polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

6,927 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2008-03-04

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
132425 132425 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 0.9322363 0.9360337 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132430 132430 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.356972 1.320972 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132432 132432 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 1.514102 1.179466 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132455 132455 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6413422 0.6517988 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132460 132460 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.616206 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132462 132462 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.470716 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-03-04
132486 132486 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 13.32287 18.67891 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132491 132491 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 18.89851 28.715 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132518 132518 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3838369 0.7624812 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132522 132522 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4859207 0.8827736 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132524 132524 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.5006691 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132550 132550 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 26.4872 22.10258 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132555 132555 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.84562 20.15428 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132557 132557 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.519 21.52659 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132582 132582 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.6714 1.495206 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132587 132587 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 2.694638 3.76177 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132589 132589 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.819487 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132615 132615 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 8.116357 8.299727 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132620 132620 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 10.34533 10.71576 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132622 132622 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 7.833602 10.47789 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132648 132648 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 1.7377 4.473451 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132653 132653 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 4.503139 7.68119 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132655 132655 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 0.6623374 3.929626 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132681 132681 2008R Ohio 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 18.54769 15.15048 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132686 132686 2008R Texas 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 18.65436 14.69944 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132688 132688 2008R Vermont 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 27.71162 19.629 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132714 132714 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 0.9322363 0.9360337 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132719 132719 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 1.356972 1.320972 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132721 132721 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 1.514102 1.179466 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132744 132744 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6413422 0.6517988 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132749 132749 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.616206 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132751 132751 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.470716 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132775 132775 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 13.3221 18.70884 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132780 132780 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 18.89746 28.74642 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132807 132807 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3838369 0.7624812 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132811 132811 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4859207 0.8827736 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132813 132813 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.5006691 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132839 132839 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 26.4916 22.1247 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132844 132844 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.84458 20.17632 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132846 132846 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.51705 21.54596 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132871 132871 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 0.6714 1.495206 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132876 132876 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 2.694638 3.76177 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132878 132878 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.819487 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132904 132904 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 8.116046 8.342426 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132909 132909 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 10.3464 10.75988 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132911 132911 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 7.834886 10.51632 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132937 132937 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 1.734443 4.569308 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132942 132942 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 4.502764 7.798042 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132944 132944 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 0.6616862 4.020369 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132970 132970 2008R Ohio 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 18.56304 14.91553 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132975 132975 2008R Texas 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 18.65461 14.46434 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
132977 132977 2008R Vermont 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 27.71286 19.37357 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133003 133003 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 0.9322363 0.9360337 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133008 133008 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 1.356972 1.320972 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133010 133010 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 1.514102 1.179466 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133033 133033 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6413422 0.6517988 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133038 133038 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.616206 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133040 133040 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426284 1.470716 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-03-04
133064 133064 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 13.3221 18.86195 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133069 133069 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 18.89582 28.9297 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133096 133096 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3838369 0.7624812 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133100 133100 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4859207 0.8827736 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133102 133102 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.5006691 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133128 133128 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 26.48914 22.22016 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133133 133133 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.84346 20.26863 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133135 133135 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.51469 21.63738 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133160 133160 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 0.6714 1.495206 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133165 133165 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 2.694638 3.76177 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133167 133167 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 0.5077825 1.819487 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133193 133193 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 8.117704 8.361132 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133198 133198 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 10.3476 10.77962 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133200 133200 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 7.836536 10.53094 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133226 133226 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 1.734144 4.566643 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133231 133231 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 4.5025 7.795012 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133233 133233 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 0.6615174 4.01797 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133259 133259 2008R Ohio 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 18.56401 14.62644 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133264 133264 2008R Texas 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 18.65463 14.18058 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133266 133266 2008R Vermont 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 27.71386 19.06009 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133292 133292 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 0.9324062 0.8446673 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133297 133297 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 1.35691 1.225887 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133299 133299 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 1.514082 1.086855 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133322 133322 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 0.641264 0.6201393 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133327 133327 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426944 1.581868 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133329 133329 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 1.426944 1.436921 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133353 133353 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 13.3221 17.17802 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133358 133358 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 18.88779 26.91645 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133385 133385 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3836941 0.6821263 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133389 133389 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4859509 0.8025471 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133391 133391 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 0.222157 0.4244745 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133417 133417 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 26.48942 22.79414 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133422 133422 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 24.84461 20.81834 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133424 133424 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.51692 22.19546 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133449 133449 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 0.6702769 1.443417 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133454 133454 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 2.695016 3.699721 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133456 133456 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 0.5084868 1.76897 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133482 133482 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 8.126691 8.376782 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133487 133487 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 10.35571 10.80016 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133489 133489 2008R Vermont 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 7.848231 10.54262 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133515 133515 2008R Ohio 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 1.733082 4.933269 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133520 133520 2008R Texas 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 4.502407 8.239395 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);