rowid,poll_id,question_id,race_id,year,race,location,type_simple,type_detail,pollster,pollster_rating_id,methodology,partisan,polldate,samplesize,cand1_name,cand1_id,cand1_party,cand1_pct,cand2_name,cand2_id,cand2_party,cand2_pct,cand3_pct,margin_poll,electiondate,cand1_actual,cand2_actual,margin_actual,error,bias,rightcall,advancedplusminus,comment
5813,13980,18006,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,,1/15/2012,165.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,22.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,36.0,15.0,-14.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,26.58,,0.0,10.66454735669347,for Justice At Stake
5819,13979,18005,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,,1/16/2012,214.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,21.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,38.0,15.0,-17.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,29.58,,0.0,14.03683275988141,for Justice At Stake
5822,13978,18004,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,,1/17/2012,133.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,29.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,24.0,16.0,5.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,7.58,,1.0,-8.062105419250525,for Justice At Stake
6651,30586,36770,663,2012,2012_Pres-G_GA,GA,Pres-G,Pres-G,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,D,11/1/2012,1316.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,46.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,52.0,,-6.0,11/6/2012,45.48,53.3,-7.82,1.82,1.82,1.0,-1.145791377017826,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
6683,30586,81200,5021,2012,2012_House-G_GA-12,GA-12,House-G,House-G,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,D,11/1/2012,450.0,John Barrow,6638,DEM,50.0,Lee I. Anderson,6637,REP,44.0,,6.0,11/6/2012,53.7,46.3,7.4,1.4,-1.4,1.0,-5.772727924302832,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8751,66903,124925,88,2016,2016_Sen-G_GA,GA,Sen-G,Sen-G,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,,11/4/2016,541.0,Jim Barksdale,10193,DEM,44.0,Johnny Isakson,10194,REP,51.0,1.0,-7.0,11/8/2016,41.03,54.78,-13.75,6.75,6.75,1.0,2.435613047630147,
8778,66903,124923,612,2016,2016_Pres-G_GA,GA,Pres-G,Pres-G,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,,11/4/2016,541.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,45.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,48.0,3.0,-3.0,11/8/2016,45.64,50.77,-5.13,2.13,2.13,1.0,-1.204541092867878,
9410,56775,91483,139,2018,2018_Gov-G_GA,GA,Gov-G,Gov-G,20/20 Insight,1,IVR,D,11/1/2018,614.0,Stacey Yvonne Abrams,11363,DEM,50.0,Brian P. Kemp,11364,REP,46.0,1.0,4.0,11/6/2018,48.83,50.22,-1.39,5.39,5.39,0.0,1.889257106350656,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
1293,54999,88537,1416,2002,2002_Gov-G_WY,WY,Gov-G,Gov-G,A&A Research,2,Live Phone,,10/22/2002,400.0,Dave Freudenthal,13142,DEM,36.0,Eli D. Bebout,13143,REP,44.0,,-8.0,11/5/2002,49.96,47.92,2.04,10.04,-10.04,0.0,2.334648105905419,
42,36811,33541,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/17/1998,548.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,47.0,,1.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,1.89,1.89,0.0,-3.243311497931875,for The Washington Post
68,54323,87859,1447,1998,1998_Gov-G_MD,MD,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/20/1998,919.0,Parris Glendening,13054,DEM,49.0,Ellen Sauerbrey,13053,REP,44.0,,5.0,11/3/1998,55.14,44.82,10.33,5.33,-5.33,1.0,-2.834742338761064,for The Washington Post
138,36812,33538,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/1998,581.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,49.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,2.89,2.89,0.0,-1.821577992950119,for The Washington Post
166,66199,123151,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/25/1998,600.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,44.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,36.0,,8.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,8.89,8.89,0.0,4.374411042163655,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters
270,36819,120403,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/31/1998,600.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,47.5,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,47.0,,0.5,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,1.39,1.39,0.0,-2.858128563388521,for The Washington Post; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
359,59816,103779,7120,2000,2000_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,2/5/2000,490.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.0,John McCain,14677,REP,43.0,5.0,5.0,2/19/2000,53.39,41.87,11.52,6.52,,1.0,-3.033920173134563,
497,6449,7918,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/19/2000,1020.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,45.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,3.0,-2.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.51,-2.51,0.0,-1.997428990686454,
524,6440,121959,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,1071.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.5,3.0,-2.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.51,-2.51,0.0,-1.929282945685604,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
575,6420,7888,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,1070.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,47.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,4.0,0.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,0.01,-0.01,1.0,-4.301357055636071,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
608,63527,116947,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/23/2000,1037.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.5,3.0,-1.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.01,-2.01,0.0,-2.2536350634625,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
640,25901,7878,851,2000,2000_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2000,1009.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,45.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.0,3.0,-4.0,11/7/2000,44.44,52.47,-8.04,4.04,4.04,1.0,0.5484529429955793,
660,25901,31141,1712,2000,2000_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2000,1009.0,Charles S. Robb,3882,DEM,46.0,George F. Allen,3883,REP,48.0,,-2.0,11/7/2000,47.68,52.26,-4.58,2.58,2.58,1.0,-1.591451328951851,
695,66223,123209,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2000,1009.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,4.0,-1.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,1.51,-1.51,0.0,-2.554260965637997,
720,6356,7824,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/27/2000,1432.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,47.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.0,4.0,-0.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,1.01,-1.01,0.0,-2.860056431559294,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
778,63529,121973,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/29/2000,1020.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.0,3.0,-2.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,3.01,-3.01,0.0,-0.850490522736213,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
815,6260,7717,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/30/2000,1081.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.5,3.0,-3.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,4.01,-4.01,0.0,0.2498405153566419,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
890,66220,123205,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/1/2000,1280.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,45.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.0,3.0,-3.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,3.51,-3.51,0.0,-0.0130181623952359,
939,6179,121976,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/2/2000,1519.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.0,3.0,-3.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,3.51,-3.51,0.0,0.1253621049696461,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1089,63530,121979,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/4/2000,1801.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.0,3.0,-3.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,3.51,-3.51,0.0,0.356508663813613,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1152,63909,117653,1418,2001,2001_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2001,1010.0,Mark R. Warner,13769,DEM,51.0,Mark Lawrence Earley,13770,REP,41.0,2.0,10.0,11/6/2001,52.16,47.03,5.14,4.86,4.86,1.0,0.80768294130255,for The Washington Post
1335,54751,88287,1396,2002,2002_Gov-G_MD,MD,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2002,1529.0,Kathleen Townsend,12877,DEM,47.0,Robert Ehrlich Jr.,12879,REP,47.0,1.0,0.0,11/5/2002,47.68,51.55,-3.88,3.88,3.88,0.5,-0.1687308805040943,for The Washington Post
1394,27976,120399,8653,2002,2002_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2002,600.0,Generic Candidate,13744,DEM,47.0,Generic Candidate,13745,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/5/2002,45.2,49.49,-4.29,2.29,2.29,1.0,-2.817044352652653,for The Washington Post; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1571,27970,33248,8653,2002,2002_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/1/2002,504.0,Generic Candidate,13744,DEM,50.0,Generic Candidate,13745,REP,49.0,,1.0,11/5/2002,45.2,49.49,-4.29,5.29,5.29,0.0,0.3907048578688332,for The Washington Post
1584,38141,117325,8653,2002,2002_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/2/2002,845.0,Generic Candidate,13744,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13745,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/5/2002,45.2,49.49,-4.29,4.29,4.29,0.5,-0.1710751044806127,for The Washington Post
1585,66169,123041,8653,2002,2002_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/2/2002,845.0,Generic Candidate,13744,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13745,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/5/2002,45.2,49.49,-4.29,4.29,4.29,0.5,-0.1710751044806127,
1824,15654,20494,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/14/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,,-3.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,0.54,-0.54,1.0,-2.931110688135073,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1838,14801,20493,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/15/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,2.0,-4.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.54,-1.54,1.0,-1.86598038251593,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1886,4688,6059,790,2004,2004_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/16/2004,789.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,50.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/2/2004,48.71,50.81,-2.11,5.11,5.11,0.0,1.593539804992991,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1909,4688,30307,1638,2004,2004_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/16/2004,789.0,Eric D. Fingerhut,3306,DEM,35.0,George V. Voinovich,3305,REP,60.0,,-25.0,11/2/2004,36.15,63.85,-27.7,2.7,2.7,1.0,-1.727110075640559,for The Washington Post
1958,14798,20490,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/18/2004,1801.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.5,1.0,-4.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.54,-1.54,1.0,-1.213362105336601,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2090,15647,20487,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/21/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,,-4.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.54,-1.54,1.0,-1.500863673009829,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
2105,14795,20486,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/22/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,1.0,-1.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.46,1.46,1.0,-1.522226507165726,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2234,14791,20482,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,1.0,-1.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.46,1.46,1.0,-1.255789272349046,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2430,15638,20478,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/30/2004,2904.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,1.0,-1.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.46,1.46,1.0,-0.2254279264553809,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2550,63910,117654,1364,2005,2005_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/25/2005,1004.0,Tim Kaine,13850,DEM,47.0,Jerry W. Kilgore,13851,REP,44.0,4.0,3.0,11/8/2005,51.72,45.99,5.73,2.73,-2.73,1.0,-1.993610615468617,for The Washington Post
2668,28953,117327,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,875.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,55.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,41.0,,14.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,6.47,6.47,1.0,-0.5912234706817842,for The Washington Post
2747,24875,88976,1342,2006,2006_Gov-G_MD,MD,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2006,1003.0,Martin O'Malley,12704,DEM,55.0,Robert Ehrlich Jr.,12703,REP,45.0,,10.0,11/7/2006,52.69,46.16,6.53,3.47,3.47,1.0,-1.565613115344804,for The Washington Post
2759,24875,137322,1589,2006,2006_Sen-G_MD,MD,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2006,1003.0,Benjamin L. Cardin,2878,DEM,54.0,Michael S. Steele,2879,REP,43.0,1.0,11.0,11/7/2006,54.21,44.2,10.01,0.99,0.99,1.0,-4.593221989751739,for The Washington Post
3200,27722,120394,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/3/2006,600.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,51.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,1.53,-1.53,1.0,-4.969326961393352,for The Washington Post; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
3247,3116,3805,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,12/15/2007,652.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,33.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,20.0,29.0,13.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,9.29,,1.0,2.796096863889702,for The Washington Post
3248,3116,3806,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,12/15/2007,501.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,35.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,27.0,9.0,8.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,1.18,,1.0,-7.846434844016129,for The Washington Post
3677,2491,3083,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,2/18/2008,611.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,43.0,,7.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,1.66,,1.0,-4.548513167555098,for The Washington Post
3680,2494,3086,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,2/18/2008,603.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,48.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,47.0,,1.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,2.49,,1.0,-3.866142439099996,for The Washington Post
4105,14859,19699,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,1330.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,John McCain,44,REP,43.0,,11.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,3.73,3.73,1.0,0.9461876560119552,for The Washington Post
4297,14862,19702,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2008,1308.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,7.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,0.27,-0.27,1.0,-2.249969692916637,for The Washington Post
4321,16686,21596,749,2008,2008_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2008,784.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,,8.0,11/4/2008,52.63,46.33,6.3,1.7,1.7,1.0,-0.9634687229270764,
4332,16686,25420,1577,2008,2008_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2008,784.0,Mark R. Warner,2808,DEM,61.0,James S. Gilmore III,2809,REP,31.0,,30.0,11/4/2008,65.03,33.73,31.3,1.3,-1.3,1.0,-3.392777245934983,
4512,63616,117081,1577,2008,2008_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,671.0,Mark R. Warner,2808,DEM,63.0,James S. Gilmore III,2809,REP,32.0,,31.0,11/4/2008,65.03,33.73,31.3,0.3,-0.3,1.0,-4.364697869850795,for The Washington Post
4564,14861,19701,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/28/2008,1327.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,,8.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,0.73,0.73,1.0,-1.471093888876917,for The Washington Post
4774,14858,19698,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/1/2008,2470.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,53.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,1.73,1.73,1.0,0.0709403889236748,for The Washington Post
4901,63911,117655,1312,2009,2009_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2009,1206.0,R. Creigh Deeds,13761,DEM,44.0,Robert Francis McDonnell,13760,REP,55.0,,-11.0,11/3/2009,41.25,58.62,-17.36,6.36,6.36,1.0,2.465652382692145,for The Washington Post
5312,32692,83881,1293,2010,2010_Gov-G_MD,MD,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/21/2010,1434.0,Martin O'Malley,11300,DEM,54.0,Robert Ehrlich Jr.,11301,REP,40.0,,14.0,11/2/2010,56.24,41.79,14.46,0.46,-0.46,1.0,-4.125851310810345,for The Washington Post
5326,32692,39288,1525,2010,2010_Sen-G_MD,MD,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/21/2010,1434.0,Barbara A. Mikulski,805,DEM,64.0,Eric Wargotz,807,REP,27.0,,37.0,11/2/2010,62.19,35.75,26.44,10.56,10.56,1.0,5.296568387316663,for The Washington Post
5599,27381,32659,8657,2010,2010_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/27/2010,600.0,Generic Candidate,13740,DEM,45.0,Generic Candidate,13741,REP,49.0,,-4.0,11/2/2010,44.77,51.38,-6.61,2.61,2.61,1.0,-0.8008267668569733,for The Washington Post; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
6222,30275,36294,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/22/2012,1394.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,4.85,-4.85,0.0,1.1207798956165,for The Washington Post
6307,30374,36442,698,2012,2012_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2012,1228.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,51.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,4.0,11/6/2012,51.16,47.28,3.87,0.13,0.13,1.0,-3.486344212204739,
6333,30374,36443,1501,2012,2012_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2012,1228.0,Tim Kaine,2228,DEM,51.0,George F. Allen,2229,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,52.87,46.96,5.91,1.09,1.09,1.0,-3.364647222577101,
6385,30406,36476,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2012,1278.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,4.85,-4.85,0.0,1.371267486394766,for The Washington Post
6554,30563,36735,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/30/2012,1293.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,2.85,-2.85,1.0,-0.3198447080427712,for The Washington Post
6787,30768,37110,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,2345.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,50.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,0.85,-0.85,1.0,-1.768750215424107,for The Washington Post | ABC News
6932,63908,117652,1257,2013,2013_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/26/2013,762.0,Terry R. McAuliffe,13762,DEM,51.0,Kenneth T. Cuccinelli,13763,REP,39.0,8.0,12.0,11/5/2013,47.74,45.22,2.52,9.48,9.48,1.0,4.486620896235685,for The Washington Post
7302,34918,49045,8271,2014,2014_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/25/2014,758.0,Generic Candidate,9973,DEM,44.0,Generic Candidate,9974,REP,50.0,,-6.0,11/4/2014,44.84,50.42,-5.59,0.41,-0.41,1.0,-4.482367567774084,for The Washington Post | ABC News
8180,47607,74498,8272,2016,2016_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/23/2016,828.0,Generic Candidate,9976,DEM,47.0,Generic Candidate,9975,REP,46.0,,1.0,11/8/2016,48.26,47.54,0.71,0.29,0.29,1.0,-3.407856918727822,
8192,47553,74392,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/24/2016,1135.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.0,5.0,6.5,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,4.4,4.4,1.0,1.012547948561985,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8363,47784,74802,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/28/2016,1165.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,47.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,46.0,4.0,1.5,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,0.6,-0.6,1.0,-2.510209085126889,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8447,47880,74935,647,2016,2016_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/29/2016,1024.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.5,6.0,6.0,11/8/2016,49.73,44.41,5.32,0.68,0.68,1.0,-2.091480879439539,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8588,48268,75635,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/1/2016,1151.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,45.0,3.0,3.0,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,0.9,0.9,1.0,-1.902054179910523,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8853,48630,76193,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/5/2016,2220.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,44.5,4.0,3.5,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,1.4,1.4,1.0,-0.8167634568388601,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8937,50529,79746,1214,2017,2017_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/28/2017,921.0,Ralph S. Northam,10444,DEM,49.0,Ed W. Gillespie,10445,REP,44.0,4.0,5.0,11/7/2017,53.89,44.98,8.92,3.92,-3.92,1.0,-2.589933488688916,for The Washington Post | George Mason University
8965,50681,79996,95,2017,2017_Sen-GS_AL,AL,Sen-G,Sen-GS,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,11/29/2017,739.0,Doug Jones,10522,DEM,50.0,Roy S. Moore,10523,REP,47.0,,3.0,12/12/2017,49.97,48.34,1.63,1.37,1.37,1.0,-4.926893164530009,for George Mason University
9058,56454,90801,577,2018,2018_House-G_VA-10,VA-10,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/18/2018,430.0,Jennifer T. Wexton,11200,DEM,56.0,Barbara J. Comstock,11201,REP,43.0,,13.0,11/6/2018,56.11,43.73,12.38,0.62,0.62,1.0,-7.089255097013705,
9260,56656,91244,577,2018,2018_House-G_VA-10,VA-10,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/27/2018,446.0,Jennifer T. Wexton,11200,DEM,54.0,Barbara J. Comstock,11201,REP,43.0,,11.0,11/6/2018,56.11,43.73,12.38,1.38,-1.38,1.0,-5.996061587595927,
9393,56729,91388,8273,2018,2018_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/31/2018,737.0,Generic Candidate,10427,DEM,51.5,Generic Candidate,10428,REP,44.0,,7.5,11/6/2018,53.58,43.72,9.86,2.36,-2.36,1.0,-1.308525955547609,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9820,71441,133795,6238,2020,2020_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/15/2020,646.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,49.5,Donald Trump,13254,REP,48.0,1.0,1.5,11/3/2020,48.59,49.93,-1.35,2.85,2.85,0.0,-1.336809958001763,for The Washington Post; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9827,71441,133802,6284,2020,2020_Sen-G_NC,NC,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/15/2020,646.0,Cal Cunningham,13468,DEM,49.0,Thom Tillis,13461,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/3/2020,46.94,48.69,-1.75,3.75,3.75,0.0,-1.912754403189855,for The Washington Post
9857,71659,134245,6256,2020,2020_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/16/2020,908.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,52.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,41.0,3.0,11.0,11/3/2020,54.11,44.0,10.11,0.89,0.89,1.0,-1.921419439845527,
9869,71659,134246,6296,2020,2020_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/16/2020,908.0,Mark R. Warner,14760,DEM,57.0,Daniel M. Gade,15688,REP,39.0,,18.0,11/3/2020,55.99,43.91,12.08,5.92,5.92,1.0,0.9798515316491752,
10126,72074,135122,6233,2020,2020_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/23/2020,789.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,2.0,7.0,11/3/2020,50.62,47.84,2.78,4.22,4.22,1.0,-1.225112484506882,for The Washington Post
10133,72075,135124,6259,2020,2020_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/23/2020,809.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,57.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,40.0,2.0,17.0,11/3/2020,49.45,48.82,0.63,16.37,16.37,1.0,10.1629955004199,for The Washington Post
10140,72074,135126,6280,2020,2020_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/23/2020,789.0,Gary C. Peters,13453,DEM,52.0,John James,13454,REP,46.0,,6.0,11/3/2020,49.9,48.22,1.69,4.31,4.31,1.0,-1.161766866892394,for The Washington Post
10329,72476,136004,6220,2020,2020_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/27/2020,824.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,50.0,1.0,-2.0,11/3/2020,47.86,51.22,-3.36,1.36,1.36,1.0,-4.091865210959448,for The Washington Post
10378,72477,136006,6249,2020,2020_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,Live Phone,,10/27/2020,810.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,3.0,7.0,11/3/2020,50.01,48.84,1.16,5.84,5.84,1.0,1.825305759775533,for The Washington Post
7062,33756,40942,4,2014,2014_Sen-G_IL,IL,Sen-G,Sen-G,APC Research,4,Live Phone,,10/19/2014,800.0,Richard J. Durbin,6112,DEM,50.0,James D. Oberweis,6116,REP,36.0,6.0,14.0,11/4/2014,53.55,42.69,10.85,3.15,3.15,1.0,-1.697579272094859,for Chicago Tribune
7071,33756,41656,1252,2014,2014_Gov-G_IL,IL,Gov-G,Gov-G,APC Research,4,Live Phone,,10/19/2014,800.0,Pat Quinn,8658,DEM,43.0,Bruce Rauner,8659,REP,45.0,4.0,-2.0,11/4/2014,46.35,50.27,-3.92,1.92,1.92,1.0,-4.712890639977972,for Chicago Tribune
2969,63839,117542,3752,2006,2006_House-G_KS-2,KS-2,House-G,House-G,ASA Marketing Group,5,Live Phone,D,10/28/2006,1002.0,Nancy Boyda,13812,DEM,50.0,Jim Ryun,13813,REP,41.0,,9.0,11/7/2006,50.6,47.14,3.46,5.54,5.54,1.0,-1.515833975783474,for Nancy Boyda
2704,63824,117519,3868,2006,2006_House-G_NY-19,NY-19,House-G,House-G,Abacus Associates,6,Live Phone,D,10/22/2006,400.0,John Hall,13796,DEM,46.0,Sue W. Kelly,13797,REP,48.0,,-2.0,11/7/2006,51.22,48.78,2.44,4.44,-4.44,0.0,-0.6067006682664958,for John Hall; among 'voters'
5344,51984,82110,4741,2010,2010_House-G_NY-22,NY-22,House-G,House-G,Abacus Associates,6,Live Phone,D,10/21/2010,403.0,Maurice D. Hinchey,10909,DEM,51.0,George K. Phillips,10910,REP,34.0,,17.0,11/2/2010,52.66,47.34,5.32,11.68,11.68,1.0,5.658585503579529,for Maurice D. Hinchey
1839,15545,116953,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/15/2004,865.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,48.0,3.0,-0.5,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.96,1.96,1.0,-1.231433308756838,for Time; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2057,15544,116954,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/20/2004,803.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,51.0,2.0,-5.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,2.54,-2.54,1.0,-0.3829916201511342,for Time; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
3172,38946,123022,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,11/2/2006,639.5,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,54.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,39.0,,15.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,7.47,7.47,1.0,1.183835305532274,for Time; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
3788,2261,2836,7414,2008,2008_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,4/4/2008,676.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,49.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,41.0,,8.0,4/22/2008,54.57,45.43,9.14,1.14,,1.0,-6.13014735863353,for Time; among registered voters
6248,30272,36290,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/23/2012,783.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,44.0,,5.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,2.02,2.02,1.0,-0.8168613203464576,for Time
7098,33797,40983,17,2014,2014_Sen-G_GA,GA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/20/2014,1170.0,Mary Michelle Nunn,6072,DEM,42.0,David A. Perdue,6073,REP,44.0,6.0,-2.0,11/4/2014,45.21,52.89,-7.68,5.68,5.68,1.0,-0.8838519109635069,for Atlanta Journal-Constitution
7162,33797,41482,1249,2014,2014_Gov-G_GA,GA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/20/2014,1170.0,Jason J. Carter,8623,DEM,41.0,J. Nathan Deal,8624,REP,46.0,5.0,-5.0,11/4/2014,44.89,52.75,-7.86,2.86,2.86,1.0,-2.353213577621877,for Atlanta Journal-Constitution
8036,47158,74011,88,2016,2016_Sen-G_GA,GA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/19/2016,839.0,Jim Barksdale,10193,DEM,32.0,Johnny Isakson,10194,REP,47.0,11.0,-15.0,11/8/2016,41.03,54.78,-13.75,1.25,-1.25,1.0,-3.810582406053836,for Atlanta Journal-Constitution
8046,47158,73792,612,2016,2016_Pres-G_GA,GA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,10/19/2016,839.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,42.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,44.0,9.0,-2.0,11/8/2016,45.64,50.77,-5.13,3.13,3.13,1.0,-0.7697496448834047,for Atlanta Journal-Constitution
8918,50566,79813,1762,2017,2017_House-GSR_GA-6,GA-6,House-G,House-GSR,Abt Associates,7,Live Phone,,6/7/2017,745.0,Jon Ossoff,10471,DEM,51.0,Karen Handel,10472,REP,44.0,,7.0,6/20/2017,48.22,51.78,-3.57,10.57,10.57,0.0,5.303283112763583,for Atlanta Journal-Constitution
3381,2979,3629,7343,2008,2008_Pres-D_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-D,Alabama State University,8,Live Phone,,1/19/2008,438.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,31.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,24.0,10.0,7.0,2/5/2008,55.96,41.57,14.39,7.39,,1.0,-6.716844191651791,
3382,2979,3628,7344,2008,2008_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Alabama State University,8,Live Phone,,1/19/2008,438.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,19.0,John McCain,44,REP,20.0,12.0,-1.0,2/5/2008,41.25,37.1,4.15,5.15,,0.0,-6.478427598984289,
5942,14410,18913,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Alabama State University,8,Live Phone,,3/1/2012,470.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,23.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,14.0,19.0,9.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,3.8,,1.0,-5.675606830142138,
5963,14430,18949,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Alabama State University,8,Live Phone,,3/7/2012,416.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,17.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,21.0,20.0,-4.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,9.2,,0.0,0.8330770132741239,
316,7384,9127,7115,2000,2000_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/27/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,50.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,43.0,,7.0,2/1/2000,49.73,45.59,4.14,2.86,,1.0,-4.200408076155404,
319,7384,9129,7116,2000,2000_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/27/2000,600.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,34.0,17.0,2.0,2/1/2000,48.53,30.36,18.17,16.17,,1.0,4.630006479505132,
343,7357,9084,7115,2000,2000_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/30/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,50.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,45.0,,5.0,2/1/2000,49.73,45.59,4.14,0.86,,1.0,-5.545723161229688,
347,7357,9087,7116,2000,2000_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/30/2000,600.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,38.0,16.0,-2.0,2/1/2000,48.53,30.36,18.17,20.17,,0.0,9.286225657371316,
358,7345,9062,7120,2000,2000_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/3/2000,600.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,42.0,John McCain,14677,REP,45.0,3.0,-3.0,2/19/2000,53.39,41.87,11.52,14.52,,0.0,4.596371936182194,
363,64009,117810,7120,2000,2000_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/10/2000,600.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,46.0,John McCain,14677,REP,39.0,,7.0,2/19/2000,53.39,41.87,11.52,4.52,,1.0,-4.14100629736406,
368,7299,8967,7120,2000,2000_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/14/2000,627.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,John McCain,14677,REP,41.0,5.0,6.0,2/19/2000,53.39,41.87,11.52,5.52,,1.0,-2.33147941673604,
380,64022,117826,7122,2000,2000_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/20/2000,600.0,John McCain,14677,REP,48.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,42.0,,6.0,2/22/2000,50.97,43.05,7.92,1.92,,1.0,-2.835220749003019,
390,64027,117832,7126,2000,2000_Pres-R_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/23/2000,600.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,44.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,,8.0,2/29/2000,52.79,43.89,8.9,0.9,,1.0,-6.72749717149198,
