polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

5,243 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2012-06-05

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
198891 198891 2012R California 2011-10-05 Buddy Roemer 18 4.01e-07 0.0333179 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198899 198899 2012R California 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 17.36798 14.33098 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198914 198914 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Rick Perry 15 7.66399 12.9058 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198927 198927 2012R California 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 4.446787 11.33899 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198939 198939 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 5.387841 9.753478 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198944 198944 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 5.387841 12.88136 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198945 198945 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Herman Cain 13 8.854276 14.77291 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198957 198957 2012R California 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198964 198964 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Gary Johnson 12 13.0 11.39709 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198971 198971 2012R California 2011-10-05 Rick Santorum 10 1.240222 1.131757 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
198992 198992 2012R California 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 24.34915 27.33095 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
199005 199005 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 22.14727 19.51408 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
199010 199010 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 17.33888 19.58286 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
199011 199011 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 20.05575 20.2232 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
199020 199020 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-05 Mitt Romney 9 17.13151 21.22051 12/10/19 17:27 one day test 2012-06-05
199027 199027 2012R California 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 8.402772 8.522686 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199040 199040 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 7.845872 9.129278 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199045 199045 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 5.66688 6.336206 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199046 199046 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 4.485046 5.424271 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199055 199055 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-05 Ron Paul 7 5.155633 6.451004 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199062 199062 2012R California 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.63991 1.814648 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199073 199073 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.371892 3.325759 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199078 199078 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.422769 1.880397 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199079 199079 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.371892 3.23458 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199093 199093 2012R California 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 8.272336 9.921522 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199106 199106 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 7.392036 10.16616 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199111 199111 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.119573 4.962481 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199112 199112 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 5.81661 6.297618 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199121 199121 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-05 Newt Gingrich 3 8.238586 6.82786 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199128 199128 2012R California 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 7.31269 4.412663 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199141 199141 2012R Montana 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 21.796 14.31228 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199146 199146 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 18.03632 9.332364 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199147 199147 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-05 Michele Bachmann 1 23.68957 14.94905 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199159 199159 2012R California 2011-10-06 Buddy Roemer 18 4.01e-07 0.0333179 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199167 199167 2012R California 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 17.35049 14.33622 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199182 199182 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Rick Perry 15 7.582963 12.8991 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199195 199195 2012R California 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 4.445192 11.34684 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199207 199207 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 5.453518 9.840404 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199212 199212 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 5.453518 12.97971 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199213 199213 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Herman Cain 13 8.934173 14.87754 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199225 199225 2012R California 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199232 199232 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Gary Johnson 12 13.0 11.39709 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199239 199239 2012R California 2011-10-06 Rick Santorum 10 1.240613 1.13189 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199260 199260 2012R California 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 24.36401 27.34821 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199273 199273 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 22.1911 19.55707 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199278 199278 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 17.36605 19.61265 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199279 199279 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 20.09752 20.26687 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199288 199288 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-06 Mitt Romney 9 17.17067 21.26511 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199295 199295 2012R California 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 8.395816 8.519197 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199308 199308 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 7.830843 9.121818 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199313 199313 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 5.656763 6.331223 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199314 199314 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 4.472912 5.418233 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199323 199323 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-06 Ron Paul 7 5.142844 6.44453 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199330 199330 2012R California 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.632885 1.807445 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199341 199341 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.329422 3.282781 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199346 199346 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.383785 1.842884 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199347 199347 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.329422 3.191936 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199361 199361 2012R California 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 8.280225 9.927226 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199374 199374 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 7.408248 10.17711 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199379 199379 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.130437 4.969414 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199380 199380 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 5.831222 6.306602 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199389 199389 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-06 Newt Gingrich 3 8.255537 6.837137 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199396 199396 2012R California 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 7.310074 4.410736 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199409 199409 2012R Montana 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 21.73263 14.27862 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199414 199414 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 17.978 9.304543 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199415 199415 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-06 Michele Bachmann 1 23.62393 14.91471 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199427 199427 2012R California 2011-10-07 Buddy Roemer 18 4.01e-07 0.0333179 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199435 199435 2012R California 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 17.35464 14.35207 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199450 199450 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Rick Perry 15 7.577798 12.94618 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199463 199463 2012R California 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 4.441234 11.35064 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199475 199475 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 5.456583 9.867332 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199480 199480 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 5.456583 13.01016 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199481 199481 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Herman Cain 13 8.9379 14.90994 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199493 199493 2012R California 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199500 199500 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Gary Johnson 12 13.0 11.39709 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199507 199507 2012R California 2011-10-07 Rick Santorum 10 1.240538 1.13127 12/10/19 17:26 one day test 2012-06-05
199528 199528 2012R California 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 24.34711 27.32154 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199541 199541 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 22.1482 19.49751 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199546 199546 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 17.33824 19.56963 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199547 199547 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 20.05663 20.20638 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199556 199556 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-07 Mitt Romney 9 17.13234 21.20333 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199563 199563 2012R California 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 8.38662 8.510296 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199576 199576 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 7.80863 9.099781 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199581 199581 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 5.642219 6.317015 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199582 199582 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 4.45498 5.400403 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199591 199591 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-07 Ron Paul 7 5.123943 6.425414 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199598 199598 2012R California 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 1.626976 1.801007 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199609 199609 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.293476 3.244775 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199614 199614 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 2.350794 1.809719 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199615 199615 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. 5 3.293476 3.154226 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199629 199629 2012R California 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 8.276228 9.933913 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199642 199642 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 7.399969 10.19086 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199647 199647 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.125102 4.977897 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199648 199648 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 5.82376 6.317876 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199657 199657 2012R South Dakota 2011-10-07 Newt Gingrich 3 8.246881 6.848778 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199664 199664 2012R California 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 7.3263 4.414215 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199677 199677 2012R Montana 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 21.85858 14.3193 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199682 199682 2012R New Jersey 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 18.09392 9.338172 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199683 199683 2012R New Mexico 2011-10-07 Michele Bachmann 1 23.75438 14.95621 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05
199695 199695 2012R California 2011-10-08 Buddy Roemer 18 4.01e-07 0.0333179 12/10/19 17:25 one day test 2012-06-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);