polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

2,133 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-05-15

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198911 198911 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 5.000932 5.131586 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
198941 198941 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 22.38825 22.6368 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
198950 198950 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 4.532687 8.839226 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
198962 198962 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
198981 198981 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 2.297946 2.352982 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
199007 199007 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 8.09429 8.287151 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
199016 199016 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 28.16226 25.27474 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-05-15
199042 199042 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 3.381055 3.309494 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199051 199051 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 7.845872 9.078226 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199075 199075 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 11.02799 11.04989 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199084 199084 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.475831 1.4136 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199108 199108 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 14.29188 14.35967 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199117 199117 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.714029 8.347168 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199143 199143 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 6.1044 6.121763 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199152 199152 2012R Oregon 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 25.59196 17.14507 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199179 199179 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 4.932067 5.127005 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199209 199209 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 22.50875 22.76315 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199218 199218 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 4.594545 8.922553 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199230 199230 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199249 199249 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 2.295832 2.349403 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199275 199275 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 8.122389 8.316555 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199284 199284 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 28.21053 25.3227 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199310 199310 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 3.369881 3.304321 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199319 199319 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 7.830843 9.070783 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199343 199343 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.96179 10.98258 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199352 199352 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.440477 1.377931 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199376 199376 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 14.31349 14.37246 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199385 199385 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.728701 8.357236 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199411 199411 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 6.067874 6.09833 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199420 199420 2012R Oregon 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 25.52423 17.10854 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199447 199447 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 4.927679 5.159211 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199477 199477 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 22.51437 22.80225 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199486 199486 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 4.597432 8.94837 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199498 199498 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199517 199517 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 2.297212 2.348464 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-05-15
199543 199543 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 8.094882 8.275825 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199552 199552 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 28.16327 25.25625 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199578 199578 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 3.35337 3.289045 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199587 199587 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 7.80863 9.0488 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199611 199611 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.90571 10.923 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199620 199620 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.410563 1.346397 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199644 199644 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 14.30245 14.3885 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199653 199653 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.721208 8.369868 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199679 199679 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 6.140512 6.126656 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199688 199688 2012R Oregon 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 25.65883 17.15269 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199716 199716 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Rick Perry 15 4.976913 3.5708 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199746 199746 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 22.45276 25.93411 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199755 199755 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Herman Cain 13 4.565787 12.15644 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199767 199767 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199786 199786 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Rick Santorum 10 2.295807 2.510181 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199812 199812 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 8.127358 8.200402 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199821 199821 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Mitt Romney 9 28.21906 24.78529 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199847 199847 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 3.354717 3.256205 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199856 199856 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Ron Paul 7 7.810443 8.972173 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199880 199880 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.90188 11.01096 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199889 199889 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.40852 1.451727 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199913 199913 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 14.28479 14.44443 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199922 199922 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Newt Gingrich 3 5.709215 8.171831 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199948 199948 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 6.161259 5.645103 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199957 199957 2012R Oregon 2011-10-08 Michele Bachmann 1 25.69722 16.17034 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
199985 199985 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Rick Perry 15 4.976913 3.5708 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
200015 200015 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 22.45276 25.93411 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
200024 200024 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Herman Cain 13 4.565787 12.15644 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
200036 200036 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-05-15
200055 200055 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Rick Santorum 10 2.295807 2.510181 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200081 200081 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 8.127358 8.200402 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200090 200090 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Mitt Romney 9 28.21906 24.78529 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200116 200116 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 3.354717 3.256205 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200125 200125 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Ron Paul 7 7.810443 8.972173 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200149 200149 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.90188 11.01096 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200158 200158 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.40852 1.451727 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200182 200182 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 14.28479 14.44443 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200191 200191 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Newt Gingrich 3 5.709215 8.171831 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200217 200217 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 6.161259 5.645103 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200226 200226 2012R Oregon 2011-10-09 Michele Bachmann 1 25.69722 16.17034 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200254 200254 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Rick Perry 15 4.975575 2.621027 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200284 200284 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Herman Cain 13 22.46225 26.78288 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200293 200293 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Herman Cain 13 4.570654 12.38315 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200305 200305 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200324 200324 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Rick Santorum 10 2.288832 2.288399 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200350 200350 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 8.133746 8.479392 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200359 200359 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Mitt Romney 9 28.23003 25.43168 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200385 200385 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 3.347795 3.112767 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200394 200394 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Ron Paul 7 7.801129 8.651194 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200418 200418 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.88372 10.84355 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200427 200427 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.398839 1.252222 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200451 200451 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 14.22916 14.01284 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200460 200460 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Newt Gingrich 3 5.671452 7.516715 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200486 200486 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-10 Michele Bachmann 1 6.162098 5.413859 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200495 200495 2012R Oregon 2011-10-10 Michele Bachmann 1 25.69877 15.87885 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200523 200523 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Rick Perry 15 5.126079 3.110226 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200553 200553 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Herman Cain 13 21.93083 27.87 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200562 200562 2012R Oregon 2011-10-11 Herman Cain 13 4.299156 14.25396 12/10/19 17:24 one day test 2012-05-15
200574 200574 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Gary Johnson 12 3.0 3.0 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200593 200593 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Rick Santorum 10 2.409024 2.112334 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200620 200620 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Mitt Romney 9 8.151347 8.357997 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200629 200629 2012R Oregon 2011-10-11 Mitt Romney 9 28.26023 25.24645 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200655 200655 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Ron Paul 7 3.568707 3.555469 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200664 200664 2012R Oregon 2011-10-11 Ron Paul 7 8.097929 9.519734 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15
200688 200688 2012R Nebraska 2011-10-11 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 10.95148 11.25089 12/10/19 17:23 one day test 2012-05-15

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);