419,64039,117857,7133,2000,2000_Pres-R_GA,GA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2000,600.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,62.0,John McCain,14677,REP,23.0,,39.0,3/7/2000,66.93,27.84,39.09,0.09,,1.0,-10.69267861936637,
442,7182,8784,7149,2000,2000_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/1/2000,600.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,55.0,John McCain,14677,REP,33.0,3.0,22.0,3/7/2000,57.99,36.98,21.01,0.99,,1.0,-5.838420083018737,
579,6424,7892,815,2000,2000_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,49.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,45.0,2.0,4.0,11/7/2000,48.84,48.85,-0.01,4.01,4.01,0.0,0.0470897340982506,
586,6425,7893,828,2000,2000_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,43.0,4.0,3.0,11/7/2000,51.28,46.15,5.13,2.13,-2.13,1.0,-2.293800169003076,
590,6430,7899,843,2000,2000_Pres-G_OR,OR,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,41.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,45.0,10.0,-4.0,11/7/2000,46.96,46.52,0.44,4.44,-4.44,0.0,-1.208935616677792,
591,6426,7894,844,2000,2000_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,43.0,2.0,5.0,11/7/2000,50.61,46.44,4.17,0.83,0.83,1.0,-3.87391286768306,
861,6227,7682,815,2000,2000_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,49.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,44.0,2.0,5.0,11/7/2000,48.84,48.85,-0.01,5.01,5.01,0.0,1.606010017674894,
864,6228,7683,828,2000,2000_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,44.0,3.0,4.0,11/7/2000,51.28,46.15,5.13,1.13,-1.13,1.0,-2.748781883765217,
872,6229,7684,844,2000,2000_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,42.0,3.0,6.0,11/7/2000,50.61,46.44,4.17,1.83,1.83,1.0,-2.295957795309294,
873,6230,7685,848,2000,2000_Pres-G_TN,TN,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,49.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,43.0,2.0,6.0,11/7/2000,47.28,51.15,-3.86,9.86,9.86,0.0,6.98960278470863,
907,6211,7666,836,2000,2000_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/1/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,40.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,45.0,5.0,-5.0,11/7/2000,46.8,48.07,-1.27,3.73,-3.73,1.0,-0.4797383950087004,
917,54503,88039,1425,2000,2000_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/1/2000,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,12978,DEM,43.0,Gordon Humphrey,12979,REP,44.0,7.0,-1.0,11/7/2000,48.74,43.76,4.98,5.98,-5.98,0.0,1.493242685597181,
1018,6161,7614,830,2000,2000_Pres-G_MO,MO,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,45.0,4.0,1.0,11/7/2000,47.08,50.42,-3.34,4.34,4.34,0.0,1.815349887595907,
1023,6162,7615,836,2000,2000_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,38.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.0,9.0,-10.0,11/7/2000,46.8,48.07,-1.27,8.73,-8.73,1.0,4.649671900472173,
1166,25392,88341,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,600.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,28.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,57.0,,-29.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,8.6,-8.6,1.0,1.992551830454094,
1180,25392,30632,1669,2002,2002_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,3527,DEM,43.0,John E. Sununu,3524,REP,51.0,,-8.0,11/5/2002,46.4,50.82,-4.42,3.58,-3.58,1.0,-3.224894550037401,
1189,25392,117522,2959,2002,2002_House-G_NH-1,NH-1,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,300.0,Martha Fuller Clark,13798,DEM,35.0,Jeb E. Bradley,13799,REP,54.0,,-19.0,11/5/2002,38.48,58.11,-19.63,0.63,0.63,1.0,-7.791633955722889,
1190,25392,117523,2960,2002,2002_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,300.0,Katrina Swett,13800,DEM,33.0,Charles Bass,13801,REP,54.0,,-21.0,11/5/2002,40.86,56.81,-15.95,5.05,-5.05,1.0,-1.789180239217159,
1268,25391,88343,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2002,600.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,33.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,52.0,,-19.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,1.4,1.4,1.0,-4.936530189758363,
1275,25391,30631,1669,2002,2002_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2002,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,3527,DEM,46.0,John E. Sununu,3524,REP,48.0,,-2.0,11/5/2002,46.4,50.82,-4.42,2.42,2.42,1.0,-4.108110352110258,
1278,25391,117524,2959,2002,2002_House-G_NH-1,NH-1,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2002,300.0,Martha Fuller Clark,13798,DEM,39.0,Jeb E. Bradley,13799,REP,53.0,,-14.0,11/5/2002,38.48,58.11,-19.63,5.63,5.63,1.0,-2.567285290485195,
1279,25391,117525,2960,2002,2002_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2002,300.0,Katrina Swett,13800,DEM,35.0,Charles Bass,13801,REP,54.0,,-19.0,11/5/2002,40.86,56.81,-15.95,3.05,-3.05,1.0,-3.53912332686855,
1455,25390,88346,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2002,600.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,36.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,52.0,,-16.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,4.4,4.4,1.0,-1.550494017207787,
1471,25390,30630,1669,2002,2002_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2002,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,3527,DEM,46.0,John E. Sununu,3524,REP,48.0,1.0,-2.0,11/5/2002,46.4,50.82,-4.42,2.42,2.42,1.0,-3.701810528643297,
1481,25390,117526,2959,2002,2002_House-G_NH-1,NH-1,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2002,300.0,Martha Fuller Clark,13798,DEM,42.0,Jeb E. Bradley,13799,REP,52.0,,-10.0,11/5/2002,38.48,58.11,-19.63,9.63,9.63,1.0,1.78371607528748,
1483,25390,117527,2960,2002,2002_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2002,300.0,Katrina Swett,13800,DEM,38.0,Charles Bass,13801,REP,55.0,,-17.0,11/5/2002,40.86,56.81,-15.95,1.05,-1.05,1.0,-5.198417732947218,
1592,25389,88350,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2002,600.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,38.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,53.0,,-15.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,5.4,5.4,1.0,-0.2980393960695498,
1598,25389,30629,1669,2002,2002_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2002,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,3527,DEM,44.0,John E. Sununu,3524,REP,48.0,1.0,-4.0,11/5/2002,46.4,50.82,-4.42,0.42,0.42,1.0,-5.416210151591689,
1603,25389,117528,2959,2002,2002_House-G_NH-1,NH-1,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2002,300.0,Martha Fuller Clark,13798,DEM,40.0,Jeb E. Bradley,13799,REP,51.0,,-11.0,11/5/2002,38.48,58.11,-19.63,8.63,8.63,1.0,1.07674903344338,
1604,25389,117529,2960,2002,2002_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2002,300.0,Katrina Swett,13800,DEM,36.0,Charles Bass,13801,REP,58.0,,-22.0,11/5/2002,40.86,56.81,-15.95,6.05,-6.05,1.0,0.075007007385673,
1672,5596,7149,7231,2004,2004_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/22/2004,700.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,34.0,Howard Dean,172,DEM,15.0,19.0,19.0,1/27/2004,38.39,26.28,12.11,6.89,,1.0,1.74343593335921,
1684,5572,7125,7231,2004,2004_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/25/2004,719.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,35.0,Howard Dean,172,DEM,25.0,13.0,10.0,1/27/2004,38.39,26.28,12.11,2.11,,1.0,-2.399870501679595,
1700,5537,7083,7235,2004,2004_Pres-D_DE,DE,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/29/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,27.0,Joseph I. Lieberman,160,DEM,16.0,9.0,11.0,2/3/2004,50.43,11.13,39.29,28.29,,1.0,19.69163422470234,
1701,5543,7089,7236,2004,2004_Pres-D_MO,MO,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/29/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,15.0,7.0,31.0,2/3/2004,50.62,24.64,25.97,5.03,,1.0,-1.634520634673755,
1714,5531,7077,7243,2004,2004_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/30/2004,600.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,30.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,23.0,10.0,7.0,2/3/2004,45.15,29.82,15.33,8.33,,1.0,0.3029850384440176,
1715,5517,7060,7234,2004,2004_Pres-D_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,32.0,Wesley Clark,166,DEM,21.0,10.0,11.0,2/3/2004,42.61,26.47,16.13,5.13,,1.0,-1.629928382188447,
1719,5518,7061,7241,2004,2004_Pres-D_OK,OK,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2004,600.0,Wesley Clark,166,DEM,25.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,18.0,23.0,7.0,2/3/2004,29.94,29.54,0.4,6.6,,1.0,0.0796420348822073,
1724,5514,7057,7241,2004,2004_Pres-D_OK,OK,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2004,600.0,Wesley Clark,166,DEM,28.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,21.0,25.0,7.0,2/3/2004,29.94,29.54,0.4,6.6,,1.0,0.2798268652816207,
1727,5513,7056,7243,2004,2004_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2004,600.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,31.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,24.0,10.0,7.0,2/3/2004,45.15,29.82,15.33,8.33,,1.0,0.7403947587697576,
1737,5496,7038,7251,2004,2004_Pres-D_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/5/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,32.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,21.0,20.0,11.0,2/10/2004,41.02,26.51,14.51,3.51,,1.0,-4.349794377856381,
1738,5497,7039,7253,2004,2004_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/5/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,35.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,22.0,17.0,13.0,2/10/2004,51.52,26.63,24.89,11.89,,1.0,3.591700007497416,
1749,5475,7013,7255,2004,2004_Pres-D_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/12/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,53.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,16.0,11.0,37.0,2/17/2004,39.64,34.3,5.34,31.66,,1.0,14.57403976350077,
1764,5446,6978,7275,2004,2004_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/23/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,54.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,21.0,8.0,33.0,3/2/2004,61.17,20.12,41.05,8.05,,1.0,1.012679637439716,
1765,5447,6979,7276,2004,2004_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/23/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,26.0,11.0,21.0,3/2/2004,51.81,34.08,17.73,3.27,,1.0,-5.380296919774572,
1767,5443,6974,7267,2004,2004_Pres-D_GA,GA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,45.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,37.0,4.0,8.0,3/2/2004,46.79,41.38,5.4,2.6,,1.0,-7.811499282175346,
1769,5440,6971,7269,2004,2004_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,42.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,35.0,2.0,7.0,3/2/2004,59.6,25.55,34.05,27.05,,1.0,17.99076818468871,
1780,5431,6961,7267,2004,2004_Pres-D_GA,GA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,38.0,4.0,10.0,3/2/2004,46.79,41.38,5.4,4.6,,1.0,-5.011802524033319,
1782,5428,6958,7269,2004,2004_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,34.0,3.0,12.0,3/2/2004,59.6,25.55,34.05,22.05,,1.0,13.78162516437433,
1857,63827,117530,3501,2004,2004_House-G_PA-17,PA-17,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/15/2004,320.0,Thomas Timothy Holden,13802,DEM,48.0,Scott G. Paterno,13803,REP,36.0,1.0,12.0,11/2/2004,59.09,38.93,20.16,8.16,-8.16,1.0,0.4029044360938828,
1928,4639,5990,785,2004,2004_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,1.0,-0.5,11/2/2004,50.24,48.87,1.37,1.87,-1.87,0.0,-1.827032754790898,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1932,4642,5994,787,2004,2004_Pres-G_NM,NM,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,46.5,1.0,1.5,11/2/2004,49.05,49.84,-0.79,2.29,2.29,0.0,-2.376508719494844,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1981,4640,5995,803,2004,2004_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/18/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,2.0,0.0,11/2/2004,49.7,49.32,0.38,0.38,-0.38,0.5,-3.395394368577975,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2161,4502,5837,764,2004,2004_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/24/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,49.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,46.5,1.0,2.5,11/2/2004,47.09,52.1,-5.01,7.51,7.51,0.0,2.959779448332306,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2169,4503,5838,790,2004,2004_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/24/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,49.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/2/2004,48.71,50.81,-2.11,4.11,4.11,0.0,0.8528741469444033,
2172,4509,5844,793,2004,2004_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/24/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,50.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/2/2004,50.92,48.42,2.5,0.5,0.5,1.0,-2.471453047779673,
2242,4445,5780,767,2004,2004_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,48.0,1.0,-1.0,11/2/2004,49.23,49.9,-0.67,0.33,-0.33,1.0,-3.018774209794745,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2257,4462,5791,792,2004,2004_Pres-G_OR,OR,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,50.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,46.0,,4.0,11/2/2004,51.35,47.19,4.16,0.16,-0.16,1.0,-3.330377929896924,
2264,4446,5781,803,2004,2004_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,1.0,1.0,11/2/2004,49.7,49.32,0.38,0.62,0.62,1.0,-2.681049863076288,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2396,14874,120069,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2004,1258.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,48.0,1.0,0.5,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,2.96,2.96,0.0,0.9205170528130184,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2411,4367,5704,785,2004,2004_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,2.0,0.0,11/2/2004,50.24,48.87,1.37,1.37,-1.37,0.5,-1.596560185583178,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2413,4382,5706,787,2004,2004_Pres-G_NM,NM,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.5,1.0,0.5,11/2/2004,49.05,49.84,-0.79,1.29,1.29,0.0,-2.69750261844084,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2425,4367,26343,1634,2004,2004_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2004,600.0,Doris R. Haddock,3277,DEM,26.0,Judd Gregg,3275,REP,66.0,,-40.0,11/2/2004,33.72,66.18,-32.46,7.54,-7.54,1.0,0.7732625402254278,
2509,4299,5615,764,2004,2004_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,50.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,48.0,1.0,2.0,11/2/2004,47.09,52.1,-5.01,7.01,7.01,0.0,2.930100254218822,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2518,4300,5613,785,2004,2004_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/31/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,48.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,1.0,-0.5,11/2/2004,50.24,48.87,1.37,1.87,-1.87,0.0,-0.9883777578149368,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
2616,24197,29435,1583,2006,2006_Sen-G_CT,CT,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/19/2006,600.0,Ned Lamont,2839,DEM,37.0,Joseph I. Lieberman,14516,IND,49.0,8.0,-12.0,11/7/2006,39.73,49.71,-9.98,2.02,,1.0,-2.435012462668346,
3043,74107,138994,3833,2006,2006_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,R,10/31/2006,619.0,Paul W. Hodes,14222,DEM,44.0,Charles Bass,14223,REP,47.0,,-3.0,11/7/2006,52.71,45.61,7.1,10.1,-10.1,0.0,5.188310666488029,for Charles Bass
3257,3092,3780,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/18/2007,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,25.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,18.0,29.0,7.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,3.29,,0.0,-3.217549624213456,
3258,3092,3776,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/18/2007,600.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,28.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,17.0,5.0,11.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,1.82,,1.0,-6.220914434483295,
3259,3063,3745,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/22/2007,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,19.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,20.0,34.0,-1.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,4.71,,0.0,-1.084953497912107,
3260,3063,3747,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/22/2007,600.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,23.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,21.0,3.0,2.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,7.18,,1.0,-0.1638107806497868,
3263,3052,3735,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/27/2007,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,24.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,24.0,31.0,0.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,3.71,,0.0,-1.149900641119675,
3267,3052,3730,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/27/2007,600.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,23.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,32.0,7.0,-9.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,18.18,,0.0,11.76481486556643,
3280,3036,3709,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/1/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,25.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,21.0,34.0,4.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,0.29,,0.0,-3.460107291499749,
3282,3036,3708,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/1/2008,600.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,29.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,24.0,13.0,5.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,4.18,,1.0,-1.136436551162203,
3287,3011,3670,7332,2008,2008_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/5/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,26.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,38.0,20.0,-12.0,1/8/2008,39.09,36.45,2.64,14.64,,0.0,5.469849358419985,
3294,3011,3677,7333,2008,2008_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/5/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,39.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,25.0,14.0,14.0,1/8/2008,37.0,31.56,5.44,8.56,,1.0,4.188739767567255,
3310,2992,3647,7332,2008,2008_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/7/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,31.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,40.0,20.0,-9.0,1/8/2008,39.09,36.45,2.64,11.64,,0.0,2.906108390864913,
3312,2992,3646,7333,2008,2008_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/7/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,31.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,24.0,14.0,7.0,1/8/2008,37.0,31.56,5.44,1.56,,1.0,-2.309114951149772,
3318,2941,3619,7335,2008,2008_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/10/2008,600.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,27.0,John McCain,44,REP,34.0,15.0,-7.0,1/15/2008,38.92,29.68,9.24,16.24,,0.0,9.18059319004737,
3328,2959,3610,7336,2008,2008_Pres-D_NV,NV,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/12/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,35.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,32.0,25.0,3.0,1/19/2008,50.82,45.09,5.73,2.73,,1.0,-3.781796999246467,
3330,2959,3606,7337,2008,2008_Pres-R_NV,NV,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/12/2008,600.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,28.0,Ron Paul,49,REP,9.0,21.0,19.0,1/19/2008,51.1,13.73,37.37,18.37,,1.0,5.173622298396126,
3339,2914,3557,7335,2008,2008_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/13/2008,600.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,30.0,John McCain,44,REP,31.0,19.0,-1.0,1/15/2008,38.92,29.68,9.24,10.24,,0.0,3.839718501605998,
3354,2890,3529,7338,2008,2008_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/16/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,33.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,23.0,13.0,10.0,1/19/2008,33.15,29.84,3.31,6.69,,1.0,2.575005786952994,
3358,2890,3525,7339,2008,2008_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/16/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,38.0,9.0,6.0,1/26/2008,55.42,26.49,28.92,22.92,,1.0,7.866967032284919,
3375,2868,3503,7338,2008,2008_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/18/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,26.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,33.0,21.0,-7.0,1/19/2008,33.15,29.84,3.31,10.31,,0.0,6.645843356501623,
3378,2868,3502,7339,2008,2008_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/18/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,39.0,10.0,6.0,1/26/2008,55.42,26.49,28.92,22.92,,1.0,8.242639372199038,
3393,2852,3484,7340,2008,2008_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/21/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,59.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,21.0,14.0,38.0,1/29/2008,49.77,32.93,16.84,21.16,,1.0,14.34884898040932,
3397,2852,3487,7341,2008,2008_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/21/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,29.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,22.0,16.0,7.0,1/29/2008,36.0,31.03,4.97,2.03,,1.0,-4.54841679569556,
3409,2826,3452,7339,2008,2008_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/23/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,36.0,12.0,9.0,1/26/2008,55.42,26.49,28.92,19.92,,1.0,6.298096740552079,
3427,2807,3435,7340,2008,2008_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/24/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,58.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,20.0,15.0,38.0,1/29/2008,49.77,32.93,16.84,21.16,,1.0,14.97325982970836,
3429,2807,3431,7341,2008,2008_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/24/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,31.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,26.0,14.0,5.0,1/29/2008,36.0,31.03,4.97,0.03,,1.0,-5.948752461519152,
3436,2793,3417,7339,2008,2008_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/25/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,39.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,36.0,22.0,3.0,1/26/2008,55.42,26.49,28.92,25.92,,1.0,12.781714309121,
3446,2781,3405,7340,2008,2008_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/26/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,60.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,27.0,9.0,33.0,1/29/2008,49.77,32.93,16.84,16.16,,1.0,10.36192433432603,
3451,2781,3404,7341,2008,2008_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/26/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,32.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,33.0,11.0,-1.0,1/29/2008,36.0,31.03,4.97,5.97,,0.0,0.3952056003854094,among registered voters
3471,2762,3385,7340,2008,2008_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/28/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,57.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,27.0,12.0,30.0,1/29/2008,49.77,32.93,16.84,13.16,,1.0,7.831707604464918,
3474,2762,3384,7341,2008,2008_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/28/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,32.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,34.0,11.0,-2.0,1/29/2008,36.0,31.03,4.97,6.97,,0.0,1.862048567290037,
3517,2675,3294,7355,2008,2008_Pres-D_CT,CT,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,35.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,48.0,,-13.0,2/5/2008,50.7,46.66,4.04,17.04,,0.0,10.86837722713221,
3519,2675,3290,7356,2008,2008_Pres-R_CT,CT,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,43.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,25.0,12.0,18.0,2/5/2008,52.0,32.91,19.09,1.09,,1.0,-5.337128598428467,
3523,2692,3327,7362,2008,2008_Pres-D_IL,IL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,40.0,,11.0,2/5/2008,64.66,32.76,31.9,20.9,,1.0,15.02333933900534,
3524,2692,3311,7363,2008,2008_Pres-R_IL,IL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,48.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,34.0,3.0,14.0,2/5/2008,47.45,28.6,18.85,4.85,,1.0,-2.192366268300043,
3547,2658,3270,7357,2008,2008_Pres-D_DE,DE,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,42.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,44.0,,-2.0,2/5/2008,53.07,42.29,10.78,12.78,,0.0,3.238790674880182,
3548,2658,3277,7358,2008,2008_Pres-R_DE,DE,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,35.0,7.0,6.0,2/5/2008,45.04,32.53,12.51,6.51,,1.0,-2.998791113410275,
3549,2659,3271,7369,2008,2008_Pres-D_MO,MO,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,,2.0,2/5/2008,49.32,47.9,1.42,0.58,,1.0,-7.391252270978954,
3550,2659,3281,7370,2008,2008_Pres-R_MO,MO,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/1/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,29.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,31.0,27.0,-2.0,2/5/2008,32.95,31.53,1.43,3.43,,0.0,-1.92338354508505,
3561,2641,3249,7351,2008,2008_Pres-D_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/2/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,47.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,39.0,,8.0,2/5/2008,51.47,43.16,8.32,0.32,,1.0,-6.576861032704389,
3563,2641,3254,7352,2008,2008_Pres-R_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/2/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,32.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,33.0,16.0,-1.0,2/5/2008,42.25,34.56,7.69,8.69,,0.0,3.591500621503778,
3613,2593,3198,7351,2008,2008_Pres-D_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,49.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,4.0,2/5/2008,51.47,43.16,8.32,4.32,,1.0,-2.152485852469592,
3616,2593,3200,7352,2008,2008_Pres-R_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,35.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,37.0,14.0,-2.0,2/5/2008,42.25,34.56,7.69,9.69,,0.0,5.027563237557837,
3620,2595,3202,7381,2008,2008_Pres-D_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,59.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,37.0,,22.0,2/5/2008,53.82,40.48,13.34,8.66,,1.0,1.889583079713653,
3621,2595,3201,7382,2008,2008_Pres-R_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2008,600.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,36.0,John McCain,44,REP,30.0,27.0,6.0,2/5/2008,34.47,31.8,2.67,3.33,,1.0,-3.261069397354104,
3626,2574,3178,7400,2008,2008_Pres-D_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/7/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,41.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,,-9.0,2/19/2008,58.08,40.76,17.32,26.32,,0.0,15.70304141386357,
3639,2544,3149,7392,2008,2008_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/9/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,55.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,37.0,,18.0,2/12/2008,60.66,35.78,24.88,6.88,,1.0,0.7363328190552825,
3640,2544,3144,7393,2008,2008_Pres-R_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/9/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,50.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,25.0,,25.0,2/12/2008,54.84,28.54,26.31,1.31,,1.0,-6.111938992928249,
3641,2548,3150,7394,2008,2008_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/9/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,56.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,38.0,,18.0,2/12/2008,63.66,35.47,28.19,10.19,,1.0,0.9334966152687186,
3642,2548,3148,7395,2008,2008_Pres-R_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/9/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,54.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,32.0,5.0,22.0,2/12/2008,50.04,40.67,9.37,12.63,,1.0,1.801445154857306,
3649,2531,3129,7392,2008,2008_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/11/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,55.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,38.0,,17.0,2/12/2008,60.66,35.78,24.88,7.88,,1.0,2.176421251322611,
3650,2531,3127,7393,2008,2008_Pres-R_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/11/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,53.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,27.0,,26.0,2/12/2008,54.84,28.54,26.31,0.31,,1.0,-6.697237336979888,
3651,2530,3131,7394,2008,2008_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/11/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,57.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,40.0,,17.0,2/12/2008,63.66,35.47,28.19,11.19,,1.0,2.36924209075068,
3652,2530,3126,7395,2008,2008_Pres-R_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/11/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,47.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,39.0,4.0,8.0,2/12/2008,50.04,40.67,9.37,1.37,,1.0,-9.0522108135676,
3662,2515,3110,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/14/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,48.0,,-6.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,9.49,,0.0,2.862566762568316,
3665,2515,3109,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/14/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,42.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,36.0,11.0,6.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,7.2,,1.0,-3.276674330104432,
3667,2499,3091,7400,2008,2008_Pres-D_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/16/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,43.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,49.0,,-6.0,2/19/2008,58.08,40.76,17.32,23.32,,0.0,14.44501335747342,
3668,2499,3092,7401,2008,2008_Pres-R_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/16/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,42.0,4.0,4.0,2/19/2008,54.74,36.95,17.79,13.79,,1.0,8.431735728309409,
3675,2486,3077,7400,2008,2008_Pres-D_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/18/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,,10.0,2/19/2008,58.08,40.76,17.32,7.32,,1.0,-1.115626952094872,
3676,2486,3080,7401,2008,2008_Pres-R_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/18/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,51.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,43.0,3.0,8.0,2/19/2008,54.74,36.95,17.79,9.79,,1.0,4.848294201715131,
3692,2464,3056,7404,2008,2008_Pres-D_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/21/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,52.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,40.0,,12.0,3/4/2008,58.44,40.4,18.04,6.04,,1.0,-2.941765361596972,
3693,2464,3050,7405,2008,2008_Pres-R_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/21/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,65.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,18.0,7.0,47.0,3/4/2008,64.75,21.66,43.09,3.91,,1.0,-6.875387729392981,
3694,2471,3059,7409,2008,2008_Pres-D_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/21/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,60.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,34.0,,26.0,3/4/2008,59.31,38.59,20.71,5.29,,1.0,-2.649425706800478,
3695,2471,3058,7410,2008,2008_Pres-R_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/21/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,73.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,9.0,11.0,64.0,3/4/2008,71.32,14.3,57.02,6.98,,1.0,-7.418183234232303,
3702,2433,3017,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,49.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,39.0,,10.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,1.34,,1.0,-3.817554653574791,
3704,2433,3028,7403,2008,2008_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,51.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,40.0,6.0,11.0,3/4/2008,54.56,32.41,22.15,11.15,,1.0,2.375857865529209,
3706,2437,3021,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,,-8.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,11.49,,0.0,6.604462732225314,
3710,2437,3027,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,41.0,10.0,4.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,9.2,,1.0,0.4401740462533459,
3735,2395,2980,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,5.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,3.66,,1.0,-0.7270135945893814,
3739,2395,2977,7403,2008,2008_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,63.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,21.0,9.0,42.0,3/4/2008,54.56,32.41,22.15,19.85,,1.0,11.95667675015488,
3741,2397,2981,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,44.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,,-7.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,10.49,,0.0,6.399290595496656,
