polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

15,416 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-03-01

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237937 237937 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 34.52704 35.99886 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237939 237939 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 30.65622 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237943 237943 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 29.45699 32.59023 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237948 237948 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 48.0 48.59303 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237950 237950 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 20.51496 22.76619 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237960 237960 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 28.09245 29.78805 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237963 237963 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 39.85289 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237964 237964 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 16.87827 21.21644 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237966 237966 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 19.25125 26.67063 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237969 237969 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2408407 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237970 237970 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 1.136162 0.4330828 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237974 237974 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0828782 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237980 237980 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237990 237990 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6412956 0.1121791 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237993 237993 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 1.136162 0.4447386 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237994 237994 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5455285 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237996 237996 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1838516 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
237999 237999 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 1.982507 4.371815 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238001 238001 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.303027 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238005 238005 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 7.846364 9.209444 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238010 238010 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 12.0 12.29274 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238012 238012 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 10.53316 12.4556 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238023 238023 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 5.490676 7.32535 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238026 238026 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.304126 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238027 238027 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 4.920762 6.480067 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238029 238029 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 8.728363 10.89982 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238033 238033 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.249446 1.643811 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238035 238035 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.000001 2.201303 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238039 238039 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.543083 0.4012986 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238044 238044 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.777813 1.232639 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238046 238046 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 3.622945 2.847294 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238057 238057 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 1.635446 1.072302 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238060 238060 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 3.0 1.391999 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238061 238061 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.038415 0.6040995 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238063 238063 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 5.095191 2.645736 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238067 238067 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238069 238069 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238073 238073 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238078 238078 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0054081 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238088 238088 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238091 238091 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238092 238092 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.1945443 0.0292615 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238094 238094 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.3744148 0.2128208 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238096 238096 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 0.528001 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238098 238098 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.0 2.2773 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238102 238102 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.633391 2.160762 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238106 238106 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.0 2.831943 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238108 238108 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.400026 1.739574 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238118 238118 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.039895 1.579754 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238121 238121 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.0 2.251886 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238122 238122 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.116914 1.237708 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238124 238124 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.591515 1.434994 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-01
238127 238127 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.5025465 0.4062319 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238129 238129 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.5892525 0.2704457 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238133 238133 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.4711358 0.4201221 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238139 238139 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.7656165 0.2959135 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238149 238149 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.3299385 0.1913099 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238152 238152 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.5892525 0.2828175 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238153 238153 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.8393103 0.7353733 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238155 238155 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.281269 0.9444557 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238157 238157 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 4.772695 3.049762 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238159 238159 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 21.0 16.17032 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238163 238163 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 6.306507 4.093637 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238168 238168 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 0.6289517 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238170 238170 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 3.290304 2.204492 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238181 238181 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 5.304483 3.921691 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238184 238184 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 7.000001 4.143418 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238185 238185 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 3.784517 1.603354 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238187 238187 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 4.250667 1.941723 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238191 238191 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.1055948 0.2581454 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238193 238193 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.5485153 0.5776723 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238197 238197 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238201 238201 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.000001 1.01411 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238203 238203 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0524795 0.0355144 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238213 238213 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238216 238216 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238217 238217 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0776153 0.0810823 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238219 238219 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.849318 0.8558302 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238226 238226 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238234 238234 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238237 238237 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238238 238238 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.5343893 0.4555388 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238240 238240 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 1.155365 0.2295964 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238242 238242 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 1.000001 2.100914 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238246 238246 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.033198 3.373643 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238251 238251 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 7.000001 4.219521 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238253 238253 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 3.830571 4.045538 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238263 238263 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 4.135715 2.900231 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238266 238266 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.000001 3.16561 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238267 238267 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 3.637149 3.120214 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238269 238269 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.885486 7.040583 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238273 238273 2016R Alabama 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 4.478777 5.624282 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238275 238275 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 8.999999 10.77582 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238279 238279 2016R Georgia 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 6.981597 8.168877 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238284 238284 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 4.957744 5.296443 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238286 238286 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 4.5815 5.380618 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238297 238297 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 6.829691 8.094025 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238300 238300 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 6.0 7.490117 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238301 238301 2016R Texas 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 17.03304 19.02674 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01
238303 238303 2016R Virginia 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 5.396616 6.387594 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);