no | 0.2538491059172749 | B/C | -0.1131277768133897 | 0.9444444444444444 | 0.0 | 2.45503913031684 | 4.639068437529775 | -2.179174966606345 | -1.694811304753787 | -0.4613475285323269 | 8 | -0.453394889831543 | -0.9934361641541188 | 3.120698850743814 | 1.258770957388996 |
456 | 456 | 456 | Kiaer Research | 585 | 2 | no | no | 1.076595226635088 | B/C | 1.061572074890137 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.61572074890137 | 4.645587263023199 | 5.974987826484758 | 5.221952266350876 | 0.5221952266350876 | 2 | 10.61572074890137 | 5.807156682014465 | 5.968028861980305 | 0.0 |
369 | 369 | 369 | Kimball Political Consulting | 163 | 6 | no | no | 0.7408599088190024 | B/C | -0.9883884432002163 | 0.8333333333333334 | 0.5 | 6.287283579508464 | 4.647312677120706 | 1.644825242994348 | 1.570361717253792 | 0.2468677217035975 | 6 | -6.287283579508464 | -2.414999643961589 | 6.36664866823249 | 0.0 |
453 | 453 | 453 | Citizen Data | 616 | 12 | no | no | 1.070771182660835 | B/C | 2.81656436920166 | 0.5833333333333334 | 0.6666666666666666 | 7.04141092300415 | 4.649526207538675 | 2.396739056072065 | 2.04159889190573 | 0.8166395567622919 | 12 | 7.04141092300415 | 2.810882241028659 | 4.093776961431735 | 0.0413290647463573 |
186 | 186 | 186 | RMG Research | 555 | 25 | no | no | 0.4235716826249638 | B- | 3.492471828017124 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 6.007100372314453 | 4.656199106200393 | 1.355755606720648 | 0.2317904196741725 | 0.1347618719035887 | 25 | 6.007051544189453 | 0.2064141580260035 | 2.876574458095805 | 0.306672874440765 |
70 | 70 | 70 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 5 | yes | no | -0.098184248386978 | A/B | -0.1400422760768051 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 4.791368103027343 | 4.674275851460114 | 0.1219465921738193 | -1.346039014200504 | -0.0874592030155707 | 5 | -2.155317687988281 | -3.042857142857143 | 2.449489742783178 | 0.5187459930409232 |
282 | 282 | 282 | Big Ten | 31 | 10 | no | no | 0.6096351794226076 | B/C | 0.8017199283111563 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.693703460693359 | 4.686770196983301 | 0.0117876043166478 | 0.7890621290033689 | 0.1488772365018657 | 10 | 4.249184417724609 | 5.247590615481009 | 5.429372335731 | 0.0 |
344 | 344 | 344 | Southern Research Group | 649 | 1 | no | no | 0.7024389355098376 | B/C | 0.1238125987145376 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.7767333984375 | 4.689560277308869 | 3.09202746173522 | 3.721611501576032 | 0.0592514064463907 | 1 | 7.7767333984375 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
390 | 390 | 390 | VCreek/AMG | 501 | 1 | no | no | 0.7847294062913411 | B/C | 0.4140598899439761 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.867137908935547 | 4.713283131069624 | 3.158709118472512 | 0.8794358961486693 | 0.0462860997972984 | 1 | 7.867137908935547 | 0.7300003051757811 | 0.4300003051757813 | 2.546422823386813 |
346 | 346 | 346 | Hoffman Research Group | 141 | 2 | no | no | 0.7077379120484042 | B/C | -0.4009827442091181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.245321273803711 | 4.714887431733557 | 0.5352881826767435 | -0.5087761577924994 | -0.0388937968316032 | 2 | -5.245321273803711 | -1.262501239776611 | 2.060718205744823 | 2.189243642368037 |
83 | 83 | 83 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 35 | yes | no | -0.0584013212469942 | A/B | -0.5307652890102345 | 0.5571428571428572 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.355102648053851 | 4.717154975203762 | -1.357197986543323 | -0.1870124153098356 | -0.0819393053753601 | 35 | -1.211380767822266 | -1.415722424694828 | 3.17295012842062 | 0.4753679838054304 |