3744,2397,2979,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/28/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,62.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,23.0,9.0,39.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,25.8,,1.0,17.91424373273918,
3749,2371,2949,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/1/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,51.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,,7.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,1.66,,1.0,-2.291932162635015,
3751,2371,2951,7403,2008,2008_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/1/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,59.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,26.0,12.0,33.0,3/4/2008,54.56,32.41,22.15,10.85,,1.0,3.35826068446916,
3753,2369,2947,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/1/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,47.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,47.0,,0.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,3.49,,0.5,-0.1629522511495146,
3756,2369,2950,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/1/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,61.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,26.0,9.0,35.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,21.8,,1.0,14.33156422379013,
3775,2346,2924,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/3/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,56.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,42.0,,14.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,5.34,,1.0,1.848295696758927,
3776,2346,2921,7403,2008,2008_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/3/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,59.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,28.0,9.0,31.0,3/4/2008,54.56,32.41,22.15,8.85,,1.0,1.801749257026685,
3777,2347,2922,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/3/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,47.0,,3.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,0.49,,1.0,-2.712556860347431,
3778,2347,2923,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/3/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,57.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,33.0,7.0,24.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,10.8,,1.0,3.754189269947739,
3781,2337,2912,7412,2008,2008_Pres-D_MS,MS,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/6/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,58.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,34.0,,24.0,3/11/2008,61.14,36.69,24.44,0.44,,1.0,-9.393394393633216,
3784,2322,2897,7412,2008,2008_Pres-D_MS,MS,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/10/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,38.0,,16.0,3/11/2008,61.14,36.69,24.44,8.44,,1.0,-0.5700911402879842,
3792,2251,2826,7414,2008,2008_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/6/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,45.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,0.0,4/22/2008,54.57,45.43,9.14,9.14,,0.5,2.514525269634379,
3801,2228,2803,7414,2008,2008_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/12/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,57.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,37.0,,20.0,4/22/2008,54.57,45.43,9.14,10.86,,1.0,5.297282900227642,
3808,2219,2794,7418,2008,2008_Pres-D_NC,NC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/15/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,41.0,,11.0,5/6/2008,56.14,41.61,14.53,3.53,,1.0,-6.628032648843823,
3811,2209,2784,7414,2008,2008_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/18/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,54.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,41.0,,13.0,4/22/2008,54.57,45.43,9.14,3.86,,1.0,-0.5013664673795216,
3823,2192,2767,7414,2008,2008_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/21/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,56.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,40.0,,16.0,4/22/2008,54.57,45.43,9.14,6.86,,1.0,3.183445306036908,
3827,2182,2757,7416,2008,2008_Pres-D_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/24/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,5.0,5/6/2008,50.56,49.44,1.11,3.89,,1.0,-2.862955107310587,
3833,2170,2745,7418,2008,2008_Pres-D_NC,NC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/27/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,,10.0,5/6/2008,56.14,41.61,14.53,4.53,,1.0,-3.590462289936457,
3844,2152,2727,7416,2008,2008_Pres-D_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/1/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,53.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,,9.0,5/6/2008,50.56,49.44,1.11,7.89,,1.0,2.489264133116096,
3847,2150,2725,7418,2008,2008_Pres-D_NC,NC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/1/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,41.0,,11.0,5/6/2008,56.14,41.61,14.53,3.53,,1.0,-3.790150752410653,
3852,2136,2711,7416,2008,2008_Pres-D_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/3/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,53.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,8.0,5/6/2008,50.56,49.44,1.11,6.89,,1.0,1.917354620314162,
3855,2132,2707,7418,2008,2008_Pres-D_NC,NC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/3/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,,8.0,5/6/2008,56.14,41.61,14.53,6.53,,1.0,-0.358859000291192,
3870,2109,2684,7421,2008,2008_Pres-D_WV,WV,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/8/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,66.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,23.0,,43.0,5/13/2008,66.93,25.77,41.16,1.84,,1.0,-5.885421752123959,
3878,2094,2669,7423,2008,2008_Pres-D_KY,KY,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/15/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,65.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,29.0,,36.0,5/20/2008,65.48,29.92,35.56,0.44,,1.0,-6.580513524414555,
3879,2095,2670,7425,2008,2008_Pres-D_OR,OR,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,5/15/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,45.0,,5.0,5/20/2008,58.52,40.5,18.01,13.01,,1.0,6.007741906478924,
3886,2065,2640,7428,2008,2008_Pres-D_MT,MT,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,6/1/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,48.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,44.0,,4.0,6/3/2008,56.56,41.05,15.51,11.51,,1.0,5.471498641862755,
3887,2066,2641,7430,2008,2008_Pres-D_SD,SD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,6/1/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,60.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,34.0,,26.0,6/3/2008,55.35,44.65,10.69,15.31,,1.0,6.119250841976589,
4057,14887,19727,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/19/2008,1200.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,49.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,4.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,3.27,-3.27,1.0,0.3263038773622918,
4465,14885,19725,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,1200.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,5.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,2.27,-2.27,1.0,-0.1877464993882469,
4635,16514,21411,707,2008,2008_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,46.0,John McCain,44,REP,50.0,,-4.0,11/4/2008,45.12,53.64,-8.52,4.52,4.52,1.0,-0.0038159543237869,
4637,16515,21412,709,2008,2008_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,7.0,11/4/2008,53.66,44.71,8.95,1.95,-1.95,1.0,-1.757120553159493,
4648,16516,21413,728,2008,2008_Pres-G_MO,MO,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,48.0,John McCain,44,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/4/2008,49.29,49.43,-0.13,0.13,0.13,0.5,-2.041484591760592,
4652,16513,21410,730,2008,2008_Pres-G_MT,MT,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,46.0,John McCain,44,REP,49.0,,-3.0,11/4/2008,47.25,49.51,-2.26,0.74,-0.74,1.0,-3.000442613107549,
4661,16517,21414,734,2008,2008_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,56.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,15.0,11/4/2008,54.13,44.52,9.61,5.39,5.39,1.0,1.459848058197515,
4675,16517,87487,1317,2008,2008_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,John Lynch,12625,DEM,68.0,Joe Kenney,12626,REP,28.0,,40.0,11/4/2008,70.18,27.62,42.56,2.56,-2.56,1.0,-4.655940580825529,
4688,16517,24782,1566,2008,2008_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/29/2008,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,2733,DEM,53.0,John E. Sununu,2735,REP,41.0,,12.0,11/4/2008,51.59,45.25,6.34,5.66,5.66,1.0,2.720453919590903,
4713,16499,21396,706,2008,2008_Pres-G_AR,AR,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,John McCain,44,REP,51.0,,-7.0,11/4/2008,38.86,58.72,-19.85,12.85,12.85,1.0,6.255352233752726,
4715,16498,21395,713,2008,2008_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,,4.0,11/4/2008,51.03,48.22,2.82,1.18,1.18,1.0,-1.265520662677231,
4720,16500,21397,719,2008,2008_Pres-G_IN,IN,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,48.0,John McCain,44,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/4/2008,49.95,48.91,1.03,1.03,-1.03,0.5,-2.945360917136991,
4732,16501,21398,742,2008,2008_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/4/2008,54.49,44.17,10.32,4.32,-4.32,1.0,1.323881744613616,
4839,14884,19724,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,1200.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,53.0,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,,8.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,0.73,0.73,1.0,-1.16454759172324,
4847,63531,116955,704,2008,2008_Pres-G_AK,AK,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,43.0,John McCain,44,REP,55.0,,-12.0,11/4/2008,37.89,59.42,-21.54,9.54,9.54,1.0,4.365552081729639,
4858,16393,21290,731,2008,2008_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,49.0,John McCain,44,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/4/2008,49.7,49.38,0.33,0.67,0.67,1.0,-1.780305050603894,
4862,63532,116956,737,2008,2008_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,47.0,,5.0,11/4/2008,55.15,42.65,12.49,7.49,-7.49,1.0,1.253670985344011,
4868,16394,21291,749,2008,2008_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,47.0,,4.0,11/4/2008,52.63,46.33,6.3,2.3,-2.3,1.0,0.0228950564135134,
4871,16392,21289,753,2008,2008_Pres-G_WV,WV,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,42.0,John McCain,44,REP,53.0,,-11.0,11/4/2008,42.59,55.71,-13.12,2.12,2.12,1.0,-2.261693490605164,
4940,63617,117082,1526,2010,2010_Sen-GS_MA,MA,Sen-G,Sen-GS,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/13/2010,600.0,Martha Coakley,13701,DEM,45.0,Scott Brown,13702,REP,48.0,2.0,-3.0,1/19/2010,47.1,51.86,-4.76,1.76,1.76,1.0,-5.443143338167916,
4944,63618,117083,1526,2010,2010_Sen-GS_MA,MA,Sen-G,Sen-GS,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/16/2010,600.0,Martha Coakley,13701,DEM,45.0,Scott Brown,13702,REP,52.0,2.0,-7.0,1/19/2010,47.1,51.86,-4.76,2.24,-2.24,1.0,-4.826570081387008,
5774,13792,17708,7443,2012,2012_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/21/2011,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,4.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,20.0,21.0,-16.0,1/3/2012,24.56,24.53,0.03,16.03,,0.0,6.204229251995675,
5776,13815,17741,7443,2012,2012_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/27/2011,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,11.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,22.0,16.0,-11.0,1/3/2012,24.56,24.53,0.03,11.03,,0.0,2.318609972845379,
5786,13841,17776,7443,2012,2012_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,12/31/2011,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,16.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,22.0,17.0,-6.0,1/3/2012,24.56,24.53,0.03,6.03,,0.0,-1.83995714614721,
5795,13878,17832,7445,2012,2012_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/7/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,40.0,Ron Paul,7,REP,16.0,17.0,24.0,1/10/2012,39.28,22.89,16.39,7.61,,1.0,2.625103331472523,
5800,13894,17847,7445,2012,2012_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/9/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,37.0,Ron Paul,7,REP,17.0,18.0,20.0,1/10/2012,39.28,22.89,16.39,3.61,,1.0,-0.9098864441941392,
5805,13925,17908,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/12/2012,600.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,25.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,29.0,7.0,-4.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,16.58,,0.0,-0.300515740420319,
5812,13942,17932,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/14/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,42.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,25.0,9.0,17.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,2.53,,1.0,-7.496822461968319,
5826,13992,18023,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/18/2012,600.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,33.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,32.0,9.0,1.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,11.58,,1.0,-4.080890743930127,
5835,14007,18047,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/20/2012,600.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,40.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,26.0,13.0,14.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,1.42,,1.0,-13.76146756231305,
5842,14030,18088,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/23/2012,300.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,37.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,34.0,10.0,3.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,11.47,,1.0,2.802007572825673,
5848,14026,18087,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/24/2012,300.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,41.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,34.0,9.0,7.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,7.47,,1.0,-1.028453658906348,
5862,14077,18186,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/28/2012,750.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,43.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,32.0,11.0,11.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,3.47,,1.0,-3.831439043930708,
5873,14092,18219,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/30/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,43.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,31.0,13.0,12.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,2.47,,1.0,-4.416820010816759,
5881,14179,18392,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/12/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,27.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,33.0,12.0,-6.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,9.23,,0.0,1.93975534789016,
5884,14206,18448,7458,2012,2012_Pres-R_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/14/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,38.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,31.0,15.0,7.0,2/28/2012,46.87,27.05,19.82,12.82,,1.0,2.618649343261612,
5889,14228,18502,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/16/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,32.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,37.0,15.0,-5.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,8.23,,0.0,1.609616817883754,
5908,14286,18669,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/22/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,34.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,38.0,12.0,-4.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,7.23,,0.0,1.757611794782089,
5915,14300,18707,7458,2012,2012_Pres-R_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/24/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,39.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,35.0,11.0,4.0,2/28/2012,46.87,27.05,19.82,15.82,,1.0,7.508887898973038,
5920,14316,18735,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/26/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,35.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,36.0,15.0,-1.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,4.23,,0.0,-0.3633968210143833,
5944,14372,18845,7474,2012,2012_Pres-R_OK,OK,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/2/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,37.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,26.0,22.0,11.0,3/6/2012,33.8,28.05,5.76,5.24,,1.0,-3.496703094583025,
5945,14385,18872,7476,2012,2012_Pres-R_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/2/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,35.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,31.0,20.0,4.0,3/6/2012,37.11,28.06,9.05,5.05,,1.0,-1.637986944018309,
5950,14398,18886,7466,2012,2012_Pres-R_GA,GA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/4/2012,600.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,44.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,24.0,19.0,20.0,3/6/2012,47.19,25.91,21.27,1.27,,1.0,-5.748578668259452,
5954,14390,18878,7472,2012,2012_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/4/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,35.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,28.0,18.0,7.0,3/6/2012,37.96,36.95,1.01,5.99,,1.0,0.7176476517312353,
5965,14425,18942,7492,2012,2012_Pres-R_MS,MS,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/8/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,20.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,35.0,31.0,-15.0,3/13/2012,32.73,31.15,1.58,16.58,,0.0,9.483143227061625,
5969,14444,18969,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/10/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,24.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,34.0,31.0,-10.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,15.2,,0.0,7.676179147928714,
5972,14445,18970,7492,2012,2012_Pres-R_MS,MS,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/11/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,22.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,32.0,34.0,-10.0,3/13/2012,32.73,31.15,1.58,11.58,,0.0,5.110684469720911,
5976,14490,19058,7497,2012,2012_Pres-R_IL,IL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/18/2012,600.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,44.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,30.0,8.0,14.0,3/20/2012,46.69,35.01,11.69,2.31,,1.0,-3.645080281346856,
5979,14524,19124,7499,2012,2012_Pres-R_LA,LA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/21/2012,600.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,43.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,27.0,20.0,16.0,3/24/2012,48.99,26.69,22.3,6.3,,1.0,-2.288265674345545,
6145,30205,36180,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/20/2012,1200.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,47.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,5.85,-5.85,0.0,1.889206045475596,
6206,30233,36227,683,2012,2012_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,47.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/6/2012,51.98,46.4,5.58,7.58,-7.58,0.0,3.185152694990155,
6207,30234,36228,686,2012,2012_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,52.36,45.68,6.68,4.68,-4.68,1.0,0.983227710649568,
6300,30333,36371,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/24/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,0.98,-0.98,1.0,-2.031332373083321,
6420,30430,36514,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/27/2012,1200.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,3.85,-3.85,0.5,0.3730234142499999,
6426,30412,36489,658,2012,2012_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/27/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,47.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,51.49,46.13,5.37,6.37,-6.37,0.0,1.744827082711557,
6788,30765,37107,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,1200.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,0.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,3.85,-3.85,0.5,0.9245087419317446,
6799,30764,37106,665,2012,2012_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,51.99,46.18,5.81,6.81,-6.81,0.0,3.275754981340547,
6806,30763,37105,683,2012,2012_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,600.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,0.0,11/6/2012,51.98,46.4,5.58,5.58,-5.58,0.5,1.994406100502833,
7176,33762,40948,8,2014,2014_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2014,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,6280,DEM,49.0,Scott Brown,6272,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/4/2014,51.46,48.21,3.24,2.24,-2.24,1.0,-1.511753898695861,
7192,33762,41931,1234,2014,2014_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/21/2014,600.0,Margaret Wood Hassan,8809,DEM,53.0,Walt Havenstein,8805,REP,43.0,,10.0,11/4/2014,52.38,47.43,4.95,5.05,5.05,1.0,0.3908118666197197,
7356,34333,42189,8,2014,2014_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/28/2014,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,6280,DEM,49.0,Scott Brown,6272,REP,49.0,,0.0,11/4/2014,51.46,48.21,3.24,3.24,-3.24,0.5,-0.1517973235644896,
7371,34333,42027,1234,2014,2014_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/28/2014,600.0,Margaret Wood Hassan,8809,DEM,48.0,Walt Havenstein,8805,REP,46.0,,2.0,11/4/2014,52.38,47.43,4.95,2.95,-2.95,1.0,-1.334439823649887,
7554,35966,48753,7557,2016,2016_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/23/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,45.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,48.0,3.0,-3.0,2/1/2016,49.84,49.59,0.25,3.25,,0.0,-5.234407454776526,
7555,35966,48752,7558,2016,2016_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/23/2016,400.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,26.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,33.0,11.0,-7.0,2/1/2016,27.64,24.3,3.34,10.34,,0.0,1.147724371281442,
7583,36032,48899,7559,2016,2016_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2016,409.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,54.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,38.0,,16.0,2/9/2016,60.14,37.68,22.46,6.46,,1.0,-2.428776352463735,
7585,36032,48898,7560,2016,2016_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/4/2016,420.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,36.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,14.0,12.0,22.0,2/9/2016,35.23,15.72,19.52,2.48,,1.0,-2.083044258225025,
7590,36045,48923,7559,2016,2016_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/6/2016,408.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,53.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,42.0,,11.0,2/9/2016,60.14,37.68,22.46,11.46,,1.0,2.969768645054218,
7594,36045,48922,7560,2016,2016_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/6/2016,422.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,31.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,17.0,9.0,14.0,2/9/2016,35.23,15.72,19.52,5.52,,1.0,1.388485052006827,
7601,36060,48962,7559,2016,2016_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/8/2016,409.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,53.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,44.0,,9.0,2/9/2016,60.14,37.68,22.46,13.46,,1.0,5.405147434474721,
7602,36060,48960,7560,2016,2016_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/8/2016,418.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,33.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,17.0,10.0,16.0,2/9/2016,35.23,15.72,19.52,3.52,,1.0,-0.154073500270398,
7615,36341,49335,7562,2016,2016_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,35.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,14.0,12.0,21.0,2/20/2016,32.51,22.48,10.03,10.97,,1.0,2.174617857977196,
7618,36341,49336,7564,2016,2016_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,65.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,27.0,,38.0,2/27/2016,73.44,26.02,47.42,9.42,,1.0,-10.83614022476056,
7624,36349,49351,7562,2016,2016_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/15/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,33.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,16.0,14.0,17.0,2/20/2016,32.51,22.48,10.03,6.97,,1.0,-1.415144373773776,
7630,36349,49350,7564,2016,2016_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/15/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,61.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,31.0,,30.0,2/27/2016,73.44,26.02,47.42,17.42,,1.0,-2.511970810540971,
7659,36393,49433,7562,2016,2016_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/18/2016,401.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,34.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,22.0,13.0,12.0,2/20/2016,32.51,22.48,10.03,1.97,,1.0,-5.793972381475614,
7663,36393,49432,7564,2016,2016_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/18/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,61.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,32.0,,29.0,2/27/2016,73.44,26.02,47.42,18.42,,1.0,-0.9695555421935834,
7669,36405,49452,7601,2016,2016_Pres-D_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/20/2016,400.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,40.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,53.0,,-13.0,3/8/2016,49.68,48.26,1.42,14.42,,0.0,-6.229383414768479,
7670,36405,49451,7602,2016,2016_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/20/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,35.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,12.0,17.0,23.0,3/8/2016,36.55,24.68,11.87,11.13,,1.0,1.523265669750093,
7755,36497,50033,7583,2016,2016_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/27/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,58.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,38.0,,20.0,3/1/2016,65.19,33.19,32.0,12.0,,1.0,3.807371509364192,
7757,36497,50032,7584,2016,2016_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/27/2016,400.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,33.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,32.0,17.0,1.0,3/1/2016,43.76,26.75,17.01,16.01,,1.0,7.446491719576111,
7791,36542,50115,7601,2016,2016_Pres-D_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/5/2016,400.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,36.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,60.0,,-24.0,3/8/2016,49.68,48.26,1.42,25.42,,0.0,7.353639790676292,
7793,36542,50114,7602,2016,2016_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/5/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,31.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,15.0,33.0,16.0,3/8/2016,36.55,24.68,11.87,4.13,,0.0,-2.815384747093616,
7851,36615,50254,7609,2016,2016_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/12/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,58.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,37.0,,21.0,3/15/2016,64.44,33.28,31.16,10.16,,1.0,4.839212891559415,for American Research Group
7853,36615,50253,7610,2016,2016_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/12/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,49.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,24.0,16.0,25.0,3/15/2016,45.72,27.04,18.68,6.32,,1.0,1.025439407609875,for American Research Group
7866,36614,50252,7618,2016,2016_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/13/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,52.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,45.0,,7.0,3/15/2016,56.12,43.13,12.99,5.99,,1.0,-1.070203803222702,for American Research Group
7867,36614,50251,7619,2016,2016_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,3/13/2016,400.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,44.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,38.0,12.0,6.0,3/15/2016,46.95,35.87,11.09,5.09,,1.0,-4.576426170912761,for American Research Group
7889,36687,50441,7629,2016,2016_Pres-D_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/2/2016,400.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,48.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.0,,-1.0,4/5/2016,56.59,43.05,13.54,14.54,,0.0,4.223545292015762,for American Research Group
7890,36687,50440,7630,2016,2016_Pres-R_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/2/2016,400.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,32.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,42.0,23.0,-10.0,4/5/2016,48.2,35.02,13.18,23.18,,0.0,15.10439783483866,for American Research Group
7960,42736,62707,7639,2016,2016_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/23/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,50.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,44.0,,6.0,4/26/2016,62.53,33.81,28.72,22.72,,1.0,16.71184262678244,
7961,42736,62708,7640,2016,2016_Pres-R_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/23/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,55.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,21.0,19.0,34.0,4/26/2016,54.1,23.22,30.87,3.13,,1.0,-6.197387277259849,
7962,42735,62705,7641,2016,2016_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/23/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,58.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,38.0,,20.0,4/26/2016,54.69,42.81,11.89,8.11,,1.0,2.277979240452268,
7965,42735,62706,7642,2016,2016_Pres-R_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/23/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,50.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,23.0,21.0,27.0,4/26/2016,56.38,21.58,34.8,7.8,,1.0,-4.198378064120502,
7977,44000,65221,7645,2016,2016_Pres-D_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/28/2016,400.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,43.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,51.0,,-8.0,5/3/2016,52.46,47.54,4.91,12.91,,0.0,5.468987079840557,for American Research Group
7978,44000,65220,7646,2016,2016_Pres-R_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-R,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,4/28/2016,400.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,41.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,32.0,21.0,9.0,5/3/2016,53.26,36.63,16.63,7.63,,1.0,-0.9201799547623596,for American Research Group
7990,44187,66150,7658,2016,2016_Pres-D_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,6/1/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,47.0,,1.0,6/7/2016,53.07,46.04,7.03,6.03,,1.0,-0.7907217691323642,
7991,44186,66149,7662,2016,2016_Pres-D_NJ,NJ,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,6/1/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,60.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,37.0,,23.0,6/7/2016,63.32,36.68,26.63,3.63,,1.0,-3.495012292504337,
8041,47164,73807,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/19/2016,1006.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,42.0,4.0,7.0,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,4.9,4.9,1.0,1.139872387522822,
8567,48187,75479,54,2016,2016_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/1/2016,600.0,Colin Van Ostern,10081,DEM,44.0,Christopher Sununu,10080,REP,48.0,,-4.0,11/8/2016,46.57,48.84,-2.27,1.73,-1.73,1.0,-4.311754216894322,
8582,48187,75461,85,2016,2016_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/1/2016,600.0,Margaret Wood Hassan,9007,DEM,46.0,Kelly Ayotte,9019,REP,49.0,,-3.0,11/8/2016,47.98,47.84,0.14,3.14,-3.14,0.0,-1.068789241619138,
8594,48187,75460,632,2016,2016_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,11/1/2016,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,43.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,48.0,4.0,-5.0,11/8/2016,46.83,46.46,0.37,5.37,-5.37,0.0,0.2590951233599523,
9581,63413,116434,7694,2020,2020_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,1/29/2020,400.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,23.0,Pete Buttigieg,13345,DEM,9.0,15.0,14.0,2/3/2020,24.71,21.31,3.41,10.59,,1.0,5.15149399079943,
9599,63493,116743,7729,2020,2020_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,2/9/2020,400.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,28.0,Pete Buttigieg,13345,DEM,20.0,13.0,8.0,2/11/2020,25.6,24.28,1.32,6.68,,1.0,1.990975554772367,
10368,72226,135493,6241,2020,2020_Pres-G_NH,NH,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/27/2020,600.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,58.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,39.0,1.0,19.0,11/3/2020,52.71,45.36,7.35,11.65,11.65,1.0,8.657764185323039,
