polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

4,518 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2000-03-14

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
88726 88726 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 50.94814 52.58934 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88728 88728 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 66.95198 68.01244 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88736 88736 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 58.5864 68.67511 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88737 88737 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 69.95349 70.33648 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88738 88738 2000R Texas 1999-10-26 George W. Bush 241 89.0 92.93219 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88742 88742 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.674369 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88744 88744 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.6983048 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88751 88751 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.396601 2.498714 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88752 88752 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.7408887 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88757 88757 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 7.332734 7.813082 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88759 88759 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 6.368411 6.73086 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88767 88767 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 4.6034 5.461952 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88768 88768 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 4.443948 4.505265 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88769 88769 2000R Texas 1999-10-26 Steve Forbes 221 2.000001 2.752686 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88772 88772 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 0.8668025 0.7153724 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88774 88774 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88780 88780 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 Alan Keyes 219 1.851183 1.806907 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88785 88785 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 11.43007 14.07106 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88787 88787 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 3.26844 4.432313 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88795 88795 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 3.258735 8.414895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88796 88796 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 8.37536 8.711654 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88797 88797 2000R Texas 1999-10-26 John McCain 213 1.000001 5.494822 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88801 88801 2000R Florida 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.023678 1.405125 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88803 88803 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.3158331 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88810 88810 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.000001 1.366076 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88811 88811 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-26 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.1169036 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88816 88816 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 50.94814 52.58934 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88818 88818 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 66.95198 68.01244 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88826 88826 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 58.5864 68.67511 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88827 88827 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 69.95349 70.33648 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88828 88828 2000R Texas 1999-10-27 George W. Bush 241 89.0 92.93219 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88832 88832 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.674369 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88834 88834 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.6983048 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88841 88841 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.396601 2.498714 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88842 88842 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.7408887 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88847 88847 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 7.332734 7.813082 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88849 88849 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 6.368411 6.73086 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88857 88857 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 4.6034 5.461952 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88858 88858 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 4.443948 4.505265 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88859 88859 2000R Texas 1999-10-27 Steve Forbes 221 2.000001 2.752686 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88862 88862 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 0.8668025 0.7153724 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88864 88864 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88870 88870 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 Alan Keyes 219 1.851183 1.806907 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88875 88875 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 11.43007 14.07106 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88877 88877 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 3.26844 4.432313 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88885 88885 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 3.258735 8.414895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88886 88886 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 8.37536 8.711654 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88887 88887 2000R Texas 1999-10-27 John McCain 213 1.000001 5.494822 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88891 88891 2000R Florida 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.023678 1.405125 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88893 88893 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.3158331 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88900 88900 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.000001 1.366076 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88901 88901 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-27 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.1169036 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88906 88906 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 50.94814 52.58934 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88908 88908 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 66.95198 68.01244 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88916 88916 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 58.5864 68.67511 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88917 88917 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 69.95349 70.33648 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88918 88918 2000R Texas 1999-10-28 George W. Bush 241 89.0 92.93219 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88922 88922 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735944 1.674369 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88924 88924 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.6983048 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88931 88931 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.396601 2.498714 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88932 88932 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637267 0.7408887 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88937 88937 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 7.332734 7.813082 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88939 88939 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 6.368411 6.73086 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88947 88947 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 4.6034 5.461952 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88948 88948 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 4.443948 4.505265 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88949 88949 2000R Texas 1999-10-28 Steve Forbes 221 2.000001 2.752686 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88952 88952 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 0.8668025 0.7153724 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88954 88954 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88960 88960 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 Alan Keyes 219 1.851183 1.806907 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88965 88965 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 11.43007 14.07106 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88967 88967 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 3.26844 4.432313 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88975 88975 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 3.258735 8.414895 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88976 88976 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 8.37536 8.711654 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88977 88977 2000R Texas 1999-10-28 John McCain 213 1.000001 5.494822 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88981 88981 2000R Florida 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.023678 1.405125 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88983 88983 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.3158331 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88990 88990 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 1.000001 1.366076 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88991 88991 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-28 Orrin G. Hatch 209 0.0207739 0.1169036 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88996 88996 2000R Florida 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 50.95073 53.18923 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
88998 88998 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 66.95438 68.51993 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89006 89006 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 58.5864 69.32042 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89007 89007 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 69.95581 70.5873 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89008 89008 2000R Texas 1999-10-29 George W. Bush 241 89.0 93.28391 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89012 89012 2000R Florida 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 1.735934 1.686506 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89014 89014 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637176 0.7067694 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89021 89021 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 2.396601 2.516685 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89022 89022 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-29 Gary L. Bauer 231 0.7637176 0.7264419 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89027 89027 2000R Florida 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 7.331177 8.023408 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89029 89029 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 6.366939 6.914133 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89037 89037 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 4.6034 5.687626 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89038 89038 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 4.442654 4.583806 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89039 89039 2000R Texas 1999-10-29 Steve Forbes 221 2.000001 2.940791 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89042 89042 2000R Florida 1999-10-29 Alan Keyes 219 0.8722394 1.154947 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89044 89044 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-29 Alan Keyes 219 0.0 0.0797966 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89050 89050 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-29 Alan Keyes 219 1.85726 1.952317 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89055 89055 2000R Florida 1999-10-29 John McCain 213 11.42381 14.57028 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89057 89057 2000R Louisiana 1999-10-29 John McCain 213 3.264518 4.754822 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89065 89065 2000R Oklahoma 1999-10-29 John McCain 213 3.258735 8.890994 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89066 89066 2000R Tennessee 1999-10-29 John McCain 213 8.369887 8.95916 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14
89067 89067 2000R Texas 1999-10-29 John McCain 213 1.000001 5.923773 12/10/19 17:30 one day test 2000-03-14

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);