polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

3,729 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-03-22

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237938 237938 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 26.78455 27.99255 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
237965 237965 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 14.19904 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
237995 237995 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.7872343 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238000 238000 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 10.63413 11.83938 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238028 238028 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 10.50663 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238034 238034 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 1.877837 1.148107 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238062 238062 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 7.297809 3.112146 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238068 238068 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.0006452 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238093 238093 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238097 238097 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.270047 2.868115 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238123 238123 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.559633 1.172607 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-03-22
238128 238128 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238154 238154 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.000001 0.5526206 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238158 238158 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.156405 1.171667 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238186 238186 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.880735 0.4768107 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238192 238192 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238218 238218 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.04847 0.8813491 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238241 238241 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.277046 5.061424 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238268 238268 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.524909 2.855738 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238274 238274 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 11.04143 11.52527 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238302 238302 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 9.29029 8.735939 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238308 238308 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 2.255813 1.818208 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238336 238336 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 3.729978 1.40904 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238341 238341 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 20.19187 26.96134 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238369 238369 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.21556 23.34709 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238375 238375 2016R Arizona 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 9.582461 7.579732 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238403 238403 2016R Utah 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 16.78045 9.247924 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238409 238409 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 26.84783 27.75785 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238436 238436 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 13.83008 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238466 238466 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.7714925 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238471 238471 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 10.48335 11.85497 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238499 238499 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 10.77159 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238505 238505 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 1.893234 1.178721 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238533 238533 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 7.297809 3.163541 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238539 238539 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.0007094 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238564 238564 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238568 238568 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.285192 2.902229 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238594 238594 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.559633 1.256568 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238599 238599 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238625 238625 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.000001 0.5424615 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-03-22
238629 238629 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.182892 1.187479 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238657 238657 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.880735 0.5122635 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238663 238663 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238689 238689 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.04847 0.8022714 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238713 238713 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.326827 5.061262 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238740 238740 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.524909 2.861933 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238746 238746 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 10.94387 11.5817 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238774 238774 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 9.29029 8.998527 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238780 238780 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 2.240794 1.766835 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238808 238808 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 3.729978 1.348231 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238813 238813 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 20.03666 26.82422 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238841 238841 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.21556 23.1142 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238847 238847 2016R Arizona 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 9.643487 7.496892 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238875 238875 2016R Utah 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 16.78045 9.005976 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238881 238881 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 26.85223 27.6657 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238908 238908 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 13.64378 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238938 238938 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.7964047 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238943 238943 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 10.45993 11.91126 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238971 238971 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 10.91988 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
238977 238977 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 1.896465 1.221917 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239005 239005 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 7.297809 3.275963 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239011 239011 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.0056569 0.0133324 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239036 239036 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239040 239040 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.291394 2.989935 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239066 239066 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.559633 1.361303 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239071 239071 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239097 239097 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.000001 0.5550071 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-03-22
239101 239101 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.185534 1.17576 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239129 239129 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.880735 0.4925937 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239135 239135 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239161 239161 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.04847 0.7622125 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239185 239185 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 5.341478 4.874753 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239212 239212 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.524909 2.636931 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239218 239218 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 10.92567 11.76435 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239246 239246 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 9.29029 9.312478 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239252 239252 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 2.239564 1.725085 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239280 239280 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 3.729978 1.29427 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239285 239285 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 20.00881 27.05702 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239313 239313 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.21556 23.42509 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239319 239319 2016R Arizona 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 9.657547 7.428423 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239347 239347 2016R Utah 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 16.78045 8.94524 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239353 239353 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 25.6194 26.21514 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239380 239380 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 13.65984 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239385 239385 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239411 239411 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.7899054 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239416 239416 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 11.4837 12.73826 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239444 239444 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 10.99601 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239450 239450 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 1.534903 1.127302 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239478 239478 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 7.297809 3.239316 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239484 239484 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 0.0057977 0.0124291 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239509 239509 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239513 239513 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.856352 2.643469 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239539 239539 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.559633 1.366452 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239544 239544 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239570 239570 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.000001 0.5224809 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-03-22
239574 239574 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.892096 1.175326 12/10/19 18:57 one day test 2016-03-22
239602 239602 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.880735 0.5000371 12/10/19 18:57 one day test 2016-03-22
239608 239608 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:57 one day test 2016-03-22
239634 239634 2016R Utah 2015-11-06 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.04847 0.7571369 12/10/19 18:57 one day test 2016-03-22
239658 239658 2016R Arizona 2015-11-06 Carly Fiorina 9340 4.61667 4.058805 12/10/19 18:57 one day test 2016-03-22

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);