polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

3,218 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-03-08

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237949 237949 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 18.38207 24.19803 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
237951 237951 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 31.71766 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
237979 237979 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7493512 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
237981 237981 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1195014 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238011 238011 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 6.82192 9.083626 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238013 238013 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.303027 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238045 238045 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.71698 1.340718 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238047 238047 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.000001 0.5056668 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238077 238077 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0002556 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238079 238079 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238107 238107 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.496843 3.257021 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238109 238109 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.000001 0.4135543 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-08
238138 238138 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238140 238140 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 3.449813 3.020303 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238169 238169 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 5.772501 3.555414 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238171 238171 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 8.999999 5.785653 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238202 238202 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.05981 0.5937793 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238204 238204 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238225 238225 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238252 238252 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.526435 4.626112 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238254 238254 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.000001 3.225966 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238285 238285 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 4.599001 6.026274 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238287 238287 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 8.999999 10.77582 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238319 238319 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 2.902755 2.257126 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238321 238321 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 3.0 2.305064 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238352 238352 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 17.55256 28.64505 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238354 238354 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 10.0 26.54337 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238386 238386 2016R Michigan 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 10.74526 6.938991 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238388 238388 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 20.0 13.27661 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238420 238420 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 18.39052 23.73046 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238422 238422 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 31.20154 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238450 238450 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7488618 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238452 238452 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1191693 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238482 238482 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 6.812047 9.316699 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238484 238484 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.517093 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238516 238516 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 2.716543 1.38474 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238518 238518 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 2.000001 0.5451876 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238548 238548 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238550 238550 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238578 238578 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.492821 3.354364 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238580 238580 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.000001 0.4884045 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238609 238609 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238611 238611 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 3.449318 3.007105 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-08
238640 238640 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 5.776059 3.608705 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238642 238642 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 8.999999 5.842738 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238673 238673 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.057943 0.5170602 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238675 238675 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238697 238697 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238724 238724 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.511889 4.610848 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238726 238726 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.000001 3.232057 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238757 238757 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 4.59585 6.24698 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238759 238759 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 8.999999 11.06024 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238791 238791 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 2.896888 2.184337 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238793 238793 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 3.0 2.238682 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238824 238824 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 17.57065 28.40638 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238826 238826 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 10.0 26.29734 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238858 238858 2016R Michigan 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 10.73506 6.716132 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238860 238860 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 20.0 12.99221 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238892 238892 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 18.39202 23.51636 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238894 238894 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 30.94477 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238922 238922 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7438418 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238924 238924 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1192818 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238954 238954 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 6.826724 9.473062 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238956 238956 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.637018 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238988 238988 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 2.716776 1.476905 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
238990 238990 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 2.000001 0.6304302 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239020 239020 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.0003785 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239022 239022 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.0002135 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239050 239050 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.502702 3.49042 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239052 239052 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.000001 0.5822899 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239081 239081 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239083 239083 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 3.453489 3.02771 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-08
239112 239112 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 5.771485 3.574694 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239114 239114 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 8.999999 5.811497 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239145 239145 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.071264 0.4927614 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239147 239147 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239169 239169 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239196 239196 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.526536 4.388099 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239198 239198 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.000001 2.998793 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239229 239229 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 4.602399 6.521101 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239231 239231 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 8.999999 11.40121 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239263 239263 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 2.905926 2.133531 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239265 239265 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 3.0 2.179471 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239296 239296 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 17.54728 28.73296 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239298 239298 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 10.0 26.62709 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239330 239330 2016R Michigan 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 10.74401 6.66483 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239332 239332 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 20.0 12.92015 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239364 239364 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 18.39111 23.53418 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239366 239366 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 30.96772 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239395 239395 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7438219 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239397 239397 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1191762 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239427 239427 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 6.827618 9.545068 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239429 239429 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.698825 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239461 239461 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 2.718492 1.446593 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239463 239463 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 2.000001 0.6024152 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239493 239493 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 0.0004533 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239495 239495 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 0.0004266 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239523 239523 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.503133 3.497193 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239525 239525 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-06 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.000001 0.5869812 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08
239554 239554 2016R Michigan 2015-11-06 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-08

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);