polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

6,144 rows where "contestdate" is on date 2016-06-07

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
237940 237940 2016R California 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 20.59159 20.7768 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
237956 237956 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Donald Trump 9849 21.29346 31.13727 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
237971 237971 2016R California 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9968044 0.6893297 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
237986 237986 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7149398 0.0 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238002 238002 2016R California 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 8.028566 8.891823 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238015 238015 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 8.15265 13.07999 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238019 238019 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Marco Rubio 9731 7.700016 8.484958 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238036 238036 2016R California 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 5.787621 2.804493 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238049 238049 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.444708 0.1677382 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238053 238053 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Rand Paul 9666 4.918567 1.066587 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238070 238070 2016R California 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 1.000001 0.8076981 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238084 238084 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 George Pataki 9664 1.543298 1.206232 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238099 238099 2016R California 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.701443 1.583129 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238114 238114 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.349581 1.727095 12/10/19 19:01 one day test 2016-06-07
238130 238130 2016R California 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.4763317 0.5674604 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238145 238145 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.780505 1.774338 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238160 238160 2016R California 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 3.991205 1.382793 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238173 238173 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 19.36849 9.240225 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238177 238177 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.356323 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238194 238194 2016R California 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.000001 0.9695933 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238209 238209 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238231 238231 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238243 238243 2016R California 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.869701 4.370637 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238259 238259 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.85585 3.01137 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238276 238276 2016R California 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 6.891441 6.555633 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238289 238289 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 4.221538 5.812308 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238293 238293 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Ted Cruz 9245 5.3997 4.854341 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238310 238310 2016R California 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 3.447846 1.769051 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238323 238323 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 4.885927 0.8950438 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238327 238327 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Chris Christie 9197 15.99196 12.25746 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238343 238343 2016R California 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 13.85273 24.74736 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238356 238356 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 2.623282 13.05696 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238360 238360 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 5.983433 15.4966 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238377 238377 2016R California 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 10.03019 5.958887 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238390 238390 2016R Montana 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 19.82272 9.343562 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238394 238394 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-03 Jeb Bush 9158 11.6568 6.086574 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238411 238411 2016R California 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 19.86935 19.83432 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238427 238427 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Donald Trump 9849 21.29816 30.62238 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238442 238442 2016R California 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 1.201262 1.046066 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238457 238457 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Rick Santorum 9742 0.714769 0.0 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238473 238473 2016R California 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 10.90478 11.4529 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238486 238486 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 8.155935 13.37092 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238490 238490 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Marco Rubio 9731 7.701253 8.723537 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238507 238507 2016R California 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.693608 3.018577 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238520 238520 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.451948 0.206832 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238524 238524 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Rand Paul 9666 4.920383 1.108688 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238541 238541 2016R California 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 0.3608883 0.3029626 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238555 238555 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 George Pataki 9664 1.543493 1.218451 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238570 238570 2016R California 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.531277 1.528095 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238585 238585 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.352906 1.816292 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238601 238601 2016R California 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.1828688 0.2301756 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238616 238616 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.780035 1.762215 12/10/19 19:00 one day test 2016-06-07
238631 238631 2016R California 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.987318 1.535903 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238644 238644 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 19.38465 9.313623 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238648 238648 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.35652 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238665 238665 2016R California 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.116327 1.081858 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238680 238680 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238692 238692 2016R California 2015-11-04 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238703 238703 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238715 238715 2016R California 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.213624 4.856502 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238731 238731 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.854753 3.011657 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238748 238748 2016R California 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 7.975893 7.901497 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238761 238761 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 4.228016 6.035449 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238765 238765 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Ted Cruz 9245 5.402723 5.0656 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238782 238782 2016R California 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 3.00612 1.99636 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238795 238795 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 4.884388 0.8359379 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238799 238799 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Chris Christie 9197 15.98833 12.13455 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238815 238815 2016R California 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 15.82685 22.09026 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238828 238828 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 2.617346 12.88431 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238832 238832 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Benjamin S. Carson 9174 5.985095 15.3108 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238849 238849 2016R California 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 8.23076 5.718227 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238862 238862 2016R Montana 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 19.81358 9.093584 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238866 238866 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-04 Jeb Bush 9158 11.65196 5.878242 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238883 238883 2016R California 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 19.82499 19.69207 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238899 238899 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Donald Trump 9849 21.26046 30.35811 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238914 238914 2016R California 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 1.210679 1.062629 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238929 238929 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7170313 0.0 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238945 238945 2016R California 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 10.90424 11.5509 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238958 238958 2016R Montana 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 8.162994 13.53836 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238962 238962 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Marco Rubio 9731 7.689076 8.84551 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238979 238979 2016R California 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 4.726305 3.104223 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238992 238992 2016R Montana 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 4.451829 0.2865134 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
238996 238996 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Rand Paul 9666 4.941252 1.206222 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239013 239013 2016R California 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 0.3744598 0.3265352 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239027 239027 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 George Pataki 9664 1.544842 1.268945 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239042 239042 2016R California 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.545191 1.612223 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239057 239057 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 John Richard Kasich 9483 1.35459 1.929736 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239073 239073 2016R California 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 0.186514 0.2368696 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239088 239088 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Piyush Amrit Jindal 9458 1.782568 1.779237 12/10/19 18:59 one day test 2016-06-07
239103 239103 2016R California 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.991798 1.514908 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239116 239116 2016R Montana 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 19.3769 9.271769 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239120 239120 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Mike Huckabee 9432 2.360677 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239137 239137 2016R California 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 1.105799 1.050959 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239152 239152 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Lindsey Graham 9372 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239164 239164 2016R California 2015-11-05 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239175 239175 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 James S. Gilmore III 9362 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239187 239187 2016R California 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 6.201027 4.646658 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239203 239203 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-05 Carly Fiorina 9340 2.844832 2.785381 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239220 239220 2016R California 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 7.998359 8.130912 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07
239233 239233 2016R Montana 2015-11-05 Ted Cruz 9245 4.232524 6.299788 12/10/19 18:58 one day test 2016-06-07

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);