10415,72226,135495,6286,2020,2020_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/27/2020,600.0,Jeanne Shaheen,13448,DEM,57.0,Corky Messner,14492,REP,40.0,0.0,17.0,11/3/2020,56.64,40.99,15.65,1.35,1.35,1.0,-3.252368350653853,
10418,72226,135494,7822,2020,2020_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,American Research Group,9,Live Phone,,10/27/2020,600.0,Dan Feltes,13502,DEM,46.0,Christopher Sununu,13503,REP,51.0,1.0,-5.0,11/3/2020,33.36,65.12,-31.76,26.76,26.76,1.0,19.72953760901948,
525,28091,116948,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,800.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,40.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,42.0,5.0,-2.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.51,-2.51,0.0,-1.979158282891984,
537,28091,33369,8652,2000,2000_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,800.0,Generic Candidate,13742,DEM,40.0,Generic Candidate,13743,REP,41.0,,-1.0,11/7/2000,46.96,47.32,-0.36,0.64,-0.64,1.0,-3.432029645417771,
1196,25402,30642,1666,2002,2002_Sen-GS_MO,MO,Sen-G,Sen-GS,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/16/2002,600.0,Jean Carnahan,3475,DEM,41.0,Jim Talent,3474,REP,49.0,,-8.0,11/5/2002,48.67,49.8,-1.13,6.87,-6.87,1.0,2.256444742883803,for Jim Talent
1306,63830,117533,3133,2002,2002_House-G_WA-2,WA-2,House-G,House-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/22/2002,300.0,Rick Larsen,13804,DEM,39.0,Norma Smith,13805,REP,42.0,,-3.0,11/5/2002,50.07,45.77,4.3,7.3,-7.3,0.0,-0.3473891096642768,for Norma Smith
1435,25401,30641,1666,2002,2002_Sen-GS_MO,MO,Sen-G,Sen-GS,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/28/2002,600.0,Jean Carnahan,3475,DEM,42.0,Jim Talent,3474,REP,49.0,,-7.0,11/5/2002,48.67,49.8,-1.13,5.87,-5.87,1.0,1.83660369146941,for Jim Talent
7171,35925,48368,5383,2014,2014_House-G_CA-31,CA-31,House-G,House-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/20/2014,500.0,Pete Aguilar,5114,DEM,42.0,Paul Chabot,5145,REP,38.0,,4.0,11/4/2014,51.73,48.27,3.47,0.53,0.53,1.0,-6.880342918450941,for unspecified Republican sponsor
8995,56347,90583,102,2018,2018_Sen-G_IN,IN,Sen-G,Sen-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/16/2018,800.0,Joe Donnelly,11128,DEM,40.0,Mike Braun,11129,REP,44.0,7.0,-4.0,11/6/2018,44.84,50.73,-5.89,1.89,1.89,1.0,-4.806115649674525,for Mike Braun
9035,56327,90544,179,2018,2018_House-G_AZ-1,AZ-1,House-G,House-G,American Viewpoint,10,Live Phone,R,10/17/2018,400.0,Tom O'Halleran,11460,DEM,46.0,Wendy J. Rogers,13167,REP,46.0,,0.0,11/6/2018,53.83,46.14,7.69,7.69,-7.69,0.5,1.453205572848768,for unspecified Republican sponsor
1359,54570,88106,1383,2002,2002_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Analytical Group,11,Live Phone,,10/26/2002,600.0,Janet Napolitano,12829,DEM,42.0,Matt Salmon,12832,REP,37.0,7.0,5.0,11/5/2002,46.19,45.22,0.96,4.04,4.04,1.0,-1.746730230604324,
5613,32812,84100,1299,2010,2010_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/28/2010,460.0,Ted Strickland,11320,DEM,46.0,John Richard Kasich,11321,REP,49.0,,-3.0,11/2/2010,47.04,49.04,-2.0,1.0,-1.0,1.0,-1.811432822260605,
5630,32812,39408,1534,2010,2010_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/28/2010,492.0,Lee Fisher,985,DEM,40.0,Rob Portman,986,REP,57.0,,-17.0,11/2/2010,39.4,56.85,-17.44,0.44,0.44,1.0,-3.071131914300946,
5645,32813,83577,1278,2010,2010_Gov-G_CA,CA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/29/2010,485.0,Jerry Brown,11276,DEM,49.0,Meg Whitman,11278,REP,44.0,,5.0,11/2/2010,53.77,40.88,12.88,7.88,-7.88,1.0,1.776045207502607,
5655,32814,84066,1298,2010,2010_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/29/2010,546.0,Andrew Cuomo,11318,DEM,55.0,Carl Paladino,11319,REP,38.0,,17.0,11/2/2010,62.56,33.26,29.29,12.29,-12.29,1.0,6.483239438310644,
5663,32813,39409,1510,2010,2010_Sen-G_CA,CA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/29/2010,485.0,Barbara Boxer,620,DEM,51.0,Carly Fiorina,623,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/2/2010,52.18,42.17,10.01,3.01,-3.01,1.0,-3.425074186209184,
5671,32814,39410,1530,2010,2010_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/29/2010,541.0,Charles E. Schumer,957,DEM,61.0,Jay Townsend,959,REP,35.0,,26.0,11/2/2010,66.32,32.21,34.11,8.11,-8.11,1.0,2.496038391304261,
5673,32814,39411,1531,2010,2010_Sen-GS_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/29/2010,508.0,Kirsten E. Gillibrand,4481,DEM,59.0,Joseph J. DioGuardi,4482,REP,38.0,,21.0,11/2/2010,62.95,35.11,27.84,6.84,-6.84,1.0,0.1656718609800499,
6000,54028,87124,1269,2012,2012_Gov-GS_WI,WI,Gov-G,Gov-GS,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,6/1/2012,524.0,Thomas M. Barrett,12551,DEM,46.0,Scott Walker,1525,REP,51.0,,-5.0,6/5/2012,46.28,53.08,-6.8,1.8,1.8,1.0,-2.461791159149342,among registered voters
6111,30208,36186,662,2012,2012_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,502.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,44.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-5.0,11/6/2012,50.01,49.13,0.88,5.88,-5.88,0.0,2.342375636338316,
6113,30180,36147,675,2012,2012_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,551.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,40.0,,9.0,11/6/2012,54.21,44.71,9.5,0.5,-0.5,1.0,-4.796305625363369,
6115,30183,36153,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,550.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,45.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,45.0,,0.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,2.98,-2.98,0.5,-0.298445464219795,
6119,30218,36203,691,2012,2012_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,559.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,39.0,,9.0,11/6/2012,51.97,46.59,5.39,3.61,3.61,1.0,0.4111303965453782,
6124,30216,36200,701,2012,2012_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,502.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,43.0,,5.0,11/6/2012,52.78,45.94,6.84,1.84,-1.84,1.0,-3.239011894199924,
6129,30208,36187,1477,2012,2012_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,502.0,Bill Nelson,2012,DEM,48.0,Connie Mack,2013,REP,33.0,,15.0,11/6/2012,55.23,42.23,13.01,1.99,1.99,1.0,-4.743733174896855,
6132,30180,136761,1483,2012,2012_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,575.5,Debbie Stabenow,2082,DEM,55.0,Pete Hoekstra,2083,REP,36.5,,18.5,11/6/2012,58.8,37.98,20.81,2.31,-2.31,1.0,-4.71066469745511,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6133,30183,36154,1494,2012,2012_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,550.0,Sherrod Brown,2164,DEM,45.0,Josh Mandel,2165,REP,39.0,,6.0,11/6/2012,50.7,44.7,6.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,-3.973609344423709,
6136,30218,36204,1495,2012,2012_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,559.0,Robert P. Casey Jr.,2173,DEM,44.0,Tom Smith,2174,REP,39.0,,5.0,11/6/2012,53.69,44.59,9.1,4.1,-4.1,1.0,-1.123222025407759,
6139,30216,36201,1504,2012,2012_Sen-G_WI,WI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/19/2012,502.0,Tammy Baldwin,2246,DEM,45.0,Tommy Thompson,2247,REP,42.0,,3.0,11/6/2012,51.41,45.86,5.55,2.55,-2.55,1.0,-3.271366220681362,
6687,30793,37147,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,1019.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,51.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,3.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,0.85,-0.85,1.0,-2.273136280021365,
6698,30773,37115,662,2012,2012_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,525.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,0.0,11/6/2012,50.01,49.13,0.88,0.88,-0.88,0.5,-1.784274293990964,
6711,30775,37119,675,2012,2012_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,502.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,52.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,5.0,11/6/2012,54.21,44.71,9.5,4.5,-4.5,1.0,-0.1050301993989423,
6736,30753,37091,701,2012,2012_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,454.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,53.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,46.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,52.78,45.94,6.84,0.16,0.16,1.0,-4.224761246680215,
6744,30773,37116,1477,2012,2012_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,525.0,Bill Nelson,2012,DEM,53.0,Connie Mack,2013,REP,45.0,,8.0,11/6/2012,55.23,42.23,13.01,5.01,-5.01,1.0,-1.099846163575373,
6753,30775,37120,1483,2012,2012_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,502.0,Debbie Stabenow,2082,DEM,56.0,Pete Hoekstra,2083,REP,43.0,,13.0,11/6/2012,58.8,37.98,20.81,7.81,-7.81,1.0,1.350159871287795,
6774,30753,37092,1504,2012,2012_Sen-G_WI,WI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/2/2012,454.0,Tammy Baldwin,2246,DEM,50.0,Tommy Thompson,2247,REP,48.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,51.41,45.86,5.55,3.55,-3.55,1.0,-1.703455993235684,
6808,30794,37148,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/3/2012,540.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,51.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,3.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,0.02,0.02,1.0,-2.368298254777494,
6811,30774,37117,691,2012,2012_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/3/2012,507.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,51.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,4.0,11/6/2012,51.97,46.59,5.39,1.39,-1.39,1.0,-1.060232929921979,
6829,30794,37149,1494,2012,2012_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/3/2012,540.0,Sherrod Brown,2164,DEM,52.0,Josh Mandel,2165,REP,46.0,,6.0,11/6/2012,50.7,44.7,6.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,-3.274398810589907,
6833,30774,37118,1495,2012,2012_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/3/2012,507.0,Robert P. Casey Jr.,2173,DEM,53.0,Tom Smith,2174,REP,46.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,53.69,44.59,9.1,2.1,-2.1,1.0,-2.497856524083747,
8677,48626,76181,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,11/3/2016,1151.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,44.0,6.0,4.0,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,1.9,1.9,1.0,-0.7425890718757013,
10271,72408,135865,6210,2020,2020_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Angus Reid Global,13,Online,,10/26/2020,2231.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,53.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,45.0,,8.0,11/3/2020,51.31,46.86,4.45,3.55,3.55,1.0,-0.0450227916212931,
2103,63832,117535,3555,2004,2004_House-G_UT-2,UT-2,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/21/2004,400.0,Jim Matheson,13806,DEM,57.0,John Swallow,13807,REP,34.0,,23.0,11/2/2004,54.76,43.21,11.54,11.46,11.46,1.0,6.37729645614908,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
2700,74032,138874,3697,2006,2006_House-G_FL-22,FL-22,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/22/2006,500.0,Ron Klein,14196,DEM,48.0,E. Clay Shaw,14198,REP,42.0,,6.0,11/7/2006,50.88,47.13,3.76,2.24,2.24,1.0,-2.972066000389592,for Ron Klein
3791,73710,138276,8747,2008,2008_House-OS_MS-1,MS-1,House-G,House-OS,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,4/5/2008,500.0,Travis W. Childers,16366,DEM,27.0,Greg Davis,16367,REP,29.0,14.0,-2.0,4/22/2008,49.44,46.28,3.16,5.16,-5.16,0.0,-2.208116595780904,for Travis W. Childers
3913,63834,117537,4262,2008,2008_House-G_NE-2,NE-2,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/14/2008,400.0,Jim Esch,13808,DEM,46.0,Lee Terry,13809,REP,47.0,,-1.0,11/4/2008,48.07,51.93,-3.85,2.85,2.85,1.0,-4.943758796298527,for Jim Esch
3918,74501,140195,8703,2008,2008_Pres-G_N2,N2,Pres-G,Pres-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/14/2008,400.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,John McCain,44,REP,48.0,,-4.0,11/4/2008,49.97,48.75,1.21,5.21,-5.21,0.0,-2.394493176629224,for Jim Esch
4949,73684,138243,1798,2010,2010_House-GS_PA-12,PA-12,House-G,House-GS,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,4/28/2010,406.0,Mark S. Critz,10957,DEM,43.0,Tim Burns,10958,REP,41.0,,2.0,5/18/2010,52.64,44.99,7.65,5.65,-5.65,1.0,0.5354734538871281,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
4976,51648,81676,4477,2010,2010_House-G_AR-1,AR-1,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/12/2010,400.0,Chad Causey,10677,DEM,44.0,Rick Crawford,10678,REP,42.0,,2.0,11/2/2010,43.48,51.79,-8.31,10.31,10.31,0.0,5.283908641257635,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
5077,32603,39199,1518,2010,2010_Sen-G_IL,IL,Sen-G,Sen-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/15/2010,601.0,Alexi Giannoulias,752,DEM,41.0,Mark Kirk,753,REP,36.0,,5.0,11/2/2010,46.42,48.01,-1.6,6.6,6.6,0.0,3.75261222020387,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
5174,32627,39223,1524,2010,2010_Sen-O_LA,LA,Sen-G,Sen-O,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/18/2010,600.0,Charlie Melancon,2407,DEM,45.0,David Vitter,792,REP,48.0,,-3.0,11/2/2010,37.67,56.55,-18.88,15.88,15.88,1.0,10.41645665360962,for Charlie Melancon
5339,51826,81901,4633,2010,2010_House-O_LA-2,LA-2,House-G,House-O,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/21/2010,400.0,Cedric Richmond,10812,DEM,49.0,Anh Quang Cao,10813,REP,32.0,,17.0,11/2/2010,64.59,33.47,31.12,14.12,-14.12,1.0,6.609302283802652,for Cedric Richmond
5360,32670,39266,1518,2010,2010_Sen-G_IL,IL,Sen-G,Sen-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/22/2010,600.0,Alexi Giannoulias,752,DEM,38.0,Mark Kirk,753,REP,36.0,7.0,2.0,11/2/2010,46.42,48.01,-1.6,3.6,3.6,0.0,1.123114804063573,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
5625,32809,39405,1518,2010,2010_Sen-G_IL,IL,Sen-G,Sen-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/28/2010,400.0,Alexi Giannoulias,752,DEM,39.0,Mark Kirk,753,REP,37.0,,2.0,11/2/2010,46.42,48.01,-1.6,3.6,3.6,0.0,1.195143496188054,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
6059,51559,81518,5035,2012,2012_House-G_IL-8,IL-8,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/17/2012,400.0,Tammy Duckworth,6883,DEM,54.0,Joe Walsh,6945,REP,39.0,,15.0,11/6/2012,54.74,45.26,9.48,5.52,5.52,1.0,1.324229614803587,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
6128,30818,37189,1473,2012,2012_Sen-G_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/19/2012,800.0,Richard Carmona,1977,DEM,45.0,Jeff Flake,1976,REP,41.0,5.0,4.0,11/6/2012,46.2,49.23,-3.03,7.03,7.03,0.0,2.288354327175578,for Richard Carmona
6189,51294,81137,5004,2012,2012_House-G_FL-22,FL-22,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/20/2012,501.0,Lois Frankel,6362,DEM,47.0,Adam Hasner,6374,REP,37.0,,10.0,11/6/2012,54.63,45.37,9.25,0.75,0.75,1.0,-5.688091277937034,for Lois Frankel
6190,51360,81244,5040,2012,2012_House-G_IL-13,IL-13,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/20/2012,400.0,David M. Gill,6891,DEM,48.0,Rodney Davis,6881,REP,39.0,,9.0,11/6/2012,46.21,46.55,-0.34,9.34,9.34,0.0,3.24591933689928,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
6369,30832,37216,1479,2012,2012_Sen-G_IN,IN,Sen-G,Sen-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/25/2012,446.0,Joe Donnelly,2034,DEM,47.0,Richard Mourdock,2035,REP,40.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,50.04,44.28,5.76,1.24,1.24,1.0,-3.428919105275613,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9050,56453,90799,148,2018,2018_Gov-G_MI,MI,Gov-G,Gov-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/18/2018,906.0,Gretchen E. Whitmer,11406,DEM,47.5,Bill Schuette,11407,REP,37.0,4.0,10.5,11/6/2018,53.31,43.75,9.57,0.93,0.93,1.0,-2.665746405983059,for Gretchen E. Whitmer; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9252,56555,90992,280,2018,2018_House-G_FL-27,FL-27,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/27/2018,500.0,Donna Shalala,12586,DEM,49.0,Maria Salazar,12585,REP,39.0,,10.0,11/6/2018,51.76,45.76,6.0,4.0,4.0,1.0,-1.019866049839137,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
10031,72033,135038,7847,2020,2020_House-G_AR-2,AR-2,House-G,House-G,ALG Research,14,Live Phone,D,10/19/2020,500.0,Joyce Ann Elliott,14808,DEM,47.0,French Hill,14810,REP,47.0,,0.0,11/3/2020,44.63,55.37,-10.73,10.73,10.73,0.5,3.34574701033095,for Joyce Ann Elliott
541,6436,7905,809,2000,2000_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/21/2000,600.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,39.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,49.0,3.0,-10.0,11/7/2000,44.73,51.02,-6.29,3.71,-3.71,1.0,-1.713456796450723,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1249,54567,88103,1383,2002,2002_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/20/2002,300.0,Janet Napolitano,12829,DEM,46.0,Matt Salmon,12832,REP,38.0,5.0,8.0,11/5/2002,46.19,45.22,0.96,7.04,7.04,1.0,0.4021939498416373,
2060,4586,5924,758,2004,2004_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/20/2004,573.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,45.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,1.0,-5.0,11/2/2004,44.4,54.87,-10.47,5.47,5.47,1.0,0.6619673069289047,among registered voters
2642,24203,88696,1330,2006,2006_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,1019.0,Janet Napolitano,12656,DEM,67.0,Len Munsil,12655,REP,24.0,1.0,43.0,11/7/2006,62.58,35.44,27.14,15.86,15.86,1.0,7.674281031791645,
2654,24203,29441,1581,2006,2006_Sen-G_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,1019.0,Jim Pederson,2823,DEM,41.0,Jon Kyl,2822,REP,47.0,3.0,-6.0,11/7/2006,43.5,53.34,-9.84,3.84,3.84,1.0,-0.8071385103245875,
3383,2864,3498,7347,2008,2008_Pres-D_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-D,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,1/19/2008,366.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,45.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,24.0,9.0,21.0,2/5/2008,50.37,42.39,7.98,13.02,,1.0,3.861317099131928,
3384,2864,3499,7348,2008,2008_Pres-R_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-R,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,1/19/2008,375.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,18.0,7.0,23.0,2/5/2008,47.17,34.53,12.63,10.37,,1.0,1.797914109728858,
4346,16638,21548,707,2008,2008_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,Arizona State University,15,Live Phone,,10/25/2008,1019.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,0.0,-2.0,11/4/2008,45.12,53.64,-8.52,6.52,6.52,1.0,2.144041281424218,among registered voters
1218,63836,117539,3109,2002,2002_House-G_TX-25,TX-25,House-G,House-G,Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates,16,Live Phone,R,10/17/2002,300.0,Chris Bell,13810,DEM,39.0,Thomas Reiser,13811,REP,41.0,,-2.0,11/5/2002,54.76,43.09,11.67,13.67,-13.67,0.0,5.857637552939973,for Thomas Reiser
2683,63841,138103,1361,2006,2006_Gov-G_WY,WY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Aspen Media & Market Research,17,Live Phone,,10/22/2006,600.0,Dave Freudenthal,12775,DEM,69.0,Ray Hunkins,12776,REP,18.0,,51.0,11/7/2006,69.99,30.01,39.98,11.02,11.02,1.0,3.471081898278737,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
2698,63841,136765,1613,2006,2006_Sen-G_WY,WY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Aspen Media & Market Research,17,Live Phone,,10/22/2006,539.0,Dale Groutage,3093,DEM,22.0,Craig Thomas,3092,REP,70.0,,-48.0,11/7/2006,29.86,69.99,-40.13,7.87,-7.87,1.0,0.2188973694030253,
2708,63841,117544,4025,2006,2006_House-G_WY-1,WY-1,House-G,House-G,Aspen Media & Market Research,17,Live Phone,,10/22/2006,539.0,Gary Trauner,13814,DEM,40.0,Barbara Cubin,13815,REP,44.0,5.0,-4.0,11/7/2006,47.74,48.27,-0.52,3.48,-3.48,1.0,-3.96148806299243,
1633,63914,117658,1380,2003,2003_Gov-GS_CA,CA,Gov-G,Gov-GS,BIGresearch,19,Online,,10/4/2003,1105.0,Cruz M. Bustamante,13771,DEM,27.0,Arnold Schwarzenegger,13772,REP,46.0,13.0,-19.0,10/7/2003,31.47,48.58,-17.11,1.89,-1.89,1.0,-3.720704480533952,
8310,47860,79758,50,2016,2016_Gov-G_MO,MO,Gov-G,Gov-G,BK Strategies,20,IVR,,10/28/2016,1698.0,Chris Koster,10085,DEM,46.0,Eric Greitens,10087,REP,45.0,,1.0,11/8/2016,45.57,51.14,-5.57,6.57,6.57,0.0,-0.475797894551923,for Missouri Scout
8332,47860,74896,70,2016,2016_Sen-G_MO,MO,Sen-G,Sen-G,BK Strategies,20,IVR,,10/28/2016,1698.0,Jason Kander,10158,DEM,44.0,Roy Blunt,10157,REP,47.0,,-3.0,11/8/2016,46.39,49.18,-2.79,0.21,-0.21,1.0,-3.639195894522541,for Missouri Scout
8398,47860,74895,626,2016,2016_Pres-G_MO,MO,Pres-G,Pres-G,BK Strategies,20,IVR,,10/28/2016,1698.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,39.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,53.0,,-14.0,11/8/2016,38.14,56.77,-18.64,4.64,4.64,1.0,-2.524914111498521,for Missouri Scout
1250,54805,88342,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Bannon Communications Research,21,Live Phone,D,10/20/2002,400.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,35.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,43.0,,-8.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,12.4,12.4,1.0,6.615583279466237,for Mark Fernald
1914,63843,117546,3291,2004,2004_House-G_IL-11,IL-11,House-G,House-G,Bannon Communications Research,21,Live Phone,D,10/16/2004,350.0,Tari Renner,13816,DEM,33.0,Gerald C. Weller,13817,REP,42.0,,-9.0,11/2/2004,41.33,58.67,-17.34,8.34,8.34,1.0,0.7314453367003942,for Tari Renner
7903,36740,51797,7633,2016,2016_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,Baruch College,22,Live Phone,,4/8/2016,632.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,50.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,37.0,,13.0,4/19/2016,58.03,41.97,16.05,3.05,,1.0,-3.02867463052128,for NY1
7905,36740,51796,7634,2016,2016_Pres-R_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-R,Baruch College,22,Live Phone,,4/8/2016,324.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,60.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,17.0,14.0,43.0,4/19/2016,60.16,25.08,35.08,7.92,,1.0,1.857480200009913,for NY1
1281,63846,117549,3089,2002,2002_House-G_TX-5,TX-5,House-G,House-G,Baselice & Associates,23,Live Phone,R,10/21/2002,301.0,Ron Chapman,13818,DEM,36.0,Jeb Hensarling,13819,REP,47.0,,-11.0,11/5/2002,40.26,58.21,-17.95,6.95,6.95,1.0,-0.7391524547653908,for Jeb Hensarling; among 'voters'
1623,63913,117657,1380,2003,2003_Gov-GS_CA,CA,Gov-G,Gov-GS,Baselice & Associates,23,Live Phone,R,9/25/2003,804.0,Cruz M. Bustamante,13771,DEM,31.0,Arnold Schwarzenegger,13772,REP,35.0,17.0,-4.0,10/7/2003,31.47,48.58,-17.11,13.11,13.11,1.0,7.117182286773446,for unspecified Republican sponsor
1342,64195,118105,2875,2002,2002_House-G_IA-3,IA-3,House-G,House-G,Basswood Research,24,Live Phone,R,10/24/2002,300.0,Leonard L. Boswell,14159,DEM,43.0,Stan Thompson,14160,REP,39.0,,4.0,11/5/2002,53.41,45.04,8.37,4.37,-4.37,1.0,-3.212971717550521,for unspecified Republican sponsor
2587,63848,117551,3795,2006,2006_House-G_MI-7,MI-7,House-G,House-G,Basswood Research,24,Live Phone,R,10/17/2006,300.0,Sharon Marie Renier,13820,DEM,27.0,Tim Walberg,13821,REP,44.0,,-17.0,11/7/2006,45.98,49.93,-3.95,13.05,-13.05,1.0,5.263649411093681,for unspecified Republican sponsor
4905,73696,138256,1800,2009,2009_House-GS_NY-23,NY-23,House-G,House-GS,Basswood Research,24,Live Phone,R,10/25/2009,300.0,William L. Owens,14151,DEM,27.0,Douglas Hoffman,14152,CRV,31.0,20.0,-4.0,11/3/2009,48.32,45.95,2.37,6.37,,0.0,-1.327429188297945,for unspecified Republican sponsor
7870,36653,50359,7630,2016,2016_Pres-R_WI,WI,Pres-P,Pres-R,Basswood Research,24,Live Phone,,3/20/2016,500.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,36.2,Donald Trump,9849,REP,31.4,20.8,4.8000002,4/5/2016,48.2,35.02,13.18,8.38,,1.0,-3.26143987852899,for Washington Free Beacon
5911,14317,18736,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,2/23/2012,2263.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,39.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,31.0,9.0,8.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,4.77,,1.0,-0.6455276988334185,
5924,14323,18747,7460,2012,2012_Pres-R_MI,MI,Pres-P,Pres-R,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,2/27/2012,1359.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,38.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,36.0,9.0,2.0,2/28/2012,41.1,37.87,3.23,1.23,,1.0,-3.327097407534353,
6243,30283,36307,675,2012,2012_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,10/23/2012,1122.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,46.92,Mitt Romney,9,REP,46.56,,0.36000001,11/6/2012,54.21,44.71,9.5,9.14,-9.14,1.0,4.969098123243793,
6269,30283,81231,5105,2012,2012_House-G_MI-11,MI-11,House-G,House-G,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,10/23/2012,392.0,Syed Taj,6551,DEM,39.0,Kerry L. Bentivolio,6478,REP,47.0,,-8.0,11/6/2012,44.36,50.76,-6.4,1.6,-1.6,1.0,-5.91714724184405,
6712,30679,36940,675,2012,2012_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,11/2/2012,1913.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,46.24,Mitt Romney,9,REP,46.86,,-0.62,11/6/2012,54.21,44.71,9.5,10.12,-10.12,0.0,6.830384623855421,
6754,30679,36941,1483,2012,2012_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Baydoun Consulting,25,IVR,,11/2/2012,1913.0,Debbie Stabenow,2082,DEM,50.06,Pete Hoekstra,2083,REP,43.45,,6.6100001,11/6/2012,58.8,37.98,20.81,14.2,-14.2,1.0,9.05183170759728,
38,54354,87890,1453,1998,1998_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Becker Institute,26,Live Phone,,10/17/1998,355.0,Jeanne Shaheen,13069,DEM,67.0,Jay Lucas,13068,REP,22.0,,45.0,11/3/1998,66.08,30.88,35.21,9.79,9.79,1.0,1.991461223954138,
1312,54807,88344,1402,2002,2002_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Becker Institute,26,Live Phone,,10/23/2002,401.0,Mark Fernald,12897,DEM,32.0,Craig Benson,12896,REP,52.0,,-20.0,11/5/2002,38.21,58.62,-20.4,0.4,0.4,1.0,-5.910825572100953,
1317,54807,117085,1669,2002,2002_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Becker Institute,26,Live Phone,,10/23/2002,401.0,Jeanne Shaheen,3527,DEM,48.0,John E. Sununu,3524,REP,42.0,3.0,6.0,11/5/2002,46.4,50.82,-4.42,10.42,10.42,0.0,5.327763130416954,
1325,54807,139543,2959,2002,2002_House-G_NH-1,NH-1,House-G,House-G,Becker Institute,26,Live Phone,,10/23/2002,200.0,Martha Fuller Clark,13798,DEM,41.0,Jeb E. Bradley,13799,REP,49.0,,-8.0,11/5/2002,38.48,58.11,-19.63,11.63,11.63,1.0,4.331049557822794,
1326,54807,139546,2960,2002,2002_House-G_NH-2,NH-2,House-G,House-G,Becker Institute,26,Live Phone,,10/23/2002,200.0,Katrina Swett,13800,DEM,34.0,Charles Bass,13801,REP,56.0,,-22.0,11/5/2002,40.86,56.81,-15.95,6.05,-6.05,1.0,0.0016297120759397,
11,54202,87738,1435,1998,1998_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/14/1998,519.0,Paul Johnson,13009,DEM,31.0,Jane Hull,13012,REP,53.0,,-22.0,11/3/1998,35.53,60.95,-25.42,3.42,3.42,1.0,-3.329042450408335,
16,54202,119959,1719,1998,1998_Sen-G_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/14/1998,519.0,Edward Ranger,13708,DEM,18.0,John McCain,13709,REP,60.0,,-42.0,11/3/1998,27.16,68.74,-41.58,0.42,-0.42,1.0,-5.928634439125918,
1203,54566,138437,1383,2002,2002_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/17/2002,600.0,Janet Napolitano,12829,DEM,48.0,Matt Salmon,12832,REP,32.0,3.0,16.0,11/5/2002,46.19,45.22,0.96,15.04,15.04,1.0,9.98171580778416,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1348,54569,138436,1383,2002,2002_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/25/2002,600.0,Janet Napolitano,12829,DEM,46.0,Matt Salmon,12832,REP,36.0,6.0,10.0,11/5/2002,46.19,45.22,0.96,9.04,9.04,1.0,4.339678065564581,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1516,54571,138441,1383,2002,2002_Gov-G_AZ,AZ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/31/2002,600.0,Janet Napolitano,12829,DEM,42.0,Matt Salmon,12832,REP,39.0,6.0,3.0,11/5/2002,46.19,45.22,0.96,2.04,2.04,1.0,-2.358833701741386,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
3405,2842,3478,7348,2008,2008_Pres-R_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-R,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,1/22/2008,300.0,John McCain,44,REP,40.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,23.0,9.0,17.0,2/5/2008,47.17,34.53,12.63,4.37,,1.0,-4.492159261974598,among registered voters
4238,24059,29306,1548,2008,2008_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll),27,Live Phone,,10/22/2008,500.0,Mark Udall,2602,DEM,51.0,Bob Schaffer,2603,REP,38.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,52.8,42.49,10.3,2.7,2.7,1.0,-1.687190671995838,
1976,4637,5986,788,2004,2004_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,Belden Russonello,28,Live Phone,,10/18/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,43.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,1.0,-4.0,11/2/2004,47.88,50.47,-2.59,1.41,-1.41,1.0,-2.545164844269502,for Las Vegas Sun | KNPR | Channel 8
1996,4637,26350,1633,2004,2004_Sen-G_NV,NV,Sen-G,Sen-G,Belden Russonello,28,Live Phone,,10/18/2004,600.0,Harry Reid,3287,DEM,63.0,Richard Ziser,3288,REP,29.0,,34.0,11/2/2004,61.08,35.14,25.94,8.06,8.06,1.0,3.862243797010982,for Las Vegas Sun | KNPR | Channel 8
2005,4637,139146,3395,2004,2004_House-G_NV-3,NV-3,House-G,House-G,Belden Russonello,28,Live Phone,,10/18/2004,316.0,Tom Gallagher,14045,DEM,32.0,Jon C. Porter,14046,REP,49.0,,-17.0,11/2/2004,40.4,54.46,-14.06,2.94,-2.94,1.0,-2.660246072976903,for Las Vegas Sun | KNPR | Channel 8
8118,47318,74088,63,2016,2016_Sen-G_NV,NV,Sen-G,Sen-G,Bendixen & Amandi International,29,Live Phone,,10/22/2016,800.0,Catherine Cortez Masto,9034,DEM,45.0,Joseph J. Heck,10222,REP,44.0,,1.0,11/8/2016,47.1,44.67,2.43,1.43,-1.43,1.0,-2.245859393687102,for Las Vegas Review-Journal
8140,47318,74036,635,2016,2016_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,Bendixen & Amandi International,29,Live Phone,,10/22/2016,800.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,41.0,6.0,7.0,11/8/2016,47.92,45.5,2.42,4.58,4.58,1.0,1.011023456862984,for Las Vegas Review-Journal
2664,74061,138933,3748,2006,2006_House-G_IA-3,IA-3,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/21/2006,400.0,Leonard L. Boswell,14218,DEM,52.0,Jeff Lamberti,14219,REP,32.0,,20.0,11/7/2006,51.9,46.5,5.4,14.6,14.6,1.0,8.107952763149324,for Leonard L. Boswell; among registered voters
2778,63851,117554,3927,2006,2006_House-G_PA-7,PA-7,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/24/2006,400.0,Joe Sestak,13822,DEM,50.0,W. Curtis Weldon,13823,REP,43.0,,7.0,11/7/2006,56.36,43.6,12.75,5.75,-5.75,1.0,-0.4802560653235498,for unspecified Democratic sponsor; among 'voters'
2895,63853,117556,3874,2006,2006_House-G_NY-25,NY-25,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/26/2006,400.0,Daniel B. Maffei,13824,DEM,42.0,James T. Walsh,13825,REP,44.0,,-2.0,11/7/2006,49.21,50.79,-1.57,0.43,-0.43,1.0,-5.883853771393071,for Daniel B. Maffei
2913,24211,29449,1605,2006,2006_Sen-G_TN,TN,Sen-G,Sen-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/27/2006,560.0,Harold E. Ford Jr.,4344,DEM,48.0,Bob Corker,3019,REP,43.0,,5.0,11/7/2006,47.99,50.71,-2.72,7.72,7.72,0.0,3.86815783349159,for Harold E. Ford Jr.
4101,63855,117558,4414,2008,2008_House-G_TX-22,TX-22,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/19/2008,400.0,Nicholas V. Lampson,13826,DEM,42.0,Pete Olson,13827,REP,42.0,3.0,0.0,11/4/2008,45.36,52.43,-7.07,7.07,7.07,0.5,-0.0543935600847414,for Nicholas V. Lampson
4196,63857,117560,4192,2008,2008_House-G_KY-2,KY-2,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/21/2008,401.0,David E. Boswell,13832,DEM,47.0,Brett Guthrie,13833,REP,41.0,,6.0,11/4/2008,47.43,52.57,-5.15,11.15,11.15,0.0,5.035374609539448,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
4203,73973,138801,4342,2008,2008_House-G_OH-15,OH-15,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/21/2008,500.0,Mary Jo Kilroy,13948,DEM,46.0,Steve Stivers,13949,REP,37.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,45.94,45.18,0.76,8.24,8.24,1.0,2.161453111316946,for Mary Jo Kilroy
4248,63856,117559,4119,2008,2008_House-G_FL-8,FL-8,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/22/2008,402.0,Alan Grayson,13829,DEM,52.0,Richard Keller,13830,REP,41.0,,11.0,11/4/2008,52.01,47.99,4.02,6.98,6.98,1.0,-0.532279510810746,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
5247,52128,82285,4868,2010,2010_House-G_VA-5,VA-5,House-G,House-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/19/2010,400.0,Tom S. Perriello,10999,DEM,46.0,Robert Hurt,10998,REP,47.0,3.0,-1.0,11/2/2010,46.99,50.81,-3.82,2.82,2.82,1.0,-1.594721492141491,for Tom S. Perriello
6171,54020,87076,1260,2012,2012_Gov-G_IN,IN,Gov-G,Gov-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/20/2012,701.0,John R. Gregg,12548,DEM,38.0,Mike Pence,12549,REP,44.0,6.0,-6.0,11/6/2012,46.56,49.49,-2.93,3.07,-3.07,1.0,-1.745229293236717,for John R. Gregg
6978,33733,40917,23,2014,2014_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Benenson Strategy Group,30,Live Phone,D,10/16/2014,600.0,Mark Udall,6153,DEM,47.0,Cory Gardner,6149,REP,44.0,,3.0,11/4/2014,46.26,48.2,-1.94,4.94,4.94,0.0,1.274489049744738,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
