polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

3,566 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2008-02-12

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
132413 132413 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.207624 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-12
132445 132445 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.1110086 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-02-12
132476 132476 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 14.63771 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132538 132538 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 30.03884 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132571 132571 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.407709 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132603 132603 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 5.851486 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132636 132636 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.197452 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132669 132669 2008R Maryland 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 13.0 14.19184 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132702 132702 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.207624 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132734 132734 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.1110086 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132765 132765 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 14.65944 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132827 132827 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 30.07174 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132860 132860 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.407709 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132892 132892 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 5.886587 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132925 132925 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.287354 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132958 132958 2008R Maryland 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 13.0 13.95336 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
132991 132991 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.207624 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
133023 133023 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.1110086 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-02-12
133054 133054 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 14.79995 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133116 133116 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 30.18726 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133149 133149 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.407709 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133181 133181 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 5.901059 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133214 133214 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.285258 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133247 133247 2008R Maryland 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 13.0 13.67063 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133280 133280 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.111219 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133312 133312 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.082121 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133343 133343 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 13.26669 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133405 133405 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 30.84571 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133438 133438 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.352811 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133470 133470 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 5.920545 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133503 133503 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.624564 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133536 133536 2008R Maryland 2007-10-08 John McCain 44 13.0 13.60348 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133569 133569 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.111219 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133589 133589 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.160414 1.164049 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133602 133602 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.082121 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133620 133620 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.11399 1.119072 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133634 133634 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 13.10452 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133651 133651 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 20.5544 20.83038 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133684 133684 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 2.092191 2.094537 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133698 133698 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 30.92723 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133718 133718 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 30.72526 30.73491 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133732 133732 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.352811 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133751 133751 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Ron Paul 49 1.827232 1.830095 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133765 133765 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 6.024885 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133785 133785 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Mitt Romney 48 9.545251 9.370991 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133799 133799 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.651814 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133819 133819 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Mike Huckabee 47 1.792318 1.784211 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133833 133833 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 John McCain 44 13.0 13.47511 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133853 133853 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 John McCain 44 18.99268 19.22869 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133867 133867 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.111219 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133887 133887 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.158529 1.162048 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133900 133900 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.082121 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133918 133918 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.110343 1.115305 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133932 133932 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 12.7674 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133949 133949 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 20.55047 20.88387 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133984 133984 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Duncan Hunter 53 2.093269 2.095736 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133998 133998 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 31.03664 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134018 134018 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 30.73046 30.73204 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134032 134032 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.352811 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134051 134051 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Ron Paul 49 1.823609 1.827144 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134065 134065 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 6.161005 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134085 134085 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Mitt Romney 48 9.545412 9.271873 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134099 134099 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.678668 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134119 134119 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Mike Huckabee 47 1.795692 1.786197 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134133 134133 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 John McCain 44 13.0 13.48882 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134153 134153 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 John McCain 44 18.99382 19.28206 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
134167 134167 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.183101 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134187 134187 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.169906 1.163133 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134200 134200 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3291622 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134218 134218 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.122323 1.21568 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134232 134232 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.4269 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134249 134249 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 20.56794 20.15639 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134284 134284 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Duncan Hunter 53 2.090267 2.055432 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134298 134298 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 31.7155 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134318 134318 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 30.73631 31.12681 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134332 134332 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.339547 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134351 134351 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Ron Paul 49 1.823669 1.897162 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134365 134365 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 6.75735 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134385 134385 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Mitt Romney 48 9.542977 9.57968 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134399 134399 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.715828 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134419 134419 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Mike Huckabee 47 1.792817 1.788239 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134433 134433 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 John McCain 44 13.0 12.3809 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134453 134453 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 John McCain 44 18.98305 18.65252 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134467 134467 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.183101 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134487 134487 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.165564 1.158754 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134500 134500 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3291622 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134518 134518 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.120691 1.213929 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134532 134532 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.19075 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134549 134549 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 20.58087 19.84065 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134584 134584 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Duncan Hunter 53 2.091778 2.056931 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134598 134598 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 32.0 31.63068 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134618 134618 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 30.73732 31.09011 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134632 134632 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Ron Paul 49 2.000001 2.339547 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134651 134651 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Ron Paul 49 1.823997 1.897179 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134665 134665 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Mitt Romney 48 8.0 6.886546 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134685 134685 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Mitt Romney 48 9.533357 9.769897 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134699 134699 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Mike Huckabee 47 2.000001 3.770067 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134719 134719 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Mike Huckabee 47 1.791208 1.833023 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134733 134733 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 John McCain 44 13.0 12.14829 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134753 134753 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 John McCain 44 18.98215 18.39704 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);