polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

3,965 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-03-06

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198906 198906 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 11.26479 7.134448 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198917 198917 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 16.34339 15.54419 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198918 198918 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 22.0 21.91549 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198931 198931 2012R Georgia 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 12.3864 24.84017 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198935 198935 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 3.994028 7.533517 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198948 198948 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 7.568037 12.97414 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198949 198949 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 6.0 14.32229 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198960 198960 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 1.000001 0.8744568 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198977 198977 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 0.4302558 0.6241012 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198985 198985 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 3.480122 3.829917 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
198996 198996 2012R Georgia 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 8.09429 11.83315 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
199000 199000 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 52.90525 53.55313 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
199014 199014 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 21.40244 22.63984 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
199015 199015 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 17.0 18.42485 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-06
199031 199031 2012R Georgia 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 1.623776 2.373513 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199035 199035 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.782466 3.719122 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199049 199049 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 6.455467 6.319538 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199050 199050 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.506888 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199069 199069 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.565102 1.567988 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199082 199082 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.9739963 0.8463005 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199083 199083 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 1.702633 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199097 199097 2012R Georgia 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 16.94876 14.33756 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199101 199101 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 2.793288 3.644025 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199115 199115 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 7.430848 8.595706 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199116 199116 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.757054 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199132 199132 2012R Georgia 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 2.54247 3.748396 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199136 199136 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 7.255613 5.822539 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199150 199150 2012R Ohio 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 9.31874 6.049147 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199151 199151 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 3.142909 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199174 199174 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 11.16917 7.129261 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199185 199185 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 16.30708 15.542 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199186 199186 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 22.0 21.91549 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199199 199199 2012R Georgia 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 12.47898 24.97145 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199203 199203 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 4.053254 7.611416 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199216 199216 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 7.600499 13.01833 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199217 199217 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 6.0 14.32229 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199228 199228 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 1.000001 0.8744568 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199245 199245 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 0.4285456 0.621148 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199253 199253 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 3.480122 3.829917 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199264 199264 2012R Georgia 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 8.122389 11.86748 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199268 199268 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 52.96008 53.60996 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199282 199282 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 21.4232 22.66258 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199283 199283 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 17.0 18.42485 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199299 199299 2012R Georgia 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 1.614329 2.368762 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199303 199303 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.77092 3.713773 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199317 199317 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 6.448461 6.316335 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199318 199318 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.506888 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199337 199337 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.529481 1.531806 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199350 199350 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.9616239 0.833914 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199351 199351 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 1.702633 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199365 199365 2012R Georgia 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 16.9721 14.35034 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199369 199369 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 2.805014 3.65148 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199383 199383 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 7.439392 8.600892 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199384 199384 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.757054 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199400 199400 2012R Georgia 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 2.514644 3.728582 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199404 199404 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 7.216743 5.799658 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199418 199418 2012R Ohio 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 9.299918 6.038639 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199419 199419 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 3.142909 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199442 199442 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 11.16307 7.165729 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199453 199453 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 16.30476 15.55741 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199454 199454 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 22.0 21.91549 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199467 199467 2012R Georgia 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 12.48329 25.01207 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199471 199471 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 4.056017 7.635553 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199484 199484 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 7.602014 13.03201 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199485 199485 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 6.0 14.32229 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199496 199496 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 1.000001 0.8744568 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199513 199513 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 0.4296615 0.6203725 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199521 199521 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 3.480122 3.829917 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-06
199532 199532 2012R Georgia 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 8.094882 11.81993 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199536 199536 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 52.9064 53.53122 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199550 199550 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 21.40288 22.63108 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199551 199551 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 17.0 18.42485 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199567 199567 2012R Georgia 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 1.60037 2.354732 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199571 199571 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.753858 3.697978 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199585 199585 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 6.438105 6.306873 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199586 199586 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.506888 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199605 199605 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.49934 1.499819 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199618 199618 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.9511577 0.8229668 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199619 199619 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 1.702633 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199633 199633 2012R Georgia 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 16.96018 14.36637 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199637 199637 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 2.799026 3.660836 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199651 199651 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 7.435029 8.607399 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199652 199652 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.757054 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199668 199668 2012R Georgia 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 2.56999 3.752534 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199672 199672 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 7.294038 5.827317 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199686 199686 2012R Ohio 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 9.33734 6.051342 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199687 199687 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 3.142909 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199711 199711 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 11.23145 5.063544 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199722 199722 2012R Ohio 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 15.6831 12.06722 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199723 199723 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 22.0 17.94848 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199736 199736 2012R Georgia 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 12.43595 29.89018 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199740 199740 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 4.025719 10.54768 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199753 199753 2012R Ohio 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 7.641737 17.22787 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199754 199754 2012R Oklahoma 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 6.0 18.34355 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199765 199765 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-08 Gary Johnson 12 1.000001 0.8744568 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199782 199782 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 0.4285253 0.886318 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199790 199790 2012R Ohio 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 3.480122 4.188934 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199801 199801 2012R Georgia 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 8.127358 11.4839 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199805 199805 2012R Massachusetts 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 52.96978 52.95719 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06
199819 199819 2012R Ohio 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 21.16934 21.95971 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);