polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

4,111 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2004-02-03

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
108056 108056 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.537314 1.58397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108068 108068 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 4.01e-07 0.4433024 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108073 108073 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.079793 3.313908 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108075 108075 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.313433 4.854025 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108087 108087 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.115724 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108092 108092 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.503178 6.18943 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108094 108094 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 10.22388 10.96587 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108106 108106 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 18.0 16.96599 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108111 108111 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 6.602344 7.432815 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108113 108113 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 3.149255 2.811418 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108125 108125 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 4.01e-07 0.305672 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108130 108130 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.447762 6.46224 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108132 108132 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 12.0 11.69745 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108146 108146 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 5.932704 6.611346 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108148 108148 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 2.611941 2.231162 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108160 108160 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 1.000001 0.3681535 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108165 108165 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 12.16457 11.17295 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108167 108167 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.9253737 0.7713881 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108179 108179 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 3.0 3.020307 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108184 108184 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.8820068 0.8146917 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108186 108186 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 13.77612 10.51155 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108198 108198 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 14.0 10.94325 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108203 108203 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 11.62813 9.026575 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108205 108205 2004D Arizona 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 10.31343 9.289327 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108217 108217 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 10.0 8.304798 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108222 108222 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 7.196585 6.228424 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108224 108224 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.537314 1.58397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108236 108236 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 4.01e-07 0.4433024 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108241 108241 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.078158 3.312593 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108243 108243 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.313433 4.854025 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108255 108255 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.115724 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108260 108260 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.504908 6.190028 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108262 108262 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 10.22388 10.96587 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108274 108274 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 18.0 16.96599 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108279 108279 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 6.607701 7.444463 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108281 108281 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 3.149255 2.811418 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108293 108293 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 4.01e-07 0.305672 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108298 108298 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.443343 6.451464 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108300 108300 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 12.0 11.69745 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108314 108314 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 5.930367 6.607868 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108316 108316 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 2.611941 2.231162 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108328 108328 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 1.000001 0.3681535 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108333 108333 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 12.1653 11.17004 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108335 108335 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.9253737 0.7713881 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108347 108347 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 3.0 3.020307 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108352 108352 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.882021 0.8141776 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108354 108354 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 13.77612 10.51155 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108366 108366 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 14.0 10.94325 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108371 108371 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 11.59514 9.003498 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108373 108373 2004D Arizona 2003-10-22 John Kerry 157 10.31343 9.289327 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108385 108385 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-22 John Kerry 157 10.0 8.304798 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108390 108390 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-22 John Kerry 157 7.227269 6.253278 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108392 108392 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.537314 1.58397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108404 108404 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 4.01e-07 0.4433024 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108409 108409 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.078158 3.312593 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108411 108411 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.313433 4.854025 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108423 108423 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.115724 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108428 108428 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.504908 6.190028 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108430 108430 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Howard Dean 172 10.22388 10.96587 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108442 108442 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Howard Dean 172 18.0 16.96599 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108447 108447 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Howard Dean 172 6.607701 7.444463 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108449 108449 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 3.149255 2.811418 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108461 108461 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 4.01e-07 0.305672 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108466 108466 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.443343 6.451464 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108468 108468 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Wesley Clark 166 12.0 11.69745 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108482 108482 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Wesley Clark 166 5.930367 6.607868 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108484 108484 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 John Edwards 165 2.611941 2.231162 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108496 108496 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 John Edwards 165 1.000001 0.3681535 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108501 108501 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 John Edwards 165 12.1653 11.17004 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108503 108503 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.9253737 0.7713881 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108515 108515 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 3.0 3.020307 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108520 108520 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.882021 0.8141776 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108522 108522 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 13.77612 10.51155 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108534 108534 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 14.0 10.94325 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108539 108539 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 11.59514 9.003498 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108541 108541 2004D Arizona 2003-10-23 John Kerry 157 10.31343 9.289327 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108553 108553 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-23 John Kerry 157 10.0 8.304798 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108558 108558 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-23 John Kerry 157 7.227269 6.253278 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108560 108560 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.537314 1.58397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108572 108572 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 4.01e-07 0.4433024 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108577 108577 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.077077 3.312406 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108579 108579 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.313433 4.854025 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108591 108591 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.115724 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108596 108596 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.517004 6.200017 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108598 108598 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Howard Dean 172 10.22388 10.96587 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108610 108610 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Howard Dean 172 18.0 16.96599 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108615 108615 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Howard Dean 172 6.567038 7.407493 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108617 108617 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 3.149255 2.811418 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108629 108629 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 4.01e-07 0.305672 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108634 108634 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.425569 6.43308 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-02-03
108636 108636 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Wesley Clark 166 12.0 11.69745 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108650 108650 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Wesley Clark 166 5.924814 6.602061 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108652 108652 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 John Edwards 165 2.611941 2.231162 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108664 108664 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 John Edwards 165 1.000001 0.3681535 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108669 108669 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 John Edwards 165 12.14983 11.1565 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108671 108671 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.9253737 0.7713881 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108683 108683 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 3.0 3.020307 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108688 108688 2004D South Carolina 2003-10-24 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.8997176 0.8324057 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108690 108690 2004D Arizona 2003-10-24 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 13.77612 10.51155 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03
108702 108702 2004D New Mexico 2003-10-24 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 14.0 10.94325 12/10/19 17:58 one day test 2004-02-03

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);