342 | 342 | 342 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | no | 0.701551924572994 | B/C | -0.0531594812427779 | 1.0 | 0.6666666666666666 | 8.093864440917969 | 4.721564514411604 | 3.377154267112954 | 1.662619022658081 | 0.0624695355904173 | 3 | -1.414833068847656 | 0.6498333613077799 | 3.547525734387925 | 0.4992803500548957 |
38 | 38 | 38 | Elon University | 86 | 8 | yes | no | -0.2903980097900636 | A/B | 0.4572253997293468 | 0.5625 | 0.125 | 3.152763366699219 | 4.723235578300777 | -1.565617870994968 | -1.421942556563748 | -0.3126489823390849 | 8 | 2.079483032226563 | 0.7813109061682718 | 3.566882986360794 | 0.5681594481906921 |
169 | 169 | 169 | Frederick Polls | 108 | 7 | no | no | 0.370331414542987 | B/C | 0.8153998077643643 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.650873184204102 | 4.737125969854708 | -1.081398445044017 | -0.795073100153267 | -0.2091508301011534 | 6 | 3.200395584106445 | 0.2371146105583032 | 2.939237664711974 | 0.7499170581479203 |
327 | 327 | 327 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | 0.6762960235638725 | B/C | -0.3947710135020523 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 7.735822677612305 | 4.742460412288372 | 2.998216605930522 | 1.37533233274143 | 0.0701853392360924 | 2 | -7.735822677612305 | -13.36923261789175 | 15.7764521715802 | 0.0 |
167 | 167 | 167 | El Nuevo Día/The Research Office | 599 | 2 | no | no | 0.3543999999999999 | B/C | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.738414764404297 | 4.743661413535933 | -3.000392308525047 | -2.252755431561434 | -0.2252755431561434 | 0 | 4.416666666666666 | 0.0 | |||
405 | 405 | 405 | Patinkin Research Strategies | 490 | 2 | no | no | 0.8170963982576065 | B/C | 0.5671300888061523 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.671300888061523 | 4.762511795275056 | 0.9136434333930564 | 1.898537937396599 | 0.1898537937396599 | 2 | 5.671300888061523 | 2.519230871934157 | 3.381250381469727 | 0.7284260451794673 |
328 | 328 | 328 | The Florida Poll | 99 | 5 | no | no | 0.677183216588444 | B/C | 0.2693149734219958 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.613794708251953 | 4.76455661309394 | -0.1459075642353974 | 0.7026583955604045 | 0.0615774423301401 | 5 | 3.073145294189453 | 0.5235894199184606 | 3.56571418155084 | 0.5494187869550704 |
22 | 22 | 22 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 76 | no | no | -0.44111500781667 | A- | -1.322880839391394 | 0.6578947368421053 | 0.3289473684210527 | 4.464504016073127 | 4.785290985686268 | -0.3159326290065507 | -0.628346204721615 | -0.4965072263540098 | 62 | -1.730800259497858 | -4.426759876682544 | 5.635691353916745 | 0.0 |
262 | 262 | 262 | Sacred Heart University | 453 | 2 | no | no | 0.590285521478589 | B/C | -0.0296161979447906 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.240124702453613 | 4.791280420565943 | 0.4536986224942599 | 0.3169148321298133 | 0.029893107341468 | 2 | -0.3139791488647461 | -4.999999364217123 | 6.400001525878906 | 0.0 |
269 | 269 | 269 | Strategy Research | 322 | 2 | no | no | 0.5964185280907349 | B/C | -0.502543845186506 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.125537872314453 | 4.795572996646543 | 1.3348192162745 | 0.2810015239701942 | 0.0230535814654743 | 2 | -6.125537872314453 | -1.999411639045267 | 3.18333371480306 | 0.0 |
