polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,347 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-02-07

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198900 198900 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 17.68489 20.13728 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198909 198909 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 25.15803 19.15869 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198928 198928 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 2.837695 9.606703 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198937 198937 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 7.112273 10.60669 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198938 198938 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 6.691085 15.45406 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198979 198979 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 1.024677 1.405223 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
198993 198993 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 20.61089 23.25754 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
199002 199002 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 11.10812 11.46269 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
199004 199004 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 17.2038 20.55994 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-02-07
199028 199028 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 6.06955 6.33059 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199037 199037 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 6.945585 6.811433 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199039 199039 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 5.187299 5.242146 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199063 199063 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.475831 1.094189 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199071 199071 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.5312932 0.3957843 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199072 199072 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.295647 1.309764 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199094 199094 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 7.003023 7.938787 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199103 199103 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 2.42445 3.00749 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199105 199105 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 6.674457 9.50769 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199129 199129 2012R Colorado 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 12.47027 6.219555 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199138 199138 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 16.17079 14.94727 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199140 199140 2012R Missouri 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 8.658072 6.719445 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199168 199168 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 17.56764 20.1291 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199177 199177 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 25.07073 19.15389 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199196 199196 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 2.891569 9.693059 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199205 199205 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 7.185264 10.69686 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199206 199206 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 6.736435 15.52169 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199247 199247 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 1.023614 1.403384 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199261 199261 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 20.65335 23.3039 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199270 199270 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 11.14033 11.49654 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199272 199272 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 17.22986 20.5901 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199296 199296 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 6.055987 6.324188 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199305 199305 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 6.931279 6.804821 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199307 199307 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 5.177982 5.237713 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199331 199331 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.440477 1.059804 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199339 199339 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.4997255 0.3642802 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199340 199340 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.27368 1.287018 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199362 199362 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 7.018858 7.948621 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199371 199371 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 2.435782 3.014554 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199373 199373 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 6.685647 9.515163 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199397 199397 2012R Colorado 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 12.42092 6.195981 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199406 199406 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 16.11526 14.91294 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199408 199408 2012R Missouri 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 8.630168 6.702016 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199436 199436 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 17.56016 20.18658 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199445 199445 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 25.06516 19.18764 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199464 199464 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 2.894083 9.719812 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199473 199473 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 7.188669 10.7248 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199474 199474 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 6.738551 15.54262 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199515 199515 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 1.024307 1.402901 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-02-07
199529 199529 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 20.61179 23.23967 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199538 199538 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 11.1088 11.44965 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199540 199540 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 17.20435 20.54832 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199564 199564 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 6.035941 6.305281 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199573 199573 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 6.910136 6.785294 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199575 199575 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 5.164213 5.224625 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199599 199599 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.410563 1.029408 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199607 199607 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.4730191 0.3364348 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199608 199608 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.255094 1.266909 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199630 199630 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 7.010771 7.96096 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199639 199639 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 2.429994 3.023418 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199641 199641 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 6.679932 9.524539 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199665 199665 2012R Colorado 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 12.51904 6.224478 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199674 199674 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 16.22563 14.95443 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199676 199676 2012R Missouri 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 8.685658 6.723084 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199705 199705 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 17.64402 16.60479 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199714 199714 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 25.0292 15.60143 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199733 199733 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 2.86652 13.03727 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199742 199742 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 7.151334 14.17945 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199743 199743 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 7.12328 19.74966 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199784 199784 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 0.9313439 1.575776 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199798 199798 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 20.66086 22.78465 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199807 199807 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 11.14602 11.11841 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199809 199809 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 16.81886 19.77562 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199833 199833 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 6.037577 6.23945 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199842 199842 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 6.911861 6.71724 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199844 199844 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 5.11548 5.187019 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199868 199868 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.40852 1.130993 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199876 199876 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.4711957 0.4294658 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199877 199877 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.244506 1.384287 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199899 199899 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 6.997826 7.767545 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199908 199908 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 2.420732 2.884613 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199910 199910 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 6.576847 9.021081 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199934 199934 2012R Colorado 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 12.54705 5.594294 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199943 199943 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 16.25713 14.03218 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199945 199945 2012R Missouri 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 8.231756 6.029643 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199974 199974 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 17.64402 16.60479 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
199983 199983 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 25.0292 15.60143 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
200002 200002 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 2.86652 13.03727 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
200011 200011 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 7.151334 14.17945 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
200012 200012 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 7.12328 19.74966 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-02-07
200053 200053 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Rick Santorum 10 0.9313439 1.575776 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200067 200067 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 20.66086 22.78465 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200076 200076 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 11.14602 11.11841 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200078 200078 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 16.81886 19.77562 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200102 200102 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 6.037577 6.23945 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200111 200111 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 6.911861 6.71724 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200113 200113 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 5.11548 5.187019 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200137 200137 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.40852 1.130993 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200145 200145 2012R Minnesota 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.4711957 0.4294658 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200146 200146 2012R Missouri 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.244506 1.384287 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07
200168 200168 2012R Colorado 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 6.997826 7.767545 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-02-07

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);