polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

6,055 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-04-26

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237941 237941 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 34.71159 34.33146 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
237961 237961 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 23.08917 23.37235 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
237972 237972 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2197953 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
237991 237991 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 2.195343 1.992079 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238003 238003 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 5.338624 6.998876 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238024 238024 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 8.306378 9.4459 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238037 238037 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.984231 2.527594 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238058 238058 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 1.84134 1.735596 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238071 238071 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.9692515 0.8399124 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238089 238089 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 0.209875 0.0389742 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238100 238100 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.993565 2.267598 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238119 238119 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.195948 2.821432 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-04-26
238131 238131 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.6978926 0.5967535 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238150 238150 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.5146717 0.5193831 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238161 238161 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.166873 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238182 238182 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.273481 1.773924 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238195 238195 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238214 238214 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0867221 0.0439248 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238221 238221 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.1198334 0.0598111 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238235 238235 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.4520407 0.3370444 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238244 238244 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 11.17853 6.276063 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238264 238264 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.609394 3.371972 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238277 238277 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 5.167446 5.880079 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238298 238298 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 5.794367 6.962208 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238311 238311 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 6.99583 4.936203 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238332 238332 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 4.415713 4.33447 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238344 238344 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.2773 17.85362 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238365 238365 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 19.75763 24.11849 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238378 238378 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 11.87991 7.62771 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238399 238399 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 6.080794 5.210623 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238412 238412 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 34.702 33.79715 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238432 238432 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 23.0865 22.93906 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238443 238443 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2204744 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238462 238462 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 2.194213 1.969741 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238474 238474 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 5.341643 7.213704 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238495 238495 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 8.308171 9.665259 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238508 238508 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.988694 2.575546 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238529 238529 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 1.842674 1.776638 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238542 238542 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.9684385 0.8492491 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238560 238560 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.2090732 0.0478966 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238571 238571 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.000624 2.36103 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238590 238590 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.200557 2.908668 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238602 238602 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.6973031 0.5861172 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238621 238621 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.5142568 0.5095604 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-04-26
238632 238632 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.166873 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238653 238653 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.274299 1.812632 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238666 238666 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238685 238685 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0840208 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238693 238693 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.1237265 0.0626168 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238707 238707 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.4570304 0.3411668 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238716 238716 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 11.17117 6.275584 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238736 238736 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.605196 3.373738 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238749 238749 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 5.176497 6.107849 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238770 238770 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 5.799031 7.188908 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238783 238783 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 6.991161 4.848018 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238804 238804 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 4.415374 4.258931 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238816 238816 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.2773 17.66013 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238837 238837 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 19.75686 23.91131 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238850 238850 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 11.86556 7.393005 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238871 238871 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 6.07475 5.022429 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238884 238884 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 34.68251 33.53714 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238904 238904 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 23.13976 22.78514 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238915 238915 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2228885 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238934 238934 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 2.225626 2.02267 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238946 238946 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 5.350867 7.344017 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238967 238967 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 8.258604 9.774915 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
238980 238980 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 4.998635 2.683498 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239001 239001 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 1.863295 1.884019 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239014 239014 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.9765698 0.9016026 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239032 239032 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.2124224 0.0895583 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239043 239043 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 2.009506 2.482141 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239062 239062 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 3.173891 2.988004 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239074 239074 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.7004633 0.6013482 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239093 239093 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.518464 0.5222198 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-04-26
239104 239104 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 1.166873 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239125 239125 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.284445 1.792694 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239138 239138 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239157 239157 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0886569 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239165 239165 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.1229035 0.0676937 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239179 239179 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 James S. Gilmore III 9362 0.4552478 0.3449502 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239188 239188 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 11.15496 5.989044 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239208 239208 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.603538 3.129761 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239221 239221 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 5.184709 6.372904 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239242 239242 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 5.79259 7.460499 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239255 239255 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 6.986938 4.774493 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239276 239276 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Chris Christie 9197 4.379215 4.153356 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239288 239288 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 11.2773 17.93224 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239309 239309 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 19.76386 24.32155 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239322 239322 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 11.86667 7.339281 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239343 239343 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-05 Jeb Bush 9158 6.123043 5.00189 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239356 239356 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 34.6902 33.56259 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239376 239376 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-06 Donald Trump 9849 23.16203 22.81791 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239388 239388 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2230478 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239407 239407 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-06 Rick Santorum 9742 2.241788 2.028917 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239419 239419 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 5.351805 7.411025 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239440 239440 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-06 Marco Rubio 9731 8.232696 9.835588 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239453 239453 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 5.000218 2.648981 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239474 239474 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-06 Rand Paul 9666 1.874193 1.863221 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239487 239487 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 0.9767996 0.9009856 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26
239505 239505 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-06 George Pataki 9664 0.2120518 0.0881138 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-04-26

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);