74 | 74 | 74 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | -0.0935157378665621 | A/B | 0.216354991345209 | 1.0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 4.162570953369141 | 4.799824124241399 | -0.6323988302656692 | -1.118871371364212 | -0.0607503467046331 | 3 | 3.984724680582682 | 0.7536700251929291 | 3.138353812727866 | 0.1408930172400337 |
183 | 183 | 183 | Maine People's Resource Center | 180 | 14 | no | no | 0.4159045296029102 | B/C | 0.1268877269017686 | 0.9285714285714286 | 0.2142857142857143 | 5.755923271179199 | 4.803206507591379 | 0.95757110419441 | 0.3139144266510329 | 0.1032564065246739 | 12 | 0.4145644505818685 | -0.9958338207668728 | 6.716335779629527 | 0.0 |
465 | 465 | 465 | Targoz Market Research | 454 | 15 | no | no | 1.13266775925797 | B/C | 2.572473292238801 | 0.8666666666666667 | 0.4666666666666667 | 6.581652577718099 | 4.808807803213847 | 1.777699115110842 | 2.123533918577824 | 0.9402286911310952 | 15 | 5.810005950927734 | 3.4468055433927 | 4.831862286647933 | 0.0 |
180 | 180 | 180 | MWR Strategies | 617 | 2 | no | no | 0.410275427724254 | B/C | -0.0343067081139238 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.786197662353516 | 4.816119989194961 | -3.025067986234856 | -1.792315334770503 | -0.1571403190141825 | 2 | -0.39129638671875 | -3.042161028652905 | 5.016464085746227 | 0.0 |
179 | 179 | 179 | University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs | 350 | 4 | no | no | 0.40783038322842 | B/C | 0.5246314953730709 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.959074020385742 | 4.819615461263455 | -1.855687100271123 | -1.486505520089792 | -0.263551235458236 | 4 | 2.959074020385742 | 0.4448982410582287 | 2.073838434916397 | 1.120195635341472 |
17 | 17 | 17 | Data Orbital | 73 | 13 | yes | no | -0.5601375650091485 | A/B | 0.5515915781817705 | 0.9615384615384616 | 0.0 | 2.397174541766827 | 4.830461730624204 | -2.428432848250788 | -1.487450615111105 | -0.5659004369636715 | 13 | 1.449840252216046 | -1.198510417111883 | 4.046261810032384 | 0.4437168583600935 |
189 | 189 | 189 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | 455 | 3 | no | no | 0.4254993434463736 | B/C | -0.112109205074789 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.932412465413411 | 4.84802488565374 | -2.91075807963374 | -1.871559196768958 | -0.2579638566620892 | 3 | -0.8133659362792969 | 0.5753966437445749 | 2.064001485289123 | 1.226228374303404 |
201 | 201 | 201 | Research Co. | 449 | 35 | no | no | 0.4769787054749654 | B- | 0.94969606405238 | 0.9142857142857144 | 0.1142857142857143 | 4.513995851789202 | 4.852324778592667 | -0.333474586196877 | -0.3359545927938091 | -0.2158033154751522 | 34 | 1.492109130410587 | 0.450240570258209 | 3.745042801324442 | 0.9315119375642282 |
89 | 89 | 89 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | no | -0.0411360947075567 | A/B | 0.0373956668765794 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.077785491943359 | 4.854339825419885 | -3.771699992869936 | -1.405468170236857 | -0.0487651948302299 | 1 | 1.077785491943359 | -0.1470588235294118 | 1.414285387311663 | 1.172301971721692 |
243 | 243 | 243 | University of Tennessee | 362 | 2 | no | no | 0.5572493027700784 | B/C | -0.091661963825131 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.726200103759766 | 4.856763059162516 | -2.125708614796161 | -3.986092255272814 | -0.1340228267186099 | 2 | -2.726200103759766 | -5.439999389648438 | 0.0 | |
160 | 160 | 160 | Ipsos | 154 | 104 | yes | no | 0.3421952743450896 | B- | 1.592525706599351 | 0.75 | 0.1826923076923077 | 4.582377892274123 | 4.860149538442533 | -0.2729173055618214 | 0.0182809291524002 | 0.0149901542650309 | 97 | 1.954096961267216 | 0.6117508094780559 | 3.12818030037829 | 0.4903602619206709 |
