polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

29,465 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2008-02-05

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
132402 132402 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.13499 1.148827 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132403 132403 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.922206 1.782329 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132404 132404 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 0.4517185 0.2147517 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132405 132405 2008R California 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.393383 1.439428 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132406 132406 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.934528 1.902737 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132407 132407 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.541637 1.324062 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132409 132409 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 2.573374 2.859166 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132410 132410 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 2.980702 3.047434 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132414 132414 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 0.4517185 0.1575285 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132416 132416 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.969644 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132417 132417 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 5.73552 5.759169 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132421 132421 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 0.5123116 0.4853573 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132423 132423 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.01768 0.9530485 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132426 132426 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 2.330246 2.260583 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132431 132431 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.062308 0.7895958 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132434 132434 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.8074955 0.7977282 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132435 132435 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.9396176 0.9183795 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132436 132436 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.616206 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132437 132437 2008R California 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 2.853305 2.813432 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132438 132438 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 5.675563 5.731166 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132439 132439 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.625789 0.6070667 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132441 132441 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3744571 0.3718101 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132442 132442 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.359218 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132446 132446 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3744571 0.4135427 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132448 132448 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.046396 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132452 132452 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4822775 0.5118502 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132453 132453 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6445101 0.6593066 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132456 132456 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2501364 0.2530345 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132461 132461 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2629728 0.3069783 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-05
132464 132464 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 27.2834 31.51955 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132465 132465 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 13.59485 16.76843 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132466 132466 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 5.658189 16.3197 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132467 132467 2008R California 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 17.33685 19.13878 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132468 132468 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 21.44292 24.63883 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132469 132469 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 3.220189 11.84177 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132471 132471 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 28.32185 31.50691 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132473 132473 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 22.19539 23.38469 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132478 132478 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 16.19232 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132479 132479 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 23.2189 26.17898 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132483 132483 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 9.45219 12.74892 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132484 132484 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 8.53432 11.77829 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132487 132487 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 13.51998 25.50712 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132492 132492 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 3.252207 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132495 132495 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132496 132496 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 1.01688 1.354662 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132497 132497 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 1.425633 1.777739 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132498 132498 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.6232212 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132499 132499 2008R California 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 3.348241 3.88228 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132500 132500 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 1.063993 1.280185 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132501 132501 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3137386 0.6121238 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132503 132503 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.6412472 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132504 132504 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6990628 1.262797 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132507 132507 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.5006691 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132509 132509 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.077534 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132510 132510 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 1.021536 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132514 132514 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.1784989 0.3962011 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132516 132516 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.1019102 0.3405813 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132519 132519 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4746859 0.7346904 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132523 132523 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.8794774 1.050098 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132526 132526 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 25.33956 20.92062 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132527 132527 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.35362 17.52383 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132528 132528 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 11.67248 6.143287 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132529 132529 2008R California 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 27.20114 25.83301 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132530 132530 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 23.91356 21.48501 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132531 132531 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 35.49004 28.42903 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132533 132533 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 19.58721 17.68052 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132535 132535 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 30.89367 28.69444 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132539 132539 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 21.56969 15.42893 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132541 132541 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 27.0 26.4121 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132542 132542 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 20.26871 18.37079 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132546 132546 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 46.83937 43.00228 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132548 132548 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 48.24944 44.07257 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132551 132551 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.04374 21.86479 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132556 132556 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 11.27041 7.425799 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132560 132560 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.059572 1.742445 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132561 132561 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.082716 1.904356 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132562 132562 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.571505 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132563 132563 2008R California 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.772194 2.569939 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132564 132564 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.235922 1.736905 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132565 132565 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.144897 2.69789 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132567 132567 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 2.644305 2.944361 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132568 132568 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.577798 2.231895 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132572 132572 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.819487 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132574 132574 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.194269 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132575 132575 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.577798 1.847481 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132579 132579 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.9242496 1.37088 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132580 132580 2008R New York 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.6091814 1.237442 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132583 132583 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.777365 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132588 132588 2008R Utah 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.6517575 1.546298 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132591 132591 2008R Alabama 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 5.585714 5.78397 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132592 132592 2008R Arizona 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 9.114055 9.698487 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132593 132593 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 4.684689 5.844843 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132594 132594 2008R California 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 14.95151 13.97912 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132595 132595 2008R Colorado 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 9.230423 9.273144 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132596 132596 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 11.14109 13.14581 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132598 132598 2008R Georgia 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 15.11899 13.03796 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132600 132600 2008R Illinois 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 12.48688 14.1471 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132604 132604 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 39.6411 44.49216 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132606 132606 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 5.000001 4.864412 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05
132607 132607 2008R Missouri 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 7.642037 7.533723 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);