polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

4,215 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-04-24

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198901 198901 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 19.0 11.49777 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198915 198915 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 6.0 4.1516 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198919 198919 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 11.03179 12.57192 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198929 198929 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 3.0 9.105485 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198946 198946 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 1.60937 7.331116 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198951 198951 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 4.891102 9.602236 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198965 198965 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198972 198972 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.171506 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198983 198983 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 1.0094 1.607997 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198986 198986 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 12.52631 13.4093 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
198994 198994 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 37.0 38.98616 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
199012 199012 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 18.72596 22.90223 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
199017 199017 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 18.38484 18.78229 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
199018 199018 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 39.17977 43.55362 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-04-24
199029 199029 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.736782 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199047 199047 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 7.822769 7.969156 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199052 199052 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 4.879867 5.083824 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199053 199053 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.381055 3.855167 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199064 199064 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 2.136911 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199080 199080 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.264597 1.31451 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199085 199085 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.634862 1.401638 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199095 199095 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 3.0 4.585556 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199113 199113 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 3.429552 6.141833 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199118 199118 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.149205 6.827303 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199119 199119 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 9.089943 6.060103 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199130 199130 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 5.875902 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199148 199148 2012R New York 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 5.944537 3.509323 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199153 199153 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 10.39892 6.02761 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199169 199169 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 19.0 11.49777 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199183 199183 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 6.0 4.1516 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199187 199187 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 11.02072 12.57092 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199197 199197 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 3.0 9.105485 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199214 199214 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 1.281696 6.989419 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199219 199219 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 4.902172 9.617564 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199233 199233 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199240 199240 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.171506 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199251 199251 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 1.018355 1.615548 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199254 199254 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 12.52516 13.40729 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199262 199262 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 37.0 38.98616 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199280 199280 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 18.50644 22.65907 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199285 199285 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 18.39662 18.79492 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199286 199286 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 39.23322 43.6101 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199297 199297 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.736782 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199315 199315 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 7.772314 7.918577 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199320 199320 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 4.876022 5.081895 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199321 199321 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.369881 3.849755 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199332 199332 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 2.136911 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199348 199348 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.30905 1.363575 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199353 199353 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.628949 1.395807 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199363 199363 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 3.0 4.585556 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199381 199381 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 3.36937 6.112329 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199386 199386 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.154281 6.830475 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199387 199387 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 9.107614 6.068963 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199398 199398 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 5.875902 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199416 199416 2012R New York 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 6.059352 3.574882 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199421 199421 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 10.38949 6.022967 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199437 199437 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 19.0 11.49777 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199451 199451 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 6.0 4.1516 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199455 199455 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 11.02001 12.57793 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199465 199465 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 3.0 9.105485 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199482 199482 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 1.388407 7.11024 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199487 199487 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 4.902689 9.622311 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199501 199501 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199508 199508 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.171506 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199519 199519 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 1.014504 1.614521 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199522 199522 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 12.52591 13.40676 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-04-24
199530 199530 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 37.0 38.98616 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199548 199548 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 18.52016 22.68699 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199553 199553 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 18.38509 18.77743 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199554 199554 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 39.1809 43.53185 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199565 199565 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.736782 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199583 199583 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 7.750233 7.893348 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199588 199588 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 4.870341 5.076198 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199589 199589 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.35337 3.833776 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199600 199600 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.000001 2.136911 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199616 199616 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.283534 1.33654 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199621 199621 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.623946 1.390651 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199631 199631 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 3.0 4.585556 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199649 199649 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 3.397086 6.135455 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199654 199654 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.151689 6.834454 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199655 199655 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 9.09859 6.080079 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199666 199666 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 8.0 5.875902 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199684 199684 2012R New York 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 6.016428 3.543974 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199689 199689 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 10.40824 6.028579 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199706 199706 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 19.0 8.723053 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199720 199720 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 6.0 2.232986 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199724 199724 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 10.32664 9.495457 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199734 199734 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 3.0 12.25129 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199751 199751 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 1.381672 10.16155 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199756 199756 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 4.936415 13.45166 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199770 199770 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199777 199777 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 1.000001 1.468725 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199788 199788 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 1.016238 1.922542 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199791 199791 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 12.56193 14.09307 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199799 199799 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 37.0 38.30906 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199817 199817 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 18.53802 22.20797 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199822 199822 2012R Pennsylvania 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 18.39406 18.3451 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199823 199823 2012R Rhode Island 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 39.24266 42.97548 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199834 199834 2012R Connecticut 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 3.0 2.703228 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24
199852 199852 2012R New York 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 7.751387 7.821613 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-04-24

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);