80 | 80 | 80 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | yes | no | -0.0723071526680285 | A/B | 0.0189190483417673 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8593788146972656 | 4.876444529458897 | -4.012211374155043 | -4.505402691124016 | -0.0991855161597517 | 2 | 0.8593788146972656 | 5.375 | 5.497869162102364 | 0.0 |
404 | 404 | 404 | University of Colorado | 580 | 2 | no | no | 0.8144357959969769 | B/C | 0.5152778562059495 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.714714050292969 | 4.882611391734617 | 1.836956999164942 | 3.068491312715381 | 0.2354717734158129 | 2 | 6.714714050292969 | 7.307555601331923 | 0.0 | |
230 | 230 | 230 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | 0.5325782279628469 | B/C | 0.0664861010956853 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.30284309387207 | 4.886251782915052 | -3.578554348436392 | -2.347493426889205 | -0.119796225681907 | 2 | 1.30284309387207 | 3.616071428571428 | 4.0 | 0.9065719204133242 |
396 | 396 | 396 | Open Model Project | 629 | 2 | no | no | 0.7977944110353132 | B/C | -0.5652378082275391 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.652378082275391 | 4.889192054473236 | 0.7680403684087436 | 2.433944110353132 | 0.2433944110353132 | 2 | -5.652378082275391 | -5.465624690055847 | 5.266666412353516 | 0.0 |
93 | 93 | 93 | Ohio State University | 236 | 1 | yes | no | -0.028267094412787 | A/B | -0.0472408228151871 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.677444458007813 | 4.889618661903905 | -1.207319863289503 | -0.2675489206245848 | -0.0034369604484707 | 1 | -3.677444458007813 | -5.8 | 0.0 | |
98 | 98 | 98 | co/efficient | 514 | 5 | no | no | 0.0025374719739618 | B/C | -0.1458200546642594 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.651225280761719 | 4.891678480928892 | -2.235598859560584 | -3.390815593488743 | -0.7294941728289335 | 5 | -0.6777969360351562 | -7.721500015258789 | 3.0 | 0.2086763622067728 |
57 | 57 | 57 | Angus Reid Global | 13 | 31 | no | no | -0.1891576113303911 | B+ | -1.156968436932061 | 0.935483870967742 | 0.0645161290322581 | 3.188856924733808 | 4.892401796541075 | -1.698690531200678 | -1.402220205704477 | -0.6996465885099965 | 31 | -2.318777145877961 | 0.7856167374884813 | 2.999321370691419 | 0.7563524627758474 |
298 | 298 | 298 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | no | 0.6290964946878583 | B/C | 0.1537553333945501 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.853492736816406 | 4.892529148884713 | -1.034182071461717 | -0.0700566622163491 | -0.0027952785151694 | 1 | 3.853492736816406 | 2.327529164103718 | 4.75 | 0.3515376219114583 |
76 | 76 | 76 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | -0.0884180165916167 | A/B | 0.1994639123490759 | 0.9285714285714286 | 0.1428571428571428 | 3.810167948404948 | 4.906137733499703 | -1.091115444488166 | -0.0279496806216638 | -0.0102266942597903 | 21 | 0.5451373145693824 | 1.27808715300271 | 4.621799279541408 | 0.2169624036066385 |
394 | 394 | 394 | Rainmaker Media Group | 276 | 1 | no | no | 0.7927307362117337 | B/C | 0.2754625870077134 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.12059020996094 | 4.909713011557411 | 7.215731539010116 | 6.896266293018583 | 0.156730268152108 | 1 | 12.12059020996094 | 7.75 | 0.0 | |
196 | 196 | 196 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | no | 0.4549580514686224 | B/C | -0.3469518745512442 | 1.0 | 0.0666666666666667 | 2.941521453857422 | 4.91220702997542 | -1.965831235511408 | -0.362446170419581 | -0.0931873153007553 | 15 | -1.349447377522786 | -1.859637693875078 | 2.458646647744388 | 0.620948476868533 |
