rowid,race,state,modeldate,candidate_name,candidate_id,pct_estimate,pct_trend_adjusted,timestamp,comment,contestdate 237941,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Donald Trump,9849,34.71159,34.33146,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 237961,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Donald Trump,9849,23.08917,23.37235,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 237972,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Rick Santorum,9742,0.2197953,0.0,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 237991,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Rick Santorum,9742,2.195343,1.992079,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238003,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Marco Rubio,9731,5.338624,6.998876,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238024,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Marco Rubio,9731,8.306378,9.4459,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238037,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Rand Paul,9666,4.984231,2.527594,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238058,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Rand Paul,9666,1.84134,1.735596,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238071,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,George Pataki,9664,0.9692515,0.8399124,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238089,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,George Pataki,9664,0.209875,0.0389742,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238100,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,John Richard Kasich,9483,1.993565,2.267598,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238119,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,John Richard Kasich,9483,3.195948,2.821432,12/10/19 19:01,one day test,2016-04-26 238131,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.6978926,0.5967535,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238150,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.5146717,0.5193831,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238161,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Mike Huckabee,9432,1.166873,0.0,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238182,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Mike Huckabee,9432,2.273481,1.773924,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238195,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0,0.0,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238214,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0867221,0.0439248,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238221,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.1198334,0.0598111,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238235,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.4520407,0.3370444,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238244,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Carly Fiorina,9340,11.17853,6.276063,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238264,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Carly Fiorina,9340,6.609394,3.371972,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238277,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Ted Cruz,9245,5.167446,5.880079,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238298,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Ted Cruz,9245,5.794367,6.962208,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238311,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Chris Christie,9197,6.99583,4.936203,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238332,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Chris Christie,9197,4.415713,4.33447,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238344,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,11.2773,17.85362,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238365,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,19.75763,24.11849,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238378,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-03,Jeb Bush,9158,11.87991,7.62771,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238399,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-03,Jeb Bush,9158,6.080794,5.210623,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238412,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Donald Trump,9849,34.702,33.79715,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238432,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Donald Trump,9849,23.0865,22.93906,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238443,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Rick Santorum,9742,0.2204744,0.0,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238462,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Rick Santorum,9742,2.194213,1.969741,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238474,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Marco Rubio,9731,5.341643,7.213704,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238495,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Marco Rubio,9731,8.308171,9.665259,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238508,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Rand Paul,9666,4.988694,2.575546,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238529,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Rand Paul,9666,1.842674,1.776638,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238542,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,George Pataki,9664,0.9684385,0.8492491,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238560,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,George Pataki,9664,0.2090732,0.0478966,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238571,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,John Richard Kasich,9483,2.000624,2.36103,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238590,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,John Richard Kasich,9483,3.200557,2.908668,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238602,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.6973031,0.5861172,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238621,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.5142568,0.5095604,12/10/19 19:00,one day test,2016-04-26 238632,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Mike Huckabee,9432,1.166873,0.0,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238653,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Mike Huckabee,9432,2.274299,1.812632,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238666,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0,0.0,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238685,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0840208,0.0,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238693,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.1237265,0.0626168,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238707,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.4570304,0.3411668,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238716,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Carly Fiorina,9340,11.17117,6.275584,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238736,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Carly Fiorina,9340,6.605196,3.373738,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238749,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Ted Cruz,9245,5.176497,6.107849,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238770,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Ted Cruz,9245,5.799031,7.188908,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238783,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Chris Christie,9197,6.991161,4.848018,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238804,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Chris Christie,9197,4.415374,4.258931,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238816,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,11.2773,17.66013,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238837,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,19.75686,23.91131,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238850,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-04,Jeb Bush,9158,11.86556,7.393005,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238871,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-04,Jeb Bush,9158,6.07475,5.022429,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238884,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Donald Trump,9849,34.68251,33.53714,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238904,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Donald Trump,9849,23.13976,22.78514,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238915,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Rick Santorum,9742,0.2228885,0.0,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238934,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Rick Santorum,9742,2.225626,2.02267,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238946,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Marco Rubio,9731,5.350867,7.344017,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238967,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Marco Rubio,9731,8.258604,9.774915,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 238980,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Rand Paul,9666,4.998635,2.683498,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239001,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Rand Paul,9666,1.863295,1.884019,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239014,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,George Pataki,9664,0.9765698,0.9016026,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239032,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,George Pataki,9664,0.2124224,0.0895583,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239043,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,John Richard Kasich,9483,2.009506,2.482141,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239062,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,John Richard Kasich,9483,3.173891,2.988004,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239074,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.7004633,0.6013482,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239093,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Piyush Amrit Jindal,9458,0.518464,0.5222198,12/10/19 18:59,one day test,2016-04-26 239104,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Mike Huckabee,9432,1.166873,0.0,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239125,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Mike Huckabee,9432,2.284445,1.792694,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239138,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0,0.0,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239157,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Lindsey Graham,9372,0.0886569,0.0,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239165,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.1229035,0.0676937,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239179,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,James S. Gilmore III,9362,0.4552478,0.3449502,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239188,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Carly Fiorina,9340,11.15496,5.989044,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239208,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Carly Fiorina,9340,6.603538,3.129761,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239221,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Ted Cruz,9245,5.184709,6.372904,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239242,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Ted Cruz,9245,5.79259,7.460499,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239255,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Chris Christie,9197,6.986938,4.774493,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239276,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Chris Christie,9197,4.379215,4.153356,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239288,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,11.2773,17.93224,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239309,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Benjamin S. Carson,9174,19.76386,24.32155,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239322,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-05,Jeb Bush,9158,11.86667,7.339281,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239343,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-05,Jeb Bush,9158,6.123043,5.00189,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239356,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-06,Donald Trump,9849,34.6902,33.56259,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239376,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-06,Donald Trump,9849,23.16203,22.81791,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239388,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-06,Rick Santorum,9742,0.2230478,0.0,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239407,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-06,Rick Santorum,9742,2.241788,2.028917,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239419,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-06,Marco Rubio,9731,5.351805,7.411025,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239440,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-06,Marco Rubio,9731,8.232696,9.835588,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239453,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-06,Rand Paul,9666,5.000218,2.648981,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239474,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-06,Rand Paul,9666,1.874193,1.863221,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239487,2016R,Connecticut,2015-11-06,George Pataki,9664,0.9767996,0.9009856,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26 239505,2016R,Pennsylvania,2015-11-06,George Pataki,9664,0.2120518,0.0881138,12/10/19 18:58,one day test,2016-04-26