4135,63533,20475,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,1014.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.5,John McCain,44,REP,42.5,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,1.73,1.73,1.0,-1.129274583735839,
4145,16709,21619,716,2008,2008_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,586.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,39.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,53.93,44.39,9.53,3.47,3.47,1.0,-0.9473091559190764,
4148,16712,21622,718,2008,2008_Pres-G_IL,IL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,586.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,61.0,John McCain,44,REP,32.0,,29.0,11/4/2008,61.92,36.78,25.14,3.86,3.86,1.0,0.005152897125618,
4149,16711,21621,719,2008,2008_Pres-G_IN,IN,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,586.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,42.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,49.95,48.91,1.03,7.97,7.97,1.0,3.750459073235611,
4153,16714,21624,726,2008,2008_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,562.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,58.0,John McCain,44,REP,36.0,,22.0,11/4/2008,57.43,40.96,16.47,5.53,5.53,1.0,1.565259558498928,
4155,16716,21626,727,2008,2008_Pres-G_MN,MN,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,583.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,57.0,John McCain,44,REP,38.0,,19.0,11/4/2008,54.06,43.82,10.24,8.76,8.76,1.0,4.812903330760316,
4159,16713,21623,739,2008,2008_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,564.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,53.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,12.0,11/4/2008,51.5,46.91,4.59,7.41,7.41,1.0,3.140415910832339,
4161,16715,21625,742,2008,2008_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,566.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,42.0,,10.0,11/4/2008,54.49,44.17,10.32,0.32,-0.32,1.0,-3.425967427480696,
4167,16710,21620,752,2008,2008_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,584.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,53.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,12.0,11/4/2008,56.22,42.31,13.9,1.9,-1.9,1.0,-1.859813845349561,
4177,16716,24810,1561,2008,2008_Sen-G_MN,MN,Sen-G,Sen-G,Big Ten,31,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,583.0,Al Franken,2679,DEM,40.0,Norm Coleman,2680,REP,34.0,15.0,6.0,11/4/2008,41.99,41.98,0.01,5.99,5.99,1.0,1.97879553206605,
1,26013,87909,1455,1998,1998_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/13/1998,364.0,Peter Vallone,13080,DEM,26.0,George Pataki,13083,REP,57.0,9.0,-31.0,11/3/1998,33.16,54.32,-21.15,9.85,-9.85,1.0,1.46156109818919,for New York Daily News | WABC-TV (New York)
4,26013,31253,1738,1998,1998_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/13/1998,364.0,Charles E. Schumer,3966,DEM,44.0,Alfonse M. D'Amato,3967,REP,52.0,,-8.0,11/3/1998,54.62,44.08,10.54,18.54,-18.54,0.0,10.06410362547784,for New York Daily News | WABC-TV (New York)
222,26012,87918,1455,1998,1998_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/28/1998,662.0,Peter Vallone,13080,DEM,25.0,George Pataki,13083,REP,51.0,8.0,-26.0,11/3/1998,33.16,54.32,-21.15,4.85,-4.85,1.0,-2.425811745483488,
223,54426,87962,1464,1998,1998_Gov-G_TX,TX,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/28/1998,967.0,Garry Mauro,13118,DEM,23.0,George W. Bush,13119,REP,70.0,,-47.0,11/3/1998,31.18,68.24,-37.06,9.94,-9.94,1.0,2.26656604540906,
225,26012,31252,1738,1998,1998_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/28/1998,662.0,Charles E. Schumer,3966,DEM,46.0,Alfonse M. D'Amato,3967,REP,42.0,,4.0,11/3/1998,54.62,44.08,10.54,6.54,-6.54,1.0,-0.7393601565584658,
436,7204,8814,7145,2000,2000_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,3/1/2000,402.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,60.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,25.0,,35.0,3/7/2000,65.62,33.46,32.16,2.84,,1.0,-3.849775841241332,
439,7208,8818,7146,2000,2000_Pres-R_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-R,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,3/1/2000,579.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,John McCain,14677,REP,39.0,,8.0,3/7/2000,51.02,43.38,7.64,0.36,,1.0,-5.795659054231479,
637,6398,7863,840,2000,2000_Pres-G_NY,NY,Pres-G,Pres-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/24/2000,844.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,55.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,31.0,4.0,24.0,11/7/2000,60.21,35.23,24.98,0.98,-0.98,1.0,-6.838784990179041,
657,6398,30943,1703,2000,2000_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/24/2000,850.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,3819,DEM,50.0,Rick Lazio,3821,REP,43.0,,7.0,11/7/2000,55.27,43.01,12.27,5.27,-5.27,1.0,-2.435277040488645,
909,6217,7672,840,2000,2000_Pres-G_NY,NY,Pres-G,Pres-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,11/1/2000,883.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,55.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,31.0,3.0,24.0,11/7/2000,60.21,35.23,24.98,0.98,-0.98,1.0,-6.289019914056792,
926,6217,27193,1703,2000,2000_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,11/1/2000,883.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,3819,DEM,47.0,Rick Lazio,3821,REP,40.0,,7.0,11/7/2000,55.27,43.01,12.27,5.27,-5.27,1.0,-1.95738747050118,
958,6190,7644,840,2000,2000_Pres-G_NY,NY,Pres-G,Pres-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,11/2/2000,851.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,53.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,33.0,5.0,20.0,11/7/2000,60.21,35.23,24.98,4.98,-4.98,1.0,-2.244645865912501,
978,6190,27192,1703,2000,2000_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,11/2/2000,851.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,3819,DEM,47.0,Rick Lazio,3821,REP,40.0,,7.0,11/7/2000,55.27,43.01,12.27,5.27,-5.27,1.0,-1.914444797033952,
1172,25422,88503,1413,2002,2002_Gov-G_TX,TX,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,1002.0,Tony Sanchez,12946,DEM,35.0,Rick Perry,12947,REP,50.0,,-15.0,11/5/2002,39.96,57.81,-17.85,2.85,2.85,1.0,-3.043003180977566,
1184,25422,30662,1679,2002,2002_Sen-G_TX,TX,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/15/2002,600.0,Ron Kirk,3594,DEM,37.0,John Cornyn,3593,REP,47.0,,-10.0,11/5/2002,43.33,55.3,-11.97,1.97,1.97,1.0,-5.086726409410975,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1495,54858,88395,1404,2002,2002_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/30/2002,1052.0,H. Carl McCall,12908,DEM,27.0,George Pataki,12912,REP,43.0,16.0,-16.0,11/5/2002,33.5,49.4,-15.9,0.1,-0.1,1.0,-3.437832369121039,
1523,25421,88511,1413,2002,2002_Gov-G_TX,TX,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/31/2002,1002.0,Tony Sanchez,12946,DEM,38.0,Rick Perry,12947,REP,50.0,,-12.0,11/5/2002,39.96,57.81,-17.85,5.85,5.85,1.0,0.7946396100278057,
1533,25421,30661,1679,2002,2002_Sen-G_TX,TX,Sen-G,Sen-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/31/2002,1002.0,Ron Kirk,3594,DEM,41.0,John Cornyn,3593,REP,50.0,,-9.0,11/5/2002,43.33,55.3,-11.97,2.97,2.97,1.0,-3.077936230752532,
5473,53297,84349,1306,2010,2010_Gov-G_TX,TX,Gov-G,Gov-G,Blum & Weprin Associates,32,Live Phone,,10/25/2010,673.0,Bill White,11339,DEM,37.0,Rick Perry,11340,REP,49.0,,-12.0,11/2/2010,42.3,54.97,-12.67,0.67,0.67,1.0,-2.581191160336949,
5235,51811,81886,4628,2010,2010_House-G_KY-3,KY-3,House-G,House-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/19/2010,504.0,John Yarmuth,10808,DEM,57.9,Todd Lally,10809,REP,31.4,1.8,26.5,11/2/2010,54.68,44.01,10.67,15.83,15.83,1.0,9.272205662877244,
5525,32718,39314,1523,2010,2010_Sen-G_KY,KY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/26/2010,800.0,Jack Conway,785,DEM,39.0,Rand Paul,788,REP,46.5,,-7.5,11/2/2010,44.25,55.73,-11.48,3.98,3.98,1.0,-0.2295022415176154,
5765,63915,117659,1271,2011,2011_Gov-G_KY,KY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/18/2011,802.0,Steve Beshear,13781,DEM,54.0,David L. Williams,13782,REP,26.0,8.0,28.0,11/8/2011,55.72,35.29,20.43,7.57,7.57,1.0,1.208335295182904,
8074,47338,77165,57,2016,2016_Gov-G_VT,VT,Gov-G,Gov-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/21/2016,603.0,Sue M. Minter,10095,DEM,40.0,Phillip B. Scott,10097,REP,47.0,4.0,-7.0,11/8/2016,44.17,52.91,-8.74,1.74,1.74,1.0,-4.039337194892279,for WCAX
8081,47338,74074,75,2016,2016_Sen-G_VT,VT,Sen-G,Sen-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/21/2016,603.0,Patrick J. Leahy,10261,DEM,59.0,Scott Milne,10262,REP,22.0,,37.0,11/8/2016,61.26,33.03,28.24,8.76,8.76,1.0,0.9539516022715128,for WCAX
8106,47338,74372,648,2016,2016_Pres-G_VT,VT,Pres-G,Pres-G,Braun Research,33,Live Phone,,10/21/2016,603.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,22.0,,28.0,11/8/2016,56.68,30.27,26.41,1.59,1.59,1.0,-3.185682813167493,for WCAX
7074,35947,49026,5731,2014,2014_House-G_UT-1,UT-1,House-G,House-G,Brigham Young University,34,Online,,10/19/2014,159.0,Donna M. McAleer,5651,DEM,31.0,Rob Bishop,5640,REP,49.0,3.2,-18.0,11/4/2014,28.01,64.78,-36.77,18.77,18.77,1.0,11.98468326194484,
7075,35947,49028,5732,2014,2014_House-G_UT-2,UT-2,House-G,House-G,Brigham Young University,34,Online,,10/19/2014,192.0,Luz Robles,5656,DEM,37.0,Chris Stewart,5659,REP,43.0,2.8,-6.0,11/4/2014,32.55,60.82,-28.27,22.27,22.27,1.0,15.92951599677085,
7076,35947,49030,5733,2014,2014_House-G_UT-3,UT-3,House-G,House-G,Brigham Young University,34,Online,,10/19/2014,169.0,Brian Wonnacott,5661,DEM,24.9,Jason Chaffetz,5642,REP,59.0,0.9,-34.099998,11/4/2014,22.48,72.21,-49.72,15.62,15.62,1.0,9.8081215328299,
7077,35947,48396,5734,2014,2014_House-G_UT-4,UT-4,House-G,House-G,Brigham Young University,34,Online,,10/19/2014,236.0,Doug Owens,5654,DEM,46.0,Mia B. Love,5650,REP,42.0,1.0,4.0,11/4/2014,45.81,50.92,-5.1,9.1,9.1,0.0,3.657215533506891,
385,7278,8927,7150,2000,2000_Pres-D_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-D,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,2/20/2000,222.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,37.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,24.0,,13.0,3/7/2000,56.92,40.35,16.57,3.57,,1.0,-8.084015747929824,among registered voters
409,64034,117851,7152,2000,2000_Pres-D_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-D,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,2/26/2000,321.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,56.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,35.0,,21.0,3/7/2000,54.33,43.89,10.44,10.56,,1.0,0.3077093859588861,
593,6416,7883,845,2000,2000_Pres-G_RI,RI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,370.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,29.0,8.0,18.0,11/7/2000,60.99,31.91,29.08,11.08,-11.08,1.0,4.733798666138989,
603,6416,27199,1707,2000,2000_Sen-G_RI,RI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/22/2000,370.0,Robert A. Weygand,3854,DEM,28.0,Lincoln Chafee,3855,REP,52.0,2.0,-24.0,11/7/2000,41.15,56.88,-15.73,8.27,-8.27,1.0,1.901325878115553,
1252,25424,88455,1409,2002,2002_Gov-G_RI,RI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/20/2002,418.0,Myrth York,12931,DEM,41.0,Donald Carcieri,12932,REP,34.0,,7.0,11/5/2002,45.24,54.76,-9.52,16.52,16.52,0.0,9.03570611825579,
1255,25424,30664,1675,2002,2002_Sen-G_RI,RI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/20/2002,418.0,Jack Reed,3565,DEM,61.0,Robert G. Tingle,3566,REP,14.0,,47.0,11/5/2002,78.43,21.57,56.85,9.85,-9.85,1.0,2.203694572314583,
1258,25424,117562,3067,2002,2002_House-G_RI-1,RI-1,House-G,House-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/20/2002,194.0,Patrick J. Kennedy,13834,DEM,44.0,David W. Rogers,13835,REP,27.0,,17.0,11/5/2002,59.88,37.31,22.57,5.57,-5.57,1.0,-0.3312107638014644,
3747,2383,2964,7404,2008,2008_Pres-D_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-D,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,2/29/2008,402.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,42.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,37.0,,5.0,3/4/2008,58.44,40.4,18.04,13.04,,1.0,6.307281748337569,
6986,34002,41321,1239,2014,2014_Gov-G_RI,RI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/16/2014,1129.0,Gina M. Raimondo,8744,DEM,41.6,Allan W. Fung,8740,REP,30.5,9.1,11.1,11/4/2014,40.7,36.24,4.47,6.63,6.63,1.0,1.653963795325108,
7320,34316,42010,1239,2014,2014_Gov-G_RI,RI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,10/26/2014,500.0,Gina M. Raimondo,8744,DEM,38.0,Allan W. Fung,8740,REP,37.4,11.8,0.60000002,11/4/2014,40.7,36.24,4.47,3.87,-3.87,1.0,-0.9500560108617528,
7942,42727,62666,7643,2016,2016_Pres-D_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-D,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,4/20/2016,436.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,33.9,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,43.3,,-9.3999996,4/26/2016,54.71,43.08,11.63,21.03,,0.0,12.04025348710768,
7943,42727,62665,7644,2016,2016_Pres-R_RI,RI,Pres-P,Pres-R,Brown University,35,Live Phone,,4/20/2016,164.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,37.5,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,25.3,14.3,12.2,4/26/2016,63.66,24.29,39.37,27.17,,1.0,20.36997136745205,
9,28268,33546,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/13/1998,600.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,46.0,,2.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,2.89,2.89,0.0,-2.724108175649672,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
116,26240,87912,1455,1998,1998_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/23/1998,639.0,Peter Vallone,13080,DEM,21.0,George Pataki,13083,REP,56.0,,-35.0,11/3/1998,33.16,54.32,-21.15,13.85,-13.85,1.0,6.626594104263938,among registered voters
121,26240,31480,1738,1998,1998_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/23/1998,1235.0,Charles E. Schumer,3966,DEM,44.0,Alfonse M. D'Amato,3967,REP,44.0,,0.0,11/3/1998,54.62,44.08,10.54,10.54,-10.54,0.5,2.859270315017655,among registered voters
215,28257,123195,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/1998,485.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,47.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,50.0,,-3.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,2.11,-2.11,1.0,-2.896023556361974,
278,28252,33530,8661,1998,1998_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/1/1998,600.0,Generic Candidate,13752,DEM,49.0,Generic Candidate,13753,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/3/1998,47.13,48.02,-0.89,1.89,1.89,0.0,-2.643456025272141,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
314,7395,9150,7116,2000,2000_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/26/2000,397.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,31.0,15.0,5.0,2/1/2000,48.53,30.36,18.17,13.17,,1.0,1.061690619223881,
329,7366,9099,7115,2000,2000_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/29/2000,347.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,55.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,39.0,,16.0,2/1/2000,49.73,45.59,4.14,11.86,,1.0,5.526992032398935,
336,7366,9095,7116,2000,2000_Pres-R_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-R,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/29/2000,450.0,John McCain,14677,REP,39.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,35.0,10.0,4.0,2/1/2000,48.53,30.36,18.17,14.17,,1.0,2.715178858636339,
378,7284,8942,7145,2000,2000_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,2/19/2000,542.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,59.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,28.0,,31.0,3/7/2000,65.62,33.46,32.16,1.16,,1.0,-7.683528146775741,
379,7284,8941,7146,2000,2000_Pres-R_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-R,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,2/19/2000,374.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,43.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,4.0,7.0,3/7/2000,51.02,43.38,7.64,0.64,,1.0,-7.977569990132203,
407,7244,8866,7145,2000,2000_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,2/26/2000,382.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,55.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,29.0,,26.0,3/7/2000,65.62,33.46,32.16,6.16,,1.0,-1.59106888097146,
408,7244,8867,7146,2000,2000_Pres-R_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-R,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,2/26/2000,281.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,46.0,John McCain,14677,REP,36.0,3.0,10.0,3/7/2000,51.02,43.38,7.64,2.36,,1.0,-5.217199092728388,
526,28094,121992,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,712.5,Al Gore,222,DEM,45.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,4.0,-1.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.01,-2.01,0.0,-2.621765676530515,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
538,28094,33372,8652,2000,2000_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,825.0,Generic Candidate,13742,DEM,38.0,Generic Candidate,13743,REP,38.0,,0.0,11/7/2000,46.96,47.32,-0.36,0.36,0.36,0.5,-3.574282197114943,
612,6403,7879,815,2000,2000_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/23/2000,514.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,48.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,45.0,3.0,3.5,11/7/2000,48.84,48.85,-0.01,3.51,3.51,0.0,-0.5224193121866576,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
621,6403,27461,1687,2000,2000_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/23/2000,514.0,Bill Nelson,3654,DEM,45.0,Bill McCollum,3655,REP,36.0,7.0,9.0,11/7/2000,51.04,46.19,4.85,4.15,4.15,1.0,0.7948878241654895,
736,6343,7802,840,2000,2000_Pres-G_NY,NY,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2000,871.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,55.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,35.0,7.0,20.0,11/7/2000,60.21,35.23,24.98,4.98,-4.98,1.0,-2.210366363962235,
757,6343,27463,1703,2000,2000_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2000,871.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,3819,DEM,52.0,Rick Lazio,3821,REP,44.0,,8.0,11/7/2000,55.27,43.01,12.27,4.27,-4.27,1.0,-3.294361145641816,
816,28073,121984,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2000,782.5,Al Gore,222,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,46.5,4.0,-0.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,1.01,-1.01,0.0,-2.919753898416214,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
856,28073,33351,8652,2000,2000_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2000,965.0,Generic Candidate,13742,DEM,44.0,Generic Candidate,13743,REP,37.0,,7.0,11/7/2000,46.96,47.32,-0.36,7.36,7.36,0.0,4.066228501425954,
940,63534,123224,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/2/2000,825.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,44.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,46.0,4.0,-2.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,2.51,-2.51,0.0,-1.151058985120368,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
990,6188,121993,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/3/2000,1158.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,43.5,George W. Bush,241,REP,48.5,5.0,-5.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,5.51,-5.51,0.0,2.093650513227625,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1087,6188,33345,8652,2000,2000_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/3/2000,1158.0,Generic Candidate,13742,DEM,40.0,Generic Candidate,13743,REP,39.0,,1.0,11/7/2000,46.96,47.32,-0.36,1.36,1.36,0.0,-1.589075641912425,
1090,42760,121986,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/4/2000,936.5,Al Gore,222,DEM,43.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.5,5.0,-4.5,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,5.01,-5.01,0.0,1.57759374359496,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1108,42760,33341,8652,2000,2000_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/4/2000,1273.0,Generic Candidate,13742,DEM,41.0,Generic Candidate,13743,REP,38.0,,3.0,11/7/2000,46.96,47.32,-0.36,3.36,3.36,0.0,0.5146180689827274,
1110,63535,121987,40,2000,2000_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/5/2000,1091.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,45.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,44.0,4.0,1.0,11/7/2000,48.31,47.79,0.51,0.49,0.49,1.0,-2.773271503944839,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1151,63916,117660,1417,2001,2001_Gov-G_NJ,NJ,Gov-G,Gov-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/22/2001,760.0,James E. McGreevey,13767,DEM,49.0,Bret Schundler,13768,REP,36.0,,13.0,11/6/2001,56.43,41.68,14.76,1.76,-1.76,1.0,-2.869429148944215,
1298,25642,30882,1670,2002,2002_Sen-G_NJ,NJ,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/22/2002,746.0,Frank R. Lautenberg,3539,DEM,52.0,Douglas R. Forrester,3540,REP,39.0,,13.0,11/5/2002,53.88,43.95,9.93,3.07,3.07,1.0,0.3146394445629429,
1486,38139,33251,8653,2002,2002_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/29/2002,669.0,Generic Candidate,13744,DEM,40.0,Generic Candidate,13745,REP,47.0,,-7.0,11/5/2002,45.2,49.49,-4.29,2.71,-2.71,1.0,-2.211132292480274,
1707,5552,97613,7243,2004,2004_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/29/2004,365.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,30.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,18.0,11.0,12.0,2/3/2004,45.15,29.82,15.33,3.33,,1.0,-4.962341824150523,
1708,5550,7096,7243,2004,2004_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/29/2004,545.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,28.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,21.0,8.0,7.0,2/3/2004,45.15,29.82,15.33,8.33,,1.0,0.1260320288750399,
1728,5512,7055,7243,2004,2004_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,2/1/2004,433.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,28.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,24.0,13.0,4.0,2/3/2004,45.15,29.82,15.33,11.33,,1.0,3.708194643475069,
1859,38555,33190,8654,2004,2004_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/15/2004,678.0,Generic Candidate,13750,DEM,45.0,Generic Candidate,13751,REP,39.0,,6.0,11/2/2004,46.6,49.24,-2.64,8.64,8.64,0.0,3.715163899601665,
1864,14944,19784,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/16/2004,1125.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,47.0,,-1.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,1.46,1.46,1.0,-1.593591690415181,
2397,14943,19783,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/29/2004,1125.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,,-3.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,0.54,-0.54,1.0,-1.598275575864913,
2501,63536,116962,39,2004,2004_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/31/2004,1125.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,47.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,1.0,-2.0,11/2/2004,48.24,50.7,-2.46,0.46,0.46,1.0,-1.500641414334304,
2725,24224,29462,1598,2006,2006_Sen-G_NJ,NJ,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/23/2006,552.0,Robert Menendez,2971,DEM,40.0,Thomas H. Kean,2972,REP,39.0,,1.0,11/7/2006,57.2,41.19,16.02,15.02,-15.02,1.0,5.185680004471204,
2995,38942,33004,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/29/2006,598.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,52.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,34.0,,18.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,10.47,10.47,1.0,4.027436986091976,
3301,2994,3650,7332,2008,2008_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,1/6/2008,323.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,28.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,35.0,19.0,-7.0,1/8/2008,39.09,36.45,2.64,9.64,,0.0,0.1644261670528676,
4007,63537,116963,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,327.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,5.73,5.73,1.0,2.108891105273593,
4136,15535,20375,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,699.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,39.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,5.73,5.73,1.0,2.924165707969643,for CBS News
4213,15535,32926,8656,2008,2008_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/21/2008,600.0,Generic Candidate,13748,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13749,REP,36.0,,12.0,11/4/2008,52.93,42.38,10.55,1.45,1.45,1.0,-2.213279674336892,for CBS News; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
4526,18176,23129,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2008,852.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,40.0,2.0,12.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,4.73,4.73,1.0,2.437302282145201,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4562,18176,32923,8656,2008,2008_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2008,600.0,Generic Candidate,13748,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,13749,REP,36.0,,12.0,11/4/2008,52.93,42.38,10.55,1.45,1.45,1.0,-1.863784901441679,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
4710,66248,123286,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,11.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,3.73,3.73,1.0,1.419182229985512,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
4757,63538,122952,8656,2008,2008_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2008,600.0,Generic Candidate,13748,DEM,45.0,Generic Candidate,13749,REP,36.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.93,42.38,10.55,1.55,-1.55,1.0,-1.560987761052967,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters
4759,63539,116965,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/31/2008,607.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,5.73,5.73,1.0,3.489165879883838,
4772,43068,122953,8656,2008,2008_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/31/2008,257.0,Generic Candidate,13748,DEM,46.0,Generic Candidate,13749,REP,28.0,,18.0,11/4/2008,52.93,42.38,10.55,7.45,7.45,1.0,3.808571221583945,among registered voters
4775,66249,123287,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/1/2008,747.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,John McCain,44,REP,41.0,,13.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,5.73,5.73,1.0,3.720593510172332,
4840,14954,19794,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/2/2008,600.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,42.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,1.73,1.73,1.0,-0.3581581017138531,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
5002,32579,84078,1298,2010,2010_Gov-G_NY,NY,Gov-G,Gov-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/13/2010,927.0,Andrew Cuomo,11318,DEM,59.0,Carl Paladino,11319,REP,24.0,,35.0,11/2/2010,62.56,33.26,29.29,5.71,5.71,1.0,-1.111670082365099,
5014,32579,39178,1530,2010,2010_Sen-G_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/13/2010,927.0,Charles E. Schumer,957,DEM,61.0,Jay Townsend,959,REP,21.0,,40.0,11/2/2010,66.32,32.21,34.11,5.89,5.89,1.0,-0.4453368886992599,
5015,32579,39177,1531,2010,2010_Sen-GS_NY,NY,Sen-G,Sen-GS,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/13/2010,927.0,Kirsten E. Gillibrand,4481,DEM,50.0,Joseph J. DioGuardi,4482,REP,25.0,,25.0,11/2/2010,62.95,35.11,27.84,2.84,-2.84,1.0,-4.601586616084528,
5456,27383,32661,8657,2010,2010_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/24/2010,600.0,Generic Candidate,13740,DEM,43.0,Generic Candidate,13741,REP,49.0,,-6.0,11/2/2010,44.77,51.38,-6.61,0.61,0.61,1.0,-3.056922257493053,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
6106,30225,36218,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/19/2012,790.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,46.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,1.85,-1.85,1.0,-2.383346542543232,for CBS News
6421,30467,36579,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2012,563.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,2.85,-2.85,1.0,-1.094990725972276,for CBS News
6476,30467,117591,8270,2012,2012_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/27/2012,563.0,Generic Candidate,4295,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,4293,REP,46.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,48.44,47.43,1.01,0.99,0.99,1.0,-1.917065928683706,for CBS News; among all adults
7303,36100,49044,8271,2014,2014_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/25/2014,624.0,Generic Candidate,9973,DEM,42.0,Generic Candidate,9974,REP,50.0,,-8.0,11/4/2014,44.84,50.42,-5.59,2.41,-2.41,1.0,-2.51893854554049,for CBS News
8482,48180,75450,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,927.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,46.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.0,5.0,3.0,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,0.9,0.9,1.0,-2.172427478578765,for New York Times; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8523,48180,75992,8272,2016,2016_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,927.0,Generic Candidate,9976,DEM,49.0,Generic Candidate,9975,REP,46.0,,3.0,11/8/2016,48.26,47.54,0.71,2.29,2.29,1.0,-0.887199924691252,for New York Times
8760,48521,76059,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,11/4/2016,1426.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,46.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,42.0,5.0,4.0,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,1.9,1.9,1.0,-0.5743722489932382,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9024,56320,90527,8273,2018,2018_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CBS News/The New York Times,36,Live Phone,,10/16/2018,975.0,Generic Candidate,10427,DEM,51.0,Generic Candidate,10428,REP,42.0,,9.0,11/6/2018,53.58,43.72,9.86,0.86,-0.86,1.0,-3.640506570476433,among registered voters
2669,27735,33013,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,600.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,57.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,40.0,,17.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,9.47,9.47,1.0,2.512722486852095,for CNN; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
2944,24398,89180,1351,2006,2006_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,542.0,Ted Strickland,12740,DEM,59.0,J. Kenneth Blackwell,12738,REP,36.0,,23.0,11/7/2006,60.54,36.65,23.89,0.89,-0.89,1.0,-5.500826325760984,for CNN
2946,24399,89308,1357,2006,2006_Gov-G_TN,TN,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,541.0,Phil Bredesen,12761,DEM,59.0,Jim Bryson,12758,REP,37.0,,22.0,11/7/2006,68.6,29.74,38.86,16.86,-16.86,1.0,10.90765878982208,for CNN
2953,24396,29634,1594,2006,2006_Sen-G_MO,MO,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,565.0,Claire McCaskill,2935,DEM,49.0,Jim Talent,2936,REP,49.0,,0.0,11/7/2006,49.58,47.31,2.27,2.27,-2.27,0.5,-1.23759946367844,
2955,24397,29635,1598,2006,2006_Sen-G_NJ,NJ,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,577.0,Robert Menendez,2971,DEM,51.0,Thomas H. Kean,2972,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/7/2006,57.2,41.19,16.02,9.02,-9.02,1.0,-0.8456671077663405,
2958,24398,29636,1602,2006,2006_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,542.0,Sherrod Brown,3004,DEM,54.0,Michael DeWine,3005,REP,43.0,,11.0,11/7/2006,56.16,43.82,12.35,1.35,-1.35,1.0,-4.17028292417406,for CNN
2960,24399,29637,1605,2006,2006_Sen-G_TN,TN,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,541.0,Harold E. Ford Jr.,4344,DEM,44.0,Bob Corker,3019,REP,52.0,,-8.0,11/7/2006,47.99,50.71,-2.72,5.28,-5.28,1.0,1.361147092559169,for CNN
2961,24400,29638,1609,2006,2006_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,597.0,Jim Webb,3047,DEM,50.0,George F. Allen,3048,REP,46.0,,4.0,11/7/2006,49.59,49.2,0.39,3.61,3.61,1.0,0.0616230438097464,
2974,4087,33006,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/28/2006,600.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,53.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,42.0,,11.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,3.47,3.47,1.0,-3.085714036690028,for CNN; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
3223,27720,32998,8655,2006,2006_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,11/4/2006,636.0,Generic Candidate,13746,DEM,58.0,Generic Candidate,13747,REP,38.0,,20.0,11/7/2006,51.6,44.07,7.53,12.47,12.47,1.0,6.408317496189162,for CNN
3249,3108,3797,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,12/16/2007,543.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,28.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,26.0,30.0,2.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,1.71,,0.0,-4.951127443286788,for CNN
3250,3108,3798,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,12/16/2007,359.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,33.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,25.0,9.0,8.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,1.18,,1.0,-7.535734363936959,for CNN
