polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,546 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-05-08

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198916 198916 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 14.3976 14.13912 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198923 198923 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 16.34526 12.06015 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198947 198947 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 12.2711 16.95629 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198955 198955 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 11.19594 14.86704 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198966 198966 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198984 198984 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 2.229371 2.411582 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
198989 198989 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 2.702045 2.878074 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
199013 199013 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 15.46978 16.29565 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
199023 199023 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 12.30276 14.89022 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-08
199048 199048 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 5.868196 5.837511 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199058 199058 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.762746 4.128101 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199081 199081 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 5.476827 5.438045 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199089 199089 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.068889 1.181694 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199114 199114 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 9.957345 11.70574 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199124 199124 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 9.355762 10.25623 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199149 199149 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 8.264776 5.372228 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199157 199157 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 6.207089 5.484519 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199184 199184 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 14.29494 14.13225 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199191 199191 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 16.23928 12.05381 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199215 199215 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 12.36149 17.06726 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199223 199223 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 11.2815 14.97157 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199234 199234 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199252 199252 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 2.227276 2.407992 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199257 199257 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 2.699849 2.874318 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199281 199281 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 15.50673 16.33507 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199291 199291 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 12.33642 14.92823 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199316 199316 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 5.854848 5.831297 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199326 199326 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.75124 4.122583 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199349 199349 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 5.428911 5.389536 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199357 199357 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.035166 1.146967 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199382 199382 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 9.975482 11.71736 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199392 199392 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 9.373567 10.26721 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199417 199417 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 8.224487 5.35002 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199425 199425 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 6.1707 5.462096 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199452 199452 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 14.28839 14.18054 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199459 199459 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 16.23252 12.09838 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199483 199483 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 12.36571 17.10161 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199491 199491 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 11.28549 15.00394 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199502 199502 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199520 199520 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 2.228643 2.407049 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199525 199525 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 2.701282 2.873331 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-08
199549 199549 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 15.47055 16.28046 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199559 199559 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 12.30347 14.87558 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199584 199584 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 5.835121 5.812946 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199594 199594 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.734236 4.106289 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199617 199617 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 5.388338 5.346622 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199625 199625 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.006634 1.116269 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199650 199650 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 9.966219 11.73193 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199660 199660 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 9.364474 10.28099 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199685 199685 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 8.304597 5.376865 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199693 199693 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 6.243065 5.489201 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199721 199721 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 14.80377 11.89016 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199728 199728 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 16.30832 9.606197 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199752 199752 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 11.90273 20.59226 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199760 199760 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 11.24173 18.14709 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199771 199771 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199789 199789 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 2.227251 2.646313 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199794 199794 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 2.699823 3.123142 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199818 199818 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 15.94856 16.34261 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199828 199828 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 12.25611 14.65384 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199853 199853 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 5.899835 5.855105 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199863 199863 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 3.696911 4.0691 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199886 199886 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 4.866974 4.907069 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199894 199894 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.004686 1.185699 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199919 199919 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 9.754165 11.48035 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199929 199929 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 9.294268 10.09275 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199954 199954 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 8.827896 5.010168 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199962 199962 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 6.120043 4.875322 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199990 199990 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 14.80377 11.89016 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
199997 199997 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 16.30832 9.606197 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
200021 200021 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 11.90273 20.59226 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
200029 200029 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 11.24173 18.14709 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
200040 200040 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-08
200058 200058 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Rick Santorum 10 2.227251 2.646313 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200063 200063 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Rick Santorum 10 2.699823 3.123142 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200087 200087 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 15.94856 16.34261 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200097 200097 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 12.25611 14.65384 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200122 200122 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 5.899835 5.855105 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200132 200132 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 3.696911 4.0691 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200155 200155 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 4.866974 4.907069 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200163 200163 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.004686 1.185699 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200188 200188 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 9.754165 11.48035 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200198 200198 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 9.294268 10.09275 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200223 200223 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 8.827896 5.010168 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200231 200231 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 6.120043 4.875322 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200259 200259 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Rick Perry 15 14.97162 10.63626 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200266 200266 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Rick Perry 15 16.30626 8.340114 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200290 200290 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Herman Cain 13 11.74949 21.04281 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200298 200298 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Herman Cain 13 11.24847 18.67722 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200309 200309 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Gary Johnson 12 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200327 200327 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Rick Santorum 10 2.220336 2.349798 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200332 200332 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Rick Santorum 10 2.692578 2.815972 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200356 200356 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 16.12441 16.96844 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200366 200366 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 12.23403 15.142 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200391 200391 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 5.915773 5.648829 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200401 200401 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 3.676486 3.859384 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200424 200424 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 4.655135 4.523725 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200432 200432 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 0.9954525 1.053448 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200457 200457 2012R North Carolina 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 9.632193 10.81531 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08
200467 200467 2012R West Virginia 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 9.229452 9.465693 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-08

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);