polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,309 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2008-05-06

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
132424 132424 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Sam Brownback 83 0.3052919 0.2797576 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-05-06
132454 132454 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0165332 12/10/19 18:42 one day test 2008-05-06
132485 132485 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Fred Thompson 57 22.30621 27.33278 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132517 132517 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.9912507 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132549 132549 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.07419 24.49373 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132581 132581 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.086143 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132614 132614 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Mitt Romney 48 7.006306 7.781567 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132647 132647 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 Mike Huckabee 47 4.030571 7.706169 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132680 132680 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-05 John McCain 44 19.39225 14.93262 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132713 132713 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Sam Brownback 83 0.3052919 0.2797576 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132743 132743 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0165332 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132774 132774 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Fred Thompson 57 22.27264 27.31855 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132806 132806 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.9912507 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132838 132838 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.10483 24.51882 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132870 132870 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.086143 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132903 132903 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Mitt Romney 48 7.00763 7.831603 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132936 132936 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 Mike Huckabee 47 4.0299 7.804795 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
132969 132969 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-06 John McCain 44 19.42587 14.72663 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
133002 133002 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Sam Brownback 83 0.3052919 0.2797576 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
133032 133032 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0165332 12/10/19 18:41 one day test 2008-05-06
133063 133063 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Fred Thompson 57 22.2389 27.42067 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133095 133095 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2220922 0.9912507 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133127 133127 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.13538 24.61233 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133159 133159 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.086143 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133192 133192 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Mitt Romney 48 7.009043 7.864512 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133225 133225 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 Mike Huckabee 47 4.029708 7.804916 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133258 133258 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-07 John McCain 44 19.45922 14.47148 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133291 133291 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Sam Brownback 83 0.3052719 0.2087934 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133321 133321 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0130341 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133352 133352 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Fred Thompson 57 22.19984 25.69397 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133384 133384 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Duncan Hunter 53 0.222157 0.9102245 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133416 133416 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.16855 25.14626 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133448 133448 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.106564 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133481 133481 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Mitt Romney 48 7.016582 7.942543 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133514 133514 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 Mike Huckabee 47 4.029829 8.188407 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133547 133547 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-08 John McCain 44 19.48636 14.37491 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133580 133580 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.3056415 0.2088387 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133611 133611 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0130341 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133643 133643 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 22.16829 25.48662 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133676 133676 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 0.222188 0.9100519 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133709 133709 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.19821 25.222 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133742 133742 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.106564 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133776 133776 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Mitt Romney 48 7.017875 8.060596 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133810 133810 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Mike Huckabee 47 4.030004 8.223161 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133844 133844 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 John McCain 44 19.52505 14.25673 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133878 133878 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.3001676 0.2034715 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133909 133909 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0130341 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133941 133941 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 22.13715 25.07557 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133976 133976 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2274935 0.9179287 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134009 134009 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.22789 25.31853 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134042 134042 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.106564 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134076 134076 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Mitt Romney 48 7.007736 8.200312 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134110 134110 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Mike Huckabee 47 4.032626 8.278423 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134144 134144 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 John McCain 44 19.57946 14.27536 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
134178 134178 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.3007975 0.2408392 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134209 134209 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.165727 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134241 134241 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 21.88013 23.20304 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134276 134276 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2265275 0.7592164 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134309 134309 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.48203 26.04185 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134342 134342 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.127673 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134376 134376 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Mitt Romney 48 7.009232 8.902736 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134410 134410 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Mike Huckabee 47 4.032156 8.342983 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134444 134444 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 John McCain 44 19.8462 13.24975 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134478 134478 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.2886502 0.2287154 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134509 134509 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.165727 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134541 134541 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 21.81146 22.86055 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134576 134576 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2324966 0.7654909 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134609 134609 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.55231 26.00032 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134642 134642 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.127673 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134676 134676 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Mitt Romney 48 7.00294 9.051281 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134710 134710 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Mike Huckabee 47 4.025708 8.399934 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134744 134744 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 John McCain 44 19.91595 13.03845 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134778 134778 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.2882069 0.1122736 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134809 134809 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3066956 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134841 134841 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 21.77225 22.37302 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134877 134877 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2064101 0.9714874 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134910 134910 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.6238 25.7249 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134943 134943 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.12871 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134977 134977 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Mitt Romney 48 6.985418 9.548054 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135011 135011 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Mike Huckabee 47 3.996145 8.539938 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135045 135045 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 John McCain 44 19.95893 13.27764 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135079 135079 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.2882069 0.1122736 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135110 135110 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3066956 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135142 135142 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 21.80987 23.06077 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135178 135178 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2064101 0.9714874 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135211 135211 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.58828 25.92817 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135244 135244 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.12871 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135278 135278 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Mitt Romney 48 6.986343 9.392898 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135312 135312 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Mike Huckabee 47 3.994881 8.408345 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135346 135346 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 John McCain 44 19.9166 13.03537 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135380 135380 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.286127 0.1277518 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135411 135411 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3065302 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135443 135443 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 21.77238 23.22058 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135479 135479 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2087999 0.9418808 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135512 135512 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Rudolph W. Giuliani 50 28.62553 26.31893 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135545 135545 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Ron Paul 49 1.000001 1.426212 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135579 135579 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Mitt Romney 48 6.993418 9.424949 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135613 135613 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Mike Huckabee 47 3.996864 8.348115 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135647 135647 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 John McCain 44 19.95934 15.08179 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135681 135681 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.2844608 0.1260902 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);