3271,3058,3741,7329,2008,2008_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,12/28/2007,482.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,31.0,John Edwards,46,DEM,22.0,33.0,9.0,1/3/2008,34.91,31.2,3.71,5.29,,0.0,0.8129963816069273,for CNN
3273,3058,3740,7330,2008,2008_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,12/28/2007,373.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,28.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,31.0,13.0,-3.0,1/3/2008,34.41,25.23,9.18,12.18,,0.0,5.639289139467549,for CNN
3439,2813,3438,7351,2008,2008_Pres-D_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/25/2008,690.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,49.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,32.0,14.0,17.0,2/5/2008,51.47,43.16,8.32,8.68,,1.0,0.7420080079391208,for LA Times | Politico
3441,2813,3433,7352,2008,2008_Pres-R_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/25/2008,437.0,John McCain,44,REP,39.0,Mitt Romney,48,REP,26.0,11.0,13.0,2/5/2008,42.25,34.56,7.69,5.31,,1.0,-1.993379183033845,for LA Times | Politico
3669,17960,3100,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/16/2008,529.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,50.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,48.0,,2.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,1.49,,1.0,-5.242580021790362,for CNN
3670,17960,3101,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/16/2008,553.0,John McCain,44,REP,55.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,32.0,11.0,23.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,9.8,,1.0,-1.219518453877322,for CNN
3700,2448,3034,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/23/2008,861.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,46.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,,-4.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,7.49,,0.0,2.132889090279927,for CNN
3701,2448,3035,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/23/2008,751.0,John McCain,44,REP,56.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,31.0,9.0,25.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,11.8,,1.0,2.089169898845381,for CNN
4008,14963,23131,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,755.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.5,3.0,5.5,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,1.77,-1.77,1.0,-1.447085541280998,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4113,16749,120037,731,2008,2008_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,644.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.5,2.0,4.5,11/4/2008,49.7,49.38,0.33,4.17,4.17,1.0,1.098144968151277,for CNN | Time; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4115,16748,21673,737,2008,2008_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,700.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.5,,5.5,11/4/2008,55.15,42.65,12.49,6.99,-6.99,1.0,-0.0786512371201347,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4117,16746,21674,739,2008,2008_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,737.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,49.5,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,3.0,4.5,11/4/2008,51.5,46.91,4.59,0.09,-0.09,1.0,-4.329619074751101,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4121,16750,21675,749,2008,2008_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,647.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.5,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,3.0,8.5,11/4/2008,52.63,46.33,6.3,2.2,2.2,1.0,-0.8523734204576258,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4122,16747,21676,753,2008,2008_Pres-G_WV,WV,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2008,674.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,42.5,John McCain,44,REP,53.0,2.0,-10.5,11/4/2008,42.59,55.71,-13.12,2.62,2.62,1.0,-2.491722796978298,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4470,16579,21507,707,2008,2008_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,807.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.5,John McCain,44,REP,51.0,3.0,-6.5,11/4/2008,45.12,53.64,-8.52,2.02,2.02,1.0,-2.653551791513706,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4472,16576,21508,709,2008,2008_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,774.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.5,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,4.0,7.5,11/4/2008,53.66,44.71,8.95,1.45,-1.45,1.0,-2.266966869572884,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4475,16580,21509,713,2008,2008_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,747.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.5,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,2.0,4.5,11/4/2008,51.03,48.22,2.82,1.68,1.68,1.0,-0.8639130022498451,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4479,16584,21510,714,2008,2008_Pres-G_GA,GA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,690.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,46.5,John McCain,44,REP,51.0,3.0,-4.5,11/4/2008,46.99,52.2,-5.21,0.71,0.71,1.0,-2.151396217338315,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4482,16581,21511,728,2008,2008_Pres-G_MO,MO,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,825.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,47.0,John McCain,44,REP,49.0,4.0,-2.0,11/4/2008,49.29,49.43,-0.13,1.87,-1.87,1.0,-0.1984276571182992,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4485,16585,21482,731,2008,2008_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,667.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,,6.0,11/4/2008,49.7,49.38,0.33,5.67,5.67,1.0,2.99773603875375,for CNN
4489,16578,21512,737,2008,2008_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,684.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/4/2008,55.15,42.65,12.49,5.49,-5.49,1.0,-1.219580728541608,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4490,16577,21513,739,2008,2008_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,779.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.5,John McCain,44,REP,45.0,3.0,5.5,11/4/2008,51.5,46.91,4.59,0.91,0.91,1.0,-3.09594318806357,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4494,16582,21514,742,2008,2008_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,768.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,54.0,John McCain,44,REP,42.0,3.0,12.0,11/4/2008,54.49,44.17,10.32,1.68,1.68,1.0,-1.473123637651688,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4497,16583,21515,749,2008,2008_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,721.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,43.0,2.0,9.0,11/4/2008,52.63,46.33,6.3,2.7,2.7,1.0,0.1055481825925035,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4505,16576,29310,1548,2008,2008_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,774.0,Mark Udall,2602,DEM,53.0,Bob Schaffer,2603,REP,43.0,,10.0,11/4/2008,52.8,42.49,10.3,0.3,-0.3,1.0,-3.861979388959324,for CNN
4506,16584,29311,1550,2008,2008_Sen-G_GA,GA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,690.0,Jim Martin,2612,DEM,44.0,Saxby Chambliss,2611,REP,53.0,,-9.0,11/4/2008,46.83,49.76,-2.92,6.08,-6.08,1.0,3.368939087297699,for CNN
4509,16585,29312,1569,2008,2008_Sen-G_NC,NC,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,667.0,Kay R. Hagan,2709,DEM,53.0,Elizabeth H. Dole,2710,REP,44.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.65,44.18,8.47,0.53,0.53,1.0,-4.925301178728152,for CNN
4513,16583,29313,1577,2008,2008_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/26/2008,721.0,Mark R. Warner,2808,DEM,63.0,James S. Gilmore III,2809,REP,35.0,,28.0,11/4/2008,65.03,33.73,31.3,3.3,-3.3,1.0,-1.165663561753369,for CNN
4760,14962,120010,38,2008,2008_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/31/2008,746.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,44.5,,7.5,11/4/2008,52.88,45.61,7.27,0.23,0.23,1.0,-2.107625438033879,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
4773,14962,123686,8656,2008,2008_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/31/2008,600.0,Generic Candidate,13748,DEM,54.0,Generic Candidate,13749,REP,45.0,,9.0,11/4/2008,52.93,42.38,10.55,1.55,-1.55,1.0,-1.710615769345697,for CNN; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
5126,32610,83528,1275,2010,2010_Gov-G_AK,AK,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,946.0,Ethan Berkowitz,11270,DEM,36.0,Sean R. Parnell,11271,REP,62.0,,-26.0,11/2/2010,37.67,59.06,-21.39,4.61,-4.61,1.0,-3.34456667629901,for CNN
5127,32611,83560,1277,2010,2010_Gov-G_AR,AR,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,809.0,Mike Beebe,11274,DEM,62.0,Jim H. Keet,11275,REP,35.0,,27.0,11/2/2010,64.42,33.63,30.79,3.79,-3.79,1.0,-3.905840536908482,for CNN
5131,32613,83723,1281,2010,2010_Gov-G_FL,FL,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,798.0,Alex Sink,11283,DEM,46.0,Rick Scott,11284,REP,49.0,,-3.0,11/2/2010,47.72,48.87,-1.15,1.85,-1.85,1.0,-2.000092487261516,for CNN
5135,32615,84108,1299,2010,2010_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,863.0,Ted Strickland,11320,DEM,48.0,John Richard Kasich,11321,REP,47.0,,1.0,11/2/2010,47.04,49.04,-2.0,3.0,3.0,0.0,-0.0183816492941655,for CNN
5137,32610,39206,1507,2010,2010_Sen-G_AK,AK,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,946.0,Lisa Murkowski,2261,W,37.0,Joe Miller,556,REP,37.0,23.0,0.0,11/2/2010,39.57,35.56,4.0,4.0,,0.5,-0.7116924141568208,for CNN
5138,32611,39207,1509,2010,2010_Sen-G_AR,AR,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,809.0,Blanche Lincoln,584,DEM,41.0,John Boozman,581,REP,55.0,,-14.0,11/2/2010,36.95,57.9,-20.96,6.96,6.96,1.0,3.482321468400516,for CNN
5142,32613,39209,1514,2010,2010_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,798.0,Marco Rubio,690,REP,46.0,Charlie Crist,4468,IND,32.0,20.0,14.0,11/2/2010,48.89,29.71,19.19,5.19,,1.0,-1.005060422284251,for CNN
5145,32615,39211,1534,2010,2010_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/17/2010,863.0,Lee Fisher,985,DEM,40.0,Rob Portman,986,REP,55.0,,-15.0,11/2/2010,39.4,56.85,-17.44,2.44,2.44,1.0,-1.322388194936047,for CNN
5363,32697,83581,1278,2010,2010_Gov-G_CA,CA,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,888.0,Jerry Brown,11276,DEM,51.0,Meg Whitman,11278,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/2/2010,53.77,40.88,12.88,5.88,-5.88,1.0,-0.3356005290742172,for CNN
5367,32700,83654,1279,2010,2010_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,829.0,John Wright Hickenlooper,11279,DEM,51.0,Tom Tancredo,13666,IND,37.0,10.0,14.0,11/2/2010,51.05,36.38,14.67,0.67,,1.0,-7.835755495395529,for CNN
5373,32702,83983,1297,2010,2010_Gov-G_NV,NV,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,773.0,Rory Reid,11312,DEM,34.0,Brian E. Sandoval,11313,REP,58.0,,-24.0,11/2/2010,41.61,53.36,-11.75,12.25,-12.25,1.0,7.259710494214064,for CNN
5376,32696,84215,1301,2010,2010_Gov-G_PA,PA,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,823.0,Dan Onorato,11326,DEM,45.0,Thomas W. Corbett,11327,REP,52.0,,-7.0,11/2/2010,45.51,54.49,-8.98,1.98,1.98,1.0,-1.22872638385537,for CNN
5379,32697,39293,1510,2010,2010_Sen-G_CA,CA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,888.0,Barbara Boxer,620,DEM,50.0,Carly Fiorina,623,REP,45.0,,5.0,11/2/2010,52.18,42.17,10.01,5.01,-5.01,1.0,-1.394220925716325,for CNN
5383,32700,39296,1511,2010,2010_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,829.0,Michael F. Bennet,638,DEM,46.0,Ken Buck,2305,REP,47.0,,-1.0,11/2/2010,48.05,46.42,1.63,2.63,-2.63,0.0,-1.457716783815596,for CNN
5390,32701,39297,1523,2010,2010_Sen-G_KY,KY,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,785.0,Jack Conway,785,DEM,43.0,Rand Paul,788,REP,50.0,,-7.0,11/2/2010,44.25,55.73,-11.48,4.48,4.48,1.0,0.123702152773336,for CNN
5394,32702,39298,1528,2010,2010_Sen-G_NV,NV,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,773.0,Harry Reid,930,DEM,45.0,Sharron Angle,928,REP,49.0,,-4.0,11/2/2010,50.29,44.55,5.74,9.74,-9.74,0.0,1.882385802072012,for CNN
5395,32696,39291,1537,2010,2010_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,823.0,Joe Sestak,1032,DEM,45.0,Patrick J. Toomey,2537,REP,49.0,,-4.0,11/2/2010,48.99,51.01,-2.02,1.98,-1.98,1.0,-1.577990811204792,for CNN
5684,27378,32656,8657,2010,2010_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/29/2010,600.0,Generic Candidate,13740,DEM,42.0,Generic Candidate,13741,REP,52.0,,-10.0,11/2/2010,44.77,51.38,-6.61,3.39,-3.39,1.0,0.0996401332435922,for CNN; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
5775,13805,17735,7443,2012,2012_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,12/24/2011,452.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,16.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,25.0,22.0,-9.0,1/3/2012,24.56,24.53,0.03,9.03,,0.0,-0.5047732186417144,for CNN
5814,13981,18007,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/15/2012,505.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,23.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,33.0,16.0,-10.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,22.58,,0.0,7.144719256709473,for CNN
5817,13983,18009,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/15/2012,391.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,43.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,18.0,19.0,25.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,10.53,,1.0,1.300082267786106,for CNN
5838,14037,18093,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/22/2012,197.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,32.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,38.0,11.0,-6.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,20.47,,0.0,12.06087623070207,for CNN
5843,64822,119998,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/23/2012,369.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,36.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,34.0,11.0,2.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,12.47,,1.0,4.591774458323464,for Time
5849,14039,18094,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/24/2012,172.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,38.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,29.0,11.0,9.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,5.47,,1.0,-2.62952044874926,for CNN
5894,14255,18554,7458,2012,2012_Pres-R_AZ,AZ,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/19/2012,467.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,36.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,32.0,18.0,4.0,2/28/2012,46.87,27.05,19.82,15.82,,1.0,6.323768591153901,for CNN
5946,14399,18890,7466,2012,2012_Pres-R_GA,GA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/3/2012,527.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,47.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,24.0,15.0,23.0,3/6/2012,47.19,25.91,21.27,1.73,,1.0,-5.512983496845323,for CNN
5947,14400,18889,7472,2012,2012_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/3/2012,546.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,32.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,32.0,14.0,0.0,3/6/2012,37.96,36.95,1.01,1.01,,0.5,-4.77212419288247,for CNN
6069,30140,36084,662,2012,2012_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/18/2012,681.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,50.01,49.13,0.88,1.88,-1.88,0.0,-1.705304990716597,for CNN
6301,30351,36392,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/24/2012,741.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,45.0,4.0,4.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,1.02,1.02,1.0,-1.859183498247008,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6427,30426,36509,662,2012,2012_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/27/2012,770.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.5,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,1.0,-0.5,11/6/2012,50.01,49.13,0.88,1.38,-1.38,0.0,-1.570386571903301,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6514,30558,36728,658,2012,2012_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/29/2012,733.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,50.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,51.49,46.13,5.37,3.37,-3.37,1.0,-1.082631972220695,for CNN
6618,30607,36808,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/31/2012,796.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.5,Mitt Romney,9,REP,45.5,5.0,3.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,0.02,0.02,1.0,-2.326495179021475,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6789,30732,37037,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,693.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.5,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.5,2.0,0.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,3.85,-3.85,0.5,0.583578968672091,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6842,30732,117574,8270,2012,2012_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,11/3/2012,693.0,Generic Candidate,4295,DEM,48.0,Generic Candidate,4293,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/6/2012,48.44,47.43,1.01,2.01,-2.01,0.0,-0.3115976484110791,for CNN; among all adults
7086,33817,41006,8,2014,2014_Sen-G_NH,NH,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2014,645.0,Jeanne Shaheen,6280,DEM,49.0,Scott Brown,6272,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/4/2014,51.46,48.21,3.24,1.24,-1.24,1.0,-2.511486163570166,for CNN
7141,33817,41184,1234,2014,2014_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/20/2014,645.0,Margaret Wood Hassan,8809,DEM,51.0,Walt Havenstein,8805,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/4/2014,52.38,47.43,4.95,1.05,1.05,1.0,-3.698990491778877,for CNN
7179,33793,127341,17,2014,2014_Sen-G_GA,GA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/21/2014,565.0,Mary Michelle Nunn,6072,DEM,49.0,David A. Perdue,6073,REP,45.5,5.0,3.5,11/4/2014,45.21,52.89,-7.68,11.18,11.18,0.0,4.50652213172512,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
7198,33793,41578,1249,2014,2014_Gov-G_GA,GA,Gov-G,Gov-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/21/2014,565.0,Jason J. Carter,8623,DEM,48.0,J. Nathan Deal,8624,REP,46.0,6.0,2.0,11/4/2014,44.89,52.75,-7.86,9.86,9.86,0.0,4.613880444009805,for CNN
7304,36141,49092,8271,2014,2014_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/25/2014,540.0,Generic Candidate,9973,DEM,47.0,Generic Candidate,9974,REP,46.0,,1.0,11/4/2014,44.84,50.42,-5.59,6.59,6.59,0.0,1.751428989629679,for CNN | Opinion Research
7394,34402,42100,14,2014,2014_Sen-G_NC,NC,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/29/2014,559.0,Kay R. Hagan,6123,DEM,48.0,Thom Tillis,6129,REP,46.0,4.0,2.0,11/4/2014,47.26,48.82,-1.56,3.56,3.56,0.0,-0.1808628829653704,for CNN
7405,34447,42192,26,2014,2014_Sen-G_IA,IA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/29/2014,647.0,Bruce L. Braley,6104,DEM,47.0,Joni K. Ernst,6106,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/4/2014,43.76,52.1,-8.34,6.34,6.34,1.0,-0.1098559371537638,for CNN
7542,35900,48278,7557,2016,2016_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/18/2016,280.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,43.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,51.0,4.0,-8.0,2/1/2016,49.84,49.59,0.25,8.25,,0.0,-1.094158345606368,for CNN
7543,35900,48276,7558,2016,2016_Pres-R_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,1/18/2016,266.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,26.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,37.0,14.0,-11.0,2/1/2016,27.64,24.3,3.34,14.34,,0.0,4.239417256095713,for CNN
7614,36350,49353,7561,2016,2016_Pres-D_NV,NV,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,282.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,47.0,,1.0,2/20/2016,52.64,47.29,5.35,4.35,,1.0,-2.939965165523415,for CNN
7616,36348,49348,7562,2016,2016_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,404.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,38.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,14.0,22.0,24.0,2/20/2016,32.51,22.48,10.03,13.97,,1.0,5.6048395498153,for CNN
7617,36350,49352,7563,2016,2016_Pres-R_NV,NV,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,245.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,45.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,19.0,17.0,26.0,2/23/2016,45.91,23.85,22.06,3.94,,1.0,-4.094105027911616,for CNN
7619,36348,49349,7564,2016,2016_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,2/13/2016,280.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,56.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,38.0,,18.0,2/27/2016,73.44,26.02,47.42,29.42,,1.0,10.80253313705783,for CNN
7783,36569,50166,7609,2016,2016_Pres-D_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/4/2016,264.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,61.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,34.0,,27.0,3/15/2016,64.44,33.28,31.16,4.16,,1.0,-3.345465949634439,for CNN
7785,36569,50164,7610,2016,2016_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/4/2016,313.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,40.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,24.0,19.0,16.0,3/15/2016,45.72,27.04,18.68,2.68,,1.0,-4.446217946680995,for CNN
7789,36570,50167,7618,2016,2016_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/4/2016,294.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,63.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,33.0,,30.0,3/15/2016,56.12,43.13,12.99,17.01,,1.0,8.894890417375466,for CNN
7790,36570,50165,7619,2016,2016_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,3/4/2016,359.0,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,35.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,41.0,15.0,-6.0,3/15/2016,46.95,35.87,11.09,17.09,,0.0,6.572880184871922,for CNN
8125,47314,74020,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/22/2016,779.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,44.5,3.0,5.5,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,3.4,3.4,1.0,-0.3154354861944003,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8146,47314,74497,8272,2016,2016_House-G_US,US,House-G,House-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/22/2016,779.0,Generic Candidate,9976,DEM,50.0,Generic Candidate,9975,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/8/2016,48.26,47.54,0.71,2.29,2.29,1.0,-1.491025883825286,for CNN
8460,48089,75251,63,2016,2016_Sen-G_NV,NV,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,790.0,Catherine Cortez Masto,9034,DEM,47.0,Joseph J. Heck,10222,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/8/2016,47.1,44.67,2.43,4.43,-4.43,0.0,1.281040913225043,for CNN
8471,48090,75253,86,2016,2016_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,799.0,Kathleen Alana McGinty,8985,DEM,51.0,Patrick J. Toomey,8966,REP,46.0,,5.0,11/8/2016,47.34,48.77,-1.43,6.43,6.43,0.0,1.865319864793532,for CNN
8473,48087,75247,87,2016,2016_Sen-G_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,769.0,Ann Kirkpatrick,10147,DEM,41.0,John McCain,8981,REP,54.0,,-13.0,11/8/2016,40.75,53.71,-12.96,0.04,-0.04,1.0,-5.064323246783818,for CNN
8479,48088,75249,93,2016,2016_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,773.0,Patrick Murphy,8995,DEM,48.0,Marco Rubio,8974,REP,49.0,,-1.0,11/8/2016,44.31,51.98,-7.67,6.67,6.67,1.0,2.628913420705643,for CNN
8485,48087,75233,605,2016,2016_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,769.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,45.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,50.0,5.0,-5.0,11/8/2016,45.12,48.67,-3.55,1.45,-1.45,1.0,-1.716400048938623,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8495,48088,75237,611,2016,2016_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,773.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,48.0,3.0,1.5,11/8/2016,47.82,49.02,-1.2,2.7,2.7,0.0,-0.8927744874009639,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8510,48089,75241,635,2016,2016_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,790.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,44.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,50.0,5.0,-6.0,11/8/2016,47.92,45.5,2.42,8.42,-8.42,0.0,5.472572688466118,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8516,48090,75245,640,2016,2016_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CNN/Opinion Research Corp.,37,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,799.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,45.0,4.0,4.5,11/8/2016,47.46,48.18,-0.72,5.22,5.22,0.0,0.4650743816978098,for CNN; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
7951,42738,62711,7641,2016,2016_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CPEC,38,IVR,,4/21/2016,665.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,61.26,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,32.0,,29.26,4/26/2016,54.69,42.81,11.89,17.37,,1.0,11.28117641124123,
7963,42740,62713,7641,2016,2016_Pres-D_PA,PA,Pres-P,Pres-D,CPEC,38,IVR,,4/23/2016,665.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,63.26,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,36.74,,26.52,4/26/2016,54.69,42.81,11.89,14.63,,1.0,8.946887318787656,
8925,50572,79819,1762,2017,2017_House-GSR_GA-6,GA-6,House-G,House-GSR,CSP Polling,39,Online,,6/16/2017,571.0,Jon Ossoff,10471,DEM,48.0,Karen Handel,10472,REP,49.0,,-1.0,6/20/2017,48.22,51.78,-3.57,2.57,2.57,1.0,-2.766629486439672,
6223,30344,36400,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,10/22/2012,1179.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,48.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,2.85,-2.85,1.0,-0.963073139484708,for UPI
6555,30661,36908,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,10/30/2012,1074.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,2.85,-2.85,1.0,-0.4356509430087151,for UPI
6845,30792,37146,37,2012,2012_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,11/4/2012,3000.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.02,47.18,3.85,2.85,-2.85,1.0,0.3591711307490471,for UPI
8061,47246,73933,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,10/20/2016,1414.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,49.46,Donald Trump,9849,REP,46.39,,3.0699999,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,0.97,0.97,1.0,-2.667781819087038,for UPI
8287,47882,74938,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,10/27/2016,1299.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.81,Donald Trump,9849,REP,47.71,,1.1,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,1.0,-1.0,1.0,-2.20136285653,for UPI
8678,48615,76159,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,CVOTER,40,Online,,11/3/2016,1625.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.91,Donald Trump,9849,REP,46.13,,2.78,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,0.68,0.68,1.0,-1.875852446133014,for UPI
536,63861,117565,2319,2000,2000_House-G_CA-20,CA-20,House-G,House-G,"California State University, Bakersfield",41,Live Phone,,10/20/2000,483.0,Calvin M. Dooley,13836,DEM,38.0,Rich Rodriguez,13837,REP,41.0,,-3.0,11/7/2000,52.35,45.49,6.85,9.85,-9.85,0.0,4.982870103239322,
6083,30378,36431,698,2012,2012_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CallFire,42,IVR,,10/18/2012,624.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,46.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,-2.0,11/6/2012,51.16,47.28,3.87,5.87,-5.87,0.0,1.689811927214647,for Faith Horizon
6295,30409,36484,686,2012,2012_Pres-G_NV,NV,Pres-G,Pres-G,CallFire,42,IVR,,10/24/2012,909.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,50.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,46.0,,4.0,11/6/2012,52.36,45.68,6.68,2.68,-2.68,1.0,-0.655761721010398,for Faith Horizon
6559,30546,36712,658,2012,2012_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,CallFire,42,IVR,,10/30/2012,839.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,1.0,11/6/2012,51.49,46.13,5.37,4.37,-4.37,1.0,0.1113276030149051,for Faith Horizon
6565,30544,36711,665,2012,2012_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,CallFire,42,IVR,,10/30/2012,891.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,50.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/6/2012,51.99,46.18,5.81,2.81,-2.81,1.0,-0.8833377460841949,for Faith Horizon
1757,5463,7000,7275,2004,2004_Pres-D_NY,NY,Pres-P,Pres-D,Canisius College,43,Live Phone,,2/19/2004,401.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,57.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,16.0,3.0,41.0,3/2/2004,61.17,20.12,41.05,0.05,,1.0,-7.814129174736895,
503,6446,7915,807,2000,2000_Pres-G_AL,AL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,10/19/2000,580.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,37.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,55.0,,-18.0,11/7/2000,41.57,56.48,-14.92,3.08,-3.08,1.0,-2.57154234030012,
1248,54541,88077,1381,2002,2002_Gov-G_AL,AL,Gov-G,Gov-G,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,10/20/2002,593.0,Don Siegelman,12825,DEM,44.0,Bob Riley,12824,REP,42.0,3.0,2.0,11/5/2002,48.95,49.17,-0.23,2.23,2.23,0.0,-2.359521804743205,for Alabama Education Association
1800,4701,6066,756,2004,2004_Pres-G_AL,AL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,10/13/2004,546.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,32.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,56.0,1.0,-24.0,11/2/2004,36.84,62.46,-25.62,1.62,1.62,1.0,-5.284311372900747,
3458,2797,3423,7343,2008,2008_Pres-D_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-D,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,1/26/2008,373.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,40.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,35.0,9.0,5.0,2/5/2008,55.96,41.57,14.39,9.39,,1.0,-3.767937170628864,
3459,2797,3421,7344,2008,2008_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,1/26/2008,397.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,24.0,John McCain,44,REP,29.0,15.0,-5.0,2/5/2008,41.25,37.1,4.15,9.15,,0.0,0.1168931170718961,
3504,2734,3356,7343,2008,2008_Pres-D_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-D,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,358.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,44.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,48.0,,-4.0,2/5/2008,55.96,41.57,14.39,18.39,,0.0,6.06453265165856,
3508,2734,3358,7344,2008,2008_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,1/31/2008,371.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,30.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,15.0,-16.0,2/5/2008,41.25,37.1,4.15,20.15,,0.0,11.94323268831496,
3559,2700,3320,7343,2008,2008_Pres-D_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-D,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,2/2/2008,435.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,45.0,,0.0,2/5/2008,55.96,41.57,14.39,14.39,,0.5,2.587762018798255,
3560,2700,3340,7344,2008,2008_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,2/2/2008,451.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,29.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,17.0,-17.0,2/5/2008,41.25,37.1,4.15,21.15,,0.0,13.4478101917217,
3966,16745,21655,705,2008,2008_Pres-G_AL,AL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,10/16/2008,606.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,34.0,John McCain,44,REP,54.0,,-20.0,11/4/2008,38.74,60.32,-21.58,1.58,1.58,1.0,-3.587503595716463,
5961,14411,18935,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,3/4/2012,510.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,22.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,21.0,31.0,1.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,4.2,,0.0,-5.65277872767518,for Alabama Education Association
5962,14422,18936,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,3/6/2012,592.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,20.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,25.0,30.0,-5.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,10.2,,0.0,0.7545642814702888,for Alabama Education Association
5970,14446,18971,7488,2012,2012_Pres-R_AL,AL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Capital Survey Research Center,44,Live Phone,,3/10/2012,512.0,Rick Santorum,10,REP,28.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,33.0,34.0,-5.0,3/13/2012,34.5,29.3,5.2,10.2,,0.0,1.489841825841115,for Alabama Education Association
5890,14347,18805,7478,2012,2012_Pres-R_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-R,Castleton University,45,IVR,,2/17/2012,231.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,34.0,Ron Paul,7,REP,14.0,27.0,20.0,3/6/2012,39.45,25.29,14.16,5.84,,1.0,-5.978436356204822,
7606,36411,49463,7585,2016,2016_Pres-D_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-D,Castleton University,45,Live Phone,,2/10/2016,344.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,77.9,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,12.8,,65.099998,3/1/2016,85.98,13.6,72.37,7.27,,1.0,-2.46695601206494,for Vermont Public Radio
7607,36411,49462,7586,2016,2016_Pres-R_VT,VT,Pres-P,Pres-R,Castleton University,45,Live Phone,,2/10/2016,115.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,33.2,John Richard Kasich,9483,REP,14.1,14.6,19.1,3/1/2016,32.53,30.18,2.34,16.76,,1.0,4.37223846574254,for Vermont Public Radio
1922,4677,6034,767,2004,2004_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Central Surveys Inc.,46,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,502.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,46.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,45.0,,1.0,11/2/2004,49.23,49.9,-0.67,1.67,1.67,0.0,-2.185356381181451,
8086,47255,73955,94,2016,2016_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Centre College,47,Live Phone,,10/21/2016,565.5,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,47.1,Donald Trump,9849,REP,41.15,6.0,5.9499998,11/8/2016,48.13,46.03,2.1,3.85,3.85,1.0,-0.0700566622163491,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
8915,50592,79839,1764,2017,2017_House-GS_MT-1,MT-1,House-G,House-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,5/22/2017,1888.0,Rob Quist,10500,DEM,44.0,Greg Gianforte,10501,REP,49.0,7.0,-5.0,5/25/2017,44.36,49.95,-5.59,0.59,0.59,1.0,-5.350894687341233,among registered voters
8924,50589,79836,1761,2017,2017_House-GS_SC-5,SC-5,House-G,House-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,6/16/2017,1001.0,Archie Parnell,10489,DEM,44.0,Ralph Norman,10490,REP,53.0,,-9.0,6/20/2017,47.94,51.04,-3.1,5.9,-5.9,1.0,-0.9381415667000818,among all adults
8952,50530,79747,1214,2017,2017_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2017,3648.0,Ralph S. Northam,10444,DEM,52.0,Ed W. Gillespie,10445,REP,46.0,3.0,6.0,11/7/2017,53.89,44.98,8.92,2.92,-2.92,1.0,-2.977331532407315,among registered voters
8954,50541,79773,1215,2017,2017_Gov-G_NJ,NJ,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2017,2040.0,Philip Murphy,10453,DEM,58.0,Kimberly Ann Guadagno,10454,REP,42.0,,16.0,11/7/2017,56.03,41.89,14.13,1.87,1.87,1.0,-0.3916407502989006,
8962,50676,79990,95,2017,2017_Sen-GS_AL,AL,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,11/27/2017,1868.0,Doug Jones,10522,DEM,44.0,Roy S. Moore,10523,REP,49.0,,-5.0,12/12/2017,49.97,48.34,1.63,6.63,-6.63,0.0,0.892306175853202,among registered voters
8970,50675,79989,95,2017,2017_Sen-GS_AL,AL,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,12/6/2017,2443.0,Doug Jones,10522,DEM,44.0,Roy S. Moore,10523,REP,51.0,,-7.0,12/12/2017,49.97,48.34,1.63,8.63,-8.63,0.0,3.465081134819996,
8977,50674,79988,95,2017,2017_Sen-GS_AL,AL,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,12/10/2017,1556.0,Doug Jones,10522,DEM,45.0,Roy S. Moore,10523,REP,51.0,,-6.0,12/12/2017,49.97,48.34,1.63,7.63,-7.63,0.0,2.619606072173127,
9084,56448,90787,209,2018,2018_House-G_CA-22,CA-22,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/20/2018,840.0,Andrew Janz,11250,DEM,46.0,Devin Nunes,11251,REP,51.0,,-5.0,11/6/2018,47.28,52.72,-5.44,0.44,0.44,1.0,-6.929302253559417,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9092,56383,90642,590,2018,2018_House-G_WI-1,WI-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/20/2018,551.0,Randy Bryce,12138,DEM,45.0,Bryan Steil,12453,REP,44.0,,1.0,11/6/2018,42.27,54.56,-12.29,13.29,13.29,0.0,5.802653403118473,for Randy Bryce
9155,56475,90835,460,2018,2018_House-G_NY-23,NY-23,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/24/2018,510.0,Tracy Mitrano,11912,DEM,47.0,Thomas Reed,11913,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/6/2018,45.73,54.22,-8.48,6.48,6.48,1.0,-0.9290538565995042,for Tracy Mitrano
9192,56474,90834,414,2018,2018_House-G_NE-1,NE-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/25/2018,742.0,Jessica McClure,11851,DEM,39.0,Jeff Fortenberry,11852,REP,55.0,,-16.0,11/6/2018,39.64,60.36,-20.72,4.72,4.72,1.0,-2.494451706356757,
9218,56551,90987,471,2018,2018_House-G_OH-7,OH-7,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/26/2018,682.0,Ken Harbaugh,11952,DEM,43.0,Bob Gibbs,11953,REP,49.0,,-6.0,11/6/2018,41.26,58.74,-17.49,11.49,11.49,1.0,7.051662072074509,for Ken Harbaugh
9279,56691,91306,152,2018,2018_Gov-G_NH,NH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/28/2018,901.0,Molly M. Kelly,12515,DEM,46.0,Christopher Sununu,12516,REP,47.0,,-1.0,11/6/2018,45.74,52.78,-7.04,6.04,6.04,1.0,1.210355190484755,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9283,56526,90932,243,2018,2018_House-G_CO-3,CO-3,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,485.0,Diane Mitsch Bush,11567,DEM,38.0,Scott Tipton,11568,REP,53.0,,-15.0,11/6/2018,43.55,51.52,-7.97,7.03,-7.03,1.0,1.976367129095459,
9284,56528,90934,271,2018,2018_House-G_FL-18,FL-18,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,475.0,Lauren Baer,11597,DEM,44.0,Brian Mast,11598,REP,53.0,,-9.0,11/6/2018,45.7,54.3,-8.6,0.4,-0.4,1.0,-6.906798919681031,
9285,56535,90943,300,2018,2018_House-G_IA-4,IA-4,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,631.0,J.D. Scholten,11663,DEM,44.0,Steve King,11664,REP,45.0,4.0,-1.0,11/6/2018,47.04,50.37,-3.33,2.33,2.33,1.0,-3.906526644013483,
9286,56529,90935,318,2018,2018_House-G_IL-16,IL-16,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,554.0,Sara Dady,11677,DEM,41.0,Adam Kinzinger,11678,REP,55.0,,-14.0,11/6/2018,40.88,59.12,-18.25,4.25,4.25,1.0,-2.972729284727336,
9287,56532,90938,325,2018,2018_House-G_IN-5,IN-5,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,527.0,Dee Thornton,11703,DEM,44.0,Susan W. Brooks,11704,REP,50.0,,-6.0,11/6/2018,43.24,56.76,-13.52,7.52,7.52,1.0,0.2816476372552282,
9288,56532,90942,329,2018,2018_House-G_IN-9,IN-9,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,541.0,Liz Watson,11711,DEM,45.0,Trey Hollingsworth,11712,REP,52.0,,-7.0,11/6/2018,43.52,56.48,-12.96,5.96,5.96,1.0,-1.278836540194701,
9289,56534,90941,331,2018,2018_House-G_KS-2,KS-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,902.0,Paul Davis,11715,DEM,44.0,Steve Watkins,11716,REP,45.0,,-1.0,11/6/2018,46.79,47.64,-0.85,0.15,-0.15,1.0,-5.371929891508781,
9292,56531,90939,365,2018,2018_House-G_MI-1,MI-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,574.0,Matt Morgan,11774,DEM,42.0,Jack Bergman,11773,REP,54.0,,-12.0,11/6/2018,43.68,56.32,-12.63,0.63,0.63,1.0,-6.57557969500446,
9293,56531,90937,370,2018,2018_House-G_MI-6,MI-6,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,466.0,Matt Longjohn,11792,DEM,43.0,Fred Upton,11793,REP,46.0,,-3.0,11/6/2018,45.69,50.24,-4.55,1.55,1.55,1.0,-5.724095312617024,
9296,56527,90933,438,2018,2018_House-G_NY-1,NY-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,838.0,Perry Gershon,11887,DEM,37.0,Lee Zeldin,11888,REP,52.0,,-15.0,11/6/2018,47.39,51.48,-4.09,10.91,-10.91,1.0,3.862294905005548,
9298,56530,90936,466,2018,2018_House-G_OH-2,OH-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,431.0,Jill Schiller,11942,DEM,39.0,Brad Wenstrup,11943,REP,52.0,,-13.0,11/6/2018,41.2,57.55,-16.36,3.36,3.36,1.0,-3.958963978092615,
9300,56533,90940,595,2018,2018_House-G_WI-6,WI-6,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/28/2018,525.0,Dan Kohl,12147,DEM,48.0,Glenn Grothman,12148,REP,50.0,,-2.0,11/6/2018,44.46,55.47,-11.01,9.01,9.01,1.0,0.4048101505672207,
9426,56701,91331,100,2018,2018_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/2/2018,1236.0,Bill Nelson,12413,DEM,50.0,Rick Scott,12414,REP,48.0,,2.0,11/6/2018,49.93,50.05,-0.12,2.12,2.12,0.0,-0.6260599969050528,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9438,56702,91332,121,2018,2018_Sen-G_TX,TX,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/2/2018,1211.0,Beto O'Rourke,11125,DEM,49.0,Ted Cruz,11126,REP,49.0,1.0,0.0,11/6/2018,48.33,50.89,-2.57,2.57,2.57,0.5,-0.787075032381397,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9465,56793,91520,97,2018,2018_Sen-G_CA,CA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1108.0,Dianne Feinstein,11226,DEM,42.0,Kevin de León,11227,DEM,32.0,,10.0,11/6/2018,54.16,45.84,8.33,1.67,,1.0,-3.159381035644009,
9466,56811,91553,106,2018,2018_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,880.0,Debbie Stabenow,11408,DEM,49.0,John James,11409,REP,47.0,1.0,2.0,11/6/2018,52.26,45.76,6.51,4.51,-4.51,1.0,1.268811273865841,
9467,56797,91537,107,2018,2018_Sen-G_MN,MN,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,953.0,Amy Klobuchar,12373,DEM,55.0,Jim Newberger,12374,REP,40.0,3.0,15.0,11/6/2018,60.31,36.21,24.1,9.1,-9.1,1.0,6.172640677808952,
9468,56806,91534,108,2018,2018_Sen-G_MS,MS,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1003.0,David Baria,11416,DEM,40.0,Roger F. Wicker,11417,REP,48.0,5.0,-8.0,11/6/2018,39.47,58.49,-19.02,11.02,11.02,1.0,4.785087465210105,
9469,56762,91446,110,2018,2018_Sen-G_MT,MT,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,879.0,Jon Tester,11140,DEM,46.0,Matt Rosendale,11141,REP,49.0,3.0,-3.0,11/6/2018,50.33,46.78,3.55,6.55,-6.55,0.0,2.940174104875023,
9472,56763,91447,113,2018,2018_Sen-G_NJ,NJ,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1006.0,Robert Menendez,11144,DEM,51.0,Bob Hugin,11145,REP,41.0,,10.0,11/6/2018,54.01,42.83,11.18,1.18,-1.18,1.0,-2.842499053172745,
9473,56818,91573,117,2018,2018_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,923.0,Sherrod Brown,11130,DEM,53.0,Jim Renacci,11131,REP,43.0,,10.0,11/6/2018,53.41,46.57,6.85,3.15,3.15,1.0,-1.567997590553454,
9474,56758,91449,118,2018,2018_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1833.0,Robert P. Casey Jr.,11138,DEM,51.0,Lou Barletta,11139,REP,44.0,1.0,7.0,11/6/2018,55.74,42.62,13.13,6.13,-6.13,1.0,3.02664759417913,
9475,56761,91450,128,2018,2018_Sen-G_WY,WY,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,858.0,Gary Trauner,13244,DEM,31.0,John Barrasso,13245,REP,60.0,6.0,-29.0,11/6/2018,30.1,66.96,-36.86,7.86,7.86,1.0,0.7526628561266536,
9476,56797,91538,129,2018,2018_Sen-GS_MN,MN,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,953.0,Tina Smith,12376,DEM,51.0,Karin Housley,12375,REP,42.0,3.0,9.0,11/6/2018,52.97,42.35,10.62,1.62,-1.62,1.0,-1.875273461647085,
9477,56806,91535,130,2018,2018_Sen-OS_MS,MS,Sen-G,Sen-OS,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1003.0,Mike Espy,13168,DEM,40.0,Cindy Hyde-Smith,13169,REP,27.0,28.0,13.0,11/6/2018,40.9,41.25,-0.34,13.34,13.34,0.0,8.751486822711506,
9478,56793,91519,135,2018,2018_Gov-G_CA,CA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1108.0,Gavin Newsom,10432,DEM,53.0,John Cox,10438,REP,41.0,,12.0,11/6/2018,61.95,38.05,23.9,11.9,-11.9,1.0,5.409984050827571,
9479,56795,91522,141,2018,2018_Gov-G_ID,ID,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,838.0,Paulette E. Jordan,11357,DEM,39.0,Brad Little,11358,REP,55.0,3.0,-16.0,11/6/2018,38.19,59.77,-21.58,5.58,5.58,1.0,-1.515520397733096,
9480,56796,91523,143,2018,2018_Gov-G_IA,IA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,961.0,Fred Hubbell,11117,DEM,49.0,Kim Reynolds,11118,REP,46.0,3.0,3.0,11/6/2018,47.53,50.26,-2.73,5.73,5.73,0.0,1.060362002970305,
9481,56811,91552,148,2018,2018_Gov-G_MI,MI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,880.0,Gretchen E. Whitmer,11406,DEM,51.0,Bill Schuette,11407,REP,43.0,2.0,8.0,11/6/2018,53.31,43.75,9.57,1.57,-1.57,1.0,-1.059001112244262,
9482,56797,91525,149,2018,2018_Gov-G_MN,MN,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,953.0,Timothy J. Walz,12420,DEM,53.0,Jeff Johnson,12421,REP,41.0,2.0,12.0,11/6/2018,53.84,42.43,11.42,0.58,0.58,1.0,-3.801924848340275,
9485,56818,91572,155,2018,2018_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,923.0,Richard Cordray,11106,DEM,48.0,Michael DeWine,11107,REP,43.0,5.0,5.0,11/6/2018,46.68,50.39,-3.7,8.7,8.7,0.0,3.637743786115397,
9487,56758,91442,158,2018,2018_Gov-G_PA,PA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,1833.0,Thomas W. Wolf,11113,DEM,53.0,Scott R. Wagner,11114,REP,42.0,2.0,11.0,11/6/2018,57.77,40.7,17.07,6.07,-6.07,1.0,1.632544502749993,
9488,56760,91444,161,2018,2018_Gov-G_SD,SD,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,851.0,Billie H. Sutton,11374,DEM,51.0,Kristi L. Noem,11375,REP,45.0,2.0,6.0,11/6/2018,47.6,50.97,-3.38,9.38,9.38,0.0,5.369251137993429,
9490,56761,91445,166,2018,2018_Gov-G_WY,WY,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,858.0,Mary Throne,13240,DEM,27.0,Mark Gordon,13241,REP,61.0,6.0,-34.0,11/6/2018,27.54,67.12,-39.58,5.58,5.58,1.0,-1.459697306304324,
9491,56788,91510,286,2018,2018_House-G_GA-6,GA-6,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,395.0,Lucy McBath,11647,DEM,51.0,Karen Handel,11648,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/6/2018,50.51,49.48,1.03,4.97,4.97,1.0,0.7125145273181187,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9493,56812,91554,370,2018,2018_House-G_MI-6,MI-6,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,460.0,Matt Longjohn,11792,DEM,42.0,Fred Upton,11793,REP,40.0,3.0,2.0,11/6/2018,45.69,50.24,-4.55,6.55,6.55,0.0,-0.4700503830443118,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9494,56812,91555,372,2018,2018_House-G_MI-8,MI-8,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,501.0,Elissa Slotkin,11402,DEM,47.0,Mike Bishop,11401,REP,46.0,3.0,1.0,11/6/2018,50.61,46.78,3.83,2.83,-2.83,1.0,-1.405398657965579,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9495,56762,91452,399,2018,2018_House-G_MT-1,MT-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,879.0,Kathleen Williams,11175,DEM,44.0,Greg Gianforte,11176,REP,52.0,2.0,-8.0,11/6/2018,46.25,50.88,-4.63,3.37,-3.37,1.0,-1.707975542464281,
9496,56790,91513,412,2018,2018_House-G_NC-13,NC-13,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,567.0,Kathy Ellen Manning,11181,DEM,43.0,Theodore Paul Budd,11182,REP,43.0,2.0,0.0,11/6/2018,45.54,51.54,-6.0,6.0,6.0,0.5,-0.954954166707869,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9505,56820,91575,465,2018,2018_House-G_OH-1,OH-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,457.0,Aftab Pureval,11183,DEM,44.0,Steve Chabot,11184,REP,47.0,2.0,-3.0,11/6/2018,46.9,51.32,-4.42,1.42,1.42,1.0,-4.154994062895062,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9506,56818,91574,468,2018,2018_House-G_OH-4,OH-4,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,350.0,Janet Garrett,11946,DEM,36.0,Jim Jordan,11947,REP,60.0,,-24.0,11/6/2018,34.74,65.26,-30.53,6.53,6.53,1.0,-0.6984614567466222,
9507,56760,91455,518,2018,2018_House-G_SD-1,SD-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,851.0,Tim Bjorkman,11389,DEM,41.0,Dusty Johnson,11388,REP,51.0,3.0,-10.0,11/6/2018,36.03,60.33,-24.31,14.31,14.31,1.0,9.463725194366328,
9509,56791,91515,569,2018,2018_House-G_VA-2,VA-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,11/3/2018,710.0,Elaine G. Luria,11192,DEM,47.0,Scott W. Taylor,11193,REP,47.0,,0.0,11/6/2018,51.05,48.81,2.24,2.24,-2.24,0.5,-3.287556191654625,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9510,56761,91456,601,2018,2018_House-G_WY-1,WY-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,,11/3/2018,858.0,Greg Hunter,13247,DEM,28.0,Liz Cheney,12154,REP,55.0,7.0,-27.0,11/6/2018,29.77,63.59,-33.82,6.82,6.82,1.0,0.0380605777639561,
9538,56923,91852,6209,2018,2018_Sen-GSR_MS,MS,Sen-G,Sen-GSR,Change Research,48,Online,,11/25/2018,1211.0,Mike Espy,13168,DEM,46.0,Cindy Hyde-Smith,13169,REP,51.0,,-5.0,11/27/2018,46.37,53.63,-7.27,2.27,2.27,1.0,-2.411585994518561,
9574,63374,116229,7694,2020,2020_Pres-D_IA,IA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,1/24/2020,704.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,28.5,Pete Buttigieg,13345,DEM,21.0,17.5,7.5,2/3/2020,24.71,21.31,3.41,4.09,,1.0,-2.717083086630794,for Crooked Media; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9601,63517,116855,7729,2020,2020_Pres-D_NH,NH,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,2/9/2020,662.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,30.0,Pete Buttigieg,13345,DEM,21.0,8.0,9.0,2/11/2020,25.6,24.28,1.32,7.68,,1.0,3.167825328544687,
9610,64356,118406,7750,2020,2020_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,2/13/2020,1015.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,23.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,23.0,20.0,0.0,2/29/2020,48.65,19.77,28.88,28.88,,0.5,11.82751016975973,for The Welcome Party
9634,64529,118924,7677,2020,2020_Pres-D_CA,CA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,2/22/2020,1069.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,37.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,12.0,20.0,25.0,3/3/2020,35.97,27.9,8.07,16.93,,1.0,10.52006931417695,for KQED
9654,64589,119111,7750,2020,2020_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,2/25/2020,543.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,28.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,24.0,16.0,4.0,2/29/2020,48.65,19.77,28.88,24.88,,1.0,10.04308245605895,for The Post and Courier
9698,64669,119456,7712,2020,2020_Pres-D_ME,ME,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,3/2/2020,507.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,24.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,43.0,16.0,-19.0,3/3/2020,33.94,33.0,0.94,19.94,,0.0,12.69276160166546,
9707,64667,119449,7759,2020,2020_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Change Research,48,Online,,3/2/2020,510.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,45.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,25.0,13.0,20.0,3/3/2020,53.31,23.15,30.16,10.16,,1.0,-6.365053299411827,
9794,71455,133835,6234,2020,2020_Pres-G_MN,MN,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/14/2020,1021.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,49.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,2.0,5.0,11/3/2020,52.4,45.28,7.11,2.11,-2.11,1.0,-1.726000072602834,for MinnPost
9802,71455,133836,6281,2020,2020_Sen-G_MN,MN,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online,,10/14/2020,1021.0,Tina Smith,15691,DEM,48.0,Jason Lewis,15692,REP,44.0,3.0,4.0,11/3/2020,48.74,43.5,5.24,1.24,-1.24,1.0,-4.281723618031132,for MinnPost
9807,71534,133983,7991,2020,2020_House-G_IA-4,IA-4,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online,D,10/14/2020,603.0,J.D. Scholten,13421,DEM,45.0,Randy Feenstra,14986,REP,50.0,,-5.0,11/3/2020,37.79,61.97,-24.18,19.18,19.18,1.0,9.111472936138904,for J.D. Scholten
9927,71518,133956,6210,2020,2020_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,2711.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,52.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,42.0,3.0,10.0,11/3/2020,51.31,46.86,4.45,5.55,5.55,1.0,1.396835622797218,for CNBC
9934,71519,133957,6214,2020,2020_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,232.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/3/2020,49.36,49.06,0.31,5.69,5.69,1.0,1.112654626691321,for CNBC
9936,71520,133958,6220,2020,2020_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,547.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,45.0,,5.0,11/3/2020,47.86,51.22,-3.36,8.36,8.36,0.0,2.15572536893503,for CNBC
9941,71521,133959,6233,2020,2020_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,718.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,,7.0,11/3/2020,50.62,47.84,2.78,4.22,4.22,1.0,-1.701192287973234,for CNBC
9945,71522,133960,6238,2020,2020_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,521.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,,3.0,11/3/2020,48.59,49.93,-1.35,4.35,4.35,0.0,0.1793349910457986,for CNBC
9948,71523,133961,6249,2020,2020_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,574.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,49.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/3/2020,50.01,48.84,1.16,0.84,0.84,1.0,-4.183255337204502,for CNBC
9953,71524,133962,6259,2020,2020_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,447.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,52.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,,8.0,11/3/2020,49.45,48.82,0.63,7.37,7.37,1.0,0.0823078082827494,for CNBC
9956,71735,134398,6265,2020,2020_Sen-G_AK,AK,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,D,10/18/2020,1076.0,Al Gross,14697,DEM,44.0,Dan Sullivan,13462,REP,47.0,3.0,-3.0,11/3/2020,41.19,53.9,-12.7,9.7,9.7,1.0,2.176479169471127,for Al Gross
9957,71519,133963,6268,2020,2020_Sen-GS_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,232.0,Mark Kelly,13445,DEM,54.0,Martha McSally,13446,REP,43.0,,11.0,11/3/2020,51.16,48.81,2.35,8.65,8.65,1.0,3.085300278128819,for CNBC
9962,71521,133964,6280,2020,2020_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,718.0,Gary C. Peters,13453,DEM,51.0,John James,13454,REP,46.0,,5.0,11/3/2020,49.9,48.22,1.69,3.31,3.31,1.0,-2.640862057678588,for CNBC
9966,71522,133965,6284,2020,2020_Sen-G_NC,NC,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/18/2020,521.0,Cal Cunningham,13468,DEM,51.0,Thom Tillis,13461,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/3/2020,46.94,48.69,-1.75,7.75,7.75,0.0,2.181834453209128,for CNBC
10146,71956,134882,7930,2020,2020_House-G_FL-15,FL-15,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,D,10/23/2020,530.0,Alan M. Cohn,15948,DEM,44.0,Scott Franklin,15951,REP,46.0,,-2.0,11/3/2020,44.61,55.39,-10.77,8.77,8.77,1.0,3.559527198521402,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
10155,72084,135158,6210,2020,2020_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/24/2020,1125.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,43.0,,8.0,11/3/2020,51.31,46.86,4.45,3.55,3.55,1.0,-0.4126995431152206,for Crooked Media
10635,72725,136496,6210,2020,2020_Pres-G_US,US,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,1880.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,52.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,42.0,2.0,10.0,11/3/2020,51.31,46.86,4.45,5.55,5.55,1.0,2.372017675138333,for CNBC
10641,72726,136497,6214,2020,2020_Pres-G_AZ,AZ,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,409.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,2.0,3.0,11/3/2020,49.36,49.06,0.31,2.69,2.69,1.0,-0.4439505688184984,for CNBC
10645,72727,136498,6220,2020,2020_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,806.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,48.0,0.0,3.0,11/3/2020,47.86,51.22,-3.36,6.36,6.36,0.0,1.298745831888472,for CNBC
10650,72756,136536,6223,2020,2020_Pres-G_IA,IA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,1084.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,47.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,3.0,0.0,11/3/2020,44.89,53.09,-8.2,8.2,8.2,0.5,1.59756524091175,
10652,72801,136602,6232,2020,2020_Pres-G_ME,ME,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,1024.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,52.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,40.0,4.0,12.0,11/3/2020,53.09,44.02,9.07,2.93,2.93,1.0,-0.4834199473607227,
10654,72728,136499,6233,2020,2020_Pres-G_MI,MI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,383.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,51.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,44.0,3.0,7.0,11/3/2020,50.62,47.84,2.78,4.22,4.22,1.0,-1.377666124595047,for CNBC
10657,72762,136544,6237,2020,2020_Pres-G_MT,MT,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,920.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,45.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,50.0,2.0,-5.0,11/3/2020,40.55,56.92,-16.37,11.37,11.37,1.0,3.146497988062946,
10659,72729,136500,6238,2020,2020_Pres-G_NC,NC,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,473.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,49.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,2.0,2.0,11/3/2020,48.59,49.93,-1.35,3.35,3.35,0.0,-0.0518467489484262,for CNBC
10665,72730,136501,6249,2020,2020_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,699.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,46.0,2.0,4.0,11/3/2020,50.01,48.84,1.16,2.84,2.84,1.0,-1.143075284597561,for CNBC
10672,72731,136502,6259,2020,2020_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,553.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,53.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,45.0,2.0,8.0,11/3/2020,49.45,48.82,0.63,7.37,7.37,1.0,1.081949003735114,for CNBC
10674,72726,136503,6268,2020,2020_Sen-GS_AZ,AZ,Sen-G,Sen-GS,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,409.0,Mark Kelly,13445,DEM,51.0,Martha McSally,13446,REP,47.0,,4.0,11/3/2020,51.16,48.81,2.35,1.65,1.65,1.0,-2.681375128200546,for CNBC
10677,72756,136538,6272,2020,2020_Sen-G_IA,IA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,1084.0,Theresa Greenfield,13466,DEM,48.0,Joni K. Ernst,13467,REP,47.0,2.0,1.0,11/3/2020,45.15,51.74,-6.59,7.59,7.59,0.0,1.088567316640591,
10680,72801,136607,6279,2020,2020_Sen-G_ME,ME,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,1024.0,Sara Gideon,13455,DEM,50.0,Susan M. Collins,13456,REP,44.0,7.0,6.0,11/3/2020,42.39,50.98,-8.6,14.6,14.6,0.0,6.977745667883489,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
10681,72728,136504,6280,2020,2020_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,383.0,Gary C. Peters,13453,DEM,51.0,John James,13454,REP,46.0,,5.0,11/3/2020,49.9,48.22,1.69,3.31,3.31,1.0,-2.383401709026438,for CNBC
10682,72762,136576,6283,2020,2020_Sen-G_MT,MT,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,920.0,Steve Bullock,14517,DEM,46.0,Steve Daines,14518,REP,50.0,,-4.0,11/3/2020,44.99,55.01,-10.02,6.02,6.02,1.0,-1.45942905806319,
10683,72729,136505,6284,2020,2020_Sen-G_NC,NC,Sen-G,Sen-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,473.0,Cal Cunningham,13468,DEM,50.0,Thom Tillis,13461,REP,46.0,,4.0,11/3/2020,46.94,48.69,-1.75,5.75,5.75,0.0,0.8126207824568925,for CNBC
10685,72762,136573,7821,2020,2020_Gov-G_MT,MT,Gov-G,Gov-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,920.0,Mike Cooney,14688,DEM,44.0,Greg Gianforte,14689,REP,48.0,3.0,-4.0,11/3/2020,41.56,54.43,-12.87,8.87,8.87,1.0,1.578098883390601,
10687,72793,136591,7847,2020,2020_House-G_AR-2,AR-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,586.0,Joyce Ann Elliott,14808,DEM,48.0,French Hill,14810,REP,48.0,,0.0,11/3/2020,44.63,55.37,-10.73,10.73,10.73,0.5,4.248587493695717,
10691,72792,136590,7983,2020,2020_House-G_IN-5,IN-5,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,596.0,Christina Hale,14661,DEM,46.0,Victoria Spartz,14662,REP,46.0,5.0,0.0,11/3/2020,45.94,50.02,-4.08,4.08,4.08,0.5,-2.877223941351871,
10692,72801,136604,8015,2020,2020_House-G_ME-2,ME-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,475.0,Jared Golden,14752,DEM,53.0,Dale John Crafts,14753,REP,44.0,,9.0,11/3/2020,53.04,46.95,6.09,2.91,2.91,1.0,-5.541575897496531,
10693,72759,136540,8069,2020,2020_House-G_NE-2,NE-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,547.0,Kara Eastman,13509,DEM,48.0,Don Bacon,13510,REP,47.0,2.0,1.0,11/3/2020,46.21,50.77,-4.56,5.56,5.56,0.0,1.331520391200184,
10694,72761,136542,8115,2020,2020_House-G_NY-24,NY-24,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,738.0,Dana Balter,14654,DEM,46.0,John Katko,14655,REP,44.0,4.0,2.0,11/3/2020,42.96,53.13,-10.16,12.16,12.16,0.0,5.84551992498552,
10695,72760,136541,8133,2020,2020_House-G_OH-1,OH-1,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,505.0,Kate Schroder,14576,DEM,45.0,Steve Chabot,14577,REP,47.0,3.0,-2.0,11/3/2020,44.65,51.8,-7.15,5.15,5.15,1.0,-1.883648238560885,
10696,72758,136539,8153,2020,2020_House-G_OK-5,OK-5,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,607.0,Kendra Horn,15367,DEM,47.0,Stephanie Bice,16007,REP,47.0,,0.0,11/3/2020,47.94,52.06,-4.12,4.12,4.12,0.5,-0.5427928318599717,
10698,72803,136606,8422,2020,2020_Pres-G_M1,M1,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,549.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,56.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,35.0,2.0,21.0,11/3/2020,60.11,37.02,23.09,2.09,-2.09,1.0,-1.334798782525056,
10699,72802,136605,8423,2020,2020_Pres-G_M2,M2,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,475.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,48.5,Donald Trump,13254,REP,48.0,4.0,0.5,11/3/2020,44.82,52.26,-7.44,7.94,7.94,0.0,0.5104046655448272,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
10700,72757,136537,8718,2020,2020_Pres-G_N2,N2,Pres-G,Pres-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,10/31/2020,547.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,50.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,47.0,2.0,3.0,11/3/2020,51.95,45.45,6.5,3.5,-3.5,1.0,-0.4508876320679609,
10731,72791,136589,8060,2020,2020_House-G_MO-2,MO-2,House-G,House-G,Change Research,48,Online/Text,,11/1/2020,597.0,Jill Schupp,14476,DEM,46.0,Ann Wagner,14477,REP,46.0,2.0,0.0,11/3/2020,45.52,51.89,-6.37,6.37,6.37,0.5,-0.5508663445812058,
5844,14025,18141,7450,2012,2012_Pres-R_FL,FL,Pres-P,Pres-R,Cherry Communications,49,Live Phone,R,1/23/2012,504.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,33.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,33.0,10.0,0.0,1/31/2012,46.4,31.93,14.47,14.47,,0.5,6.478772672174356,for unspecified Republican sponsor
7385,34362,42056,1253,2014,2014_Gov-G_FL,FL,Gov-G,Gov-G,Cherry Communications,49,Live Phone,R,10/28/2014,508.0,Charlie Crist,8601,DEM,39.0,Rick Scott,8605,REP,44.0,4.0,-5.0,11/4/2014,47.07,48.14,-1.08,3.92,-3.92,1.0,1.207423593343374,for unspecified Republican sponsor
8005,47177,73853,93,2016,2016_Sen-G_FL,FL,Sen-G,Sen-G,Cherry Communications,49,Live Phone,R,10/18/2016,507.0,Patrick Murphy,8995,DEM,37.0,Marco Rubio,8974,REP,51.0,,-14.0,11/8/2016,44.31,51.98,-7.67,6.33,-6.33,1.0,1.407466572362089,for unspecified Republican sponsor
8010,47177,73852,611,2016,2016_Pres-G_FL,FL,Pres-G,Pres-G,Cherry Communications,49,Live Phone,R,10/18/2016,507.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,46.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,42.0,5.0,4.0,11/8/2016,47.82,49.02,-1.2,5.2,5.2,0.0,0.6452239282820822,for unspecified Republican sponsor
8144,50598,79846,5862,2016,2016_House-G_FL-7,FL-7,House-G,House-G,Cherry Communications,49,Live Phone,R,10/22/2016,412.0,Stephanie Murphy,10508,DEM,42.0,John L. Mica,10507,REP,47.0,,-5.0,11/8/2016,51.47,48.52,2.96,7.96,-7.96,0.0,0.3372357842171981,for John L. Mica
5203,52120,82277,4865,2010,2010_House-G_VA-2,VA-2,House-G,House-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/18/2010,490.0,Glenn C. Nye,10996,DEM,41.0,E. Scott Rigell,10997,REP,42.0,,-1.0,11/2/2010,42.45,53.12,-10.67,9.67,9.67,1.0,3.576109122701114,
6937,63918,117666,1257,2013,2013_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/28/2013,1038.0,Terry R. McAuliffe,13762,DEM,45.0,Kenneth T. Cuccinelli,13763,REP,38.0,10.0,7.0,11/5/2013,47.74,45.22,2.52,4.48,4.48,1.0,-0.5547938407713996,
7308,34401,42098,16,2014,2014_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/26/2014,634.0,Mark R. Warner,6303,DEM,51.0,Ed W. Gillespie,6301,REP,44.0,2.0,7.0,11/4/2014,49.15,48.34,0.81,6.19,6.19,1.0,-0.4903833699251038,
8025,47154,73794,647,2016,2016_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/18/2016,834.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,45.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,33.0,8.0,12.0,11/8/2016,49.73,44.41,5.32,6.68,6.68,1.0,3.379077744602184,
8228,47634,74552,647,2016,2016_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/25/2016,814.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,46.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,39.0,5.0,7.0,11/8/2016,49.73,44.41,5.32,1.68,1.68,1.0,-1.248562103656871,
8826,48512,76034,647,2016,2016_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,11/4/2016,1193.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,42.0,3.0,6.0,11/8/2016,49.73,44.41,5.32,0.68,0.68,1.0,-1.405849699129059,
8931,50532,79749,1214,2017,2017_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/23/2017,812.0,Ralph S. Northam,10444,DEM,50.0,Ed W. Gillespie,10445,REP,43.0,3.0,7.0,11/7/2017,53.89,44.98,8.92,1.92,-1.92,1.0,-5.182945230200239,
8943,50531,79748,1214,2017,2017_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,11/1/2017,839.0,Ralph S. Northam,10444,DEM,51.0,Ed W. Gillespie,10445,REP,45.0,2.0,6.0,11/7/2017,53.89,44.98,8.92,2.92,-2.92,1.0,-3.671145953553786,
9149,56510,90907,574,2018,2018_House-G_VA-7,VA-7,House-G,House-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/23/2018,830.5,Abigail Spanberger,12114,DEM,47.0,David Brat,12115,REP,45.0,3.5,2.0,11/6/2018,50.34,48.4,1.94,0.06,0.06,1.0,-5.728459273193804,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
9616,64609,119195,7759,2020,2020_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,2/14/2020,561.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,22.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,17.0,8.0,5.0,3/3/2020,53.31,23.15,30.16,25.16,,1.0,6.851190513356353,
