polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

8,060 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2004-03-02

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
108057 108057 2004D California 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 2.542074 2.922288 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108058 108058 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.983731 2.049276 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108059 108059 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 5.715963 5.75172 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108063 108063 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.000001 1.229004 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108069 108069 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.680486 4.015746 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108070 108070 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 6.0 6.775017 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108072 108072 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.0 3.597439 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108076 108076 2004D California 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.069195 4.739943 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108077 108077 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.603714 3.883723 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108078 108078 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 11.20344 11.12588 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108082 108082 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 10.0 7.628969 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108088 108088 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 9.692733 8.19033 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108089 108089 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 14.92537 12.85962 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108091 108091 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.220979 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108095 108095 2004D California 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 16.47663 17.05985 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108096 108096 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 11.32557 16.48784 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108097 108097 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 6.761244 8.329946 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108101 108101 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 25.0 25.38834 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108107 108107 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 12.4993 15.79092 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108108 108108 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 5.298507 8.968577 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108110 108110 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Howard Dean 172 17.0 16.01938 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108114 108114 2004D California 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.187804 2.324565 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108115 108115 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.528676 2.477136 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108116 108116 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 5.346593 5.268579 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108120 108120 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 5.000001 4.552908 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108126 108126 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 8.478637 8.390878 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108127 108127 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.462687 6.360426 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108129 108129 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.000001 2.478087 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108133 108133 2004D California 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 11.2887 11.06972 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108134 108134 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 14.0 12.00397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108135 108135 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 14.02159 13.50882 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108143 108143 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 10.90793 12.13576 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108144 108144 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Wesley Clark 166 3.0 4.531209 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108149 108149 2004D California 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 2.379137 1.650816 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108150 108150 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 3.084788 2.163967 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108151 108151 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 4.411891 3.956244 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108155 108155 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 3.0 2.451397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108161 108161 2004D New York 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 3.993557 2.957267 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108162 108162 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 1.462687 0.3320221 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108164 108164 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 John Edwards 165 1.000001 0.3584834 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108168 108168 2004D California 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 2.473352 2.403414 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108169 108169 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.2145672 0.1150936 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108170 108170 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 0.6402413 0.6555728 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108174 108174 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 2.000001 2.037977 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108180 108180 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 1.55992 1.528801 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108181 108181 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 11.31343 11.19562 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108183 108183 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Dennis J. Kucinich 162 1.000001 0.9709086 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108187 108187 2004D California 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 13.80834 10.82976 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108188 108188 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 37.99267 29.61759 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108189 108189 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 12.65187 10.94339 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108193 108193 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 23.0 14.97268 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108199 108199 2004D New York 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 19.12691 15.21737 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108200 108200 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 20.61194 14.94802 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108202 108202 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 Joseph I. Lieberman 160 17.0 14.83444 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108206 108206 2004D California 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 10.44874 8.868614 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108207 108207 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 15.33321 13.27819 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108208 108208 2004D Georgia 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 6.03092 5.513836 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108212 108212 2004D Maryland 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 11.0 9.165657 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108218 108218 2004D New York 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 10.58961 9.150788 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108219 108219 2004D Ohio 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 8.925374 7.135641 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108221 108221 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-21 John Kerry 157 17.0 14.97267 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108225 108225 2004D California 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 2.542269 2.922879 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108226 108226 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.984076 2.050305 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108227 108227 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 5.709585 5.750391 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108231 108231 2004D Maryland 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 1.000001 1.229004 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108237 108237 2004D New York 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.679238 4.016276 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108238 108238 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 6.0 6.775017 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108240 108240 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-22 Carol Moseley-Braun 174 3.0 3.597439 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108244 108244 2004D California 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.067421 4.734798 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108245 108245 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 6.600108 3.873829 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108246 108246 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 11.20359 11.11669 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108250 108250 2004D Maryland 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 10.0 7.628969 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108256 108256 2004D New York 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 9.689805 8.1795 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108257 108257 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 14.92537 12.85962 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108259 108259 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-22 Richard A. Gephardt 173 7.000001 6.220979 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108263 108263 2004D California 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 16.47253 17.05877 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108264 108264 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 11.31901 16.48687 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108265 108265 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 6.768414 8.345116 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108269 108269 2004D Maryland 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 25.0 25.38834 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108275 108275 2004D New York 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 12.49591 15.79543 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108276 108276 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 5.298507 8.968577 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108278 108278 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-22 Howard Dean 172 17.0 16.01938 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108282 108282 2004D California 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.188768 2.32591 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108283 108283 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.530406 2.479539 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108284 108284 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 5.343228 5.265348 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108288 108288 2004D Maryland 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 5.000001 4.552908 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108294 108294 2004D New York 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 8.47926 8.3923 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108295 108295 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 6.462687 6.360426 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108297 108297 2004D Rhode Island 2003-10-22 Al Sharpton Jr. 167 2.000001 2.478087 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108301 108301 2004D California 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 11.28477 11.06728 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108302 108302 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 14.0 12.00397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108303 108303 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 13.92155 13.42271 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108311 108311 2004D New York 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 10.89256 12.11382 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108312 108312 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 Wesley Clark 166 3.0 4.531209 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108317 108317 2004D California 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 2.376708 1.647378 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108318 108318 2004D Connecticut 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 3.079571 2.156626 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108319 108319 2004D Georgia 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 4.409757 3.950238 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108323 108323 2004D Maryland 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 3.0 2.451397 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108329 108329 2004D New York 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 3.988786 2.950073 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02
108330 108330 2004D Ohio 2003-10-22 John Edwards 165 1.462687 0.3320221 12/10/19 17:59 one day test 2004-03-02

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);