polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,681 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2008-01-19

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
132419 132419 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.148683 1.26476 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-01-19
132429 132429 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.272913 1.302091 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-01-19
132450 132450 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.330311 1.222848 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-01-19
132459 132459 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.190824 1.220107 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-01-19
132481 132481 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 15.54537 21.59877 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132490 132490 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 19.22952 20.09881 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132512 132512 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6791281 1.05136 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132521 132521 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 1.277548 1.425648 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132544 132544 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.73609 21.03968 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132554 132554 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.13548 20.6604 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132577 132577 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.093209 2.232789 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132586 132586 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 2.244205 2.417859 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132609 132609 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 19.57904 19.59879 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132619 132619 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 15.66007 14.9333 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132642 132642 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 1.343203 3.966614 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132652 132652 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 5.261621 5.796819 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132675 132675 2008R Nevada 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 15.16353 12.3203 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132685 132685 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 15.30259 15.54875 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132708 132708 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 1.148683 1.26476 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132718 132718 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 1.272913 1.302091 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132739 132739 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 1.330311 1.222848 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132748 132748 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 1.190824 1.220107 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132770 132770 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 15.54441 21.62985 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132779 132779 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 19.2303 20.15582 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132801 132801 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6791281 1.05136 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132810 132810 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 1.277548 1.425648 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132833 132833 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.7352 21.06079 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132843 132843 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.13387 20.63397 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132866 132866 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 1.093209 2.232789 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132875 132875 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 2.244205 2.417859 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132898 132898 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 19.58018 19.65363 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132908 132908 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 15.6589 14.91352 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132931 132931 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 1.342823 4.05876 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132941 132941 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 5.257946 5.856899 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132964 132964 2008R Nevada 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 15.16406 12.10757 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132974 132974 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 15.30608 15.50359 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
132997 132997 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 1.148683 1.26476 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
133007 133007 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 1.272913 1.302091 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
133028 133028 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 1.330311 1.222848 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
133037 133037 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 1.190824 1.220107 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-01-19
133059 133059 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 15.54228 21.79438 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133068 133068 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 19.22693 20.2235 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133090 133090 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6791281 1.05136 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133099 133099 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 1.277548 1.425648 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133122 133122 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.73412 21.15216 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133132 133132 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.13106 20.65105 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133155 133155 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 1.093209 2.232789 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133164 133164 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 2.244205 2.417859 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133187 133187 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 19.58168 19.67716 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133197 133197 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 15.65889 14.90396 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133220 133220 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 1.342685 4.056535 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133230 133230 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 5.259332 5.862772 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133253 133253 2008R Nevada 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 15.16448 11.84982 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133263 133263 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 15.31018 15.39134 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133286 133286 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 1.148581 1.170206 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133296 133296 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 1.272902 1.260067 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133317 133317 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 1.330657 1.189492 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133326 133326 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 1.178163 1.181396 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133348 133348 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 15.54233 20.04029 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133357 133357 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 19.44537 19.40638 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133379 133379 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6789483 0.9686828 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133388 133388 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 1.277635 1.403034 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133411 133411 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.73597 21.69793 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133421 133421 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.13496 20.91572 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133444 133444 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 1.093205 2.178529 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133453 133453 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 2.244894 2.412416 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133476 133476 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 19.59328 19.69076 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133486 133486 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 15.66836 15.20045 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133509 133509 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 1.343286 4.407868 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133519 133519 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 5.265814 6.058409 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133542 133542 2008R Nevada 2007-10-08 John McCain 44 15.15952 11.80201 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133552 133552 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-08 John McCain 44 15.30315 15.14033 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133575 133575 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.149396 1.170864 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133585 133585 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.284234 1.273204 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133607 133607 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.331836 1.190662 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133616 133616 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.178402 1.18164 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133639 133639 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 15.53375 19.83832 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133648 133648 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 19.39149 19.24954 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133671 133671 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6784782 0.9680531 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133680 133680 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 1.266819 1.391912 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133704 133704 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.73091 21.75814 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133714 133714 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.13362 20.94923 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133738 133738 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Ron Paul 49 1.09345 2.17859 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133747 133747 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Ron Paul 49 2.237555 2.403602 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133771 133771 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Mitt Romney 48 19.60229 19.88016 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133781 133781 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Mitt Romney 48 15.71182 15.3046 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133805 133805 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Mike Huckabee 47 1.344118 4.436768 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133815 133815 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Mike Huckabee 47 5.278081 6.092191 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133839 133839 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 John McCain 44 15.16006 11.67673 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133849 133849 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 John McCain 44 15.27728 15.0332 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133873 133873 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.963397 2.972938 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133883 133883 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.278255 1.268505 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133905 133905 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364871 1.295303 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133914 133914 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.174759 1.177896 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133937 133937 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 12.56776 14.60076 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133946 133946 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 19.38576 19.02375 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133953 133953 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133971 133971 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Duncan Hunter 53 1.004737 1.140253 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133980 133980 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Duncan Hunter 53 1.283218 1.409665 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
134004 134004 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 27.54256 26.03562 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);