polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,951 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-03-13

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198897 198897 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 30.0 27.38431 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
198908 198908 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 0.6492825 13.74531 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
198925 198925 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 15.98926 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
198969 198969 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.511415 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
198990 198990 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.2728 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
199003 199003 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 8.09429 11.33037 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-03-13
199025 199025 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.29041 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199038 199038 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 2.500105 3.163824 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199060 199060 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.8400757 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199091 199091 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.832668 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199104 199104 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 13.41426 10.07015 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199126 199126 2012R Alabama 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 5.601017 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199139 199139 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 3.426897 4.595901 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199165 199165 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 30.0 27.38431 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199176 199176 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 0.6034366 13.73842 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199193 199193 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 15.98926 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199237 199237 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.511415 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199258 199258 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.2728 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199271 199271 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 8.122389 11.36404 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199293 199293 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.29041 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199306 199306 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 2.48978 3.158715 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199328 199328 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.8400757 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199359 199359 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.832668 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199372 199372 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 13.43525 10.08106 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199394 199394 2012R Alabama 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 5.601017 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199407 199407 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 3.396788 4.574753 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199433 199433 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 30.0 27.38431 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199444 199444 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 0.6005165 13.78685 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199461 199461 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 15.98926 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199505 199505 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.511415 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-03-13
199526 199526 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.2728 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199539 199539 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 8.094882 11.31739 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199561 199561 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.29041 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199574 199574 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 2.474524 3.14363 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199596 199596 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.8400757 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199627 199627 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.832668 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199640 199640 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 13.42453 10.09475 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199662 199662 2012R Alabama 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 5.601017 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199675 199675 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 3.456672 4.600317 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199702 199702 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 30.0 23.0038 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199713 199713 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 0.6332871 10.80233 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199730 199730 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 20.2007 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199774 199774 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.809417 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199795 199795 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 25.7571 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199808 199808 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 8.127358 10.98787 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199830 199830 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.225783 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199843 199843 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 2.475768 3.091079 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199865 199865 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.9467208 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199896 199896 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.640056 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199909 199909 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 13.40737 9.880069 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199931 199931 2012R Alabama 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 4.982355 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199944 199944 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 3.473782 4.035845 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199971 199971 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 30.0 23.0038 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199982 199982 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 0.6332871 10.80233 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
199999 199999 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 20.2007 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-03-13
200043 200043 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.809417 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200064 200064 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 25.7571 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200077 200077 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 8.127358 10.98787 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200099 200099 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.225783 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200112 200112 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 2.475768 3.091079 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200134 200134 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.9467208 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200165 200165 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 8.640056 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200178 200178 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 13.40737 9.880069 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200200 200200 2012R Alabama 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 4.982355 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200213 200213 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 3.473782 4.035845 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200240 200240 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Rick Perry 15 30.0 21.14062 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200251 200251 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-10 Rick Perry 15 0.6323957 9.503523 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200268 200268 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 20.4816 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200312 200312 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.474798 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200333 200333 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.41505 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200346 200346 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 8.133746 11.44061 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200368 200368 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 5.955049 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200381 200381 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 2.469372 2.871502 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200403 200403 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 0.7620112 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200434 200434 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 7.999448 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200447 200447 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 13.35331 9.168914 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200469 200469 2012R Alabama 2011-10-10 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 4.803887 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200482 200482 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-10 Michele Bachmann 1 3.474473 3.870091 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200509 200509 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Rick Perry 15 30.0 22.12452 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200520 200520 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-11 Rick Perry 15 0.7327178 10.23206 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200537 200537 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 23.27345 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-03-13
200581 200581 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.061059 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200603 200603 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.2172 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200616 200616 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-11 Mitt Romney 9 8.151347 11.31052 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200638 200638 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.435195 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200651 200651 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-11 Ron Paul 7 2.673564 3.467704 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200673 200673 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 1.06361 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200704 200704 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Newt Gingrich 3 5.000001 9.10148 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200717 200717 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-11 Newt Gingrich 3 13.22773 10.19222 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200739 200739 2012R Alabama 2011-10-11 Michele Bachmann 1 11.0 5.201406 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200752 200752 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-11 Michele Bachmann 1 3.542853 4.320897 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200779 200779 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Rick Perry 15 30.0 22.12452 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200790 200790 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-12 Rick Perry 15 0.7327178 10.23206 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200807 200807 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Herman Cain 13 7.000001 23.27345 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200851 200851 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.061059 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200873 200873 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Mitt Romney 9 24.0 26.2172 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200886 200886 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-12 Mitt Romney 9 8.151347 11.31052 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200908 200908 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Ron Paul 7 7.000001 6.435195 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200921 200921 2012R Mississippi 2011-10-12 Ron Paul 7 2.673564 3.467704 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13
200943 200943 2012R Alabama 2011-10-12 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.000001 1.06361 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-03-13

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);