polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

Table actions

files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

9,140 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-03-15

✎ View and edit SQL

This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237942 237942 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 29.71165 30.31914 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237944 237944 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 20.23685 23.37705 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237952 237952 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 21.94147 23.89485 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237958 237958 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 22.85826 24.98049 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237959 237959 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 15.30553 22.36824 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237973 237973 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2356741 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237975 237975 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 2.321512 1.549396 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237982 237982 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4837567 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237988 237988 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.8290972 0.6226015 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
237989 237989 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 1.375407 0.6159828 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238004 238004 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 14.17004 15.42584 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238006 238006 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 5.97586 9.89122 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238014 238014 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 5.543079 9.234483 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238021 238021 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 9.874331 10.31422 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238022 238022 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 6.373726 7.021917 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238038 238038 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 0.9715625 0.9169484 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238040 238040 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.904413 2.234741 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238048 238048 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.306166 3.181826 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238055 238055 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 2.542193 1.839417 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238056 238056 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 5.004595 2.311074 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238072 238072 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238074 238074 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238080 238080 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0054081 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238086 238086 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0433162 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238087 238087 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.3059707 0.1699518 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238101 238101 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.9389 2.709073 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238103 238103 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.333183 0.7245999 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238110 238110 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.347117 2.357218 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238116 238116 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.166718 2.046228 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238117 238117 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 17.1498 17.91919 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-15
238132 238132 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.4251254 0.4838293 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238134 238134 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.300651 0.8941221 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238141 238141 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.7656165 0.475206 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238147 238147 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.2629945 0.2190039 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238148 238148 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.1384734 0.1358589 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238162 238162 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.379432 0.9815274 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238164 238164 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 6.930627 2.224221 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238172 238172 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 8.720324 6.082413 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238179 238179 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 4.684217 3.707559 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238180 238180 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 4.664876 1.639845 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238196 238196 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0210916 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238198 238198 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.4439338 0.4686086 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238205 238205 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0524795 0.0834853 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238211 238211 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.5109578 0.5166588 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238212 238212 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.6375192 0.4861541 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238222 238222 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.0062534 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238223 238223 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238227 238227 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238232 238232 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238233 238233 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.228203 0.1151245 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238245 238245 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.26959 3.484895 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238247 238247 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 3.814023 4.228157 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238255 238255 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.15924 6.417399 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238261 238261 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.601267 3.768054 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238262 238262 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.298362 3.579707 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238278 238278 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 7.770662 8.721488 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238280 238280 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 3.740953 4.946573 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238288 238288 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 8.261804 9.560481 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238295 238295 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 7.877313 8.410484 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238296 238296 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 6.582914 7.191735 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238312 238312 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 1.180665 1.073448 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238314 238314 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 3.788268 3.207034 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238322 238322 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 0.8543866 0.6168876 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238329 238329 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 2.514702 2.208879 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238330 238330 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 2.621709 1.452331 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238345 238345 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 15.74375 18.7593 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238347 238347 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 6.13942 17.59606 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238355 238355 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 10.22888 23.05759 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238362 238362 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 21.97857 25.68542 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238363 238363 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 12.80424 21.13982 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238379 238379 2016R Florida 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 10.99375 9.995279 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238381 238381 2016R Illinois 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 15.68587 9.087913 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238389 238389 2016R Missouri 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 10.81771 7.060014 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238396 238396 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 7.492103 6.137486 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238397 238397 2016R Ohio 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 7.728165 4.479509 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238413 238413 2016R Florida 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 29.70959 30.06854 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238415 238415 2016R Illinois 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 20.23881 22.92291 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238423 238423 2016R Missouri 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 21.94512 23.4408 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238429 238429 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 22.88681 24.67891 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238430 238430 2016R Ohio 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 15.30518 21.9202 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238444 238444 2016R Florida 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2345136 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238446 238446 2016R Illinois 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 2.321058 1.531555 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238453 238453 2016R Missouri 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4829991 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238459 238459 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.8335944 0.6078066 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238460 238460 2016R Ohio 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 1.374827 0.5982518 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238475 238475 2016R Florida 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 14.17172 15.58354 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238477 238477 2016R Illinois 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 5.974778 10.14591 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238485 238485 2016R Missouri 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 5.538407 9.475806 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238492 238492 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 9.842776 10.47731 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238493 238493 2016R Ohio 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 6.374651 7.238495 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238509 238509 2016R Florida 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 0.9747864 0.9568656 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238511 238511 2016R Illinois 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.905498 2.281532 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238519 238519 2016R Missouri 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.310039 3.23364 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238526 238526 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 2.565892 1.88055 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238527 238527 2016R Ohio 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 5.006174 2.359103 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238543 238543 2016R Florida 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238545 238545 2016R Illinois 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238551 238551 2016R Missouri 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0045523 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238557 238557 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0423506 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15
238558 238558 2016R Ohio 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.3059605 0.1804176 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-15

Next page

Advanced export

JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited

CSV options: 

CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);