200 | 200 | 200 | Ragnar Research Partners | 517 | 2 | no | no | 0.4757084010757188 | B/C | 0.3257184982299805 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.802282333374023 | 4.923467673449888 | -0.1163309994692749 | -0.7869159892428119 | -0.0786915989242812 | 2 | 3.257184982299805 | -2.324999809265137 | 0.0 | |
279 | 279 | 279 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | no | 0.6077461967520814 | B/C | 0.0285126270690753 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.667526245117188 | 4.926187360836865 | -3.253806775113088 | -2.185356381181451 | -0.037366879047395 | 1 | 1.667526245117188 | 2.2526317395662 | 0.0 | |
400 | 400 | 400 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | 344 | 2 | no | no | 0.8104141712019267 | B/C | -0.3508822861760528 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0112133026123 | 4.940563881724581 | 7.075503761494313 | 6.204896838683693 | 0.1812629859608257 | 2 | -12.0112133026123 | -6.0 | 6.267949192431122 | 0.0 |
237 | 237 | 237 | Valley Research | 368 | 8 | no | no | 0.543939611598199 | B/C | 0.4143418875818117 | 0.875 | 0.125 | 5.055089473724365 | 4.956138550299345 | 0.1038052640316096 | -0.1034487324724526 | -0.0120083683019043 | 8 | 3.56943941116333 | 3.237499713897705 | 2.0 | 0.1596209649877704 |
126 | 126 | 126 | Victory Research | 437 | 11 | no | no | 0.1606736875907723 | B/C | 0.3170668221454945 | 0.9090909090909092 | 0.3636363636363636 | 6.008824608542702 | 4.960331774427822 | 1.053347174721469 | -0.4083780092122424 | -0.1426449226854447 | 10 | 1.003410911560059 | -1.35357224146525 | 4.988767384375763 | 0.0348571992873492 |
94 | 94 | 94 | Global Strategy Group/National Research (Philadelphia Inquirer) | 119 | 4 | yes | no | -0.0241629481333874 | A/B | -0.2957787846748048 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 2.981807708740234 | 4.960417918246559 | -1.973755868899735 | -1.602300614760774 | -0.17721193398286 | 4 | -2.674348831176758 | 0.2030208667119344 | 2.248334797424331 | 1.940660405078344 |
2 | 2 | 2 | ABC News/The Washington Post | 3 | 82 | yes | no | -0.9919601103089348 | A+ | 0.919806741264664 | 0.7378048780487805 | 0.0853658536585366 | 3.053507269882574 | 4.972745084419228 | -1.914383473930063 | -1.328716976870906 | -0.980676124300166 | 77 | 1.256718524090656 | 1.231279279930035 | 3.827491674106647 | 0.1323492717694392 |
415 | 415 | 415 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 19 | no | no | 0.8389235668824845 | B/C | -0.2420582752342996 | 0.9473684210526316 | 0.631578947368421 | 7.236588829442074 | 4.978781443526811 | 2.262661726521852 | 1.505234583700877 | 0.5995129281719782 | 19 | -0.607750842445775 | 1.038254158662789 | 7.452589716116476 | 0.0 |
229 | 229 | 229 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | no | 0.5315842228214828 | B/C | 0.1210308213228181 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.005687713623047 | 4.984013891347866 | -1.97347183711823 | -0.6174179684120591 | -0.0473797997596811 | 2 | 1.577182769775391 | 3.181666628519694 | 0.0 |
Advanced export
JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited
CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/pollster-ratings" ( "Rank" INTEGER, "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "Polls Analyzed" INTEGER, "NCPP/AAPOR/Roper" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" REAL, "Races Called Correctly" REAL, "Misses Outside MOE" REAL, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" REAL, "House Effect" REAL, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );