polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

5,443 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2000-03-07

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
88724 88724 2000R California 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 46.42998 54.9892 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88725 88725 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 54.0 55.56224 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88729 88729 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 60.94972 63.37646 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88734 88734 2000R New York 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 52.46252 54.86738 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88735 88735 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 47.25729 58.81245 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88740 88740 2000R California 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.472277 2.698837 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88741 88741 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 5.000001 4.907708 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88745 88745 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.700482 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88749 88749 2000R New York 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.8312442 0.8113849 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88750 88750 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.555851 2.652221 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88755 88755 2000R California 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 6.508324 7.377958 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88756 88756 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 3.0 3.361957 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88760 88760 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 10.23325 10.84342 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88765 88765 2000R New York 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 4.665693 5.051238 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88766 88766 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 4.667551 5.413895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88771 88771 2000R California 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 1.223179 1.419613 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88775 88775 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 2.836259 2.693116 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88778 88778 2000R New York 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 0.6520126 0.5997149 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88779 88779 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 2.000001 1.866383 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88783 88783 2000R California 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 5.080401 10.51694 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88784 88784 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 14.0 17.03105 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88788 88788 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 5.313862 8.083319 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88793 88793 2000R New York 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 10.44729 13.50463 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88794 88794 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 4.842739 10.45018 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88799 88799 2000R California 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.547203 1.945078 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88800 88800 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3256207 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88804 88804 2000R Maryland 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.352311 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88808 88808 2000R New York 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.4973103 0.7944376 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88809 88809 2000R Ohio 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3203368 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88814 88814 2000R California 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 46.42998 54.9892 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88815 88815 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 54.0 55.56224 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88819 88819 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 60.94972 63.37646 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88824 88824 2000R New York 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 52.46252 54.86738 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88825 88825 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 47.25729 58.81245 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88830 88830 2000R California 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.472277 2.698837 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88831 88831 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 5.000001 4.907708 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88835 88835 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.700482 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88839 88839 2000R New York 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.8312442 0.8113849 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88840 88840 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.555851 2.652221 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88845 88845 2000R California 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 6.508324 7.377958 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88846 88846 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 3.0 3.361957 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88850 88850 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 10.23325 10.84342 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88855 88855 2000R New York 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 4.665693 5.051238 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88856 88856 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 4.667551 5.413895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88861 88861 2000R California 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 1.223179 1.419613 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88865 88865 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 2.836259 2.693116 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88868 88868 2000R New York 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 0.6520126 0.5997149 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88869 88869 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 2.000001 1.866383 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88873 88873 2000R California 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 5.080401 10.51694 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88874 88874 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 14.0 17.03105 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88878 88878 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 5.313862 8.083319 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88883 88883 2000R New York 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 10.44729 13.50463 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88884 88884 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 4.842739 10.45018 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88889 88889 2000R California 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.547203 1.945078 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88890 88890 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3256207 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88894 88894 2000R Maryland 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.352311 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88898 88898 2000R New York 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.4973103 0.7944376 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88899 88899 2000R Ohio 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3203368 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88904 88904 2000R California 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 46.42998 54.9892 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88905 88905 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 54.0 55.56224 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88909 88909 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 60.94972 63.37646 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88914 88914 2000R New York 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 52.46252 54.86738 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88915 88915 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 47.25729 58.81245 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88920 88920 2000R California 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.472277 2.698837 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88921 88921 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 5.000001 4.907708 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88925 88925 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.700482 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88929 88929 2000R New York 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.8312442 0.8113849 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88930 88930 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.555851 2.652221 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88935 88935 2000R California 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 6.508324 7.377958 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88936 88936 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 3.0 3.361957 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88940 88940 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 10.23325 10.84342 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88945 88945 2000R New York 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 4.665693 5.051238 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88946 88946 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 4.667551 5.413895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88951 88951 2000R California 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 1.223179 1.419613 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88955 88955 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 2.836259 2.693116 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88958 88958 2000R New York 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 0.6520126 0.5997149 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88959 88959 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 2.000001 1.866383 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88963 88963 2000R California 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 5.080401 10.51694 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88964 88964 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 14.0 17.03105 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88968 88968 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 5.313862 8.083319 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88973 88973 2000R New York 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 10.44729 13.50463 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88974 88974 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 4.842739 10.45018 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88979 88979 2000R California 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.547203 1.945078 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88980 88980 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3256207 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88984 88984 2000R Maryland 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.352311 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88988 88988 2000R New York 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.4973103 0.7944376 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88989 88989 2000R Ohio 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 4.01e-07 0.3203368 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88994 88994 2000R California 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 46.4522 55.77712 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88995 88995 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 54.0 56.18296 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
88999 88999 2000R Maryland 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 60.95224 63.99707 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89004 89004 2000R New York 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 55.89854 57.76947 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89005 89005 2000R Ohio 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 47.1876 59.48478 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89010 89010 2000R California 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.465374 2.713117 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89011 89011 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 5.000001 4.925502 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89015 89015 2000R Maryland 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735934 1.714369 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89019 89019 2000R New York 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.4880428 0.487529 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89020 89020 2000R Ohio 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.555851 2.670767 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89025 89025 2000R California 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 6.509588 7.630754 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89026 89026 2000R Connecticut 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 3.0 3.528254 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07
89030 89030 2000R Maryland 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 10.23146 11.11264 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-07

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);