9782,71540,134003,8238,2020,2020_House-G_VA-2,VA-2,House-G,House-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/13/2020,807.0,Elaine G. Luria,14710,DEM,50.0,Scott W. Taylor,14711,REP,43.0,,7.0,11/3/2020,51.55,45.81,5.75,1.25,1.25,1.0,-6.260254633866566,
10081,72078,135129,6256,2020,2020_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/21/2020,908.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,53.0,Donald Trump,13254,REP,41.0,,12.0,11/3/2020,54.11,44.0,10.11,1.89,1.89,1.0,-0.5797628926532298,
10091,72078,135131,6296,2020,2020_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Christopher Newport University,50,Live Phone,,10/21/2020,908.0,Mark R. Warner,14760,DEM,57.0,Daniel M. Gade,15688,REP,37.0,,20.0,11/3/2020,55.99,43.91,12.08,7.92,7.92,1.0,3.386594308720238,
99,26017,31257,1722,1998,1998_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/21/1998,400.0,Dottie Lamm,3929,DEM,30.0,Ben Nighthorse Campbell,3928,REP,61.0,,-31.0,11/3/1998,35.02,62.49,-27.47,3.53,-3.53,1.0,-2.511903348269245,
105,54226,87762,1437,1998,1998_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/22/1998,500.0,Gail Schoettler,13022,DEM,41.0,William F. Owens,13021,REP,47.0,,-6.0,11/3/1998,48.42,49.04,-0.62,5.38,-5.38,1.0,0.5126045481477268,
148,26015,31255,1722,1998,1998_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/25/1998,400.0,Dottie Lamm,3929,DEM,31.0,Ben Nighthorse Campbell,3928,REP,60.0,,-29.0,11/3/1998,35.02,62.49,-27.47,1.53,-1.53,1.0,-4.343929009278198,
217,54228,87764,1437,1998,1998_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/28/1998,500.0,Gail Schoettler,13022,DEM,42.0,William F. Owens,13021,REP,46.0,,-4.0,11/3/1998,48.42,49.04,-0.62,3.38,-3.38,1.0,-1.198279719727664,
672,6392,7854,811,2000,2000_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/25/2000,400.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,37.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,3.0,-10.0,11/7/2000,42.39,50.75,-8.36,1.64,-1.64,1.0,-3.619381264427407,
784,6305,7763,811,2000,2000_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/29/2000,400.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,37.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,46.0,4.0,-9.0,11/7/2000,42.39,50.75,-8.36,0.64,-0.64,1.0,-4.414362205592012,
948,6201,7655,811,2000,2000_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,11/2/2000,400.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,38.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,47.0,5.0,-9.0,11/7/2000,42.39,50.75,-8.36,0.64,-0.64,1.0,-4.226539592459454,
1260,25433,138458,1386,2002,2002_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/21/2002,600.0,Rollie Heath,12840,DEM,28.0,William F. Owens,12842,REP,56.0,,-28.0,11/5/2002,33.65,62.62,-28.97,0.97,0.97,1.0,-3.248613146640038,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado); sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1282,25432,88142,1386,2002,2002_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/22/2002,400.0,Rollie Heath,12840,DEM,25.0,William F. Owens,12842,REP,62.0,,-37.0,11/5/2002,33.65,62.62,-28.97,8.03,-8.03,1.0,3.677691349129575,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado)
1315,25431,136808,1651,2002,2002_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/23/2002,500.0,Tom Strickland,3400,DEM,36.5,Wayne A. Allard,3399,REP,43.0,,-6.5,11/5/2002,45.77,50.7,-4.93,1.57,-1.57,1.0,-3.868645298943339,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado); average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
1396,25427,88144,1386,2002,2002_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/27/2002,400.0,Rollie Heath,12840,DEM,24.0,William F. Owens,12842,REP,60.0,,-36.0,11/5/2002,33.65,62.62,-28.97,7.03,-7.03,1.0,2.932395889436338,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado)
1404,25427,30667,1651,2002,2002_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/27/2002,400.0,Tom Strickland,3400,DEM,39.0,Wayne A. Allard,3399,REP,41.0,,-2.0,11/5/2002,45.77,50.7,-4.93,2.93,2.93,1.0,-2.461107200408258,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado)
1517,25426,88147,1386,2002,2002_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/31/2002,400.0,Rollie Heath,12840,DEM,26.0,William F. Owens,12842,REP,62.0,,-36.0,11/5/2002,33.65,62.62,-28.97,7.03,-7.03,1.0,3.094530206990855,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado)
1526,72924,136806,1651,2002,2002_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/31/2002,600.0,Tom Strickland,3400,DEM,42.0,Wayne A. Allard,3399,REP,38.0,,4.0,11/5/2002,45.77,50.7,-4.93,8.93,8.93,0.0,3.993625485002914,for Denver Post | 9News | KOAA-TV (Colorado); sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
1795,74171,139115,3229,2004,2004_House-G_CO-4,CO-4,House-G,House-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/12/2004,400.0,Stanley T. Matsunaka,16603,DEM,31.0,Marilyn N. Musgrave,16604,REP,48.0,,-17.0,11/2/2004,44.78,51.05,-6.27,10.73,-10.73,1.0,3.036124444109943,
1920,25078,6013,760,2004,2004_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,600.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,42.5,George W. Bush,182,REP,49.0,2.0,-6.5,11/2/2004,47.04,51.71,-4.67,1.83,-1.83,1.0,-1.794375156778791,average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll; among registered voters
1948,25078,30316,1619,2004,2004_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,600.0,Ken Salazar,3134,DEM,47.0,Pete Coors,3135,REP,43.0,,4.0,11/2/2004,51.3,46.53,4.77,0.77,-0.77,1.0,-3.658216854524594,among registered voters
2643,55222,88760,1332,2006,2006_Gov-G_CO,CO,Gov-G,Gov-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,501.0,"Bill Ritter, Jr.",12664,DEM,52.0,Bob Beauprez,12667,REP,33.0,,19.0,11/7/2006,56.99,40.17,16.82,2.18,2.18,1.0,-4.089931982903527,
8468,48123,75388,74,2016,2016_Sen-G_CO,CO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,550.0,Michael F. Bennet,9009,DEM,48.0,Darryl Glenn,10226,REP,40.0,,8.0,11/8/2016,49.97,44.31,5.66,2.34,2.34,1.0,-1.353697850293369,for University of Denver
8491,48123,75387,607,2016,2016_Pres-G_CO,CO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Ciruli Associates,51,Live Phone,,10/30/2016,550.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,40.5,Donald Trump,9849,REP,40.0,5.0,0.5,11/8/2016,48.16,43.25,4.91,4.41,-4.41,1.0,1.354989517914836,for University of Denver; average of multiple versions or turnout models listed in poll
6363,30831,87068,1260,2012,2012_Gov-G_IN,IN,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,10/25/2012,825.0,John R. Gregg,12548,DEM,44.0,Mike Pence,12549,REP,47.0,,-3.0,11/6/2012,46.56,49.49,-2.93,0.07,-0.07,1.0,-4.580886144298482,for John R. Gregg
6370,30831,37215,1479,2012,2012_Sen-G_IN,IN,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,10/25/2012,825.0,Joe Donnelly,2034,DEM,49.0,Richard Mourdock,2035,REP,42.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,50.04,44.28,5.76,1.24,1.24,1.0,-2.977672228373039,for John R. Gregg
7080,33832,41021,2,2014,2014_Sen-G_MI,MI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,10/20/2014,1032.0,Gary C. Peters,6053,DEM,48.0,Terri Lynn Land,6052,REP,33.0,,15.0,11/4/2014,54.61,41.33,13.29,1.71,1.71,1.0,-1.232089030186372,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
7160,33832,41250,1248,2014,2014_Gov-G_MI,MI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,10/20/2014,1032.0,Mark Schauer,8610,DEM,44.0,Rick Snyder,8611,REP,41.0,,3.0,11/4/2014,46.86,50.92,-4.07,7.07,7.07,0.0,3.56132525891856,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
7498,34309,42003,1248,2014,2014_Gov-G_MI,MI,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/2/2014,1003.0,Mark Schauer,8610,DEM,45.0,Rick Snyder,8611,REP,45.0,,0.0,11/4/2014,46.86,50.92,-4.07,4.07,4.07,0.5,1.25902480718916,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8615,48622,76174,70,2016,2016_Sen-G_MO,MO,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/2/2016,1036.0,Jason Kander,10158,DEM,45.0,Roy Blunt,10157,REP,47.0,,-2.0,11/8/2016,46.39,49.18,-2.79,0.79,0.79,1.0,-2.935673433010148,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8616,48621,76173,71,2016,2016_Sen-G_WI,WI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/2/2016,1129.0,Russ Feingold,8971,DEM,49.0,Ron Johnson,8972,REP,46.0,,3.0,11/8/2016,46.81,50.17,-3.36,6.36,6.36,0.0,1.328021762944177,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8646,48622,76171,626,2016,2016_Pres-G_MO,MO,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/2/2016,1036.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,38.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,54.0,,-16.0,11/8/2016,38.14,56.77,-18.64,2.64,2.64,1.0,-4.515570255491625,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8660,48621,76170,650,2016,2016_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/2/2016,1129.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,47.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.0,4.0,4.0,11/8/2016,46.45,47.22,-0.76,4.76,4.76,0.0,-0.2978739689859339,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8671,48620,76172,86,2016,2016_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/3/2016,1033.0,Kathleen Alana McGinty,8985,DEM,46.0,Patrick J. Toomey,8966,REP,43.0,,3.0,11/8/2016,47.34,48.77,-1.43,4.43,4.43,0.0,0.2189771011493301,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
8693,48620,76169,640,2016,2016_Pres-G_PA,PA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR/Live Phone,D,11/3/2016,1033.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,47.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.0,4.0,4.0,11/8/2016,47.46,48.18,-0.72,4.72,4.72,0.0,0.4478103563684359,for unspecified Democratic sponsor
9012,56404,90668,191,2018,2018_House-G_CA-4,CA-4,House-G,House-G,Clarity Campaign Labs,52,IVR,D,10/16/2018,840.0,Jessica Morse,11533,DEM,45.0,Tom McClintock,11534,REP,49.0,,-4.0,11/6/2018,45.87,54.13,-8.26,4.26,4.26,1.0,-3.244047711315595,for Jessica Morse
4895,63919,117668,1312,2009,2009_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clarus Research Group,53,Live Phone,,10/19/2009,575.0,R. Creigh Deeds,13761,DEM,41.0,Robert Francis McDonnell,13760,REP,49.0,,-8.0,11/3/2009,41.25,58.62,-17.36,9.36,9.36,1.0,4.950290910606544,
5393,32682,39278,1524,2010,2010_Sen-O_LA,LA,Sen-G,Sen-O,Clarus Research Group,53,Live Phone,,10/23/2010,700.0,Charlie Melancon,2407,DEM,38.0,David Vitter,792,REP,50.0,,-12.0,11/2/2010,37.67,56.55,-18.88,6.88,6.88,1.0,0.096135662581212,among registered voters
5764,163,117667,1272,2011,2011_Gov-O_LA,LA,Gov-G,Gov-O,Clarus Research Group,53,Live Phone,,10/6/2011,602.0,Tara Hollis,13853,DEM,5.0,Piyush Amrit Jindal,13854,REP,57.0,2.0,-52.0,10/22/2011,17.88,65.8,-47.92,4.08,-4.08,1.0,-3.359353907917329,
2653,55742,89294,1355,2006,2006_Gov-G_SC,SC,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,500.0,Tommy Moore,12752,DEM,31.0,Mark Sanford,12753,REP,58.0,,-27.0,11/7/2006,44.79,55.12,-10.33,16.67,-16.67,1.0,9.864100314566524,
2666,55742,139069,3946,2006,2006_House-G_SC-5,SC-5,House-G,House-G,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,10/21/2006,100.0,John M. Spratt,14390,DEM,61.0,Ralph Norman,14391,REP,28.0,,33.0,11/7/2006,56.9,43.06,13.84,19.16,19.16,1.0,11.20559147703527,
3332,2949,3594,7338,2008,2008_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,1/12/2008,450.0,John McCain,44,REP,29.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,22.0,10.0,7.0,1/19/2008,33.15,29.84,3.31,3.69,,1.0,-1.729745140314925,
3380,2880,3515,7339,2008,2008_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,1/19/2008,450.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,27.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,20.0,17.0,7.0,1/26/2008,55.42,26.49,28.92,21.92,,1.0,6.918583775252426,
5831,14004,18041,7447,2012,2012_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,1/19/2012,429.0,Newt Gingrich,3,REP,32.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,26.0,9.0,6.0,1/21/2012,40.42,27.85,12.58,6.58,,1.0,-8.433008392993512,
7644,36397,49439,7562,2016,2016_Pres-R_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-R,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,2/16/2016,650.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,28.0,Marco Rubio,9731,REP,15.0,19.0,13.0,2/20/2016,32.51,22.48,10.03,2.97,,1.0,-4.939233330482234,
7690,36466,49967,7564,2016,2016_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Clemson University,54,Live Phone,,2/23/2016,650.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,64.0,Bernard Sanders,9739,DEM,14.0,,50.0,2/27/2016,73.44,26.02,47.42,2.58,,1.0,-15.00365045007536,
9632,64567,119021,7750,2020,2020_Pres-D_SC,SC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Clemson University,54,Live Phone/Online,,2/21/2020,650.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,35.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,13.0,17.0,22.0,2/29/2020,48.65,19.77,28.88,6.88,,1.0,-10.16827866375895,
5248,52157,82317,4880,2010,2010_House-G_WA-6,WA-6,House-G,House-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/19/2010,1262.0,Norman DeValois Dicks,11013,DEM,44.2,Doug R. Cloud,11012,REP,48.3,,-4.0999999,11/2/2010,58.04,41.96,16.08,20.18,-20.18,0.0,13.01994193614544,for Doug R. Cloud
6167,30207,36184,698,2012,2012_Pres-G_VA,VA,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/20/2012,1000.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,47.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/6/2012,51.16,47.28,3.87,5.87,-5.87,0.0,2.001856944973026,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6187,30207,36185,1501,2012,2012_Sen-G_VA,VA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/20/2012,1000.0,Tim Kaine,2228,DEM,46.1,George F. Allen,2229,REP,49.4,,-3.3,11/6/2012,52.87,46.96,5.91,9.21,-9.21,0.0,4.642061232906153,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6263,73465,137783,1495,2012,2012_Sen-G_PA,PA,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/23/2012,1000.0,Robert P. Casey Jr.,2173,DEM,45.2,Tom Smith,2174,REP,44.0,2.2,1.2,11/6/2012,53.69,44.59,9.1,7.9,-7.9,1.0,3.216754883409039,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6337,52281,82499,5068,2012,2012_House-G_KY-6,KY-6,House-G,House-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,,10/24/2012,776.0,Albert Ben Chandler,7876,DEM,41.0,Andy Barr,7870,REP,45.0,6.0,-4.0,11/6/2012,46.68,50.57,-3.89,0.11,-0.11,1.0,-7.106536940895804,
6344,52386,82717,5187,2012,2012_House-G_NC-7,NC-7,House-G,House-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,,10/24/2012,600.0,Mike McIntyre,6994,DEM,39.0,David Rouzer,7013,REP,45.0,,-6.0,11/6/2012,50.1,49.9,0.19,6.19,-6.19,0.0,-1.096095354373334,
6345,52378,82705,5232,2012,2012_House-G_PA-12,PA-12,House-G,House-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/24/2012,600.0,Mark S. Critz,7087,DEM,39.0,Keith J. Rothfus,7122,REP,44.0,,-5.0,11/6/2012,48.26,51.74,-3.47,1.53,-1.53,1.0,-5.757088814005301,for unspecified Republican sponsor; sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default
6619,30557,37207,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/31/2012,1281.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,46.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,49.0,,-3.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,5.98,-5.98,0.0,3.977859922523452,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6624,30556,36724,701,2012,2012_Pres-G_WI,WI,Pres-G,Pres-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/31/2012,1074.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,47.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,52.78,45.94,6.84,4.84,-4.84,1.0,1.069205382833966,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6633,30557,37208,1494,2012,2012_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/31/2012,1281.0,Sherrod Brown,2164,DEM,45.0,Josh Mandel,2165,REP,50.0,,-5.0,11/6/2012,50.7,44.7,6.0,11.0,-11.0,0.0,8.261543563416545,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6636,30556,36725,1504,2012,2012_Sen-G_WI,WI,Sen-G,Sen-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,R,10/31/2012,1074.0,Tammy Baldwin,2246,DEM,45.0,Tommy Thompson,2247,REP,47.0,,-2.0,11/6/2012,51.41,45.86,5.55,7.55,-7.55,0.0,2.847442040462793,for unspecified Republican sponsor
6926,63920,117669,1257,2013,2013_Gov-G_VA,VA,Gov-G,Gov-G,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,IVR,,10/22/2013,640.0,Terry R. McAuliffe,13762,DEM,41.0,Kenneth T. Cuccinelli,13763,REP,40.0,10.0,1.0,11/5/2013,47.74,45.22,2.52,1.52,-1.52,1.0,-4.345402275553626,
7974,43995,65210,7646,2016,2016_Pres-R_IN,IN,Pres-P,Pres-R,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,Live Phone,,4/27/2016,423.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,37.1,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,35.2,16.3,1.9,5/3/2016,53.26,36.63,16.63,14.73,,1.0,6.599418708746899,for Clout Research
8073,50552,79784,55,2016,2016_Gov-GS_OR,OR,Gov-G,Gov-GS,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,Live Phone,,10/21/2016,928.0,Kate Brown,10225,DEM,45.0,William C. Pierce,10224,REP,43.0,,2.0,11/8/2016,50.62,43.45,7.16,5.16,-5.16,1.0,-0.2649616521122315,
8709,50551,79783,55,2016,2016_Gov-GS_OR,OR,Gov-G,Gov-GS,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,Live Phone,,11/4/2016,981.0,Kate Brown,10225,DEM,52.5,William C. Pierce,10224,REP,41.4,0.7,11.1,11/8/2016,50.62,43.45,7.16,3.94,3.94,1.0,-0.8243394164045547,
8914,50580,79827,8723,2017,2017_House-OS_GA-6,GA-6,House-G,House-OS,Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies,55,Live Phone,,4/15/2017,453.0,Jon Ossoff,10471,DEM,41.3,Karen Handel,10472,REP,15.3,16.6,26.0,4/18/2017,48.12,19.77,28.35,2.35,-2.35,1.0,-1.065678846948918,for zpolitics
1246,64001,117800,3041,2002,2002_House-G_OK-4,OK-4,House-G,House-G,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,56,Live Phone,,10/19/2002,300.0,Darryl Roberts,13871,DEM,39.0,Tom Cole,13872,REP,46.0,,-7.0,11/5/2002,46.17,53.83,-7.65,0.65,0.65,1.0,-5.6216207449978,
2256,4435,5759,791,2004,2004_Pres-G_OK,OK,Pres-G,Pres-G,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,56,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,500.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,32.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,60.0,,-28.0,11/2/2004,34.43,65.57,-31.14,3.14,3.14,1.0,-0.3802669091015374,among registered voters
2283,4435,26357,1639,2004,2004_Sen-G_OK,OK,Sen-G,Sen-G,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,56,Live Phone,,10/26/2004,500.0,Brad R. Carson,3311,DEM,38.0,Tom Coburn,3310,REP,43.0,6.0,-5.0,11/2/2004,41.24,52.77,-11.52,6.52,6.52,1.0,-0.992921782614054,among registered voters
7698,36431,49518,7580,2016,2016_Pres-R_OK,OK,Pres-P,Pres-R,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,56,Live Phone,,2/23/2016,400.0,Ted Cruz,9245,REP,20.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,29.0,21.0,-9.0,3/1/2016,34.37,28.32,6.05,15.05,,0.0,0.5526786738227916,
9608,64222,118300,7740,2020,2020_Pres-D_OK,OK,Pres-P,Pres-D,Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates,56,Live Phone/Text,,2/12/2020,172.0,Joseph R. Biden Jr.,13256,DEM,12.0,Bernard Sanders,13257,DEM,14.0,20.0,-2.0,3/3/2020,38.66,25.45,13.21,15.21,,0.0,6.941792622113769,
198,54397,87933,1456,1998,1998_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/27/1998,800.0,Lee Fisher,13085,DEM,46.0,Bob Taft,13086,REP,47.0,,-1.0,11/3/1998,44.69,50.05,-5.36,4.36,4.36,1.0,-1.135659548545146,
212,54397,117088,1741,1998,1998_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/27/1998,800.0,Mary Boyle,3969,DEM,49.0,George V. Voinovich,3968,REP,51.0,,-2.0,11/3/1998,43.53,56.46,-12.93,10.93,10.93,1.0,3.09341249034756,
428,7234,8858,7148,2000,2000_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,2/29/2000,2892.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,73.0,Bill Bradley,224,DEM,26.0,1.0,47.0,3/7/2000,73.61,24.7,48.91,1.91,,1.0,-4.225044644537027,among registered voters
429,7234,8853,7149,2000,2000_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,2/29/2000,3714.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,61.0,John McCain,14677,REP,33.0,4.0,28.0,3/7/2000,57.99,36.98,21.01,6.99,,1.0,0.773565239445052,among registered voters
871,6299,7757,841,2000,2000_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/31/2000,2050.0,Al Gore,222,DEM,42.0,George W. Bush,241,REP,52.0,3.0,-10.0,11/7/2000,46.44,49.99,-3.55,6.45,-6.45,1.0,3.17949788173659,
884,6299,27201,1705,2000,2000_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/31/2000,2050.0,Ted Celeste,3833,DEM,34.0,Michael DeWine,3834,REP,61.0,,-27.0,11/7/2000,35.85,59.92,-24.06,2.94,-2.94,1.0,-0.4714831962520075,
1429,54872,88409,1405,2002,2002_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/28/2002,2048.0,Timothy Hagan,12920,DEM,40.0,Bob Taft,12916,REP,58.0,,-18.0,11/5/2002,38.31,57.76,-19.45,1.45,1.45,1.0,-3.592731554743804,
1766,5454,6989,7276,2004,2004_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,2/23/2004,3793.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,59.0,John Edwards,165,DEM,28.0,5.0,31.0,3/2/2004,51.81,34.08,17.73,13.27,,1.0,6.009362865721774,among registered voters
2209,4579,5917,790,2004,2004_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/25/2004,2880.0,John Kerry,157,DEM,50.0,George W. Bush,182,REP,50.0,,0.0,11/2/2004,48.71,50.81,-2.11,2.11,2.11,0.5,-0.4892474551769814,
2223,4579,26360,1638,2004,2004_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/25/2004,2880.0,Eric D. Fingerhut,3306,DEM,38.0,George V. Voinovich,3305,REP,62.0,,-24.0,11/2/2004,36.15,63.85,-27.7,3.7,3.7,1.0,0.042945692227322,
2982,24228,89181,1351,2006,2006_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/29/2006,1541.0,Ted Strickland,12740,DEM,67.0,J. Kenneth Blackwell,12738,REP,31.0,,36.0,11/7/2006,60.54,36.65,23.89,12.11,12.11,1.0,7.004254525393753,among registered voters
2988,24228,29466,1602,2006,2006_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/29/2006,1541.0,Sherrod Brown,3004,DEM,62.0,Michael DeWine,3005,REP,38.0,,24.0,11/7/2006,56.16,43.82,12.35,11.65,11.65,1.0,7.265402542654167,among registered voters
3716,2457,3047,7402,2008,2008_Pres-D_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-D,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,2/25/2008,2308.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,56.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,40.0,,16.0,3/4/2008,53.49,44.84,8.66,7.34,,1.0,2.831474124371018,among registered voters
3719,2457,3043,7403,2008,2008_Pres-R_OH,OH,Pres-P,Pres-R,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,2/25/2008,2082.0,John McCain,44,REP,64.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,24.0,4.0,40.0,3/4/2008,54.56,32.41,22.15,17.85,,1.0,9.186051752542497,among registered voters
4539,16502,21399,739,2008,2008_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/27/2008,2164.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,52.0,John McCain,44,REP,46.0,,6.0,11/4/2008,51.5,46.91,4.59,1.41,1.41,1.0,-1.999697804140455,
5469,32780,84101,1299,2010,2010_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/25/2010,1445.0,Ted Strickland,11320,DEM,47.0,John Richard Kasich,11321,REP,49.0,,-2.0,11/2/2010,47.04,49.04,-2.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,-2.523368399587576,
5479,32780,39376,1534,2010,2010_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/25/2010,1445.0,Lee Fisher,985,DEM,40.0,Rob Portman,986,REP,56.0,,-16.0,11/2/2010,39.4,56.85,-17.44,1.44,1.44,1.0,-1.772119035868269,
6524,30673,36930,688,2012,2012_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/29/2012,1501.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,50.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,48.0,,2.0,11/6/2012,50.67,47.69,2.98,0.98,-0.98,1.0,-1.20397208537103,
6540,30673,36931,1494,2012,2012_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/29/2012,1501.0,Sherrod Brown,2164,DEM,51.0,Josh Mandel,2165,REP,45.0,,6.0,11/6/2012,50.7,44.7,6.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,-3.071732443955559,
7346,34344,42038,1243,2014,2014_Gov-G_OH,OH,Gov-G,Gov-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,10/27/2014,1009.0,Edward FitzGerald,8678,DEM,34.0,John Richard Kasich,8679,REP,62.0,,-28.0,11/4/2014,33.03,63.64,-30.61,2.61,2.61,1.0,-6.264025177038758,
8575,48479,75972,67,2016,2016_Sen-G_OH,OH,Sen-G,Sen-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,11/1/2016,1151.0,Ted Strickland,9021,DEM,37.0,Rob Portman,9020,REP,58.0,,-21.0,11/8/2016,37.16,58.03,-20.87,0.13,-0.13,1.0,-6.078474459891681,
8599,48479,75971,637,2016,2016_Pres-G_OH,OH,Pres-G,Pres-G,Columbus Dispatch,57,Mail,,11/1/2016,1151.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,48.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,47.0,,1.0,11/8/2016,43.56,51.69,-8.13,9.13,9.13,0.0,3.927437274554438,
3628,2557,3160,7392,2008,2008_Pres-D_MD,MD,Pres-P,Pres-D,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/8/2008,6486.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,53.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,36.0,,17.0,2/12/2008,60.66,35.78,24.88,7.88,,1.0,1.616050018938681,
3632,2552,3154,7394,2008,2008_Pres-D_VA,VA,Pres-P,Pres-D,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/8/2008,6596.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,51.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,34.0,,17.0,2/12/2008,63.66,35.47,28.19,11.19,,1.0,2.014333782674933,
3637,58985,100989,7396,2008,2008_Pres-D_DC,DC,Pres-P,Pres-D,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/8/2008,1194.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,63.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,27.0,,36.0,2/12/2008,75.31,23.77,51.55,15.55,,1.0,6.159964421034463,
3681,2485,3075,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/18/2008,600.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,46.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,45.0,,1.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,2.49,,1.0,-3.903459751586151,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters
3682,2485,3076,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/18/2008,600.0,John McCain,44,REP,52.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,30.0,9.0,22.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,8.8,,1.0,-1.886570885046298,sample size unavailable; estimated at 600 as a default; among registered voters
3722,2430,3016,7406,2008,2008_Pres-D_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-D,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/25/2008,822.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,47.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,50.0,,-3.0,3/4/2008,50.88,47.39,3.49,6.49,,0.0,1.450014041029666,among registered voters
3725,2430,3014,7407,2008,2008_Pres-R_TX,TX,Pres-P,Pres-R,Constituent Dynamics,58,IVR,,2/25/2008,1089.0,John McCain,44,REP,57.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,30.0,8.0,27.0,3/4/2008,51.22,38.02,13.2,13.8,,1.0,4.512736333323265,among registered voters
666,64005,117804,2601,2000,2000_House-G_OK-2,OK-2,House-G,House-G,Consumer Logic,59,Live Phone,,10/24/2000,600.0,Brad R. Carson,13873,DEM,44.0,Andy Ewing,13874,REP,29.0,,15.0,11/7/2000,54.9,41.79,13.1,1.9,1.9,1.0,-5.373488158724519,
1953,25085,30323,1639,2004,2004_Sen-G_OK,OK,Sen-G,Sen-G,Consumer Logic,59,Live Phone,,10/17/2004,753.0,Brad R. Carson,3311,DEM,47.0,Tom Coburn,3310,REP,40.0,,7.0,11/2/2004,41.24,52.77,-11.52,18.52,18.52,0.0,11.36518875864041,among registered voters
1191,64006,117805,2977,2002,2002_House-G_NY-1,NY-1,House-G,House-G,Cooper & Secrest,60,Live Phone,D,10/15/2002,512.0,Timothy H. Bishop,13875,DEM,38.0,Felix J. Grucci,13877,REP,39.0,6.0,-1.0,11/5/2002,50.23,48.59,1.64,2.64,-2.64,0.0,-4.960907426329268,for Timothy H. Bishop
8196,47761,74749,602,2016,2016_Pres-G_AK,AK,Pres-G,Pres-G,Craciun Research Group,61,Live Phone,,10/24/2016,400.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,9207,DEM,47.0,Donald Trump,9849,REP,43.0,7.0,4.0,11/8/2016,36.55,51.28,-14.73,18.73,18.73,0.0,11.96408379729902,
5166,53263,84293,1303,2010,2010_Gov-G_SC,SC,Gov-G,Gov-G,Crantford Research,62,IVR,,10/18/2010,653.0,Vincent A. Sheheen,11331,DEM,41.0,Nimrata R. Haley,11332,REP,43.0,,-2.0,11/2/2010,46.91,51.37,-4.46,2.46,2.46,1.0,-3.657323993631593,
3489,2737,3360,7381,2008,2008_Pres-D_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-D,CJ&N,63,Live Phone,,1/29/2008,402.0,Hillary Rodham Clinton,45,DEM,36.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,31.0,7.0,5.0,2/5/2008,53.82,40.48,13.34,8.34,,1.0,0.5429327024359787,
3490,2737,3359,7382,2008,2008_Pres-R_TN,TN,Pres-P,Pres-R,CJ&N,63,Live Phone,,1/29/2008,409.0,Mike Huckabee,47,REP,24.0,John McCain,44,REP,23.0,18.0,1.0,2/5/2008,34.47,31.8,2.67,1.67,,1.0,-6.115724793650827,
5515,53288,84340,1305,2010,2010_Gov-G_TN,TN,Gov-G,Gov-G,CJ&N,63,Live Phone,,10/26/2010,600.0,Mike McWherter,11336,DEM,27.8,William Edward Haslam,11337,REP,56.5,,-28.700001,11/2/2010,33.08,65.03,-31.95,3.25,3.25,1.0,-4.036439047467542,among registered voters
2631,24230,89000,1343,2006,2006_Gov-G_ME,ME,Gov-G,Gov-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/20/2006,600.0,John Baldacci,13144,DEM,42.0,Chandler E. Woodcock,12705,REP,25.0,11.0,17.0,11/7/2006,38.11,30.21,7.9,9.1,9.1,1.0,4.417244367416216,
2634,24230,29468,1588,2006,2006_Sen-G_ME,ME,Sen-G,Sen-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/20/2006,600.0,Jean M. Hay Bright,2910,DEM,14.0,Olympia J. Snowe,2909,REP,74.0,,-60.0,11/7/2006,20.75,74.4,-53.65,6.35,-6.35,1.0,-0.309424456492192,
4021,16789,21703,725,2008,2008_Pres-G_ME,ME,Pres-G,Pres-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,443.0,Barack Obama,41,DEM,56.0,John McCain,44,REP,35.0,,21.0,11/4/2008,57.71,40.38,17.32,3.68,3.68,1.0,-0.9355636872495098,
4042,16789,24823,1558,2008,2008_Sen-G_ME,ME,Sen-G,Sen-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,443.0,Thomas H. Allen,2670,DEM,42.0,Susan M. Collins,2668,REP,54.0,,-12.0,11/4/2008,38.58,61.33,-22.75,10.75,10.75,1.0,3.768440960017736,
4050,16789,117806,4204,2008,2008_House-G_ME-1,ME-1,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,228.0,Chellie Pingree,13878,DEM,56.0,Charlie Summers,13879,REP,35.0,,21.0,11/4/2008,54.9,45.1,9.8,11.2,11.2,1.0,5.795125496110331,
4051,16789,117808,4205,2008,2008_House-G_ME-2,ME-2,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/18/2008,215.0,Michael H. Michaud,13880,DEM,64.0,John N. Frary,13881,REP,23.0,,41.0,11/4/2008,67.44,32.56,34.87,6.13,6.13,1.0,0.9693322186566792,
5071,51845,83868,1292,2010,2010_Gov-G_ME,ME,Gov-G,Gov-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/15/2010,600.0,Paul R. LePage,11298,REP,32.0,Eliot R. Cutler,11299,IND,19.0,20.0,13.0,11/2/2010,43.0,31.8,11.2,1.8,,1.0,-2.730665540286866,among registered voters
5085,51845,81922,4639,2010,2010_House-G_ME-1,ME-1,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/15/2010,295.0,Chellie Pingree,10820,DEM,45.0,C. Peter Scontras,10821,REP,40.0,,5.0,11/2/2010,56.82,43.17,13.64,8.64,-8.64,1.0,3.136957694199783,among registered voters
5086,51845,81930,4640,2010,2010_House-G_ME-2,ME-2,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/15/2010,305.0,Michael H. Michaud,10822,DEM,49.0,Jason J. Levesque,10823,REP,30.0,,19.0,11/2/2010,55.13,44.87,10.26,8.74,8.74,1.0,1.481818034381193,among registered voters
5493,52046,82185,4800,2010,2010_House-G_PA-10,PA-10,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/25/2010,400.0,Christopher P. Carney,10953,DEM,38.0,Tom Marino,10954,REP,47.0,,-9.0,11/2/2010,44.82,55.18,-10.35,1.35,1.35,1.0,-6.543624201703912,
5494,52046,82195,4801,2010,2010_House-G_PA-11,PA-11,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/25/2010,400.0,Paul E. Kanjorski,10955,DEM,47.0,Lou Barletta,10956,REP,39.0,,8.0,11/2/2010,45.3,54.7,-9.4,17.4,17.4,0.0,12.14465794172004,
5639,51844,81921,4639,2010,2010_House-G_ME-1,ME-1,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/28/2010,295.0,Chellie Pingree,10820,DEM,41.0,C. Peter Scontras,10821,REP,45.0,,-4.0,11/2/2010,56.82,43.17,13.64,17.64,-17.64,0.0,12.66640823653497,
5640,51844,81929,4640,2010,2010_House-G_ME-2,ME-2,House-G,House-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/28/2010,326.0,Michael H. Michaud,10822,DEM,44.0,Jason J. Levesque,10823,REP,40.0,,4.0,11/2/2010,55.13,44.87,10.26,6.26,-6.26,1.0,-0.4715472103309036,
6607,30751,37089,8710,2012,2012_Pres-G_M1,M1,Pres-G,Pres-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/30/2012,300.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,43.0,,6.0,11/6/2012,59.57,38.18,21.39,15.39,-15.39,1.0,10.75600693127179,
6608,30750,37088,8711,2012,2012_Pres-G_M2,M2,Pres-G,Pres-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/30/2012,300.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,42.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,52.94,44.38,8.56,1.56,-1.56,1.0,-3.235195646528398,
6614,30669,36920,674,2012,2012_Pres-G_ME,ME,Pres-G,Pres-G,Critical Insights,64,Live Phone,,10/31/2012,613.0,Barack Obama,16,DEM,49.0,Mitt Romney,9,REP,42.0,,7.0,11/6/2012,56.27,40.98,15.29,8.29,-8.29,1.0,3.873173905984912,